Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

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I guess we’re not getting a Morgan poll tomorrow, so a stand-alone post is required to note recent developments. To wit:

Antony Green has crunched the numbers from the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ latest state and territory population figures and concluded that yet another new seat will need to be created in Queensland next year, again at the expense of New South Wales. Queensland will thus have boomed from 26 seats to 30 in little over a decade, having earlier gained Blair in 1998, Bonner in 2004 and Flynn in 2007. New South Wales lost Gwydir in 2007.

• The Australian Electoral Commission has announced that the finalised new federal boundaries for Western Australia will be gazetted on December 18, and maps published henceforth.

• Possum reckons “it’s time to rethink political demographics”, and explains why across a two-part epic here and here.

• A constitutional crisis is brewing in Canada that has some excited observers invoking the example of Australia in 1975. The election on October 14 saw Stephen Harper’s Conservative minority government re-elected, but again requiring the support of Bloc Québécois. However, Bloc Québécois has now signed an accord with the Liberal Party and leftist New Democrats due to dissatisfaction with the government’s handling of the financial crisis. Harper reportedly plans to ask that Governor-General Michaëlle Jean prorogue the parliament so it will not sit until the budget is presented in January. This would avert a sitting on December 8 at which Harper’s government would likely be defeated on a no-confidence motion, and allow him time to pick apart the Liberal-Bloc-NDP deal. This raises the question of whether Jean ought to grant a prorogation to a Prime Minister who might not have the confidence of the House.

UPDATE (5/12/08): Jean agrees to prorogue parliament until January 26. Ben Raue at The Tally Room expresses his displeasure, and proposes reforms to the appointment of prime ministers (citing the practice in the Australian Capital Territory), the scheduling of parliament and the timing elections. I am a little more sympathetic to Jean’s decision, on account of the Liberals’ evident state of disarray – although I can buy the idea that it’s not the Governor-General’s role to make such judgements.

1,278 Comments

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  1. 201
    onimod
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:14 am | Permalink

    200 Gary

    When the less than intellectual political press gallery is that far ahead of you, you really have to question your skills as a politician.
    It’s like Grattan is giving her daughter the speech after she’s just scraped enough marks to go to university or something.
    Also – is Bishop still in charge of the Libs policy review?
    Yeah right…

  2. 202
    Ron
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:14 am | Permalink

    ShowsOn and Dario

    So Rudd’s chief of staff gives Bidgood a drssing down for taking th photo ….but not yous you still want to defend Bidgood

    Yous ar past being over partisan , you ar out of step with Labor

    Not surprising seeing your defense of Bidgood is quite out of strp with normative decency standards anyway

    Instead of simply saying th guy made a stupid callous decision , you’ve continued to defend him , and with th support i’d guess of few in community ….and certainly not th Federal Labor party

  3. 203
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:19 am | Permalink

    So Rudd’s chief of staff gives Bidgood a drssing down for taking th photo ….but not yous you still want to defend Bidgood

    I haven’t mentioned Bidgood once in this thread. All I have done is demonstrate that your ‘rules’ for determining when it is acceptable to take a photo of someone are completely incoherent, because they are contradicted by some of the most famous photos of all time.

    Not surprising seeing your defense of Bidgood is quite out of strp with normative decency standards anyway

    NO WAY! Are you suggesting that thinking logically is no longer a core left policy!?

    I thought the left invented reason and rationality.

    Instead of simply saying th guy made a stupid callous decision , you’ve continued to defend him ,

    Quote any post of mine from this thread that defends Bidgood’s actions. I haven’t even MENTIONED his actions in this thread. You’re boxing at shadows as usual Ronster, and are completely missing the point of my posts.

  4. 204
    Ron
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:30 am | Permalink

    A spokesman for Kevin Rudd said the actions of the MP were “deeply offensive”. It is understood Mr Bidgood was called into the Prime Minister’s office and ordered to apologise to parliament and write a letter of apology to the family. It is also reported Bidgood got prior dresing down from Rudd’s Chief of staff

    Well who agrees with Kevin Rudd vs who still defends Bidgood’s actions?

    Guys , no evasions , simple choise

  5. 205
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:43 am | Permalink

    A bit of advice from Germany’s conservative Chancellor Angela Merkel to the Canadians about running a coalition government.

