Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Morgan: 55-45

The latest Morgan face-to-face survey of 897 respondents was conducted last weekend, at the worst possible time for Labor with respect to “utegate”, and it shows their two-party lead narrowing from 57-43 to 55-45. This is Labor’s weakest showing at a Morgan face-to-face poll since August 2008, a month before Malcolm Turnbull replaced Brendan Nelson as Liberal leader. Their primary vote is down from 48.5 per cent to 46 per cent, while the Coalition’s is up from 38 per cent to 41 per cent. The Greens are up from 7 per cent to 8.5 per cent; for what it’s worth, Family First are down from 2.5 per cent to 1 per cent.

899 Comments

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  1. 801
    Steve K
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:10 pm | Permalink

    he’s probably alienated every measureable demographic.

    Except for the members of the Cat Strangulation Society who reckon big bad Mal is a top bloke.

  2. 802
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:12 pm | Permalink

    “MALCOLM Turnbull has paid for his botched attack on Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, with more than half of voters believing he was deceitful about a now-notorious fake email. Even among committed Coalition voters, nearly a third believe he has been deceitful and another 10 per cent say he has been dishonest. A Galaxy poll taken at the weekend has revealed the Opposition Leader’s integrity has taken a hammering, revealing a rump of only 7 per cent of voters who think he was “open and honest” during the affair.”

    “Hit in the polls” my ass.

  3. 803
    Gusface
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:15 pm | Permalink

    Steve K
    and of course the “101 uses for a dead cat” demographic
    http://uncyclopedia.wikia.com/wiki/101_uses_for_a_dead_cat

    In the dead-end days of 1981, as the world staggered drunkenly under the horrors of the Disco Dystopia, a man named Simon Bond wrote a book called 101 Uses for a Dead Cat.

  4. 804
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:18 pm | Permalink

    Seeing is believing…tv trumps news print.

  5. 805
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:19 pm | Permalink

    I always had the feeling that Galaxy produce the most conservative figure of the lot, but just a feeling.

  6. 806
    Steve K
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:22 pm | Permalink

    Gusface, Turnbull’s favourite book for sure.

  7. 807
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:22 pm | Permalink

    I always had the feeling that Galaxy produce the most conservative figure of the lot, but just a feeling.

    Well Galaxy is showing the 2PP swing as the result of a rise in The Greens vote to 12%. That’s quite high compared to the other polls and I doubt Nielsen will replicate it.

  8. 808
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:24 pm | Permalink

    Regardless of the TPP it seems that Turnbull has just become unelectable, with trust figures like that.

  9. 809
    Gusface
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:25 pm | Permalink

    Gusface, Turnbull’s favourite book for sure.

    from my understanding the year of release was co-incidental to other feats of
    catricide
    ;)

  10. 810
    Steve K
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:27 pm | Permalink

    Malcolm Turnbull

    A.K.A. Simon Bond

  11. 811
    Steve K
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:30 pm | Permalink

    Coalition dealt blow in Newspoll
    Updated: 23:17, Sunday June 28, 2009

    Malcolm Turnbull and the Coalition have received a devastating blow in the latest Newspoll to be published in tomorrow's Australian newspaper, the first since the OzCar scandal erupted in parliament.

    In the preferred Prime Minister stakes, Kevin Rudd's approval has surged to 65 per cent, while Mr Turnbull has erased any recent gains, dropping back to an approval rating of just 18 per cent.

    On a two-party preferred basis, the Coalition has slumped three points, in the wake of Malcolm Turnbull's call for the Prime Minister's resignation, while labor has soared ahead three points.

    The result will come as a pleasant surprise to the Prime Minister, who recently said he expected to take a hit in the polls over the OzCar affair.

  12. 812
    Steve K
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:31 pm | Permalink

    Kev knew all along didn’t he Adam.

  13. 813
    Steve K
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:32 pm | Permalink

    http://www.skynews.com.au/news/article.aspx?id=346918

    This is the link for the Newspoll story

  14. 814
    ShowsOn
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:32 pm | Permalink

    On a two-party preferred basis, the Coalition has slumped three points, in the wake of Malcolm Turnbull's call for the Prime Minister's resignation, while labor has soared ahead three points.

