Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Monthly Archives: September 2008

Westpoll: Liberal favoured for Nationals alliance

Saturday, September 13, 2008 – 2:05 am

The West Australian has published a Westpoll survey of 400 respondents, of whom 181 (exact figures provided) said they preferred that the Nationals form an alliance with the Liberals against 129 who preferred Labor (44 per cent to 32 per cent). Of the former group, “33 per cent said they believed National voters were traditionally [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in WA Election 2008 | Comments (212)

New South Wales council elections thread

Friday, September 12, 2008 – 10:07 pm

By popular demand, here’s a thread for discussion of the New South Wales council elections. Can’t tell you much about them myself, except that they’re on tomorrow. Antony Green has an index of candidates and the ABC will be publishing results, no doubt in more digestible form than the New South Wales Electoral Commission.

By William Bowe | Posted in NSW Council Elections | Comments (366)

New Zealand election: November 8

Friday, September 12, 2008 – 9:34 pm

New Zealand Prime Minister Helen Clark today called an election for November 8, initiating what seems an astoundingly long eight-week campaign. Wikipedia scribes explain that while the latest possible date was November 15, the country’s elections are normally held in September. With Labour tanking in the polls throughout the year, Clark has presumably taken a [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in New Zealand Election 2008 | Comments (26)

Morgan leadership poll

Friday, September 12, 2008 – 5:42 pm

Roy Morgan has published a phone poll of 544 respondents featuring a series of preferred leader questions. Main findings: Kevin Rudd leads Brendon Nelson 65-18 and Julia Gillard 49-21; Gillard favoured as best non-Rudd Labor leader over Swan 44-12; Peter Costello the favoured Liberal leader of 31 per cent, compared with 20 per cent for [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Politics | Comments (224)

US election minus 54 days

Friday, September 12, 2008 – 5:30 pm

A thread for the discussion of the American elections, now a little less than eight weeks away.

By William Bowe | Posted in US Presidential Election 2008 | Comments (489)

Poll Bludger version 3.0

Thursday, September 11, 2008 – 4:06 am

Welcome to the new-look Poll Bludger, brought to you as part of a broader incursion into the blogosphere by wealthy benefactors/gentleman admirers at Crikey. Note parallel developments from Possum Comitatus. The site has a new address in the Crikey domain: the old site will redirect here. The interior decoration is incomplete, so don’t despair for [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in General | Comments (202)

Photo finishes (lower house): episode three

Wednesday, September 10, 2008 – 11:01 pm

Labor needs to win four out of these five to be in a position to form a majority if John Bowler and Carol Adams (assuming she wins) support them.

ELECTION NIGHT

LATEST

ALP
LIB
Total

ALP
LIB
Total

Riverton
8002
8034
16036

9534
9602
19136

Wanneroo
7299
7293
14592

10769
11014
21783

Albany
8182
8065
16247

9629
9572
19201

Forrestfield
8177
7935
16112

9581
9450
19031

Collie-Preston
8299
7883
16182

9909
9488
19397

Riverton. Going into the election with a 2.1 per cent margin, Labor’s Tony McRae has done remarkably well to remain in the hunt while some neighbouring [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in WA Election 2008 | Comments (80)

Newspoll: 56-44

Monday, September 8, 2008 – 11:01 pm

This fortnight’s Newspoll shows Labor’s two-party lead unchanged on 56-44. Kevin Rudd’s approval rating is down three points to 62 per cent, while Brendan Nelson’s is up two to 16 per cent.
The weekly Essential Research survey has Labor retaining its 59-41 lead. Peter Costello is rated best person to lead the Liberals by 26 per [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Politics | Comments (916)

Photo finishes (lower house) – take two

Monday, September 8, 2008 – 3:07 pm

NOTE: I’m reposting this in the hope the thread in the hope it might be used specifically for commenting on the results. More general discussion can be directed to the other threads.
EXPLANATORY NOTE: Assuming no late-count surprises (which do happen), Labor needs to win four out of these five to be in a position to [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in General, WA Election 2008 | Comments (602)

WA election plus two days

Monday, September 8, 2008 – 7:45 am

• The image below indicates the notional margins in metropolitan seats going into the election, and the results as of the close of count on election night. Click on the image to toggle between the two. Colour coding runs from very light for below 2 per cent to very heavy for above 15 per cent. [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in WA Election 2008 | Comments (261)