gives Labor the chance to start work on the new RAH site before the election, thus negating the Opposition's attempts to put forward its plans to redevelop the existing RAH site.

Labor won’t start the new cancer centre until after the election. If they started it now, all their promises of a referendum and a RAH election campaign will be scuttled. The Libs will just whip up anger by saying “They are spending the money as if they have already won” etc etc. They don’t have nearly enough time anyway.

They’d better build the bloody thing. We’ve just expanded our offices and they offered me a few choices so I chose the one with a view directly out over the New RAH site.

The funding for the cancer research institute gives Labor the chance to start work on the new RAH site before the election, thus negating the Opposition's attempts to put forward its plans to redevelop the existing RAH site.

No longer will this election be a referendum on a new hospital versus a redeveloped one, or a new sports stadium in the city.

http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,25490770-5018929,00.html

Pre-redistrib: http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/apps/news/?sectionID=6&pageID=259

Post-redistrib:
Metro: http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/apps/uploadedFiles/news/465/Electoral_Districts_-_Metropolitan_Area.pdf
Rural: http://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/apps/uploadedFiles/news/466/Electoral_Districts_-_Country_Region.pdf

It might take 20 years, but I suspect a time will come when Labor will be the “conservative” party and the Greens will be the second party, with the Libs relegated to a rump.

I vote Green then Labor, and even I think this is wishful thinking on the part of the left.

From my experience in Uni and local campaigning, this is how I’d break down youth support.

Members/active supporters: Greens 40%, ALP 50% Libs 8-9%.The rest support either FF or Socialists.

For passive support I’d take about 5% from the Greens, add 3 to the ALP and 2 to the Libs. Most of the others are swing voters.

Thats just personal observation though. It obviously depends where you are.

Way to respect your constituents, Lecky – no wonder they were so keen to see the back of you.

Anyway, the Green/left vote continues to rise in these seats, so I do think it is only a matter of time before The Greens put up an excellent, high profile candidate and then it will be on for young and old. And I think that once one seat falls, others will follow. It might take 20 years, but I suspect a time will come when Labor will be the “conservative” party and the Greens will be the second party, with the Libs relegated to a rump.

Possum did a very good demographic analysis on the subject last year some time, which showed the dyed-in-the-wool Liberals dropping off the twig (due to old age) and a distinct lack of young people coming through to replace them. At least the Labor Party (and the Greens in particular) have young members, and therefore have a half-decent chance of being around in 50 years. The Libs, on the other hand …