Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Reuters Poll Trend: 55.8-44.2

The latest Reuters Poll Trend weighted average of Newspoll, Morgan and ACNielsen results has federal Labor with a two-party lead of 55.8-44.2, presumably being weighed down a little by recent results from before the weekend.

UPDATE: Roy Morgan has joined in on the action with a small sample (546) phone poll including questions on leadership approval, which Morgan doesn’t normally do. It finds Malcolm Turnbull’s approval rating down to 25 per cent from 43 per cent in May, with his disapproval up a breathtaking 33.5 per cent to 62.5 per cent. Kevin Rudd’s approval rating on 63 per cent, up from 57.5 per cent in May, with his disapproval rating down from 33.5 per cent to 29 per cent. Labor holds leads of 56-44 on two-party preferred and 46 per cent to 39 per cent on the primary vote, which is actually quite mild by Morgan standards. Newspoll has also published its quarterly geographic and demographic breakdowns of recent polling by state, age, sex, and capitals/non-capitals.

Apart from that:

• Robert Taylor of The West Australian reports that Labor preselections for some highly winnable Liberal-held seats in Perth appear to be ”stitched up”. In the only two seats in the country which the Coalition gained from Labor in 2007, Cowan and Swan, those respectively named are Wanneroo mayor Jon Kelly and Slater & Gordon lawyer Tim Hammond. Kelly is interesting, as he ran as an independent against state Labor MP Margaret Quirk in Girrawheen at the 2005 election after a split in the Right faction. In Stirling, where decorated Iraq war veteran Peter Tinley failed to unseat current Shadow Workplace Relations Minister Michael Keenan in 2007, the nod is apparently set to be given to Karen Brown, former deputy editor of The West Australian and current chief-of-staff to Eric Ripper. Brown famously failed to win the new notionally Labor seat of Mount Lawley at the state election last September after suffering an 8 per cent swing, which many blamed on Alan Carpenter’s insistence that local member Bob Kucera make way for Brown. Peter Tinley is said to be holding out for a safe seat or a Senate position, and the unlikelihood of either suggests he will not be a starter at the next election. In Hasluck, which Sharryn Jackson recovered for Labor in 2007 after a term in the wilderness, Liberals are said by Taylor to be “working behind the scenes” to secure the endorsement of Mike Dean, who last week stepped down from his high-profile position as president of the Police Union.

• The ABC reports that Kathryn Hay will seek Labor preselection for Bass at next year’s state election. Hay is a former Miss Tasmania who became Tasmania’s first Aboriginal MP when elected at the age of 27 in 2002. After surprising everybody by dropping out at the 2006 election, Hay ran as an independent against Ivan Dean in the upper house seat of Windermere in May, and did very well to finish within 5 per cent of victory on the final count. With incumbent Jim Cox retiring, Michelle O’Byrne a sure bet for re-election, and Labor looking certain to win a second seat but very unlikely to pick up a third, the battle for the second seat is looking like a tussle between Hay, Beaconsfield mine disaster survivor Brant Webb, CFMEU forests division secretary Scott McLean (who famously came out in support of John Howard at the 2004 federal election) and Winnaleah school principal Brian Wightman, with only the latter looking an obvious also-ran.

Rick Wallace of The Australian reports that George Seitz, western Melbourne Labor Right potentate and state Keilor MP, proposes to publish a “warts and all” account of his career in politics. Seitz is being forced out after nearly three decades in parliament due to a Victorian Ombudsman’s report which probed into the involvement of various state MPs in goings-on at Brimbank City Council. The aforementioned Wallace article is worth reading for a broader overview of the episode’s far-reaching impact on the Victorian ALP.

Andrew Landeryou at VexNews reports that the closure of nominations has brought no challenges to sitting federal Liberal MPs in Victoria – including Kevin Andrews in Menzies, who was believed to be under threat from former Peter Reith staffer Ian Hanke.

Nick in comments informs us that according to a Channel Nine news report, Labor polling has it trailing the Coalition 57-43 on NSW state voting intention.

2,238 Comments

  1. 1
    Socrates
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:26 am | Permalink

    This is pretty grim for the Libs; no matter which poll you prefer it is worse than the last election, which means more seats adn Senate numbers would be lost. Now is the time for the government to push through all relevant legislation in the Senate. They wouldn’t dare risk a DD trigger on these figures.

    I realise that Antony Green and Pos have pointed out any DD trigger would be months away. Even so, is there any estimate or state by state breakdown of where the Senate numbers would change if a DD were triggered between now and christmas?

  2. 2
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:31 am | Permalink

    Glen @ 1611 wrote

    Why should i apologise? You should know us tories never apologise.

    Probably why they’re in power only in WA. As the saying goes, it takes “a big wo/man” to apologise. Failing to apologise always diminishes one in the eyes of those with the decency and guts to do it.

    Interestingly, it takes MalT’s long-time friend Bob Ellis to come up with a handy list of things for which Howard’s Tories should have apologised and didn’t; just in case we’d forgotten some (I’d completely forgotten about Doug Moran), and a few insights into a younger MalT, in case we wanted them. He’s probably blown it

    They wouldn’t be Liberals, I guess, if they thought connectedly. But it’s worth noting how unconnectedly they think.

    They think, for instance, that Wayne Swan should resign his seat for telling the House that John Grant got ‘no special treatment’…

    ….But Philip Ruddock should not resign his seat for telling the House that boat people were ‘terrorists in disguise’. And Kevin Andrews should not resign his seat for telling the House that ‘worrying evidence’ remained that proved Mohamed Haneef should not get his passport back. And Alexander Downer should not have resigned his seat for calling David Hicks ‘a trained killer’ when he has caused less harm in his life thus far than the average Kings Cross bouncer.

    And Peter Reith should not have resigned his seat for saying repeatedly he had clear evidence that children were flung overboard when he knew he hadn’t. And Mark Vaile should not have resigned his seat for telling the House he ‘had no idea’ that two hundred and ninety-eight million dollars went to Saddam Hussein. (Nobody, curiously, has yet resigned over that. Perhaps nobody did it.)

    And John Howard should not have resigned for channelling hundreds of millions to his friend Doug Moran, or trying to, and tens of millions to his brother Stan Howard, and hundreds of million to the Liberal donor Chris Corrigan.

    No, none of these things should have happened but Wayne Swan, who channelled no money at all to his car dealer John Grant, not a penny, not a brass razoo, should resign …

    ….Liberals aren’t good at thinking connectedly, we know that. What is really surprising is that Malcolm Turnbull isn’t either …

    … followed by an interesting list and anecdotes.

    None of this would have been raked up again had the Liberals had enough sense to recall the Howard Government’s cronyism (many would say corruption) and add 1 (demands Rudd & Swann resign over a 2min phonecall, which was all John Grant got) and 1 (the Howard Government’s cronyism and deception) to get The ALP will use televised QT to rake up our own past sins repeatedly if we’re dumb enough to go on a fishing expedition in the hope there’s more to a fake email than a 2min phone call

    Expect to hear a lot of these in Parliamentary QT, all you Tories, unless you and your leaders have the sense to forget Utegate ever happened; but I doubt that, being as unconnected as BobE indicates, they do.

  3. 3
    Socrates
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:45 am | Permalink

    While I don’t wish to trigger too much debate about ALP/Lib reporting bias, I feel that this is evidence of a different bias (pro-Israel) on the ABC news website:

    Amnesty International issued a report stating that Israel used excessive force in civilian areas in the invasion of Gaza, including the use of civilians as human shields:

    SMH: Amnesty Accuses Israel over Gaza
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/amnesty-accuses-israel-over-gaza-20090702-d6jl.html

    Evidently this story isn’t important enough to make the world news at The Australian.

    The ABC headline was “Israel and Hamas deny war crimes”:
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/03/2615563.htm?section=justin

    Yet the story by ABC correspondant Anne Barker doesn’t document any denial of war crimes by Hamas. It puts together an AI report with analysis of Israeli use of human shields with separate descriptions of rocket attacks against Israeli settlements as war crimes. So it sounds like a “he said/she said” story about a report blaming both sides, when the AI report squarely blamed Israeli tactics in the fighting. The casualty toll was 1400 Palestinian vs 13 Israeli, which is hardly indicative of both sides being equally at fault. (Unless you think 100 Palestinian lives are worth one Israeli, which is, well, racism.)

  4. 4
    Ozymandias
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:49 am | Permalink

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25725994-5013871,00.html

    Comedy gold from Imre Saluszinski in the OO. Such nuance, such journalistic balance… I mean, how more fair could a journalist get than to quote Tony Abbott, John Howard and Alan Jones, all in the same story?

  5. 5
    The Finnigans
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:59 am | Permalink

    If I have one beef with Kevin Rudd, it has to be his “pussy footing” around China. I really dont know where he stands on the strategy relationships with China. He has given mixed messages all around, ranging from:

    * chummy chummy with the Chinese President during APEC in Mandarin
    * open criticizing China’s human rights records in Beijing, in Mandarin
    * supposedly secret meetings with the Chinese
    * snubbing the Chinese UK Ambassador in a BBC interview
    * being accused of being the chief Ambassador for Chinese interests
    * to “all the way with USA” mantra
    * basically trying to be all things to all people in the China issue

    PJK is right again of course, in term of our strategic position and politics with Asian countries. It’s a pity that we dont have a govt system that can have people like PJK in the Govt executive. PJK should be our FM, Smithy is a big disappointment.

    Now the great surplus states like China sit at the head table, as do the large demographically young states like India and Brazil. Finally, the world is being remade. From the time of Japan's accelerating reconstruction in the 1960s and following Deng Xiaoping's economic revolution in China from the late 1970s, we have been speaking of world power shifting from the West to the East. It has now arrived..........

    So this great state with its profound sense of self and the wherewithal to make a better life for its citizens has eased itself into a major role in world affairs, a role, which I believe, will be an altogether positive one for the world at large. China's advent will cause adjustments. It will change the relative position of the United States, most particularly, in an economic sense. The greatest strategic powers have invariably been the greatest economic powers.......

    We must always be outgoing. We must be alert, dextrous and positive: never defensive. For these reasons, I found myself at odds with some of the Government's 2009 Defence White Paper. Recognising that China will be the strongest Asian military power, it discusses "the remote but plausible potential of confrontation" between us and a major power adversary, not suggesting who that power might be.

    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/rise-of-china-no-cause-for-alarm-20090702-d6eo.html?page=-1

  6. 6
    Hugo
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 9:16 am | Permalink

    There has been much talk about the lack of DD triggers at present, but could the government use the bill re electoral reform that bit the dust back in March? The Libs might be tempted to block it again as it does threaten their funding base (eg reducing declarable donation amounts etc). The government should put this up again in August, as it would be a good result either way – it’s actually a pretty good piece of legislation (and so would be good to see pass into law), but if it gets voted down the government has a DD trigger.

    Any thoughts?

  7. 7
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 9:18 am | Permalink

    Just regarding Imre:

    While Rudd was attacking News Limited newspapers yesterday about their coverage of the OzCar affair and wastage in the government's $14.7 billion Building the Education Revolution program...

    The culmination of a typical OO bootstrapper. “Wastage” is established. They feel they don’t need to argue it, or call it “reports of wastage” or “alleged wastage” anymore.

    How it must have vexed them to give up their one-banner campaign without any help from other papers, or even much from the Coalition as the Utegate business took off. hey were just about to give Rudd the ol’ one-two and the fake email came along, pushing the rest off the front pages. We haven’t seen one article on “wastage” since, but in their minds it is a proven fact.

    Actually, in his speech the other day, Hartigan admitted the bootstrapper was “a campaign” and said that this was why Rudd and Gillard picked on News. It wasn’t in revenge for Utegate, it was a reaction to their “campaign” against “wastage” in the Schools program.

    Nice to know these tired eyes can still see a phoney News beat-up when they try it on.

  8. 8
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 9:22 am | Permalink

    I realise that Antony Green and Pos have pointed out any DD trigger would be months away. Even so, is there any estimate or state by state breakdown of where the Senate numbers would change if a DD were triggered between now and christmas?

    There won’t be an election before Christmas. The earlier one could be called would be around November 18 and given the minimum time required for ‘the campaign’ it’d put it much too close to Christmas. The Government would likely get stung if they interrupted peoples’ holiday/Christmas plans for their own political benefit.

  9. 9
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 9:25 am | Permalink

    There has been much talk about the lack of DD triggers at present, but could the government use the bill re electoral reform that bit the dust back in March?

    I’m pretty sure it was a bill introduced in the Senate. DD triggers require introduction (both times) in the House of Representatives.

  10. 10
    Ozymandias
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 9:26 am | Permalink

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25716139-5014047,00.html

    Christian Kerr chips in with his own brand of forensic fairness. Albeit headlined with a 40pt non-sequitur: “Would this man to buy a used car?”

    How can this joke of a news organisation purport to produce a journal of record, given its naked anti-Rudd bias? How can it hope to be taken seriously in its endless pushing for higher standards of literacy when it makes such gross errors in big, bold typefaces?

  11. 11
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 9:28 am | Permalink

    Re “grass”, other recreational drugs & anti-drug policies …

    I’ve not used grass because, waay back in the early 60s, at a Luau (?sp) in very smokey Surfers Paradise Pub, it was as if an evil gremlin whacked me across the eyes & nose with a baseball bat; thereafter, my sinuses were a better pot detector than sniffer dogs. That’s early 60s, as in “I then decamped to the Chevron where the Allen Brothers were playing!” Grass wasn’t illegal, probably because it grew wild through then-thick Q bushland. But by the mid 60s, it was illegal, and the first anti-drug (other than nicotine & alcohol) campaigns started. Damned if I could see the sense (other than to save the allergic ones’ reactions) in banning something anyone could grow, tho only if it wasn’t growing wild – which it was in the creek near the local SHS!

    Let me repeat: Anti-(illegal) drug campaigns started in the mid 60s – more than 40 years ago.

    LSD was still legal at the time & prescribed; until The Beatles too it up as did their fans. I remember the year of the first anti-LSD campaign (school lectures), because I was there only in 1967. Again, over 40 years ago The first anti-heroin (school) lectures were about the same time as the first Moon-landing (1969), and Country Party MLAs tried to roll Joh BP … again 40 years ago! By then, I was married, a parent, and my prob with pot & cost of antihistamines needed to go to pop concerts, even restaurants killed any desire to try others. But, brought up on the principle “Mind your own business!” I saw no reason, other than addiction’s horrors, why users couldn’t go to hell in their own hand-baskets, if they so desired.

    More education cried Joh’s mob, the “Christians” and the CM more public campaigns; harsher penalties… as they’ve been crying ever more stridently since, and getting them – for 40 long, loong, looong years and still they’re demanding more of the same.

    What has all the money spent on education & public awareness, all the harsher penalties, the CM etc screaming for action (currently about E in their usual holiday The Drug Surge campaign, actually achieved?

    Far more pervasive use of far wider variety of purchased & home-grown, home-made recreational drugs! And a situation in which most crime, from murder to mother-bashing, are drug-related.

    Several European cities I’ve recently visited have decided to treat drug-addiction as an illness, not a crime, and administer the drug (free in their medical systems) under supervision. The results?

    There’s no money in drugs. The dealers leave town. The crime rate plummets – over 90% in Zürich – as do insurance premiums and sales of security equipment and the cost of ed, ad etc campaigns. People leave their windows open when weather permits. Bikes again line streets there & in Dutch/ some Scandinavian cities. Kids play outdoors, go to school, town, discos etc without their parents having the horrors about drugs.

    Spot the campaign that does work!

  12. 12
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 9:34 am | Permalink

    Potential DD triggers (down the line):

    Horse Disease Response Levy Bill 2008 (and related bills)
    National Fuelwatch (Empowering Consumers) Bill 2008 (and related bills)
    Safe Work Australia Bill 2008

    Plus, if it were to be now laid aside in the HoR:
    Families, Housing, Community Services and Indigenous Affairs and Other Legislation Amendment (Emergency Response Consolidation) Bill 2008

    As you can see from this there’s very little currently there to suggest there will be a DD anytime soon. The Libs will cave on Safe Work and Fuelwatch is a dead duck.

  13. 13
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:01 am | Permalink

    Qzymandius, all very funny but another thing that has been going on for years is that the Courier Mail lead story becomes the major talking point for Madonna King becomes the first question from the leader of the Opposition in Question time in the Queensland Parliament.

    Even the worst Courier Mail beatup is given a good run for the whole day whether worthy of such scrutiny or not. Still despite all this Labor continues to win state elections so the News Ltd/ABC strategy is not as effective as many imagine it would be. It has just become a shadow aspect of Queensland life the population has accepted and they vote against the Courier Mail line at the ballot box.

  14. 14
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:15 am | Permalink

    http://www.newspoll.com.au/image_uploads/0607%20State%20&%20Dem.pdf

    03/07/09:Geographic and demographic analysis – Voting intention and leaders’ ratings

  15. 15
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:16 am | Permalink

    I’m still trying to figure out why the coalition continues to do so well in WA, right from the last election up till now.

  16. 16
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:22 am | Permalink

    When News Ltd sees rabbles of Oppositions with weak leaders such as Queensland and the Federal Liberals openly display then the temptation is to try to fill the vacuum created by this lack of leadership.Back up their own importance by bringing out a Galaxy poll, not on a regular basis but whenever it suits the News Ltd political agenda and it is easy to believe their strategy is genuine and successful.

    The bit they forget is that when people go to vote, News Ltd does not appear on the ballot paper, just the name of the hopeless rabble which the voters are quite willing to reject.

  17. 17
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:25 am | Permalink

    When News Ltd sees rabbles of Oppositions with weak leaders such as Queensland and the Federal Liberals openly display

    The QLD opposition is actually one of the better ones. NSW, Vic, SA, and WA clearly have more rabbles of oppositions.

  18. 18
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:29 am | Permalink

    Back up their own importance by bringing out a Galaxy poll, not on a regular basis but whenever it suits the News Ltd political agenda and it is easy to believe their strategy is genuine and successful.

    Are you trying to suggest the most recent Galaxy poll should be ignored?

  19. 19
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:30 am | Permalink

    Bob all I can say is that you have been reading too much News Ltd trash and not enough Queensland hansard since the last election the Queensland Opposition is in a worse state than anywhere else in the country with Springborg towering over Langbroek. Do you really expect us to believe the Nationals will allow a weak Liberal breathing space to be Opposition Leader in his own right? It isn’t happening.

  20. 20
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:31 am | Permalink

    After reading that “piece” by Imre Salusinszky in today’s OZ, I sat here for 10 or 15 minutes just shaking my head at the level of rubbish and misinformation that is streaming out of this publication now.

    I “never” thought I could day this, but The article from Shannahan is a standout in balance and objectivity in comparison with most of the other gerbage emanating from this supposedly, Australia’s premier newspaper.

    How anyone could write something like this with a straight face is beyond me. Do these people take us for “fools” or do they just think we have such a faulty memory of events, that we could just accept something like this a being an accurate detailing of current and recent events?

    Wells believes Rudd has received a softer ride than Howard from the media - although he adds this could easily shift with longevity. One point he does make is that if a fake email had surfaced in 1997, suggesting Howard had sought special favours for a mate, the reaction would have been "hysterical" and would have survived the unmasking of the lie.

    "If you relate it to children overboard, that was hysterical," Wells said.

    But it is likely there are deeper cultural reasons why a lie against Rudd evaporated in nanoseconds, whereas a lie against Howard was guaranteed to linger in the political ether indefinitely.

    Journalists, after all, have limited scope to shape the historical narrative, compared with the vast ballast of the intelligentsia in universities, non-government organisations and the arts.

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25725994-5013871,00.html

    It is well beyond time that the MSM in Australia was held accountable. Go, get em Ruddy!

  21. 21
    BH
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:32 am | Permalink

    Saw Kev’s little bit about the Murdoch press this a.m. and all said with slight smile on his face. He said there had been no apology or retraction re the fake email reporting from the 3 editors. Also mentioned that Julia G’s comment was not in retaliation as suggested by that mob.

    He ain’t scared of them and they won’t be getting away with anything from now on.

    Fantastic.

    Trioli and a journo this a.m. were ridiculing Kev’s words about taking the ute to ‘Deni’. Their hero, John Howard, would never have said anything like that or tried to appear on popular media, they said. How dare Rudd do it.

    ABC Breakfast is so funny that we watch the political bits now and then for a laugh. We’re never disappointed.

  22. 22
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:34 am | Permalink

    Ozymandias @4 wrote

    Comedy gold from Imre Saluszinski in the OO.

    Ah, yes, the dramatic irony of:

    Rudd’s triumph has been to water down a ruthless political will with a warm-and-cuddly persona that has been sold to the public on media platforms that were regarded as beneath his predecessor, John Howard.

    Members of Team Howard, including the former prime minister, have been shaking their heads at Rudd’s extraordinary exertions of spin and the tolerance of the Canberra press gallery towards the exercise.

    Rove is “beneath” Little Johnny’s Johnnycash for comment shock jocks? Oh spare me! What parallel universe is Imre Saluszinski in? Has I.S. not eyeballed Possum’s graphs? Does he not realise that the Libs have lost GenY, even Gen X and almost half of GenBlue (& never did have the Boomers)? Does he not realise that, to win government, Libs have to attract Rove-watching bloggers, twitters, You Tubers, My Spacere etc GenY, GenX … even ancient GenBluers like me?

    Or, in fact, is he, like most NewsLtd opinionists, just utterly shi#ty that those generations form their opinions from and, more importantly on the new media & younger presenters like Rove and FM (soon to be digital) radio?

    Hark to the message between the lines; more subtle than his boss’s Press Club rant – tho it might not circle the globe via the dreaded New Media. Hear this!

    Storm those radio stations, Laddies! Smash those evil computers, those blackberries & iPhones! Destroy those Intertubes! Humankind will always need newspapers. Do it for Rupert, I say

    We NewsLtd journos & our TV mates were the ones who provided Little Johnny with the spinning wheels, the yarn, and marketed the products of his spinning to our mutual advantage. And this Rudd destroyed all that; destroyed the greatest spinner of all! Now, just because we slammed him, spun webs of misinformation about him, created stupendous beat-ups, spread rumours – tried everything in our power to destroy him before the election – he has the hide to criticise us – even spurn us – for these new machines.

    He’s evil! A ruthless politician. All spin and no substance – so unlike innocent, honest, eternally straightforward Johnny, who’d never lie, never sacrifice truth, justice and the Australian belief in a fair go to alljust to hold on to power!

    Take the R out of Rudd, I say; smash his machines and their masters! Replace R with L and all will be alright in the NewsLtd Universe! With Rupert as our leader and dear Ned Ludd as out icon, we will prevail …

    >em>In your dreams, I.S.

  23. 23
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:35 am | Permalink

    Kevin Rudd should just say “I’ll leave the media to examine itself and my personality all they want. If anyone has any questions of real national significance I’ll be happy to answer them”.

  24. 24
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:35 am | Permalink

    I’m still trying to figure out why the coalition continues to do so well in WA, right from the last election up till now.

    The WA electorate has had years and years of Coalition propaganda rammed down their necks by a partisan, conservative, anti-Labor press in the guise of the Western Australian.

    Now that its presentation, opinion and reporting are more moderate, then I think you will find that that will gradually turn around to a more balanced level more reflective of reality!

  25. 25
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:37 am | Permalink

    LTEP, I have doubts about every Galaxy Poll outside of an official election campaign in Queensland because of the adhoc nature of their release by News Ltd. It is either produced and published on a regular basis or a joke for mine.

  26. 26
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:38 am | Permalink

    Bob all I can say is that you have been reading too much News Ltd trash and not enough Queensland hansard

    If you have to go to hansard to find disunity, you’ve just proven the point that the QLD opposition are one of the better ones.

  27. 27
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:42 am | Permalink

    LTEP, I have doubts about every Galaxy Poll outside of an official election campaign in Queensland because of the adhoc nature of their release by News Ltd.

    I see. Sounds an awful lot like our conservative friends prior to the 2007 election.

  28. 28
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:44 am | Permalink

    News are a joke, and have been for some time. The last month has simply brought their shameful bias further into the light.

  29. 29
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:45 am | Permalink

    If you have to go to hansard to find disunity, you’ve just proven the point that the QLD opposition are one of the better ones.

    One of the most extraordinary comments ever posted on Poll Bludger. Do you think the editor of the Courier Mail and Madonna King might be better sources for Queensland Political information?

  30. 30
    BH
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:54 am | Permalink

    News ltd. have probably lost a lot of people like me. I used to buy at least 2 papers every day up until 24/11/07.

    I know what line they are going to take and mostly what the agenda will be. Why bother wasting money when I can tour around the web getting a wider perspective on everything. Anything worth noting is always mentioned on PB anyway.

    I had been thinking about buying weekend papers again but Hartigan convinced me that I don’t need them.

    He was so abnormally jumpy in the Press Club speech and, true to form and just like the Libs, he turned to denigration. He is hurting that the bloggers are well informed and don’t need his papers. I’m still saving money – you beaut.

  31. 31
    Pritam Sekhon
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:55 am | Permalink

    News Ltd papers are a joke UNLESS… your in-laws are devotees of all thing Liberal. It warms the cockles of their hearts and keeps their joie de vivre up and running. It helps them maintain their rage against the unbelievable “stupidity” of the electorate (especially the part they consider “my ilk”) for having had the temerity to have elected “the other mob” to the office which anyone can see has “Reserved for the Gentry” and “No Riff-Raff” written all over it!

  32. 32
    BH
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:56 am | Permalink

    Steve – Do you think Madonna King should acknowledge on her program that her husband is the editor of CM if she mentions a story from that paper.

    Steve Price the same with his wife working for Hockey.

    It is a bit similar to cash for comment and I think the audience should be made aware of the connections.

  33. 33
    Andrew
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:59 am | Permalink

    probably not worth spending too much more time discussing the OO and the other biased rages. Fascinating to see though that despite being continually caught with egg on their faces, rather than appear contrite and more balanced, they become more shrill and hysterical.

    I’m glad that AT LAST Rudd is alerting the voters to the shenanigans and I hope he keeps going until he gets an apology over the fake email coverage

  34. 34
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:59 am | Permalink

    One of the most extraordinary comments ever posted on Poll Bludger. Do you think the editor of the Courier Mail and Madonna King might be better sources for Queensland Political information?

    Do you think they’re the only news outlets?

  35. 35
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:59 am | Permalink

    In Federal politics there is a world of difference between reading the whole evidence presented to the Senate Economics Committee and the News Ltd reports of what happened that Friday afternoon.

  36. 36
    Andrew
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:59 am | Permalink

    sorry rags not rages, although they do put us in rages!!

  37. 37
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:00 am | Permalink

    The bit they forget is that when people go to vote, News Ltd does not appear on the ballot paper, just the name of the hopeless rabble which the voters are quite willing to reject.

    The Courier Mail started to go down hill after Mitchell was appointed by Murdoch to run it. I have two very fat folders of clippings from that time which form part of my media file which I put together during my Uni studies. The biggest barrow he pushed was IR and he continually wrote Editorials containing blatant misinformation and pushing the Coalition line of resurrecting the push from the 1890’s of individual employment contracts which fed ultimately into Howard’s “Workchoices” Legislation.

    There was no coincidence that this line coincided with Mitchell’s shift to The Australian and the campaign it ran on behalf of Howard on Workchoices. Murdoch did very well out of Howard’s advertising campaign to sell Workchoices and Mitchell ensured he provided as much “free” support for it as he could.

    Unfortunately for Murdoch, (and Howard) the lucrative revenue tap has now been well and truly turned off and they are trying desperately to damage the Rudd Government to try and get their favoured benefactors back in power.

    Which leads to Steve’s quote which I find, is very apt and accurate as reflected in the QLD and Federal election results and the continual good polling for Rudd and Labor.

    The bit they forget is that when people go to vote, News Ltd does not appear on the ballot paper, just the name of the hopeless rabble which the voters are quite willing to reject.

  38. 38
    BH
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:12 am | Permalink

    I just read Bernard Keane’s bits on twitter while he was watching Hartigan. They are very funny.

  39. 39
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:12 am | Permalink

    As far as not knowing the famous email was a fake goes. Doug Cameron was telling them at the time Erica was extracting words from Grech that opposition senators “were making things up”.

  40. 40
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:15 am | Permalink

    He is hurting that the bloggers are well informed and don’t need his papers

    At least he’ll still have his recipe section to keep him warm at night

  41. 41
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:21 am | Permalink

    I just read Bernard Keane’s bits on twitter while he was watching Hartigan. They are very funny.

    Loved this one: “thank god there’s only a few minutes to go in the tripe”

  42. 42
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:21 am | Permalink

    Dario

    I couldn’t understand the recipe section bit. There are great sites for recipes like epicurious. I can’t imagine anyone downloading a recipe from a tabloid.

    That’s their main problem. Their journalists aren’t experts at anything and are almost always thick as abrick. If you want politics, you go to a political blog of your persuasion. If you like dogs, there are expert blogs on that. The people running them actually know about the subject, as do the posters there. Whether it’s art, science, politics, hobbies or ANYTHING, a tabloid is not the place to go.

  43. 43
    BH
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:23 am | Permalink

    Plus the one about how many journos have been sacked. Funny how Fairfax sacked employees have been blown up in news ltd. papers but not a word about their own.

    Bernard was just trying to keep them honest.

  44. 44
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:26 am | Permalink

    I couldn’t understand the recipe section bit. There are great sites for recipes like epicurious. I can’t imagine anyone downloading a recipe from a tabloid.

    Yeah, it’s got me flummoxed. But if Hartigan reckons it’s his saviour then News is in a lot more trouble than we thought.

  45. 45
    BH
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:26 am | Permalink

    You’re right, Dio. Plus their recipes push ingredients from the advertisers which is, of course, their right to do but there are far better recipe sites to check out.

    Cook and the Chef is a brilliant site. That little bloke does some really good Asian stuff and Maggie does it for the traditionalists.

  46. 46
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:27 am | Permalink

    Hartigan claimed “deadline pressure” as one of the reasons, in fact the main reason, Rudd’s denails were not printed in those infamous Saturday editions of News rags.

    This only detracts from his argument that their “brilliant” journalists have it over bloggers every time. Newspapers are so slow.

    Of course this allows them to claim “pressure of deadline” when they leave a wrong story in the papers basket at Sunday supermarket checkouts. Something palpably false, a war headline stands there, catching everyone’s eye (and occasionally being purchased) screaming “Rudd Gone!” or similar, well after the real story has been established.

    I remember suring the Scores business, Milne had said Rudd was chucked out of the nightclub for “drunken misbehavior”. This story was changed before 10am on the Sunday in question, with the misbehavior bit completely excised… yet it remained there as a wailing headline all day for the punters to read.

  47. 47
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:29 am | Permalink

    Bernard was just trying to keep them honest

    Like herding cats I’d imagine…

  48. 48
    ljw
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:29 am | Permalink

    There is always an article somewhere which will fit with your own political bias and I am sure one which is against it. So why not read a newspaper as some of the background reading can be food for thought, whether you agree with it or not. To watch television news across several station could lead one to think they were discussing totally diferent news stories. Polls if they ask biased question can give misinformation so can we believe and the only result that counts is an election which hopully will get rid of Family first. 1% of the nation stally the rest of it.

  49. 49
    Julian Watson
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:29 am | Permalink

    “Turnbull vows to bounce back from poll battering”

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25726884-601,00.html

    From what I understand of Poss’ analysis, this is the statistical equivalent of the proverbial snowball’s chance in hell (ie; possible, but unlikely).

    Julian

  50. 50
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:30 am | Permalink

    This story was changed before 10am ...

    in the online version

  51. 51
    Muskiemp
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:31 am | Permalink

    Scorpio re that Imre Salusinszky story. Notice that in both situations the Coalition was saying something happened and the ALP was saying it’s not true.
    Which party was telling the lies? They are the guilty ones, as they where the ones lying.

  52. 52
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:32 am | Permalink

    Hartigan claimed “deadline pressure” as one of the reasons, in fact the main reason, Rudd’s denails were not printed in those infamous Saturday editions of News rags.

    A load of rubbish of course. If you even thought twice about it the veracity of the purported email seemed very shaky. Given people on here were able to quickly call into question whether such an email likely existed shows that the ‘professionals’ simply weren’t exercising their duties with adequate care and diligence.

  53. 53
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:33 am | Permalink

    Hard to see how Turnbull can bounce back when Rudd will get up every day and say it is now x days since the Opposition Leader based on a fake email alleged I was corrupt and mislead parliament. I now call on the Opposition Leader to stand in this place, apologise and resign!

  54. 54
    Julian Watson
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:34 am | Permalink

    “Kevin Rudd’s spin puts spell on Canberra press gallery”

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25725994-5013871,00.html

    Political wheel borrow pushing aside, isn’t this article from The Australian is a little self indulgent? A media outlet and journalists reporting on…media outlets journalists.

  55. 55
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:35 am | Permalink

    No need to call on him to resign anymore I think… just make it plain that he didn’t when he should have

  56. 56
    Julian Watson
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:35 am | Permalink

    “media outlets AND journalists”

  57. 57
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:36 am | Permalink

    Political wheel borrow pushing aside, isn’t this article from The Australian is a little self indulgent? A media outlet and journalists reporting on…media outlets journalists.

    It’s a bit like their polls. Only ‘they’ know them and are qualified to have an opinion on them. Back in your place, PB plebs!

  58. 58
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:39 am | Permalink

    Dario, the number of days very quickly get large and become a running sore for Opposition Leaders who have a day they would rather forget. The trick is to never let them forget.

  59. 59
    Gusface
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:40 am | Permalink

    I couldn’t understand the recipe section bit. There are great sites for recipes like epicurious. I can’t imagine anyone downloading a recipe from a tabloid.

    Yeah, it’s got me flummoxed. But if Hartigan reckons it’s his saviour then News is in a lot more trouble than we thought.

    It’s all about $$$$$ and teh Advertisers.

    Hartigan was basically saying news was the fount of all wisdom and us evil bloggses were damming news’s rivers of gold with all our self indulgent crap.
    (especially with News’s “special” friend Howie on the sideline)

    I feel his pain.
    :(

  60. 60
    Kit
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:42 am | Permalink

    Scorpio at 20

    Wells believes Rudd has received a softer ride than Howard from the media -

    Imre’s descrition of John Wells :

    “Sydney public relations consultant John Wells”

    Actual desription

    “In 1987, John Howard recruited John to his personal staff as press secretary and political adviser.’

  61. 61
    BH
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:45 am | Permalink

    Itep – the majority of news ltd. journos rarely exercise their duties with adequate care and diligence. I omit people like George M.

    The biggest problem for the MSM is that their lack of due care is so often easily exposed within minutes and is all over the web immediately.

    They are not used to this and resent it. It hurts that they are no longer the only source of information. It’s good for everyone else tho.

  62. 62
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:52 am | Permalink

    Imre’s descrition of John Wells :

    “Sydney public relations consultant John Wells”

    Actual desription

    “In 1987, John Howard recruited John to his personal staff as press secretary and political adviser.’

    Kit, only the Government indulges in spin. We know this because News tells us. You are seeing things. Move along.

  63. 63
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:56 am | Permalink

    Given people on here were able to quickly call into question whether such an email likely existed shows that the ‘professionals’ simply weren’t exercising their duties with adequate care and diligence.

    And then the Telegraph dummied up the text they had been read over the phone to look like a real email by adding genuine-looking headers and so on to give the feeling of verisimilitude to the whole thing… except that they put “Godwin Grant” as the email addressee.

    This was clearly intended to reinforce the idea in the minds of slow thinkers that they had a “real” copy, straight off Godwin’s printer. It’s bad enough that they didn’t print the denial, but worse that they deliberately dummied up the fake to look real.

    Rudd was furious about this by the way and he made a big deal of the faking of the format in his first speech to the parliament on the Monday. I’d be damn angry too.

  64. 64
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:00 pm | Permalink

    Suncorp has changed the pay structure for its new CEO.

    In a move lauded as a step in the right direction to end excessive executive salaries and risk taking, Suncorp has become the first Australian bank to stipulate that its CEO must buy shares in the company.

    The Queensland insurer and bank announced on Wednesday it had appointed former British soldier Patrick Snowball as its new chief executive.

    Mr Snowball's base salary will start at $2.1 million, however after starting work on September 1 he will also have to purchase $500,000 worth of Suncorp shares at his own expense.

    http://business.brisbanetimes.com.au/business/suncorp-ceo-forced-to-share-the-wealth-20090702-d6d1.html

  65. 65
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:02 pm | Permalink

    I don’t know where the hell they sent Dennis Shanahan but he’s come back quite different to the old Dennis. His articles are actually the best in the OO ATM and he’s lost a lot of weight.

  66. 66
    Hugo
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:03 pm | Permalink

    Ltep – Thanks for listing some of the rejected bills. I take your point that these are unlikely to be used a DD trigger – the Safe Work Bill is possible (especially given that it is vaguely IR related), and I’d still suggest that the electoral reform bill is also possible.

    The last DD was in 1987, and was (ostensibly) about the Australia Card. This issue did not feature in the campaign at all (some older PBers might remember a certain Queensland premier hogging the limelight that year) and was not pursued afterwards.

    I guess the government would need to be mindful of a backlash in the event of too cynical a run to the polls, though I think the idea that the current Senate is a bit feral is already inculcated in the public mind (and so an early election – on any issue – would be justifiable)

  67. 67
    vera
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:03 pm | Permalink

    Last night on ABC 702 Tony Delroy’s phone in topic was Afghanastan. A caller ranted about how Rudd was worse than Howard, said it took him 2 yrs to bring the troops home from Iraq, said he was groomed as a CIA spy for the Yanks, was a member of the DLP in his youth, he was a dangerous , dangerous man and Australia couldn’t afford to have him around etc etc.
    Delroy let him rant with all the slander and lies he could come up with interjecting with agreeable mmms every so often, the next caller stuck up for the Yanks saying the didn’t have to go to help and go into Europe in WW2 and straight away Delroy flew in saying Oh i have to interrupt you there, what about Pearl Harbour. Incredible. he sat by practically egging the nutter on to slander Rudd, no interruptions then.
    can their ABC get any worse?

  68. 68
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:07 pm | Permalink

    Sorry if this has been posted but the OO’s editorial today was another diatribe solely devoted to Crikey. Methinks the lady doth protest too much.

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25724176-25209,00.html

  69. 69
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:10 pm | Permalink

    and I’d still suggest that the electoral reform bill is also possible.

    Unfortunately it just isn’t. Bills introduced firstly and then rejected in the Senate cannot be the subject of a DD because section 57 of the Constitution relates to bills passed by the House of Representatives.

    To create a DD from the electoral reform bill they’d need to re-introduce the bill in the House, have it rejected by the Senate; then reintroduce and pass the bill 3 months later in the House and again have it rejected by the Senate.

  70. 70
    BH
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:12 pm | Permalink

    Vera – send a complaint to the ABC Delroy does that quite a bit.

  71. 71
    Andrew
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:14 pm | Permalink

    what a crock about deadline pressures. Rudd made it clear that his office was contacted on the Friday for comment BEFORE the article was published and he denied it and not only was the denial not published but a copy of said email (with Grech misspelt as Grant) printed alongside the story

  72. 72
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:15 pm | Permalink

    From the OO editorial

    In contrast, great newspapers, and their websites, are professional products staffed by men and women who combine deep knowledge of specific subjects with a talent for finding and reporting facts.

    ROTFLOL :D

  73. 73
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:15 pm | Permalink

    As far as not knowing the famous email was a fake goes. Doug Cameron was telling them at the time Erica was extracting words from Grech that opposition senators “were making things up”.

    The signal lights were flashing brightly from both Grech and his boss as well as from Cameron that by pushing the issue to its preferred conclusion Abetz was being led into a trap.

    Because of his determination to have the “damaging” e-mail revealed for all the world to see and his brash-full arrogance and feelings of self importance of his role in the issue, he totally missed it.

    If he had picked up on the supple messages, which seemed quite evident and backed off, he could have saved Turnbull and his Party an awful lot of embarrassment and grief.

    I am so glad he was too stupid to wake up to it in time!

  74. 74
    vera
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:17 pm | Permalink

    BH, I noticed that myself :) I don’t usually listen to him, I wish they’d put Trevor Chappell in his time slot.

  75. 75
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:18 pm | Permalink

    Frank Devine dies

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25727110-12377,00.html

  76. 76
    Socrates
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:19 pm | Permalink

    Steve 62

    Its a good start on executive salaries, but nowhere near far enough. I have been reading the draft paper from the Productivity Commission inquiry and it still talks about amendments to current regulation, as though corporate boards and stock exchanges will regulate themselves. They won’t. They make too much money ripping people off, knowing that even on the occaisions they are breaking our numerous but weak laws, half the time nobody will investigate, and most of the time they will not be prosecuted by a regulator that has insufficient resources to prosecute any but the largest cases.

    The part of our system that worked best in the GFC was the banking regulation, where a competent regulator (RBA) regularly checks up on banks and made sure teh rules are followed. Its the only solution.

  77. 77
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:20 pm | Permalink

    News Ltd had plenty of time to include Rudd’s advices that the email DID NOT exist. Pretty important info. It really appears as though they were intent upon trying to smear Rudd by ignoring extremely important facts available to them early. They do have a case to answer to the public. They won’t though.

  78. 78
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:21 pm | Permalink

    Anyway, who are we trying to kid. The murdoch media world wide has a reputation for doing what it can to support conservative political parties. Their is a documentary on it.

  79. 79
    BH
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:22 pm | Permalink

    Vera – I only hear Delroy if I’m sleepless and waiting for Trevor. Trev’s got the best program on ABC and it’s a pity it is only at night.

    Delroy, before the election, was heavily into promoting little Johnnie. Twas a bitter disappointment to him that Rudd won.

    Still think radio and TV people should stop anyone making deliberately untrue statements about anyone. They only need to press the button or say ‘I don’t think that is correct” but Delroy never does.

    Have to go out now but hope our team does better this week. Juliem will be thinking the opposite.

  80. 80
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:24 pm | Permalink

    Sorry if this has been posted but the OO’s editorial today was another diatribe solely devoted to Crikey

    News Ltd are nutty. They promote the very thing they attack. If they ignored Crikey and the blogs many wouldn’t know they existed.

    The best thing that can happen to alternative on-line news and discussion forums is to be attacked by the MSM.

  81. 81
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:25 pm | Permalink

    The MSM do have a point about the lack of stories being broken by Crikey et al. Given that Kevvie and Jules are bucketing News so much at the moment, it’s about time they sent a few stories to the blogosphere to break to underline their point.

  82. 82
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:26 pm | Permalink

    From the OO Editorial, a veiled threat?

    And too often it escapes the laws on defamation and the scrutiny of the Press Council.

