Thanks for the link. Best very short summary of the geopolitics of the melting Arctic sea-ice that I have come across.

The Liberal Party is very lazy in Victoria, when the Kennett Government was in office every night you would have one of several people appear without failure (Bracks, Brumby, Thwaites, Pike)

You can go weeks without seeing or hearing anything from the Liberals, Red Ted appears unable to show what he is about, now going back to 1999 for a moment Bracks and Brumby started outlining the ALP policies a good 9-12 months out from election day and they hammered the same message over and over to the point that come September 1999 most people knew excelty what the ALP stood for.

Interestingly the last good campaign ran by the Liberal Party was the 1998 federal campaign but since then they have relised on the ALP to slip up.

http://www.theage.com.au/national/baillieu-urged-to-purge-party-of-old-mps-20081220-72p2.html?page=2

The Fuddy Duddy Little Bo Peep election strategy?

‘Leave them alone
And they will come home
Wagging their tails behind them.’

http://audiovideo.economist.com/?fr_story=6d6455225c0d26f93e62d1cca6e2b39968fbf3b3&rf=bm&source=features_box4

I have a feeling that there’s a good chance Queensland could fall, NSW definately, don’t know much about South Australia and a funny feeling that the situation in Victoria could turn quite bad for Labor quite quickly (maybe a Lib leadership change is on the cards?).

The Libs are at a structural disadvantage in Tasmania and the ACT. The NT will fall next time around.

The fact is there isn’t much of a difference between the policies of the major parties here (or in any Western country for that matter). However, that doesn’t preclude the public from getting tired of a particluar party, ousting them and replacing them with a slightly different one. The Conservatives are on the ascent in the UK after nearly a decade in the wildnerness. The Democrats in the US seized power last month and the ALP did the same last year after dithering around for 11 years. It’s called electoral gravity.

But when and to whom?