10.48pm. Oregon Senate race still close: Republican incumbent Gordon Smith leads Democrat Jeff Merkley 47.7 per cent to 46.7 per cent with 74 per cent of precincts reporting. Coleman now leads Franken by 676 votes (0.02 per cent) with 99.9 per cent reporting.
9.25pm. An extra 0.3 per cent of precincts in Minnesota have widened Coleman’s lead to 2591.
8.45pm. Norm Coleman back ahead of Franken in Minnesota – by 490 votes, with 98.7 per cent reporting.
7.54pm. Al Franken seizes a late lead for the Minnesota Senate (188,073 to 185,786) with 98 per cent reporting.
7.45pm. All precincts reporting from Missouri, and McCain leads 1,442,577 to 1,436,724. Possum writes in comments that there are not enough contested votes to cover the gap.
6.29pm. MSNBC calls Indiana for Obama. Only Missouri and North Carolina still outstanding.
6.26pm. Missouri has gone right back down to the wire with 0.7 per cent still to report: McCain 1,426,779, Obama 1,426,381.
6.06pm. With all precincts reporting, Obama leads in North Carolina by 12,160 votes out of over 4.2 million (0.2 per cent cent).
5.57pm. Earlier chat suggested Republican Senator Ted Stevens was dead meat in Alaska, but he leads 49.4-45.4 with 37 per cent reporting. Partial counts can be misleading though.
5.50pm. Back to lineball in Minnesota Senate. Analyst on Fox News says outstanding precincts are likely to favour Republican incumbent Norm Coleman over Al Franken.
5.16pm. McCain hanging on to his slender lead in Missouri, which is looming as my only wrong call.
5.11pm. McCain now ahead in Montana.
5.00pm. Al Franken continuing to fade in Minnesota Senate – probably gone now.
4.46pm. Obama’s lead in Montana rapidly evaporating as the count proceeds to 51 per cent.
4.36pm. Ohio still quite tight: Obama leads 50.0-48.4 with 72 per cent reporting.
4.31pm. Oregon Senate race has tightened up considerably: within 1 per cent now.
4.11pm. My reading of the Senate: Democrats to gain seven Senate seats – Colorado, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Virginia, Oregon, North Carolina and Alaska (no actual votes yet from the latter) – or eight if Al Franken wins Minnesota, where he trails by 0.8 per cent with 53 per cent counted.
4.09pm. Norm Coleman now leads Al Franken by 0.8 per cent for Minnesota Senate.
4.07pm. Obama now with a relatively handy 0.6 per cent lead in North Carolina.
3.55pm. Obama back in front in North Carolina, but not going to win Missouri. I’ve only just noticed he’s looking a surprise winner in Montana, although with only 24 per cent counted.
3.32pm. Correct me if I’m wrong here somebody, but the Democrats stand to gain seven Senate seats – Colorado, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Virginia, Oregon, North Carolina and Alaska – eight if Al Franken wins Minnesota.
3.17pm. McCain concedes defeat.
3.14pm. Close as close can be between Norm Coleman and Al Franken for Minnesota Senate.
3.10pm. Fox reports Roger Wicker holds Mississippi Senate seat for the Republicans, ending the chances of a Democrat supermajority.
2.59pm. CNN calls the election for Obama.
2.58pm. Obama takes the lead in Indiana.
2.54pm. McCain strengthening in North Carolina and Missouri.
2.51pm. Fox reports Virginia went 60-39 to McCain among white voters, but 92-8 among black voters.
2.42pm. McCain’s lead has vanished in Missouri: now 49.4-49.3.
2.41pm. Franken in fact leads Republican incumbent Norm Coleman 43-40.
2.40pm. Fox calls Virginia for Obama. Al Franken reportedly looking good for Minnesota Senate.
2.37pm. Obama leads in New Mexico 50.1-48.7 with less than half of dominant Bernalillo County reporting, where Obama is leading 57.3-41.5.
2.33pm. Crikey blog commenter Stuart: “Wilson and Franklin in North Carolina unreported. Wilson =44000 people total, 47% black. Franklin 2000 in total people 95% white. Looking good for O.”
2.32pm. McCain now narrowly ahead in North Carolina.
2.20pm. McCain leads by 12,839 in Indiana, but extrapolating unreported precincts from Lake County suggests Obama stands to gain over 22,000 votes.
2.18pm. Still tight in Florida, North Carolina and Virginia, but Obama has a handy lead in each case with most precincts reporting. North Carolina his weakest of the three.
2.16pm. Missouri bouncing around the place, but McCain’s lead currently at 2.6 per cent.
2.12pm. McCain’s lead in Missouri reflating.
2.04pm. McCain’s lead in Missouri is narrowing.
2.01pm. Obama narrowly ahead in Florida, North Carolina and Virginia (in ascending order of narrowness).
1.59pm. Fox calls Iowa for Obama.
1.58pm. Obama takes the lead in Virginia.
1.50pm. Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight calls the election for Obama.
1.47pm. CNN calls New Mexico for Obama.
1.33pm. Gap continues to close in Virginia, Obama now only 0.5 per cent behind.
1.25pm. McCain fairly well ahead in Missouri, but nobody’s calling it yet.
1.21pm. Discussion of Indiana on Fox: “central city plus rich suburbs” emerging as the “Obama alliance”, but rural areas holding relatively well for McCain.
1.17pm. Fox calls Ohio for Obama.
1.09pm. Nate Silver: “MSNBC and Fox call Georgia for McCain.”
1.00pm. Fox calls North Dakota for McCain.
12.46pm. Nate Silver on Virginia: “Obama is outperforming Kerry by a 12-15 point net in the Eastern half of the Virginia. In the Western half, he’s not performing much better than Kerry and is actually underperfoming him in some counties. I think that equation works out favorably for Obama on balance, though Virginia will be fairly close.”
12.28pm. Heavily populated Florida counties Orange and Polk are swinging double digits to Obama, blowing away those weaker rural results I was mentioning earlier.
12.12pm. Possum says: “PA has gone Dem, VA has gone Dem – election over”. Adam Carr says: “It’s true that the FL panhandle hasn’t reported yet, but Obama is leading in Orlando and St Petersburg, which are GOP towns. You’d think he’ll win FL from here. Note also Obama’s 75% in Broward – the Jews stuck with Obama despite Lieberman’s defection.”
12.08pm. Discussing Virginia on CNN, confirming the impression that early reporting precincts are rural and we haven’t seen any black areas in the big cities come in. I’m only seeing slight swings to the Democrats in the rural areas.
11.53am. Swings I’m seeing in Florida are also below par: 4.0 per cent in Lake, 2.4 per cent in Manatee, 4.1 per cent in Pinellas. He needs 5.0 per cent.
11.45am. Another substantially reporting Virginia county, Augusta, swinging inadequately to Obama by 5.7 per cent. However, the cities and DC outskirts might tell a different story.
11.37am. Culpeper and Amherst counties in Viriginia swinging 5.1 and 1.8 per cent, against required swing of 8.3 per cent.
11.33am. Manatee County in Florida swinging 2.4 per cent to Democrat – statewide margin is 5.0 per cent.