    Basically it seems, strap yourself in, don’t sit in the middle and hold on tight for an interesting ride.

    LONDON — Shortly after she agreed to form a coalition government whose odd pairing makes Canada's proposed Liberal-NDP-Bloc matchup seem mild, Germany's conservative Chancellor Angela Merkel likened the exercise to a national soccer team.

    The players all hate each other, she said, because they come from competing teams, but "once we're in the same boat, we're forced to pull in the same direction."

    Hours after she gave that interview, the German national team lost in an awkward World Cup semi-final. Her government seems to be faring similarly.

    That, Canadians may well learn, is the lesson of multiparty coalition governments, which rule most countries in the West: It's a sport requiring discipline and concentration.

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20081204.wcoalition04/BNStory/International/home

  6. 206
    Oz
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:45 am | Permalink

    “discombobulated”

    Greatest word to have ever been published in the media.

  7. 207
    Oz
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:48 am | Permalink

    Harper to meet G-G in less than an hour.

    Dare I stay up!?!

  8. 208
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:49 am | Permalink

    “discombobulated”’

    Yeah. I tried to Google it to find out what it meant and it crashed my computer.

  9. 209
    Oz
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:53 am | Permalink

    Mr Della Bosca said a Federal Government report found that a total advertising ban could reduce drinking by 25 per cent and road fatalities by 30 per cent. It could also cut the social costs of alcohol abuse by $3.86 billion.

    http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/alcohol-ads-must-go-della-bosca/2008/12/04/1228257229300.html

    Surely this outweighs any economic benefits to be gained from advertising?

  10. 210
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 1:04 am | Permalink

    This is an interesting economic analysis by George Megalogenis. The comments are well worth a read too.

    A year ago, household consumption was worth 55.9 per cent of GDP. Now it’s 53.7 per cent - a record low. A year ago, federal, state and local spending was worth another 17.8 per cent of GDP. Now it is 17.3 per cent - a figure last seen in 1979.

    How did federal Labor manage to run against the cycle?

    The simple answer is they didn’t know what they were doing. The more subtle explanation is that neither did the Reserve Bank. Glenn Stevens was still raising interest rates in February and March - the very quarter that the data tells us the economy had peaked. It is easier for the Reserve Bank governor to admit error. He can cut interest rates as fast as he can raise them.

    But prime ministers don’t enjoy the same flexibility with fiscal policy because the lead times are longer. The Rudd Government inherited an over-heated economy, with inflation too high for comfort and fiscal and monetary policies in open conflict.

    http://blogs.theaustralian.news.com.au/meganomics/index.php/theaustralian/comments/number_crunchers_missed_turn/

  11. 211
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 1:08 am | Permalink

    This here doesn’t help the Coalition’s latest attack on Labor re the refugee/boat people issue.

    INDONESIAN police have smashed a people-smuggling ring, arresting the kingpin of the syndicate responsible for sending rickety vessels laden with asylum seekers on the perilous journey to Australia.

    Brigadier General Badrodin Haiti, director for national security at Indonesian police headquarters, told The Age yesterday that the arrest of an Iranian man, Haj Sakih, his accomplices and some Indonesian nationals had busted a major people-smuggling racket.

    The syndicate has smuggled scores of asylum seekers, most of them Middle Eastern, to Australia over the past three years.

    "He is a big fish," Brigadier General Haiti said of Sakih. "His connection is with Iran, Iraq and Afghanistan. He smuggled people to Australia several times, both successfully and unsuccessfully."

    http://www.theage.com.au/national/arrests-crack-peoplesmuggling-ring-20081204-6rp9.html

  12. 212
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 1:12 am | Permalink

    This will all be forgotten in another week.

    Speaker Harry Jenkins has inquired into the issue and says he has checked that Mr Bidgood's actions did not interfere with security matters.

    "I have concluded his actions did not cause interference," he said.

    "In relation to all other questions raised I have concluded the actions may have been insensitive and inappropriate as described by the member for Dawson himself, I do not recommend any further action."