    There certainly seems to be a huge disconnect between the OO’s vision of itself and reality. The editorial talks about “rants”, but what was Kerr’s article yesterday? Balanced, sober, thought-provoking journalism of the highest class? Similarly Saluzinsky’s piece today. I suppose he had an arguable proposition, but his sources were pretty crook (and their bona fides somewhat obscured).

    Then we come to the doozy: the faked emails, made up to appear superficially genuine with a bit of creative Photoshopping. Not only was that a fake upon a fake, but they even screwed up the fakery! If these are the standards that OO editorial is talking about, the disconnect is complete.

  83. 83
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:31 pm | Permalink

    Diogenes @ 66 wrote

    Sorry if this has been posted but the OO’s editorial today was another diatribe solely devoted to Crikey. Methinks the lady doth protest too much.

    There is no such thing as bad publicity except your own obituary. (Brendan Behan)

    Pretty inclusive, don’t you agree, Hartigan?

    Vera @ 65 wrote:

    Last night on ABC 702 Tony Delroy’s phone in topic was Afghanastan. A caller ranted about …

    What are AM & FM talk-back radio’s demographics? How many phoners are Gens X & Y? Or are most GenBlue and Boomers with giant kauri logs where chips should be? Wouldn’t most X&Yers be twittering, texting, blogging and Intertubing? Aren’t most Boomers & GenBlues set in their voting ways?

    Isn’t that exactly why Hartigan etc are so shit#y?

  84. 84
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:32 pm | Permalink

    I wonder what percentage of readers read the editorial of a newspaper and what percentage read the OO? Combine those to bits of data and I’m thinking very few people will be aware of the OO editorial let alone what it is saying.

  85. 85
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:33 pm | Permalink

    There’s a great comment on the Pure Poison site about the old vs new media war.

    What was it that Gandhi might have said? First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. I think we are definitely seeing the “fight” stage between old and new media.

  86. 86
    Aristotle
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:34 pm | Permalink

    “BH Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:22 pm | Permalink
    Vera – I only hear Delroy if I’m sleepless and waiting for Trevor.”

    Hubba, hubba!

  87. 87
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:35 pm | Permalink

    The MSM do have a point about the lack of stories being broken by Crikey et al. Given that Kevvie and Jules are bucketing News so much at the moment, it’s about time they sent a few stories to the blogosphere to break to underline their point.

    I’ve yet to read a Crikey article and don’t plan to anytime soon.

  88. 88
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:37 pm | Permalink

    ... it’s about time they sent a few stories to the blogosphere to break to underline their point.

    Brilliant idea Diogenes. Let’s mark this as the start of the Bloggers’ Coming Of Age.

    I’ll go one further… a “Bloggers-only” press conference? No MSM allowed.

    God, that’d nark Harto. He couldn’t rant about blogs not mainstream if they’re sipping Prime Ministerial tea and munching on the Iced Vo-Vos.

    I wonder whether New outlets would print any major stories that came out of it? Or whether they’d follow their own advice and ignore it?

  89. 89
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:38 pm | Permalink

    Bob 1234,

    Do you think they’re the only news outlets?

    Mate, you have NO understanding of the media coverage in QLD and trying to take Steve to task on something that he is more than well informed on, only demonstrates either your ignorance or you are back on your usual trick of baiting every other poster here to get a reaction.

    Just for you, I will give you a run-down on the QLD media. News Ltd publishes the “only” daily and Sunday news paper in Brisbane which feeds throughout the State outlets.

    Every single Regional Newspaper is owned by the same operator and they feed off News Ltd primarily, which means that you read the same National & State “news” articles (slightly adapted sometimes) in every newspaper in the State except a handful of “free’ ones.

    If that is not “control” of information and opinion, I don’t know what else it could be!

    The Commercial TV networks with the exception of Channel 10 sometimes, present QLD centric News and Current Affairs Programs which means that they omit material that southern viewers get exposed to.

    This was very evident after the e-mail was exposed as a fake and 7 & 9 virtually ignored the dust-up that followed with at best, a light air-brushing. Thanks to posters on PB for keeping Queenslanders up to date with what was being aired further south.

    Just further evidence of control of information in order to try and shape public opinion in a manner favourable to the Coalition or conversely, to limit damaging fall-out from adverse issues.

  90. 90
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:44 pm | Permalink

    By the way, it looks like the IT people at The OZ have downloaded another cookie into my computer.

    This time it automatically switched from an open tab of the Australian Home Page to “Video Game Downloads”.

    I clicked the “back” button a couple of times and it went back to the OZ web page but before it could download fully it switched back to the “Video Game Downloads” site.

    There must be some way that they can be taken to task over this blatant high-jacking.

    http://www.filefront.com/

  91. 91
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:45 pm | Permalink

    Mate, you have NO understanding of the media coverage in QLD and trying to take Steve to task on something that he is more than well informed on, only demonstrates either your ignorance or you are back on your usual trick of baiting every other poster here to get a reaction.

    I’m sorry but i’m not going to reply to such venomous posts.

  92. 92
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:48 pm | Permalink

    Let’s mark this as the start of the Bloggers’ Coming Of Age.

    talkingpointsmemo won a Polk Award in the US for its journalism. They get their posters to do some of their work for them on any given topic, eg finding out what the evidence is for alcohol being a problem in indigenous communities and what possible solutions there are.

    I think Crikey should cultivate that kind of journalism which would attract Ministers to give them interviews and stories. You just need a critical mass of interested posters on any topic to prepare the groundwork to get it off the ground.

  93. 93
    Pica
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:50 pm | Permalink

    If ‘breaking’ a story is simply the act of publishing a leak (which, in so many of the political stories, it appears to be), then I suspect increasingly polllies will leak to the more well known bloggeratti and Crikey et al will ‘break’ a lot more stories (maybe we can look forward to Bilbo and Poss breaking some big ones). There is still of course the breaking of stories that comes with hard graft investigative journalism, and that typically requires resources the alt media don’t yet have, but hopefully may acquire in the future.

  94. 94
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:53 pm | Permalink

    I think Crikey should cultivate that kind of journalism which would attract Ministers to give them interviews and stories.

    Actually, a blog here actually tried to do an article on the NT intervention and the Minister’s office knocked them back for comment saying they don’t talk to gossip websites.

  95. 95
    Viggo Pedersen
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:54 pm | Permalink

    They just don’t get it, do they?

    Ms Bishop says she is very disappointed by Kevin Rudd's response.
    "He said these results are devastating and that is right. He said we need to take decisive action, well that's what he said before the last election, and it seems that nothing has been achieved.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/03/2616033.htm?section=justin

    The most up-to-date data in the report is 2006 and 2007. Who was in government then, Julie?

    http://www.pc.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0013/90130/overview-booklet.pdf

    Federal Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull says the Coalition can win the next election, despite the latest bad opinion polls.

    "If Australians … want to see Australia's economy managed responsibly, then they should vote for us."

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/03/2615892.htm?section=justin

    Malcolm, for your info, here are two bits of data out today.

    Federal stimulus prompts car sale surge

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/03/2616043.htm

    The cash handouts from the Federal Government appear to have helped Australia's services industry, with activity expanding for the first time in more than a year.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/03/2615955.htm

  96. 96
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:58 pm | Permalink

    I’m sorry but i’m not going to reply to such venomous posts

    Chicken

  97. 97
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 12:59 pm | Permalink

    What happens if News Ltd breaks a story in July or August that Springborg on behalf of the dominant National faction of the LNP challenges Langbroek as the passive Liberal faction of the LNP for Leadership of the party? Do we then get excited about news Ltd being the first with the story that one would never read on a Crikey blog?

  98. 98
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 1:11 pm | Permalink

    I’m sorry but i’m not going to reply to such venomous posts.

    You don’t like to get “sprung” very much do you, but you sure can dish it out.

    Back in your box, Bob!

  99. 99
    J-D
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 1:14 pm | Permalink

    Hugo @ 64

    The last DD was in 1987, and was (ostensibly) about the Australia Card. This issue did not feature in the campaign at all (some older PBers might remember a certain Queensland premier hogging the limelight that year) and was not pursued afterwards.

    It was pursued afterwards. The Government announced its intention to make the Australia Card Bill a priority and the necessary step of reintroducing it to Parliament was taken despite mounting opposition. It was only abandoned after John Stone dropped Ewart Smith’s bombshell in the Senate on 23 September.

    http://preview.tinyurl.com/kl7662

  100. 100
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 1:42 pm | Permalink

    The Editorial in today’s OZ mentioned before, has a perfect description of that Newspaper and its on-line version in its last sentence.

    a small-circulation propaganda sheet, read by people less interested in news and debate than having their prejudices confirmed.
    Story.

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25724176-25209,00.html

    What was omitted was, “Published exclusively for the benefit of rusted-on, Conservative, Coalition supporters”.

    The gloves are off, News Ltd has declared war and are opening up with a barrage of “cream puffs” instead of howitzers.

  101. 101
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 1:46 pm | Permalink

    Can anyone tell me what the “Humpty Dumpty Effect” is? Dennis writes a very factual analysis of Turnbull’s plight under the headline “Malcolm Turnbull risks Humpty Dumpty effect” but there is no reference to it in the article.

    Is he saying that MT is a broken egg and that the Libs shouldn’t waste their time getting all their horse and all their men to try and put Malcolm together again?

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25725754-601,00.html

  102. 102
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 1:51 pm | Permalink

    A quick google:

    Remember that the Humpty Dumpty Effect occurs when doing our best is still not good enough, when more of the same only digs us into a deeper hole, and when the sum of our solutions does not balance the weight of our problems. In spite of the finest intentions and much hard work, things slide more in the direction of for-worse, not for-better. If the Humpty Dumpty Effect continues too long, we reach a tipping point from which recovery is expensive and difficult, if not impossible.

  103. 103
    Viggo Pedersen
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 1:52 pm | Permalink

    ltep source

    http://www.spiraldynamics.org/theory/chngtran.htm

  104. 104
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 1:55 pm | Permalink

    This quote here shows that either Malcolm Turnbull is incompetent or he had descended into some fanciful universe of his own where it was only just a bad dream and that the rightful order of things will soon be restored!

    “I never raised the matter of the email, I didn't refer to it, I didn't quote from it.

    “The criticism I made of the prime minister was based entirely on the sworn evidence given by the Treasury official before the Senate.

    “I didn't publish an email or wave it around or refer to it.

    “We will turn it around on election day, that's our commitment. We should win the next election and we will win the next election.

    “If Australians want to see their economy managed in a way that will not place an intolerable burden of debt and deficit on the shoulders of their children and their children after, if they want to see their economy managed responsibly, they should vote for us.”

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25726884-601,00.html

    News Ltd seem to be putting some distance between themselves and Turnbull at the moment but are determined to hold the line on propping up the Coalition which is currently in total disarray and have been since the election!

  105. 105
    Viggo Pedersen
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 1:56 pm | Permalink

    Scientists discover 3 new Aussie dinosaurs

    I thought we have been discussing LNP pollies for quite while.

  106. 106
    Viggo Pedersen
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 1:58 pm | Permalink

    Ran out of a’s

  107. 107
    Andrew
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 1:59 pm | Permalink

    PM turns on news over ozcar affair

    interesting that its not utegate any more and that Rudd defending himself against smear is “turning” on news ltd. I hope Rudd pursues them fully over this

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25725753-5013871,00.html

  108. 108
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:01 pm | Permalink

    Read this in an article in the West Australian:

    There is an argument that the Senate's deferment of the ETS legislation last month was the first hurdle for a double-D, that the delay equalled a failure to pass.
    If the coalition and at least one of the minor party senators vote against passage of the legislation in August, the Government could ask Governor-General Quentin Bryce in late September (three months after the ETS Bill was deferred) to dissolve both Houses, for an election in November, arguing its Bill has been rejected twice.

    This completely ignores most of s 57 of the Constitution. Even if the deferment could be classified as a ‘failure to pass’, the Senate rejecting the bills in August would not meet the requirements of s 57 as it would require identical bills to be passed by the HoR 3 months after the ‘failure to pass’ (i.e. no earlier than 25 September 2009) and then rejected/failed to pass.

    The Senate vote would need to be no earlier than late September, not in August. I don’t understand why the writers of articles don’t at least try and come to grips with the technicalities.

  109. 109
    Andrew
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:01 pm | Permalink

    scarily, Shanahan is emerging as the most balanced at the OO these days

  110. 110
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:09 pm | Permalink

    SA Libs in total disarray. Unlike the Federal Libs? Not happy with a bit of media scrutiny eh?

    THE troubled South Australian branch of the Liberal Party has for the second time in a week tried to ban the media from Parliament House as tensions rise over tomorrow's leadership spill, called on by embattled leader Martin Hamilton-Smith.
    House of Assembly Speaker Jack Snelling today confirmed the Liberals had asked for the media to be locked out of Parliament House during tomorrow’s vote for the leader and deputy positions.

    This follows farcical scenes at a shadow cabinet meeting on Monday, when the leader’s chief of staff John Lewis and media adviser Craig Clarke asked the media to leave a corridor at Parliament House leading to the meeting room. When the media refused, parliamentary security was called and a representative of the clerk’s office ordered the media to leave the corridors. Doors were then shut and a guard placed on them to prevent MPs from being filmed or asked questions.

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25727141-601,00.html

  111. 111
    Trubbell at Mill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:13 pm | Permalink

    OO editorial

    The only original content Crikey's writers often offer are rants about what they read in The Australian.

    The only original content The Australian’s writers often offer are rants about what they read in The Age or SMH.

    The Australian's sister publication, The Wall Street Journal.

    Ha! “My new stepsister is brilliant, therefore I am brilliant too!!”

    And too often it (Crikey) escapes the... scrutiny of the Press Council.

    Pot, meet Kettle.

  112. 112
    Andrew
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:14 pm | Permalink

    someone should do a thesis on why the libs are so bad at being in opposition. I think the born to rule mentality makes it impossible for them to function when they are not in power. even the opposition leaders that suceeded like howard and kennett had previously failed and came in on the back of a unpopular govt and leader

  113. 113
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:18 pm | Permalink

    the scrutiny of the Press Council

    And what high standards that august body strives to uphold. One day I’d like to see the MSM explain why journalists are viewed as the slimiest profession other than used car salesmen. Until they realise why everyone detests them, they will never improve.

  114. 114
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:26 pm | Permalink

    One day I’d like to see the MSM explain why journalists are viewed as the slimiest profession other than used car salesmen. Until they realise why everyone detests them, they will never improve.

    Dio, there seems to be a “race to the bottom” happening at the moment. They are probably seeing just how low they can go by the next poll to determine ratings by profession.

    Sorta like a “limbo rock” competition. “How low can you go”. lol

  115. 115
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:28 pm | Permalink

    One day I’d like to see the MSM explain why journalists are viewed as the slimiest profession other than used car salesmen

    One day I’d like to see the MSM explain why they should be called journalists

  116. 116
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:29 pm | Permalink

    Brilliant-Investigative-Journalism Watch

    …from the annals of the News Home Page:

    * MICHAEL Jackson's family confirms funeral plans, denies report that tickets would cost $30.

    Video: Jackson's home movies

    * Nine star Ferguson defects to Seven
    NINE personality Mark Ferguson has switched to Seven days after his new show takes ratings dive.

    * Celebrity: News and gossip Schoolgirl raped in trendy city street
    A 14-YEAR-OLD girl was dragged from a footpath by a group of men and raped in a car while she was on her way home from school.

    *'This is my town': cop 'beat tourists'
    A FORMER cop is accused of bashing three tourists while yelling: "This is my town."

    * Escape: Latest travel news

    * Crisis wipes millions from Buffett charity
    WORLD'S richest man gets millions less from 2nd richest - and the downturn is to blame.

    Share prices: Check the latest Breaking News 01:42pm Poker star in court after win
    01:40pm Baptist minister's son jailed for rapes
    01:18pm 'Richest man' considering BHP assets
    01:07pm Five arrested over $20m drug seizure
    01:01pm African leaders agree, but have no power
    12:53pm 'Most successful' entrepreneur dies
    12:52pm Faulkner: North Korea isolating itself
    12:28pm Dollar tanks on US jobs data
    More breaking news
    Also in today

    * ShowBUZZ
    Rihanna likes tattoos. But the R'n'B singer is in trouble for inking without a licence

    * Geeky holidays
    Jedi training camp and Silicon Valley among the world's geekiest destinations

    * Fleeced designs
    Aussie designers unveil their "classic" swimsuits
    The original swimsuits

  117. 117
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:30 pm | Permalink

    Keane compares the US and Oz ETS’s. Obama wins handsomely.

    The ACES emissions targets (the Americans win on acronyms alone), based on 1990 levels, are 17-23%, compared to 4-24% under the CPRS; based on 2000 levels, which the Rudd Government uses, the comparison is worse: 27-32% under ACES, 5-25% here).

    Trade-exposed industries will receive a maximum of 11% of permits under ACES, with industry bearing the risk that their emissions will be greater than the level for which they have been allocated permits. Under the CPRS, EITEs will receive 28% of permits and there will be no cap

    http://www.crikey.com.au/2009/07/03/coalitions-ets-position-threatened-by-us-moves/

  118. 118
    Hugo
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:40 pm | Permalink

    Ltep (67) -

    Are you suggesting that the electoral reform bill was introduced first in the Senate? Surely it passed through the House first, given that it was a government-sponsored bill (I was away at the time, so I am happy to be corrected). If so, and it was passed again by the House and rejected by the Senate in August, it would meet the criteria for a DD.

    Unless I’m missing something….

  119. 119
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:40 pm | Permalink

    I might be paranoid, but there must be someone from The Australian monitoring PB and other blog sites at the moment.

    I have had another bug inserted on my computer and it has only happened when I log on to the OZ web site.

    Just clicked on to their home page from a link and got redirected to this.

    Hey, it worked !
    The SSL/TLS-aware Apache webserver was
    successfully installed on this website.

    Yet the Address bar at the top is showing this!

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/

    If the person responsible is reading this, then get this rubbish off my computer pronto or I will refer the matter to the AFP and let them analyse my computer.

    The OZ IT people would have got my IP address from my comments on their blog pages so it will be easy to trace.

    A while back, I had a bug inserted so that every time I logged on to the OZ web site, my Browser crashed. It only happened with the OZ site and no other. But it is probably only my imagination and not because I have been a constant critic of their miserable excuse for a news outlet.

  120. 120
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:43 pm | Permalink

    Are you suggesting that the electoral reform bill was introduced first in the Senate? Surely it passed through the House first, given that it was a government-sponsored bill (I was away at the time, so I am happy to be corrected). If so, and it was passed again by the House and rejected by the Senate in August, it would meet the criteria for a DD.

    Unless I’m missing something

    You are. Government bills can be introduced in either house. In this case as the responsible minister (Special Minister of State, as the time Senator Faulkner) was in the Senate the bill was introduced there.

  121. 121
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:46 pm | Permalink

    If the person responsible is reading this, then get this rubbish off my computer pronto or I will refer the matter to the AFP and let them analyse my computer.

    You need an ad blocker.

  122. 122
    Hugo
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:50 pm | Permalink

    Ltep (116) -

    OK, thanks, that explains that. The Horse Disease Response Levy Bill it is then!

  123. 123
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:52 pm | Permalink

    BB, there’s something really strange going on. I just refreshed the page and was reading your post when the page suddenly blipped and all the gravatars disappeared.

  124. 124
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:54 pm | Permalink

    Get a virus checker. Serious advice.

    Do you not have one in in this day and age?

  125. 125
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:55 pm | Permalink

    And don’t fall for the “We will scan your computer for free” shareware stuff. Purchase a reputable virus checker and ad blocker, from a shop if possible.

  126. 126
    J-D
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:55 pm | Permalink

    ltep @ 104

    I don’t understand why the writers of articles don’t at least try and come to grips with the technicalities.

    Could it possibly be because they get paid the same either way?

  127. 127
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:56 pm | Permalink

    Refreshed again and they reappeared. I’m pretty sure now that someone is reading my hard drive from another source or something similar!

  128. 128
    Viggo Pedersen
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 2:57 pm | Permalink

    BB @ 118 + Scorpio @116

    If you’re using Firefox the add-on Adblock Plus works a treat.

  129. 129
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:00 pm | Permalink

    Scorpio,

    AVG is a free anti-virus program that craps on top of the bloatware that is most commercial anti-virus suites.

    http://free.avg.com/

  130. 130
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:01 pm | Permalink

    Get a virus checker. Serious advice.

    I’ve got the latest AVG edition, Add Blocker and Firewall installed but I think they are easily bypassed by someone who really knows what they are doing.

    I only log on to news sites and a handful of blogs and a reasonable person wouldn’t expect to get hit upon by “Australia’s leading news provider”? Would they?

    Not a very happy chappy!

  131. 131
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:04 pm | Permalink

    Also using the latest Firefox!

    BtW Possum, it looked suspiciously like Shannahan was feeding off you for content in his article today!

  132. 132
    Viggo Pedersen
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:19 pm | Permalink

    Alternative to AVG is avast! Home Edition- it’s free. I find it friendlier than AVG. It updates itself daily.

  133. 133
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:19 pm | Permalink

    Did the cumulative state by state newspolls on Antony’s calculator –

    ALP 103; LNP 44; Ind 3…
    http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/calculator/?swing=state&national=0&nsw=3.3&vic=4.7&qld=4&wa=3.3&sa=5.6&tas=0&act=0&nt=0&retiringfactor=1

  134. 134
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:22 pm | Permalink

    Scorpio, also use Spybot Search & Destroy for your adware/malware etc

    http://www.safer-networking.org/en/home/index.html

    Prefer AVG to Avast, which shits me with its constant popups

  135. 135
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:27 pm | Permalink

    Malcolm says the Rabble “Should win the next election…” . Why?

    Born to rule? Superior policies? What?

  136. 136
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:29 pm | Permalink

    Grog, my monte carlo sims turned up 100 as the most likely result.

    http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollytics/2009/07/03/election-simulation-alp-17-seats/

    They have Nielsen aggregated in as well – which pulled things back a bit from just using the Newspoll data.

    A lot of the individual simulation results show a vast number of currently held Coalition seats becoming marginal on any swing around the 2% mark. The distribution of the margins of currently held seats isnt good for the Coalition this election, or probably the one after.

  137. 137
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:32 pm | Permalink

    I downloaded “hijack this” a day or two ago when someone suggested it when I got the first OZ bug. Haven’t used it yet because it could compromise my system if I make a mistake with it but it seemed to identify the bug.

    Somehow the first bug has mysteriously disappeared to be replaced now, by this new one!

    Thanks, Dario. I have used it previously and might have to install it again to try.

  138. 138
    Viggo Pedersen
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:33 pm | Permalink

    Dario # 131

    Ignore the pop-ups. They go away after a few seconds if unattended.

    Generally, this a good site for comparing AVs. Most have free versions.

    http://www.av-comparatives.org/

  139. 139
    Rebecca
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:35 pm | Permalink

    Why in the heck would Labor be running Karen Brown in Stirling?

    Running someone whose main claim to fame is losing a safe Labor state seat would not seem to be a bright move against a marginal-seat member who has already fended off one high-profile challenger.

  140. 140
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:36 pm | Permalink

    Ignore the pop-ups. They go away after a few seconds if unattended.

    Not good enough for me I’m afraid ;-)

  141. 141
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:37 pm | Permalink

    A lot of the individual simulation results show a vast number of currently held Coalition seats becoming marginal on any swing around the 2% mark. The distribution of the margins of currently held seats isn't good for the Coalition this election, or probably the one after.

    If a similar thing happens next election as happened in 2007, with Labor on 55-45 just prior to the election and there is a movement of 2% towards Labor like what happened to the Coalition in Nov 2007, then it will be a massacre for the Libs.

  142. 142
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:38 pm | Permalink

    Only 100 seats Poss?? That must make Turnbull feel so much better :-)

  143. 143
    Viggo Pedersen
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:38 pm | Permalink

    Dario

    This may be useful to reduce the pop-up time. Maybe you can set it to zero?

    http://support.jodohost.com/showthread.php?t=10727

  144. 144
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:41 pm | Permalink

    If a similar thing happens next election as happened in 2007, with Labor on 55-45 just prior to the election and there is a movement of 2% towards Labor like what happened to the Coalition in Nov 2007, then it will be a massacre for the Libs.

    Encumbency can certainly be a big benefit if you don’t have a millstone around your neck (a la WorkChoices). I think the economy will be the biggest factor. Should we fare relatively well in the next year, expect a healthy increase in majority. If not, it will be an interesting election.

  145. 145
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:42 pm | Permalink

    Only 100 seats Poss?? That must make Turnbull feel so much better :-)

    I reckon at this point, he’ll take what he can get!

  146. 146
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:42 pm | Permalink

    This may be useful to reduce the pop-up time. Maybe you can set it to zero?

    Can’t be bothered going back to Avast. Happy with AVG at the moment.

  147. 147
    Lord D
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:45 pm | Permalink

    Morgan 56-44, with huge increase in Turnbull’s dissat rating.

    http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2009/4396/

    http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2009/4397/

    Only 546 sample

  148. 148
    Lord D
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:48 pm | Permalink

    Labor’s not exactly surging ahead despite Turnbull’s troubles; I think this is due to continuing concerns over the economy, debt, etc. Hopefully, now that Turnbull’s cred’s been destroyed, these will begin to turn in Labor’s favour too.

  149. 149
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:49 pm | Permalink

    Only 546 sample

    I don’t think it will matter. It would be pretty close to the mark even if they had a larger sample. Pretty well mirrors the others!

  150. 150
    Gusface
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:50 pm | Permalink

    Grog, my monte carlo sims turned up 100 as the most likely result.

    http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollytics/2009/07/03/election-simulation-alp-17-seats/

    They have Nielsen aggregated in as well - which pulled things back a bit from just using the Newspoll data.

    So without the Nielsen, I presume 110 seats would be closer to the mark
    ;)

  151. 151
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:51 pm | Permalink

    Labor’s not exactly surging ahead despite Turnbull’s troubles

    Not exactly surging ahead? I think you’ve been spoilt by 60/40 polls me lad

  152. 152
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:54 pm | Permalink

    Labor’s not exactly surging ahead despite Turnbull’s troubles;

    I think the Coalition vote intention is being held up by the “rusted-ons” who will stick no matter what!

    Just how long Turnbull can hang on to any waverers or disillusioned in that group is another matter.

    Rudd Labor is just sitting back ready to pick them up if they become available, but they will move with the wind somewhat.

  153. 153
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:54 pm | Permalink

    Gus, removing Nielsen the 104,105,106 and 107 seats are all pretty close to being equally likely.

  154. 154
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:54 pm | Permalink

    Scorpio @ 87 wrote:

    Mate, you have NO understanding of the media coverage in QLD and trying to take Steve to task on something that he is more than well informed on, only demonstrates either your ignorance or you are back on your usual trick of baiting every other poster here to get a reaction.

    Bob1234@89 wrote

    I’m sorry but i’m not going to reply to such venomous posts.

    “Venomous”? Bunkum! Just because Scorpio happens to be right, 100% right (on more that one count). As you obviously know nothing about the QLD media scene & having been caught out, turn nasty – more of the “Us (sic) Tories never apologise”, I suppose.

    Fairfax has no weekday print presence in my part of Queensland, and the weekend papers (early airmail editions) are expensive interstate papers, not Q versions thereof. My normal print paper choice range is: The Australian, The Courier Mail, the local “rag” from the Regional group Scorpio mentioned (Note Brissie readers have a choice of CM or Oz, unless their Ipswich/ Coast work colleagues leave their local rags where others can read them). OH (not a computer user) buys the CM & local rag for the puzzles & gossip (IMO neither worth reading); I do some of the puzzles & sometimes use the TV guide (unless OH draws something to my attention). OH also listens to Mrs CM, ie Madonna King.

    I try to watch the 4.30 national news bulletins which feature something other than crime, car-crashes, fires, near-accidents, sport – and anti-ALP “wrap” of Fed & QLD Parliament and other political gossip that infests Q commercial “news”. The ABC’s not much better; in fact, it’s sounding more & more like a non-commercial stringer of commercial news. Nowadays, I listen to the ABC headlines at 6.00, then return at 7.30. Thank goodness it’s all free, or ABC,5,7,9,10 & SBS would have lower subscription rates than pay TV.

    Most of my news comes from feeds, “Just-in” type postings, Fairfax on-line, crikey, blogs & boards, as well as International papers, Huffpost, blogs etc, and friends’ emails.

  155. 155
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 3:57 pm | Permalink

    Possum, do you have a response to my post @ 131?

  156. 156
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:01 pm | Permalink

    Daily crikey:

    The Government should also have some explaining to do. If a better bill than ours can emerge from the frenzy of lobbying and rent-seeking that is the US Congressional process, it clearly hasn’t tried hard enough to get a real ETS through.

    A conundrum for many on here. Who do they disagree with? Crikey, or the Labor government?

  157. 157
    Andrew
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:01 pm | Permalink

    Lord D youre missing main points of the poll- labor has turned around the shift to the coalition of recent months and turnbull’s dissatisfaction ratings are through the roof. Labor would be delighted on both counts

  158. 158
    vote1maxine
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:02 pm | Permalink

    Re discussion on News Ltd.

    I don’t bother to read their propaganda rag sheets anymore. I don’t even click on the links posted here on PB.( I don’t want to add to their internet traffic).

    I rely on the following for my daily political fix:

    1) SMH
    2) The Age
    3) PB
    4) Pollytics
    5) Other sites (apart from News Ltd) posted by PBs
    6) The Huffington Post (is there an equivalent here in Oz?)

  159. 159
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:02 pm | Permalink

    Rudd up 70-20 in PPM. So more than half of the people who will vote Liberal think Rudd would be a better PM than Turnbull.

    And Turnbull’s approval-disapproval goes from +4% to -38%, a lazy 42% drop.

    Humpty Dumpty had a great fall…

  160. 160
    The Finnigans
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:03 pm | Permalink

    Not too sure if this has been posted before or not. But the Fuhrer is not amused with Wacko Jacko, especially after what Jacko did to his nephew:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ELyTBXzfQJ8

  161. 161
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:05 pm | Permalink

    Scorpio – the Newspoll data sort of speaks for itself to the point where it’s pretty much impossible to draw any other conclusion.

    If Dennis didnt say that sort of thing it’d be a worry.

  162. 162
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:06 pm | Permalink

    OzPol Tragic,

    Our mate Bob has a tendency to make a hasty exit once he is sprung!

    He really started to get to me the other night when he had a shot at every regular poster, including Antony Green, Adam and Possum, without “ANY” back up to his little rants.

    Did you notice that when I challenged him on it, he mysteriously disappeared.

  163. 163
    Hugo
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:06 pm | Permalink

    Ruawake (135) – yes I heard MT say that too. He also repeated the line that “the polls go up and down”. This might usually be the case, but so clearly not at the moment. The polls have been around and about 55-45 for two and half years now. Seems for the Libs, the polls just go down!

    Yet more proof (if we needed it) that the Libs are convinced that the voters are just waiting for the chance to vote out Rudd & co (as opposed to be broadly satisfied with the performance and direction of the government). All the Libs need to do is to MAKE THEM SEE how hopeless Rudd is. Stand by for more utegate-type stings, and no work whatsoever on policy.

    It’s going to take at least one more election loss to get it through their thick skulls that the great unwashed don’t hate Rudd like they do. To be fair, Labor and the Left used to act the same about Howard until Kevvie came along – but you see how far that got us.

  164. 164
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    Did you notice that when I challenged him on it, he mysteriously disappeared.

    As I said I don’t bother replying to vitriolic posts that play the man rather than the ball. It’s a waste of time.

  165. 165
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:15 pm | Permalink

    As I said I don’t bother replying to vitriolic posts that play the man rather than the ball. It’s a waste of time.

    Go and have a cry then

  166. 166
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:21 pm | Permalink

    I’m crying just reading it.

  167. 167
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:23 pm | Permalink

    Federal deputy Opposition Leader Julie Bishop says the Northern Territory intervention should be extended to remote Western Australia.

    So go tell the WA Govt. Julie. I think, even you may know, that WA is not a Territory.

  168. 168
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:23 pm | Permalink

    As I said I don’t bother replying to vitriolic posts that play the man rather than the ball. It’s a waste of time.

    Go and have a cry then

    I find it highly amusing that our friends who are sympathetic to the Green cause can be so vitriolic to ALP folk, but as soon as we return fire or challenge them they turn into blubbering wusses. At least Glen and the Libs are capable of defending their side with the vigour as us ALP types, but the Greens on the other hand….

  169. 169
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:23 pm | Permalink

    As I said I don’t bother replying to vitriolic posts that play the man rather than the ball. It’s a waste of time.

    Is that right? I reckon you are a master at them.

  170. 170
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:25 pm | Permalink

    Scorpio @ 162 I did. And I’ve found the same thing. Nor is he the only one.

    It’s the same phenomenon that bugs NewsLtd journos & eds – the superfast ability to point out errors (& substantiate the point) that comes from one’s handy computer ‘folders’, bookmarks and good & fast search-engine skills. After centuries of controlling info & blocking criticism (except from rival publications) and handy shock-jocks who could cut off what they didn’t want the public to hear, they’ve finally discovered that, if they try the same thing on open blogs/ boards, they’re put to rights very smartly!

    Don’t you just love it!

  171. 171
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:25 pm | Permalink

    Yawn.

  172. 172
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:26 pm | Permalink

    I’m not quite sure Taibbi is on the money here, so to speak. The names Milken, Boesky and Kravis (none of whom were GS) surely deserve some credit.

    The Great American Bubble Machine
    Matt Taibbi on how Goldman Sachs has engineered every major market manipulation since the Great Depression

    http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/28816321/the_great_american_bubble_machine/print

    I saw a great headline in The Onion

    “Recession-Plagued Nation Demands New Bubble To Invest In”

  173. 173
    bob1234
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:42 pm | Permalink

    “Recession-Plagued Nation Demands New Bubble To Invest In”

    You can make massive profits from short-term bubble trading!

  174. 174
    Dario
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:43 pm | Permalink

    http://www.news.com.au/business/story/0,27753,25726659-462,00.html

    NEW figures show how the Government's funding guarantee shielded big banks and the economy from the brunt of the global financial crisis.

    A massive $55 billion of money market funds was withdrawn from the Australian banking system in the six months to the end of March, according to a Westpac analysis of the national accounts.

    And in the same period, which coincided with the peak of the financial crisis, local banks lost another $16 billion in funding as foreign-owned banks and corporations withdrew deposits held with Australian institutions, The Herald Sun reports.

    Westpac chief currency strategist Robert Rennie said the data showed that, without the guarantee, Australian borrowers would have been hit hard by an extreme credit freeze.

  175. 175
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:51 pm | Permalink

    Westpac chief currency strategist Robert Rennie said the data showed that, without the guarantee, Australian borrowers would have been hit hard by an extreme credit freeze.

    So another plank in Malcolm’s fabulous economic plan comes asunder.

  176. 176
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:56 pm | Permalink

    What was Turnbull’s quote in Shannahan’s article again?

    “If Australians want to see their economy managed in a way that will not place an intolerable burden of debt and deficit on the shoulders of their children and their children after, if they want to see their economy managed responsibly, they should vote for us.”

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25726884-601,00.html

    Oh, that’s right. If the electorate wants “good” economic management, then they “must” vote for Turnbull’s mob instead of the incompetent Labor mob who can only come up with things like this.

    Westpac chief currency strategist Robert Rennie said the data showed that, without the guarantee, Australian borrowers would have been hit hard by an extreme credit freeze.

    And lower interest rates and so far, only one quarter of negative growth and only a “small” increase in unemployment so far as well as the housing and commercial building sector holding up well and an enourmous infrastructure program starting to ramp up to further cushion the Australian economy.

    Well, golly gee as Glen would say!

  177. 177
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 4:59 pm | Permalink

    Well, golly gee as Glen would say!

    Or as Gomer Pyle would say :-)

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6_1Pw1xm9U

  178. 178
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 5:03 pm | Permalink

    Bob1234 @ 164 wrote

    As I said I don’t bother replying to vitriolic posts that play the man rather than the ball. It’s a waste of time.

    Having nothing better to do on a truly filthy freezing day with howling wind that defies my industrial plugs, bowls over full garbage bins and is hard-pruning my trees in the wrong season, I decided to back-check your & scorpio’s comments.

    His first, 89, contains no “play the man”, aka the logical fallacy ad hominem (poisoning the well)

    To poison the well is to commit a pre-emptive ad hominem strike against an argumentative opponent

    Your response I’m sorry but i’m not going to reply to such venomous posts. in its use of “venomous” is just such an ad hominem – if you tried to be funny, the convention is to indicate that – an ’smilie’ wink, LOL, “just kidding”.

    @164 you threw in another, claiming “posts that play the man rather than the ball” – which scoprio had NOT done – an added guilt by assertion, a Leninist technique, usually also a poisoning the well or tu quoque or “You, also” fallacy.

    Why not join the army of bloggers with that site bookmarked.

  179. 179
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 5:20 pm | Permalink

    The wise commentariat in Hartiganville seem to think that Malcolm will survive – because there is no one else.

    In my view this is ballcocks. It reminds me of the “I am indispensable” defence often heard by middle managers facing the sack.

    It is stating the bleedin’ obvious that Malcolm cannot win the next election, in fact he is one of the reasons why.

    The 17 members staring at life without an electorate office will grab onto anyone who may save their skins.

  180. 180
    BK
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 5:22 pm | Permalink

    ruawake @ 179

    It won’t be long before “every man for himself” comes into play. Then the fun will start!

  181. 181
    Cuppa
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 5:33 pm | Permalink

    “If Australians want to see their economy managed in a way that will not place an intolerable burden of debt and deficit on the shoulders of their children and their children after, if they want to see their economy managed responsibly, they should vote for us.”

    If Australians want to see the workplace rights of their children, and their children after, stripped from them, if they want their desecndants to suffer cuts to their wages and working conditions, they should vote for the Miserable Liberals.

  182. 182
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 5:43 pm | Permalink

    Turnbull not only scored a breathtaking “own goal” with Ozgate, he will very likely get well and truly stuck in his own wedge on climate change.

    The flaw in the Liberal strategy is ignoring the possibility that both Copenhagen and the Obama Administration could make things tougher for their business allies than Labor's already generous bill with all its billions in industry handouts.

    It is true that the US bill which has already passed their House of Representatives does have some more generous industry permits, especially for coal. But the US is also bringing in changes that will make life more difficult for big greenhouse polluters. This includes mandatory fuel efficiency standards for car makers which Australian manufacturers are fighting here. Most importantly, Barack Obama is allowing the Environmental Protection Agency to regulate carbon emissions under the Clean Air Act.

    This idea is regarded with deep anxiety by Australia's big polluting industries and politicians on both sides. This week's review of the federal Environment Act reveals industry's strong opposition to allowing the Environment Minister to assess the impact of greenhouse pollution for businesses such as coal-fired power generators, logging or the gas developments off Western Australia.

    For years, many Australian politicians and the Liberal Party in particular have gambled on America's weak response to climate change to justify weak action here. But in the past six months, as the scientists sharpen their warnings, not only the US but Europe, Britain and China are all showing a new boldness in their response to the threat of climate change.

    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/fatal-flaw-in-turnbulls-climate-compromise-20090701-d553.html?page=-1

    Turnbull’s political inexperience and incompetence is breathtaking and once the divisions within the Party start to really start to emerge as we get closer to an election with the polls still looking diabolical for the Libs, then BK’s “every man for himself” scenario will certainly come into play and it certainly “will be fun”.

  183. 183
    vera
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 5:47 pm | Permalink

    10 News had Kev in the outback holding a joey but the story was praising him for the record number of car sales last month. :) The man can do no wRONg!
    these details are from ABC

    "The surge in business sales is directly attributed to the Federal Government's business tax break and these figures provide clear evidence that this has been a very effective policy measure," Mr McKellar said.

    "Our analysis indicates that the business tax break has led to an additional 10,000 vehicles being sold over the past three months. That is a 10 to 12 per cent boost to business sales and a five per cent increase for the total market."

    I like this bit about ute sales being up

    there was a massive sales boost among businesses, which bought 46,679 vehicles in June, a 12 per cent increase on a year ago, with vans, utes and light truck sales up 26.9 per cent on June last year.

  184. 184
    vera
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 5:49 pm | Permalink

    link
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/03/2616043.htm

  185. 185
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 5:50 pm | Permalink

    But where was Malcolm?

    Was it true that he was living under the surface of Lake Burley Griffin, with pals Eric Abetz and Godwin Grech, and breathing through a straw?

    God forbid that he was hiking through the Appalachians.

    Yesterday, the nation's fears were set at rest. It turns out Mr Turnbull has been in Afghanistan. Obscured from view by that forgiving modern cloak of invisibility, the national security media embargo, he has spent the past few days visiting a country that must seem blessedly safe and serene compared with his own ideological homeland.

    As they flew home, one imagines they gave some serious thought to how they would cope in the new security environment of their destination.

    Light Kevlar vests, chinos and helmets are all very well in Afghanistan, but to be a Liberal leader in Australia just now requires something a little more heavy-duty.

    http://www.smh.com.au/national/where-the-ruddy-hell-were-you-malcolm-20090701-d59f.html

    Love it! A bit more of this sort of thing in the media and Malcolm might think that emigrating to Afghanistan might not be such a bad idea!

  186. 186
    jaundiced view
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    Scorpio @ 182

    As we said last night, the US House passing the bill adds impetus to the emerging international recognition of the need for strong targets at the next meeting. Turnbull, Fielding and the other deniers could end up looking like absolute blithering dills.

    Fielding’s disingenuous posturing is the most shameful of all. He knows the science is right, and should be treated with contempt and ridicule for all time for his actions over this.

    I thought Turnbull was going to cave in anyway in August, but it’s pretty-well certain now, after Gordon Brown’s comments, more resolve from the EU expressed and the US consolidation. Let’s hope it causes him more misery, and the hard-core idiots in the LNP cross the floor in largish numbers.

    Generally, there is still a problem with the US Senate though, and John Kerry fears that the US will be left with a domestic reduction policy passed in the Senate, but the vote will fall short of the extra numbers required for it to have international force in a treaty. Apparently the vote for a treaty has to be higher in the Senate to get passed compared with the Congress. Let’s hope Obama can win over the 67 votes in the Senate required for an international agreement, but it’s a big ask. I hadn’t realised the extra votes were required for Copenhagen purposes:

    Senate ratification of a treaty would require 67 votes, compared with 60 for legislation.
    “Sixty-seven votes is a big target here,” Kerry said last week, before Congress left for a one-week break. “We may be able to pass something that puts America on track to accomplish our set of goals. But we may pass it with 60 votes, or 61 or whatever, and that’s not 67.”