11.26am. Double digit swings in more counties in Indiana (Clinton, Fayette), but Obama needs 20 per cent across the state.
11.21am. Chesterfield County in Virginia swings 8.9 per cent to Democrat with 94 per cent reporting – the statewide margin in 2004 was 8.2 per cent.
11.09am. Reasonably consistent swings in rural counties in Indiana of around 10 per cent – good, but well short of what Obama would need to win the state if consistent.
10.58am. Swing in Steuben County, Indiana with 68 per cent of precincts reporting is 8.9 per cent: well short of the 20 per cent needed to win the state.
10.52am. 69 per cent of precincts reporting in Vigo County, Indiana – Obama leads by 16 per cent. Bush carried it by 6.4 per cent in 2004 (I’ll be double-posting here on special occasions).
10am. Further efforts will be concentrated above.
4am AEDT. Rain and gusty winds in North Carolina, with rain extending into Virginia. Storms through the north-west, bringing snow to Nevada and Colorado. Weather otherwise very good: fine and warm in Florida and throughout the south, fine and mild through the north-east to the mid-west. You’ll next hear from me at around 9.30am AEDT.
| Obama | McCain | Sample | D-EV | R-EV | |
| Washington | 56.4 | 39.6 | 3322 | 11 | |
| Maine | 56.5 | 40.5 | 2185 | 4 | |
| Minnesota | 56.0 | 41.9 | 3270 | 10 | |
| Michigan | 56.3 | 42.3 | 3232 | 17 | |
| New Mexico | 57.0 | 43.2 | 3305 | 5 | |
| New Hampshire | 54.9 | 41.9 | 3900 | 4 | |
| Iowa | 54.1 | 41.6 | 3052 | 7 | |
| Wisconsin | 53.3 | 42.3 | 3003 | 10 | |
| Colorado | 54.8 | 44.7 | 3248 | 9 | |
| Pennsylvania | 53.0 | 43.3 | 5479 | 21 | |
| Nevada | 51.6 | 45.4 | 3168 | 5 | |
| Virginia | 51.9 | 45.8 | 3382 | 13 | |
| Ohio | 50.5 | 46.3 | 6490 | 20 | |
| Florida | 49.9 | 46.8 | 5381 | 27 | |
| North Dakota | 47.6 | 45.9 | 1706 | 3 | |
| Montana | 48.6 | 47.6 | 3934 | 3 | |
| Missouri | 49.8 | 48.8 | 3217 | 11 | |
| North Carolina | 50.0 | 49.3 | 5582 | 15 | |
| Indiana | 48.5 | 48.9 | 3834 | 11 | |
| Georgia | 47.8 | 50.1 | 3248 | 15 | |
| West Virginia | 43.9 | 54.3 | 3328 | 5 | |
| Others | - | - | - | 175 | 137 |
| RCP/Total | 51.9 | 44.4 | - | 370 | 168 |
1,508 Comments
I don’t think the weather is bad enough to save McCain
For those of us watching streaming tv on our computers, here’s the link to live coverage on MSNBC. When reporting of results starts later, reporting will be Keith Olbermann, Chuck Todd, Rachel Maddow, Chris Matthews, Chuck Todd et.al, which would be my “A Team”, especially Maddow.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/22887506#22887506
Does not appear to be live MSNBC at the moment.
Some early morning inspiration, particularly for my sister American, Julie, from Martin Luther King:
“In the End, we will remember not the words of our enemies, but the silence of our friends.”
No silence from our friends in here!
Going back to check out live blogs etc. at http://www.HuffingtonPost.com and http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com.
cya
jjulian do you have links to any of the Republican ones? Might be good for a laugh. Sometimes they’re fun to read so you can marvel at the way they think (almost like aliens)
Intrade is Obama at 92.7, up 1.4 from yesterday, and yes on MO at 59% to predict the Electoral Vote will be 364. Much higher EV guesstimate than mine.
Itep,
To be honest, it never entered my mine. Sorry I can’t be more “fair and balanced”. Oh, wait, how about FoxNews—they might have a website.
mind—sheesh!
Yep, http://www.foxnews.com/politics/
I was thinking more of political blogs, that’s where the real loons show up. Or are they unlikely to do live blogging?
jj, here now, I’ve been lost on other websites
…… also have the kids getting up shortly, I’m not doing TV at all until after I get them off to school as I promised them I wouldn’t interrupt their cartoons this morning …..
jj, I registered on the tpm site so I could comment on their live blog, comment with a time date stamp of 2pm on the blog …..
you will like this one if you didn’t see it on the other thread (didn’t realize for awhile that this thread was open now)
‘Onya Julie! That’s neato burrito.
Itep,
Red nation or something like that is what u want, I surmise.
Red Nation? As in communism?
Nice to see this coalition breaking up today
….
http://tinyurl.com/56uhsd
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com final prediction from Nate Silver is 353 EV, but NC only at 63%, so that would subtract 15 if it goes over to the dark side of the Force. His final probability of an Obama win is 99% with estimated margin of victory at 6%. I hope it is at or above Rudd’s 5.4% 2PP over Howard.
Itep and Julie: LOL for both of you!
Crikey! Red Nation is a native american website. I stuffed that one up.
http://www.princetonelection.edu/ Sam Wang’s final is Obama 352 with a Meta-margin of 6.28%.
jj, once the first returns are in, I will be in and out from the keyboard, mostly out. Since my tv and computer aren’t within visual distance of each other …. I will be making mad dashes back and forth, lightning raids as it were to the desktop computer …. rotten timing for the laptop to have crashed on Saturday morning
….. I can hear the TV from where I am at present (if it were on) but I can’t see it.
jj, will try again, wanted to remind you that I wouldn’t be on live with blogging here (once returns start coming in) but only quick dashes to the computer as my laptop died last Saturday. I can hear the TV from where I am at the moment but I can’t “see it”. So if I go silent at times, I haven’t disappeared …. { trying again as a previous attempt at this message with different words was caught up in the spam filter }
My liveblogging thread is open now, I’ve also put up a results prediction thread, so if you wanna get in on it before the first exit polls come out in just under 2 1/2 hours, do it now. And people might be interested in this hour-by-hour guide to reading the returns from Slate: http://www.slate.com/id/2203657
to borrow one of your words, jj, jeepers …. this is my 3rd try at this message …..
I will be watching TV once 10am rolls around and won’t be at the computer much. The only computer I have today is my desktop and it is not in the same room as the television.
{William cancel the other two attempts at this message please thanks}
http://www.pollster.com Mark Blumenthal’s perhaps final prediction is Tossups 105, Obama 291, McCain 142. The non-tossups for Obama are Kerry’s plus IA, NM, CO, NV and VA.
Good luck, Julie.
I won’t be in here much after 10 either due to the same location problem. Again, mucho thanks for all the time spent setting up the EV contest. I hope yours is a whole lot closer to the result than mine
did you see the live countscreen on the main page of theTPM website?
…. that will keep me in touch when I’m in this room 
…..
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/
Yep, Julie, been there and will be catching Josh Marshall often as I do the Grand Tour around my favourite sites. :>)
do either of you, ltep or jj, know what this little piece is called?