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/12/04/2438390.htm?section=justin

  13. 213
    Ron
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 1:24 am | Permalink

    Harry Jenkins as Speaker concluded his investigation as stated on security matters , and of course found security had not been interferred with

    But it does not change th fact Rudd dressing Bitgood down , nor fact Rudd’s chief of Staff dressing him down , nor fact Rudds spokesman said the actions of the MP were “deeply “offensive” nor fact Bidgood was called into the Prime Minister’s office and ordered to apologise to parliament and write a letter of apology to the family

    Defenders arguments of Bitgood’s actions ar in tatters ….proved BY Rudd’s reactions alone , apart from common decency

    Whilst th event may be forgotton in a week newswise , am not sure that his photo action/religous comments will be when pre selection s arise in 2010…. i wouldn’t pre select him on either ground

  14. 214
    Ron
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 2:13 am | Permalink

    Amigo FINNS

    Tonite have done my Amigo “bit of good” ….’Bitgood’ defenders have surrendered….in silence , but I did not address a curious “psephology” post tonite this being a politcal site & tinking you with th Macchu Piccu ‘knowledge trees’ inspirations could psephologicaly unravel for me :

    “More money means more people buy alcohol, more people buy alcohol , the more they want to have sex..”

    Did thought th first two conditions were quite irrelevant to th third

  15. 215
    ltep
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 6:29 am | Permalink

    Canadian GG agrees to Harper’s request to prorogue Parliament:
    http://www.cbc.ca/canada/story/2008/12/04/harper-jean.html

    As expected.

  16. 216
    ltep
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 6:53 am | Permalink

    What an utter shambles the Opposition are:
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/12/05/2438417.htm

    I note that the responsible shadow minister in the Senate refused to vote in support of his own Cabinet’s decision.

  17. 217
    Muskiemp
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 7:17 am | Permalink

    About Bidgood and that photo. The person who doused himself with petrol to protest would have wanted the photo taken to aid in his protest. Instead the story is now about the photographer not the protester, all for political point scoring.

  18. 218
    The Finnigans
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 7:21 am | Permalink

    Amigo Ronnie, are u emulating the Cat woman by bloggin at 2am?

    i am also thinking about my Maccu Picchu “Knowledge Tree”, because i wonder how long can it last?

    President Elect Obi has made big splash on his economic team, security team etc. Of which, basically, the old Clinton Teams in disguise. But we forgive him, especially his wise decision and now arm-in-arm with Hillary.

    Queen Noor of Jordan - Hillary Clinton will be a strong, effective Secretary of State in the new Obama administration. I observed first hand her commitment to peace and justice during the presidency of Bill Clinton, when Jordan's King Hussein, my late husband, and I worked closely with the Clintons in an attempt to achieve a Middle East peace. When they take office next year, I know that President-elect Obama and she quickly will begin looking for ways to bring security to Israel and justice to Palestinians, including four to six million Palestinian refugees.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/her-majesty-queen-noor/hillary-clinton—a-champ_b_147699.html

    But I am not forgiving him for making NO splash at all on his Environment Team, CC, Kyoto etc. This should be his next big splash, else we will put him under the bus as per usual.

    btw: Diog’s silence on this issue is also deafening. And where is Amigo GG?

  19. 219
    juliem
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 7:48 am | Permalink

    ltep @ 215,

    from a story on Canadian English google news …

    OTTAWA - Prime Minister Stephen Harper has won a stay of political execution - at least until January.

    We must remember this is only a reprieve for Harper, his troubles are still very much with him ;-)

  20. 220
    juliem
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 7:57 am | Permalink

    "Checkmate to you, Mr. Harper"

    Step three: introduce (out of the blue, of course) a total cut of public funding for political parties and suspend the right to strike for all public-sector unions.

    I get it now. Canadians were expecting you to manage the finances of the country in a thoughtful, responsible manner. Little did they know that the smartest course of action during economic downturn, instability and war would in fact be to go after the civil service and functionally cripple your political opponents.

    Prime Minister, I know this is getting embarrassing, but I feel sorry for Dion, Layton and Duceppe. I mean, none of them thought they’d be ready for government in two years, let alone two weeks. Instead, you provided them with three alternatives:

    1. Allow the economic update to pass, along with the cuts to the party funding on which all three opposition parties depend.

