The Australian reports that this fortnight’s Newspoll has Labor’s lead at 54-46, down from 55-45 last time. However, Kevin Rudd’s preferred prime minister rating is up five points to 59 per cent, while Malcolm Turnbull is down one point to 25 per cent. Essential Research has Labor’s lead up from 59-41 to 61-39 in its weekly survey, which is Labor’s second successive two point increase. Also included are questions on leadership approval and attitudes to the financial crisis.
UPDATE: Graphic here. An interesting set of figures: despite going backwards on two-party, Labor’s primary vote is up three points to 44 per cent, the Greens having returned to earth from 13 per cent to 9 per cent. Kevin Rudd’s personal ratings are well up: satisfaction up nine to 65 per cent and dissatisfaction down six to 26 per cent, his best figures since May and June respectively. He’s also taken a commanding lead over Turnbull as best leader to handle the economy, up nine since September 19-21 to 50 per cent with Turnbull down eight to 35 per cent. Also included are questions on the carbon pollution reduction scheme, which over half now believe should be at least delayed.
871 Comments
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ltep @ 740,
You can only defend the indefensible for just so long before you look totally and utterly foolish.
Most of the News Ltd commentators have long ago passed that level. It doesn’t help the people they are trying to prop up in the long run because they become dependent on that propping up and can never improve their performance, hence the appalling oppositions of recent years.
Heres some warning of a coming Aussie recession that I almost wish they didn’t even bother reporting. It comes from the same market experts who work for the firms that set up the conditions that led to the credit crisis. They didn’t see it coming either:
http://business.smh.com.au/business/yes-were-in-for-a-short-sharp-shock-20081029-5bgj.html
Interesting to see in 12 months if they are correct. I’d say its a 50/50 bet at most. The Oz economy has to fall quite a bit to actually go into recession, and there is a signficant stimulus coming as well.
Speaking of significant stimulus, here is a good article about the US interest rate cut overnight. It is amazing that the cuts haven’t influenced the mortgage rate yet.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/30/business/economy/30fed.html?ref=economy
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/10/30/2405318.htm
Rudd flags more regulation in credit card market.
Now down to 1%.
http://business.theage.com.au/business/fed-cuts-rates-to-1-20081030-5bk8.html
And our dollar is slightly higher! Keep going baby. I’m heading over to the US in a month, really regret not exchanging earlier on.
The
The Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Ric Battellino has released an interesting speech with graphs updating the household finances of Australians.
http://www.rba.gov.au/Speeches/2008/sp_dg_301008.pdf
Steve,
I would say that there was a fair chance that these comments were directed at the two financial geniuses, Turnbull and Costello.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/business/story/0,28124,24575315-20142,00.html
Steve
Terrific link! That speech is very good and has some very intersting facts. Note that the only real problem highlighted was in the non-regulated mortgage broker sector. With bad loans still only 0.5% in Australia, there is no reason to believe our market will crash. But of course, our genius investment advisors (who often know as much about econoics as Turnbull) usually follow US markets down like lemmings off a cliff.
Socrates, it was one of the better and more realistic speeches in Australia for a long time. If the Australian market gurus were to listen to the RBA rather than the Liberal Party version of what is happening economically in Australia, the whole place would be much better off.
http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2008/10/30/1224956188036.html
The Greens reject the filter proposal.
Here here, the greens! There goes the chance of passing it on cross benches.
Now, just got to watch the coalition doesn’t pass Conroy’s rubbish bill.
The soon to be axed Media Report on RN covered the Filter Follies see http://www.abc.net.au/rn/mediareport/stories/2008/2405376.htm
They interviewed Mark Pesce who I suppose will not be appearing The New Inventors ever again after plugging The Onion Router http://www.torproject.org/
Lefty E, The Nationals might still support the filter plan. If they do it has a chance of passing in some form.
But perhaps The Greens will force the Australian Luddite Party to have an opt out provision for those of us who don’t want to be nannied.
I can scarcely believe that the ALP have managed to appoint a more dense Communications Minister in Conroy than Richard Alston or Coonan the Barbarian.
You really think Conroy came up with the idea himself?
The Greens can’t force anything on their own. If Labor, The Nationals, Xenophon and Fielding can agree to a compulsory filter of some sort the Greens will be unable to do anything.
Itep
They might be able to force it as a pro quid pro for something else.
I thought the Greens didn’t trade bad policy for good policy.