“little piece” = the connector for 2 ends of telephone “cord” { that thing that goes into the phone jack at the wall on one end and your phone on the other end }.
I have 2 sections of it and I want to make my phone reach from point a to point b. Neither piece is long enough on its own but together they will work. I know that you can purchase a piece (its a little squarish block about the size of an egg or even smaller) that connects two of those “clippie” ends one on each side, my husband has purchased them before but I dont’ have any in the house at the moment.
I just don’t know what they are called and I’m wondering if Coles would have it? I’m trying to stretch my phone into the room with the TV. Else, I will be out of the TV room when talking to US relatives today …..
ltep,
If you’re looking for Republican blogs; I’d look no further than RedState.com.
Juliem @ 28
I don’t know about Coles. My first shot would be Dick Smith’s. I suggest you give them a call before you go.
another voting experience story from MD this time …
thanks boer war …. there’s a DS in Tuggeranong and I can get there in about 15 minutes, door to door including parking. If I drop my kids off at school at 8:30 I ought to be able to get there and back before 10am
…..
28
juliem, it is called a RJ-11.
What’s the best site for realtime updates (automatically refreshing)?
I’m using http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/feature/splash/1,9199,5018332,00.html at the moment and leaving it in the background, but I don’t know if it automatically updates itself. Looks pretty cool though.
A paper looking at the possible implications from the results of the first voting states:
http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/unpublished/electionnight.pdf
The figures at the end (particuarly Figure 2) are quite informative.
Sorry, guys, lost the link to this, but it comes from a US site:
‘As she waited for her beverages, a local reporter asked the governor how she envisions her role in national politics if McCain loses the election. Palin did not hesitate to muse about a future that might not include being vice president come January.
“You know, if there is a role in national politics it won’t be so much partisan,” she said. “My efforts have always been here in the state of Alaska to get everybody to unite and work together and progress this state.”
“It would certainly be a uniter type of role,” she added.
Asked if she had any regrets about the campaign, Palin bemoaned “the state of journalism today.”
“The blogosphere, the two, three hour news cycles, where just too much is reported based on gossip and innuendo and things taken out of context,” she explained, adding that she’d like to help improve the profession because she has “great respect for the world of journalism.”
OK, so, post losing the election, the Palin Strategy combines ‘The Great Uniter’ with ‘It was the fault of the media.’ It would be interesting to see how she thinks she is going to ‘improve the profession.’
“My efforts have always been here in the state of Alaska to get everybody to unite and work together and progress this state.”
That is apart from gay people, pro-choice, liberals etc. etc.
I see conservative blogs seem to be solely obsessed with ‘voter fraud’. Where does this insane paranoia come from?
‘Man of the Year’ (2006)…classical political flick and takes the pun out of both sides.
Just hours to go before we have a….
President Barack Obama
or
President John McCain
ltep – the fact that voting machines are already malfunctioning?
President John McCain? Oh Glen, at least you’re good for a laugh.
Thanks for the blog Al.
So far I love the blog “McCain touts “alien” endorsement” and this line in their open thread: “Tell us about any irregularities. Give us your best “why the polls are wrong” explanation.”
I think we can all feel sorry for this baby: http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_wMi6lvECISc/SRBsJyue93I/AAAAAAAAA-U/iuob3i3vWeY/s1600-h/1025081123a-731243.jpg
bob1234, I don’t see how hard it can be to create a voting machine. Couldn’t it be done similar to an ATM?
Bob1234 i did put Obama on top…
ltep, well Diebold do make voting machines and ATMs, so yeah it shouldn’t be that hard.
We could go in to the whole Republican/Diebold story, but I really can’t be bothered. Google it for any interested.
Glen @ 38
That would be President-elect Obama or President-elect McCain?
I suspect they actually get the job in January. But here is a serious question: Given the number of armed fruitcakes in the US, and given the state of McCain’s health, what happens if the president-elect dies before taking up the job?
Heres a web-site worth a look at for the vote coun – state by state, county by county!
http://politicalwire.com/aggregator/electionresults.html
Hi gang, what a wonderful day. Obama winning in a MASSIVE LANDSLIDE. All the so called experts still in the river in Egypt. DE NILE.
What a wonderful day. YES! YES! YES!
Hi Glen, still living in the past as usual.
President-elect Sarah Palin
Obama 400 plus seats in the house 60 seats plus in the senate. Isn’t it a great day!
Ok Glen I actually honestly laughed at that. Good one.
This is the death of Reaganomics, Thatcherism and Johnny Who?
Such a great day for freedom and democracy. Just great to see the A… End of George Bush.
So where are the Three Amigos, those giants of political wisdom?
Ron Paul’s going to win through write-in.
Hi Oz.
lol i laughed real hard at that one Oz lol!
bob
As someone in the US said, how come Diebold’s ATMs never overpay you when you get cash but they can’t make a voting machine?
http://au.youtube.com/watch?v=1aBaX9GPSaQ
“As someone in the US said, how come Diebold’s ATMs never overpay you”
All ATMs of all types have malfunctions which can underpay and overpay.
One Nation Under a Groove, gettin’ down just for the funk of it…
Most prediction sites are saying 353. I hope Obama gets to 359, because that’s my official landslide benchmark.
I’ve had one underpay, but never over pay!
Apparently it had run out of $20 notes mid-way through the transaction.
I just don’t understand how these systems couldn’t have been developed years ago and fully bug tested. Surely it’s not that hard. Press one button and then submit. I’d imagine even a basic programmer could manage it.
Exit poll predictions?
I think OBama 50 – McCain 45.
Does anyone know what the exit polls are?
Do you mean how they are done?
In answer to a question above: if the winning candidate dies between polling day and when the Electoral College meets in January, the EC will simply elect someone else – EC members are not legally bound to vote for any candidate. They would probably elect the VP candidate, but not necessarily. If the President-designate dies between the sitting of the EC and the inauguration, the VP-designate will be sworn in for the full term. In 1872 Horace Greeley, the defeated Dem candidate, died soon after the election. The Dem members of the EC voted for Thomas Hendricks, his VP candidate.
No – the numbers.
Classic
(Homer enters voting booth)
Homer: Oooh, one of those electronic voting dealies!
(Homer touches the box for Obama)
Machine: Beep! One vote for McCain. Thank you.
Homer: Hee, hee, hee. Nooo, I want to vote for Obama.
Machine: Beep! Two votes for McCain.
Homer: Huh!? Come on, it’s time for a change.
Machine: Beep! Three votes for McCain.
Homer: No, No, No!
Machine: Beep, Beep, Beep! Six votes for President McCain.
Homer: Hey, I only meant one of those votes for McCain…Wait a minute, this machine is rigged!
(Here the machine opens up, tries to suck Homer inside)
Must…tell…President…McCain…
This doesn’t happen in America. Maybe Ohio, but not in America!
Aargh! Aargh!
(Machine swallows Homer, then spits him out.)
http://www.wvpubcast.org/newsarticle.aspx?id=5588
From new episode of the Simpsons
The Simpsons hasn’t been funny for a long time.