    So does that mean 56/44? Same as Galaxy?

  15. 815
    Gusface
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:33 pm | Permalink

    whats the number???

  16. 816
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:33 pm | Permalink

    ok why relase now? maybe sky has mixed up galaxy with newspoll?

  17. 817
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:35 pm | Permalink

    Kev is still bigger than jesus then?

  18. 818
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:36 pm | Permalink

    Kev knew all along didn’t he Adam.

    Kevin sees all, Kevin knows all. In Kevin we trust.

  19. 819
    Gusface
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:37 pm | Permalink

    Kev knew all along didn’t he Adam.

    Kevin sees all, Kevin knows all. In Kevin we trust.

    Steady on Zombie

    He’s only a demi-god
    ;)

  20. 820
    Greensborough Growler
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:39 pm | Permalink

    If Labour up 3 then it’s 56/44 same as Galaxy.

  21. 821
    Glen
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:42 pm | Permalink

    Bring on the Member for North Sydney…

  22. 822
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:43 pm | Permalink

    Bring on the Member for North Sydney

    No, he’s stuffed too. Bring on Abbott, he’s the last Lib left standing.

  23. 823
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:46 pm | Permalink

    In the preferred Prime Minister stakes, Kevin Rudd's approval has surged to 65 per cent, while Mr Turnbull has erased any recent gains, dropping back to an approval rating of just 18 per cent.

    This is where the Liberals will be most angry. The fired their single shot and missed badly, hurting themselves. The real problem for them now is it won’t work again, it was a once only trick. People wont believe it a second time.

  24. 824
    Glen
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:48 pm | Permalink

    Well we still have

    Bilson
    Hunt
    Keenan
    Morrison

    After that we’ve got nothing…

  25. 825
    Glen
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:49 pm | Permalink

    The Member for Wentworth put it all on Red and it came up Black…

  26. 826
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:50 pm | Permalink

    The Member for Wentworth put it all on Red and it came up Black…

    He was also playing on a fake table.

  27. 827
    Mr Squiggle
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:51 pm | Permalink

    Steve K – Nice one!!

  28. 828
    Glen
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:52 pm | Permalink

    The chips were real though…

  29. 829
    ShowsOn
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:53 pm | Permalink

    Hunt

    No one takes the 15 year old seriously. That dog won’t…

    Keenan

    He needs to learn how to speak properly first.

  30. 830
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:53 pm | Permalink

    Howard bowled Rudd 0
    Costello retired ‘hurt’ 0
    Nelson bowled Rudd 0
    Turnbull ‘hit wicket’ 2

    Coalition 4 for 2

  31. 831
    Scarpat
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:54 pm | Permalink

    In a first, Indonesians have stopped a people smugglers boat from landing that was heading from Australia to Indonesia. The only occupant was a cat that spoke with a Sydney eastern suburbs accent.

  32. 832
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:56 pm | Permalink

    nielsen 58-42

    http://www.theage.com.au/national/support-for-turnbull-plunges-20090628-d19z.html

  33. 833
    Glen
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:57 pm | Permalink

    Thomas id correct that scorecard…

    Howard – stumped Rudd
    Nelson – caught and bowled Rudd
    Costello – retired ‘hurt’
    Turnbull – handling the ball

    lol

    BTW what is with the cat reference that came up with this week?

  34. 834
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:59 pm | Permalink

    See that video link I posted earlier…..this will what is going in Liberal Party HQ right now. Uncanny how something 8 months ago fits perfect now.

    Somebody has been busy, a quality job on the subtitles…somebody here do this one?
    It says it was uploaded 8 months ago…if so it is remarkably appropriate for Malcolm today - because it is Godwin’s law applied in spades.

    Malcolm Turnbull - Downfall
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gEOwfMo38Os

  35. 835
    Greensborough Growler
    Posted Sunday, June 28, 2009 at 11:59 pm | Permalink

    What is this.

    Pollster Mazurka?