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aMs9V_EUxE0Y
    Don’t know where that leaves the US position for Copenhagen if it falls short of 67

  187. 187
    jaundiced view
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:10 pm | Permalink

    Further to 186
    Kerry thinks that if the Senate won’t vote for the international treaty on climate change, then:

    At the very least, Kerry said Obama will be able to go to Copenhagen with the House-passed measure and a draft of Senate legislation as a road map.

    Seems to me a much more powerful position would be to have the legislation passed by the Senate first.

  188. 188
    Astrobleme
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:24 pm | Permalink

    Diogenes

    That article about GS is horrifying. It does sound conspiracy theory-esque, but the sole fact that Lehmann Brothers was allowed to collapse while other firms were bailed out is enough to raise questions, surely…

    My Sister-in-law is a corporate lawyer, worked as company secretary to a number of biggish firms, the people who run them sound despicable…Oh buggeration, the world is filled with nasty banker types. I think I’d prefer to remain ignorant of the nastiness.

  189. 189
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:24 pm | Permalink

    JV, if the Libs hadn’t put pressure on Rudd to water down the Labor ETS Legislation in an attempt to get it through the Senate, and the original had of passed, then we would have been in a far better position to influence the US Senate which would lead in turn, to a far better International outcome in Copenhagen in December.

  190. 190
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:28 pm | Permalink

    South Australian Labor MP Tom Koutsantonis has filed a defamation action against the SA Opposition Leader Martin Hamilton-Smith.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/03/2616520.htm?section=justin

    :)

  191. 191
    castle
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:34 pm | Permalink

    Westpac chief currency strategist Robert Rennie said the data showed that, without the guarantee, Australian borrowers would have been hit hard by an extreme credit freeze.

    An extreme credit freeze would mean higher interest rates as borrowers and lenders competed for funds.

    The commercial building sector is still facing a similar problem as Turnbull continues to reject the Rudd bank to guarantee those loans. Result if Turnbull and co continue along their destructive track will be less projects, more unemployment and lower returns.

  192. 192
    Viggo Pedersen
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:36 pm | Permalink

    Does the US of A have the equivalent of a DD?

  193. 193
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:38 pm | Permalink

    Phillip Hudson in the SMH has a go at Labor regarding the indefensible abuses of the Travel Pass Scheme for ex Parliamentarians. Although he does mention Fred Chaney’s efforts which are bad enough, he fails to mention Howard’s $1m plus extraction of taxpayers money.

    I, and I would think, most fair minded taxpayers, would not at all be unhappy to see perks and rorts such as this eliminated. These people are not “special”, requiring special privileges paid in perpetuity by long suffering taxpayers.

    Come on Ruddy. Get rid of this nonsense once and for all!

    LABOR might have dropped her but taxpayers have given the former senator Ruth Webber an extraordinary $48,516 consolation prize. The former ALP official has lodged a bill of $8086 a month for air travel under the Gold Pass scheme.

    The revelation comes amid calls for an independent audit of the "gravy plane" scheme after the Herald yesterday revealed former MPs had taken 20,000 free flights since 2001, worth $8.3 million.

    The former Fraser government minister and reconciliation campaigner Fred Chaney said his 303 flights, worth $195,450, were justified.

    "Virtually all of the flights would be in the interests of reconciliation," he told the ABC. "I don't see this as a political perk because, although I've been out of politics for 15 years, I'm still treated by the public and organisations as a public good, if you like."

    Dr Kelly said that argument was flawed. "If they're doing charity work, this should be through an act of charity - not using taxpayers' money to portray themselves as being charitable," he said. "They're being charitable with other people's money."

    http://www.smh.com.au/national/grounded-senator-landed-48000-worth-of-flights-in-six-months-20090702-d6jz.html

  194. 194
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:40 pm | Permalink

    An extreme credit freeze would mean higher interest rates as borrowers and lenders competed for funds.

    Interest rates will always be lower under a Labor Government!

  195. 195
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:41 pm | Permalink

    ruawake @179 Short of a world-shattering something or other, the ALP will win the next election, probably increasing its numbers in both houses, so Turnbull will probably make a good sacrificial lamb if he stays on.

    Given the Libs haven’t shown many signs that electoral reality has hit them yet, defeat in 09 or 10 or early 11 should make them face it; but by then, they’ll be in the Brave new World they’ve tried so hard to ignore: new economic regulation, climate change structures and systems, digital communications. If they have trouble getting their heads around those, what about these.

    The global on-line ed revolution, already reality in remote-area rural school (replacing the old “schools of the air”) universities, training systems and some experimental schools, point the way to a different phase of the educational – every bit as dramatically different as the post-Reformation grammar schools, and the Napoleonic Era French-Prussian centralised curriculum, then compulsory primary, then secondary ed. Hello on-line global classroom.

    On-line diagnostic and emergency medical structures, already pioneered in remote Oz areas over the last decade; on-line medical tests such as blood tests; as well as more involvement by nurses, parameds etc in work now performed by doctors, will show medicine’s future directions. Gene therapy and better treatment for cancers will do to many auto-immune diseases what immunisation and antibiotics did to millennia-old viral and biological illnesses. Hello genetic & on-line medicine.

    They are the only areas in which I was involved before retirement. But I’m sure that, as IT conversion is now almost where our 1996 IT experts said it would be, the above are where ed & medicine are going. Strategic policy, planning and implementation should have been in place before the end on the 90s. These and others are areas in we should expect the Federal Opposition to be developing policy; but currently they’re a “policy-free zone”

    By taking Libs back to the 50s, and ruthlessly removing anyone who disagreed with him (Amanda Vanstone’s words, not mine) Howard left them unprepared for a future already moving from “early adopter” to “mass adoption” stages in 1996.

    I’ve seen no evidence that the Liberals even consider (or try to project) where the Global On-line Village is heading, much less what will be expected of the current national government and its alternative (aka Opposition), even less what policies they will need to go to the next election and the one after. Nor will these be the only national policy areas they’ll have to address; they’re just the ones I know enough about to write a post like this.

    PS. Lots of interruptions. Hope it makes sense.

  196. 196
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:45 pm | Permalink

    ruawake @ 190 wrote

    South Australian Labor MP Tom Koutsantonis has filed a defamation action against the SA Opposition Leader Martin Hamilton-Smith.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/03/2616520.htm?section=justin

    WOW! Who will Rudd and Swannie sue? Adds new dimensions to responsible behaviour by politicians

  197. 197
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:47 pm | Permalink

    South Australian Labor MP Tom Koutsantonis has filed a defamation action against the SA Opposition Leader Martin Hamilton-Smith.

    It relates to his use of fake documents in State Parliament to allege the ALP solicited donations from an agency linked to the Church of Scientology.

    The legal action includes the Liberals' media director Kevin Naughton.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/03/2616520.htm?section=justin

    SA Labor will keep this issue live (as they should) right up to the State election next year even if M. H-S gets rolled today. I wonder if Malcolm is taking note of what the effects of fake e-mails have had and are continuing to have, on the SA Libs!

    You can bet your life Ruddy has!

  198. 198
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 6:50 pm | Permalink

    Who will Rudd and Swannie sue?

    Nobody.

  199. 199
    Viggo Pedersen
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:06 pm | Permalink

    Come on Ruddy. Get rid of this nonsense once and for all!

    He will, in QT

  200. 200
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:11 pm | Permalink

    “If Australians want to see their economy managed in a way that will not place an intolerable burden of debt and deficit on the shoulders of their children and their children after, if they want to see their economy managed responsibly, they should vote for us.”

    He really needs to work out how to be more subtle than this.

  201. 201
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:17 pm | Permalink

    OzPol Tragic,

    I’ve seen no evidence that the Liberals even consider (or try to project) where the Global On-line Village is heading, much less what will be expected of the current national government and its alternative (aka Opposition), even less what policies they will need to go to the next election and the one after. Nor will these be the only national policy areas they’ll have to address; they’re just the ones I know enough about to write a post like this.

    If the Libs had half a brain, they would have positioned themselves half a street ahead of Labor on these issues after their 2007 defeat and made it seem as though they were ahead of the curve and Rudd was struggling to keep up.

    Instead they just sat back on their one remaining “better economic manager’ laurels, felt sorry for themselves, believed that the electorate had made a terrible mistake that they would regret and come cowering back to the Conservative fold once they realised that Rudd was n ot the person they perceived him as being etc.

    Unfortunately, in each of these criteria, they are dead wrong anjd the MSM in trying so hard to reinforce this level of thinking, have done them and the country as a whole, “NO” favours whatsoever.

    Australia at present, with all the challenges it currently faces, needs a competent Opposition, willing to be adventurous, to meet with the Government in shaping suitable solutions to meet these challenges and the MSM should be pushing this for all it is worth for this and future generations and would benefit itself from a general public that has some level of trust in its motives and judgement.

    As it stands now, the Conservatives know that most of what the MSM is presenting is garbage to prop them up in their hour of need and the rest are so disillusioned they are not prepared to accept just about “anything” that the MSM are dishing up tp them, even if it is accurate and well founded.

    Oz-gate etc fail the test as Paul Kelly likes to remind us, (Rudd fails this test, Rudd fails that test, how will Labor deal with this test) and the MSM are now in a position of having virtually “NO” credibility with the general public which it relies upon for its survival.

    Its demise will be mostly all self inflicted and good riddance to bad rubbish.

  202. 202
    StephenD
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:17 pm | Permalink

    Scorpio, the whole travel thing seems like a beat-up to me. $8.3m since 2001? Boohoo. Compared to serious wastes of money – like terrorist hotline fridge magnets – this is a drop in the ocean.

    Fred Chaney is, IMHO, a bad target to choose in this regard. He wasn’t in any way arguing that his work is charitable (though it may be in some respects), but simply a public good. I’m a great believer in his work, so I’m happy to see the government spend some money to support it.

    As much as I don’t want to see that revolting little slug Howard spending more of the Nation’s money in future, I also don’t want to cut off my nose to spite my face.

  203. 203
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:20 pm | Permalink

    The problem the rabble have with the “debt and deficit” argument is that most people realise that debt is a necessary evil.

    I need a car, get a car loan. I need a house, get a mortgage. I need a fridge etc. etc.

    There are very few reasons why Govts. should run surpluses.

  204. 204
    polyquats
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:22 pm | Permalink

    Dr Kelly said that argument was flawed. "If they're doing charity work, this should be through an act of charity - not using taxpayers' money to portray themselves as being charitable," he said. "They're being charitable with other people's money."

    Well, I wouldn’t mind the travel funding if it was within certain parameters – for registered charities, local government organisations etc. But any travel for personal reasons, or involved in earning money (speaking tours!) should be off-limits. maybe the activity should be declared and approved before the travel is undertaken.

  205. 205
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:25 pm | Permalink

    He really needs to work out how to be more subtle than this.

    ltep, he should have stuck to Merchant Banking which he was at least passably good at.

  206. 206
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:27 pm | Permalink

    Polyquats

    The $8.3 million for ex MP’s Gold Card is for seven years. So lets set up an office to look into the money that is “wasted”.

    Betcha it costs more than it saves. :)

  207. 207
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:31 pm | Permalink

    polyquats, scrap the lot. All taxpayers contribute to this rort.

    Unless the travel and expenses have “some” value at least to Australian taxpayers, then it is just a perk that is unjustifiable and should be confined to the dustbin of history.

  208. 208
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:34 pm | Permalink

    Hear hear. No ex-politician should receive tax-payer funded travel.

  209. 209
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:35 pm | Permalink

    The ABC having a shot at Rudd for “Grocery Watch” on the 7.30 Report.

    Since Howard stacked the Board and Management, it has really gone overboard (especially its on-line offerings) in trying to be “balanced”! lol.

  210. 210
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:40 pm | Permalink

    scropio – wouldn’t it be Stateline?

  211. 211
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:41 pm | Permalink

    Criticising Grocery Watch is fair game. It was pointless from the beginning and, in the end, a huge waste of time, effort and money.

  212. 212
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:42 pm | Permalink

    Mmmm. Red face time. This is a repeat on digital. Should be watching Stateline.

    Ouch!

  213. 213
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:43 pm | Permalink

    scropio

    Yeah, I deserve that, Grog!

  214. 214
    It's Time
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:51 pm | Permalink

    Perhaps someone can remind me.

    Wasn’t there a period in early 2008 when Turnbull was opposition treasury spokesman and was making suggestions in the media which seemed to be pre-empting government announcements? What were those issues?

    Should that be reviewed in the light of Grech’s recent behaviour?

  215. 215
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:55 pm | Permalink

    It’s Time

    Fuel Watch leaks.
    RBA – Treasury correspondence

    Were the main ones published.

  216. 216
    ltep
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:57 pm | Permalink

    No, there were some Government announcements that the Opposition preempted and ‘called on’ the government to take action on.

    Then when the Government made the announcements the Opposition claimed that the Government had no ideas of their own.

  217. 217
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 7:57 pm | Permalink

    scropio

    Yeah, I deserve that, Grog!

    Woops – sorry ’bout that.

  218. 218
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:00 pm | Permalink

    There was also the time Turnbull predicited the stimulus package would be $5b…. but it came out at $10b. Guess Godwin wasn’t in the loop on that one:
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/10/14/2390199.htm

    btw love the opening par:

    Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull says the Coalition will support a economic stimulus package which could be unveiled by the Government today.

  219. 219
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:02 pm | Permalink

    You mean this, it’s time?

    Turnbull, using his own financial contacts and expertise, powers of deduction and very likely a departmental mole, has been doing the same to Rudd - calling on him to take measures the Government already had in train.

    http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2008/10/26/1224955851153.html?page=2

  220. 220
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:18 pm | Permalink

    and very likely a departmental mole

    Gee, I wonder who…. where’s Sherlock Holmes when you need him? Columbo? Scooby Doo?

  221. 221
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:35 pm | Permalink

    There was a nice old COAG leak too.

    Now, there was a leak out of the COAG meeting, I think in Friday’s papers, that you told the Premiers the new figure is $200 billion. Now, simple arithmetic tells you that’s in the ballpark.

    TREASURER:

    Well, I can’t confirm that. I did brief the Premiers about the state of the global economy, particularly following my trip to the G20 last weekend. And also on the day I briefed the Premiers, we had the GDP figure for the March quarter in the United States, which was a contraction of six per cent on an annualised basis. And I simply made the point to the State Premiers - we’re all in it together. What we’ve got to do is make sure that our number one priority is jobs - jobs now through economic stimulus, and jobs into the future, particularly through nation building investment and planning for the future. And in the context of that, they may have drawn their own conclusions.

    http://www.treasurer.gov.au/DisplayDocs.aspx?doc=transcripts/2009/068.htm&pageID=004&min=wms&Year=&DocType=2

  222. 222
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:49 pm | Permalink

    Turnbull became leader after fewer than four years in Parliament. He aims to be prime minister in seven.

    Turnbull has been leader for only a matter of weeks, but has already begun detailed consultations with senior members of his team about the 2010 election. He is asking MPs to identify those marginal seats in their respective states the Coalition needs to win, and to recommend, or start looking for, locals who would make solid candidates.

    Turnbull is a man used to achieving his aims and he wants to win the next election, not the one after. He sees no reason why he cannot. Despite it being uncommon for a government to be pitched out after one term, the romantics point out parallels to events of 80 years ago.

    Back then, the conservative prime minister, Stanley Bruce, lost the election and his seat, a la John Howard. His conqueror, Labor's James Scullin, inherited the onset of the Great Depression and was tossed out after a term. Think Rudd and the GFC (global financial crisis), or KFC (Kevin's financial crisis, as some Coalition wags are calling it).

    A senior minister confided recently that Turnbull's disdain for the political orthodoxy makes him a threat because he does not play by the normal rules and conventions. He is as likely to blindside the Government as he is prone to shoot himself in the foot.

    Prophetic, but most of this is unfortunately, “wrong”.

    Turnbull will never be Prime Minister.

    Instead of looking for marginal seats to win, the Libs are now looking at what seats they already hold that they can “save”.

    He is not going to achieve his aims and it will be all the more difficult if he loses his constant drip feed of information on the Government from his moles and sources in various Government Departments.

    The circumstances are very different between Scullin’s dealings with the Great Depression and how Rudd is handling the GFC.

    The last paragraph is fairly correct though. Turnbull certainly does not play by the normal rules and conventions and has certainly shot himself in the foot and the rickoshey has bounced around the room and wounded many of his colleagues also.

  223. 223
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:52 pm | Permalink

    Struth, this thing posted itself before I had finished editing it and adding the link.

    http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2008/10/26/1224955851153.html

    “ricochet” even!

  224. 224
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:54 pm | Permalink

    Time story on Rudd – must be the International version rather than the Australian edition.
    http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1908274-1,00.html

  225. 225
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 8:57 pm | Permalink

    Sorpio, The most spot-on thing in the article:

    If science were to sequence Turnbull's DNA, there would be no embarrassment gene

    Perhaps if he had that gene he might become PM. Oh well. :-)

  226. 226
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 9:13 pm | Permalink

    Here’s another instance where Turnbull threw up a red herring to get a bit of publicity.

    The Rudd Government is awaiting a report on several insolvency-related issues from the Corporations and Markets Advisory Committee (CAMAC).

    A spokeswoman for Corporate Law Minister Nick Sherry said: "Rather than pre-empting the professional and independent work of CAMAC by calling for any particular set of reforms, such as simply lifting the regime that operates in the United States, which has its own range of very complex and historic problems, the Rudd Government will actually let CAMAC do its work."

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/business/story/0,28124,24700862-36418,00.html

  227. 227
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 9:22 pm | Permalink

    Grog, that Time article was quite good. I quite liked the finish.

    On the flight back east from Perth, Rudd glances at the necktie that he has cast aside before landing in Melbourne, where he will deliver another slew of speeches. He rubs his eyes, then launches into a defense of international activism. "You can sit around quietly on the global diplomatic circuit and get nowhere," he says, "or you can ball up a few ideas, some of which have some prospects." It's not a bad blueprint for any nation navigating a place in this globalized world. Makes you wonder whether Australia couldn't export that having-a-go spirit along with its iron ore, coal and gas. The world might be better for it.

    http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1908274-1,00.html

  228. 228
    Sertse
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 9:48 pm | Permalink

    I wish I was around by the original rise of Howard. (Heh, I made everyone look old). How exactly did a guy, surly part of the old guard, being the ex-treasurer, and associated with the then voted out govt survive the 10+ Hawke years in the wilderness, and being a badly beaten opposition leader etc, and Mr 11%, achieve to become our 2nd longest serving Prime Minister?

    Relating to current events, I’m just saying it is possible (with Turnbull); you just went through the last living example of it. Most are saying he’s quit if he doesn’t get his way, but I’m thinking his ego could he big enough to an eventual comeback – He’s not going to quit; he simply can’t stand to be wrong, and to “prove” he was right…

  229. 229
    steve
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:00 pm | Permalink

    Just happened to be in the right place between a recession and a decade long mining boom, Sertse.

  230. 230
    Gusface
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:15 pm | Permalink

    I think after ‘93, 3 factors scuttled the keating dream.

    1.keating himself
    2.structural eco. reforms “burning’ some punters
    3.Unlike hawke,keating was unmilling to bend to certain groups

  231. 231
    Gusface
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:17 pm | Permalink

    unmilling of course should read “unwilling”

  232. 232
    polyquats
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:34 pm | Permalink

    grrrrrrr Sales said “illegal boat people”. Why can’t these journos learn to say ‘refugees’.

  233. 233
    polyquats
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:42 pm | Permalink

    or ‘asylum seekers’

  234. 234
    Glen
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:49 pm | Permalink

    Polyquat they need to prove it first :D Sales is correct :D

  235. 235
    scorpio
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:55 pm | Permalink

    Glen, where have you been? To the footy?

  236. 236
    Peter Tucker
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 10:56 pm | Permalink

    William: With incumbent Jim Cox retiring, Michelle O’Byrne a sure bet for re-election, and Labor looking certain to win a second seat but very unlikely to pick up a third, the battle for the second seat is looking like a tussle between Hay, Beaconsfield mine disaster survivor Brant Webb, CFMEU forests division secretary Scott McLean (who famously came out in support of John Howard at the 2004 federal election) and Winnaleah school principal Brian Wightman, with only the latter looking an obvious also-ran.

    Comment: Labor have some chance of picking up a third seat. At the risk of splitting hairs, I would say “unlikely” rather than “very unlikely”. Something like a 30% chance of getting three. They will get the third seat if the Greens’ Kim Booth misses. Booth just scraped in last time – it all depends how the pulp mill is running as a story come election day. Booth should hold, but …

    Also to the list of potential Labor candidates who could trouble the high-profile Hay and Webb you should add Michelle Cripps, who stood on the ticket in 2006 and got a thousand-odd votes. If she has learned from that experience, she must have some hope. At the moment there are seven hopefuls, and one is likely to miss pre-selection:

    Sitting members Michelle O’Byrne
    Brant Webb
    Kathryn Hay
    Michelle Cripps
    Scott McLean
    Rob Soward
    Brian Wightman

    See http://www.examiner.com.au/news/local/news/politics/one-bass-nominee-too-many-for-labor/1557719.aspx

  237. 237
    Helen2
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:03 pm | Permalink

    Grog @ 223, Scorpio @ 226, interesting date on that Time article – 13 July! Great article, thanks for the link.

  238. 238
    The Heysen Molotov
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:26 pm | Permalink

    Diogenes

    What was it that Gandhi might have said? First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. I think we are definitely seeing the “fight” stage between old and new media.

    A good quote. I think on this site we have seen a similar tranformation taking place. Since the Freo Bi-Election the ALPers have made the transition from laugh to fight in their anti-Greens hysteria. The next step is…

  239. 239
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Friday, July 3, 2009 at 11:35 pm | Permalink

    A good quote. I think on this site we have seen a similar tranformation taking place. Since the Freo Bi-Election the ALPers have made the transition from laugh to fight in their anti-Greens hysteria. The next step is…

    And what a surprise – the Greens make yet ANOTHER personal attack.

    Buid a bloomin Bridge – your pathetic whinings each time the bad ALP”ers expose your little lies proves you can dish it out, but you CANNOT take it.

    Pot Meet Kettle.

  240. 240
    The Heysen Molotov
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 12:58 am | Permalink

    Frank
    You always remind me of an incident where some drunk and mildly mentally disabled guy was talking to my brother. His replies had nothing to do with what my brother had just said and finally he just had to say “sorry man, I just don’t get you”. I don,t interpret my words as either an “attack” or “personal” and they certainly weren’t intended as such. I’d say they refer to a hope for the future – a prediction for the future of this country. Your responce does seem in line with my theory that hostility from the alp types here towards the greens has been on the rise. I could be wrong but my guess is that most bludgers of all persuasions would agree.
    I beg of you this one request though? Can you please explain *in detail* the relevents of the pots kettle analogy to this discussion because right now with all due respect “sorry man, I just don’t get you”.

  241. 241
    The Heysen Molotov
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:02 am | Permalink

    Ps I’m NOT saying you are drunk or mildly mentally disabled and I am not trying to make a personal attack – just that we do not appear to operate on the same wavelength ever and that I can rarely follow your train of thought as I have said on other occasions. Perhaps we have very different personalities.

  242. 242
    Fulvio Sammut
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:24 am | Permalink

    I find the last two posts to be distasteful and unnecessary, to say the least.

  243. 243
    Dario
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:26 am | Permalink

    As do I

  244. 244
    It's Time
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:50 am | Permalink

    I see no problem with 241 and 242 when read together.

  245. 245
    ltep
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:05 am | Permalink

    As per usual, Diog is wRONg, again.

    Gandhi never said: “First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win”.

    What Gandhi said was: “First you ground the cummin, then the coriendar, then add the garam Marsala, then you cook the Curry Madras”.

    wow a curry joke about an Indian person? Hilarious

  246. 246
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:39 am | Permalink

    Palin is to resign as Governor of Alaska.

    WASILLA, Alaska – Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin made a surprise announcement Friday that she is resigning from office at the end of the month without explaining why she plans to step down, raising speculation that she would focus on a run for the White House in the 2012 race.

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090703/ap_on_re_us/us_palin_resigning

  247. 247
    BK
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:46 am | Permalink

    Steve,

    Now watch out for Palin as a presenter on Faux News.

  248. 248
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:50 am | Permalink

    Big possibility BK, she could double as candidate and political commentator for Faux News with their ethics and her previous beauty queen role.

  249. 249
    BK
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:59 am | Permalink

    Steve,

    And their dress code would require her to wear a short skirt.

    Seriously, Faux News is just a dog whistler to the right wing rump in the us.

    Unbelievable!

  250. 250
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:00 am | Permalink

    Credit Where Credit’s Due Dept.

    Annabel Crabb writes a good one: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/lib-think-tank-running-on-empty-20090703-d7rk.html

    More like this please, Annabel.

  251. 251
    vote1maxine
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:08 am | Permalink

    Steve Fielding has shown himself to be the village idiot of the Senate.
    Look at his recent incompetent antics in the senate:

    1) His decision to block referral to the privileges committee was only the second time in the Senate’s 108 years that this has happened.
    2) His CC denials.
    3) His willingness to potentially contaminate the Parliament with swine flu.

    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/lessons-from-ozcar-for-everyone-from-pm-to-senate-dunce-20090703-d7rg.html?page=-1

    Yet he was elect to the Senate despite obtain just a couple of percent of prime votes. WHY? Because Labor preferenced him over the Greens.

    Why is there such animosity between Labor and the Greens? (This has been on display in recent feuds on PB). I have always stated that there is a natural synergy between both. Labor will not always enjoy its present high standing in the polls. It will need Green preferences sometime in the future, just as it did in the 1990 election.

    Just as the Liberals have not learnt the lessons of policy development since their 2007 defeat, so too Labor appears to ignore its natural synergies it may well need to maintain power into the future.

    So a well intentioned dialogue needs to be opened up between Labor & the Greens.
    Here on PB would be a good place to start. :)

  252. 252
    Gusface
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:51 am | Permalink

    So a well intentioned dialogue needs to be opened up between Labor & the Greens.
    Here on PB would be a good place to start.

    Altho I can’t say that its well intentioned, there certainly is dialogue between different peoples , representing different political viewpoints, here on contentious issues.

    At times there is a very frank and open discussion and perhaps because of the passion of those that post here, it does get a bit heated.

    In the main, this seems to occur when an impasse is reached or the tone denigrates to personal attack.

    But politics is about the hurly-burly and most certaintly not tip-toeing thru the tulips.

    BTW
    What, in your opinion, is the most pressing issue that the Labs and the Greens should be discussing.

  253. 253
    William Conroy
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:01 am | Permalink

    “Why is there such animosity between Labor and the Greens?’ a not so simple mistake by labor it will not happen again, however payback for Fielding for stopping the senate inquiry will most likely be Lib preferences. now that is an even scarier thought

  254. 254
    juliem
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:15 am | Permalink

    Re 252,

    Steve Fielding has shown himself to be the village idiot of the Senate.

    He repeatedly demonstrates this, this week wasn’t unusual in that regard :grin:

  255. 255
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:17 am | Permalink

    Juliem, what’s your reading of Palin’s latest announcement?

  256. 256
    juliem
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:21 am | Permalink

    Don’t know if other WA posters made note of this yesterday, but the Friday edition of The West had an article by Andrew Probyn, Federal Political editor, titled “Rudd woos WA vote in poll dance”. Rudd was in Kununurra on Thursday (don’t know if his current trip to WA was a multi day trip or just TH). Anyways, to the point – Probyn points out the very real threat of a DD over the ETS legislation. Case #1 – if you accept the arguement that the Senate’s deferment of the ETS legislation was the first hurdle for a DD, if they vote against it again in the August sitting, GG under request could dissolve and have an early November election. Case #2 – Coalition votes it down in the August sitting, again at the end of the last sitting session for the year and then early election in March looms. Probyn presents both as viable possibilities but the latter being the more likely between the two.

    Thoughts? :)

  257. 257
    johncanb
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:24 am | Permalink

    Annabel Crabb in the story referenced by BB at 251 did not mention that the conversation between Brandis Mason and the journalist Parris led to the introduction (by Parris) of the term dog whistling into the British political lexicon. http://www.spectator.co.uk/the-magazine/cartoons/13599/only-the-tories-can-cut-the-state-down-to-size.thtml
    It is a lovely example of the propagation of a meme and I particularly like it as an example of Antipodean culture affecting the mother country.

  258. 258
    The Finnigans
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:32 am | Permalink

    AUSTRALIA is on track to defy the world and avoid a recession in 2009, beginning a recovery early next year, in the assessment of more than 20 leading economists.

    The Age's half-yearly economic survey predicts an economic contraction of a mere 0.1 per cent this year followed by a rebound of 0.6 per cent in the year to June 2010.

    http://www.theage.com.au/national/economy-beats-the-odds-20090703-d7um.html

    This can be directly attributed to two towering genius of the two boys from Nambour.

    The Superior Economic Manager will always be ALP under Labor

  259. 259
    William Conroy
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:42 am | Permalink

    Possum or anyone as a newby how do I set up quoths from other bloggers if I wish to incluude them as a reference
    Ta

  260. 260
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:49 am | Permalink

    vote1maxine @ 252

    Steve Fielding has shown himself to be the village idiot of the Senate.

    I think it’s a couple of steps worse than that. Village idiots can’t help being stupid.
    But he knows the science is correct, and what he should be doing on climate change and everything else that the shady bible-bashing bastards behind him direct him on.

    Being wilfully ignorant when you are in a position of that power is to piss on a heavy ethical obligation. So he’s just an unprincipled, dishonest, double-talking, empty shell mouthing the words of others. How does the creep live with himself?

    Apologies to village idiots everywhere by the way. We should be using the modern term – ’synapse-challenged small town dweller’. :-)

  261. 261
    Diogenes
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:59 am | Permalink

    Palin looks like she quit to avoid further scandals coming out and being forced to resign in disgrace. She’s thrown in the towel.

    The gist of the rumor is that an Alaska building company called Spenard Building Supplies (SBS) was awarded a contract by Palin to build a hockey arena in Wasilla, AK, and in return, SBS helped construct Palin’s home

    http://thinkprogress.org/2009/07/03/palin-hockey-arena-scandal/

  262. 262
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:02 am | Permalink

    Krugman looks at the jobless figures growing in the US and decides a bigger stimulus packages is needed ASAP. Otherwise the US will face a decade of deflation.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/03/opinion/03krugman.html?em

  263. 263
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:04 am | Permalink

    Diogenes, echos of the Texas Ranges baseball field under Bush and co.

  264. 264
    Centre
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:15 am | Permalink

    Excellent quote before Diogs. First they ignore, then they laugh, then they fight, then you win. What if they can’t laugh because it can be seen you are clearly too intelligent, and they can’t fight because you’d win legally, I suppose you go from; ignore – rejection – acceptance – win.

    Anyway, Heyson Molotov did not make any personal attack. Get over it and lighten up you guys. For the record I like Green voters. I just happen to love their policies more. :D

  265. 265
    juliem
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:17 am | Permalink

    Hmm …. wonder what is up here ;-) ….

    ANCHORAGE, Alaska (Reuters) - Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, the Republican Party's vice presidential candidate in 2008, said on Friday she will resign this month, an unexpected move that could signal a run for higher office.
    http://au.news.yahoo.com/a/-/world/5702095/alaska-governor-sarah-palin-to-resign/

  266. 266
    juliem
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:18 am | Permalink

    Dio, you beat me to it ;-)

  267. 267
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:19 am | Permalink

    What a strange speech for a mid term Governor. All about lame ducks, no more politics as usual, children were polled and want her out. She loves her job and Alaska so much she’s leaving.

    http://video.nytimes.com/video/playlist/politics/1194811622221/index.html#1194841338826

  268. 268
    bob1234
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:20 am | Permalink

    http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,25731562-5006301,00.html

    Expectedly, Hamilton-Smith holds on to the SA Liberal leadership.

  269. 269
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:31 am | Permalink

    Bob good news for Labor supporters there, with Turnbull digging in and staying as a lame duck leader and Springborg leading the media hits over Langbroek, once Springborg rolls Langbroek we will be back to business as usual on the conservative side of Australian politics.

  270. 270
    bob1234
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:32 am | Permalink

    The vote was much closer than expected, 11 votes to 10, with one MP abstaining. The status quo, maintained by such a slim margin, is the worst possible result for the SA Liberals.

  271. 271
    ltep
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:41 am | Permalink

    1) His decision to block referral to the privileges committee was only the second time in the Senate’s 108 years that this has happened.

    To be a little more fair to him you also have to lay the blame on the Opposition. His vote alone would be meaningless. Bob Brown was exactly right that the Senate should not be seen to be protecting one of its own. If there was no merit in the reference the committee could determine that itself and report accordingly.

    Yet he was elect to the Senate despite obtain just a couple of percent of prime votes. WHY? Because Labor preferenced him over the Greens.
    Why is there such animosity between Labor and the Greens? (This has been on display in recent feuds on PB).

    To be fair to the ALP they issued their preferences in the way that they thought would get the ALP more senators. The ALP’s job is not to get Greens senators elected after all.

  272. 272
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:44 am | Permalink

    Bob, didn’t Hamilton-Smith initially get the job because the previous Liberal leader was interstate at a funeral when the spill occurred? He should be ok as leader as long as he has no intention of leaving the state for any reason between now and the next election.

  273. 273
    bob1234
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:49 am | Permalink

    Hamilton-Smith said he would call another leadership spill to get a more decisive result before parliament sits again on July 14.

    http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,25731562-5006301,00.html

  274. 274
    bob1234
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:49 am | Permalink

    Hamilton-Smith said he would call another leadership spill to get a more decisive result before parliament sits again on July 14.

    http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,25731562-5006301,00.html

  275. 275
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:55 am | Permalink

    Bob, has he developed a travel bug since the vote this morning?

  276. 276
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:56 am | Permalink

    Ps I’m NOT saying you are drunk or mildly mentally disabled and I am not trying to make a personal attack - just that we do not appear to operate on the same wavelength ever and that I can rarely follow your train of thought as I have said on other occasions. Perhaps we have very different personalities.

    That post reminds me of the oft said “I’m not a Racist, but” tag. but you have made yet ANOTHER personal attack, and as a person with a disability, while I don’t take personal offence at your swipe at the mentally ill, your comments prove once and for all that the Greens take great delight at making personal attacks against ANYBODY who do not agree to your virtious views.

    And if I had made a similar attack, I would’ve been snipped by William, and well deserved, but in yours and Oz’s case every attack of a similar nature remain untouched – rather like the endagered species the greens purport to protect.

    So much for a Party who claim to protect the socially disadvantaged when they resort to attacking the peoiple they purport to protect.

    Hypocrites.

  277. 277
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:57 am | Permalink

    253

    In a future 1990 type election for the ALP, it may have to rely not only on Greens preferences but on Greens MHRs. In such a close election where the ALP was on the nose but not quite enough to get booted out, the Greens would be in a position to gain up to three seats (if they did not hold any of them already).

  278. 278
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 12:06 pm | Permalink

    Here’s the story of the SA Liberal Leader being rolled while attending a funeral from Pavlov’s cat a local SA blogger.

    In an exemplary display of class and taste, new Leader of the South Australian Opposition, Martin Hamilton-Smith, chose his now erstwhile leader Iain Evans' absence in Canberra at the memorial service for the late Sentaor Jeannie Ferris as the ideal moment to knife Evans in the back, mounting a leadership challenge that saw him elected leader this afternoon by a slenderish 13 votes to 10.

    Hamilton-Smith's first move as leader was to announce that the party would be 'more aggressive'. Oh goodie, I can hardly wait.

    Former Liberal leader Rob Kerin, universally regarded as the archetypal good bloke, mildly pointed out on the teeve a minute ago that the timing really was rather unfortunate in its upstaging of the service for Senator Ferris. This remark could have been a bit of belated payback for Hamilton-Smith's unsuccessful challenge to Kerin's own leadership in 2005.

    http://pavlovblog.blogspot.com/2007/04/sa-libs-move-some-more-deck-chairs.html

  279. 279
    Gusface
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 12:09 pm | Permalink

    276
    I am sorry I’ve been reduced to a number
    :(

    Ttfab.
    What I meant in 253, was what issue is (eg ETS) the most pressing

    the greens getting fed MHR’s in such a number to hold the BOP, is a possibility, but the probablility is debatable ie the timeline for it to actually happen.

  280. 280
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 12:26 pm | Permalink

    Vote1Maxine says he/she wants a dialogue between Labor and Green and laments the feuding that goes on here between Labor and Green supporters. I agree in principle. But V1M then immediately drags up the Labor-preferenced-Fielding matter as a stick to hit Labor over the head with. As I’ve said here about 20 times, the current Senate election system forces all parties *including the Greens* to do preference deals. The deal with FF was the best way to maximise Labor’s chances of winning three Senate. The Democrats also did a deal with FF, for the same reason. If the deal had worked, everyone would have said how clever Eric Locke was, but thanks to Latham driving down the ALP primary vote, it didn’t work. These things happen in politics. I could compare this with the Qld Greens’ *deliberate* preferencing of the Nats in 1995 in order to help them win government, or the Green alliance with the Libs and Nats to prevent reform of the WA Leg Council, but in the interests of dialogue I’ll refrain from doing so. I for one would welcome a truce on this silly point-scoring (I can’t speak for fellow Labor hacks of course.)

    More broadly, I think what really annoys Labor people, here and in the real world, is the Greens’ constant assertion that Labor governments are not really trying to deal with the incredibly complex and difficult issues surrounding environment, energy, water and climate change in Australia, and that the Greens could solve all these issues overnight. It’s very easy to be pure from the crossbenches, but Labor governments are dealing with these issues while trying not to put people out of work (the working-class people who vote for us in particular), send businesses broke or ruin our export industries, and all in the face of a hostile anti-Labor press. Government means responsibility for all these things, and it means constant difficult choices. It’s very easy to harvest votes through NIMBYism and opposition to everything governments do. Greens oppose the CPRS, nuclear power, desal plants, pipelines, windfarms – just about everything governments can or could do to deal with these problems, while dismissing all consequences for employment or investment, as “pandering to the big end of town.”

    Secondly, war between Labor and Greens is inevitable if the Greens pursue a strategy of trying to win lower-house seats from Labor, federally and in the states. Of course as a political party the Greens are entitled to contest any seat they like, but if they insist on a strategy of trying to defeat Labor ministers (Tanner, Albanese, Plibersek; Pike, Wynne; Tebbutt, Firth), then we are going to fight back, and we will fight as rough as needs be. I point out that it’s not *necessary* for the Greens to pursue this strategy. Federally and in all states except Qld (and Tas, which has a different system), the Greens can win upper house seats, gaining a voice and influence by holding the balance of power, without threatening Labor’s electoral base and incurring the inevitable Labor counter-attack. The decision to “take on Labor” in seats like Marrickville and Melbourne is a decision to start a war with Labor, and the Greens can’t complain about the tactics which Labor then uses to defend itself – particularly since we see no comparable effort to take on the Liberals in their seats.

    I hope V1M finds these comments, which are intended to be constructive, helpful.

  281. 281
    bob1234
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 12:29 pm | Permalink

    particularly since we see no comparable effort to take on the Liberals in their seats.

    They do it where they see the opportunity to. Mayo is one example.

  282. 282
    ltep
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 12:30 pm | Permalink

    just about everything governments can or could do to deal with these problems, while dismissing all consequences for employment or investment, as “pandering to the big end of town.”

    I really thought the phrase had died out decades ago but listening to Bob Brown speak it appears not to have.

  283. 283
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 12:51 pm | Permalink

    Why wouldn’t this have occurred before this morning’s vote?

    The leader says he must now consider whether he will contest it.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/04/2616784.htm?section=justin

  284. 284
    bob1234
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 12:57 pm | Permalink

    Why wouldn’t this have occurred before this morning’s vote?

    If he got 14 of the 22 votes as was speculated then he would have been ok. But he should have stepped down before it anyway as he’d lead the Libs to disaster. With 11 of 22 votes, he’s pretty much lost the party’s confidence. Especially if the person you only got 11 of 22 votes against was Vickie Chapman of all people. God she’s dumb.

  285. 285
    kleewyk
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:00 pm | Permalink

    Recommended reading Andrew Elder’s latest blog “Night Thoughts from John Hartigan”- great l’explication de texte.

    http://andrewelder.blogspot.com

  286. 286
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:02 pm | Permalink

    I thought that what political leaders did in a spill was phone everyone on their team asking for support and count the votes before it turned into a public embarrassment. What is the preferred SA method, it is obviously different and not as effective as eldewhere? The good thing is that with 21 members they can’t have a four all draw and go for a lucky dip as was the Queensland Liberals favorite trick.

  287. 287
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:03 pm | Permalink

    Oops 22, I forgot the one hiding in the toilet.

  288. 288
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:09 pm | Permalink

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/07/03/sarah-palin-out-of-politi_n_225619.html
    It looks like Palin is quitting politics tout court, not as a preliminary to running for the Senate or for POTUS. I think this shows unexpected good sense. She is clearly out of her depth, and she has family problems.

  289. 289
    vera
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:29 pm | Permalink

    The OO are still trying to get Rudd over the ute, talk about sore losers.

    KEVIN Rudd last night denied that his acceptance of a utility vehicle provided to him free by a Queensland car dealer might breach a requirement that prevented him from accepting gifts.

    The Weekend Australian yesterday asked the Prime Minister's office whether the vehicle provided by Ipswich car dealer John Grant fitted into rules preventing ministers accepting gifts.

    While Mr Rudd's code of ministerial conduct is silent on the acceptance of gifts by ministers, the previous government required that they could not receive gifts worth more than $500 from official sources or more than $100 from private or industry sources. If ministers accepted such gifts, they had to compensate taxpayers for the value of the gift.

    In the case of Mr Rudd's utility, the gift would be the annual costs of registration, insurance and automobile club membership -- worth more than $1000 -- which the Prime Minister has conceded Mr Grant continues to fund, having handed over the second-hand ute several years ago.

    They also report that Malcolm saying

    "We can win this next election and we should win the next election,"

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25730651-2702,00.html

  290. 290
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:40 pm | Permalink

    Vera, last time I checked the ute was declared on the register at the bottom of this page. It seems that News Ltd wants to run the line that the Howard Govt standards of accountability were superior. Good luck with that one, News Ltd.

    http://www.openaustralia.org/mp/kevin_rudd/griffith

  291. 291
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:44 pm | Permalink

    The registration, insurance and RACQ membership are also listed so what is their problem?

  292. 292
    vera
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:50 pm | Permalink

    Steve, they hate being made fools of I guess ;)

  293. 293
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:55 pm | Permalink

    The head of the Repugs Governors’ Association Nick Ayers was sent emails by Palin before her announcement. Bloggers are to blame for the resigantion of a political leader – is this a first?”