Well there is civilised life in Brisbane. There is a group of Democrats Abroad, including a former philosophy lecturer I know of (Roger Lamb) meeting at a Brisbane pub to watch the election. What an excellent idea
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/news/queensland/brisbane-obama-supporters-confident/2008/11/04/1225560793685.html
Adam @ 59
Thank you. It is a scary thought.
According to Drudge Report exit polls to be released at 5:15 PM ET.
In other words very soon.
http://www.drudgereport.com/
Does anybody know a link to the ‘Jeremia Wright’ ads in Pennsylvania?
Ok, I travelling well today
…..
60 minutes RT
1. kids to school – check
2. ATM – check
3. Gloria Jeans coffee – check
4. bakery – sugar and chocolate – check
5. Dick Smith’s for the part I need for my phone to extend it to the next room – check
6. post office to post 3 ebay auctions outbound – check
7. phone piece plugged in and working – check
8. wrote down phone numbers for parents and brother so I don’t have to worry about remembering them under the influence this afternoon – check
9. catching up on PB here before 10am – check
10. Obama win – priceless
Voting machines election one of their own President:
http://www.theonion.com/content/video/voting_machines_elect_one_of
Fox is reporting that exit polls show that 10 percent of all voters are new voters. According to CNN, the number in 2004 was 11 percent.
Of course an explanation to that could be that a larger number of new voters have voted early.
Good to hear Julie
By the way, if it’s a modern phone connector it’s called an RJ12 connector
CNN reporting first time voters went for Obama 72%
Many comments have just been unlocked from moderation.
Not that surprising given that most young people vote left early on.
Boerwar @ 76,
http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/11/the-wright-card.html
exit polls …
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/11/04/exit-polls-2008-see-the-f_n_140986.html
Not all the first time voters would be young, they have voluntary attendance remember.
Early exit polls showing tight margins in key states:
http://gawker.com/5076425/state-exit-poll-numbers-are-tighter-than-recent-polling
Drudge is claiming that exit polls are showing a big lead to Obama, with +15 in PA. No links from him yet though.
That is true ShowsOn, interesting to see how strong the youth vote is for Obama.
juliem, where are you getting those amazing stories from?
No details on that poll at all… where did it come from? how many respondents?
CNN reports that McCain is robocalling IN SPANISH Florida households to tell that that Fidel Castro has given his endorsement of Barack Obama ….
losers ……….
The excitment begins…
TPM website, they have a “live blogging link” where voters can email in their voting stories on the day …. I’ve closed that site down for the moment as after 10am will be more at the TV than here, will just check in here a coupld of times an hour, but you can load it up and find more stories there ….
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/
they have a nice live updates map on the right hand side of the main page too
Give me NUMBERS!
katastic
5:40 PM
Oh my God. I’m going to vomit.
http://gawker.com/5076425/state-exit-poll-numbers-are-tighter-than-recent-polling
I hope no pollbludgers would take exit polls as seriously as this Obama supporter lol.
Screw studying, I’m too tense.
David Walsh @ 85
Thank you. Phew.
MORE DATA.
Itep @ 9
I think the pollsters have factored in the early voters by sampling them as well. I don’t know the details.
Oz @ 98, EXACTLY ……
CNN exit polls have the Economy as top issue at 62%, Iraq 10%, Terrorism 9%, Health Care 9%, Energy 7%
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/11/04/1634499.aspx
Lots of machines breaking down in Pennsylvania and Virginia. Woo, democracy.
I’m not studying either…
You’d imagine McCain would want to be comfortably in front in most states in the ‘on-the-day’ polling to counter the pre-poll votes.
Polls are closing now in parts of IN and KY. If Mitch McConnell loses in KY it will be a GOP wipeout.
CNN exit poll
62% rate Economy as top issue
The state of the economy:
93% Not good/poor
6% Excellent/poor
Who will raise taxes:
70% Obama
61% McCain
sorry… above is 6% Excellent/Good
Who are these 6% of people?
Repo men
Kang and Kodos have endorsed McCain, just as they did Bob Dole in 96. Perhaps Obama can robocall registered republicans to warn of the danger?
It will be a GOP wipeout no matter what happens to McConnell
@110
Insolvency administrators?
who are kang and kodos?
Aliens in the Simpsons Adam
John Jackson and Jack Johnson
ah popular culture *mutters darkly*
who have beavis and butthead endorsed?
From Drudge (no links or actual figures)
Also reported is that 16% of Hillary Clinton supporters voted McCain
Itep @ 120
Passive tense… where reported and by whom?
McCain up 59-40 in early Kentucky numbers
Dario 2 122 Help, pulease… link?
signed
desperate
Adam:
You don’t watch the Simpsons?
It’s been shown in Australia since February 1991
That’s just…. oh wow!
It also hasn’t been funny since the mid-late 90s
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/full/#val=P
boerwar,
indiana and kentucky #’s (as well as others throughout the evening US time) are on a ticker at the bottom of the CNN screen …. so while they might not CALL a state, you will always be able to see the raw numbers a la the ticker on Fox Sports News …..
imagine that the cnn website (www.cnn.com) probably has the same thing? if you’ve got the net connection, open another browser window? Cheers
Obama leads 57-42 in Indiana with 1% of precincts reporting
IN
57-42 to Obama with 1% counted
I have watched the simpsons at various times in the past. I can sing Big Gay Al’s song, and also Kyle’s Mom is a B*tch. but i gave up on TV several years ago and no longer own one.
god i hate wolf blitzer. where is antony green when he need him?
thanks guys
adam where are you watching this if you don’t have a tv anymore?
Adam @ 130
Snap on the TV ownership. No car either.
Very liberating, except for the footie…
CNN exit poll had voters earning $100k+ voting Obama 52-47
don’t know where antony is, for that matter, where possum is either …. if either one or both of you guys are lurking today, speak up
……
there is a TV in my office.
Indianna down to 55/45
that will change when the precincts in Gary close at 7pm
More unconfirmed exit polls from huffpost (”These head to head exit polls just were sent to the Huffington Post by a Democratic source. These are traditionally unreliable…”):
Fl – 52%-44% to Obama
In – 52-48%
Oh 54-45%
NC – 52% – 48%
Mo – 52% – 48%
Pa – 57 – 42%
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/11/04/exit-polls-2008-see-the-f_n_140986.html
Go 51-47% to Mccain
possum would presumably be telling us by now that Obama is about to win Kooyong.
Exit polls:
Late deciders
Indiana 52 Obama 45 McCain
Ohio 54 Obama 39 McCain
Virginia 44 Obama 55 McCain
New voters all swung to Obama
72% Obama; 27% McCain
Early votes Kentucky:
62/37 (McCain)
Indiana now 52/47
mccain is pulling 62% in KY and mcconnell is only pulling 54% suggests that the Repub. aren’t voting straight party tickets and by the end of the evening mcconnell might be in danger glen ….
(cnn ticker at the bottom of the screen)
Just got back from seeing Mercury Rev live at Mandela Hall, Queen’s University, Belfast. They commented they would not be returning to the US if Obama lost
, and that it was great to be among friends on such a special night….
