Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Newspoll: 58-42

Newspoll has come a day early – or six days late, depending on your perspective. Key findings of the survey, which was conducted over the past two days:

• Labor’s two-party lead has blown out to 58-42 from 54-46 at the last Newspoll three weeks ago (although Peter Brent’s “rough calculation” had it at 55-45).

• Fifty-seven per cent believe the stimulus package will be good for the economy, and 48 per cent believe it will make them personally better off. Support is inversely proportional to age.

• Labor is up five points on the primary vote to 48 per cent, with the Coalition’s down three to 36 per cent.

• Kevin Rudd’s approval rating is steady on 63 per cent, and his disapproval up one to 26 per cent.

• Malcolm Turnbull’s approval rating is down one point to 44 per cent, and his disapproval is up seven to 38 per cent.

• Sixty-three per cent believe the government is doing a good job managing the economy, and only 33 per cent believe the Coalition would do better.

Other news:

• The Greens’ parliamentary leader in New South Wales, Lee Rhiannon, has quit her Legislative Council seat and declared her intention to run for the Senate (UPDATE: Not quite – she has “informed the party that when federal elections are called, I’ll resign to stand for Federal Parliament, if I win preselection”). Brian Robins of the Sydney Morning Herald says Rhiannon “appears to be positioning herself to replace the party’s federal leader”. She may have her work cut out: the only time the Greens have won a seat in the state was when Kerry Nettle got in on One Nation preferences in 2001. Generally the problem has been that Labor are too strong in the state for the Greens to get ahead of their third candidate. Two scenarios for success suggest themselves: one involves the Greens gaining at least 5 per cent on the Coalition on the primary vote, which would raise the possibility of a result of three Labor, two Liberal, one Greens; the other is a double dissolution.

Linda Silmalis of the Daily Telegraph reports the Coalition has been “desperate to find a high-profile candidate to take on Maxine McKew in the Sydney seat of Bennelong”, which it hopes “will be enough for Labor to consider transferring McKew to a safer seat”. It doesn’t sound like they’re having much luck: among those to have knocked back the offer are Kerry Chikarovski, former Opposition Leader and member for the locally situated state seat of Lane Cove, and Andrew Tink, former Shadow Police Minister and recent departee from state politics.

UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor’s lead at 61-39, recording no change from last week. Nothing on the stimulus package (Essential Research advises there will be a “truckload” of such data next week), but includes the usual leadership questions showing Rudd holding up and Turnbull going backwards.

3,047 Comments

Pages: « 157 58 59 60 [61] Show All

  1. 3001
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:14 pm | Permalink

    lol @ bronwyn bishop foaming from the mouth.

  2. 3002
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:16 pm | Permalink

    Speaker: “Sometimes people are out of loops”.

    Not the Liberal party backbench – they’re got too many loops

  3. 3003
    centaur009
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:16 pm | Permalink

    I reckon bree could be alright looking Fins.

  4. 3004
    The Finnigans
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:17 pm | Permalink

    Bree, you want 3000 licks? dont be greedy

  5. 3005
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:17 pm | Permalink

    Oh no. Not the loop loops from woop woop.

  6. 3006
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:17 pm | Permalink

    Speaker: “Sometimes people are out of loops”.

    That was directed to Abbott and Madame Beehive.

    I reckon bree could be alright looking Fins.

    As good as Louise Pratt? :D

  7. 3007
    The Finnigans
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:18 pm | Permalink

    The Hon. Member for Bass is in her rightful place!!!!

  8. 3008
    evan14
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:18 pm | Permalink

    Bree is even more deluded than Steven Kaye and Tabitha, if that’s possible.

  9. 3009
    Cuppa
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:18 pm | Permalink

    $3000. The yearly salary for a WorkChoice serf of the next generation.

  10. 3010
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:18 pm | Permalink

    New Morgan poll – ALP 60/40 from primaries running 51.5/35.5 the same way. http://bit.ly/ydQsB

  11. 3011
    Bree
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:18 pm | Permalink

    The Finnigans, your sense of humour has reached new lows!

  12. 3012
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:19 pm | Permalink

    Mr X has got wonderful press in SA for his courageous stand. Incidentally, it is going to be a big help for Rudd and Wong in SA as well, who should be very grateful to X. Everyone’s very pleased with the outcome. And the Libs are totally irrelevant but their supporters already knew that.

  13. 3013
    evan14
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:19 pm | Permalink

    Finnigans, a question for you. What is the name of the MP who sits behind the honourable member for Bass, the guy who always looks like he’s got something in his mouth?

  14. 3014
    BK
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:20 pm | Permalink

    Headmistress Bishop is not in the House. Is she in the parliamentary library “writing” a speech?

  15. 3015
    vera
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:21 pm | Permalink

    Friday the 13th, today is a horror movie for malcolm & co ;)

  16. 3016
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:21 pm | Permalink

    Headmistress Bishop is not in the House. Is she in the parliamentary library “writing” a speech?

    Probably writing a new point of order.

  17. 3017
    The Finnigans
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:21 pm | Permalink

    Evan14, dont ask me. i cant think straight with a pair of soulful eyes looking like that.

    Bree, not as low as a request for 3000 licks!!!!