Yeah right, the Nats. Forgot about them
Even an opt-out would leave the problem of slow speeds.
Why’s everyone jumping to the conclusion that the Nats will support it. Have they said anything publically? How often do they, as a block, cross the bench to vote with Labor against the Liberal party?
They aren’t going to support it. Now they need to get a formal group together including the Libs, the telco industry and EFA to convince both the Government and the public that it’s a silly idea.
No 772
The Liberals will almost certainly block the scheme if there’s no ability to 100% opt-out.
Real risk is not the Nats, but the Coalition getting wedged into it with some bollocks pro-family rhetoric from the ALP.
But my ‘on-balance’ guess is Conroy’s bill is now officially TOAST.
Huzzah etc.
Oz, Barnaby Joyce is a member of the ’somebody think of the children’ club ala Steve Fielding. Remember his indignation to service stations selling ‘unrestricted’ magazines?
No 775
Barnaby Joyce is an annoying mosquito that ought to be squashed.
It always was
Yeah and I know that Joyce has crossed the floor a few times, but the whole lot of them? I suppose he is leader in the Senate, but it wouldn’t look good for the coalition.
SNIP: Bookmark deeted – previous reader & poster!
deleted
The Nationals are mostly conservative, religious loonies. They stand for nothing except keeping our country locked in the past.
Although I suppose it would seem unreasonable to demand faster speed internet for ‘the bush’ and then slap on a filter that will slow it down.
Scorpio, William has made it quite clear that the discussion of moderation principles is not appropriate. If you wish to do so, email him at: pollbludger (at) bigpond.com
Here is a good outcome for democracy: the AFP will not get a closed court hearing at the Haneef inquiry:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/10/30/2405663.htm
On a political discussion website its easy to get lost in the politics and forget that sometimes organisations do bad things through sheer incompetence, and the subsequent desire to hide it. From my time in Canberra as a public servant, if there were two departments that meritted a cleanout of their internal ranks (not just the Ministers) it would be this lot (AFP) and Immigration.
From Skink via The Worst Of Perth. And you thought the OO was bad.
http://theworstofperth.com/2008/10/23/sorry-day-nurry-day/#comment-11908
Wow that’s ridiculous.
And another good outcome for the environment and the economy – Bells have admitted they have no finance for their silly pulp mill:
http://news.smh.com.au/business/bell-bay-funding-hit-by-downturn-gunns-20081030-5bsr.html
Said John Gay “”In this environment, the company will be maintaining the project in a position to proceed until funding arrangements are complete.”
Anyone care to take bets when construction will commence? Put me down for…never.
Ok, now we’re done Conroy in, let move on the coal-eating surrender monkeys!
http://bitemylatte.blogspot.com/
Ah I can’t be bothering attempting to teach a bunch of lawyers, hicks and their rabid followers about science.
Nothing surprises me about the West Australian.
Anyone want to know why Government collecting information on civilians is a bad idea?
http://www.australianit.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24575839-15306,00.html
[THE Australian Taxation Office has lost a disk containing the tax details of thousands of people.
The ATO admitted that the CD was not encrypted.
That’s just a dumb statement. They have to collect data in order to make sure we are all paying our taxes correctly etc. What is a bad idea is not encrypting the data and losing it!!!
I’m talking about increased surveillance, giving government bureaucracies more power, removing judicial oversight etc. Things that we’re doing.
No 784
That is outrageous behaviour from Mr Armstrong.
GP 793 I’m glad you agree. For us small-L liberals who have been pushed by Howard from neutral to pro-labor, I often think people like Armstrong (and Shana-bolt-man) cost the right more votes than they gain. The sort of people those antics will appeal to will vote conservative anyway, but the swinging voters will be quite put off by that sort of arrogance.
No 794
Socrates, Mr Armstrong is not a MP or rep of the Liberal Party so it shouldn’t have a bearing on your vote, especially since you read more widely than one Newspaper.
I know GP, but I’m just saying how it affects me.
Far be it from me to downplay the veracity of what you might read in Crikey, but I should note that the Paul Armstrong anecdote appeared in the “tips and rumours” section.
99% of articles are based on “tips and rumours” at least he’s admitting it.
well whatever
Paul Armstrong is still a twat.
Actually more like a spoilt brat really.
I’m starting to picture Turnbull as a character in Viz, in my mind’s eye…
Turnbull says Rudd has insulted all Americans
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