It should be noted that earlier precincts reporting are usually rural precincts which tend to favour Republicans
Obama now 50-49 in Indiana.
McCain 62-37 in Kentucky.
Glen, KY update – mccain 68% mcconnell 58%
CNN exit polls report that white evangelicals voted McCain 72-26 (Bush got 78)
The historical pattern in the US is that small rural precincts in the east come in first, followed shortly after by a flood of big-city precincts. So you get an early Republican wave, followed by a Democrat tsunami. Then the small-and-medium-city vote, particularly from the farm and mountain states, comes in, and drags the total back towards the Republicans.
I know this question has been asked a billion times, but what’s an easy to read, simple, online electoral map?
Make that 68/31 in Kentucky
MSNBC have a good one on their front page. Updating regularly.
Thanks, injuddstree.
Indiana is looking better for McCain atm, but who can tell so early on.
Wait till Indianapolis and Gary come in after 11am.
True that Adam.
@151 or you can try the NYT map, which has a little more details on the hover…
http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/president/map.html
Indiana is irrelevant to who actually wins. The election is not going to be decided there. VA, PA, OH, FL and CO are the important ones.
Est. 75% turnout in Virginia (according to AP)
Kentucky in to 51/48
KY Senate 9% counted – Dem 51% Rep 49% ….
trends are moving the wrong way at the moment for you Glen ….
At the MSNBC site, you can click on the map, and see a county map of each state, showing which counties are in and who they voted for.
It’s early days.
Just read this amusing comment on another blog:
“If McCain wins he’ll know it was Sarah and Joe the Plumber who got him over the line”
160, I saw #’s on another website earlier today that said 90% or better in CT .. heavy turnout everywhere
….. heavy turnout never favors the incumbent or his party
The Repugs have told MSNBC that Dole has lost NC. You beauty!! The Repugs have called NC an Obama tsunami.
Msnbc …. first use of the words ‘Obama tsunami’ in relation to North Carolina
New Hampshire 66/33. Guess which way.
Oz that’s based on about 60 votes isn’t it?
If you look at the map of Indiana, you can see that none of the urban counties are reporting yet. McCain should be a long way ahead on the rural vote. If he’s not he will lose when the urban vote comes in. Indianapolis is a heavily Dem city, with a black congresswoman.
More like 40 ltep, hah.
the nbc map seems to be ahead of the NY Times one
ha ha …. republican strategists are on CNN blaming the empty checkbook that they were working with for the poor results they are seeing … “if only we had more money …..” … yeah, right
…. all that would have resulted in would have been more robo-calls 
ltep
If Obama wins I think Sarah will have helped get him over the line too! Strange girl.
Boerwar
The phrase “Obama tsunami” was SMSed to them by a Repug staffer.
ROFL Peter van Onselen on Channel 9.
Go write a book.
CNN calls
Vermont for Obama
Kentucky for McCain
KY called for McCain!
And we’re under way…
MSNBC just called Kentucky for Mccain.
KY called for McCain and Vermont for Obama by MSNBC
Oh, and Vermont for Obama, as Dario says…
Oh, and 38 votes the difference in Indianna with 4% reporting!
ABC (USA) did the same.
OK, I think we’re on top of states being called
Lunsford is leading the KY Senate race with 9% reporting.
Indiana very tight after 4%
The Dems are also leading in KY-2, an open Repub district in rural KY.
CNN calls Mark Warner as winner
Indiana very very close with mainly rural precincts counted so far.
…of Virginia Senate race that is
Warner is winner in VA; bodes WELL for Obama although the Presidential race not called yet ….
But as KY is proving, voters can split their ballots. It seems quite possible that KY will vote for McCain but give the Dems the Senate seat.
McCain goes into the lead in Indiana.
There’s 1000 votes in it in Indiana
Did anyone expect Obama to win Kentucky?
Who’s watching Fox News for the laughs?
Wow ABC calling SC for Obama.
McCain pulling further ahead in Indiana
Obama back ahead in Indiana 50-49 by 3,500 votes, 7% of precincts
From 538:
Virginia results trickling in..
Oz @ 198 …… COOOOOL
…… expect then for CNN to not be far behind 
No way! That has been rock solid for McCain.
Virginia 1% counted, Obama leads 55-44
It’s all over if McCain can’t win there.
Must be a uni town.
If Obama can win in Indiana and Virginia surely thats enough, given the polls elsewhere? He’d then only need CO and NV.
22% black turnout in VA. Compared with 21% in 2004.
and Florida…
is that US ABC or our ABC?
Surely not…
VA going McCain with 1% counted
and that’s MCCain 55-44 in Virginia… and leading 53-47 in Florida, too early to be meaningfyl of course…
McCain 55-45 in VA
Indiana is going to go down to the wire, literally
Wolf Blitzer is beaming people into the studio!
MSNBC has McCain ahead in VA, on very early figures from rural areas.
OMG, now they are using holograms of reporters on CNN
US ABC, Adam.
They didn’t give figures though.
what does “down to the wire” mean, literally?
Unless McCain wins New York and California…
CNN must have had those early VA numbers backwards
Down to the wire means it won’t be called for a while.
what does “down to the wire” mean, literally?
Well, where the wire is… down there…
CNN is talking about how they are filming their coverage.
BORING!
Something to do with a telegraph wire?
Early Florida McCain 54-46
No, that’s what it means figuratively. What does it mean literally?
Indiana 9% counted McCain 50-49, leads by 2k votes
Origins of down to the wire:
American racetracks in the latter part of the nineteenth century — before the days of cameras — had a wire strung across the track above the finishing line to help stewards decide which nose had got across the line first.
The IN figures now include South Bend (Obama 64%), but not Indianapolis or Gary.
http://www.goenglish.com/DownToTheWire.asp
Wire = finish line, apparently.
McCain now ahead by 2,500 in Indiana and 6,500 in Florida
I think when they used to have a wire stretched across the course finish line in horse racing
Thanks Itep. What does “under the pump” mean?
lol_ 199 or 200 (which one to choose)
McCain pulling further ahead in Florida
McCain now 10,500 ahead in Florida 54-46
Wtf every network is using real figures and Channel 9 is still “Exit polls”.
Adam
I think it’s from horse racing as in a wire across the finish line. Or it could be a garotting in this context.
I’ll believe SC when I see it, and probably not even then
Adam, stfu.
Regarding idioms, not SC.
McCain now almost 5,000 votes in front in Indianna
The votes in FL are all from small rural GOP counties.
GA early results in…
Oz – http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/feature/splash/1,9199,5018332,00.html
McCain 10,000 in front in IN now!
When will the socialist counties start reporting?
McCain pulling away in Indianna, now almost 10,000 votes in the lead
Given that they haven’t even started reporting results there, I reckon its BS
Yes in horse racing they still have a wire above the finish line with photos taken from above so that the line can be seen in relation to the horse.
The same is true in VA, these figures are from three rural counties. The Dem vote is in the DC suburbs and the black areas along the coast.
Wat do we think, McCain doing well enough in Indiana to at least hold there??
Rural precincts reporting first remember
Looks like he will hold VA
Sorry, IN
Then surely ALL races go “down to the wire”, not just close ones?