  18. 3018
    evan14
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:21 pm | Permalink

    BK, she’s combing through the WALL STREET JOURNAL for more inspiration.

  19. 3019
    triton
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:21 pm | Permalink

    #3010
    ALP primary vote now looks more like a winning 2PP. Up 5 since last time.

  20. 3020
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:22 pm | Permalink

    60/40. Wow. What will the next Newspoll be like?

  21. 3021
    Gusface
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:23 pm | Permalink

    very smart move by rudd to thank the greens,independents.

    The libs have been ruled out of the equation for a looong time.

  22. 3022
    BK
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:23 pm | Permalink

    Hockey doesn’t like the medicine

  23. 3023
    evan14
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:24 pm | Permalink

    The member for Bass is sitting in the same spot where Kate Ellis used to sit!
    They always deliberately put a photogenic female MP where she can be seen on TV.

  24. 3024
    ltep
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:24 pm | Permalink

    The Speaker is weak. There’s no way the PM should be getting away with this.

  25. 3025
    Inner Westie
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:26 pm | Permalink

    Joe Hockey (the Barbecue Clown) is cranky coz he’s got an esky full of lamb chops waiting to be popped on the grill.

  26. 3026
    Gusface
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:27 pm | Permalink

    'Hockey doesn’t like the medicine'

    Hope he doesnt blow a gasket again.
    :(

  27. 3027
    Allan Moyes
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:30 pm | Permalink

    The opposition are obviously in one big huff. If they’d just shut up for a bit and stop interrupting the PM would be able to finish and sit dow, Turnbull will probably go on for just as long in any case.

  28. 3028
    The Finnigans
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:30 pm | Permalink

    I like to say TQ to the Govt. i have just spent half the cash bonus in the REAL economy.

  29. 3029
    evan14
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:33 pm | Permalink

    The only children Turnball knows are those of his rich friends!

  30. 3030
    BK
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:34 pm | Permalink

    Turnbull and his pals are stuck in a timewarp of the Howard years. As the erstwhile independent Member for Lyons said last night, “circumstances have changed”.

  31. 3031
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:34 pm | Permalink

    Why are the Opposition so upset? They must have known this would be the end result. Admittedly it’s even worse for them now that the left (Green), right (FF) and centre (X) have all been accomodated by some smart Labor negotiating, which has made them look like obstructive extremists. They really need to grow up. They’ve got at least another fiour years to get the hang of being in Opposition and they look like they’re going to need every minute.

  32. 3032
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:36 pm | Permalink

    Who is “the erstwhile independent Member for Lyons”?

  33. 3033
    Spam Box
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:37 pm | Permalink

    Off topic but I’m sure of interest

    Police have made a breakthrough in Victoria’s massive arson investigation with the arrest of a Gippsland man this morning.

    The 39-year-old Churchill man was arrested by members of police taskforce Ignis, which has been investigating the cause of the fires.

    He is expected to be charged with arson causing death.

    http://www.theage.com.au/national/churchill-arson-suspect-arrested-20090213-86o3.html

  34. 3034
    evan14
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:38 pm | Permalink

    LMAO Newsradio just lost the signal, Turnball got cut off – bravo!

  35. 3035
    ltep
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:39 pm | Permalink

    This is an extremely weak speech.

  36. 3036
    centaur009
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:40 pm | Permalink

    The Great Coalition circus

    Ring leader- malcolm

    Barnaby the crazy clown

    Bronwyn the bearded lady

    Joe the fat man, how big can he get

  37. 3037
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:40 pm | Permalink

    Link to Morgan here.

    http://www.roymorgan.com.au/

    After a week of arguing in Parliament about a new stimulus bill ALP support is 51.5% (up 5%) compared to L-NP support 35.5% (down 2.5%). On a two-party preferred basis, support for the ALP is 60% (up 4%), while support for the L-NP is 40% (down 4%).

  38. 3038
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:40 pm | Permalink

    “The company that does interior design”. That’s a poorly thought out example considering the Libs demographics

  39. 3039
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:41 pm | Permalink

    “This is an extremely weak speech.”

    It sounds like genius compared to Brenda Nelson.

  40. 3040
    centaur009
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:41 pm | Permalink

    they meant lynne i think and it’s oakshott

  41. 3041
    evan14
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:43 pm | Permalink

    You think Liberal MPs will be knocking back the money for new school infastructure?
    I doubt it! Although I presume no schools in the electorate of Wentworth need maintenance.

  42. 3042
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:44 pm | Permalink

    What a rabble! heh

  43. 3043
    Inner Westie
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:45 pm | Permalink

    “Mortgaging our children’s future” is the cliche of the week …

  44. 3044
    Inner Westie
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:46 pm | Permalink

    I like Harry Jenkins …

  45. 3045
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:47 pm | Permalink

    This one will hurt Turnbull.

    The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen slightly to 126 (up 6pts) with Australians more confident that Australia is “heading in the right direction” 54.5% (up 5%), compared to 28.5% (down 1%) that say Australia is “heading in the wrong direction.” This rebound is a strong sign for the Government.

    http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2009/4358/

  46. 3046
    Inner Westie
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:47 pm | Permalink

    He should do radio when he leaves parliament. I reckon he’d do a good turn in Droll and Withering Interviews …

  47. 3047
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:48 pm | Permalink

    New thread.

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