Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Newspoll: 58-42

Newspoll has come a day early – or six days late, depending on your perspective. Key findings of the survey, which was conducted over the past two days:

• Labor’s two-party lead has blown out to 58-42 from 54-46 at the last Newspoll three weeks ago (although Peter Brent’s “rough calculation” had it at 55-45).

• Fifty-seven per cent believe the stimulus package will be good for the economy, and 48 per cent believe it will make them personally better off. Support is inversely proportional to age.

• Labor is up five points on the primary vote to 48 per cent, with the Coalition’s down three to 36 per cent.

• Kevin Rudd’s approval rating is steady on 63 per cent, and his disapproval up one to 26 per cent.

• Malcolm Turnbull’s approval rating is down one point to 44 per cent, and his disapproval is up seven to 38 per cent.

• Sixty-three per cent believe the government is doing a good job managing the economy, and only 33 per cent believe the Coalition would do better.

Other news:

• The Greens’ parliamentary leader in New South Wales, Lee Rhiannon, has quit her Legislative Council seat and declared her intention to run for the Senate (UPDATE: Not quite – she has “informed the party that when federal elections are called, I’ll resign to stand for Federal Parliament, if I win preselection”). Brian Robins of the Sydney Morning Herald says Rhiannon “appears to be positioning herself to replace the party’s federal leader”. She may have her work cut out: the only time the Greens have won a seat in the state was when Kerry Nettle got in on One Nation preferences in 2001. Generally the problem has been that Labor are too strong in the state for the Greens to get ahead of their third candidate. Two scenarios for success suggest themselves: one involves the Greens gaining at least 5 per cent on the Coalition on the primary vote, which would raise the possibility of a result of three Labor, two Liberal, one Greens; the other is a double dissolution.

Linda Silmalis of the Daily Telegraph reports the Coalition has been “desperate to find a high-profile candidate to take on Maxine McKew in the Sydney seat of Bennelong”, which it hopes “will be enough for Labor to consider transferring McKew to a safer seat”. It doesn’t sound like they’re having much luck: among those to have knocked back the offer are Kerry Chikarovski, former Opposition Leader and member for the locally situated state seat of Lane Cove, and Andrew Tink, former Shadow Police Minister and recent departee from state politics.

UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor’s lead at 61-39, recording no change from last week. Nothing on the stimulus package (Essential Research advises there will be a “truckload” of such data next week), but includes the usual leadership questions showing Rudd holding up and Turnbull going backwards.

3,047 Comments

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  1. 2951
    Inner Westie
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:40 pm | Permalink

    The Iron Bar Clown doesn’t get many gigs at kid’s parties these days. He’s too scary. He still does the occasional warm up act at kickboxing contests though.

  2. 2952
    Dario
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:43 pm | Permalink

    Only 50 posts to go!

  3. 2953
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:45 pm | Permalink

    If Barnaby were to go to the Lower House the only one feeling threatened would be Wilson Tuckey.

    Who is “flat out counting past ten”

    Mr Tuckey —All you have done is finance growth with debt.
    Mr KEATING —You boxhead, you would not know. You are flat out counting past 10.
    Mr Tuckey —Mr Deputy Speaker, I take a point of order. I ask for that remark to be withdrawn.
    Mr KEATING —I will withdraw it if you shut up for a while.
    Mr Tuckey —I will shut up in the normal way I have to. You are an idiot. You are just a hopeless nong. You would not know.
    Mr KEATING —Shut up! Sit down and shut up, you pig.
    Mr DEPUTY SPEAKER (Mr Millar) —Order! The honourable member for O'Connor will resume his seat.
    Mr KEATING —Mr Deputy Speaker, the fact of the matter is-

    http://parlinfo.aph.gov.au/parlInfo/search/display/display.w3p;query=Id%3A%22chamber%2Fhansardr%2F1985-08-21%2F0140%22

  4. 2954
    fredex
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:46 pm | Permalink

    Does anybody know how the print version [ not the online] of “The Advertiser” in SA portrayed Xenephon this morning?
    Negatively,positively neutrally?