Waaaaaaaaay to early to say that
2072.
Adam. Yes.
Holy crap, McCain won Indianapolis.
No, because if it isn’t close then you didn’t need the wire to tell who won
WOW! The Socialist-Democratic strong holds haven’t even reported in Indiana.
OBAMA 40,000 AHEAD IN FL?!?!
Only 2% of precincts are reporting from Indianapolis. Keep calm.
But they haven’t completed the race until the wire is reached… anyway, let’s stop that
Early days but McCain should be leading early so that is surprising
Thats right; they used to only take a photo if a horse race was close. If not the wire didn’t matter.
Yeah SC is definitely McCain, ABC must’ve been on crack.
Wow – CNN just showed how well Obama is doing in Indiana in comparison with 2004. Looks promising as lots of numbers to come from ‘blue’ areas yet.
Yeah, and the term “ground game” is now officially banned.
Wolf Blitzer just announced the time.
@263 It’ll take a while longer for results to come out of Indianapolis. Population of 1 milion, dont know how many voters
Yeah Wolf Blitzer said the numbers are wrong.
I’d be thinking Indianna is a tough ask.
IN is looking very good. Obama is outperforming Kerry by about 10% in the counties that are in so far.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/indiana.html
I’d forgotten how repulsive Graham Richardson is on Ch 9.
Exit polls for Ohio look promising for Obama.
They need Antony Green there to measure the county by county swings!
All votes are counted at precinct level. A precinct is about 1000 voters. They are then aggregated to county level. A county can have 10,000 voters or a million voters. So votes will be trickling in from precints into county centres, and small counties will report first.
The numbers in Florida so far look good, 330k obama, 220k mccain, though with only 2% reporting…
James Carville says that if Obama wins, he wins, but if he loses, he loses.
I think exit polls at state levels are pretty unreliable
Anyone explained Florida yet?
No arguing, the man is a genius. An alien-looking genius.
Totally, but that wasn’t his most insightful piece of work.
No but the numbers have been updated to Obama 57-43 after 2%
Obama 57% in Florida.
150,000 votes ahead. Wow.
57 to 43 to Obama in Florida!?
McConnell is now ahead in the KY Senate race.
National vote after 1% has Obama 51-48
Why can’t CNN get holograms of Obama and McCain in the studio at hte same time?
Is he the minority leader?
Florida should be kicked out the US. They clearly don’t know how to hold an election.
Obama well ahead in Florida – how much do the early numbers reflect the voters who voted early?
Obama leads 53-46 in SC after 15k votes lol
Obama cannot be that far ahead in FL on the counties that have reported so far. No votes from the Miami area at all!
MSNBC have also awarded 3 Senate seats (Dem 2 Rep 1) so far. Any surprises there? Do these represent gains or just return of safe seats?
Just checked FixedNews – Britt Hume (I think) seems to have a ‘gloomy look’ face or is it just that he always looks like that.
1 Dem gain I believe
On early results Obama ahead in North and South Carolina
BH @ 299,
Both
…….
Florida Obama 55-45 after 4%
7% increase in white evangelicals in Indiana compared to 2004.
The VA Senate seat has been given to the Dems. The other two are presumably KY (GOP head) and NC (GOP ahead on very early figures)
IN looking really good. Obama holding well before most of the “blue” areas have been counted. Both Betfair and Intrade have moved Indiana to Obama with about a 66% chance of a win.
South Carolina called for McCain ion MSNBC
MSNBC calls SC for McCain
I think the SC vote is coming from rural black areas. In SC the white republicans live in the cities like Charleston and Spartanville.
Apparently 1/3 of voters in Indiana who voted for the Republican Senator voted for Obama for President.
Very interesting
Except there’s no Senate race in IN
Fox calls WV for McCain
CNN has Obama 350 000 ahead in Florida. Should early returns be favouring the Democrat?
West Virginia reportedly called for MCCain.
I meant Governor.
No.
probably was meant to be the gov. race in IN
Adam 2 298
CNN gives: 1,294,042, 58% to Obama and 942,474, 42% to McCain.
Might be the pre-poll votes?
Dio,
are you channel switching? Fox supports the red states LOL ….
Vote blowing out in Florida
Early votes in from NH on CNN. Obama ahead by 3000 with 3% reporting
There’s some pretty silly stuff. SC called for McCain despite being behind 43-55 with 0% counted. Lots of the calls are on exit polls.
I don’t know whether the prepolls are now being fed into these figures.
What did they learn from 2000!?
Obama almost 100,000 votes in front in North Carolina
McCain 50 000 ahead in Virginia, but it seems only the real America distrcits are reporting at this stage.
I wonder how surreal America will vote.
Has CNN called Florida for OBama!?
MSNBC just broke.
Now CNN calls S.C. for McCain, even though he is currently losing.
How one earth is CNN calling south carolina based on 1% of the vote?
No.
Wolf Blitzer asks Anderson Cooper to make him a gin & tonic.
14% counted in FL and Obama leads 56-44… that is an ominous lead
The don’t just “call it” when it’s beyond any doubt. That’s why they get it wrong sometimes.
Shows
CNN are projecting based on current figures in
The problem is their projections are based on 2004 data lol
I’m switching channels – just heard Rove (urggghhh!) saying that Obama is doing better and is far ahead in bigger counties and McCain is doing better than expected but in smaller counties – do you think he is suggesting Obama will win Florida, Juliem?
Exit polls. And maybe comparing with Kerry / Bush.
MSNBC calls PA for Obama
PA called for Obama!
Beware Florida, very few results in from the north of the state.
MSNBC calls PA for Obama!
ABC gives PA and New Hampshire to Obama.
All the 8pm closing expected states now called for the respective candidates. No real surprises.
PA already??? It’s all over then…
NH to Obama MSNBC
CNN not calling PA
No 339
I think I’d wait for real votes.
Yes, quite – DC, Illinois…
EV total on CNN to date including states just called at the top of the hour
77 Obama
34 McCain
Chris Matthews calls the election for Obama. Says Obama winning Pennsylviana is “the second battle of Gettysburg”. LOL!
Chris Matthews declares his candidancy for the Democratic Pensylviania primary for 2012
103 / 34 Obama’s way on MSNBC
Is that it? Pennsylvania for Obama, and with it, the election?
EV 133-34 on MSNBC
McCain now ahead in SC
It’s not over until FL, OH, IN or VA are called. Then it’s over.
What is going on South Carolina is called for McClane, but Obama has more votes
BH @ 338, not sure … what channel are you watching? You said “Rove”, does that mean you are on Fox?
Rove was reported earlier on HP in one article as saying Obama would walk away with it today ….
sorry 103-34
Put down your glasses, all
PA’s only been called on exit polls btw.
It’s idiotic to call a state based on exit polls, no matter what they say.
No 363
I agree. It is the height of arrogance to do such a thing and looks more like a race between the media outlets as to who can call the state first.
That’s why CNN says they aren’t calling it.
ShowsOn,
glad to hear it (#353) but I’m hanging on CNN as I need to get their count for my head count on our EV contest
….
Seems to me that CNN is going the same way but is a bit slower about it … I Don’t mind that at all because then I know what I am waiting for LOL ….