    "I don't think this is buckling to pressure," said Ayers. "I think this is her coming to the realization that the legislature in Alaska and that some bloggers and activists in Alaska are going to do everything they can to stymie her progress.

    Who else can we bloggers bring down from our newfound position of strength? We must use this new power responsibly of course! :evil:

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/07/03/gop-official-who-talked-w_n_225582.html
    (link courtesy ChrisB at 101)

  294. 294
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:57 pm | Permalink

    Must be the superior research skills that makes Harto want us to pay for that blogs can dig up for free, I guess. After all the General Public couldn’t just click on Open Australia and get every Member and Senator’s declaration of Pecuniary Interests themselves could they?

  295. 295
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 2:19 pm | Permalink

    279

    The Greens are not targeting these seats because they have ministers in them but because they are the ones that the Greens can win. If the ALP does not want ministers targeted then they should move the ministers but instead they are making members for these seats new ministers. If the Libs had a major minister in say Eden-Monaro the ALP would still target that minister.

    The lower houses are more powerful than the upper houses. On money bills there are restrictions in the Commonwealth and most states and in Victoria and NSW the Legislative Council can`t block any money bills (despite the Legislative Council being the more representative house in Victoria). Lower Houses also determine governments.

  296. 296
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 2:22 pm | Permalink

    After all the General Public couldn’t just click on Open Australia and get every Member and Senator’s declaration of Pecuniary Interests themselves could they?

    I suppose Hartigan’s reply to this would be that, yes, Joe Public could look up pecuniary interests for himself, but that eh didn’t do so.

    But then, neither did News journalists.

    Besides that, the donation was innocent, recorded properly and no benefit to Grant was gained by Grant’s making it.

    So where’s the problem?

    Same with the email. Except it was a fake email. So what’s the point of writing about it?

    Ditto for the Schools bootstrapper: apart from the usual few stuffups you’d expect to find with a multi-billion dollar program, News’ famous journalistic team couldn’t dredge up anything much, even after their plaintive, daily cries for tip-offs from the public. Most of the articles were either quoting themselves or close colleagues (either specifically or in the form of words: “newspaper reports say…”), or Liberals, plus a few disaffected principals and P&C tragics. Well, that lot would say that, wouldn’t they? Hardly the stuff of huge controversy.

  297. 297
    Andrew
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 2:25 pm | Permalink

    Gotta love the MSM- poll on yahoo7- can turnbull win back voters?- huh? did he have them in the first place?? I dont think so

    And Sarah Palin, PLLLLLEASE go for president!!!!

  298. 298
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 2:25 pm | Permalink

    After all the General Public couldn’t just click on Open Australia and get every Member and Senator’s declaration of Pecuniary Interests themselves could they?

    I suppose Hartigan’s reply to this would be that, yes, Joe Public could look up pecuniary interests for himself, but that eh didn’t do so.

    But then, neither did News journalists.

    Besides that, the donation was innocent, recorded properly and no benefit to Grant was gained by Grant’s making it.

    So where’s the problem?

    Same with the email. Except it was a fake email. So what’s the point of writing about it?

    Ditto for the Schools bootstrapper: apart from the usual few anomalies you’d expect to find with a multi-billion dollar program, News’ famous journalistic team couldn’t dredge up anything much, even after their plaintive, daily cries for tip-offs from the public. Most of the articles were either quoting themselves or close colleagues (either specifically or in the form of words: “newspaper reports say…”), or Liberals, plus a few disaffected principals and P&C tragics. Well, that lot would say that, wouldn’t they? The bulk of the “disasters” arose from barneys at the local level about what was the most appropriate priority for the particular school. Hardly the stuff of huge controversy.

  299. 299
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 2:26 pm | Permalink

    I am sick of trying to second-guess the Crikey “Moderation filter”. Is “stuffup” a naughty word? I took it out and still copped the dreaded message.

  300. 300
    Julian Watson
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 2:30 pm | Permalink

    I wonder if the conservative side of politics in the US is also trying the Silver Bullet/Great White Hope approach that has been so successful in conservative Australian politics recently…?

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8133964.stm

  301. 301
    Julian Watson
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 2:32 pm | Permalink

    Oh dear,

    Looks like I’m a day late and a dollar short with regards to my previous posts. My apologies.

  302. 302
    vera
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 2:39 pm | Permalink

    If the ALP does not want ministers targeted then they should move the ministers but instead they are making members for these seats new ministers.

    What next? Greens demanding “we’ll say who Labor can run against us and make ministers of this country” lol
    It’s this attitude that has turned this hack right off the Greens.

  303. 303
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 2:46 pm | Permalink

    299

    The Greens will target those seats whether or not they have ministers in them. The ALP does not have many ministers from seats they hold that are marginal to the Libs do they? Kim Beazley moved from Swan to Brand in 1996. No party is going to not target a seat of another party who they are not in coalition with just because there is a minister in that seat.

  304. 304
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 2:53 pm | Permalink

    Tom, as I said, the Greens have a perfect right to run wherever they like. My point was a response to Vote1Maxine’s argument that Labor and Greens should be natural allies. It’s difficult to forge an alliance with a party which is trying to unseat party leaders like Tanner, Albanese and Tebbutt, and forcing us to divert resources which we would much rather spend on defeating the Libs.

    In Germany the SPD and the Greens can form an alliance because their electoral system doesn’t force them into conflict. In France, which also has single-member seats, the terms of the PS-Green alliance allocate a certain number of seats to the Greens, where they are essentially elected by PS voters. This is fairly easy in a house of 577 – it would be a lot harder in the House of Reps, but not impossible. But the current Greens leadership don’t want an alliance with Labor – they want to displace Labor as the main party of the left.

  305. 305
    vera
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 2:56 pm | Permalink

    300
    I’m happy for the Greens to run in every seat but it’s a bit rich to bitch about Labor having strong cantidates or ministers in marginal seats the Greens think they can win.
    If you are so sure of winning these marginals good luck to you, stand up and fight for them but don’t expect labor to run crap cantidates to make it easier for you.

  306. 306
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:01 pm | Permalink

    current Greens leadership don’t want an alliance with Labor - they want to displace Labor as the main party of the left.

    They already have. The ‘party of the left’ hidden somewhere within the ALP is perennially sidelined by the policies of the dominant right-wing faction.

  307. 307
    vote1maxine
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:02 pm | Permalink

    Psephos @ 279

    Your comments are both constructive & helpful. My intention in relation the election of Fielding was not “a stick to hit Labor over the head with”. Simply the frustration of Labor’s CPRS Bill being held up in the senate by a “synapse-challenged small town dweller”, (ie moron) who shouldn’t be there in the first place.

    I believe that Labor’s present CPRS Bill (though weak) should be passed by the Greens. A start needs to be made IMMEDIATELY. The Greens can tighten the legislation later. (At worse case the Greens should abstain rather than oppose the Bill).
    In relation to preference deals, it should work both ways. I understand that a party needs to maximise its senate numbers but more consideration should be given to the consequences of electing a moron ala fielding. (Likewise the Greens shouldn’t pref Nats over Labor). To be fair it would be very difficult to foresee these consequences. That is why I am advocating that the natural synergy between Labor & the Greens needs to be nurtured. Both sides need to do so. This, I believe, would minimize these unforeseen consequences.

    Gusface @ 253

    The most important issue is for the Greens & Labors to work together to get the CPRS Bill through the Senate. Something is better than nothing. The Bill can always be strengthened later. CC is the big stick to beat the COALition over the head with which a Labor Govt. can take to the 2016 election and win comfortably.

  308. 308
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:04 pm | Permalink

    The field of candidates for Higgins is thinning out.

    Kelly O'Dwyer, a high-flying young banker and confidante of Peter Costello, has emerged as strong favourite to succeed the former treasurer in the blue-ribbon seat of Higgins.

    Mr Costello is set to endorse Ms O'Dwyer, 32, who worked for him from 2004 to 2007 as a legal adviser. Ms O'Dwyer is a senior executive with National Australia Bank, where she manages the teams that look after the investments and banking of families with wealth worth more than $30 million.

    http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/costello-to-endorse-liberal-activist-as-higgins-candidate-20090704-d80k.html

  309. 309
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:08 pm | Permalink

    JV, it depends on the defintion of “left.” The Greens have replaced the communists as the party of the *far left*. You still have a long way to go replace the ALP as the party of the “broad left” – Labor polled five times the Green vote in 2007.

    Go Dees! Five goals in a row.

  310. 310
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:09 pm | Permalink

    Ms O'Dwyer is a senior executive with National Australia Bank, where she manages the teams that look after the investments and banking of families with wealth worth more than $30 million.

    Just what the Libs need, another banker.

  311. 311
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:10 pm | Permalink

    301

    The ALP can always more the ministers if it wants them to not have to pay so much attention to their own re-election.

    302

    I am not saying that the ALP should run weak candidates but that they cannot complain if they have important targeted if they don`t move them.

  312. 312
    vera
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:14 pm | Permalink

    I haven’t heard Tanner & co complaining about who runs against them?

  313. 313
    vera
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:14 pm | Permalink

    They’d be laughed outa town if they did.

  314. 314
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:17 pm | Permalink

    Just what the Libs need, another banker.

    “Banker”? Is that the correct spelling?

  315. 315
    Centre
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:18 pm | Permalink

    The dinosaurs at News Ltd reckon people are going to pay for their content on the net, the way they do for Pay TV. They are delusional! The huge difference between pay TV and the net is that most information is not freely accessable on Pay TV as it is on the net.

    Also, not anybody can go ahead and operate their own TV station, whereas almost anybody can create their own website, and be in a position to compete for lucrative advertising dollars.

    Buying a newspaper will no longer be necessary as information from every industry and sector of the economy and from experts in their various fields will be freely accessable on the net. As the dinosaurs at News Ltd know, the days of relying on newspapers for information are coming to an end. :)

  316. 316
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:29 pm | Permalink

    309&310

    Gonwyn Pike said in an interview after the 2006 election that she was disappointed that the Greens had targeted seats where progressive politics had been so strong for so long (may not have the wording quite correct but I have the sentiment correct).

  317. 317
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:31 pm | Permalink

    What if Murdoch started buying up websites, even ISPs? Might that not give him the ability to up prices and charge for content?

    I know there are probably a thousand reasons why he can’t do it, but if someone had asked whether a younger Rupert, resident of Adelaide, owning one newspaper, would today be one of the world’s richest men, own hundreds of newspapers, run pay TV stations, be an American citizen, be included on Time’s “most influential” list etc. etc. you’d have been laughed off the blog (except blogs didn’t exist then, of course, much less business models for on-line content).

    Just askin’…

  318. 318
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:34 pm | Permalink

    Just a couple of other things before I go to walk the dogs (great that I can write the word here and not have to spell it out under my breath…. WALK!):

    1. One of the worst things about News blogs is that moderate. It can take hours for your post to appear, by which time the argument has moved on. No “live blogging” on Harto’s sites.

    2. What if he made Crikey an offer they couldn’t refuse? He’s done this kind of thing before. That could well effectively shut down this blog.

  319. 319
    Centre
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:43 pm | Permalink

    Paying for newspaper content on the net would be like paying for an extra channel on pay TV that show replays of broadcasts that have been shown on free to air.

  320. 320
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:45 pm | Permalink

    Psephos

    JV, it depends on the defintion of “left.” The Greens have replaced the communists as the party of the *far left*. You still have a long way to go replace the ALP as the party of the “broad left”

    Not me, I’m not any part of the Greens, or harboring ideas of replacing anybody, but I would suggest that the term ‘left’ as it is generally understood historically can hardly be applied to the current ALP. Centre-unity has control and has shouldered the party into the centre-right territory once occupied by the Liberal party up to and including Fraser. The ALP is the ‘Once Were Left’ party, to borrow the title of that great Kiwi movie. Although I do concede that residual elements of leftish types with more progressive ideologies still exist in the party, but their contributions are always swamped by the right’s numbers.

  321. 321
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:45 pm | Permalink

    This is fairly easy in a house of 577 – it would be a lot harder in the House of Reps, but not impossible. But the current Greens leadership don’t want an alliance with Labor – they want to displace Labor as the main party of the left.

    Displace Labor as the main party of the broad left? Hardly. If the Greens were after that, their policies would be markedly different, and much more centrist.

    Labor just want to keep being able to totally ignore the left, and toss a tiny concession here and there to the reps in the upper house, like they do with the Shooters Party. I understand why Labor might be obsessed with caution to the point of it being ridiculous (hello? Rudd makes Obama look like a lefty?), but they shouldn’t be stunned when the left *stops voting for them* as a result.

  322. 322
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:51 pm | Permalink

    318 last paragraph

    Here Here

  323. 323
    scorpio
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 3:52 pm | Permalink

    Psephos said,

    Just what the Libs need, another banker.

    Not only that, but a Lawyer to boot. One would think that the Liberal Party had enough Lawyers in their ranks and would be looking to broaden their ranks to more closely reflect the general community and its concerns?

    Before working for Mr Costello, she was a merger and acquisitions lawyer with Freehills.

    http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/costello-to-endorse-liberal-activist-as-higgins-candidate-20090704-d80k.html

  324. 324
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:01 pm | Permalink

    Before working for Mr Costello, she was a merger and acquisitions lawyer with Freehills.

    Would that be the same Freehills as the one that drafted the Workchoices legislation?

  325. 325
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:03 pm | Permalink

    “Left” is a relative term. It means “to the left of whatever point is defined as the centre at any given time.” It doesn’t mean “in accordance with the doctrines of Karl Marx / Kier Hardie / Ben Chifley.” Sixty years ago Labor stood for White Australia and nationalising the banks. So have we moved to the “left” or the “right” since then?

  326. 326
    bob1234
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:06 pm | Permalink

    Sixty years ago Labor stood for White Australia and nationalising the banks.

    Invalid comparison. You know full well there’s no left-right scale that defines all policy. You have a left-right scale for economic, social, and moral/traditional issues.

  327. 327
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    322

    The current Labor party is at about the centre line of Australian politics and there are many people in Australia who want more left wing policies than the ALP is offering. Labor has drifted to the right on economic issues in the last four decades or so (the Labor party of sixty years ago supported public ownership of assets and a Brittish NHS style health system). On social issue the ALP became more progressive in the second half of the sixties as did society but has drifted more socially conservative, particularly in the last decade.

  328. 328
    scorpio
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:15 pm | Permalink

    No wonder the Libs have been blocking Labor’s Bill on Political Donations, especially “foreign donations”.

    Federally, Labor has vowed to ban foreign donations, but legislation to achieve this has stalled in the Senate.

    When it comes to vested interest, the Liberal Party have no peers in relation to hypocrisy!

    A LITTLE-KNOWN Australian-Chinese property billionaire has emerged as the largest offshore benefactor of Australia's political parties. Chau Chak Wing has poured more than $2 million into the coffers of the Liberal, National and Labor parties in the past decade.

    In the two financial years that had the heaviest impact on the last federal election - 2006-07 and 2007-08 - he gave $980,000 to the Coalition and $402,000 to Labor.

    [Dr Chau told the Herald he was just a "small businessman" who was fulfilling the role of a "good and responsible citizen". "When I make those donations, I do not put any conditions on the contribution."

    The former prime minister John Howard told the Herald: "I had a very positive view of his contribution to the relationship [with China].

    “He always struck me as a person interested in a genuine way in building relations between China and Australia. I never discussed donations with him … the access he had was not so frequent as to even justify that question.”]

    http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/chinese-billionaire-funding-our-mps-20090703-d7s9.html

    Just love Howard’s comment which, when you relate it to the rabid attacks on Rudd over non existent favours for a mate and the amounts of money involved, leave me absolutely speechless!

  329. 329
    bob1234
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:15 pm | Permalink

    The current Labor party is at about the centre line of Australian politics and there are many people in Australia who want more left wing policies than the ALP is offering. Labor has drifted to the right on economic issues in the last four decades or so (the Labor party of sixty years ago supported public ownership of assets and a Brittish NHS style health system). On social issue the ALP became more progressive in the second half of the sixties as did society but has drifted more socially conservative, particularly in the last decade.

    Bingo.

  330. 330
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:20 pm | Permalink

    ... there are many people in Australia who want more left wing policies than the ALP is offering.

    What are these policies?

  331. 331
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:23 pm | Permalink

    ... there are many people in Australia who want more left wing policies than the ALP is offering.

    Obviously not a majority.

  332. 332
    The Finnigans
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:25 pm | Permalink

    * i subscribe to pay TV for the live sports, news and current affairs, documentaries, World Movies and the music channels. Hardly touch the others.

    * i subscribe to Crikey because i believe it should be supported.

    * As far as MSM, they have lost “gatekeeper” role in term of publishing as well as deciding what they will let us see and read, and the circumstances where we are allowed. they dont like it at all that this gatekeeper role has been smashed by the new media. i will never subscribe them.

    * i agree with BB about “moderated sites” where your posts can take forever to appear. The attraction of PB is that it is not moderated, except for the occasional Herr Wilhelm’s quirky sin bins.

    * free to air, only watch ABC, SBS and cricket on 9.

    * other than that, life is pretty good, no complaints at all. :cool:

  333. 333
    Gusface
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:25 pm | Permalink

    Gusface @ 253

    The most important issue is for the Greens & Labors to work together to get the CPRS Bill through the Senate. Something is better than nothing. The Bill can always be strengthened later. CC is the big stick to beat the COALition over the head with which a Labor Govt. can take to the 2016 election and win comfortably.

    Ta Vote1,
    I am actually sympathetic to some of the greens causes, but as I stated recently, the stand on the CPRS is really stupid for so many reasons;
    damages labor -green relations
    perceptions by laborites that the greens are extremist
    allows the libs elbow room to be part of the deal
    stops any discussion on further developing the CPRS
    ignores sections of the greens that may want a CPRS

    least of all, we ARE still not doing anything substantive and have less weight vis a vis international targets.

  334. 334
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:26 pm | Permalink

    Psephos

    So have we moved to the “left” or the “right” since then?

    Neither. We have progressed recently on things such as immigration; capital punishment; women having greater equality; indigenes having the vote. But these things aren’t a ‘move to the left’, they are the result of better education and communication. It is a trap when doing this exercise to equate ‘movement to the left’ with ‘acting in accordance with better knowledge and understanding’.

    We have regressed recently on: freedom of speech and association; and more draconian approach to law and order generally (apart from capital punishment); less tolerance of refugees; fewer rights and powers for workers; extreme powers given to security organisations.

    Through all that the masses haven’t have moved either ’left’ or ‘right’. The same prejudices exist as always.

    It is the two major parties that have moved to the right over recent decades, leading less on the basis of the better understanding and insight of the more educated, and catering more to the everlasting prejudices of the mass of people – a rich vein of votes.

  335. 335
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:30 pm | Permalink

    It is the two major parties that have moved to the right over recent decades, leading less on the basis of the better understanding and insight of the more educated, and catering more to the everlasting prejudices of the mass of people - a rich vein of votes.

    Wow, parties giving people what they want. The mongrels.

  336. 336
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:35 pm | Permalink

    Given that over 85% of voters gave their first preference vote to Labor or the Coalition in the HoR I guess there is not much pressure to move to “the left”. ?

  337. 337
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:37 pm | Permalink

    ...leading less on the basis of the better understanding and insight of the more educated...

    Even the village idiot gets to vote – or should voting be weighted by education?

  338. 338
    vera
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:41 pm | Permalink

    That other irrelevent 15% sit in the shadows feeling proud of all their grand ideas chucking rocks at the big 2. Sad ain’t it :D

  339. 339
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:41 pm | Permalink

    Labor has opposed Capital punishment for a long time. They abolished in in QLD in 1922 and Lang tried in NSW too. Few executions took place under Labor governments.

  340. 340
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:48 pm | Permalink

    The current Labor party is at about the centre line of Australian politics and there are many people in Australia who want more left wing policies than the ALP is offering.

    It must follow logically from that that there are also many people who want more *right* wing policies.

    And may I also say: go Jimmy Stynes and GO DEES.

  341. 341
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:50 pm | Permalink

    Wow, parties giving people what they want. The mongrels

    There’s a bit of Steve Fielding in that comment Gary. You know that the concept of ‘giving people what they want’ is heavily qualified when it comes to government.

    You don’t really believe that a group of voters ‘wanting’ something – whether a majority or not – should be sufficient itself for political parties to support it. If you do, you have been subverted by the focus group/polling sacred cow of the majors. If that were the approach we would never have been rid of capital punishment, we wouldn’t have taxation, secular public schools, the legal system, seat-belts, or any number of other things for the public good.

    The move to the right recently across the two big parties has been associated with the tapping of base racial prejudice and xenophobia in our society. It was shamelessly played by Howard, and it has affected the policies of the current government.

    As I’ve said many times before good government is about leadership – of convincing sufficient numbers of voters of what is right – not pandering to what they want as exemplified by talk-back radio. Polling is a natural enemy of leadership in that context.

  342. 342
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:54 pm | Permalink

    340

    They vote for the coalition and when the coalition (and independents and right wing minor parties) are in power they get some more right wing policies.

  343. 343
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:58 pm | Permalink

    ruawake

    Even the village idiot gets to vote - or should voting be weighted by education?

    You know the answer. Good government is leadership based on the best information – which is certainly not the polls. Example – emissions reduction. The government knows that the science is right, and the strategy for the action required must be taken if the planet is to be saved. So the critical role of government now is to explain the urgency of the situation to the people, regardless of what polls say about people not wanting to change jobs, or pay more for electricity; and then to take the action.

    The government that wishes to pander to the village idiot vote does nothing on climate change, because the polls say people don’t like change.

  344. 344
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:01 pm | Permalink

    jv

    I think you will find the Govt. has introduced the CPRS bill. :P

  345. 345
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:05 pm | Permalink

    You don’t really believe that a group of voters ‘wanting’ something – whether a majority or not - should be sufficient itself for political parties to support it.

    I believe if the majority of voters “want something” political parties need to take notice of it and where possible support it. That is what our political system is all about. You seem to think it is about teaching us all what is “right and wrong” and implementing this “right” whether we like it or not. Why have representative government if that is the role of government? Why vote for anyone?

  346. 346
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:08 pm | Permalink

    344

    It is too weak because the government are too timid to stand up to fossil fuel lobby, the opposition and others who powerful and in the way of what is needed.

  347. 347
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:12 pm | Permalink

    ruawake

    I think you will find the Govt. has introduced the CPRS bill.

    Yes, of course. I’m not critical of the government for that. What choice was there? I was giving an example of how government should operate generally.

    But there are signs of followship rather than leadership on the emisisons scheme in putting off action here until after the next election; the excessive permits to the coal industry; and putting up targets that are too low. All sops to the polls about the fear of change. There hasn’t yet been enough of a sense of urgency engendered by the government, aimed at garnering voter support for the required realignment of industry and employment. I am hoping that will come after Copenhagen.

    One thing is for sure on this now they way things are shaping up is that if Turnbull doesn’t support the bill he will be left in the wilderness after Copenhagen in what I anticipate will be support for strongish targets aimed at no more than a 2 degrees C rise.

  348. 348
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:16 pm | Permalink

    345

    No one is saying that all decisions should be taken without reference to public opinion but that on some things governments have to make unpopular decisions. Governments are elected to govern. This involves taking decisions in the best interests of their jurisdiction which do sometime conflict with public opinion. Governments that mess up badly usually get booted*.

    * Sometimes hampered by undemocratic parts of electoral systems like in the Commonwealth elections of 1961, 1969, 1990 and 1998.

  349. 349
    scorpio
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:18 pm | Permalink

    because the polls say people don’t like change.

    Sorry, JV, but that is a totally ridiculous statement.

    The polls from mid 2006 right through to the 24th of November told me that; 1. people do seek change. 2. they are willing to express that through the polling. 3. That they are equally willing to express that intention through the ballot box in an election!

    Just because Howard won three elections on the trot after rolling Keating in 1996 (which was the people expressing a desire for change, also in polls leading up to that) doesn’t mean that the electorate didn’t want change.

    Each election and the polling leading up to it has to be looked at on their respective merits. There are never or rarely, the same issues of concern or canvassed in each electoral cycle.

    It may pay to reconsider that statement because I don’t agree with it whatsoever!

  350. 350
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:22 pm | Permalink

    349

    In 1998 the majority of the electorate voted for change but the single member electoral system hid this and returned Howard.

  351. 351
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:24 pm | Permalink

    Gary
    You’ve said it yourself -

    if the majority of voters “want something” political parties need to take notice of it and where possible support it.

    “Where possible” – and it isn’t possible if the majority view is not for the public good overall. For example, taxation, or climate change.

    When I vote for a representative I want them to make intelligent decisions based on the best information – in the case of climate change, the best science and economic models arising from the scientific necessity.

    I do not want them to make decisions based on a majority view opposing change, or against higher electricity charges. That would not be to the common good. For their own survival interests, they should explain, explain, and explain like mad, to change the majority view if necessary.

  352. 352
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:27 pm | Permalink

    No one is saying that all decisions should be taken without reference to public opinion but that on some things governments have to make unpopular decisions. Governments are elected to govern. This involves taking decisions in the best interests of their jurisdiction which do sometime conflict with public opinion.

    That’s ok if you have bi partisan support but when you don’t and there is an opportunistic opposition and a MSM just waiting for such a time to arise to kick shite out of you then that option becomes very problematical. That’s reality in the raw.

  353. 353
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:31 pm | Permalink

    scorpio
    I think you got the wrong end of my stick. Definitional problem. I’m talking about voters not wanting higher prices for electricity or a forced change of occupation, such as will be required for the CPRS.

    We always like the sort of change that suits our aspirations and enhances our lifestyle. :-)

    OI guess the government’s job is to convince voters that their longer term aspirations are best served by the changes necessary to accommodate the scheme.

  354. 354
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:32 pm | Permalink

    “Where possible” - and it isn’t possible if the majority view is not for the public good overall. For example, taxation, or climate change.

    Err, most people support taxation. They recognise the need. It’s the degree of taxation that is the sticking point. Same with climate change.

  355. 355
    scorpio
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:33 pm | Permalink

    There hasn’t yet been enough of a sense of urgency engendered by the government, aimed at garnering voter support for the required realignment of industry and employment. I am hoping that will come after Copenhagen.

    The Government can garner 85% voter support for its ETS Bill and it will be absolutely “NO” benefit to it or the passage of the existing Bill or as the Greens want, an improved, strengthened Bill if the Coalition and the Independents vote against it in the Senate. If the Greens join the Coalition block it is even worse and even if thye Greens vote with the Government, the Bill still “won’t” pass.

    Voters can jump up and, scream, and protest in droves in the streets and it will not make one scrap of difference to the outcome.

    Politics is about the possible. The Government is trying to do what is possible, under extreme opposition from the Coalition, Greens and Independents.

    You need to come up with a workable solution, not expecting, that wishful thinking or an active, concerned electorate can change the reality! Even the fact that Labor won the last election is not enough to get that Bill through.

    It may not even be enough if they win the next one, but it will be “totally” impossible if the Coalition were to win the next election!

  356. 356
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:40 pm | Permalink

    opportunistic opposition and a MSM just waiting for such a time to arise to kick shite out of you then that option becomes very problematical. That’s reality in the raw.

    That’s milksop politics.
    There even comes a time every once in a while on a big issue that arises quickly when a government should go out on a limb hoping it can convince the public and the opposition that what it is doing is right before the next election.

    It’s a balancing act, but the emphasis on the big issues must be what is the best path in the interests of society overall – not what is the best path back to office and the white cars. Your view suits the latter approach morethan the former. And please don’t say “You’ve first got to be in power to make a difference.” If you are going to make decisions based on the path of least resistance then you won’t make a difference anyway. Better to risk going down in flaming glory on issues that are worth it.

  357. 357
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:41 pm | Permalink

    No one is saying that all decisions should be taken without reference to public opinion but that on some things governments have to make unpopular decisions. Governments are elected to govern. This involves taking decisions in the best interests of their jurisdiction which do sometime conflict with public opinion.

    That’s ok if you have bi partisan support but when you don’t and there is an opportunistic opposition and a MSM just waiting for such a time to arise to kick shite out of you then that option becomes very problematical. That’s reality in the raw.

    And Law and Order issues is a Prime example. WA Labor is opposed to Mandatory Dentention for people who assault Police Officers, but in order to avoid the predictable “Soft on Crime” tag, had no choice but to allow it to pass the lower House. However in the Upper House Labor is seeking to amend the legislation to exempt Juveniles, which also requires the support of the Greens and 3 out of the 4 Nationals, who I bel;ieve have concerns as well.

  358. 358
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:42 pm | Permalink

    Err, most people support taxation. They recognise the need. It’s the degree of taxation that is the sticking point. Same with climate change.

    Yes, but ask them if they want to pay less tax, or pay more for electricity. A couple of great openings for a populist politician there :-)

  359. 359
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:42 pm | Permalink

    Better to risk going down in flaming glory on issues that are worth it.

    You mean like Jo Valentine ?

    http://www.thewest.com.au/default.aspx?MenuID=77&ContentID=152873

  360. 360
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:45 pm | Permalink

    Better to risk going down in flaming glory on issues that are worth it.

    I agree, that is why I support abolishing the Senate. :)

  361. 361
    scorpio
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:46 pm | Permalink

    on some things governments have to make unpopular decisions. Governments are elected to govern. This involves taking decisions in the best interests of their jurisdiction which do sometime conflict with public opinion.

    Yeah, we saw how well that worked out for Howard with workchoices. Over $200m spent and a lot of political capital and what happened?

    His Government was soundly defeated and he lost his own seat into the bargain.

    We, I repeat, we are not in an election campaign with a political party pushing hard to convince the electorate that the country needs an ETS.

    Instead, we have a Government, half way through its first term, having introduced an ETS Bill into the Parliament, having it passed and now trying valiantly to get it through the Senate but being obstructed by all other parties.

    The Government can bellow out till their blue in the face and this Bill won’t pass through the Senate unless the Coalition back down and support it.

    The voters have already spoken. It is the Coalition, the Greens and the Independents that have not listened.

  362. 362
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:50 pm | Permalink

    Frank
    The law and order auction that just goes on and on is a prime exampe of the failure of leadership of the two big poll-driven parties. It was time to say “Enough!” years ago on the mandatory matrixes of meaningless statospheric sentences. The politicians have access to the best advice on what works with offenders, which is emphatically not ‘lock ‘em up and throw away the key’, but in full knowledge of this they adopt a ‘Steve Fielding’ position -wilfull ignorance – to pander to the ill-informed fearful elements in society who don’t realise that such policies make them much less safe.

    It’s a collective failure of ethical standards by the big parties’ members across Australia that makes the UK pollies abuse of allowances look reasonable.

  363. 363
    Pegasus
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:51 pm | Permalink

    JV @341

    The move to the right recently across the two big parties has been associated with the tapping of base racial prejudice and xenophobia in our society. It was shamelessly played by Howard, and it has affected the policies of the current government.

    Exactly! I and my other half have been life long labor voters but have become progressively more disenchanted with the 2 main political parties.

    In the circles that we move in there are a growing number of people who are interested in Greens Party policies and would like to support them. However when it comes down to the crunch at election time they put the Greens second because of a lack of understanding about the voting system.

    Take my word for it when I say that we and our friends do not fit the stereotype which is perpetuated ad nauseum here and in the MSM. J

  364. 364
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:51 pm | Permalink

    It must follow logically from that that there are also many people who want more *right* wing policies.

    And uh, what exactly happened to the idea of Labor as a party that stood for anything besides populism?

  365. 365
    Pegasus
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:52 pm | Permalink

    Oops. The ‘J’ was supposed to be a smiley face :-)

  366. 366
    scorpio
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:53 pm | Permalink

    OI guess the government’s job is to convince voters that their longer term aspirations are best served by the changes necessary to accommodate the scheme.

    JV, they did that before the last election. The ball is in the court of the Senate now, not the court of public opinion.

    I have kept well and truly out of this argument (which has raged for an endless number of posts) up till now.

    I think it is high time some people here critical of the Governments ETS and its inability to get it through the Senate, to take a good look at themselves and get a grip on reality. This is the “real” world we are dealing with here, not some fantasy land where all wishes come true.

  367. 367
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:53 pm | Permalink

    This is one major reason why I support the Greens. If Labor is committed to acting entirely out of electoral self-interest, then we need to make it in their self-interest to enact progressive policies once in a while. I have no strong objection to seeing Green MPs tip a Labor government out of office to make this point.

  368. 368
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:58 pm | Permalink

    This is one major reason why I support the Greens. If Labor is committed to acting entirely out of electoral self-interest, then we need to make it in their self-interest to enact progressive policies once in a while. I have no strong objection to seeing Green MPs tip a Labor government out of office to make this point.

    And the last time Federal Labor did this they were relegated to Opposition for 13 years.

    Sometimes I wonder if the Greens and their supporters are Closet Liberals.

  369. 369
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:58 pm | Permalink

    Scorpio

    Yeah, we saw how well that worked out for Howard with workchoices. Over $200m spent and a lot of political capital and what happened?

    Bad example – Workchoices failed the ‘for the common good’ test. Can’t sell that.
    You can however sell policies that resonate with the voter like, say, avoiding the inundation of large parts of current population centres, or famine. If the government gets out after Copenghagen with the sort of effort put into the HIV campaign and Workchoices people will go with slightly higher energy prioces because by then there will be bi-partisan support, and the likes of Fielding will be in an irrelevant icon of idiocy. (Or more so)

  370. 370
    Cuppa
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 5:59 pm | Permalink

    I have no strong objection to seeing Green MPs tip a Labor government out of office to make this point

    Thereby installing a Coalition government by default? That’s taking cutting off one’s nose to spite their face to a new low.

  371. 371
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:00 pm | Permalink

    Can any Green leaning polly bludger tell me what Labor policies they disagree with, apart from the CPRS?

    Just askin’.

  372. 372
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    I have no strong objection to seeing Green MPs tip a Labor government out of office to make this point.

    The Greens have less hope of winning a HoR seat than the Democrats. Get real 7.79% is not going to tip any Govt. out of office. :P

  373. 373
    scorpio
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:08 pm | Permalink

    There even comes a time every once in a while on a big issue that arises quickly when a government should go out on a limb hoping it can convince the public and the opposition that what it is doing is right before the next election.

    Labor have already convinced the electorate. They voted them into office. The Opposition had a similar policy leading into the election and now they are prepared to vote against it! Labor already has gone out on a limb by watering down their Bill to make it more acceptable to the Libs and they still won’t support it.

    What more can they do? If they move even more away from the current position, then the Greens, who don’t support the current Bill, will be even less likely to support it.

    Better to risk going down in flaming glory on issues that are worth it.

    That can only happen at the “next” election and I don’t think the nearly 4m people who voted for Labor at the last election would be very happy to see that, given all the problems facing us at the moment and which are being dealt with fairly well by the present Government.

    There will be “NO” ETS if Labor crash and burn because the Coalition “will not” introduce one and even if they did, it would be so week as to be non-existent.

  374. 374
    Pegasus
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:09 pm | Permalink

    Ruawake @ 371

    Offshore processing of refugees, the retention of the ABCC in another form, level of funding to private schools

  375. 375
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:09 pm | Permalink

    scorpio

    I think it is high time some people here critical of the Governments ETS and its inability to get it through the Senate, to take a good look at themselves and get a grip on reality.

    Just spent 5 minutes in the room of mirrors having good look at myself and emerge unreconstructed ?
    I don’t really disagree with you about the current situation in the Senate anyway. Despite the shortcomings of the proposed scheme, it’s the best we’re going to get before Copenhagen, and I support its passage even if not strengthened. I do believe however, that the opposition will be forced to support it (or most of the rabble anyway – some will cross the floor).

    World support for strong-ish targets at Copenhagen is growing too strongly for them to resist in the end. There is too much risk of them becoming pariahs now; the mood is shifting. So better to confront the divisions within the party now. I look forward to the August parliamentary session and the Senate vote. Should be the first big deal opportunity to watch live while we blog since ute-gate, I would say. The LNP will display more contortions than a circus.

  376. 376
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:09 pm | Permalink

    I think it is high time some people here critical of the Governments ETS and its inability to get it through the Senate, to take a good look at themselves and get a grip on reality. This is the “real” world we are dealing with here, not some fantasy land where all wishes come true.

    THe Greens think the World is like Disneyland and they must keep singing this.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1yy-IcfOafI

  377. 377
    scorpio
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:11 pm | Permalink

    That’s the last word from me on this subject and I will not be bothering to read any further posts on it because the debate is at such a low level as to belittle the intelligence of anyone who continues to push stupid lines and people like myself who respond, totally unsuccessfully to them!

    Over and out!

  378. 378
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:12 pm | Permalink

    sorry you’re disappointed scorpio. Will try to do better :-)

  379. 379
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:14 pm | Permalink

    That’s milksop politics.
    It’s a balancing act, but the emphasis on the big issues must be what is the best path in the interests of society overall - not what is the best path back to office and the white cars.

    And that’s Alice in Wonderland thinking. Commit political hari kari for the good of the cause and let those who totally opposed to your cause get in power and destroy everything you believe in. Good plan that.
    Time to get back to reality.

  380. 380
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:16 pm | Permalink

    I don’t think the nearly 4m people who voted for Labor at the last election..

    It was 5,388,184 just for the sake of accuracy. ;)

  381. 381
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:17 pm | Permalink

    Does anyone know anything about Google Earth? Suddenly the maps are covered with hotel and restaurant symbols which won’t turn off.

  382. 382
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:21 pm | Permalink

    Yes, but ask them if they want to pay less tax, or pay more for electricity. A couple of great openings for a populist politician there

    Exactly and Turnbull is all that and more.

  383. 383
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:21 pm | Permalink

    Gary – The aim isn’t to commit political suicide. It is to provide the sort of leadership that takes the people with you on the big decisions of common benefit. It shouldn’t be too much to ask. If they do that, then there is no loss of office.

    Convincing enough voters should be achievable on the CPRS for example. I know a mojority support it in principle but the difficulty is with direct impacts on individuals.

    Copenhagen should provide a good springboard (not borg) for some large scale education and advertising to convince people it’s worth some jobs changing and enegy prices getting a little higher. It is a pretty easy advertising job really. Just precis “The Day After Tomorrow” in 60 seconds. Give out fridge-magnet speaking dolls of Al Gore. That kind of thing :-)

  384. 384
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:22 pm | Permalink

    And that’s Alice in Wonderland thinking. Commit political hari kari for the good of the cause and let those who totally opposed to your cause get in power and destroy everything you believe in. Good plan that.
    Time to get back to reality.

    The Greens doln’t believe in Reality one iota, and they criticised me for using the term Political Har Kari as well – they must be a very maschoistic lot to continue to promise the iunachievable just because it makes you feel good inside, when the reality is that the AVERAGE Voter would punish you 100 fold if you even tried to implement them.

    It seems they haven’t learnt from Meg Lees and the Democrats one little bit.

  385. 385
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:25 pm | Permalink

    382 “mojority” = most people still in possession of their mojo.

  386. 386
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:26 pm | Permalink

    Copenhagen should provide a good springboard (not borg) for some large scale education and advertising to convince people it’s worth some jobs changing and enegy prices getting a little higher. It is a pretty easy advertising job really. Just precis “The Day After Tomorrow” in 60 seconds. Give out fridge-magnet speaking dolls of Al Gore. That kind of thing :-)

    Meanwhile in EVERY marginal electorate with a Carbon based industry the Opposition, bankrolled by Industry will be advertising the EXACT opposite emphasising Job Losses, closure of Towns etc, resulting in a victory to the LIbs/Nats.

    Which would you rather prefer ?

  387. 387
    The Finnigans
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:27 pm | Permalink

    to enact progressive policies once in a while

    #367 – Obviously you dont really know your enemy.

    The Greens will never be the Govt, so you will never be able to enact any of your progressive policies on your own right. The only chance you got to enact your progressive policies is to work with either of the major parties, Labor or Liberals/National.

    you should study Sun Tzu, so you know who your enemy is.

  388. 388
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:27 pm | Permalink

    Y’know, when I see these eye-glazing Greens v. Lefties arguments, going on for sometimes hundreds of posts – with all the usual suspects participating, name calling and shouting at each other – I really do despair.

    Greens: Labor won. Work with them.

    Labor: You need the Greens’ votes in the Senate. Be nice to them.

    Anybody else: The Revolution died 20 years ago. Get over it.

  389. 389
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:27 pm | Permalink

    Adam

    Under “Layers” do you have places of interest selected?

  390. 390
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:29 pm | Permalink

    Which would you rather prefer ?

    The continuation of the human race.

    I think the day is coming Frank when you might have to step out of the virtual tally room and read a science journal or two.

  391. 391
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:30 pm | Permalink

    BB

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=36xBQI0K-Kc

    :)

  392. 392
    The Finnigans
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:32 pm | Permalink

    How would EU & USA react if the Iranians invade the British Embassy and take the diplomats as hostages as in 1979.

  393. 393
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:33 pm | Permalink

    I think the day is coming Frank when you might have to step out of the virtual tally room and read a science journal or two.

    And no Science Journel will save you from the MOTHER of all Scare Campaigns resulting in the election of a Conservative Government who will implent NO ETS of ANY Description.

  394. 394
    fredex
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:35 pm | Permalink

    In response to ruawake at #371

    Industrial Relations eg workNOchoices.
    Unionism.
    Water management with particular reference to the Murray.
    Gay and Lesbian rights ie gay mariage,
    Women’s issues eg single mothers and welfare, domestic violence, child sexual abuse, family law reform [but please note I do not confine just thes issues as being relevant to women].
    Public education.
    Public hospitals.
    Unsustainable primary production.
    Solinization of soils, soil erosion declining agricultural efficiencies.
    The environment in general.
    Indigenous affairs in general, the NT invasion in particular.
    Regressive taxation.
    Public versus private transport.

    I think the ALP is doing little or less than they could or should in each of the categories above. Could. Should.
    The little that they do is better than the nothing, or worse, that the COALition did and still has as spoken or tacit policy.
    The Greens have better policy in each of the above categories, although stronger in some and weaker in others eg women’s issues.

    In some areas the ALP has done very well.
    Eg response to the GFC, infrastructure building in particular, some flaws but quite a brilliant strategy overall, National Broadband Network proposals and probably a couple I can’t think of off the top of my head.

    As an active Labor supporter all my adult life I reserve the right to praise when appropriate and criticise when appropriate, to encourage what I see as good and to speak out against that which is not good or could be better notwithstanding the old and tired excuse of how difficult it is to do better. The search for a justification to fail.

