Gallup’s three-day tracking poll shows the situation in the US presidential race throughout September as follows:
Barack Obama held a slight lead as the month began, which seems to be the long-term status quo. Then came the Republican convention and Sarah Palin bounce, which briefly put McCain well ahead. This moderated into a slight lead when the dust settled, before being wiped out with the onset of the banking crisis. However, Obama’s six-point lead at the start of this week has narrowed, despite polls giving him a clear lead on economic issues – surely a great boon in the current environment. Much is being said of an ABC-Washington Post poll which has Obama nine points in front, but this appears to be out on a limb. In any case, Gallup’s historical analysis reminds us that a lot can happen in the next six weeks, one way or the other.
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Obama up by 4.2% nationally on RCP. Virginia goes blue. All the “Obama” states holding nicely (ie the Kerry states plus NM/CO/IA) with NH the most at risk. And Missouri enters the field as a strong contender as the next to flip.
McCain shown to be full of sh!t again by going to the debate when there is still no bail-out, largely because they’re still trying to explain it to the old man and Yup Yup. That could take some time.
Debate on ABC at 11am AEST.
Well McCain seems to be under pressure the past 24 hours with David Letterman attacking him for a second day over the non show on his program and Palin giving one of the worst interviews I’ve ever seen.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/09/25/letterman-attacks-mccain_n_129467.html
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_WkCZV83Cp8
Possum,
You ought to especially enjoy this one
…. lots of nice bar graphs and charts 
…. another source of data on the US elections and numbers registered vs. turnout.
http://www.census.gov/prod/2006pubs/p20-556.pdf
Diogenes @ 201,
I will be SO happy if Missouri goes, oh my goodness …… I’m the oldest of 4 children and between mother, father and 4 kids only one left the fold and is a Republican. She and her family (spouse also a Republican) live in Missouri ….. If Missouri goes AND Obama wins, she is going to hear about it
……
Since when have the opinions of late night hosts like Letterman ever meant a hill of beans?
Looks like a lot of the Obamaphiles here have swallowed the left wing media narrative hook, line, sinker and fishing reel.
GG loved the ad of yours in the paper.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/images/26Sep_Friday_WSJ.JPG
The House rollcall on the Economic Stimulus Bill.
http://www.newsvine.com/_news/2008/09/26/1919254-house-roll-call-on-economic-stimulus-bill
as my canadian friend said in an email yesterday
McCain looks like an evil chipmunk and sounds like an evil chipmunk and speaks like a an evil chipmunk.
So if the good ole us of a can elect a moron then i suppose even a chipmunk is a better option
as ive said all along (post hill that is) barry is goin to washington
(McCain will go back to storing more nuts for winter in his cheeks)
I told you so
……
Since late night TV hosts started showing the blatant hypocrisy of the McCain campaign.
McCain stayed in New York City, even though he told Letterman that it was urgent that he fly to Washington.
We also know that McCain’s campaign suspension was a disaster, because he didn’t actually suspend his campaign! It seems that he tested the waters, and when he realised it wasn’t focus grouping well, he bailed on his own bail out.
Wall St to GOP -Drop Dead.
http://www.usnews.com/blogs/capital-commerce/2008/9/26/wall-street-to-gop-drop-dead.html
Funniest Palin video ever!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L8__aXxXPVc
She can’t think, she just speaks in a meaningless jargon language. Maybe it is Alaskian?
Ted Kennedy Hospitalized
(at this point, seems not to be a grave situation)
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/09/26/ted-kennedy-hospitalized_n_129737.html
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/09/26/ex-adviser-mccain-blinked_n_129611.html
Shows on @ 212:
I have to say that the commentators in the US don’t mince words do they. She will get torn apart in the debate with Biden. I was trying to find an Aussie politician that imitates Palin and I have to say that I can’t think of one.
Whoever is coaching her in her answers has a lot of work to do. So much stupidity, so little time.
Can you imagine Palin up against Julia Gillard. ?
I predicted that Palin was going to be dismal. A certain commentator, who I won’t name, said what a great camapigner she would be. She needs to be hidden in an attic like the monstrously deformed family secret of the past.
The polls are continuing to go Obama’s way. I think we know now what effect the economic meltdown is having on each candidate.