I’ll read what MSNBC are calling and then wait for CNN to do the same
It’s true that the FL panhandle hasn’t reported yet, but Obama is leading in Orlando and St Petersburg, which are GOP towns. You’d think he’ll win FL from here. Note also Obama’s 75% in Broward – the Jews stuck with Obama despite Lieberman’s defection.
Dio @ 357,
The Fat Lady is warming up with Obama getting PA
…..
The senate race is also up to Dem 7 Rep 3 on MSNBC – surely there is more than 1 Dem gain involved?
I reckon FL has gone blue. That is just too big a lead after 20% and in counties that Bush won as well.
He hasn’t gotten it.
Early counting in Ohio: Obama 69/30
Who’s Lieberman?
Obama ahead in Texas according to NYT
No, still just the 1 I think
LOL! No way. Must be the socialist counties.
Surely you jest
We should remember in Florida that there are big conservative urban blocks in the Cuban areas of Miami etc that might come in late. Still I agree Dario – a 400,000 lead is a pretty good start.
No 374
I assume that will be Austin
That’s because of Dallas, I presume.
Formerly Dem leaning independent Senator
*Laughs at the idea of socialists in Texas*
Apparently Hispanics are breaking 55/45 for Obama in Florida, so the Cuban areas might not save Mccain.
No 377
Check the website yourself.
Obama way ahead in Ohio, but the areas in favour him, I think…
The Pollster site tells you which news organisations have called which state. Only ABC and NBC have called PA, I’ll wait for the other four or at least three.
CNN has been showing the counties that have come in and they are all heavily for Obama after being solid Bush counties from 4 years ago
He was Gore’s VP candidate in 2000, now campaigning for McCain. But he doesn’t seem to have had much effect on the Jewish vote. Obama’s speech at AIPAC was well-received.
In Fla, Osceola County Obama up 54-46, this was a Rep county last time…
That’s becuase he is irrelevent, hence my comment.
Maybe these big Dem surges in the early figures are the prepolls being fed into the system. It would be good to know how many of the votes being reported are actually “Tuesday votes” and how many are prepolls.
Obama over 120,000 votes ahead in Texas according to NYT update.
Juliem – I am switching between CNN, Skye News & Fox just to see results. Computer in study, away from TV, so I am wearing out the carpet a lot going back and fro.
Karl Rove on Fox – heard him yesterday calling it for Obama but earlier this a.m. he was saying McCain was picking up and was confident, so a surprise to hear him virtually calling it for Obama in Florida. He said that the McCain vote is better than Bush’s but it is in small counties – Obama is much further ahead than expected in the bigger counties. Sounded good for Obama
Sununu loses
Biden wins his Senate seat again!
He’s only ahead in Texas because two of the biggest cities have come. Virtually every other county will be Republican. Obama won’t win Texas.
What is the URL for the CNN webpage with results (not video feed)?
NH is a Dem sweep. It’s only a decade since NH was rock-solid GOP.
DAMN! I wanted him to set up a ranch there!
Oz @ 371,
You picked McCain, you’re biased
…. I’ll go with MSNBC 
Florida narrows slightly, but Obama still looks good.
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/
If texas votes Obama, there is not going to be a fat enough “Fat Lady”
Obama is leading in ME by 2 votes to 1. A small sample indeed.
MSNBC = Exit polls.
I’ll wait for actual votes.
Socrates
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/president/
WHAT! Obama up by 17% in North Carolina?
LOL, also according to NYT, Obama ahead in Maine. Current counting: Obama 2 votes; McCain 1 vote.
and up about 84% in Alabama
Virginia surprising, McCain 55-42 after 31%
Wolf Blitzer asks Anderson Cooper for a Vodka-Tonic.
It’s not true that all of rural TX votes GOP. The southern third of the state is solidly Hispanic and Dem. Austin, El Paso and San Antonio are heavily Dem. The GOP strength is in the cowboy west and north and the cotton counties in the east.
No 410
Yep. Considering that Obama expected an easy win there.
ShowsOn are you in some kind of alternate universe?
I got Wolf talking to Axelrod right now.
If you get the chance check out mccains campaign room on CNN
they know the truth
What the heck is going on in Virginia?
Obama still ahead in Texas by 80,000.
MYEFO released!
Surplus slashed from $21 billion now down to $5.4 billion.
Oh, Oh, Florida ballots in doubt again…They had a bizarre ballot where you had to colour in the bit between two shapes to make an arrow to point to your preferred candidate! Legal eagles are drooling at the thought of a re-run…
NYT has early OH returns at 65.3% for Obama and 33.5% to McCain. Montgomery county (SW near the IN border, one county on the border with PA and multiple counties on Lake Erie. Columbus not in yet …..
Well 3 of the strongest Democratic areas have come in and there’s huge conservative swathes that haven’t.
2% GDP growth of Aus, woo.
No 418
Given how much money is about to flow into the economy thanks to a spending spree and a 2% interest rate cut, I think that outlook is slightly pessimistic.
Hagan Beats Dole in North Carolina
Kay Hagan takes another Senate seat for Dems.
Score one for the Godless American Sunday school teacher.
This is the third Democratic Senate pickup of the night; Warner (VA), Shaheen (NH), and Hagan (NC).
CNN gives only a 1% difference between total national votes between Obama (50%) and McCain (49%).
CNN calls NH for Obama
MSNBC has called PA for Obama
Well $10b of that was already known… I think 5.4 isnt too bad considering
ABC America calls Alabama for McCain. Arkansas also McCain.
Alabama projected for McCain
Is she in the Atheist-Socialist party?
Where does Soledad’s accent come from?
Dole loses senate seat.
Didn’t they call PA for Obama ages ago based on nothing?
Didn’t they do that half an hour ago? Still no real votes.
Any news on Joe the Plumber? (I hope he remembered to vote!)
McConnell only up by 2%
McCain takes the lead in Texas. Bad luck, GP.
Irish-Australian Dad, African American mum.
Georgia called for McCain by msnbc
No 438
Rejoice. I’m barracking for McCain anyway.
florida tight 52-48, been trending mccain since the start, hope BHO pulls through
CNN gives PA to Obama
MSNBC did that half hour ago!
Western Florida hasn’t come through yet. Is that Dem or Repub?
NC not looking good for McCain, with Obama leading 56-44 after 12% counted
McCain leads popula count…
Yes, CNN is being cautious
popular… overall.
In fact, not a single state has flipped either way yet. Lots of excitement and noise but nothing important.
PA is 66% Obama but that’s with Philadelphia in.
MSNBC has called the NC Senate race for Hagan.
It’s definitely not the looking like the easy win some were predicting.
Not sure how you can say that… no swing states have been called either way other than PA
No 451
But only 12,000 votes have been counted – how can they declare it either way. Ridiculous.
Overwhelming exit polls it would seem
Apparently even Fox has called Pennsylviana for Obama.
I don’t get it either, three networks have called it based on those figures and exit polls.
and its not really a swing state
Margin in FL drops from 250K to 150K
Obama is leading in countes 55/45 that Bush won by similar margins.