    I have an understanding, whether you agree or not, of the need for pragmatism and short/long term goals. I will complain when I think the ALP is short sheeting its supporters and using ‘pragmatism’ etc as an excuse for a failure of principle and political leadership.

    I do not wish to be a ‘my party right or wrong’ non critical supporter but one who is prepared to stand up for policy that is right and just and not kowtow to factionalism in any of its forms.

  395. 395
    johncanb
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:40 pm | Permalink

    Political leadership is a very difficult balancing act because one is in danger of being voted out if, in pursuit of what you think is right, you go too far ahead of the majority of the people. It is a matter of very difficult judgement as to how much political capital you should burn on which issues. I think Kevin has been a bit cautious in general, as have most of the State Labor governments, but their cautious reform is generally better than conservative reform in the other direction. But sometimes State labor have been so cautious for fear of frightening the horses, that although they manage to eke out 10 years or so in power, they end up with almost no reform. NSW would be an example here. It would have been better to be bolder and undertake some reforms that stuck even if it meant a few less years in power.

  396. 396
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:41 pm | Permalink

    RU, no I have everything turned off. I think Google have been bribed by the hotel industry to make these symbols permanent.

  397. 397
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:43 pm | Permalink

    387

    Labor won on Green preferences.

    Labor got 750,746 Green preferences in TCP.
    http://results.aec.gov.au/13745/Website/HouseStateTcpFlow-13745-NAT.htm

    Labor got only 43.38% of the primary vote.

  398. 398
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:44 pm | Permalink

    Pegasus

    However when it comes down to the crunch at election time they put the Greens second because of a lack of understanding about the voting system.

    Tell them it can be fixed that with PR, and not just for the Greens but all smaller parties – perhaps refer them fairvote.org as a starting point and tell them to spread the PR word. :-)

  399. 399
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:48 pm | Permalink

    Fredex
    Well said, indeed.

  400. 400
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:49 pm | Permalink

    Fredex

    Thanks for at least trying.

    These are policy areas, not policies. I would note that in many if not most, substantial progress has been achieved in the past 18 months.

  401. 401
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:52 pm | Permalink

    joncanb
    Well said, too! Two well expressed posts in a row there, that sum it the preceeding discussion in a neutral fashion – a breath of fresh air after the usual partisan vitriol for the past few hours.

  402. 402
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:53 pm | Permalink

    Psephos – I’m not getting ads on Google Earth maps.

  403. 403
    Gusface
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 6:56 pm | Permalink

    That’s the last word from me on this subject and I will not be bothering to read any further posts on it because the debate is at such a low level as to belittle the intelligence of anyone who continues to push stupid lines and people like myself who respond, totally unsuccessfully to them!

    Over and out!

    Actually I think its good people can exchange ideas without resorting to personal attacks.
    Altho not agreeing with most of the greens reasoning,it is still valid nonetheless.

    Fredex
    I agree on some of your points and feel that perhaps some of those issues you outlined are the ones the greens would like to “own”

    ie

    Gay and Lesbian rights ie gay mariage,

  404. 404
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:00 pm | Permalink

    Tomtfab

    Did it occur to you that Labor received 78% of Green preferences because that is the way the voters preferred their preference to go?

  405. 405
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:02 pm | Permalink

    ruawake

    Did it occur to you that Labor received 78% of Green preferences because that is the way the voters preferred their preference to go?

    careful – there’s a PR debate trigger there :-)

  406. 406
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:04 pm | Permalink

    jv

    We have the electoral system we have, no matter how much I want the Senate abolished or how much others want pv, neither are going to happen. :)

  407. 407
    Pegasus
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:15 pm | Permalink

    JV @ 398

    Thanks for the link. Has been bookmarked and will explore further :-)

  408. 408
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:17 pm | Permalink

    ruawake
    But changes start with a wish. Everyone just accepting the political status quo doesn’t make improvement possible, as many Iranians obviously believe.
    Your wish to abolish the Senate works – if we have my PR in the Reps. But you need a referendum passed for your wish, I don’t for mine.

  409. 409
    Centre
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:25 pm | Permalink

    If the 10% or so voters who voted for the Greens at the last election had the exclusive right to vote for either Labor’s CPRS or the Greens’ ETS, Labor would win easily by at least a majority of 7 to 3.

    Could you imagine implementing a policy of cuts in emissions of between 25% to 40% by 2020 where the main players, the real ones who can make a difference to CC, are cutting much less?. We would be the laughing stock of the world. It would be the end of the Irish jokes as we know them. You would have Irish jokes being replaced by Aussie jokes all over the world.

    But my favourite PB Greens policy is the one where you phase out people driving their cars. Wow, what a turn around in the polls that would bring?

  410. 410
    Pegasus
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:26 pm | Permalink

    Howard Zinn

    Civil disobedience is not our problem. Our problem is civil obedience.

    Our problem is that numbers of people all over the world have obeyed the dictates of the leaders of their government and have gone to war, and millions have been killed because of this obedience.

    Our problem is that people are obedient all over the world in the face of poverty and starvation and stupidity, and war, and cruelty.

    Our problem is that people are obedient while the jails are full of petty thieves, and all the while the grand thieves are running the country. That's our problem.

    Not that I am advocating revolution :-) In the face of the GFC and AGW, ‘business as usual’ or the acceptance of the status quo does not cut it anymore.

  411. 411
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:30 pm | Permalink

    Poor old Steve Lewis, he still can’t believe they got it so wrong or that they have anything to answer for. He still believes Rudd does.
    Steve, build a bride old boy. Move on.
    http://www.news.com.au/dailytelegraph/story/0,22049,25729056-5005941,00.html

  412. 412
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:31 pm | Permalink

    With respect to Fredex.

    Can anyone point out where ALP policy on women
    http://www.alp.org.au/platform/chapter_13.php#13women_making_equality_real

    Is different to Greens policy
    http://greens.org.au/node/801

  413. 413
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:33 pm | Permalink

    Pegasus
    Probably even better links for PR on reflection, including this UK site – it has a great mythbusting section debunking all the usual furphies vested interests trot out in PR debates:
    http://www.makemyvotecount.org.uk/blog/archives/myths/index.html

    And another one “The PR Library”:
    http://www.mtholyoke.edu/acad/polit/damy/prlib.htm

  414. 414
    Andrew
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:35 pm | Permalink

    GB those poor folks at news ltd are reeling that they have been named and shamed by Rudd and I bet they’ll just get more shrill and hysterical. The funny thing about the deadline defence is they have never said when they received the call about the email. I reckon they didnt ask Rudd until 4pm Friday simply so they could print the front page without his reply. I’m sure they had the story prepped before 4pm

  415. 415
    Gusface
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:38 pm | Permalink

    Steve, build a bride old boy. Move on.

    I suppose you meant bridge, but considering the frankensteinian outpourings from his poison pen, a bride may be more suitable.
    ;)

  416. 416
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:41 pm | Permalink

    Under oath he had told a Senate committee hearing ...

    Could someone tell Steve Lewis and the Libs that Grech was *not* under oath?

  417. 417
    scorpio
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:42 pm | Permalink

    Sorry, folks, but I’m back. Tried to post this around 383 but the site went down. Definitely my last word on this though. I hope people do read it.

    Convincing enough voters should be achievable on the CPRS for example. I know a mojority support it in principle but the difficulty is with direct impacts on individuals.

    This whole debate has nothing whatsoever to do with direct economic effects on individuals. That is the Coalition line being used to water down the “existing” ETS Legislation. It has already passed the Reps!

    What is being pushed is that all Labor needs to do is strengthen the “existing” ETS and convince the “people” that that is a good idea. The people have already spoken and they agreed with Labor that the country “should” have an ETS.

    The problem is that the Coalition, the Greens and Independents won’t accept that and pass it through the Senate!!!!!

    We are not in an election campaign with a political party pushing hard to convince the electorate that the country needs an ETS. (That has already happened, Labor won.)

    Instead, we have a Government, half way through its first term, having introduced an ETS Bill into the Parliament, having it passed and now trying valiantly to get it through the Senate but being obstructed by all other parties.

    The voters have already spoken. It is the Coalition, the Greens and the Independents that have not listened.

    The reality is that if this doesn’t pass and Labor have a DD election, If they win and don’t lose any seats in the Senate, then the existing ETS will be passed at a Joint Sitting.

    The other “IF” here, is that if the Greens do what their supporters here badly want them to do and knock off three or four Labor Members in the House of Reps and Labor do not improve their Senate position, then the Joint Sitting may “not” pass the Bill.

    Back to square one. No ETS.

    If Labor get knocked off at the next election, (not a DD) with the Greens taking seats off them to make things harder and increasing their seats in the Senate, probably at the expense of Labor, then there will be a Conservative Government which will “not” introduce an ETS and there will be no substantive Senate opposition to do anything about it. Zilch!!!!

    People who can’t see that are not looking very hard or thinking very hard about the scenarios. Just wanting something or wishing something does not make it happen. Reality is far different and people need to understand that.

    Too many people just skim through posts and read what they want into the rest. Far better arguments would be put forward if only some people would “read” the posts and digest them before they sprout off with the same line over and over in varying formats but in reality only say the same thing.

    The election is over, the people have spoken, Labor has an ETS Bill passed through the House of Reps, the Coalition, the Greens & Independents are refusing to pass it in the Senate, therefore no ETS Legislation is available to be pressed into service.

    Unless Greens supporters come back to the world of reality from the world of fantasy, then the climate will keep changing and there will be nothing in place to address that and Australia will go to Copenhagen with a virtual nothing because there is “nothing”, just wishful thinking and obstructionism which is the cause of that “nothing”

  418. 418
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:43 pm | Permalink

    Andrew

    The funny thing about the deadline defence is they have never said when they received the call about the email.

    And why didn’t Lewis actively seek out a response to the ‘email’ from Rudd’s office immediately he received it? Isn’t that what journalists are supposed to do before publishing something detrimental to someone – check with the person affected, and in this case, the supposed author as well?

  419. 419
    ruawake
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:45 pm | Permalink

    Lewis is wrong, it was not Rudd who said their was no email – it was Martine at the Senate Committee.

    Surely this should have sent warning messages to his keen journalist brain? Especially since Grech said he told Lewis 4 times there was no email.

    He should follow Albo’s advice – when you are in a hole, stop digging.

  420. 420
    Andrew
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:47 pm | Permalink

    JV Steve Lewis does not mention the TIME he received the email info. I’m sure they could have contacted Rudd’s office earlier that Friday and got a response before copy time. Would it kill them to just apologise, after all Pauline Hanson got an apology for the fake photos!!

  421. 421
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:49 pm | Permalink

    Would it kill them to just apologise, after all Pauline Hanson got an apology for the fake photos!!

    In a tiny little article hidden away in the middle of the Paper :-)

  422. 422
    Andrew
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:49 pm | Permalink

    The other thing about Turnbull’s and News Ltd defence is their reliance on the Grech testimony. He actually made qualifications like “I may be totally mistaken” etc. Should this have NOT raised the alarm somewhat??

  423. 423
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:49 pm | Permalink

    Psephos –

    Grech was *not* under oath

    Are you sure about that?

  424. 424
    Centre
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:50 pm | Permalink

    The deadline defence is a pathetic attempt to cover their hide. They should print a screaming headline on the front pages of all News Ltd papers apologising to the PM and to the electorate for their incompetent, unprofessional and misleading journalism.

    The latest set of polls were as much an indication of News Ltd’s irrelevance as the Liberal Party’s.

  425. 425
    Andrew
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:51 pm | Permalink

    Sky Agenda decided Rudd was being glass jawed and aggressive. I’ll go with that

  426. 426
    Andrew
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:52 pm | Permalink

    with commentary from News Ltd hacks of course. How objective

  427. 427
    The Finnigans
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 7:52 pm | Permalink

    It’s not too late for Turnbull to do a Sarah Palin, Howie’s favourite tactic: Cut and Run.

    Turnbull may be beyond repair - THERE is an uncomfortable sense of finality to this week’s Newspoll, with Malcolm Turnbull suffering the largest collapse in a leader’s job approval rating.

    The Opposition Leader lost a staggering 40 points from his net rating, which is the figure to which politicians pay the most attention. The previous record drop was the 36 points that Alexander Downer shed between late July and early August 1994, after he made a series of clumsy comments on a tour of Aboriginal communities.

    http://blogs.theaustralian.news.com.au/meganomics/index.php/theaustralian/comments/turnbull_may_be_beyond_repair/

  428. 428
    vote1maxine
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:01 pm | Permalink

    Psephos have you read my earlier response @ 307?

    Frank Calabrese @ 368 “Sometimes I wonder if the Greens and their supporters are Closet Liberals.” Not this this little black duck and I am sure the vast majority of the others aren’t either. :) )

    Frank don’t you realize that your continuous attacks on the natural Labor – Green synergy aids the Libs and the CC deniers? I’m sure that it is unintentional. :)

  429. 429
    fredex
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:04 pm | Permalink

    ruawake
    Labor is right in the middle of totally revamping policy in several areas relating specifically to women.
    Domestic violence, child sexual abuse, family law reform will be looked at under a new system closely involving community groups and NGOs. This has a strong potential for reform and is directly counter to the COALition policy of silencing community and advocacy groups and NGOs.
    Its embryonic [is that a joke?] at the moment and has taken longer to start than it should have [don't forget many community groups suffered financially in the previous decade] but progress is on the way.
    Hopefully.
    Its one area where, as I thought I said in my previous comment, the ALP is generally stronger than the Greens.
    Actually the best party in this regard was probably the Democrats.

  430. 430
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:06 pm | Permalink

    Unless Greens supporters come back to the world of reality from the world of fantasy, then the climate will keep changing and there will be nothing in place to address that and Australia will go to Copenhagen with a virtual nothing because there is “nothing”, just wishful thinking and obstructionism which is the cause of that “nothing”

    What’s being proposed is effectively nothing. It’s a token measure that doesn’t come within cooee of actually doing something to stop climate change spiralling out of control. That’s why this sort of argument won’t wash with anyone much who’s actually concerned about climate change in any detail – and why it’s better to keep kicking Labor until they come back with something that’s actually at least vaguely conscionable.

  431. 431
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:10 pm | Permalink

    Its one area where, as I thought I said in my previous comment, the ALP is generally stronger than the Greens.

    How on earth is the ALP stronger than the Greens in any of these areas?

  432. 432
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:11 pm | Permalink

    Frank don’t you realize that your continuous attacks on the natural Labor - Green synergy aids the Libs and the CC deniers? I’m sure that it is unintentional. :)

    Oh Dear, I ponder out loud and I get attacked for it- so much for “Democracy” by the Greens. It seems I’ve hit yet ANOTHER raw nerve and exposed another home truth. Slo it is ok for the Greens and their Acolytes to attack Labor at every opportunity, yet when we do the same it is akin to being a baby killer.

    Respect goes BOTH ways, respect us, and MAYBE we might return the favour.

  433. 433
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:13 pm | Permalink

    Especially since Grech said he told Lewis 4 times there was no email.

    I don’t think Grech said that.

    Grech was *not* under oath
    Are you sure about that?

    A Senate committee is not a court. Committee chairs are not judges, they have no power to administer oaths. Giving false or misleading evidence to a parliamentary committee is a contempt of parliament, but not perjury.

  434. 434
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:13 pm | Permalink

    And the last time Federal Labor did this they were relegated to Opposition for 13 years. Sometimes I wonder if the Greens and their supporters are Closet Liberals.

    Of all the excuses I’ve heard for Keating getting smacked in 1996, “he just implemented too much progressive policy” is a particularly amusing new one…

  435. 435
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:14 pm | Permalink

    Dogs 13.9, Hawks 4 points. Suck it up, Jeff Kennett.

  436. 436
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:15 pm | Permalink

    Respect goes BOTH ways, respect us, and MAYBE we might return the favour.

    It certainly does go both ways. I suspect there’s an awful lot of Green supporters who’ve grown a hell of a lot less friendly to Labor over the years due to encounters with Labor supporters who behave like Adam.

  437. 437
    scorpio
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:17 pm | Permalink

    Rebecca,

    and why it’s better to keep kicking Labor until they come back with something that’s actually at least vaguely conscionable.

    Please take the time to go back a page or two and read my earlier posts, preferably all of them and you will see how that statement or the action proposed in it, is worthless and not viable for the reasons I have outlined.

    It won’t matter “what” they come back with, IT will “never” pass. Wishful thinking won’t make it so!

  438. 438
    It's Time
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:17 pm | Permalink

    Dogs 13.9, Hawks 4 points. Suck it up, Jeff Kennett.

    AFL is politics by proxy?

  439. 439
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:17 pm | Permalink

    Frank don’t you realize that your continuous attacks on the natural Labor - Green synergy aids the Libs and the CC deniers? I’m sure that it is unintentional.

    V1M, have you advised the Greens that basing their whole political stragegy in trying to defeat sitting Labor members (Labor Left members, no less) tends to make Labor less likely to see any “natural Labor – Green synergy”?

  440. 440
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:25 pm | Permalink

    V1M, have you advised the Greens that basing their whole political stragegy in trying to defeat sitting Labor members (Labor Left members, no less) tends to make Labor less likely to see any “natural Labor - Green synergy”?

    Especially when they win those seats on the back of no Liberal Candidate running and the entire liberal vote goes to the Greens Candidate.

    Can you imagine the outrage if Labor pulled a similar stunt ?

  441. 441
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:26 pm | Permalink

    V1M, have you advised the Greens that basing their whole political stragegy in trying to defeat sitting Labor members (Labor Left members, no less) tends to make Labor less likely to see any “natural Labor – Green synergy”?

    The entitlement Labor feels towards the inner-city, while at the same time dismissing its population with all sort of slurs, and ignoring policy popular in said areas, is spectacular. If Labor were more sensible, they’d treat those races like the Libs and the Nats do three-cornered contests; but no, they’d rather provoke the Greens into being a quasi-parliamentary-opposition than natural allies.

  442. 442
    It's Time
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:27 pm | Permalink

    Can you imagine the outrage if Labor pulled a similar stunt ?

    Does Mayo ring a bell?

  443. 443
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:27 pm | Permalink

    Can you imagine the outrage if Labor pulled a similar stunt ?

    Oh I forgot, it is evil for the ALP to preference Family First, yet the Greens have no qualms of accepting the Libs primary vote.

  444. 444
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:28 pm | Permalink

    Especially when they win those seats on the back of no Liberal Candidate running and the entire liberal vote goes to the Greens Candidate.

    Honey, we’re not in a first-past-the-post electoral system. If you’re going to rant on a blog full of electoral nerds, at least get this basic fact through your head.

  445. 445
    scorpio
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:28 pm | Permalink

    Lighten up a little folks. Saw this gem by Acerbic Conehead on GM’s blog. Hope it passes moderation and doesn’t bug William.

    George, the Turnbull Liberals don’t seem to have come out of the dodgy email bizzo very well, so, in case they all get their arses kicked at the next shareholders meeting, they have decided to do a bit of moonlighting at Grant Brothers department store (yeah, George, the one that uses second-hand utes for it’s home delivery fleet). On the floor are Captain Malcolm Peacock, Mrs Bronwyn Slocombe, Mr Pyne-Humphries, Mr Dolly-Rumbold and Mr Lucas-Abbott.
    Cpt. Peacock: Now listen up, everyone...we have to move with the times, so, I’ve just received one of those new-fangled email orders for some cat-food for the Rudd household...can anyone deal with it? What about you, Mr Dolly-Rumbold, are you free?
    Dolly: Erm...I don’t think so, Captain Peacock...I’m still trying to find all those AWB emails I was supposed to read way back in 2005…
    Cpt. Peacock: Huh...typical…
    Mr Pyne-Humpries: Captain Peacock! Captain Peacock! I’m free!
    Cpt. Peacock: Oh, don’t worry about it, Mr Humpries – didn’t Mr Lucas-Abbott take over the running of that section from you recently anyway? Oh, and by the way, where is Mr Lucas today?
    Dolly: I think he’s at a training course, Captain Peacock – he said yesterday that he had to front up to a People Skills for Dummies inservice…
    Cpt. Peacock: Huh...and talking about dummies, I could have sworn I just saw that mannequin over there moving…
    Dolly: Oh, that’s not a mannequin, Captain Peacock – that’s our longest-serving staff member, Mr Ruddock – he only moves when he thinks it’s nearly time to clock out…
    Cpt. Peacock: Gawd! No wonder these bloody polls are crucifying us. Mrs Slocombe, are you free?
    [Captain Peacock has addressed Mrs Slocombe at a bad moment. Her pussy was feeling a bit peaky this morning, so she brought it to work with her. However, she hasn’t seen it for a while and is getting more than a tad anxious

    Mrs Slocombe (shouting): Are you going soft in the head, Captain Peacock? Can’t you see I’m not able to deal with any other matters when my pussy isn’t feeling too good…

    Mrs Slocombe whispers to Dolly that she doesn’t trust Peacock and thinks he has something to do with her pussy going missing. Meanwhile, at the mention of the pussy, Captain Peacock’s heart misses a beat. “Yikes”, he says to himself. A couple of hours ago, he had caught a mangy moggie eating from a split bag of cat-food, and had thrown the varmint down the rubbish shute

    Cpt. Peacock (swallowing hard): Oh, it’ll turn up, Mrs Slocombe…you just mark my words…

    at this moment, a delivery clerk comes on the scene and advises Captain Peacock the Rudd email order has been sorted already, so not to worry about it. Then, Mrs Slocombe notices out of the corner of her eye, her pussy wandering nonchalantly onto the floor, with an expression like it had just got the cream

    Mrs Slocombe: Oh, my darling pussy – you’re safe – where have you been?
    Pussy: Oh, I just hitched a ride on one of the delivery utes and met up with a tom called Jasper – we’re the best of friends now…
    Cpt. Peacock: Erm…do you think he would put a word in for me with his owner…I hear he has promised to help Mr Costello from sleep-wear with a career change…

    George, this is dedicated to the memory of Mollie Sugden, who played the part of Mrs Slocombe in “Are you being served?” Mollie passed away this week. May she rest in peace.

  446. 446
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:28 pm | Permalink

    Psephos

    A Senate committee is not a court. Committee chairs are not judges, they have no power to administer oaths.

    In fact, the Senate committees do have the power to swear witnesses, as do many non-judicial tribunals that take evidence. I’m just not sure if Grech was actually sworn in on the 19th.

    From “Notes for the guidance of witnesses appearing before Senate Committees”:

    "If the Committee decides to swear its witnesses, the Chair will call upon the committee secretary to administer an oath or affirmation.

    http://www.aph.gov.au/SEnate/committee/wit_sub/bro_two.htm

  447. 447
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:29 pm | Permalink

    Oh I forgot, it is evil for the ALP to preference Family First, yet the Greens have no qualms of accepting the Libs primary vote.

    Labor’s preferences elected a Family First senator, who promptly acted to frustrate a large portion of Labor’s agenda. Green preferences haven’t elected a Liberal since 1995. While I wouldnt be averse to them doing it again if Labor doesn’t stop crying wolf at every freaking election, it’s a bunkum comparison.

  448. 448
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:30 pm | Permalink

    Honey, we’re not in a first-past-the-post electoral system. If you’re going to rant on a blog full of electoral nerds, at least get this basic fact through your head.

    May I remind you that the “Liberal Independent” candidate only got 550 primary votes, where did the rest of the Liberal vote go ? certainly not to Tagliaferri.

  449. 449
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:32 pm | Permalink

    May I remind you that the “Liberal Independent” candidate only got 550 primary votes, where did the rest of the Liberal vote go ? certainly not to Tagliaferri.

    Once again, I’ll remind you that we actually have preferential voting in Australia. If there had been a Liberal candidate in the race, those votes would have gone to Carles as preferences instead of as primaries. Doesn’t make a damn bit of difference to the final result.

  450. 450
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:33 pm | Permalink

    Labor’s preferences elected a Family First senator, who promptly acted to frustrate a large portion of Labor’s agenda. Green preferences haven’t elected a Liberal since 1995. While I wouldnt be averse to them doing it again if Labor doesn’t stop crying wolf at every freaking election, it’s a bunkum comparison.

    And as Adam has repeatedly stated was a result of Labor’s Primary Vote going DOWN. Why ? Because of “Socially Progreesive” Policies such as the Schools Hit List and Medicare Gold.

  451. 451
    fredex
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:34 pm | Permalink

    Rebecca,
    There are several national women’s organizations, all of the major players, that are in direct consultation currently with Labor ministers and the relevant government departments with regard to policy development and implementation in several areas of concern relating to women [I mentioned some previously].
    There can be, as I presume you are aware, a gap between policy and programme, where the nice words and the rhetoric, the sort of thing you get in offical policy statements, fails when push comes to shove and money and people and programmes do or do not get implemented.
    When action is promised but never happens.
    Since the election there has been slow progress made by the ALP and it is at the moment coming up with new structures that should have a positive impact on the real implementation of the lovely words contained in their policy.
    If I mention “Time for Action” does that ring a bell?

    The outlook is positive, far more so than pre November ‘07.

  452. 452
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:36 pm | Permalink

    Once again, I’ll remind you that we actually have preferential voting in Australia. If there had been a Liberal candidate in the race, those votes would have gone to Carles as preferences instead of as primaries. Doesn’t make a damn bit of difference to the final result.

    But look at the PRIMARY Vote ! Need I remind you.

    TAGLIAFERRI – ALP 7,632 38.55%
    CARLES – GRN 8,722 44.06%

    And good old Mr ZAGAMI – IND 999 5.05%

    I’m sure there are more than 999 Liberal Voters in Fremantle.

  453. 453
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:36 pm | Permalink

    And as Adam has repeatedly stated was a result of Labor’s Primary Vote going DOWN. Why ? Because of “Socially Progreesive” Policies such as the Schools Hit List and Medicare Gold.

    It wasn’t the fault of those on the left that Latham showed the political judgement of a newt in the weeks leading up to the 2004 election. Medicare Gold was the healthcare equivalent of Barnett’s grand canal, and the attacks on the supposed “schools hit list” would have gone down in flames if Latham’s spin doctors had been awake that week.

  454. 454
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:39 pm | Permalink

    and the attacks on the supposed “schools hit list” would have gone down in flames if Latham’s spin doctors had been awake that week.

    Bulldust – I recall the Liberal Party, in cahoots with the Principals of the major Independent Schools in their Newsletters imploring the parents to Return the Government.

  455. 455
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:40 pm | Permalink

    I’m sure there are more than 999 Liberal Voters in Fremantle.

    Yes, I’m sure there are. I’m not sure why this is so difficult to contemplate.

    If the Liberals don’t poll in the top two, then whether they run a candidate or not is pretty irrelevant as long as they’re still preferencing the Greens.

    The Liberals only just made the top two in Fremantle by a scrape at the last general election, and in the face of a campaign with several times more cash and volunteers, far more organisation and a full-time campaign office, there wasn’t a chance in hell that they were going to stay ahead of the Greens. So why waste the money?

  456. 456
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:41 pm | Permalink

    Bulldust – I recall the Liberal Party, in cahoots with the Principals of the major Independent Schools in their Newsletters imploring the parents to Return the Government.

    I also recall this. This doesn’t change that it wouldn’t have been a particularly effective attack if Labor’s spin doctors had been awake that week and actually done a remotely competent job of countering the attacks.

  457. 457
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:51 pm | Permalink

    And good old Mr ZAGAMI - IND 999 5.05%
    I’m sure there are more than 999 Liberal Voters in Fremantle.

    Frank, do you know what you get when you turn 999 upside down? Whooooo… Yes, the Number of The Beast!
    And 999 was 5.05% of the total. Hmmm… 505, the same number as U-505, the German U-boat that was the enemy warship captured in action by the U.S. Navy in 1944 – the first since the War of 1812. If you add 1812 and 1944 you get 3756. Then, if you add those 4 digits together you get 21, the traditional age of majority. So the Liberals got a majority after all. You’re right!! There are more than 999 Liberal voters in Fremantle! Those Greens and their secret power with numbers …

  458. 458
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:52 pm | Permalink

    I also recall this. This doesn’t change that it wouldn’t have been a particularly effective attack if Labor’s spin doctors had been awake that week and actually done a remotely competent job of countering the attacks.

    You are living in La La land when you’ve got the Private Schools lobby with a captive audience of “Howard’s Battlers” and swinging voters via the weekly school newsletter, along with a Howard complient media. Oh and add the scaremongering of Today Tonight & A Current Affair- especially when it is an attack of parent’s “right to choose”.

    THAT is the political reality – it ain’t in the Disney world the Greens live in.

  459. 459
    Gusface
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:55 pm | Permalink

    Not that I am advocating revolution In the face of the GFC and AGW, ‘business as usual’ or the acceptance of the status quo does not cut it anymore.

    Pegasus
    edmund burke in 1774 warned the British

    you are obeyed solely from respect to the bayonet

    the rest as they say is history.

  460. 460
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 8:59 pm | Permalink

    JV, thanks, I wasn’t aware of that. I’ve watched a lot of Senate hearings and I’ve never seen an oath administered.

  461. 461
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:00 pm | Permalink

    Frank
    If the message of the actual funding proposal for schools had been properly enunciated by the Latham team, the only newletters going home with a negative message would have been those from LNP headquarters. The policy did not attack the rampant state-aid rort to any real extent. Latham just shot himself in the foot.

  462. 462
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:00 pm | Permalink

    You are living in La La land when you’ve got the Private Schools lobby with a captive audience of “Howard’s Battlers” and swinging voters via the weekly school newsletter, along with a Howard complient media. Oh and add the scaremongering of Today Tonight & A Current Affair- especially when it is an attack of parent’s “right to choose”.

    If I were Latham’s spin doctor in 2004, I certainly wouldn’t have dropped the policy on the electorate at the last minute (due to the possibility of this sort of attack), and I wouldn’t have used the formula he did, for the same reasons.

    If he’d brought it in a year or two before the election, set out criteria based on capital works need as opposed to plain numerical socioeconomic status (i.e. “you get money because you’ve got 30 year old science labs, not because your students fall into a certain demographic bracket), and backed it up with a press tour around the country showcasing run-down and neglected schools in need of that funding, he’d have been on a winner. Practically, you’d be targeting the funding at poor public and Catholic schools, and wiping out most of the funding going to private schools, but sidestepping accusations of class warfare in the process.

  463. 463
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:05 pm | Permalink

    If he’d brought it in a year or two before the election, set out criteria based on capital works need as opposed to plain numerical socioeconomic status (i.e. “you get money because you’ve got 30 year old science labs, not because your students fall into a certain demographic bracket), and backed it up with a press tour around the country showcasing run-down and neglected schools in need of that funding, he’d have been on a winner. Practically, you’d be targeting the funding at poor public and Catholic schools, and wiping out most of the funding going to private schools, but sidestepping accusations of class warfare in the process.

    And isn’t Rudd doing EXACTLY the same thing, and Limited News STILL ran it as a Class Warfare scheme ?

  464. 464
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:05 pm | Permalink

    Psephos @ 459
    It doesn’t necessarily mean Lewis is correct though. Do we have a recording or transcript of the start of the committee session so we can see if there was an oath/affirmation? The Finnigans – are you there?

    I would have made sure it was all on oath if I had been in the chair, public servant or not, given the implications of the issue being examined. It could also have implications for Grech himself if he was under oath and he lied or mislead.

  465. 465
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:11 pm | Permalink

    And isn’t Rudd doing EXACTLY the same thing, and Limited News STILL ran it as a Class Warfare scheme ?

    He might be, but if he is the fact that I haven’t heard about any great controversy suggests it isn’t exactly the electoral suicide it’s being portrayed as.

  466. 466
    The Finnigans
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:12 pm | Permalink

    This debate is for children audience only, it contains:

    * rough language
    * illogical arguments
    * personal attacks
    * here we go around in mulberry bush
    * class warfare
    * La la land

    JV, my recording has been consigned to the dustbin of history, along with Malcolm Turnbull and Sarah Palin (the Julie Bishop of American politics or is it the other way around?)

  467. 467
    fredex
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:16 pm | Permalink

    And right here Frank, “And isn’t Rudd doing EXACTLY the same thing, and Limited News STILL ran it as a Class Warfare scheme ?”, you have hit a crucial nail on the head with a very important hammer.
    If you are going to be damned if if you do and damned if you don’t you may as well do that which is right and proper cos the Liberal media is going to kick …. out of you anyway.
    And if you don’t because you can’t or you fail after trying then at the very least it has been placed on the agenda as a viable alternative which, with proper leadership can be developed into a vote winner cos that is actually what the public wants.
    They say so in polls.

    And I think you may be wrong about the current ALP policy of providing funds to schools based on ‘need’ anyway.

  468. 468
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:16 pm | Permalink

    He might be, but if he is the fact that I haven’t heard about any great controversy suggests it isn’t exactly the electoral suicide it’s being portrayed as.

    But had it been Election time and the Opposition wasn’t the rabble it currently is then we all know what the result may be.

  469. 469
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:17 pm | Permalink

    Rebecca
    The rich schools won’t be complaining with their $300,000 grants for another set of playing fields – so yes, there will be no controversy. Unfortunately, the shameful buckets of public money to private schools per student and for capital investment increased by Howard continues unabated. The stimulus money is flat, therefore favours the richer private sector.

  470. 470
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:20 pm | Permalink

    Rebecca
    The rich schools won’t be complaining with their $300,000 grants for another set of playing fields - so yes, there will be no controversy. Unfortunately, the shameful buckets of public money to private schools per student and for capital investment increased by Howard continues unabated. The stimulus money is flat, therefore favours the richer private sector.

    So it is now been exposed that the Greens are the party of Envy, only the poor and disadvantaged get the spoils the the others don’t.

    Congratulations, your dopey policies will ENSURE that Class Warfare continues in Australia.

  471. 471
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:20 pm | Permalink

    If Grech lied he can still be in trouble, because contempt of Parliament is a criminal offence. But in fact he didn’t say there *was* an email – he said it was his *recollection* that there was an email. It would be hard to prove that he lied about what he recalled. That is, of course, provided it is not proved that he fabricated the email himself. Then he would be in very deep trouble indeed. Unless that happens, I expect prolonged stress leave followed by early retirement will be his fate.

  472. 472
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:27 pm | Permalink

    The Finnigans
    You left out my favourite:
    “pot, meet kettle”

    You discarded a contemporary record? How could you? That is a part of the history of 19 June 2009, an experience that will have us remember where we were when Eric brandished the ‘email’. (Oh dear, we’ll all be saying “I know exactly where I was -in front of the computer!” – how sad).
    Anyway your recording somehow ended up on my Ipod – I must have had it connected to the computer at the time. I was listening in the car on ’shuffle’ coming back from somewhere last week, and went from Radiohead to the dulcet tones of Senator Abetz, “Mr Grech, Mr Grech, If you’d just let Mr Grech answer the question, it is within his knowledge…” . Tragically I listened on for most of it before going back to music. But I don’t have the very beginning of the session.

  473. 473
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:28 pm | Permalink

    So it is now been exposed that the Greens are the party of Envy, only the poor and disadvantaged get the spoils the the others don’t. Congratulations, your dopey policies will ENSURE that Class Warfare continues in Australia.

    This is insane. Green policy would merely ensure that the disadvantaged schools get a reasonable share of the “spoils”.

    I went to two different high schools. One was in the process of seeing its first injection of capital works funds in about thirty years, still had science labs which were dubiously safe, had holes in the walls, and barely had playing fields to begin with.

    The second was a low-end private school that, with the combination of fees and government funding, was able to afford about an extra wing every year, and built an entirely new library, arts centre and amphitheatre, with major extensions of its assembly hall and VCE centre in the space of four years.

    How in the hell is it in any way rational that those two schools should get even anywhere near the same amount of government funding, purely on a basis of need? Labor needs to stop supporting this obsession with middle-class welfare.

  474. 474
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:30 pm | Permalink

    And that second school was in a bracket that wasn’t even close to being touched by Latham’s suggested cuts.

  475. 475
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:36 pm | Permalink

    How in the hell is it in any way rational that those two schools should get even anywhere near the same amount of government funding, purely on a basis of need? Labor needs to stop supporting this obsession with middle-class welfare.

    And risk being in opposition for as long as we did LAST time ? Middle Class Swinging Voters decide election – you MESS with their choice of Private School and it’s funding at your political peril.

  476. 476
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:38 pm | Permalink

    Frank @ 469
    Please don’t suggest, yet again, that I’m a member or supporter of a party. I am a supporter of many policies and ideas, but not those of any particular party.

  477. 477
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:40 pm | Permalink

    Frank @ 469
    Please don’t suggest, yet again, that I’m a member or supporter of a party. I am a supporter of many policies and ideas, but not those of any particular party.

    You could’ve fooled me with your constant pushing of those views – rather like so called “ALP supporters like Bob 1234 and JoleB1 who “was” a “Life Long ALP Supporter” -pull the other one – it plays Jingle Bells.

  478. 478
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:44 pm | Permalink

    Youse should’ve learned by now not to get into arguments with Frank. He makes me look positively non-partisan!

  479. 479
    Boerwar
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:50 pm | Permalink

    Palin is pulling pin as Gov of Alaska. Reported to have been confusing about whether this meant “goodbye for ever”, or “see ya at the next presidential elections”:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/04/us/politics/04palin.html?_r=1&hp

  480. 480
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:50 pm | Permalink

    Psephos

    He makes me look positively non-partisan!

    I know, and that’s saying something. I imagine he chairs the ALP focus group sessions, as a neutral facilitator, keenly listening to the thoughts of others, and taking them on board and passing them on for the benefit of the party?

  481. 481
    Rebecca
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:50 pm | Permalink

    Youse should’ve learned by now not to get into arguments with Frank. He makes me look positively non-partisan!

    Well, there’s no MasterChef on Saturdays, and I need my entertainment somehow…

  482. 482
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:55 pm | Permalink

    I know, and that’s saying something. I imagine he chairs the ALP focus group sessions, as a neutral facilitator, keenly listening to the thoughts of others, and taking them on board and passing them on for the benefit of the party?

    Nope, ordinary, but PASSIONATE Branch Member who will defend it to the death, but according to the Perfect Greens, doing so is a major crime.

  483. 483
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:56 pm | Permalink

    Well, there’s no MasterChef on Saturdays, and I need my entertainment somehow…

    aka “I’m a T**ll” :-)

  484. 484
    Boerwar
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 9:57 pm | Permalink

    How long are we going to be in Afghanistan?

    The Pentagon estimates that it will take 7 years and between $10 and $20 billion to train an Afghan army of about 260,000 troops, about the number they reckon it would need to keep the lid on the volcano.

    As for the national police force, nobody even seems to have much of an idea of where to start.

  485. 485
    Boerwar
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:04 pm | Permalink

    Meanwhile, back in the Old Dart:

    ‘A furious political row over homophobia intensified last night when the Conservatives accused two openly gay ministers of “stirring up hatred and division” after they claimed that many Tory MPs were homophobic.’

    http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article6633214.ece

  486. 486
    Boerwar
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:07 pm | Permalink

    Meanwhile, Katharine Waymout, publisher of The Washington Post is into a whole new concept in peddling influence. The WP.. ‘had sent out a brochure offering sponsorships — a fee of $25,000 for one, or $250,000 for an entire series — for an exclusive “Washington Post salon” at Ms. Weymouth’s home in which officials from Congress and the administration, lobbyists and, yes, the paper’s own reporters could have a quiet, off-the-record dinner, discussions to be led by Marcus Brauchli, the newspaper’s editor. Theoretically, you can’t buy Washington Post reporters, but you can rent them.’

    Following criticism, the idea has been dropped.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/04/business/media/04post.html?ref=business

  487. 487
    Boerwar
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:08 pm | Permalink

    Oops Waymout=Waymouth

  488. 488
    Socrates
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:10 pm | Permalink

    Boerwar 485

    I know the MSM is desprate to find hew ways to make money, but selling off what is left of their credibility is not the solution.

  489. 489
    Boerwar
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:12 pm | Permalink

    Socrates

    Yeh. There are several interesting things about it. The one that got me was the judgement about what was likely to be acceptable to the general public. So I checked: sure enough, Ms Waymouth was a lawyer.

  490. 490
    Boerwar
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:15 pm | Permalink

    The Indian Foreign Minister has indicated that India is not interested in engaging in greenhouse gas reduction by the numbers.

  491. 491
    Boerwar
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:19 pm | Permalink

    A new study has found that the top metre of permafrost soil contains twice as much carbon as previously estimated. The researchers think this might speed climate change a fair bit.

    (I read this in hard copy, there was no author for the hard copy and no names of researchers were provided. Relevant article is said to be in the Global Biochemical Cycle.)

  492. 492
    Boerwar
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:21 pm | Permalink

    Well, I succeed in my aim. I have temporarily got Labor v Greens Flame War Chapter 7642 off the air, but I am exhausted by the efffort.

    *goes*

  493. 493
    Winston
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:21 pm | Permalink

    Boerwar @ 478

    Still laughing about Palin’s quote -

    “We are not retreating, we are advancing in a different direction”

    Straight out of the Monty Python handbook.

  494. 494
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:22 pm | Permalink

    I imagine he chairs the ALP focus group sessions, as a neutral facilitator, keenly listening to the thoughts of others, and taking them on board and passing them on for the benefit of the party?

    Frank is in charge of outreach and bridge-building, answerable directly to the National Executive. He does a great job.

  495. 495
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:30 pm | Permalink

    Frank is in charge of outreach and bridge-building, answerable directly to the National Executive. He does a great job.

    Damn, you blew my cover :-)

  496. 496
    Viggo Pedersen
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:41 pm | Permalink

    Psephos

    GoogleEarth.

    In Layers there is Geographic Web. Under that, at the bottom, is Businesses. You can tyrn that on and off.

    Works for me

  497. 497
    vote1maxine
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:41 pm | Permalink

    Psephos please read my reply @ 307 to your earlier constructive comments. We agree on more than we disagree.

    Frank, all I can say is that you are the enemy of my enemy, therefore you are my friend. Love ya bro!! :) . BTW loosen up a bit ;)

  498. 498
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:41 pm | Permalink

    Psephos, Grech said he spoke to Lewis 4 times on the day before the hearings.

    Senator CAMERON—Mr Grech, I want to explore another avenue of questions here. How many times did
    you speak to Steven Lewis yesterday?
    Mr Grech—Yesterday?
    Senator CAMERON—Yes.
    Mr Grech—At least four occasions.
    Senator CAMERON—You spoke to Steven Lewis on four occasions.
    Mr Grech—Yes.
    Senator CAMERON—Was there any veiled threats made to you in terms of if you did not answer questions that it would have some problems for you and your career?
    Mr Grech—Look, I am not going to go into any of that.

  499. 499
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:44 pm | Permalink

    Steve, yes, but he didn’t say that he told Lewis there was no email, which is what someone claimed earlier.