  36. 836
    ShowsOn
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:00 am | Permalink

    Hockey is outpolling Turnbull on prefered leader:

    More than twice as many people (37 per cent to 18 per cent) would prefer Peter Costello than Mr Turnbull as Liberal leader, despite Mr Costello already announcing he will not run for another term. Shadow treasurer Joe Hockey, on 21 per cent, is also outshining Mr Turnbull as preferred opposition leader, with Tony Abbott on 10 per cent.

  37. 837
    ShowsOn
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:01 am | Permalink

    Costello - retired ‘hurt’

    I think he was timed out, he had his chances years ago.

  38. 838
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:01 am | Permalink

    Turnbull – caught tampering with ball, banned for life.

    *phut*

  39. 839
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:02 am | Permalink

    Oh Dear:

    Mr Turnbull's approval is his lowest ever, and the lowest for an opposition leader since the final weeks of Brendan Nelson, the man he toppled.

    Mr Turnbull's net approval — calculated by subtracting disapproval from approval — is minus 28 per cent. The last opposition leader to reach this sort of level was Simon Crean, shortly before he lost the Labor leadership in 2003. Mr Turnbull's 60 per cent disapproval is the worst for an opposition leader since Mr Crean.

    Pollster John Stirton said: "Mr Turnbull now has an approval rating similar to that of Brendan Nelson on the way out and a disapproval rating similar to that of Simon Crean on the way out."

    http://www.theage.com.au/national/support-for-turnbull-plunges-20090628-d19z.html

  40. 840
    Gusface
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:02 am | Permalink

    The Liberal party are calling this a CATastrophe, what with the leader suffering from CATatonic outbursts and frequent CATerwauling. A CAT scan revealed no obvious CATaracts inhis eye.

    Although not a CATacylsm, there is certainly a feeling that voter disenchanment will CATch on.
    Mr Turnbull CATegorically denied he read CATo as a student, tho he did admit reading CATcher in the rye.

  41. 841
    ShowsOn
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:04 am | Permalink

    Mr Turnbull CATegorically denied he read CATo as a student, tho he did admit reading CATcher in the rye.

    And the Liberals are going to put him on a CATamaran and send him to Indonesia?

  42. 842
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:05 am | Permalink

    So I think Rudd toned it down in the Parliament because he knew he had a poll surge.

  43. 843
    Mr Squiggle
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:06 am | Permalink

    Neilson easily the worst of the these three

    Newspoll & Galaxy are within normal volatility (eg Newspoll TPP is same as 4 weeks ago)

    But the AC’s gonna cause some problems

  44. 844
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:07 am | Permalink

    The result will come as a pleasant surprise to the Prime Minister, who recently said he expected to take a hit in the polls over the OzCar affair.

    Heh.

  45. 845
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:08 am | Permalink

    I guess 56/44 might then actually be a 54+

  46. 846
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:08 am | Permalink

    56+ I mean

  47. 847
    ShowsOn
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:08 am | Permalink

    Why is it that the Liberal party, that supposedly hates red tape and government regulation, has forced the government to increase read tape and regulation:

    A plan to reveal the home country of companies that buy Australian debt is unravelling just a week after it was forced on the Federal Government to put it in place.

    The West Australian understands Government bureaucrats are struggling to come up with a system that will conform with what has been demanded by the Parliament, not become overly expensive and actually reveal the details sought by the coalition.

    http://petermartin.blogspot.com/2009/06/whered-those-dollars-come-from.html

    Who cares which country buys Australian debt. Australia is a mainly market, and internationalised economy!

  48. 848
    Glen
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:09 am | Permalink

    The state of the Federal Liberal Party is getting as bad as the state of the Liberal Party of Victoria…

    We dont deserve to get elected for a good while until we clean up our act, they all ought to be ashamed Menzies would think the lot of em are a disgrace!

  49. 849
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:10 am | Permalink

    Well hopefully this last episode will be an end to the smear type tactics from the Coalition. It has taken a few years…but hopefully this will convince them to give it up.

  50. 850
    ShowsOn
    Posted Monday, June 29, 2009 at 12:12 am | Permalink

    We dont deserve to get elected for a good while until we clean up our act, they all ought to be ashamed Menzies would think the lot of em are a disgrace!

    Your mob needs to stop nominating failed accountants and clapped out lawyers.

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