    In fact how did they portray the whole thing?

  5. 2955
    Gusface
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:46 pm | Permalink

    But he refuses to take a shadow portfolio

    he was offered the Arts but thought better because country and western was classified as one music form.
    When dangitt, any good ole boy knows it is two distinct types.
    :)

  6. 2956
    Bree
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:46 pm | Permalink

    Barnaby in the lower-house and Costello as opposition leader is the premium dream team. Rudd will be sweating at that thought.

  7. 2957
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:46 pm | Permalink

    Negatively,positively neutrally?

    Over all negative, the editorial said he should put the Murray Darling is a very important issue, but on this occasion he had to put the national interest above state interest.

  8. 2958
    dogma
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:48 pm | Permalink

    2955 “Barnaby in the lower-house and Costello as opposition leader is the premium dream team”.

    bree yeh for Labor

  9. 2959
    Cuppa
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:52 pm | Permalink

    Too much like hard work. Costello prefers the hammock and a cushy global economy.

  10. 2960
    Bree
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:55 pm | Permalink

    This is how things will hopefully look after the 2013 federal election:

    Prime Minister- Peter Costello

    Deputy Prime Minister- Barnaby Joyce

    Treasurer- Malcolm Turnbull

    Minister for Education- Julie Bishop

  11. 2961
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:56 pm | Permalink

    The interlude music on the live broadcast from the House is pretty bloody awful!

  12. 2962
    vera
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:56 pm | Permalink

    Libs trying to take credit for Greens X’s and fielding ammendments now. Dutton just told Sky if the Libs hadn’t blocked the bill these extras wouldn’t have been gained. Wally!

  13. 2963
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:57 pm | Permalink

    Minister for Education- Julie Bishop

    She’s already failed at this, why give her another go?

  14. 2964
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:57 pm | Permalink

    I still find it so incredibly amusing how people like Bree have such delusions. The public hate Costello. The sooner Bree realises it, the better, because if it happens, it’s a looooong way to come crashing back down to earth.

    NOBODY LIKES COSTELLO!

    Except rusted on Liberals that is.

  15. 2965
    Cuppa
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:57 pm | Permalink

    And serfdom in the workplace for your children, eh, “Bree”?

  16. 2966
    fredex
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:57 pm | Permalink

    Thank you ShowsOn
    The online version is very positive.

  17. 2967
    ltep
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:58 pm | Permalink

    Libs trying to take credit for Greens X’s and fielding ammendments now. Dutton just told Sky if the Libs hadn’t blocked the bill these extras wouldn’t have been gained. Wally!

    But they voted against these amendments!

  18. 2968
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:58 pm | Permalink

    http://failblog.org/2009/02/07/marriage-fail/

  19. 2969
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:59 pm | Permalink

    But they voted against these amendments!

    They are in backwards wanker upside down world.

    There’s no other explanation for it.

  20. 2970
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 12:59 pm | Permalink

    They’re baackkk.

  21. 2971
    Steve K
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:00 pm | Permalink

    Do we know what time the Reps meets?

  22. 2972
    Gusface
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:00 pm | Permalink

    Newsradio is broadcasting proceedings from the reps as well

  23. 2973
    vera
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:00 pm | Permalink

    ltep
    Why let a few fibs get in the way of a good story

  24. 2974
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:00 pm | Permalink

    This should be good.

  25. 2975
    Socrates
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:01 pm | Permalink

    I see the young Libs are getting into those halucinogenics again. Lay off that stuff, please Bree.

  26. 2976
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:01 pm | Permalink

    Over all negative, the editorial said he should put the Murray Darling is a very important issue, but on this occasion he had to put the national interest above state interest.

    Once again, the Tiser showing what an adroit understanding it has of national politics.

  27. 2977
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:01 pm | Permalink

    The House has started

  28. 2978
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:01 pm | Permalink

    REMEMBER, the coalition parties can’t handle Friday sittings, so expect them to go bat$hit insane with cardboard cut outs and stuff.