  500. 500
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:52 pm | Permalink

    Psephos but Grech does clearly state exactly that here it is even time marked 4-05pm.

    Senator CAMERON—Mr Grech, so you had four conversations with Steven Lewis yesterday. How many times have you spoken to Steven Lewis in the previous 12 months?
    Mr Grech—I do not know the guy.
    Senator CAMERON—You do not know the guy.
    Mr Grech—Yes.
    Senator CAMERON—So yesterday you had four. Did you initiate any of the phone calls?
    Mr Grech—No.
    Senator CAMERON—Or were they four phone calls from Mr Lewis?
    Mr Grech—He approached me. I did follow up on one occasion just to clarify a point that he was making, but he approached me.
    Senator CAMERON—You indicated earlier in your evidence that you were surprised to see the reporting in relation to Mr Lewis’s report. Is that because you had denied the existence of any correspondence between the Prime Minister’s department and Mr Lewis to Mr Lewis? Is that the position that you put to Mr Lewis?
    Mr Grech—That is correct. [4.05 pm

    Senator CAMERON—That is correct. So you denied the existence of any correspondence to Mr Lewis.
    Mr Grech—That is correct.
    CHAIR—Senator Cameron, you can have a couple of more questions. Other Senators have indicated to me that they have other engagements and will need to travel, so we have only got time for a couple more.
    Senator CAMERON—So in relation to the media reporting today, what was it that upset you so much in the media reporting?
    Mr Grech—Well, clearly, Senator, when news reports of that nature appear and when they are reporting on issues that are close to home, as it were, in terms of the work that you have been undertaking, it is very uncomfortable because people obviously will assume that a lot of these serious issues have been given currency or have been given fuel, if you like, by me when, frankly, the original representations as they relate to Mr Grant were part of my normal work. They came in, I dealt with it as best as I could in the circumstances, and what was supposed to be, from my perspective a relatively routine event, has turned obviously into a significant matter.]

  501. 501
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:57 pm | Permalink

    steve
    Does the transcipt show a the beginning whether or not Grech was sworn in?

  502. 502
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:58 pm | Permalink

    JV here is the transcript.

    http://www.aph.gov.au/hansard/senate/commttee/S12204.pdf

  503. 503
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 10:59 pm | Permalink

    “Correspondence” usually means letters. Grech had said specifically only a few minutes earlier that he recalled an email from the PMO. (However, if we want to be technical, he says “Prime Minister’s Department”, and the PMO is not part of the Prime Minister’s Department, PM&C.)

  504. 504
    jaundiced view
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:12 pm | Permalink

    thanks Steve, for the transcript link.
    The witnesses were not sworn – Lewis is, in fact, incorrect when he says Grech was sworn inn nat the committee.

  505. 505
    Tom the first and best
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:18 pm | Permalink

    If the ALP had won the `61 election then how long would the DLP have stayed popular among Victorian Catholics? Would the Victorian ALP have been cleaned out earlier? Would the ALP have one back office in Victoria sooner? What things would be better about Australia?

  506. 506
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:28 pm | Permalink

    Senator CAMERON—Mr Grech, I want to explore another avenue of questions here. How many times did
    you speak to Steven Lewis yesterday?
    Mr Grech—Yesterday?
    Senator CAMERON—Yes.

    Senator CAMERON—Was there any veiled threats made to you in terms of if you did not answer questions that it would have some problems for you and your career?
    Mr Grech—Look, I am not going to go into any of that.

    These are odd questions which seem to indicate that he had some idea that something was going on.

    Why would he ask a question about threats and the like unless he had some word from somewhere, a leaker in News Ltd?

    And Grech’s answer was equally odd. Just a simple no would have been easy, his answer implies that is was a little more complicated than that.

    We have allegation that Grech showed Turnbull and Ebetz the email before the Senate Committee hearing, that Grech has on one day contacted Lewis at least 4 times and before that who knows. We have Turnbull seemingly alluding to the contents of the email in the Parliament before the Senate hearing and we have Hockey refer to Grech specifically on the Sunday show.

    It all sounds like a grand collusion by the forces of evil except that it appears the forces of good had some idea that things were afoot and some idea of the detail.

    At the same time Turnbull was alluding to the subject matter of the email in Parliament we had Gillard giving the OO bit of criticism and both Rudd and Gillard doing that since, which is something new. Rudd was seemingly confident right from the beginning about the issue and was very quick to advise that the email was false and quickly involve the AG and AFP.

    I am begining to see that the quiet message to Cameron to lighten up on playing interference at the hearing was more like telling him to stop over playing and over acting.

    Probablly the AFP have known pretty much from the start what was going on and who all the players were and Rudd was given some idea at least a day or two before hand. It almost seems as Rudd and Gillard know a number of people are in trouble and possibly some inside the murdoch media and is why they are gently giving them some criticism.

  507. 507
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:34 pm | Permalink

    My personal favorite bit of the transcript is where Cameron tells Erica that, “you are making it up”.

    Mr Martine—Senator, as I have just indicated, and Mr Grech indicated this as well, there were no phone calls from the Prime Minister’s office. As I have indicated, we have had no correspondence. We have been able to locate no correspondence whatsoever in relation to—
    Senator ABETZ—Why can I not ask Mr Grech that question, which resides personally in Mr Grech’s knowledge?
    Senator CAMERON—Because you are making it up. You are making it up. That is what you are doing.

  508. 508
    juliem
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:53 pm | Permalink

    331 Gary Bruce,

    Gary Bruce
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:23 pm | Permalink
    ... there are many people in Australia who want more left wing policies than the ALP is offering.

    Obviously not a majority.

    That doesn’t stop us from trying and wishing :grin:

  509. 509
    steve
    Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 11:54 pm | Permalink

    Someone seems to be able to predict a bit of trouble for Turnbull.

    Senator ABETZ—Yes, but I am asking whether the name Andrew Charlton rings a bell for him in relation to—
    Senator CAMERON—It rings a bell, but not for the Prime Minister.
    Senator ABETZ—Can I finish?
    Senator CAMERON—It rings a bell for the Leader of the Opposition.

  510. 510
    juliem
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:00 am | Permalink

    Ruawake 371, have always voted Labor but consider myself “on the fence” [and have been described as such by others on PB in the past] as I came mm’s from voting for the Greens in the 07 election.

    Would answer your question with policies on immigration and/or detention (while BETTER than the Libs do NOT go far enough) and the Republic (they don’t give that nearly enough priority in the queue) and Aboriginal policy (Howard’s changes in the sunset days/months of power need to be rolled back and disposed of). Probably a few more but it is getting late and can’t think of what #4 and beyond might be.

    Cheers from Perth :)

  511. 511
    vera
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:02 am | Permalink

    Hi Juliem, long time no see. Good luck tomorrow, but not too much :D
    I’m off to watch the tour de force now, go Cadel!!!

  512. 512
    juliem
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:05 am | Permalink

    434,

    Suck it up, Jeff Kennett.

    Too bad we couldn’t have said same about Eddie AND Jeff in the same weekend …..

  513. 513
    jaundiced view
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:10 am | Permalink

    Thomas Paine

    Why would he ask a question about threats and the like unless he had some word from somewhere, a leaker in News Ltd?
    And Grech’s answer was equally odd. Just a simple no would have been easy, his answer implies that is was a little more complicated than that.

    Yes, it seems when you listen to the committee again that there was something known by the ALP members, sufficient for them to stop Grech from answering key questions – until the very end. I can’t accept it was choreographed though. The chair genuinely seemed to me to be doing everything possible to stop the key questions being answered by Grech – if it was a charade it was better choreographed than anything I’ve seen.

    And what about Martine? Was he in on the joke with the government members? I doubt it?

    Martine was probably trying to shut Grech up because he knew Grech had been blown out of the water, and was the Treasury mole, and had no credibility any more. Why would his boss want Grech answering anything in that situation? Maybe the government members knew that much too, and thought Grech unreliable and a LNP stooge, and should be shut down on that ground.

    I doubt if any of them in the room, apart from Grech, knew what the AFP know now however, about the origins andf progress of the fake email.

  514. 514
    jaundiced view
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:12 am | Permalink

    And possibly Abetz of course

  515. 515
    Gusface
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:15 am | Permalink

    Steve,TP

    The more and more one analyses the available evidence, the more obvious that malcolm and co are in deep merde.

    I would hazard to say that certain interested parties will be doing as much history re-writing as they can.

    The most damning evidence of some form of collusion is the fact that the headline couldnt be changed and “the presses were ready to roll”-pure poppycock
    that statement would have been true back in the ’50’s but with modern techonology a headline can be changed even as the presses are rolling.

  516. 516
    juliem
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:16 am | Permalink

    Vera 510,

    I’m always here. Not always posting atm unless there is something particularly useful to add. Will admit to not reading every post every day but in and out several times a week. Same old, same old ….. probably why I’m not in an a regular basis these days ….. step out for several days and the rusty, creaky corners are still in the same places they were when I last checked in :( …..

    Btw, we’re having a crap season atm so I don’t expect much tomorrow. And, don’t forget, you have my offlist email so feel bloody free to use it whenever you want if there is a specific political issue you want my input on and I’ve not checked in here often enough for you :grin:

  517. 517
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:34 am | Permalink

    Rudd and Co would have been suspicious to something from Turnbull’s comments in Parliament, Hockey’s mention of Grech and to complete the picture Turnbull’s fronting Charlton.

    No doubt they did a quick check of everything after Turnbull collared Charlton with regard to documents and correspondence as much as they could guess.

    If there is no games going on at the Committee then they (Cameron) were maybe at the stage knowing some of what had gone on but not yet that it was to do with a forgery. But it seems to me that Rudd came up to speed very quickly on the whole affair and had the air of a man who knew he had nothing to worry about.

    The most interesting questions revolve around the hows, whens and who of the faked document. Look forward to it all coming out, hopefully reality is even more interesting than my imagination.

  518. 518
    Gusface
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:43 am | Permalink

    The most interesting questions revolve around the hows, whens and who of the faked document. Look forward to it all coming out, hopefully reality is even more interesting than my imagination.

    david marr ( I think) rehashed the kirby thingy.
    Eerily the echoes were familiar, if not the participants.

    as an aside , one of the things that really pisses people off about Rudd , is that he is a “straight arrow”.and apparently is principled.

    To those unused to such lofty idealism, he certainly can be hard to “smear”.

    Once the libs get used to that, perhaps they may get back to being an oppositiona s opposed to a bunch of blaggards amd malcontents

  519. 519
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 2:19 am | Permalink

    Grech’s evidence all the way through was clear and articulate until he got to the email bit where he seemed very reluctant and even put doubts on his own word, which is strange if he went to all the trouble of making up the faked email. And if it wasn’t him he still would have known the email was fake, given Martine’s evidence.
    He also seems he was reluctant for it to be used in the press.

    It does seems a bit like Grech has been used in all this. So it is possible the ‘plan’ has been forced on him. Or he was having second thoughts all the way through.

  520. 520
    The Heysen Molotov
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 2:23 am | Permalink

    William, what criteria must be met before someone is banned? Can you be banned for repeated posts of poorly written and quite frankly hard to follow baiting, stawmaning and tr o ll i ng when coupled with almost no constructive and enlightening comments (when you come to think of it) and the excessive use of the same old phrase to the point when you only bother to type in it’s two key words?

    I have much to say on todays discussion but are too sleepy to formulate a responce right now. Needles to say, a certain someone has left me rather confused and frustrated.

  521. 521
    The Heysen Molotov
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 2:25 am | Permalink

    On a completely unrelated topic: 368 & 442 – what the heck?

  522. 522
    The Heysen Molotov
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 2:32 am | Permalink

    Also William if the excessivly used phrase is misused to mean either “ditto” when strictly speaking that is not it’s exact meaning or as a substitue for argument, would that add further weight to the banning prospects? Particulaly if s/he is the primary barrier preventing social harmony between people of different political pursuasions?
    Cheers.

  523. 523
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:45 am | Permalink

    THM, I gather that #520/#522 is an attack on a commenter you don’t like, rather than an actual question worth answering. I would much prefer it if you just said what you meant rather than try to drag me into it.

  524. 524
    The Finnigans
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 8:13 am | Permalink

    The Finnigans - Posted Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:25 pm - * other than that, life is pretty good, no complaints at all.

    I knew i was on to something yesterday:

    Australia third happiest place on earth - Costa Rica is the happiest place on earth, and one of the most environmentally friendly, according to a new survey by a British non-governmental group, which puts Australia in third place.

    The New Economics Foundation looked at 143 countries that are home to 99 per cent of the world's population and devised an equation that weighs life expectancy and people's happiness against their environmental impact.

    By that formula, Costa Rica is the happiest, greenest country in the world, just ahead of the Dominican Republic. Latin American countries did well in the survey, occupying nine of the top 10 spots.

    Australia scored third place, but other major Western nations did poorly, with Britain coming in at 74th place and the United States at 114th.

    The New Economics Foundation's measurements found Costa Ricans have a life expectancy of 78.5 years, and 85 per cent of the country's residents say they are happy and satisfied with their lives.

    Costa Rica has a peaceful reputation because it does not have an army, and is also known for its protected ecological zones and national slogan "pure life", she said.

    http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-world/australia-third-happiest-place-on-earth-20090705-d8ns.html

    I must say I am surprise about Costa Rica. I always had an image of it as kinda banana republic. I am sorry, Costa Rica.

    BTW: Julia Gillard had a wardrobe malfunction this morning on Ten’s Meet the Press.

  525. 525
    scorpio
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 8:40 am | Permalink

    Further to the comments earlier re Lewis stating that Grech’s evidence was “sworn testimony”, Turnbull has been putting that out all over the place also.

    One of the “few” threads still holding him from falling down the cliff face!

    [Mr Turnbull has told Sydney radio the Coalition can win the next election despite recent poor poll results.

    "We can win this next election and we should win the next election," Mr Turnbull said, according to The Weekend Australian Financial Review.

    "If Australians want to see their economy managed in a way that will not put an intolerance burden of debt and deficit on the shoulders of their children and their children after them, if they want to see Australia's economy managed responsibly, then they should vote for us."

    He also defended his role in the OzCar scandal, saying he had never raised the matter of an email - allegedly from a government adviser - asking for special treatment for a car dealer friend of Mr Rudd. The email later turned out to be fake.

    "I never raised the matter of the email. I didn't quote from it, I didn't even refer to it.

    "The criticism I made of the Prime Minister a week ago on Friday was based entirely upon the sworn evidence given by a Treasury official [Godwin Grech] before the Senate … I didn’t publish the email or wave it around or refer to it. I was relying simply on the sworn evidence of the Treasury official given in the Senate committee.” ]

    http://www.businessspectator.com.au/bs.nsf/Article/Poll-shows-Rudds-approval-at-70-pd20090703-TLFUU?OpenDocument

    I prefer the first part of this article though.

    The 'ute-gate' affair has done nothing to dampen electoral approval of Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, a Morgan Poll shows.

    Seventy per cent of respondents named Kevin Rudd as preferred PM, while 20 per cent opted for Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull and 10 per cent were undecided.

    Conducted on July 1 and 2, the telephone poll of 546 electors found the Rudd government would retain power if an election were held now.

    On a two-party preferred basis, support for the Australian Labor Party was one per cent higher at 56 per cent, while support for the Liberal National Party was one per cent lower at 44 per cent.

    Roy Morgan executive chairman, Gary Morgan, said the email scandal had enhanced Mr Rudd's popularity.

    "The recent 'ute-gate' affair has consolidated Prime Minister Kevin Rudd's standing in the minds of the Australian electorate," he said.

  526. 526
    ltep
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:22 am | Permalink

    Further to the comments earlier re Lewis stating that Grech’s evidence was “sworn testimony”, Turnbull has been putting that out all over the place also.

    Witnesses are not ’sworn in’ before giving evidence before a Senate committee anyhow.

    Of course there are possible penalties for providing false or misleading evidence… but it’s still not ’sworn evidence’.

  527. 527
    William Conroy
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:47 am | Permalink

    Gusface @518 “blaggards and malcontents” perhaps “blowhards and malcontents” has a better ring to it ?? your thoughts

  528. 528
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:47 am | Permalink

    "The criticism I made of the Prime Minister a week ago on Friday was based entirely upon the sworn evidence given by a Treasury official [Godwin Grech] before the Senate…

    Err Talcum, it wasn’t just criticism, it was basically impled they acted corruptly and you demanded they all resign..not just ‘criticism’.

    Turnbull is still a political fool, novice and naive. When you get thoroughly embarrassed and found out to be a real tool over an issue you don’t then again raise it trying to defend your toolish behaviour.

    Every time Turnbull tries to excuse himself on this episode he is asking the people to again make a judgment on his behaviour, but they already have. Good way to remind the people Mal, keep it up until election day. And he might, he just can’t accept that he got beaten and out played by a professional and will keep want to pick at that sore.

  529. 529
    bob1234
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:49 am | Permalink

    THE Liberals are more self-obsessed about who should be in what role in the party rather than getting Australia out of the global financial crisis, Deputy Prime Minister Julia Gillard says.

    Media reports in Sunday's newspapers point to speculation about a leadership spill, with Tony Abbott and Tony Smith tipped to stand against Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull and his deputy Julie Bishop.

    http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,25735714-5005962,00.html

    Tony Smith? But he’s a punce of Pyne proportions!!! Oh well, he’d guarantee Labor remains in power.

    So if there’s a leadership change, that’ll be the fourth Liberal leader in 21 months. Is four leaders in 21 months a record? I believe it is…

  530. 530
    Socrates
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:00 am | Permalink

    Steve 502

    Thanks for the transcript link – great reading the whole thing in perspective. One point I found fascinating early on (P11 from Abetz to Mr Cohen of Ford Credit) was that the Ford Credit guy never actually followed up and spoke to John Grant anyway. In other words, no favour was ever received by Grant, even potentially. So the sum total of this “gotcha” even if it had been true, was an unsuccesssful attempt to sek a favour for a mate.

    Another point early on in the testimony that is regretable to have been lost in this was the evidence from Mr Cohen (Ford Credit) about how successful the OzCar scheme had been in supporting car dealerships and their employees including mechanics, apprentices etc, many of whom work in regional areas. So they are attacking a scheme that is shoring up a lot of jobs in their own electorates. Not exactly pork barreling by government. Hypocrites.

  531. 531
    Socrates
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:10 am | Permalink

    Clarification of 530 – the Ford Credit guy never met with Grant; they did have a phone call but no meeeting. Ford Credit were not interested in supplying credit to a Kia dealer.

  532. 532
    Socrates
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:17 am | Permalink

    Mr Delaney (Motor Dealers Assocaition) clarifies that 75,000 jobs were at stake in the firms guaranteed credit by OzCar. The OzCar policy is actualy a terrific govt success – it works out at about 1 permanent job protected for every $6000 of the guarantee. That is a bargian compared to the $70,000 per job the former govt spent (money lost) propping up (unsuccessfully) Mitsubishi. And the money isn’t even lost anyway – it is either a credit guarantee (not exercised) or a loan that is being repaid.

  533. 533
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:18 am | Permalink

    [Youthful Ideals Shaped Obama Goal of Nuclear Disarmament

    In the depths of the cold war, in 1983, a senior at Columbia University wrote in a campus newsmagazine, Sundial, about the vision of “a nuclear free world.” He railed against discussions of “first- versus second-strike capabilities” that “suit the military-industrial interests” with their “billion-dollar erector sets,” and agitated for the elimination of global arsenals holding tens of thousands of deadly warheads.
    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/05/world/05nuclear.html?_r=1&hp

  534. 534
    steve
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:22 am | Permalink

    Bob, it looks as though the Liberals are preparing to spoil their Christmas as well as midyear maybe it is their idea of having vision and plans for the future. Why backbenchers aren’t worried now escapes me.

    Liberal MPs say Mr Turnbull has until Christmas to turn around his satisfaction ratings in the polls.
    Otherwise, "worried" MPs will be concerned about the prospect of losing their seats at the next election, the report said.

  535. 535
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:32 am | Permalink

    Re Utegate: C1990 + and – a few years, Kev Rudd was such a lethal nit-picking, paper-trail hounding Q bureaucrat he earned the name Dr Death. Note paper-trail hunting. Keeping a paper-trail is a PS taken for granted Had a tricky question been asked of Premier Goss in Q parliament, Rudd’s first order would have been, “Check the files. Check the paper trail.”

    In 2009 that order would have been, “Check the PMO, Treasury and any other possible servers and server logs.” Given his very certain and aggressive counterattack on Turnbull in QT’s closing minutes of 4 June 09, I’d have a tenner on there being a note (on the info on which his response was based) going something like: “Checked and cross-checked all servers. No email.”

    Obviously neither Turnbull, nor any other Opposition member he consulted (inc Abetz), has any idea how the PS works. At that stage, any person who aspires to be PM would have sought out someone who could tell him why Rudd appeared so absolutely sure, and would have been told, “Any email sent on/received by a parliamentary computer will be recorded on the servers and their logs, even if it’s been deleted by the person/s concerned.” (There’s oodles of room – all the room on those slow old mainframes that cost squillions – to store every email for the foreseeable future) And a wannabe PM with nothing to hide would have replied, “How can I put a check in train? Whom do I ask?”

    That Turnbull neither understands the Public Service, nor Rudd, either:
    says a great deal about his fitness to be PM,
    and/or shows that he knew from the start that neither any trace of this email, nor of earlier ones behind earlier leaks, existed on Parliamentary servers.

    The next time Turnbull asked the same questions, Rudd knew (given Turnbull’s notoriously short span of patience and more notorious tendency to overplay his hand) if he could keep his cool and keep Malcolm playing long enough, he’d identify the Treasury mole, then out her/him and Malcolm in a way that provided perfect examples of those old saws: Know thy enemy, Softly softly catchee monkey and Hoist on his own petard.

    Malcolm span of patience must have shown signs having run out for Rudd to hand his Blackberry to a staffer for a photo op (even a handy phonecall – every word recorded on mobile phone logs) when, at the Midwinter ball, Turnbull shirtfronted Charlton.

    Friday’s Hansard record (thanks steve @ 502) and Rudd’s dealings with Steve Lewis should be read with the above in mind, and that (a) Abetz & Turnbull had briefed Godwin Grech (b) that key ALP MHRs and senators must also have been briefed about what the government then knew.

    Although NewsLtd journos claimed to be perplexed at the emergence of what QLDers knew as Dr Death, QLDers weren’t; nor, if they’d done their “investigative journo” job, should the journos – Steve Lewis in particular – nor should any MHR aspiring to the PMship.

    Where are we now?

    Think of the main Howard Gov scandals. Part of a PM’s role, especially if s/he chooses all ministers, is ministerial and party discipline (JH had, remember, lost 4 ministers by this time in his first term, Rudd lost 1). Which of them happened because Howard was, quite frankly, as slack a PM as he was woeful a treasurer – Children Overboard? The MRI scandal? AWB? Haneef?

    What’s the likelihood these sort of scandals will happen under Rudd’s Dr Death(ray)’s eye? Julia’s gimlet glare?

  536. 536
    Socrates
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:47 am | Permalink

    Oz Poll Tragic

    Agreed; I have worked in the Qld public service under Rudd and his reputation was well deserved.

    This was why I found Grech’s evidence so odd when this story first broke. On the one hand he didn’t have/wasn’t sure about the critical email. Yet on other aspects he was meticulous, even going beyond normal public service practice in referring to hansard:

    “Senator ABETZ—I ask you why—you raising John Grant’s plight at this meeting I assume was on instructions, advice, suggestion, from the Treasurer’s office?
    Senator CAMERON—Assume what you like—we are going to deal with the facts.
    CHAIR—Senator Cameron, no interjections, please.
    Mr Grech—Senator, I know that the Treasurer is in Hansard dated 4 June. The Treasurer has made clear that the case of Mr John Grant from Ipswich Motors was referred to Treasury by his office. When you talk about Treasury in this context, it was referred to me.
    Senator ABETZ—Right. In these emails that we have just been provided, I note with some interest—I am just wondering: do the witnesses have these emails.
    Mr Martine—We do have a copy, Senator.

    So Grech is keeping track of everything Swan says in parliament and hansard references to it, yet failig to file his own emails of work requests from PMC? People should have realised then and there that this was fishy – normal practice is the opposite of that.

  537. 537
    steve
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:47 am | Permalink

    Tony Smith famous for running stimulus packages in boom times.

    Mr Smith's suggestion comes after he played a significant role last year in persuading the Government to give up to $1500 to schools that did not have a flagpole.

    http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/08/07/1091732142367.html?from=storylhs

  538. 538
    Gusface
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 11:26 am | Permalink

    Gusface @518 “blaggards and malcontents” perhaps “blowhards and malcontents” has a better ring to it ?? your thoughts

    William C
    I felt it would be a disservice to blowhards everywhere to lump ‘em in with this bunch of remorseless,ramshackle and reprobate libs.

    I mean a person’s got to draw the line somewhere.
    ;)

  539. 539
    juliem
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 11:44 am | Permalink

    Vera, IF you are online and IF you read this before NOON your time in Sydney, next 20 mins., can you dash off an email to as asap? Need to reach you before NOON if possible, going out then … if you don’t read this till after 12 noon for you, just disregard ….. Cheers :)

  540. 540
    jjulian1009
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:01 pm | Permalink

    Juliem said last night: “Would answer your question with policies on immigration and/or detention (while BETTER than the Libs do NOT go far enough) and the Republic (they don’t give that nearly enough priority in the queue) and Aboriginal policy (Howard’s changes in the sunset days/months of power need to be rolled back and disposed of).”

    Juliem,
    My views on the Rudd Labor Govt. are very much in synch with these viewpoints of yours. I’d add (as a Vietnam Vet) that I’m deeply disappointed in both Rudd and Obama for letting the global warmongering military/industrial complex escalate our war in Afghanistan. This will result in many more dead and maimed Afghan civilians and Occupation countries’ soldiers, the waste of untold billions of dollars of debt-money during the GFC to prop up the corrupt city-state govt. in Kabul and a continued flooding of the world’s drug market with their only cash crop, opium.

    Like yourself, I’m now reading posts in PB daily, but only comment once in a while due to exceptionally busy schedule. The quality of analysis in here on the Grech-Turnbull debacle/farce has been singularly cogent and well ahead of MSM most of the time (as it is again this weekend). So, ‘onya, Bludgers——–played strong, done fine!

  541. 541
    The Finnigans
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:33 pm | Permalink

    ABC needs two Sunday shows - Insiders with pointy end folks like George Meg, and Backsiders with tools like Bolt.

    Poss, i am really amazed that Gorgeous George and Crabby Annabelle would allow themselves to be bullied and humiliated by Bolt on a national TV show, without even a whimper of a fight.

  542. 542
    Acerbic Conehead
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 12:44 pm | Permalink

    Gusface @518 “blaggards and malcontents” perhaps “blowhards and malcontents” has a better ring to it ?? your thoughts

    William Conroy (527). I think Gusface’s use of “blaggards” is just as good as “blowhards”. He is spelling it phonetically. A blackguard was the lowest servant in the big house. They were given the worst jobs, like tending the fires and scraping the burnt gunk off the pots and pans. They were covered in soot, coal-dust and the contents of the privvy. They made Baldrick look like Jeeves the butler. Essentially, they were regarded as the lowest of the low, untrustworthy, foul-mouthed and, well, blackguards. Sounds like merchant bankers and dodgy email peddlars should apply for any vacancies.

  543. 543
    Andrew
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 1:58 pm | Permalink

    bolt is a fool but more in touch with reality than ackerman, and i dont mind the token torie on insiders. but he said a few things today that should not have gone without question such as using the indigenous report (which only measured up to 2007) to attack Rudd’s lack of progress on these issues

    the tories are making exactly the same mistake labor made for years when howard was in power. they hate rudd so much and think its just a matter of time when the rest of the electorate wake up. rudd did well by accepting that howard was popular and agreed where necessary whilst developing a few important points of policy difference. it seems the libs are 2 terms away from doing this

  544. 544
    juliem
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 2:20 pm | Permalink

    JJ @ 540, not necessarily a heavy schedule in my case; but 50% other competing interests when online and 50% some of what I read when I am on PB (same old arguments get tired after awhile). Glad to see I’m not the only one in this boat ;-)

  545. 545
    Dario
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 3:07 pm | Permalink

    Bolt still denying the impact of the stimpacs on Insiders was hilarious. How he manages to keep a straight face is beyond me.

  546. 546
    ruawake
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 4:34 pm | Permalink

    Looks like Tony Abbott has his running mate – the two Tony’s dream team.

    The Conservative wing of the Rabble is sounding out support – via Glen Milne. It may just work.

  547. 547
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 4:45 pm | Permalink

    I know… I know…

    But…

    Just having a look at Milne in the Sunday Tele today and I cannot but ask: “What the hell is this guy on about?”.

    Last week it was AFP Stormtroopers reminded him of Stalin.

    The week before it was “Rudd The Nerd” trying to speak Strine.

    A bit before that it was… Oh I dunno… something else.

    This weeks it’s Hospitals that’s going to bring him down where he belongs, apparently in the drainage ditch of politics.

    This Very small Person has far too much hatred to appeal to anyone else than the Rusted Ons (plus spot-welded). The Poor Little Guy can’t find one thing – one thing – that Rudd has done right. Everything’s a muck-up. Everything’s spin and deception. Nothing is as good as Howard did.

    Poor, nasty Glen. Cozzie’s left him. Malcolm never wanted him. The Libs are in total disarray. Yet he keeps on punching.

    It’s a wonder they let him draw breath, much less draw pay.

  548. 548
    ruawake
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 4:59 pm | Permalink

    "The difficulty with these articles are that the sources of the stories are never revealed, they are anonymous sources," Ms Bishop told Sky News on Sunday.

    If journalists were able to say who was behind the story then their motivation and personal agenda would be made "pretty clear", she said.

    "But I can't give the story any credibility because I don't know who was behind it."

    Julie, Julie, Julie it was Milne behind it just ask him. Or maybe ask Lewis who his source was? :P

  549. 549
    steve
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 5:12 pm | Permalink

    Just read some of Lawyer Malcolm’s recent speeches and even in parliament he claims Grech gave “sworn testimony”.

    Secondly, we have never sought to base our criticism of the government on that email. Last Friday, after Godwin Grech, a senior Treasury official, the man the government put in charge of this OzCar financing vehicle—and there was $2 billion of funding committed towards it—gave sworn testimony ...

    http://www.openaustralia.org/debates/?id=2009-06-24.97.2&s=speaker%3A10643#g98.7

  550. 550
    ruawake
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 5:42 pm | Permalink

    I have tried to put myself in the position Peter Dutton finds himself. A very slim margin where he literally needs every vote he can muster.

    How long would I persist with a leader who provides little or no leadership? Would I persist with a deputy who has less talent.

    Maybe that is why he came up with this ludicrous comment.

    “Smoking tax ‘would be cash grab’”
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/05/2617204.htm?section=justin

  551. 551
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 5:43 pm | Permalink

    BB went:

    Rusted Ons (plus spot-welded)

    That’s a cracker of a phrase! :-D

  552. 552
    Dario
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 6:18 pm | Permalink

    Dutton is nothing but a clown

  553. 553
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 6:19 pm | Permalink

    An extraordinary performance by bolt on insiders, could have been andrew robb. Bolt is the reason we dont watch channel 9, he is on their anti-govt morning program.

  554. 554
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 6:23 pm | Permalink

    The fact is Rudd has these clowns talking jibberish. Talk about playing with their minds. Their hatred is palpable.

  555. 555
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 6:25 pm | Permalink

    Ruawake, I have just read your post at 550. Wow, so it’s OK for the Liberals to increase cigarette prices but if Labor do, it’s a tax grab?

    What a truly sad and enjoyable state the party of John Howard has become? Sincere commiserations (no sarcasm) to Glen and GP.

  556. 556
    Dario
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 6:25 pm | Permalink

    How does Bolt get back on Insiders time and again when he is allowed to continually trot out his baseless CC denialist rubbish? The earth in the last 10 years has cooled to ‘normal’ levels was his closing spiel this week, singing Fielding’s praises. FMD.

  557. 557
    Dario
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 6:26 pm | Permalink

    Ruawake, I have just read your post at 550. Wow, so it’s OK for the Liberals to increase cigarette prices but if Labor do, it’s a tax grab?

    Yep. I wonder how much scrutiny that particular backflip will get from the MSM this week?

  558. 558
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 6:33 pm | Permalink

    George Meglogenis was good on Insiders this morning. He is much too good to work for News Ltd. As for Bolt, Andrew no matter how much you hate listening to it mate, you have got to learn to sit there, shut up, and take it. :D

    Speaking of Bolt, he is a nut, but at least he is generally entertaining. Something that can’t possibly be said about Milne.

  559. 559
    ruawake
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 6:35 pm | Permalink

    Shadow Health Minister should be one of the easiest jobs around, Dutton makes it look difficult.

    That takes a special talent. ;)

  560. 560
    ruawake
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 6:48 pm | Permalink

    Centre

    The big problem for Dutton is that he did not read the report. It says the tax increase should be quarantined from the budget and all funds used to reduce the rate of smoking.

    The tax increase – if successful would reduce the amount of tax raised, because less people would be buying tobacco. So it is not a “tax grab” if it works it will reduce Govt. revenue.

  561. 561
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 6:49 pm | Permalink

    When I was at the shops this morning I walked past The Daily Opposition only to find another screaming negative front page headline for Labor.

    Supposedly Rudd is wasting around 150k on a school with only 1 student in it. Can you believe it! A school with one ( 1 ) student in it.

    Who could bother buying such absurd and ridiculous investigative journalism, let alone reading it!

    I’m sure that if there was a problem here, this case would pale into insignificance compared to the benefits that the stimulus has provided to schools in general. BUT you would never read it in the Daily Opposition.

  562. 562
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 6:57 pm | Permalink

    Yes rua. But even if it was an initial tax grab, it would help to cut smoking which would benefit the cost to our health system, and eventually raise less taxes by people who quit smoking.

  563. 563
    Nick
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:03 pm | Permalink

    The Senate has the power to take evidence under oath.

    http://www.aph.gov.au/Senate/pubs/briefs/brief04.htm

  564. 564
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:05 pm | Permalink

    When I was at the shops this morning I walked past The Daily Opposition only to find another screaming negative front page headline for Labor.

    Supposedly Rudd is wasting around 150k on a school with only 1 student in it. Can you believe it! A school with one ( 1 ) student in it.

    Who could bother buying such absurd and ridiculous investigative journalism, let alone reading it!

    I’m sure that if there was a problem here, this case would pale into insignificance compared to the benefits that the stimulus has provided to schools in general. BUT you would never read it in the Daily Opposition.

    And Ch 10 are running with the story as well.

  565. 565
    Dario
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:05 pm | Permalink

    The Senate has the power to take evidence under oath

    I think question is was he sworn in or not?

  566. 566
    Nick
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:06 pm | Permalink

    At the 19 June Senate Committee hearing Senator Abetz appears to be under the impression that Mr Grech et al are under oath:

    Senator ABETZ—There is a fundamental proposition here. It is not whether the department wishes to answer the question. They are here on oath, …

    http://www.aph.gov.au/hansard/senate/commttee/S12204.pdf

  567. 567
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:07 pm | Permalink

    They just showed Julie B on the ABC news saying she hasn’t heard anything about the two Tonys taking over the leadership. She looked happy and was laughing about it. Man, Turnbull is as goooone as I have ever seen :lol:

    Maybe Julie was thinking the more that bite the dust, the closer to the leadership she gets!

  568. 568
    ruawake
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:15 pm | Permalink

    On checking the spiffy Nation Building website.

    The school in question has had zero funds approved.

    No document(s) were found matching the query 'Lagoon Public School'

    Does this mean the report is not based on rigorous investigative journalism?

  569. 569
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:17 pm | Permalink

    Frank, why couldn’t Rudd get on TV with a copy of The Opposition and flatly reject the headline as false and misleading!

    War has been declared by the Dinosaurs at News Ltd. They have lost their power. Now is the time to finish the Dark Lord!

  570. 570
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:21 pm | Permalink

    rua, they wouldn’t know what investigative journalism was. It’s time for newspapers to go. Much better for the environment as well.

  571. 571
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:23 pm | Permalink

    Govt has alreaddy responded.

    [Senator Mark Arbib, the Federal Minister for Government Service Delivery, says he is sceptical about the report.

    "Almost all of these stories that we've gone away and checked out have been either inaccurate or not correct," he said.

    "We will talk to the local principal at that school.

    "[It] would have been a decision that came between the school community, the school principal and local regional co-ordinator.

    “That’s how that school would have got a shade cloth and we will talk to them and find out if they need it or not.”]

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/05/2617163.htm?site=news

  572. 572
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:26 pm | Permalink

    Oh and the claim came from the NSW State Opposition.

    The Opposition says the Lagoon Public school in the state's central west will receive a $140,000 grant, despite having only one enrolment for next year.

    The Opposition's education spokesman, Adrian Piccoli, says the stimulus money is a rare opportunity that is being squandered.

    "We're seeing some quite obvious errors and that's costing hundreds of thousands of dollars if not millions of dollars," he said.

    "Both Premier Nathan Rees and Prime Minister Kevin Rudd are in a hurry to spend this money before the federal election and before the next state election in New South Wales."

    Mr Piccoli says there are similar stories emerging from other schools.

    "We've seen hugely inflated quotes for new buildings and new libraries and new halls," he said.

    "We're aware of vast amounts of money being given to brand new schools, so we've seen lots of examples where there's been waste and mismanagement by the New South Wales Government."

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/05/2617009.htm

  573. 573
    steve
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:29 pm | Permalink

    566 Nick, Erica Betz would say or do anything to cling to Opposition. As Dario asks, was the oath administered to Grech? JV posted the following on Saturday night.

    I’ll believe Grech was under oath if someone can point to the stage of proceedings where he sticks out a hand on a dusty old book and swears to tell the truth, the whole truth, so help me etc.

    http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/07/03/reuters-poll-trend-558-442/comment-page-9/#comment-301493

  574. 574
    ShowsOn
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:29 pm | Permalink

    What the hell? The Federal opposition is claiming that an increase in tobacco taxes would be “a revenue raising measure”:
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/05/2617204.htm?section=justin

    Their leader proposed to do exactly that during his budget reply speech!

  575. 575
    polyquats
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:29 pm | Permalink

    What sort of state government funds a school with 1 pupil?
    Lagoon Primary School has an enrolment of 13, according to the NSW DET website.

  576. 576
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:38 pm | Permalink

    Here is the transcript of the Senate Economics Committee hearing on 19 June.
    http://www.aph.gov.au/hansard/senate/commttee/S12204.pdf
    Nick, kindly show me where anyone was put on oath.
    Grech appears at page 21.

  577. 577
    Nick
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:41 pm | Permalink

    I can’t Psephos. It’s not there.

  578. 578
    ruawake
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:55 pm | Permalink

    Why would the rabble be so willing to “burn” Godwin? Could it be that they sacrificed one to save another?

    Will another “mole” spring up from the ground? ‘)

  579. 579
    jaundiced view
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 7:56 pm | Permalink

    Nick
    We discussed this last night, and it was clear from the transcript that no oaths were taken in the 19 June committee. Otherwise there would be a note that the oath had been administered prior to each witness’s evidence, or a transcript of the usual question about swearing or affirming etc. while the secretary of the committee went through the oath routine. But the text just goes smoothly from the chair to he questioner. Abetz must have been referring to the sanctions under the rules of the Senate.
    Anyway, apart from showing that journalist Lewis and MT are wrong to say Grech was under oath, it probably doesn’t amount to much. The AFP investigation has obviated what evidence was true or false at the committee.

  580. 580
    steve
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 8:00 pm | Permalink

    It’s not there.

    It had better be there because on 24 June Turnbull told us that was the basis of his case against Rudd and Swan. Lewis was still writing articles based on it today.

    Secondly, we have never sought to base our criticism of the government on that email. Last Friday, after Godwin Grech, a senior Treasury official, the man the government put in charge of this OzCar financing vehicle—and there was $2 billion of funding committed towards it—gave sworn testimony ...

    P72-73

    http://parlinfo.aph.gov.au/parlInfo/download/chamber/hansardr/2009-06-24/toc_pdf/6915-2.pdf;fileType=application%2Fpdf#search=%22chamber/hansardr/2009-06-24/0000%22

  581. 581
    William Conroy
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 8:06 pm | Permalink

    Re 550 & 574 All Labor tax revenue efforts are tax grabs unless MT suggests it then it becomes sensible policy linked re ciggies to health issues. The budget reply was made in a parallel universe where MT was triumphant (in his own mind) however now that he is banished to middle earth (Wenthworth/Afganistan), such thoughts are considered heresy, and idiots like Dutton are trying anything for a bit of media time which of course gets aired because it is anti Labor Govt. But the outright false reporting should be stamped on asap

  582. 582
    Andrew
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 8:53 pm | Permalink

    centre i am happy to tolerate bolt- the stimulus package denial added to the climate change denial is good comedy…i often wonder is he really that stupid or does he do it to be controversial???

  583. 583
    Dario
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:06 pm | Permalink

    Their leader proposed to do exactly that during his budget reply speech!

    They are beyond a rabble

  584. 584
    Gusface
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:09 pm | Permalink

    Their leader proposed to do exactly that during his budget reply speech!

    They are beyond a rabble

    they are now the party of pandemonium

  585. 585
    steve
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:14 pm | Permalink

    Their leader proposed to do exactly that during his budget reply speech!

    They are beyond a rabble

    Wasn’t it supposed to be the highlight of the Budget reply that proved Turnbull could find alternative revenues to replace those knocked out by the Global Financial Crisis without the need for debt and deficit?

  586. 586
    Dario
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:15 pm | Permalink

    Wasn’t it supposed to be the highlight of the Budget reply that proved Turnbull could find alternative revenues to replace those knocked out by the Global Financial Crisis without the need for debt and deficit?

    It was laughable then, and it’s beyond a joke now

  587. 587
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:19 pm | Permalink

    The Opposition is so incompetent, chaotic and lost you would think political commentators would be taking them to task until they bothered to sort themselves out.

    If bolt were even the rectal part of a journalist he would be going to town on the Liberal Party’s abject poverty in every single area.

    Yet what we see is the MSM waving the flag for the Liberal Party trying to attack the government even on trivia. The media is totally negligent in not pointing out to the public just how much a mess the Liberal Party is in and how unsuitable and unready they are to be in government. The MSM is seemingly willing to help put chaotic fools into power on the basis they are not Labor.

    Of course all this stems from the methodology of the entire Murdoch media where usually the criteria for selection is being right wing and without standards, it is only by chance they manage to run across the occasional decent non-partisan journalist.