    2. Go into another election, one which they would handily lose.

    3. Form a coalition government.

    http://www.martlet.ca/article/6329-checkmate-to-you-mr-harper

  21. 221
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 8:24 am | Permalink

    Ronster

    Bidgood’s photographic escapades will be forgotten as an error of judgement and taste in a few days. His comment that the GFC was an Act of God will haunt him forever to his political grave. Imagine how the poor bastards in his electorate who are losing their jobs feel about being part of divine retribution.

    If the Ruddster had a genius solution which would fix the GFC with the flick of a switch, Bidgood would oppose Rudd fixing it. The Opposition are going to make mincemeat of him and Labor. Turnbull is going to ask “What credibility does a Party have on the economy if one of it’s members thinks God caused the GFC and we’re entering the “end of days” predicted in Revelation?”

    Finns

    Obi’s not even POTUS yet! Let’s wait until he gets there before we apportion blame. Anyway, under Ron’s agreement with me, the failure of the world to change it’s emission enough to avert global warming falls squarely in Hillary’s lap. Obi can take a little bit of the blame if he doesn’t cut US domestic use. I’m still using 20% reduction by 2020 based on 1990 emissions as my gold standard. We’ll compare Obi and Rudd.

  22. 222
    MayoFeral
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 8:26 am | Permalink

    I see the media is making a big deal of the $600k cost of Rudd’s overseas trips in the first half of the year. Someone remind me how much it cost to shuttle Howard between Sydney and Canberra every day because the missus wasn’t impressed by the Lodge. I seem to recall it was about $1 million a year. I do know that $100k went on silk wallpaper and imported mattresses for one of the Howard Air 737s.

  23. 223
    Glen
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 8:45 am | Permalink

    Hurray for Harps!!!

    Juliem public opinion will destroy this subversive attempt to steal the reins of government in Canada now that Harper has until January to survive…

    Also there are cracks already forming in the Liberal Party even now on the Coalition agreement….

    http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20081204/opposition_reaction_AM_081204/20081204?hub=TopStories

    Cracks in coalition staring to show: Liberal MP

  24. 224
    triton
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 9:22 am | Permalink

    This Friday sitting of parliament is a little less rowdy than the last one.

  25. 225
    Glen
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 9:50 am | Permalink

    Looks like Canadians still want Harper in power….

    http://www.cbc.ca/canada/story/2008/12/04/parliament-poll.html

    Support for Tories up amid House crisis, CBC-EKOS poll suggests

    “According to the poll, Stephen Harper’s Conservatives received 44 per cent of respondents’ support, up from the 37.6 per cent support the Tories received in the federal election that returned them to Ottawa with another minority government just seven weeks ago.

    The results suggest support for Stéphane Dion’s Liberals is down two percentage points from the election with 24 per cent of respondents’ support, while the New Democrats are down almost four percentage points at 14.5 per cent support.

    Meanwhile, the NDP received 14.5 per cent of respondents’ support, while the Bloc was at nine per cent and the Greens at eight per cent.”

  26. 226
    Dario
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 9:55 am | Permalink

    I’m trying to work out Ron’s angle on this… apparently as Labor supporters we are not allowed to disagree with the views of the almighty Rudd on ‘Immogate’. Ron, do you disagree with Rudd on any issue?

  27. 227
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 10:40 am | Permalink

    I’m trying to work out Ron’s angle on this… apparently as Labor supporters we are not allowed to disagree with the views of the almighty Rudd on ‘Immogate’. Ron, do you disagree with Rudd on any issue?

    According to Ronster, if we disagree with Rudd then that means we are party hacks!

    It makes PERFECT sense.

  28. 228
    Oz
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 10:52 am | Permalink

    The Liberals just imploded in the Senate.

  29. 229
    Dario
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 10:59 am | Permalink

    According to Ronster, if we disagree with Rudd then that means we are party hacks!

    It makes PERFECT sense.

    Yes, I’m totally confused

  30. 230
    Dario
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 10:59 am | Permalink

    The Liberals just imploded in the Senate

    Details Oz?