Here’s a funny cartoon that is doing the rounds.
http://www.joyoftech.com/joyoftech/joyimages/1155.gif
The only thing that comes close to that clip is Danna Vale giving some absolutely terrible answers in Question Time when she was minister for veterans affairs. Howard dumped her 6 months later.
[Can you imagine Palin up against Julia Gillard. ?] LOL! Gillard knows the meaning of different words AND the right context to use them in. It seems that Palin knows neither.
Check out this video. Scroll to the 6m30s mark.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjkCrfylq-E
At that point of the show’s taping, Letterman finds out that McCain skipped his show NOT to fly to Washington as he said, but to appear on the CBS News show with Kati Couric! He then stayed in NYC and didn’t fly to Washington until early the next morning!
They literally cut to the live news feed showing McCain having his make up done in the CBS News studio, even though he had told Letterman that he had to rush back to Washington to help fix the economy. (Of course Letterman jokes that after being on Kati Couric’s show he went on CBS’ cooking show).
She has her own unique nonsense speak instead.
OMG …. shades of Nixon all over again, McCain looks so fake, phoney, uptight ….. Obama looks organized and presidential ….
First question on the economy and Obama won a random coin toss so gets to answer first
McCain speaking to the moderator and NOT looking into the camera as if he were speaking to the people which he is ……. BIG boo-boo ……
McCain is looking off screen at Jim Lehrer, whereas Obama looked straight down the barrel of the camera lens during the opening addresses.
Yes what you said!
WHOAH ….. McCain tells another lie ….. “people will be held accountable in my administration (vis a vis the economy)” …… HUH? …….
He just said that the economy has fundamental problems, even though last week he said it was fundamentally sound!
He’s flip flopping again.
What!? They need to get spending in control, even though they are just about to buy $700 billion worth of credit from Japan and China to buy bad debt from banks!
So does this mean McCain is going to vote against the bail out deal?
Pinged Obama on earmark spending
I think he told Jim Lehrer that he “hoped he could vote for the plan” but don’t think he came outright and said yes. However, per Nancy Pelosi, the Dems will not vote for the plan at all UNLESS McCain and a majority of the Republicans sign on first.
Yeah, Obama should’ve mentioned that Palin supported the bridge to nowhere before opposing it.
Now McCain tells the truth – “I didn’t win Miss Congeniality in the US Senate”
Everyone expects Obama to win the debates, so all McCain has to do is hold his ground. He’s doing that so far.
ShowsOn, no real reason why he should, this debate is between the two of them and if he brings Palin’s name up it isn’t a good look. McCain has enough dirty linen of his own, he need not bring up Palin’s dirty linen as well
…..
When was it decided that this debate would be about domestic issues?
Adam
I thought this one was agreed to be on foreign affairs. The second one is free-wheeling and the third one is on domestic affairs.
When the U.S. economy started completely tanking.
No, there was an agreement that this debate would be on security issues
At the beginning of the show, Jim said that the current economic situation because it was a world wide phenomenon (sp?) fell under the broad umbrella of national security …..
……..
Adam, I sense you are a little edgy this morning
Adam
I disagree about the debate though. All Obama needs to do is get a draw. He’s winning at the moment with the momentum. And Yup Yup’s debate is on in a week’s time. How do you think she’ll go? Seen the interview with Couric?
Do you honestly think either candidate wants to talk about Iraq etc after what has just happened over the last week?
Wouldn’t that be the perfect way for them to show that they are completely out to touch?
Obama talking about rebuilding infrastructure, making education affordable ….. where have we heard that before? Come on down to QT, Obama, we’ll give you a seat of honor on the Speakers right hand side
I’ve got to agree with Adam on this one. McCain has been shafted by the change in topic. There’s going to be a lot of complaining from his campaign.
Julie, I’m very relaxed thanks.
Diogenes, it’s a well-known rule of debates that the front-runner has more at risk. Obama’s whole reputation is based on his rhetorical skills. (Since he hasn’t actually done anything.) Obama needs to win big to gain any benefit. All McCain needs is a draw, and I think so far he’s getting that.
Who’s Yup Yup?
I presume he agreed to the change.
Yup Yup is Palin. That was the answer she gave when she was asked if she was ready to be President.
This way he gets the national security debate closer to election day. That will be to his advantage.
I don’t think that makes. McCain has to demonstrate that he can understand economic issues as well as national security issues.
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