  588. 588
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:23 pm | Permalink

    And who has the glass jaw? Certainly not Rudd, they guy who handled Turnmail-gate like a veteran. I would say it is News Ltd who have the glass, squealing like stuck pigs because they exposed on extremely poor journalism.

  589. 589
    steve
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:25 pm | Permalink

    Oh Dear, Dutton has really done it this time. Here is what Turnbull said in the Budget reply speech.

    There are plainly hundreds of opportunities for the Prime Minister to offset that saving if the measure is defeated – he could do worse than starting with his own foreign affairs spendathon in support of his UN ambitions.

    But tonight I will make one suggestion of a suitable offset for the Prime Minister’s consideration.

    One that would make for a healthier Australia and lessen the burden on public hospitals rather than increase it.

    The Government could comfortably afford to retain the current private health insurance rebate without any cost to the published Budget outcome by increasing the amount of excise collected on tobacco by 12.5 per cent (or about three cents extra per cigarette).

    Tobacco is the single most preventible cause of ill health and death in Australia.

    So there’s a tough choice for a weak Prime Minister.

    Raise $1.9 billion by making health more expensive and putting more pressure on the public hospital system or by adding about 3 cents more to the price of a cigarette and taking pressure of the public health system.

    You see, Mr Speaker, budgets are indeed about priorities.

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25482933-5013871,00.html

  590. 590
    Centre
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:30 pm | Permalink

    Andrew there can be no doubt that the only reason we recorded positive GDP figures was because of Rudd’s stimulus. Every economist who knows anything about economics would agree. It took a hell of a lot of guts to make such a quick and decisive decision to stimulate the economy the way Rudd did. There are many in the world who would have had second thoughts, or if they would have acted at all.

    I don’t think Bolt does it to be controversial or that he is totally stupid, he is just soooo beautifully desperate :lol: to kick Rudd out of office.

  591. 591
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:40 pm | Permalink

    I thought it was so sad how Bolt endeavored to make the case that Rudd’s stimulus packages and Australia’s strong economic performance were just a coincidence. Such desperation or does he really believe that? If he does then he is living in delusion land as most other economic commentators admit that the stimulus package is having some telling positive effects on the economy.

    Bolt usually has something sane to say but today he started to mix in some weirdness that is beginning to sound like denial.

  592. 592
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:45 pm | Permalink

    Another position taken by those in denial is that Turnbull’s and the Coalition’s dip in the polls is only temporary and will all go away when people forget about Turnmail-gate.

    The Coaltion’s TPP may begin to recover but people’s opinion of Turnbull wont recover that much. The huge drop in his character assessment indicates many many people were very disappointed with him. No cognitive dissonance there, his actions fit the lingering perceptions, people finally joined the dots.

  593. 593
    steve
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 9:46 pm | Permalink

    The words of Malcom Turnbull’s budget reply speech have triggered the moderation button. No wonder really. Most words I object to are in that speech about why the price of cigarettes should be increased.

  594. 594
    bob1234
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:00 pm | Permalink

    Happened to again come across the comments made by O’Connor Labor candidate Dominic Rose… anyone remember him? He was a laugh and a half :D

    Kevin Rudd came over as a “filthy Liberal” who seemed insufficiently enthusiastic about “killing capitalist pig dogs and establishing a dictatorship of the proletariat”

    http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/oconnor.htm

  595. 595
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:02 pm | Permalink

    Will Tony Abbott follow his master and be a convert to running a deficit?

    Vatican Runs Deficit Amid Global Economic Crisis
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/07/05/vatican-runs-deficit-amid_n_225810.html

  596. 596
    steve
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:06 pm | Permalink

    Howard is now writing a book.

    He confirmed he was writing a book and said he never doubted the major decisions he took while holding the nation's highest office.

    "No, not the big ones, no I didn't," he said.

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25737634-12377,00.html

  597. 597
    polyquats
    Posted Sunday, July 5, 2009 at 10:07 pm | Permalink

    Another position taken by those in denial is that Turnbull’s and the Coalition’s dip in the polls is only temporary and will all go away when people forget about Turnmail-gate.

    Yeah, it’ll be like ‘we don’t remember why we think you’re a d***head, we just remember that you are’.
    The only hope for the Libs is a complete clean-out. But don’t anyone tell them that.

  598. 598
    TCEPSER
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:33 am | Permalink

    Where were all of these people who are scandalised by “waste” in the stimulus package for schools etc., when the Howard Govt was handing out more than $160 million to Australia’s 26 wealthiest private schools over 2 years in 2002 to 2004 (eg. Wesley College-$20 million, Caulfield Grammar-$15 million, Scotch College-$9 million, Ivanhoe Grammar-$11 million)? (I don’t have any up-to-date figures…)

    Each of these schools has several sports ovals and fields, tennis and basketball courts, heated swimming pools, indoor gymnasiums with squash, volleyball and basketball courts, up-to-the-minute IT facilities for each student, plentifully resourced science and technology laboratories and metal and woodworking laboratories, music and drama auditoriums that many small cities and towns could only dream of having, language laboratories, magnificent and fully equipped libraries, music instrumental tuition available to every student, are and graphic design centres, and so much more! Some even have indoor rifle ranges and equestrian centres, and boarding facilities for students’ pets!

    Most of the stimulus funding is going on projects that have been on schools’ wish-lists, especially for government schools, which have been starved of funds from that very same Howard Govt. for more than a decade! If anything we should be objecting to the inclusion of these schools in the stimulus package!!

  599. 599
    Nick
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:41 am | Permalink

    The Finnigans (#524) told us that SMH reported:

    Costa Rica is the happiest place on earth, and one of the most environmentally friendly, according to a new survey by a British non-governmental group, which puts Australia in third place … but other major Western nations did poorly, with Britain coming in at 74th place and the United States at 114th.

    http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-world/australia-third-happiest-place-on-earth-20090705-d8ns.html
    However, if you go to the web-site (do I have the right one?) at:
    http://www.happyplanetindex.org/learn/download-report.html
    and download the report at:
    happy-planet-index-2-0.pdf
    you find that Jamaica is third, United Kingdom is 74th, USA is 114th and Australia is 102nd not third.
    Have I gone wrong somewhere?

  600. 600
    Bird of paradox
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:16 am | Permalink

    Happened to again come across the comments made by O’Connor Labor candidate Dominic Rose… anyone remember him? He was a laugh and a half :D

    Ahh, UWA Young Labor. Gotta love ‘em. I think he’s the guild president these days… or maybe that was last year. Only good for coming third and feeding preferences to the Nationals, and he couldn’t even get that right. :P

  601. 601
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:43 am | Permalink

    Ahh, UWA Young Labor. Gotta love ‘em. I think he’s the guild president these days… or maybe that was last year. Only good for coming third and feeding preferences to the Nationals, and he couldn’t even get that right. :P

    But we are talking O’Connor, where the ALP could’ve got Fat Cat to run and he still would’ve lost to Wilson :-)

  602. 602
    The Heysen Molotov
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:43 am | Permalink

    Argghhh
    For some reason my old computer seems unable to handle:
    http://www.happyplanetindex.org/learn/download-report.html
    These are very important issues. Our country is so badly mishandled because the government forgets that the sole purpose of the economy is to provide a vehicle for overall well being in a sustainable manner. Every week the pollies argue over money, money, money but money won’t buy happiness – Jesus, Muhammad, Buddha, any psychologist and any Lotto winner can tell you that. So why can we not get our priorities right? Why must we ruin the environment to produce a bloated, overactive and unsustainable economy that still leaves many in misery thus completely failing at its purported objective? It would improve all our lives immeasurably if the pollies focused on the important things. The bickering points are always “how will this policy effect the economy?” and not “how will this policy effect the well-being of our people and the sustainability of our planet?”.
    Where on that list is Bhutan? Has the focus of the government on its ideology of GNH (Gross National Happiness), rather than GNP, produced better results than its neighbors or the impoverished Western economies?

  603. 603
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:57 am | Permalink

    [Argghhh
    For some reason my old computer seems unable to handle:
    http://www.happyplanetindex.org/learn/download-report.html

    Well I’ll be nice to you and post the direct link to the pdf file :-)

    http://www.happyplanetindex.org/public-data/files/happy-planet-index-2-0.pdf

  604. 604
    The Heysen Molotov
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:42 am | Permalink

    Thanks Frank – I now have it working.

    Given its unique experiment with the concept of Gross
    National Happiness (GNH), we were keen to include
    Bhutan in our data set despite it not being covered by
    either the Gallup or WVS surveys. The first GNH survey
    was conducted in 2008. Analysis is still underway, but the
    Centre for Bhutan Studies made data available to us which
    allowed us to estimate a figure for life satisfaction of 6.1 for
    the country.189 In all other cases, the countries included
    were those for which life satisfaction or ladder of life data
    were available.

    Bhutan comes in at 17 out of 143.

    Something strikes me as rather profound!
    Check this out:
    Vietnam: 5
    Cuba: 7
    Moldova:32 (the highest ranking European country)
    Venezuala: 36
    Laos: 19
    Hmmm…. What do these countries have in common that is producing such a high level of well being and sustainability? I wonder? Those happy little watermelons!

    Let us ponder another group of countries with something in common:
    USA: 114
    Australia: 102
    NZ: 103
    Israel: 67
    UK: 74
    Canada: 89
    Luxembourg: 122 (the worst ranking European country)
    Hmmm….

    I also note that Belarus is way down the list at 104 as no doubt would the DPRK if they were included since extremely authoritarian dictatorships are never a good thing. The list does have its flaws though. Saudi Arabia comes in at 13 partially on the back of a low ecological footprint but this fails to recognize their part as an oil exporter. To an extent I do believe that it is the consumer that holds ultimate responsibility (and this goes for CPRS’s also) and so this is fair enough but at the same time I also feel that Saudia Arabia and Australia could make a very possitive contribution by capping oil, coal and uranium exports – which is about as likely as an Australian Democrats landslide at the next election.

  605. 605
    The Heysen Molotov
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:17 am | Permalink

    I say:

    To an extent I do believe that it is the consumer that holds ultimate responsibility (and this goes for CPRS’s also) and so this is fair enough but at the same time I also feel that Saudia Arabia and Australia could make a very possitive contribution by capping oil, coal and uranium exports - which is about as likely as an Australian Democrats landslide at the next election.

    Well about that likely in the foreseeable future anyway.

    On to the topic of tobacco taxation as a “TAX GRAB”: Before someone pointed out that it will probably go into a seperate account to the main budget and, if effective, could actually lower revenue I actually thought to myself “oh goodie, more taxation on tobacco means either more services or less tax in other areas where there would be social progress from a decreeced tax. I like the sound of that tax grab”. If others think likewise then this Lib attack could be counter-productive.
    This reminds me of early today on the news when Rann was attacking some of the leadership contenders for opposing his authoritarian bikie bill and I thought to myself “oh, thats pretty good of them not to agree with that populist anti-human rights police state clap-trap”.
    Just to demonstrate that I am not blanketly hostile to the ALP (and I will admit things have improved since Howard) I will commend them for this tobacco policy as a genuine step in the right direction – that is if they actually follow through and don’t water it down once industry gets involved like they did with the ETS and with GroceryWatch (the second of which I don’t really care about).
    My line for tobacco is similar to my line on ganga as discussed a few days ago – legalized but only through highy taxed government monopoly stores. In the case of tobacco higher taxation would probably increase the sale of blackmarket tobacco (or “chop-chop” in street lingo I believe) but would still lower overall consumption, which is the primary consideration – with discouraging organized crime (without being a totalitarian-esque Rann) and raising tax as secondary motivations for drug policy.

  606. 606
    Ozymandias
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:08 am | Permalink

    From today’s OO editorial, headed “Looking like losers”:

    MARTIN Hamilton-Smith was a lame duck the moment he used what turned out to be faked documents

    In assuming the faked Scientology documents were real and that they gave him a lethal weapon against the government the Opposition Leader made a mistake of Turnbull-esque proportions, which will follow him for the rest of his political career

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25737091-16382,00.html

    By implication, the OO has also given up on Malcolm Terminal.

  607. 607
    The Heysen Molotov
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:17 am | Permalink

    Frank says:

    Oh I forgot, it is evil for the ALP to preference Family First, yet the Greens have no qualms of accepting the Libs primary vote.

    So Frank would you be satisfied if on election day the Greens how-to-vote-cards hand-out-volunteers looked up and down at every arriving person and if they look conservative say “I’m sorry sir/madam but I cannot give you a how-to-vote-card as we have qualms with accepting the Libs primary vote so please vote for someone else”? Furthermore Frank how would you respond if it was discovered that a serial infanticide maniac once voted for the ALP? You would point out that this does not mean the ALP endorses infanticide and that it is not considering changing its policies on the murder of children. Ditto the Greens and conservative voters. Every party tries to maximize its vote and this includes getting people of different ideological persuasions to vote for you. A MASSIVE number of ALP voters are ideologically closer to the Greens: Do you have any qualms with accepting their primary vote? So how can you be attacking the Freo Greens on the grounds that some people of different ideological persuasions voted for them?
    Also as has been stated before there is a school of thought spearheaded by some very respected psephologists (I think it was my hero Mr Green of the ABC or possibly our Mr Bowe) that a sizeable number of ALP voters turned to the Greens and Lib voters turned to the ALP but that this phenomonon was camouflaged because they both occured at similar rates.

    Well I think I successfully demolished that argument.

    For the record I don’t agree with the Democrats and ALP preferencing FF but there are far worse sins. Also as I’ve said before 1 senator is much closer to the Australia wide support for the Religious Right parties than 0 is and so in a strange way it was almost kind of good for democracy even if the Greens candidate got far more votes (although based on other criteria it was sort of undemocratic).

    Sometimes I wonder if the Greens and their supporters are Closet Liberals.

    I don’t think Frank actually believes this. Could anyone actually believe this? Which begs the question, why did Frank say this? It can’t be just an exaggeration because that is completely wrong at any intensity. The only reason I can think of is that he is intentionally trying to disturb the peace. What do we call it in the blogosphere when people intentionally make stupid comments to cause maximum havoc? Could it start with the letter ‘T’? To play devils advocate though, he did use the disclaimer words “sometimes I wonder”.

  608. 608
    The Heysen Molotov
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:18 am | Permalink

    oh, perhaps Franks words were just a lame joke that just fell flat on its face.

  609. 609
    Ozymandias
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:33 am | Permalink

    And here is Glenn Milne at his… err… best:

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25737024-7583,00.html

    -too much hypocrisy to list in this self-serving, anti-Rudd rant.

  610. 610
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:49 am | Permalink

    The first principle of the journalists' code of ethics states: "Report and interpret honestly, striving for accuracy, fairness and disclosure of all essential facts. Do not suppress relevant available facts, or give distorting emphasis. Do your utmost to give a fair opportunity for reply."

    Indeed Milne, so why push the dubious line,

    The alleged existence of the email rested on two substantial pillars. First the sworn testimony of a senior Treasury official, Godwin Grech, earlier that afternoon before a Senate committee. Grech swore, on balance, that an email existed.

    Grech did not swear anything. Erica Betz read the fake email into the Senate Hansard.

  611. 611
    Bird of paradox
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:53 am | Permalink

    Hmm, looks like I’m the second post in a row to link to the Oz (not that I can be bothered reading the first one). Young Libs bounce on a web poll yet again…

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22073824-5013404,00.html

    What exactly is the point of rigging the result to look like Rudd’s good/average/bad performance goes 73/14/13? It’s not believable. Looks like those kids need to learn a thing or two about tactics and/or the fine art of rigging stuff properly.

  612. 612
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:14 am | Permalink

    I’d love to see Milne’s explanation of this exchange on page E44 of the senate transcript.

    Senator CAMERON—You were asked more than once by Steven Lewis to confirm that correspondence and communication had taken place between the PMO, the Treasury, on the issue of Mr Grant. You denied that, and he persisted, and you again denied that that had taken place. Is that correct?
    Mr Grech—Yes.

  613. 613
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:43 am | Permalink

    I can only assume that Milne did himself an undiagnosed but nasty head injury falling about at the Walkleys a couple of years back, and it’s pushing him over the edge. Today’s

    the PM is showing signs of megalomania, trying to control the media.

    is delusional.

  614. 614
    ltep
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:51 am | Permalink

    I’d love to see Milne’s explanation of this exchange on page E44 of the senate transcript.

    Senator CAMERON—You were asked more than once by Steven Lewis to confirm that correspondence and communication had taken place between the PMO, the Treasury, on the issue of Mr Grant. You denied that, and he persisted, and you again denied that that had taken place. Is that correct?
    Mr Grech—Yes.

    What’s there to explain? Sounds like it’d be pretty standard for journalists to doggedly pursue their sources.

    Besides I thought people here were claiming the entirety of Grech’s testimony was unreliable… if so you can’t seek to use bits of it to attack people you wish to attack and then disclaim anything that might look bad for the Government.

  615. 615
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:54 am | Permalink

    Ah, utegate, about to become and Autralian Story:

    As fate would have it, a crew from the ABC’s Australian Story was in Malcolm Turnbull’s Parliament House office the day Ute-gate backfired.

    The crew had been following Turnbull for some time and was in Canberra on Monday, June 22, for what ostensibly was going to be a week in which the Opposition Leader would make the Government squirm.

    Instead, the ABC has footage of the goings on inside Turnbull’s office as it dawns the email – which linked Kevin Rudd to attempts to help a car dealer, John Grant – is a fake.

    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/pollaxed-turnbull-hangs-on-as-leader–for-now-20090705-d93v.html?page=-1

    This AS will probably break viewership records!

  616. 616
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:58 am | Permalink

    Grech swore, on balance, that an email existed.

    I really love this pearl of wisdom from Milne:

    i swear, on balance, Nessie exists.

    i swear, on balance, God exists,

    i swear, on balance, he’s an idiot.

  617. 617
    Ozymandias
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:59 am | Permalink

    ltep @ 614, perhaps he could explain why Lewis did not report that had Grech “more than once” refused to confirm the contents of the email that Lewis then ran with anyway?

    As I read it, Steve’s point @ 612 was that this was a “relevant available fact” -as per the journalists’ code of ethics, and that not reporting Grech’s denials was “suppressing” this fact.

  618. 618
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:01 am | Permalink

    LTEP, I don’t think that ‘the entirety of Grech’s testimony was unreliable’ but I do think the opposition and News outlets have not given a balanced view of what Gretch did say at the committee.

  619. 619
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:04 am | Permalink

    #599, my understanding is that these are two different indexes.

  620. 620
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:19 am | Permalink

    Peter Brent gets with the program.

  621. 621
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:44 am | Permalink

    It be a different Peter Brent who comes out the other side of that program.

  622. 622
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 8:04 am | Permalink

    I hope Hartigan’s rant played a role in Mumble’s move to more bloggy blogging! I like the idea of H’s inspiring his own demise!

    I think, from the look of The Oz’s front page today, its ed & most journos have truly lost the plot (ie increasing circulation, esp in the under 50s).

  623. 623
    BK
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 8:15 am | Permalink

    What on earth is our Prime Minister doing by fronting the Pope to give the drive to make a saint out of Mary McKillop?

    Is he about to pull off the health budget coup of the century? Once it has been “proven” that praying to Mary McK will fix lung cancer (and, by papal extension, other forms of the disease) he can eliminate all of the comparatively useless radiotherapy, chemotherapy and surgical treatments. All he has to fund will be the cheap, self-administered treatment of prayer!

    What patent mumbo jumbo. It has no place in Australian politics.

  624. 624
    Muskiemp
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 8:25 am | Permalink

    Not once did Milne in that story, point out that Rudd was right and Turnbull was wrong.

  625. 625
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 8:32 am | Permalink

    I think Rudd got caught on the hop by a few nuns who asked him to put in a good word for Mary McK while he was meeting the Pope. No big deal really. Keeps the religious types happy and the rest of us don’t care anyway.

    I agree religion has little place directly in politics, but he is meeting the Pope, how much more religious can you get. So I guess if your talking to the head of a religious group you put in good word for those in your own country.

    I would be more concerned if Rudd, as I suspect Abbott would do, based policy on religious doctrine.

  626. 626
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 8:39 am | Permalink

    I wouldn’t be reading Milne if I were you, no good can come of it. I gave up his nonsense long ago and only ever run across it accidentally.

    In fact if you read any of the Murdoch media you should know what to expect from the papers and from certain writers. You don’t actually have to read these papers. Just choose the topic of the day and you already know how they will write it up.

    In fact Murdcoh could save a lot on printing costs by just putting out a daily single A4 page saying…’these are the issues of the day, you know how we would present it. Thank You. For token balanced story please imagine what George M would write.’

  627. 627
    BK
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 8:46 am | Permalink

    TP @ 626

    Spot on!

  628. 628
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 8:57 am | Permalink

    ust for fun I wrote a reply to Mile’s article. I publish it here because it probably won’t make the cut over at News:

    Gee Glen, your hatred of Rudd is palpable.

    Lewis had the emails for days and then gave Rudd's office 2 whole hours to deny the story! How generous!

    The first edition of the Telegraph was out there with a wrong story all the next day. Shoppers at checkouts and in newsagencies saw the screaming banner headlines... which were wrong.

    I suppose it was also great journalistic ethics to dummy-up the text of the email to make it look genuine, except that the recipient was listed in the Telegraph's mock-up as "Godwin GRANT". In your article above you admit that Lewis had nothing more than the text of the email, now known to be faked. Yet the Telegraph, to make the "email" look genuine, faked the From and To fields (presumably to convince the casual reader they had the full originals, which they didn't) and didn't even manage to get the most important aspect of them - the addressee - correct! Brilliant journalism.

    This is not so much a case of disclosing "all essential facts" as it is of making up one too many.

    Another point: Godwin Grech's testimony was not "sworn" evidence. The transcript discloses no oath being taken at any point on the Friday, and no mention of Grech being already sworn from earlier appearances. Another example of where Lewis's (and your) "striving for accuracy" has failed miserably.

    All in all let us not forget the story was wrong, and in Lewis's haste to print a tissue of lies that disclosed (if true) a potential political hanging offence for the leader of the government in Australia, the Telegraph should have erred on the side of caution. In its mad scramble to get the goods on Rudd it breached just about every journalistic ethic possible: a faked email, not enough time given for the denial, followed by a faked presentation of that faked email, compounded by a misrepresentation as to the legal status of the main witness's evidence. Not a bad effort for one article, eh?

    I am also reminded of how you wrote in 2007 that Rudd was thrown out of Scores for unruly behavior. That little furphy only lasted for the first edition of the next day's Sunday Telegraph too. It was changed in the on-line edition before 11am, but remained in print all day long, uncorrected for the punters to read. Even today you echaracterised that disproved allegation - which you yourself retracted - as "kinda, maybe". You still cling to an untrue story, by insinuation. Luckily, that drama had no effect on Rudd's popularity at the time except to increase it, but if this is the standard of journalistic ethics at News Ltd, then no wonder it is losing readership. Sick and tired of the stench of continual beat-ups, this is a rare case of the ship deserting the rats.

    Yes, I stole that last phrase from a fellow PB’er.

  629. 629
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 9:17 am | Permalink

    Just listening to a Liberal Party wonk on Sydney ABC Radio:

    "... and isn't it wonderful that the Liberal Party has so much potential leadership talent? There's Tony Abbott, and look at Joe Hockey. Joe's been one of the start performers of the past week..."

    It’s worse than I thought. Their delusion is terminal.

  630. 630
    BK
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 9:32 am | Permalink

    BB @ 628
    Even by your own high standards – it’s a ripper!

  631. 631
    TCEPSER
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 9:42 am | Permalink

    Bushfire Bill,
    If only you could make the headlines and shopfront posters for a day!
    The Libs and MSM have been using the same tactics for decades (centuries?), but wouldn’t you have thought that with the volume and variety of media these days, and the number of ‘investigative journalists’ competing for influence and reputation, that there would be some who would be keen to actually seek out the facts – and disseminate them? Perhaps Marilyn Parker could be considered an exception.

  632. 632
    ltep
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 9:43 am | Permalink

    Godwin Grech's testimony was not "sworn" evidence. The transcript discloses no oath being taken at any point on the Friday, and no mention of Grech being already sworn from earlier appearances.

    While that’s definitely right, the fact that there are penalties available for any witness who provides false or misleading evidence makes the ’swearing in’ of witnesses unnecessary. So while the use of the words ’sworn evidence’ is annoying and factually incorrect it’s not really too far from the actual situation.

    In another area, reading this from Kerry-Anne Walsh today… something seems odd about it:

    The Greens are gearing up for an assault on House of Representatives and Senate seats, with polls giving them the sort of popularity Malcolm Turnbull can only dream about

    Given that they don’t poll the popularity of minor party leaders and the Greens are polling subsantially lower on primary votes than the Liberal Party (although above The Nationals) I don’t really know what she’s basing this on. I doubt Malcolm Turnbull is laying awake dreaming of polling a primary figure in the low teens.

  633. 633
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 9:56 am | Permalink

    Milne once again refers to Grech’s “sworn testimony”. I spoke to the secretary of the Senate Economics Committee this morning and he confirms that no oaths were administered at that meeting, not at any other meeting he can recall. The only legal sanction on committee witnesses is the possibility of being prosecuted for contempt, which to the secretary’s recollection has never happened.

  634. 634
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 10:03 am | Permalink

    Are we out of touch with reality? i dont think so, as we are the reality.

    This is one confused journo echoing his master’s voice, hoping, just hoping, that we are not as mean as we blog.

    Bloggers’ rage show they’re out of touch with reality - IF you’ve ever wondered how to fire up the folk who inhabit the blogosphere, you got an unambiguous answer last week—insult them.

    It worked a treat for the boss of News Limited, John Hartigan. In a speech to the National Press Club he said bloggers produced “something of such limited intellectual value as to be barely discernible from massive ignorance”. For good measure he added that the blogosphere was “all eyeballs and no insight”. Many blogs and a large number of comment sites “specialise in political extremism and personal vilification”.

    This will be a critical test. The blogosphere is already alive with cries of outrage at the mere thought of paid sites with the strongest message being “I refuse to pay”.

    I am sure many of the people saying this mean it, but the blog loudmouths are not the entire market. Far from it, in fact. Those who regularly scan blogs on media industry commentary sites will quickly see that relatively few people repeatedly push their own barrows on a large number of outlets. They make a lot of noise but contribute very little other than their obsessions.

    http://tinyurl.com/poddkv

  635. 635
    Andrew
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 10:08 am | Permalink

    love to see hacks like Milne and Lewis thrashing around, trying to salvage their tarnished image. If there main defence, their reliance on Grech’s testimony, had any validity at all, they would have accurately reported his hesitancy and uncertainty. He had more qualifications than a graduation ceremony.

    and the deadline stuff is bulldust- sending it to Rudd 4pm Friday was designed specifically to not allow time to respond before the first edition

  636. 636
    Andrew
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 10:10 am | Permalink

    and good to see Hartigan attacking bloggers- we’re getting to them!!!

  637. 637
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 10:33 am | Permalink

    Can’t understand why the MSM is worrying about a handful of blogs that makes stuff all difference to their business. And by getting into a slanging match with blogs it is only the blogs that will benefit, from increased product awareness. Also engaging the blogs also helps give them legitimacy since they must be important to annoy the big boys.

    In effect News Ltd and others getting stuck into the blogs is only providing free advertising. You would think the smartest thing for them to do is ignore blogs.

  638. 638
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 10:56 am | Permalink

    Can’t understand why the MSM is worrying about a handful of blogs that makes stuff all difference to their business

    Clearly they think it does, or will given time

  639. 639
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 10:58 am | Permalink

    Australia's annual rate of inflation has slowed to a seven-year low as the downturn in the economy restrains price rises, a private-sector survey shows.

    The TD-Securities/Melbourne Institute inflation gauge rose 0.4 per cent in June, following a 0.3 per cent fall in May and no change in April.

    In the 12 months to June, the inflation gauge rose by 1.4 per cent - the lowest annual rate since the start of the series in mid-2002.

    The annual rate in May was 1.5 per cent.

    Annual inflation, as measured by the gauge, has been below the lower end of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) two to three per cent target range for inflation for the second consecutive month.

    http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-business/inflation-at-sevenyear-low-says-survey-20090706-d9ow.html

  640. 640
    Hugo
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 11:18 am | Permalink

    Finns (634) – yes I saw that article, and thought it was a typically lazy piece of writing. Day makes these broad statements about blogs without providing a single example – surely when they are all so “highly trained” they might at least pay lip service to this basic principle of writing – don’t “tell” us what people are saying on blogs, “show” us.

    Having said all that, I think we here in blogland need to show a little less hubris. Neither the MSM or the blogs have a monopoly on the truth, and indeed I would argue that both work best in relation to the other. The MSM is able to fund investigative journalism, and while they sometimes get things wrong (see utegate), without that work done, we in blogland are just shouting into a vacuum. On the other hand, the MSM needs to be a little less precious and accept the real-time criticism that comes from the bloggers.

  641. 641
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 11:30 am | Permalink

    Dario I think things would be more ideal if inflation was sitting around the 2% mark, the lower end of the RBA’s target. It would make unemployment a little less of a problem.

  642. 642
    Socrates
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 11:46 am | Permalink

    A leading inflation indicator sugests inflation is lower than forecast, giving the RBA scope for further rate cuts if required. So if the economy keeps recovering there is no inflation threat; if not they can drop interest rates further till it does recover. Presto, recovery assured! Hard to think of any way Turnbull can talk this one into a negative.
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/06/2617677.htm?section=justin

    But I’m so confused; I thought inflation and interest rates would be higher under Labor? Surely that can’t be wrong – John Howard told us so himself. And he was a former Treasurer.

    Maybe its time for Turnbull to start warning of the dangers of low inflation and interest rates, giving lower incomes to wealthy investors. Its a serious problem if you are trying to buy a new Merc.

  643. 643
    Socrates
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 11:48 am | Permalink

    Dario 638 Snap!

    Sorry I missed your post on the same topic. Very good news. Another point too – it proves that the high inflation scare campaign run by opponents of the stimulus was a load of … Liberal Party press releases.

  644. 644
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 11:50 am | Permalink

    True, the band is 2-3%, however at the moment I feel happier with it under the band than above it

    Job ads fell again this month. Hopefully they bottom out soon.

    http://www.news.com.au/business/story/0,27753,25739113-31037,00.html

    JOB advertisements fell for the 14th straight month in June and more than halved over the year, with internet job ads at their lowest point in 10 years, a survey shows.

    The ANZ survey released today found the total number of jobs advertised in newspapers and on the internet fell 6.7 per cent, seasonally adjusted, in June to an average of 127,346 per week.

    This compares to a 0.2 per cent fall in May.

    Total job ads declined by 51.4 per cent over the year.

  645. 645
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 11:52 am | Permalink

    Latest ABS jobs figures due out on Thursday. Fingers crossed that it shows some good numbers.

  646. 646
    Socrates
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 11:52 am | Permalink

    Job adds should start to pick up once major projects funded enter the construction/delivery phase. That should start to happen within 3 to 6 months.

  647. 647
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 11:57 am | Permalink

    At least the rabid right won’t be able to use ‘migrants stealing our jobs’ as a dog whistle this time around. Some good work from George M once again.

    http://www.australianit.news.com.au/story/0,27574,25738678-15306,00.html

    Job slump hits migrants most

    George Megalogenis | July 06, 2009

    AUSTRALIAN-BORN workers have been shielded from the worst of the global recession, as employers have mainly restricted the economy-wide job losses to migrant workers.

    Although unemployment is rising across the board as opportunities vanish, there is a clear divide emerging between the treatment of local and overseas-born workers.

    Australian-born workers dropped 22,000 full-time jobs in the 12 months to May but picked up an extra 74,500 part-time jobs for a net gain of 52,500 positions.

    By contrast, migrant workers lost 37,100 full-time jobs, offset by 21,600 extra part-time jobs for a net loss of 15,500.

  648. 648
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 11:58 am | Permalink

    First the government was spending too much on the stimulus, and now they didn’t spend enough? What the???

    http://www.news.com.au/business/story/0,27753,25738816-462,00.html

  649. 649
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 11:58 am | Permalink

    THE Federal Government is defending its economic stimulus package against reports cash payments to taxpayers have fallen short by nearly $1 billion.

    The Government planned to outlay about $20 billion in direct bonus payments as a way of bolstering the local economy's defence to the global recession.

    But $800 million has not found its way into the pockets of 270,000 taxpayers who failed to meet a June 30 deadline for lodging their annual tax return, an analysis by The Australian Financial Review reveals.

    Competition Policy and Consumer Affairs Minister Craig Emerson says critics of the package can't have it both ways.

    "The criticism we've got is that we have put too much money into this area,'' he told ABC Television.

  650. 650
    ltep
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:02 pm | Permalink

    I like the fact that Glen Milne has dragged up the stinking corpses of Burke-gate, Fake-Dawn-gate and Scores-gate in his article today.

    If the current beat-up is failing… why not try one of the past failed beat-ups?

  651. 651
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:09 pm | Permalink

    MHS – Gorn
    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25739128-12377,00.html

  652. 652
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:11 pm | Permalink

    It’s interesting that Milne protects himself from any correspondence from bloggers. Just how do you contact him?

  653. 653
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:13 pm | Permalink

    Just how do you contact him?

    Phone Liberal Party Headquarters.

  654. 654
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:14 pm | Permalink

    Good one Steve. LOL

  655. 655
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:15 pm | Permalink

    MHS - Gorn

    Took long enough. He’s been a corpse for ages.

  656. 656
    philofsydney
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:20 pm | Permalink

    SA Libs, most inept major party in Australia?

  657. 657
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:22 pm | Permalink

    SA Libs, most inept major party in Australia?

    Only if we close our eyes to the LNP in Queensland.

  658. 658
    Socrates
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:26 pm | Permalink

    Curious they don’t rename it Grech-Gate by now. After all, it is clear there was no scandal in the ute or what it was used for. The question of Grech’s role and his dealings with the opposition and/or News Ltd is far less certain and more of a scandal.

  659. 659
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:27 pm | Permalink

    Look who’s coming to dinner.

    http://www.lnp.org.au/lnp-article/static-content/inaugural-lnp-state-convention-2009/355.html

  660. 660
    William Conroy
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:29 pm | Permalink

    As in any war truth goes first so it is with News Ltd’s war against the labor Govt, ethics went next, followed by integrity, and any other decent standard that Australians hold sacred. Like WWII no actual declaration was made just preemptive strikes. When I saw Milne recently I should have tripped him up but ignoring him made me feel better.

  661. 661
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:32 pm | Permalink

    When I saw Milne recently I should have tripped him up but ignoring him made me feel better.

    What were you doing at Tony Abbott’s office William Conroy?

  662. 662
    Socrates
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:41 pm | Permalink

    GB651 Re MHS standing down in SA, its a very harsh standard to set, when Liberal opposition leaders are forced to resign for merely misleading parliament with fraudulent documents while failing to make any progress on the policy debate with the government. You would certainly hate for that to be a precedent…

  663. 663
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:42 pm | Permalink

    Damn I love sarcasm :D

  664. 664
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:45 pm | Permalink

    Streve 653 – try milneg@theaustralian.com.au

    Did BB get his comment piece in today. It was terrific.

    Milne & Lewis need to be told that no-one saw Grech sworn in. I watched from the beginning and there was no swearing in. Could it have been done prior to the Chairman opening the hearing.

  665. 665
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:48 pm | Permalink

    The Queensland election is still not finalised. The appeal is due to be heard on August 13.

    The Liberal National Party (LNP) will seek affidavits this week from as many as 300 people who say they registered for postal ballot papers to vote in the disputed electorate of Chatsworth but never received them.

    Teams of LNP members worked around the clock over the weekend searching for evidence to substantiate defeated candidate Andrea Caltabiano's challenge of the March 21 state election result.

    Their investigation focused on a list of postal ballot applications in the south-east Brisbane seat, a document provided by the Electoral Commission of Queensland (ECQ) late on Friday afternoon.

    http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/hundreds-robbed-of-chance-to-vote-lnp-20090706-d9ta.html

  666. 666
    philofsydney
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:50 pm | Permalink

    665 – ffs, you’d think they lost the election by one seat the way this is going.

  667. 667
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:52 pm | Permalink

    BH, the secretary of the committee was phoned this morning.

    http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/07/03/reuters-poll-trend-558-442/comment-page-13/#comment-301716

  668. 668
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:56 pm | Permalink

    JOB advertisements fell for the 14th straight month in June and more than halved over the year, with internet job ads at their lowest point in 10 years, a survey shows.

    I wonder how much is down to people who have decided to stay put instead of churning jobs like they might have and businesses putting on hold natural expansion. You would think this would pick up once infrastructure projects get under way. However I gather it is the tourist industry that will be hit worst.

  669. 669
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 12:56 pm | Permalink

    Thanks Steve. Then Milne and Lewis need to be asked what they are basing their statements on.

  670. 670
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:02 pm | Permalink

    I wonder if the Govt expects a shellacking from the MSM near election time so are considering to get into a war with them now so the public will know how to read the papers later.

    It works for the Govt to get into a big fight with News Ltd ad cause them to reveal their colours as it will cause many to ‘filter’ what News Ltd then print.

  671. 671
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:14 pm | Permalink

    Thanks Steve. Then Milne and Lewis need to be asked what they are basing their statements on.

    Hahahahaha. The same sorts of journalistic skills that have served them so well in the past of course! Maybe it’s just that Glen’s been back hard on the bottle again? :D

  672. 672
    ltep
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:14 pm | Permalink

    Thanks Steve. Then Milne and Lewis need to be asked what they are basing their statements on.

    Witnesses are not sworn in because it’s unnecessary. They are well aware that the giving of false or misleading evidence is an offence. The use of ’sworn evidence’ is factually incorrect but it still remains that there is the expectation that evidence given before a committee is honestly given. This means that Turnbull would’ve expected the evidence given by the witness to be as truthful as if given under oath.

  673. 673
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:16 pm | Permalink

    The use of ’sworn evidence’ is factually incorrect

    So these journalists got it wrong? Heaven forbid… they’ve been so reliable until now

  674. 674
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:20 pm | Permalink

    TP – I’ve been thinking along those lines. Newsltd does need to be shown up as deliberately partisan (apart from a couple of journos they allow to be less partisan).

    The voter knows that Newsltd made a big hash of the fake email so the seed is planted that what they read cannot be gospel. May be a good ploy by Rudd & Gillard.

    I think tho that every time something false is written or splurged everywhere then Labor just has to say it is blatantly wrong.

    Take the War graves thing this a.m. – heavy rain over there so how on earth could they move long more quickly. A real beat up but the media is running with it everywhere. Did they go to the people actually in charge of the project. Betcha they didn’t – it would have spoilt their beatup.

    Lagoon School – heard that the Principal has asked for a portable playground cover so that if the school ever did close the cover could be transported to another school.
    Apparently the Principal and school PSA agreed the spend but one parent is complaining. Price ran with it early and hard this a.m. Switched him off – couldn’t be bothered listening to the rant.

  675. 675
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:22 pm | Permalink

    Thomas,

    I highly doubt that the Government needs to paint News as the conservative antagonist of the MSM – the organisation already champions a proud history of slamming Labor during electoral seasons. In this way, the colours of News are well understood.

    The move is likely just retribution for the Tele’s handling of the ute-gate affair, mixed, of course, with the knowledge that the Government has remained extremely popular among voters despite News’ lukewarm response to Rudd and his main policy objectives.

  676. 676
    vera
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:30 pm | Permalink

    From OzPol Tragic’s article @ 615

    As fate would have it, a crew from the ABC’s Australian Story was in Malcolm Turnbull’s Parliament House office the day Ute-gate backfired.
    The crew had been following Turnbull for some time and was in Canberra on Monday, June 22, for what ostensibly was going to be a week in which the Opposition Leader would make the Government squirm.

    Fate my arse, call me cynical but an ABC cheer squad following Turnbull “for some time’ and that time just happens to be the time leading up to and during a fake email scam that was to bring down Rudd sounds a bit suss to me. Hmm just how involved are their ABC in all this? They do employ Newltd scum the likes of Piers and Bolt after all.
    What a shame their Australian Story couldn’t go to script, as a scoop on the downfall of Labor and the rising of their Messiah Malcolm ;)

  677. 677
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:32 pm | Permalink

    Witnesses are not sworn in because it’s unnecessary. They are well aware that the giving of false or misleading evidence is an offence. The use of ’sworn evidence’ is factually incorrect but it still remains that there is the expectation that evidence given before a committee is honestly given. This means that Turnbull would’ve expected the evidence given by the witness to be as truthful as if given under oath.

    LTEP, of course that’s true. Witnesses are under a legal obligation to tell the truth. But Turnbull is an experienced lawyer and he should know meaning of “sworn testimony” and “under oath”. Neither of those is an accurate description of Grech’s evidence. He keeps saying this because he thinks it will give what Grech said more credibility. “Ooooh he was Under Oath so he must have been telling the truth!” I’m not sure whether News Ltd is copying him or he is copying them. In any case, they’re all wrong.

  678. 678
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:34 pm | Permalink

    Any part of the MSM that wishes to be partisan needs to, in order to be effective, be very subtle about it, but that takes a lot of time to have effect, if at all.

    Issues and events that polarise often do it down partisan leanings (an assumption) so if a person was leaning to Labor before say, a smear was put into effect, they would probably take the side of Labor on it. Howard knew this type of thing and is why he tried so hard to get into a fight with Rudd and why Rudd avoided it at all costs.

    The alternative to subtle is to go down the FakeNews path but the more you do that the more you lose credibility and thus defeat your intention.

  679. 679
    vera
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:39 pm | Permalink

    While I’m in an ABC bashing mood (such fun) their radio 702 news last night reported that the Opposition were going to keep an eye on Rudd’s world trip to see if the taxpayer were getting value for their money, then they had Julie Bishop repeating the same statement.
    What I want to know Julie is what value did the taxpayer get from your’s and Turnbull’s trip to Afghanastan last week?

  680. 680
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:39 pm | Permalink

    In this way, the colours of News are well understood

    Understood by those who follow politics, but not by the switched off masses I feel. If this will get more of those folk educated to the News Ltd form then it will insulate the Government to some degree in the future.

  681. 681
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:40 pm | Permalink

    What I want to know Julie is what value did the taxpayer get from your’s and Turnbull’s trip to Afghanastan last week?

    Hypocrisy, thy name is Liberal

  682. 682
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:42 pm | Permalink

    Neither the MSM or the blogs have a monopoly on the truth

    #640, Hugo, my optometrist told me once that truth, like contact lenses, are in the eyes of the beholder, you see whatever you like to see. Wise man, my opto.

  683. 683
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:45 pm | Permalink

    TP – Love your ‘FakeNews’ title. Goes well with ‘FauxNews’ in the US.