So they are extrapolating from that Antony Green style.
Well, they’ve called heaps of other states without getting any votes based on just exit polls, so clearly PA was in the same boat
No 458
It looks far too much like a race to call the states between the networks. Self-serving nonsense. Let’s wait for some figures – heck, imagine the outrage if seats in Australian elections were called by the networks based on less than 1% of the votes!
The difference being none of those were swing states.
Is it just me, or does it look like Florida is coming home for ‘Bama?
Further narrowing in Florida.
I’m calling it for Obama.
Enjoy the day Democratic Folks.
North Carolina tightening
Carville almost conceding McConnell’s seat senate seat back to the Repubs
Cheers Glen
Sure, call PA on 0% but don’t call VA when McCain is 10% ahead after 43% voted. Weird.
No 471
I reckon. Very bizarre.
Make that 5% ahead Oz
Have the results come in from the anti-American parts?
Not if exit polls say PA to Obama by 12% and they say 50-50 in VA
hahaha not yet I think…
Early votes, Missouri – McCain 58/40
5%
btw he’s only 5% ahead after 50% counted
Exit polls are a rort.
It’s probably heavily republican areas in VA that have come in, and now it’s evening up.
And lots of Obama areas outstanding..
CNN’s exit polls in Virginia put Obama on about 55% from what I can see, which is why nobody is in a rush to call it I’m guessing. They also put him on around 53% in Missouri, which I really didn’t expect him to win.
Re 482,
yeah, on MO, if you look at the NYT map, the only Dem. county reporting is the Kansas City one on the western border ……
The big close coming up…
Which is why exit polls should be ignored and states only called once it is clear someone has won on the actual vote.
Virginia has probably been dominated by the more conservative rural areas.
In the Senate, the race in Kentucky looks extremely close, while it’s worth looking at Texas. The Democrat is trailing 50-48 with 2% counted.
Polls now closing in much of the west.
not if the lead is massive
MI for Obama/and MN
Then there’d be nothing to distinguish the networks!
Remember, they’re competing for 260 million views. That’s a lot of money. It’s also a bit dodgy if you accept the argument that calling results in some areas can influence voters in other areas.
Fox predicts Chambliss to win GA.
And all six news groups have called PA for Obama.
plus NY and WI
Arizona too close to call
(CNN) …. Obama up to 174 on CNN
Fox cals Oio for Obama!
Ahem… Ohio…
In Indiana, only 9% of precincts reporting in Porter County and none in Lake County. That’s Gary, Indiana folks; which went for Obama in a big way in the primary. I see Arizona is “too close to call” from the networks on exit polls.
MSNBC confirms that Northern Virginia has not reported.
CNN exit poll 20% said race was important to their vote, but they voted the same amount for Obama as those that said it wasn’t
If the news stations start calling Ohio or Florida for Obama I think its all over folks
wow
Obama’s won, let’s go to sleep.
Argh it’s only 1.
Income Tax now looks safe in Massachussetts.
It’s been over since Lehman Brothers went bust.
ND to McCain, MN and WI to Obama on CNN
If you go to the Daily Kos political scoreboard, you can zoom in and look at each county and see how much is reporting. Most of the Virginian counties near DC have barely reported.
While election clearly NOT called yet, CNN’s main Republican strategist on the commentary panel says based upon results shown to the moment, we can clearly put the Bradley Effect to bed ………
Fox gives NM to Obama
174-76
the end is nigh
Everyone with a brain (ie. not the media) put it bed 20 years ago.
493
WHO ……. cool … neat
…. that spells it then as NO republ. has ever won without carrying OH and if Fox is calling it before CNN than CNN are being really careful tonight 
…..
The Fat Lady is out now ….
Will Fox be first to call an Obama win??
hahahahaha
So we know where that bottle of wine that juliem bought last week went…
Fox retracted their call of Ohio for Obama.
Oz, I didn’t give it to Dario
…..
I’ve got champagne today … finished the wine over the International Rules footy games over two respective Friday’s ……
So Texas hasn’t been called yet… Does that mean exit-polls were close?
Man this guy really does look like an alien.
William, only a matter of time, the NTY map shows Franklin county (which I believe from memory is the county which contains Columbus, Ohio) as breaking for Obama …..
CNN’s polls for Texas seem to show a 52/48 split in McCain’s favour, which is damn close considering this is Texas we’re talking about
Either way, it hasn’t been a Reagan-style whitewash for Obama.
517, should read NYT, sorry
Still looking good in FL…
Is it not in the best interests of the networks to keep the suspense so people keep watching? In that regard, CNN is being clever.
Virginia is down to 50/49 also, I notice
What the hell are they doing over there…
Yep, it looks like it’s going blue. 64% counted
Harold Ford Jr says the big Democratic counties in Virginia are yet to report.
there is movement at mccains campaign
he wouldn’t concede yet would he?
David Palmer for President. Jack Bauer for vice president.
Why not, he’s probably tired.
Fox calls Ohio for Obama, properly this time.
The voters in North and South Dakota seem to have forgotten which state is supposed to be the close one…
It’s a dead give away if he has his slippers on.
Oz
thats right its way past his bedtime.
Udall wins CO.
OMG – Check out Viginia on CNN. McCain’s lead down to 18000.
Is that it? Ohio does it? Or do we still need Florida or something else?
FL and VA both tightening.
CNN gives West Virginia to McCain.
msnbc has just called Ohio for Obama
And now intrade and betfair have Obama at 98 and 99% respectively.
MSNBC calls Ohio for Obama. Chris Matthews shouts everyone a beer.
Does anyone know much about NC? ABC has Obama up 51/48 with 43% counted (100,000 vote lead). Will the late votes favour repubs?
CNN about to call Ohio too I think
PLEASE get the country music off of CNN ……. shseeeeesssshhhh ….
Hank Williams at McCain HQ on the day …
CNN also reporting a MAJOR projection AFTER their current commerical break ….
So, about 75 EC votes to go??
How much money would I have to put to actually get a return? $20 million?
No way back for McCain without Ohio
Florida?
I reckon CNN will call it for Obama after the break.
If you take MSNBC’s number of 195 for Obama, add 55 in California, 4 in Hawaii, 11 in Washington and 7 in Oregon, you come up with 272. Those four states are the only four Kerry states not to be called already for Obama. It’s almost over.
Congratulations, President Obama
No chance yet, still too close
So who cares about VA and FL then?
Well played, Obama. But American needed Nader.
Obama is catching up in VA
MSNBC just called New Mexico for Obama
CNN not calling Ohio yet
or Hillary, blah blah blah
Ohio – Columbus for Obama
Cleveland – no reports yet at all and they are heavily African American and 12% of the state population
SNIP: Overheated comment deleted – The Management.
No, Nader. It was a joke man, relax.
won’t be OH not yet, they mentioned a bit about the various big cities and counties per my post a few numbers ago, but no projections … don’t know what they were going on about ?????
mccain about to front the press
CNN just called Ohio for Obama.
CNN just called Ohio for Obama
HEre they go …. and it is, NOW OHIO ……
…… CNN, Ohio for the Dems ….
lol an exact copy!
HAH, I win.