Reuters Poll Trend is back in business, presumably resuming its old methods of providing a weighted aggregate of results from Newspoll, Morgan and ACNielsen. As such it tells us nothing we didn’t already know, but its trend line is a handy thing to have. The current finding combines three weeks of results and has Labor’s two-party lead at 56.6-43.4, down from 57.3-42.7 previously.
Couple of legal matters to attend to:
• A legal challenge is proceeding against Labor’s 74-vote win in the seat of Chatsworth at the March 21 Queensland election. The LNP cites incidents of double voting and a strong overall result for Labor on absent votes as evidence of fraud. I’ve got a hat waiting to be eaten if the challenge is upheld.
• Gary Clark, husband of the former Lindsay MP Jackie Kelly, has been given the maximum fine of $1100 and ordered to pay more than $2000 in costs for his role in the distribution of fake pamphlets purporting to be from the “Islamic Australia Federation” in the week before the federal election. The ABC reports Magistrate Geoff Bradd aptly observing it was “difficult to think of a worst case of breaching the electoral act”, for which the penalties would seem to need strengthening.
• Note posts below on the latest state Newspoll results for Western Australia and South Australia.
423 Comments
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Did it just for you Glen
(though I think it was actually Sir Arnold GCMG who said the line)
Apparently Joe the Plumber has quit the Republican party. That says it all really, the Republican party isn’t good enough for HIM!
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/05/07/joe-the-plumber-quitting_n_198920.html
Obama v Palin would be a landslide to the Democrats. Something like Reagan achieved in http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1984
Yes, Joe was concerned with the GOP supporting all those Stimpacs. The fact that about 2 voted for them and more than a hundred voted against them sort of eluded him. I’m sure the GOP is glad to see the end of him.
Palin is the one to watch, along with Romney. Here are the odds;
Mitt Romney +400
Sarah Palin +400
Bobby Jindal +700
Mike Huckabee +700
Tim Pawlenty +700
Mark Sanford +1400
Charlie Crist +1400
Newt Gingrich +1600
David Petraeus +4000
Jeb Bush +5000
John McCain +5000
Kay Bailey Hutchison +5000
Ron Paul +5000
I’d take Crist and then Pawlenty out of those.
Good post from Bernard Keane on Rudd’s media performance of late:
Seriously guys, don’t be ashamed of the debt – embrace it! Convince us that we need it (because we sure as heck do). Take the public with you. Sigh.
But then I know bugger all about media spin etc. Through out 2007 I wanted Rudd to fire up and go Howard and Costello, and yet he just kept right on refusing to bite.
Smarter than me I guess.
http://www.crikey.com.au/2009/05/21/pms-media-deceptions-treat-voters-like-children/
Obviously Fox are secretely in cahoots with Obama.
Diog
Have you got a source for the statistic you gave for the amount of sexual predation amongst the RC religious?
The rest of you can start to read the detail here http://www.independent.ie/national-news/state-of-shame-1746476.html
The sooner Australian governments stop subsidising these animals (RC and others) in their so called educational institutions, hospitals, employment services we will all be better off.
“Girls were routinely sexually abused, often by more than one person at a time, the report said, in “dormitories, schools, motor vehicles, bathrooms, staff bedrooms, churches, sacristies, fields, parlors, the residences of clergy, holiday locations and while with godparents and employers.”
Ryan Report:
30 page executive summary at http://graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/world/2009/CICA-ExecutiveSummary.pdf
Full report: http://www.childabusecommission.ie/rpt/
BH @ 150
I suspect that the “Greta” you mentioned from Fox is Greta Van Susteren, whose father Urban van Susteren was a great friend and supporter of Senator Joe McCarthy. I suppose children can’t be held to blame for their parents, but it’s funny how the fruit doesn’t fall far from the tree, a bit like Eric and Great Uncle Otto.
I really don’t think the abused really care that much when it comes to fine language points. Perhaps the grand old church can get a few re-branding hints from the grand old party.
Q&A starts now for those in the eastern states.
That’s your second tasteless comment in as many days.
There are some leering loons in the Q & A audience tonight.
Penny Wong interesting on the care with which pollies approach media for fear of making a mistake. You can take it as gospel from her, she’s the number one exponent in interviews of ignoring the question and repeating the set lines over and over.
OMG. The Monk’s holier than thou attitude is sickening
Albert Ross
Philip Jenkins, a professor of history and religious studies at Pennsylvania State University and the author of “Pedophiles and Priests: Anatomy of a Contemporary Crisis” (Oxford University Press, 1996)
If you closed every institution that had 2% paedophiles, there would be none left.
Diog
Jenkins is a notorious apologist for religious predators.
Evening All,
I’m back …..
Edward, where have you been old son?
Diog, your propensity to defend the indefensible is really amazing. How was your childhood?
Edward!
Spooky.
Have you been lurking for a long time and only just realised people missed you, or were you let out once this site outed that you were missing?
Who opened the crypt?
ESJ
What a coincidence. I was talking about you earlier today. I thought when Studs Terkel passed that we might be getting a visit. How did the re-education go?
Finns
I’m not even offering an opinion. I’m just stating facts and drawing logical conclusions.
Yes I’ve come back Christian Socialist.
Diog, This is not an opinion?
As William Bowe says I am a seasonal malady.
But where is GP tonight? Is he in the audience?
And ‘minister for not yet”. How was that for a good line! But she handled it well.
No. That is a statement of fact given that 2% of the population are paedophiles.
Albert
It wasn’t his study that came up with the figures. He was quoting them. I’ll try to find the original article.
You have been lurking.
Diog, how did 2% of clergy morph into 2% of the population. You are a gymnast as well, amazing.
Bob Ellis was the star on Q & A tonight – he effortlessly and mercilessly ridiculed the governments’ position on the emissions scheme to the point even Mr Abbott swas sympathetic of Ms Wong.
cf the Beer Mat Mum, a minor etymological point.
‘Smoel’ means ‘face’. But I have only heard in the context of ‘Shut your face.’
Good
Then you will play nice
Which western democratic leader’s wife recently left him, complaining that he frequented minors?
(Hint: his popularity rating is, I believe, still higher than that of Rudd).
Q&A was interesting. Noted that Tony Abbot wasn’t willing to use religion as his moral foundation, probable not a good night for it.
Just loved Bod Ellis. Grumpy old man with a sense of humor.
“Penny Wong Minster for not yet”, I bet it sticks.
Boerwar, that’s too easy.
Aww shucks William 181 did you miss me? – does that mean I get a pass when one of the urchins comes crying to momma over a smackdown?
Is that afrikaans, and does it precede kaffir or some other derogatory term??
Gus, ‘Smoel’ – Smiggle, my previous?
And so it should.
Penny was unconsciously quoting John Clarke and Bryan Dawe’s piece last week for a while there.
Boer War,
Mel Gibson
my previous? = my precious
Diogenese
I am with you on nepotism and public funding.
Tax funds should go with specifications that they be spent efficiently and effectively, and should meet certain standards of transparency and equity.
If people can’t be bothered being accountable for these sort of standards they should just knock the money back.
I would extend the principle to publicly listed companies in the private sector where nepotism using shareholder’s funding has cost shareholder’s in some companies hundreds of millions of dollars as it turned out that the kiddies did not have the same business nous as their daddies and mummies.
The Finnigans
I don’t feel that way about my own previous.
GG
LOL. Not even warm.
Gusface
Perhaps.
Except for his silly comment regarding the sex in rugby incident.
ESJ
The very one and the same? Glen and GP have tried but lack a certain je ne sais quoi in the downputtery line. Welcome back.
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