    Vera – I heard that last night and said the same thing ‘what value from your trip, Julie’.
    Turnbull looked miserable the whole time and she was doing her vamping bit to the guys over there.

    Dario is spot on – the non-pollie tragics will take the words ‘fake news reporting’ and file them away subconsciously.

  684. 684
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:45 pm | Permalink

    I just checked. Amazingly my post to Milne’s blog made it. It is one of many along the same lines. Good on youse, Bloggers!

    Another poster here wrote:

    I like the fact that Glen Milne has dragged up the stinking corpses of Burke-gate, Fake-Dawn-gate and Scores-gate in his article today.

    This is why these “scandals” were dreamed up earlier on. If the inventors of them didn’t get the immediate hit in the polls they were after, then the consolation prize is being able to list them much later in a litany of supposed “affairs” that serve to reinforce the idea that the object of the campaign is gaffe or scandal-prone, despite the fact that none of the actual incidents amounted to anything in themselves. It seems that in journalistic muck-raking lore, “The whole is greater than the sum of its parts.” Or, to use another well-known saying, “Where there’s smoke there’s fire.” QED…

    Milne and others are still attempting to keep Utegate alive. Some take the direct approach: they’re still poring over factoids, ignoring inconvenient rebuttals and, if necessary, actual evidence (or worse, making it up). The “sworn evidence” furphy is an example of ignoring facts. The fake dummy-up of the text of the email with MS Office lookalike headers to make it more convincing to the casual reader is an example of “making it up.”

    But Milne fancies himself as more subtle than that. He is always on about “paradigms” and “themes” when he is interviewed or on Insiders. Glen regards his job as that of the more intellectual journalist. Not for Glen the argey-bargey of directly faked evidence, or misleading graphics (although he will resort to these when there’s nothing else). Glen always goes for the meta-issue, the intellectual angle. Utegate is not about a dodgy deal done between a rich PM who is still so cheap and petty that he wants everything on the nod no matter the source (the “Christian Kerr Hypothesis”), and who destroyed emails and misled Parliament in order to hide the evidence (the “Raving Wingnut On Pies’ Blog Hypothesis”). No, Glen takes the indirect path, and we see articles like this one (and it is not the only article on this thesis that Milne has written in recent days) asserting that Rudd is Kim Il Jong, or Josef Stalin or Hitler and that the SFP is none other than Rudd’s personal Secret Police Force. See? A $5,000 ute morphs into The Clash Of Cultures.

    Milne is famous for saying that the original gaffe or misdemeanour is not what he’s after, it’s the cover-up that Mr. Milne is interested in. By taking this line Milne both shows that he is a cut abouve the hack reporters who peddle fakes around as the genuine article and generally get their hands dirty to write a story. It betrays Glen’s wishful striving to align himself with the vaulted Woodward & Bernstein and the Ben Bradley school of journalism, a clear cut above his grubby colleagues wearing out shoe leather at the Daily Telegraph.

    One can only come to the conclusion that Milne is so far up himself that he hasn’t got too far to go before his ar$ehole turns up for breakfast. Milne has always fancied himself as a player, an important ikon, almost an institution in Australian journalism, head and shoulders above the braying pack of hyenas that everybody else in News Ltd belongs to. Yet what are his main claims to fame?

    He ratted on his patron, Peter Costello in 2006, by breaking the Walletgate story too soon, cruelling his master’s chances of taking over in decent time for the election. I bet that went down well with Peter, Glen. His other big stories – Long Tan, Scores, Brian Burke etc. – did nothing to Rudd except to enhance his popularity. And Glen’s very biggest story was about himself: how he, seven-eighths tanked on Walkley Awards plonk, made an utter and complete fool of himself and the awards ceremony by drunkenly ascending the stage, taking a swing at Stephen Mayne, complete with stained penguin suit, shirt tails hanging out around his girthload of booze and security guards with headsets hauling him struggling off the stage. To illustrate his view of himself, the little Napoleon believed he was of such stature that he went for election as President of the Press Club, and got voted down by his fellow professionals, about 80% of whom are News Ltd journalists.. his own colleagues! You’d think Glen would have received he message by now, loud and clear, wouldn’t you? But no, he persists. Glen Milne is his own best obsession.

    The man clearly cannot take it anymore. The disease seems terminal. He writes about ethics and fairness, balance and facts, while at the same time, in the very same article he perpetuates “scandals” that have been either consigned to the “Disproved”, the “Don’t Care” or (worse for Glen) the “Don’t Call Me Glen, I’ll Call You” baskets. I hate to put it this way but Glen’s malady is the classic “Small Man Syndrome”. He is perpetually hard done by. Only Glen can see the truth. Only Glen has the intellect to write the Big Story. Yet he muffs it every time… every time.

    Poor bugger, I’d almost feel sorry for him if he wsn’t such a poisoned little dwarf.

  685. 685
    Socrates
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:46 pm | Permalink

    Also re the job adds, people should remember that the second last figure only saw unemployment ries because the participation rate rose. If the markets continue to recover and retirees investment incomes improve, that will revert to the previous situation, bringing the number of persons looking for work down.

  686. 686
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 1:47 pm | Permalink

    LP has got some good bits on the media stoush and Milne. Fun reading for us.

  687. 687
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:02 pm | Permalink

    I always find PB and Possum much better and more balanced reading than LP, which is mostly rant, IMHO.

  688. 688
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:07 pm | Permalink

    You are right Psephos but it is interesting to read that others are getting stuck into Hartigan et al as well. And not before time I say.

    Good win for you and the Demons on Saturday – glad they did it for Jim S. Tadhg Kenneally will be upset because Jim was his inspiration for playing AFL.

  689. 689
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:21 pm | Permalink

    Yes it was a fine win, though it does raise the question of why they can’t play like that all the time. Stynes is a terrific guy, I met him once, and he was doing great things for the MFC, so it’s all very sad.

  690. 690
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:25 pm | Permalink

    radio 702 news last night reported that the Opposition were going to keep an eye on Rudd’s world trip to see if the taxpayer were getting value for their money, then they had Julie Bishop repeating the same statement.

    Can’t help themselves. It will be seen as more trivial carping but I guess it is something to say when you have nothing to say.

  691. 691
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:28 pm | Permalink

    I see Turnbull is in Bunbury campaigning – according to his Twitter Posts:

    # TurnbullMalcolmthese changes will severly disadvantage rural and regional students ability to access higher education.5 minutes ago from TwitterBerry

    #
    Malcolm Turnbull
    TurnbullMalcolmin Bunbury WA - just finished speaking to hundreds of students, parents and teachers about Labor's proposed changes to youth allowance....7 minutes ago from TwitterBerry

  692. 692
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:34 pm | Permalink

    Wonder if he told the truth Frank. Gillard says he is spouting wrong information on it.

  693. 693
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:35 pm | Permalink

    I hope the infrastructure spending is ready to go because by the look of this graph it is going to be needed very soon.

    http://petermartin.blogspot.com/2009/07/if-job-ads-count-means-anything.html

  694. 694
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:36 pm | Permalink

    It really is quite funny. The editor of the News Ltd has dismissed politics blogs as basically irrelevant but all he’s achieved is to draw attention to sites like PB and the musings of the good folk who post here. It pleases me greatly to know that PB must now be essential reading for the clones at News.Ltd..and the sniggering behind Milne’s back must be increasing in volume.

    Two top posts today from you Bill. Keep up the excellent standard mate. Your words are being read and appreciated by many journalists across the political spectrum.

  695. 695
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:36 pm | Permalink

    Wonder if he told the truth Frank. Gillard says he is spouting wrong information on it.

    Well here is the story from “their ABC”.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/06/2618033.htm

  696. 696
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:41 pm | Permalink

    I don’t suppose anyone speaks Indonesian, or knows anyone who does? I am being driven mad by the Indonesian Election Commission website.

  697. 697
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:52 pm | Permalink

    Try your local High School Psephos – might be a source there.

    Frank – Julia G answered quite a few questions on the student gap year in QT and explained it fully but still the Libs get the story wrong, intentionally.

  698. 698
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:53 pm | Permalink

    Bernard in Crikey today

    News Ltd contributed $11,000 to the NSW Liberals in November 2007 without an AEC disclosure, although the NSW Liberals peculiarly list it as a donation when, according to News Ltd, it was for a consideration (meaning, it should have been categorised other than as a donation).

    Did they give any to the ALP I wonder?

  699. 699
    Andrew
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 2:53 pm | Permalink

    BB another great post, as usual. Maybe they should replace Milne with you. Now THAT would make news ltd worth reading!! Cant help but read the sense of panic in his articles- he is becoming less relevant by the day, particularly as he hasnt got friends in govt to feed him stories

  700. 700
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:06 pm | Permalink

    he hasnt got friends in govt to feed him stories

    … which is the key to News Ltd’s existential fury about Rudd. The Australian used to be called the Government Gazette here – The Court Circular would have been even more apt. They saw themselves as *part* of the government, and in a sense they were. Now they are out in the cold, forced to rummage in rubbish bins like everyone else, and they do not like it.

  701. 701
    vera
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:11 pm | Permalink

    I wonder what the Essential poll will be this afternoon? If it stays about the same Speers will be telling us that Turnbull has recovered from the faked email affair and is back on track to win the next election, One Term Rudd might even get another run ;)

  702. 702
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:12 pm | Permalink

    Hasn’t there also been a noticeable outcry against Murdoch media in the US lately. The liberal media don’t seem as frightened of Murdoch’s power as they used to be or am I imagining that.

    His loss of power over govt. would be driving him insane and the ranting will get worse. Only 18 months for them to turn the Lib ship around and the 3 polls last week all saying the same thing must have been an awful shock.

  703. 703
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:17 pm | Permalink

    Seeing the orcs lose government in both the US and Aust must have been very annoying for the Dark Lord. But it was more personal for Saruman Mitchell at Isengard (The Australian), since he has to answer to the Dark Lord’s wrath.

  704. 704
    Andrew
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:17 pm | Permalink

    i may even bother with Lewis’s justification for his poor journalism if he could answer one question- When did he first learn of the email?? Methinks it wasnt Friday afternoon…

  705. 705
    dogma
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:22 pm | Permalink

    BB mention Milne as a Carl Bernstein wannabe, here is some quotes from Carl Bernstein on journalism.

    The failures of the press have contributed immensely to the emergence of a talk-show nation, in which public discourse is reduced to ranting and raving and posturing. We now have a mainstream press whose news agenda is increasingly influenced by this netherworld.
    The greatest felony in the news business today is to be behind, or to miss a big story. So speed and quantity substitute for thoroughness and quality, for accuracy and context.
    The pressure to compete, the fear somebody else will make the splash first, creates a frenzied environment in which a blizzard of information is presented and serious questions may not be raised.
    The lowest form of popular culture—lack of information, misinformation, disinformation, and a contempt for the truth or the reality of most people’s lives—has overrun real journalism.
    Today, ordinary Americans are being stuffed with garbage.

    http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Carl_Bernstein

    Milne can throw an air punch but it can’t connect.

  706. 706
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:23 pm | Permalink

    And the other question – did he know that Turnbull and Abetz had spoken with Grech during the week (if that is the case). Who gave him the email.

    Psephos – thought I read somewhere that Mitchell is in a spot of bother with the Dark Lord. Perhaps Mitchell isn’t tough enough on Kev lol.

  707. 707
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:30 pm | Permalink

    The Dark Lord can’t abide underlings who let themselves be defeated, let alone by inconsequential hobbits like Ruddo and Swanno.
    “You have failed me for the last time” (Darth Vader theme: dum-dum-dum, dum-de-dah!)

  708. 708
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:33 pm | Permalink

    Vera – OH and I were just talking about Essential poll before your comment. Will be an interesting one – wonder if they polled best Lib leader again (HOckey, Costello, Abbott).

    Close win yesterday but I was happy. Going to make the trip to SCG to see the last match to say goodbye to Mickey O – can’t miss that one.

  709. 709
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:42 pm | Permalink

    The Dark Lord can’t abide underlings who let themselves be defeated, let alone by inconsequential hobbits like Ruddo and Swanno.
    “You have failed me for the last time” (Darth Vader theme: dum-dum-dum, dum-de-dah!)

    Impressive. Most impressive.

  710. 710
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:43 pm | Permalink

    What, that I can mix up LOTR and Star Wars, or that I can hum the Darth Vader theme?

  711. 711
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:44 pm | Permalink

    I don’t suppose anyone speaks Indonesian, or knows anyone who does? I am being driven mad by the Indonesian Election Commission website.

    Herr Doktor, happy to assist :grin:

  712. 712
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:48 pm | Permalink

    Finns, you speak Indonesian?

  713. 713
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:49 pm | Permalink

    Thanks so much to the sensationalist media. They desperately wanted swine flu to be a big story, well now they’ve managed to panic the population nicely…

    http://www.smh.com.au/national/flu-surge-at-nsw-hospitals-20090706-da21.html

    A large increase in the number of people presenting to NSW hospitals with flu-like symptoms has forced the state government to make hundreds of extra beds available.

    The number of confirmed swine flu cases in NSW has reached 1446, with western Sydney being particularly hard hit.

    To cope with a 17-fold increase in people with flu symptoms - swine or seasonal - compared to the same period last year, 550 extra beds would be made available, NSW Health Minister John Della Bosca told reporters today.

  714. 714
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:49 pm | Permalink

    What, that I can mix up LOTR and Star Wars, or that I can hum the Darth Vader theme?

    Well, both. Was just giving my favourite Darth quote :)

  715. 715
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:50 pm | Permalink

    Adam, yes, I do. BTw: Doktor is Indonesian.

  716. 716
    William Conroy
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:53 pm | Permalink

    Steve @ 661 you have cut me to the quick, flabbered my gast in fact, visit “the Mad Monks office” whilst we both might profess to be Christians, I would rather commit adultery than go near there, shame on you. I also am partial to the new term “Ltd News” to define Milne’s employers.

  717. 717
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:55 pm | Permalink

    Ltd News

    :-)

  718. 718
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:55 pm | Permalink

    Well, we learn something new every day.

    OK, what I am trying to do is navigate this website:
    http://www.kpu.go.id/
    to find the *detailed* results of the April legislative (DPR) election. I have the national figures and the names of the members elected. I want the results at constituency level. I know they’re in there somewhere, because I found the equivalent figures in 2004. But the site is such a maze, with many broken links, that without being able to read Bahasa I can’t find anything. This is a sample from 2004 of what I’m looking for
    http://psephos.adam-carr.net/countries/i/indonesia/indonesia200442.txt

  719. 719
    ruawake
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 3:58 pm | Permalink

    Finns has a babel fish gene? :)

  720. 720
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:03 pm | Permalink

    Daily Tele Watch.

    Brilliant front page journalism from Ltd. News, upholder of the Ethical Flame and Torchbearer For Honesty and Relevance:

    The out-of-control life of Jodi
    JUST when she thought it could not get any worse starlet Jodi Gordon's career has gone into free fall following allegations she paid for private lap dances in a nightclub.

    Bird attacked by drunk women
    11:10am: GREG Bird was helping a friend's drunk girlfriend out of a nightclub when two intoxicated women started attacking him, his lawyer has told a Sydney court.

    Eerie shadow a real-life Jackson thriller?
    IS THIS eerie shadow recorded during a CNN special tribute to Michael Jackson's life the restless soul of the King of Pop? Thousands of fans are already convinced it is.

    Biggest fan: Sydney's Jackson does the groomwalk
    Rant: Politician calls Jackson a Paedophile

    Woman killed man after tossing cheese balls
    A FEMALE driver high on drugs and alcohol drove into a pedestrian, killing him, after he threw cheese crisps at her car, a Sydney court has been told.
    Teen sells nude pics of his mum online

    Thank God for Harto’s Boys.

  721. 721
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:06 pm | Permalink

    Adam, i will see what i can do. The website looks like a dog’s breakfast. cheers. If i find it, i will ask William to pass you my email.

  722. 722
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    To be fair, BB, all newspaper websites seem to put their trash in the shop-window, as it were. The Age is currently leading with “Woman raped on couch” and “Hey, Hey co-creator denies sex assault.”

  723. 723
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:12 pm | Permalink

    That’s very hominid of you, Finns. I will try to be less abusive of you in future.

  724. 724
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    To be fair, BB, all newspaper websites seem to put their trash in the shop-window, as it were.

    Yes, but if you want to hold your organization up as a bastion of free speech, relevance and truth, you have to take the rough with the smooth.

    The DT is the absolute worst in Australia, followed closely by… well… the rest of them.

    Only the OO tries to keep its hand clean from trashy sub-celebrity gossip, but instead replaces it with rants like Milne’s today. I see he has stopped publishing the anti-Glen comments and is now only publishing the “Wow Glen. What courage! You tell it like it is” botherers.

    Feeds his trumped-up self-importance I s’pose.

  725. 725
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:23 pm | Permalink

    Herr Doktor,

    Many a tear has to fall
    But it's all in the game
    All in the wonderful game
    That we know as bloggin'

  726. 726
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:25 pm | Permalink

    Meanwhile the Most Popular at “THeir ABC” are:

    # Sailors embroiled in sex game scandal
    # Federer edges Roddick in epic final
    # Navy 'won't tolerate' sailor sex contests
    # Reporter feels mob's hate in the Holy City
    # MI6 spy chief's wife blows cover on Facebook
    # Umpire killed by cricket ball
    # Zoo evacuated after mass chimp break-out
    # 'Hero' shot in groin in Sydney hold-up
    # 'We have a serial killer': US town gets armed
    # Sydney man dies with swine flu
    # After Black Saturday, Kinglake struggles in silence
    # I was attacked by women: Greg Bird

  727. 727
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:30 pm | Permalink

    That’s Raya Tuhan Doktor to you

  728. 728
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:31 pm | Permalink

    It really is quite funny. The editor of the News Ltd has dismissed politics blogs as basically irrelevant but all he’s achieved is to draw attention to sites like PB and the musings of the good folk who post here. It pleases me greatly to know that PB must now be essential reading for the clones at News.Ltd. and the sniggering behind Milne’s back must be increasing in volume.

    Two top posts today from you Bill. Keep up the excellent standard mate. Your words are being read and appreciated by many journalists across the political spectrum.

  729. 729
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:36 pm | Permalink

    No, that would be Tuan Besar Doktor Adam.

  730. 730
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:40 pm | Permalink

    Whatever you say, you get the idea.

  731. 731
    philofsydney
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:41 pm | Permalink

    Killed by a cricket ball. That’s terrible.

  732. 732
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:42 pm | Permalink

    The only things I learned to say in Indonesia were Terimakasi and Salaam Aliyekum, which got me by.

  733. 733
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:43 pm | Permalink

    The preferred leader for the Libs is a newie called S Else according to Essential Polls.

    Anybody know who this S Else is?

  734. 734
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:43 pm | Permalink

    Oh, and “Why did you become a bloody taxi driver if you don’t know your way around Jakarta, you moron!” I said that a lot.

  735. 735
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:47 pm | Permalink

    Gag me with a spoon! I just got it!

    “Settling theold scores” is Milne’s title. “Scores”… get it? Milne thinks Rudd s after him for “Scoresgate”.

    Very likely correct, actually, when you think about it. It was a nothing story embellished with a little nasty innuendo that Rudd had drunkenly interfered with one of the hostesses (which accusation was retracted the morning of its publication, but not before 200,000 copies of the sunday Tele had gone out and not before Milne repeated it – against Cassidy’s specific advice – on Insiders). No wonder Rudd was cranky. I’d have been too.

    And then there’s Burkegate…

  736. 736
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:48 pm | Permalink

    Essential Research: 59-41.

  737. 737
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:50 pm | Permalink

    Psephos @ 710

    What, that I can mix up LOTR and Star Wars, or that I can hum the Darth Vader theme?

    If you’re going to mix your leitmotivs like that, shouldn’t you add Siegfried’s funeral march: Dah Dumm, Dad Dumm, da da da …usw?

  738. 738
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:53 pm | Permalink

    Tony Abbott wanted as Opposition Leader by 7% of voters. Looks like Milne has backed another winner.

  739. 739
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:54 pm | Permalink

    BH is right. Turnbull is attempting to use Labor’s movement on youth allowance to stir confusion in the electorate.

  740. 740
    Andrew
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:54 pm | Permalink

    sky agenda didnt mention the essential 2PP. dont know why?? interesting that SOMEONE ELSE is now preferred opposition leader behind turnbull and hockey. I think Mr. Else should challenge immediately!!

  741. 741
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:54 pm | Permalink

    It was a nothing story embellished with a little nasty innuendo

    That was a nasty piece of filth in Milne’s story, and it was a lie apparently emanating from somebody in Downer’s office (which is not surprising since it was Downer’s office that denied rendering Habib for torture in Egypt even though US authorities pretty much confirmed that advices were given that this was happening).

  742. 742
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:55 pm | Permalink

    The Liberals most popular choice for leader in the Essential poll is ‘Don’t Know’.

    Don’t Know should call for a leadership spill at the next party room meeting.

  743. 743
    Andrew
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:55 pm | Permalink

    sorry AHEAD of hockey then turnbull

  744. 744
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:58 pm | Permalink

    Nice stats here.

    Just over half (57%) of Coalition voters surveyed think that the Liberal Party has a good team of leaders and 65% of Coalition voters think the Liberal
    Party is divided.
    The most significant shifts for the Liberal Party since we last asked this question in March 2009 are in the area of professional in its approach (-9%),
    out of touch with ordinary people (+6%) and divided (+4%).
    The major differences between the parties are on the attributes of divided (Labor 30%/Liberal 74%), has a good team of leaders (Labor 60%/Liberal 29%) and
    looks after the interests of working families (Labor 61%/Liberal 31%).

  745. 745
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:58 pm | Permalink

    I see the two leading candidates for Oppo Leader are “someone else” and “don’t know.” Sadly, neither of these is willing to run.

    *gone*

  746. 746
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:58 pm | Permalink

    sky agenda didnt mention the essential 2PP. dont know why??

    Why do you think? Hahahahaha

  747. 747
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:58 pm | Permalink

    Andrew, A ticket of Don’t Know with Someone Else as deputy looks like a winning combination.

  748. 748
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:59 pm | Permalink

    Re ER p7, statements describing both major parties. Not happy reading, eh Libs!. Ouch.

    And (p 6) Joe Hockey comes a third to “Someone else” and “Don’t know” in “best person to lead the Opposition”. Oh dear.

  749. 749
    Andrew
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 4:59 pm | Permalink

    Yes Milne seems to have gotten away with the extra bit of filfth he added to the scores story. What a sad sad man

  750. 750
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:00 pm | Permalink

    There are known knowns. known unknowns and unknown unknowns.

    And then there’s Don’t Know.

    Next Party meeting it may be a case of Turnbull pleading, “No! Don’t!”

  751. 751
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:01 pm | Permalink

    Just over half (57%) of Coalition voters surveyed think that the Liberal Party has a good team of leaders

    Yeah, they think they have a good team of leaders but Someone Else & Don’t Know are their preference. Talk about self-delusion.

  752. 752
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:03 pm | Permalink

    The Libs should send their 3 wisemen to Higgins asap and beg Cosssssie to come back.

  753. 753
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:05 pm | Permalink

    I don’t think you can say Milne added it, I think it was sourced through Downer’s office/department as all these piece of filth are. You need to have a ’source’ even if it is a crepe one. A technicality – all they need to do is hear someone make the allegation and bingo they have a source.

  754. 754
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:06 pm | Permalink

    752

    Assuming there are 3 wise men in the Liberal party.

  755. 755
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:07 pm | Permalink

    #754 – we know two. Mr. D Know and Mr. S Else.

  756. 756
    dogma
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:10 pm | Permalink

    Crikey’s having fun with Ltd News, by selling a T-shirt of the infamous Harto’s headline with the wrong spelling. I love it when they take the piss.

    http://www.redbubble.com/people/crikeyshop/t-shirts/3356455-2-reports-of-newpapers-deaths-are-exaggerated?source=cmailer

  757. 757
    dogma
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:12 pm | Permalink

    Tom H,

    I wonder if the people’s preferred opposition leaders, Mr Don’t Know and Mr Someone Else, are big swinging dicks or little swinging dicks. :)

  758. 758
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:13 pm | Permalink

    The voters are way ahead of the Liberals at present. Will promise anything to win votes figures are through the roof.

    In describing the Liberal Party, the statements that resonated most with people are divided (74%), will promise to do anything to win votes (67%)
    and out of touch with ordinary people (62%). Only 29% of people surveyed think that the Liberal Party has a good team of leaders.

  759. 759
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:13 pm | Permalink

    Q. Which of the following do you think would be the best person to be Leader of the Opposition?

    Malcolm Turnbull 13%
    Joe Hockey 17%
    Greg Hunt 1%
    Tony Abbott 7%
    Brendan Nelson 3%
    Julie Bishop 8%
    Someone else 20%
    Don’t know 32%

    So 52% think the next decent leader of the Opposition isn’t yet in the house.

  760. 760
    juliem
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:14 pm | Permalink

    Re 734,

    Oh, and “Why did you become a bloody taxi driver if you don’t know your way around Jakarta, you moron!” I said that a lot.

    Don’t know how Indonesian compares to Thai but we are going to Thailand in December. This phrase above translated into Thai sounds like a good one to learn :grin:

  761. 761
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:14 pm | Permalink

    Not sure whether Milne did get away with it. Rudd’s approval rating went up remember. I don’t think anyone really thought Kevin would be putting a hand up the G-string of a Scores hostess.

    What they don’t realise at Ltd News is that they’re asking the voters to abandon a long-held belief (if a week is a long time in politics, then 30 months is an eternity) that Rudd is their man for the times. It’s going to take more than a couple of dodgy utegate-type stories to dislodge them from that belief. In fact the more they read these beat-ups, with the inevitable bursting of the bubble that follows, I think the more annoyed they will become.

    The very last thing substantially debated in the Howard Parliament was the Liberal Dirt Unit. The election was announced that very afternoon. I can still remember Jason Koutsoukis getting a gong by Gillard as the journo who exposed the Dirt Unit for what it was: a bunch of manically obsessed, over-confident muckrakers trawling through press clippings, from the protective environs of the inner bunkers of ministerial offices.

    Koutsoukis had been the Dirt Unit’s conduit to the outside world. Every Sunday he’d write a column about how they were going to put Rudd on a slab, eviscerate him and feed the guts to the pigs. I used to write to him telling him to lighten up, look outside and take a breath of fresh air: it wasn’t happening like they said it would. Eventually he did (and still owes me a crate of Naxos Citron liquer).

    The moral of the story is that the public believes there is a Dirt Unit, and that it’s in full swing over at Ltd News and Lib HQ. Most of the muck is water off a duck’s back, more so since Utegate fell flat on its face.

    My only gripe was that Rudd should not have tacitly conceded that resignation was mandatory if the email hadn’t been a fake. This is now accepted, and in my view is wrong. He should have argued the substance while he had the chance, as well as rebutting the technical facts. This mistake could come back to haunt him in the future.

  762. 762
    juliem
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:15 pm | Permalink

    759,

    So 52% think the next decent leader of the Opposition isn’t yet in the house.

    Means Labor will be around a fair few number of years yet :grin:

  763. 763
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:17 pm | Permalink

    dogma, Maybe Don’t Know and Someone Else are in fact dickless. We know that the former treasurer was knackerless so big dick v small dick might not be a factor.

  764. 764
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:18 pm | Permalink

    So 52% think the next decent leader of the Opposition isn’t yet in the house.

    Problem is: are the Libs politically mature enough to realise this, or are they going to persist in going for broke?

  765. 765
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:19 pm | Permalink

    Too dominated by its leader Labor 39% Liberals 34%

    Interesting that the public don’t see the Labor govt as just Rudd.

  766. 766
    ruawake
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:23 pm | Permalink

    Problem is: are the Libs politically mature enough to realise this, or are they going to persist in going for broke?

    If Turnbull had the political nous of a gnat he would still be shadow treasurer. He would have been elected leader unopposed by the end of the year.

    Dill. ;)

  767. 767
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:24 pm | Permalink

    Interesting that the public don’t see the Labor govt as just Rudd.

    The Labor front bench has some very strong performers, none more so that Julia. Rudd is quite happy to acknowledge her as a possible Labor leader down the track. Voters like that especially as she is neither a big or small swinging dick.

  768. 768
    Dario
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:24 pm | Permalink

    Interesting that the public don’t see the Labor govt as just Rudd.

    I’m quite surprised by that number actually. Thought it would be much higher.

  769. 769
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:24 pm | Permalink

    The problem for the Friends of the Coalition is that if Rudd had go they will still have face a back up team of Gillard and Tanner with Rudd back to maybe Foreign affairs and Swan to Finance.

  770. 770
    Glen
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:38 pm | Permalink

    The current level of pro-Labor hubris is astounding….just remember how much we laughed at you Laborites in 2003 when Crean was leader and nobody would vote for the ALP that 5 years later the tables would turn…

    I doubt the Labor Right would leave the leadership to Gillard they’ll fight to keep the Left faction out of the top job. Mind you a move to a Left winger would virtually assure a massive swing to the Coalition.

    Labor won not for being left wing but for being as right wing as the Libs.

  771. 771
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:40 pm | Permalink

    Labor won not for being left wing but for being as right wing as the Libs.

    If that’s what you think you should get with the winning team and vote Labor.

  772. 772
    vera
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:42 pm | Permalink

    Pity Costello is going otherwise he and Abbott could work Don’t Know & Someone Else into the old “Who’s on first” skit :) Or are they in it allready?

  773. 773
    Glen
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:45 pm | Permalink

    The Liberals can do centre-right better than the ALP can do centre.
    I’ll stick to the original not the immitation thanks.

    I’m miffed that the Hacks will get Higgins but this happens in the ALP too, nevertheless it is a real shame.

  774. 774
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:45 pm | Permalink

    A right win as the NSW religious right? Hilarious. But keep cheering yourself up like that, Glen. You’ll need that sense of humour at least to 2013.

  775. 775
    vera
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:46 pm | Permalink

    BH, I’m not at all confident that we’ll scrape into the top 8 but our boy O’Keefe is looking on the bright side
    http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-sport/okeefe-hopeful-of-swans-playing-finals-20090706-da6t.html

  776. 776
    Glen
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:48 pm | Permalink

    OzPol if it is anything to you, i dont care for religion personally.

  777. 777
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:51 pm | Permalink

    Glen there was a nice old shambles on Brisbane Ten news tonight. Looks like Federal Tories will be able to campaign as Liberal, National or LNP depending on the feeling in their water. Should be a nice convention up here in a fortnight, they are set to thoroughly confuse their Queensland supporters. The way it is shaping up informal might be the big vote winner on the Tory side of Federal politics in Queensland in the next election.

  778. 778
    ShowsOn
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:52 pm | Permalink

    Fumiest news story background image ever!
    http://img27.imageshack.us/img27/3788/liberalcrack2.jpg

  779. 779
    It's Time
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:55 pm | Permalink

    Sheer wishful thinking, Glen. Gillard is more popular than any of your front benchers. She’ll be the next Prime Minister.

  780. 780
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:55 pm | Permalink

    Oh M’Lady, how can you be so ghastly stupid. It must be the in-breeding.

    'Congrats to Uncle C' – how his wife's Facebook page exposed new MI6 head - Sir John Sawers, who takes up the post in November, found himself at the centre of the embarrassing security row after it was revealed that his wife, Shelley, had posted the sort of information that MI6 operatives are supposed to keep under wraps on her Facebook page. As well as the photos, she had posted details about their children and the location of the flat the couple use in London.

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2009/jul/05/mi6-facebook-sawers-wife-miliband

  781. 781
    William Conroy
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:57 pm | Permalink

    link the essential poll result to Antonys reps calc and you end up with 6 nats 25 libs MT and shrek gone just leaves Abbott and someone else the ultimate deputy leader I really enjoy playing with AG’s calculator

  782. 782
    ruawake
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 5:59 pm | Permalink

    Glen

    The Libs best hope was a one term Govt. They seem to have blown that chance, the next best was to hold their marginal seats and maybe claw a couple back from Labor. They seem to have blown this as well.

    If they lose 10 seats at the next election then 2013 is out of the question. So they are looking at 2016 until they can sit on the Treasury benches at least.

    As Poss has shown in his spiffyness – in 7 years a lot of the spot-welded will have gone to meet their maker.

    The Rabble need to get over “we wuz robbed” and do the hard work to get back into Govt. or they may be looking at five terms in opposition.

  783. 783
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:03 pm | Permalink

    just remember how much we laughed at you Laborites in 2003 when Crean was leader...

    Well that is the point really, it took another 4 years to find an electable leader. The Libs are in the same boat. The Libs would have been laughing just as hard when they saw Mr Crean’s poll figures.

  784. 784
    ShowsOn
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:08 pm | Permalink

    Gillard is more popular than any of your front benchers. She’ll be the next Prime Minister.

    I doubt it. The next PM will be at least 10 years younger than Kevin Rudd.

  785. 785
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:09 pm | Permalink

    I can forgive Crean a lot after the speech he gave to Bush when the joint-sitting took place.

    That took guts.

  786. 786
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:12 pm | Permalink

    Bill, Do you have a link to that speech?

  787. 787
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:14 pm | Permalink

    That is not to say that Crean was a bad leader or operator, just wasn’t popular with people.

  788. 788
    ruawake
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:16 pm | Permalink

    “In his 19 years as an MP, Crean has not spent a single day on the backbench”

    :)

  789. 789
    Kit
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:25 pm | Permalink

    So using the ALP Crean years as an analogy, who’s the Coalition’s K Rudd?

    That person would be:

    a shadow cabinet member
    A good media performer
    knowledgeable
    ambitious
    electable, although relatively unknown

    Any clues?

  790. 790
    Bushfire Bill
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:27 pm | Permalink

    Bill, Do you have a link to that speech?

    No, just my memory.

    Crean’s speech was somewhat ignored in the face of Brown’s interjections and the Lib muscle men herding him out of the chamber.

    Will try to find it…

  791. 791
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:27 pm | Permalink

    789

    Apparently it’s someone else or Don’t Know.

  792. 792
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:27 pm | Permalink

    Steve @ 777 wrote:

    Glen there was a nice old shambles on Brisbane Ten news tonight. Looks like Federal Tories will be able to campaign as Liberal, National or LNP depending on the feeling in their water.

    It had to happen, given some Libs didn’t join the LNP. After almost 30 years of 3 corner brawls, Nats v Libs v Lib rats jumping ship to the Nats … And the Lib civil wars that kept the CM in business for years … And City Nats v Country Nats, Boswell v Barnaby, Katter v everyone, esp the Nats …

    To think we used to think the ALP’s Old Guard, New Guard, Rear Guard, Mud Guard Era was as bad as party factionalism could get!

    At least Lawrie Springborg could keep some party discipline.

    Tom Paine @ 783 wrote:

    Well that is the point really, it took another 4 years to find an electable leader. The Libs are in the same boat. The Libs would have been laughing just as hard when they saw Mr Crean’s poll figures.

    Not really, TP. Malcolm’s are much worse than Crean’s. Qv http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollytics/2009/07/02/how-bad-was-turnbulls-satisfaction-plunge/

  793. 793
    Glen
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:28 pm | Permalink

    Simple…

    Greg Hunt or Bruce Billson (although they both need to raise their profiles)

  794. 794
    steve
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:30 pm | Permalink

    Tom Hawkins, Crean’s speech during bush’s visit is here:

    http://www.australianpolitics.com/news/2003/10/03-10-23b.shtml

  795. 795
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:32 pm | Permalink

    And Turnbull is still banging on on Youth allowance.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/07/06/2618341.htm?site=news

  796. 796
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:32 pm | Permalink

    steve, Thanks my man. Thanks for reminding me of it BB.

  797. 797
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:39 pm | Permalink

    [23/10/2003

    Speech by the Leader of the Opposition, Simon Crean

    Mr President.

    I join most warmly in the Prime Minister's welcome.

    http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2003/10/23/1066631550339.html

    http://books.google.com.au/books?id=kDyR2za2AwYC&pg=RA2-PA304&lpg=RA2-PA304&dq=simon+crean+speech&source=bl&ots=F9ZmzqThh4&sig=dTQle5MwzW61OcUIB7WMkrpb3gw&hl=en&ei=vbVRSompCJGaMdSx2fUP&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=10

  798. 798
    ruawake
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:40 pm | Permalink

    What is this “gap year” thingo?

    I finished school and went to university as did almost everyone I know. What does Turnbull want?

  799. 799
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:43 pm | Permalink

    The yoof vote?

  800. 800
    Frank Calabrese
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:46 pm | Permalink

    The yoof vote?

    The Contiki Crowd who take a year off between finishing Yr 12 and startting Uni – next you’ll see Turnbull campaigning at Schoolies :-)

  801. 801
    OzPol Tragic
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:51 pm | Permalink

    Kit @ 789

    I don’t think the Crean years are a good analogy, because

    1. The current Liberal Party is doing worse than Peacock was during Hawke’s first term – and the Hawke-Keating Era spanned 5 terms and 13 years.

    2. The Crean years followed two terms in Opposition – and the Howard Government spannes 4 terms and 11 years and 8-9 months.

    If the analogy starts from the beginning of Howard’s first term – and there’s no reason why the ALP government shouldn’t last 4-5 terms (I can’t see current LtdNews rags lasting that long in their current form) – you’d have to subtract “shadow cabinet member” and add “and isn’t in parliament yet.”

  802. 802
    Harry "Snapper" Organs
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:52 pm | Permalink

    rua, the gap year thingy is young’uns taking a year to work elsewhere in the world, usually, before beginning tertiary education. Gives them the chance to travel as well. Young bloke I know is doing it this year at the school in Scotland that features as Hogwarts in the Harry Potter films. He works in a junior mentor/tutor/coach role, gets food and lodging and a small weekly stipend.

  803. 803
    Muskiemp
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 6:58 pm | Permalink

    As a 15 year old, I went straight from high school to work then an apprenticeship. No gap year for me :-D

  804. 804
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:02 pm | Permalink

    Thanks for link Vera – luv O’Keefe

    Heard Kieran Gilbert interviewing Arbib this arvo on Agenda. After his spiel that Hartigan is Chairman of LtdNews and part Sky -

    Gilbert “Is it smart for the Prime Minister and Deputy Prime Minister to take swipes at the largest news organisation in the country”.

    Arbit said it was a democracy so they were entitled to have their say then

    Gilbert “But as a political organiser is it smart to do this”.

    What a dill – gave Arbib the opportunity to say Pm & DPM entitled in a democracy to put their point of view in the same way ltdnews is and we now move on.

    An implied threat by Gilbert?

  805. 805
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:02 pm | Permalink

    Oh, and “Why did you become a bloody taxi driver if you don’t know your way around Jakarta, you moron!” I said that a lot.

    Don’t know how Indonesian compares to Thai but we are going to Thailand in December. This phrase above translated into Thai sounds like a good one to learn

    Ah, but Bangkok has quite good mass transit now, the Skytrain and the MRT, so you’re not as dependent on taxis as you are in Jakarta.

  806. 806
    Tom
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:04 pm | Permalink

    Having a gap year allows most of the young’ns to get around Howards draconian attempts to put the cost of Higher ed out of the reach of thw working/middle class. There is no longer the requirement for the parents to support the kids at uni if they don’t the assets test. I.E. Austudy.

    Tom.

  807. 807
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:06 pm | Permalink

    Rua – Turnbull is on about the change in student allowances if the kids take gap years overseas. There will now be a means test on parents’ income – I think over $240,000.

    Apparently kids were moving out of wealthy homes just to get extra allowances while kids of lesser means stayed at home on a lesser allowance because they couldn’t afford to move out.

    Will have to look at ALP site to read exact wording but Gillard has many times said there will be no disadvantage to kids who genuinely are entitled to the allowance.

  808. 808
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:13 pm | Permalink

    Turnbull is defending a loophole which allows the wealthy to rort the system, which Labor is closing. The Young Libs have whipped up a scare campaign about this and alarmed a lot of country families for no reason. In fact most of them will be better off. It’s a typical contemptible Turnbull stunt.

  809. 809
    Tom
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:19 pm | Permalink

    BH, under Howards educationchoices the means test limit was much lower (around 70k ?). All that Labour has done is increased the limit to a more reasonable amount and removed the loophole of being able to take a gap year to avoid the assets test. Previously kids were taking a gap year just so they could afford an education. A gap year doesn’t necessarily mean an overseas vacation, for many it meant working a woolies for a year…

    Tom.

  810. 810
    Tom
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:20 pm | Permalink

    I work in Admin at a Uni so I am quite aware of the problem.

    Tom

  811. 811
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:25 pm | Permalink

    next you’ll see Turnbull campaigning at Schoolies

    those unfortunate kids will have Malcopops thrust upon them by a leering middle aged man who says he just wants to be their friend. :-)

  812. 812
    BH
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:26 pm | Permalink

    Thanks Tom – heard Julia often saying it was not going to make it harder for majority but Libs have still been banging on about it in Parliament and outside.

    Tunrbull needs a few scare or dogwhistling things to get him motivated. Heard him just awhile go carrying on about influx of boatpeople due to Labor being too soft on border protection.

    I hope it won’t resonate with people the way it did for Howard but I guess the Libs think it worked well once so they can get it going again.

  813. 813
    Tom Hawkins
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:29 pm | Permalink

    Tim Bailey made heavy weather of his return to work at Network Ten tonight.
    Two teenage girls lunged at the weatherman on a live cross during Ten's evening news bulletin.

    Bailey was presenting the weather in front of The Australian Girls Choir when the girls, not associated with the choir, jumped out and grabbed him.

    He tried to restrain them, but they had to be dragged away and the segment was stopped.

    Bailey, however, returned to the screen a few minutes later.

    "We don't let people like that get under our skin do we girls. We're too good for them each and every time," he said to the choir behind him.

    After the choir performed, he said: "There's one for the good guys, don't worry about the nutcases out there".

    Just prior to the incident, Bailey had been saying how lovely it was to be back at work.

    "Isn't it lovely to come back to work after a holiday and work with some of your favourite guests on this weather segment," Bailey said.

    It's not the first time Bailey has been attacked on air.

    About 15 years ago he was egged near the Sydney Observatory by a group of youths.

    He’s such an annoying little prat. I wonder if the egging he received went to air. I’d like to see that.

  814. 814
    Posted Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:29 pm | Permalink

    Previously kids were taking a gap year just so they could afford an education. A gap year doesn’t necessarily mean an overseas vacation, for many it meant working a woolies for a year

    They’re not taking a gap year so they can afford an education, they’re doing it so they qualify as “independent” even though they’re still in fact living at home, often with quite wealthy parents. That way they avoid the parental income test. It’s nothing but a rort, and it places an additional burden on lower