  31. 231
    Oz
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 11:05 am | Permalink

    Itep linked earlier:

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/12/05/2438417.htm

  32. 232
    Dario
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 11:08 am | Permalink

    I doubt the media will focus on it much

  33. 233
    Oz
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 11:13 am | Permalink

    David Kirk, Fairfax CEO, resigned today.

    The media here are getting slaughtered.

  34. 234
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 11:24 am | Permalink

    There’s no doubt the government has the opposition shadow cabinet spooked.

    Senator Minchin told the Senate the decision was taken because of the "scare campaign" the Opposition would have faced had it stuck to its original position.
    "But I regret to say that on balance it is the Coalition's position that we will not insist on these amendments," he said.
    "The Government will spend the next two months falsely asserting all over this country that we are responsible for denying infrastructure funding for every road bridge and port in the country."

  35. 235
    Dario
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 11:31 am | Permalink

    we are responsible for denying infrastructure funding for every road bridge and port in the country

    Well that’s largely what they’ve been doing for the last 12 years…

  36. 236
    Oz
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 11:31 am | Permalink

    I actually agreed with some of he amendments put forward, especially regarding increased transparency.

  37. 237
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 11:33 am | Permalink

    I doubt the media will focus on it much

    It was just covered on ABC News, including footage of the division.

  38. 238
    Dario
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 11:41 am | Permalink

    It was just covered on ABC News, including footage of the division

    I stand corrected. Perhaps the ABC is feeling the spirit of the season?

  39. 239
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 11:53 am | Permalink

    I stand corrected. Perhaps the ABC is feeling the spirit of the season?

    It’s now the head line story on The Australian website:
    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24754820-601,00.html

  40. 240
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 11:54 am | Permalink

    A Coalition source said the split was a direct challenge to Mr Turnbull and not the result of a communication mix-up

  41. 241
    Dario
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 11:56 am | Permalink

    A Coalition source said the split was a direct challenge to Mr Turnbull and not the result of a communication mix-up

    There you go… a nice Christmas present for the ALP

  42. 242
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:29 pm | Permalink

    Why would the Libs end the Parliamantary year on such a bad note? It’s just going to raise questions about the leadership team over the Christmas break. They really need a goog, long hard look at themselves over summer. Their discipline is terrible, especially when compared to the iron rule Rudd has over Labor.

  43. 243
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:34 pm | Permalink

    Wow, it is the FIRST story on ABC TV1’s Midday Report.

  44. 244
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:41 pm | Permalink

    Talk about a stupid way to insert themselves as the headline act for the media Silly Season over the next 5 weeks.

    Foot, meet shotgun.

  45. 245
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:41 pm | Permalink

    Any sign of leadership problems is grist for the mill as far as the media goes. I’m not surprised.

  46. 246
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 12:43 pm | Permalink

    Julie Bishop performing poorly, Turnbull being ignored. If ever there was a party in trouble this is it.

  47. 247
    Spam Box
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 1:05 pm | Permalink

    ho ho ho – I’m really enjoying this Christmas already :) Every paper I’ve seen this morning is belting the Libs on a number of fronts

    It really is a Merry Christmas :)

  48. 248
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 1:08 pm | Permalink

    Robb blames Labor for their stuff up in the Senate. Say what?

  49. 249
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 1:13 pm | Permalink

    It’s looking really bad for Turnbull. His “team” is leaking like a sieve. The Opposition opposition are making sure that the journos know the split was a deliberate challenge to Turnbull. Even Dennis has caned him.

    MALCOLM Turnbull's authority as Leader of the Opposition is under threat after the second Senate revolt in a week.

    The Liberal leader’s ability to manage a fractious Coalition, a rebellious backbench and confront a rampant Labor Government is being questioned by some Coalition MPs and senators who are complaining about his style.

    ‘’He’s trying to run things too much like a business, giving out an order like a CEO and then expecting it to be followed,’’ one Coalition senator told The Australian Online this morning.

    ‘’There are some decisions you just have to stand against.’’

  50. 250
    Glen
    Posted Friday, December 5, 2008 at 1:14 pm | Permalink

    Hah ShowsOn and you think the media is biased against Rudd…we Libs never get a thing!

    Now it doesnt matter how well Julie performs because the media have got it out for her they’re never going to let up…this in spite of the fact Swan is doing little better if not worse!

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