  29. 2979
    BK
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:01 pm | Permalink

    The big question.
    Can Joe Hockey hold it all together?

  30. 2980
    The Finnigans
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:02 pm | Permalink

    Let the beefo begins!!!!

  31. 2981
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:03 pm | Permalink

    Rudd putting the knife in straight away with double twist.

  32. 2982
    ltep
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:05 pm | Permalink

    REMEMBER, the coalition parties can’t handle Friday sittings, so expect them to go bat$hit insane with cardboard cut outs and stuff.

    Yeah they should be loudly demanding question time!

  33. 2983
    Cuppa
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:06 pm | Permalink

    he coalition parties can’t handle Friday sittings

    No penalty rates, that’s why they don’t like it!

  34. 2984
    The Finnigans
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:07 pm | Permalink

    Prime Minister- Peter Costello Vs Kevin Rudd

    Deputy Prime Minister- Barnaby Joyce vs Julia Gillard

    Treasurer- Malcolm Turnbull vs Wayne Swan

    Minister for Education- Julie Bishop vs Julia Gillard (would put Sexy Maxy in btw)

    Bree – can i start laughing now?

  35. 2985
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:07 pm | Permalink

    Abbott must’ve been off eating stronganoff, he didn’t realise that Hockey had arranged with Albanese for Rudd and Turnbull to have a spray each on indulgence.

  36. 2986
    Steve K
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:08 pm | Permalink

    Hockey will love to lick the egg off his fat face with his big fat tongue.

  37. 2987
    Brenton
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:08 pm | Permalink

    There are NO Greens on Murrindindi Council! There are No Greens in the Victorian Government! All the state and Federal politicians in the area where the bushfires occurred belong either to the Liberal, Labor or National Parties. Why arent they to blame then????? After all it is not the Greens in power but others who have all the fire policies in their hands! Wilson Tuckey just has a hatred for anyone who doesnt want to either dig eveything up or bulldose it flat! Tuckey better not be too cheeky because at the next election Green voters in his electorate will be better informed to preference the Nationals before The Liberals and therefore , Goodbye Wilson! That almost happened last time!

  38. 2988
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:09 pm | Permalink

    The Finnigans, when Bree gets shot down by even GP, you know she can’t be anything but dead wrong.

  39. 2989
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:10 pm | Permalink

    she/he/whoever Bree is.

  40. 2990
    Bree
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:10 pm | Permalink

    Wayne Swan is the future opposition leader!

  41. 2991
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:10 pm | Permalink

    Someone in the opposition just called the schools package “a waste of money”

  42. 2992
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:11 pm | Permalink

    Bree has just removed any lingering doubt that she’s giving us a comedy act.

  43. 2993
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:11 pm | Permalink

    Wayne Swan is the future opposition leader!

    No, he is the current TREASURER.

  44. 2994
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:12 pm | Permalink

    ‘Someone in the opposition just called the schools package “a waste of money”’

    Of course. The coalition doesn’t believe in nation building. They think money should be taken out of education/health/infrastructure. Australia went from one of the highest to one of the lowest ranked OECD countries in these areas under the Howard government.

  45. 2995
    Cuppa
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:12 pm | Permalink

    Gotta strip those pay and conditions off workers. Serfdom in the workplace for your kids is a great idea, hey, “Bree”?

  46. 2996
    ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:13 pm | Permalink

    Bronnie does a Tuckey!

  47. 2997
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:13 pm | Permalink

    I wonder if Turnbull will refer to the Government as the Opposition again today.

    Expect a highly indignant, fired up response trying to justify the untenable position they placed themselves in right from the word go.

  48. 2998
    The Finnigans
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:13 pm | Permalink

    If Bree is as good as the Brie Cheese. I will give her a good lick

  49. 2999
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:13 pm | Permalink

    Oh no, it’s Madam Beehive!

  50. 3000
    Bree
    Posted Friday, February 13, 2009 at 1:14 pm | Permalink

    3000

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