Roy Morgan has leapt in with last weekend’s face-to-face polling of 1050 respondents, showing Labor’s lead has actually nudged slightly upwards: from 60.5-39.5 to 61-39. Labor’s primary vote is down one point to 51 per cent, but the Coalition’s is also down two to 32.5 per cent. Contra Newspoll, the Greens are up two to 9.5 per cent.
Other news:
• Imre Salusinszky of The Australian reports Julia Gillard hopes to save “soft Left” colleague Laurie Ferguson by moving him to Werriwa, whose member Chris Hayes would have to make do with Macarthur – in turn cutting loose Nick Bleasdale, the candidate from 2007 who appeared lined up for another shot. It appears Hayes will suffer that fate in any case, as it has been agreed Werriwa should go to the Left. However, Anthony Albanese’s “hard Left” wants it to go to Damien Ogden, an LHMU organiser who defeated incumbent Ken McDonnell for preselection in Sutherland Shire Council’s “E” ward before last year’s elections, but ultimately failed to win the seat. Hayes is understandably not keen, and is calling for the matter to be determined by the local branches – as Ferguson did last week when his ambition was to stay on in redrawn Reid at the expense of John Murphy. That appears to be off the table because the seat is reserved for the Right. Importantly, Phillip Coorey of the Sydney Morning Herald reports the Prime Minister is also of a mind to throw Ferguson a lifeline.
• VexNews tells of a further brush fire in Macquarie, to be vacated at the election by Bob Debus. According to VexNews, Debus and the hard Left would have the national executive decide the issue in favour of Susan Templeman, principal of Templeman Consulting, who sells herself as “one of the country’s leading media trainers and coaches”. However, local branches favour Debus antagonist Adam Searle, a “soft Left” member whose designs on Debus’s old state seat of Blue Mountains were thwarted by Debus’s recruitment of Phil Koperberg. When Debus agreed to make life easier for the Prime Minister by relinquishing his position in the ministry in June, Glenn Milne in The Australian reported talk he had done so on the condition that he get to choose his successor in Macquarie.
• The Australian reports Warren Entsch will try to win Leichhardt back for the LNP at the next election. Entsch retired before the last election, and Labor demolished the 10.3 per cent margin he had built up with a 14.3 per cent swing. He floated the possibility of running for Cairns or Barron River at the March state election, but thought better of it. Teresa Gambaro, who lost Petrie at the election, plans to nominate for Brisbane, where the redistribution has cut Labor’s margin from 6.8 per cent to 3.8 per cent. UPDATE: AAP has reported Gambaro has indeed been preselected (thanks to LTEP in comments).
• Imre Salusinszky of The Australian reports a preselection challenge from the Right to Philip Ruddock in Berowra has been withdrawn. The identity of the challenger is not offered.
972 Comments
Pages: « 1 … 8 9 [10] 11 12 … 20 » Show All
Next federal election one would think. As for where, Ryan or Brisbane would be my guess – but I havent heard yet
‘Murdoch dissing Rudd’, Kev 07 has just gone up in my estimation.
Apart from being a powerful right wing media baron, Who does old Rup think he is.
I read that as andrew bartlett is standing for the queen in greenland
Standing for the Queen in Greenland? Haha! Bit early for the turps isnt it Gus
Always interesting looking at the historical electorate maps Antony puts up…
http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2009/byelections/bradfield.htm
http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2009/byelections/higgins.htm
One climate sceptic looking after another!! Greenie son sent it to me and I think it’s from the OO somewhere
Cory Bernardi and Alan Jones. What a thrilling dinner that would be. Pass the cyanide please.
the sun is over the yardarm.
“Rudd’s gone”. LOL. With even Newspoll showing him to be popular.
BB – I hope you keep all these stories for your grandkids. Timmy could be turned into a great kids book (rats, dogs and all).
Phew – took a quick check of that Oakes’ story. He’s really gone after Kev, bigtime. No need to worry what will be the hot topic tomorrow on Sunday political programs – a wonderfully concerted effort now that one poll is down so far.
I seem to remember someone saying last year that there are a lot of journos, public servants, etc. just waiting for the polls to drop and then they will unleash bad news stories about Kev and the Govt. everywhere.
Just watch Abbott and Hockey go in even harder with their venom against him. Is there any explanation for Hockey suddenly turning feral about Kev. Surely you can slag the policies without deningrating the man personally.
Labor will be hoping that the Coalition does continue to deflect questions about their strategy and if they bank on “this” Newspoll and don’t change their tactics, then Rudd’s stance will only be enhanced in the electorate!
If true, (and Peter van Onselen should have a pretty good handle on this,) that the Opposition are still in a state of denial and unreality as to the actual state of affairs, then the polls are only going to carry on in their usual fashion with a medium 64/46 base line figure!
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/close-poll-may-be-good-for-labor-discipline/story-e6frg6zo-1225795214168
gusface
We’ll need a square rigger to be sure. Any nearby? Anyway, have a drink or two while we find one
possum
You think Bartlett will go for a lower house seat? If so, it’s just an exercise in futility and Greens profile raising is it not?
It’s fair to say that Bolt has been stung by some of the criticism of his piss weak response to Rudd and he has upped the ante somewhat. He’s very cross. And I don’t seem to be making too many new friends over there either.
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/or_up_to_your_decayed_ankles_in_100_years/#commentsmore
The honeymoon’s over… until the next Newspoll
Howard Haters had nothing on Rudd Haters.
Someone was asking who was on Farsiders. This is on ABC site, I guess it is for this week?
jv,
I’m under the impression that the Senate ticket for the Greens in Qld is already finalised, leaving only the Reps left -the preselections of which are underway at the moment.
He’d be a fair chance in Brisbane and Ryan. Not great, but fair.
Will the extra 10% of the electorate voting be arriving on a boat soon perhaps?
I notice he has stopped linking to the arctic ice graph…
I’d say that was the whole idea.
Agreed. The HH’s managed to keep Howard in power for 11 years… I wonder how long the RH’s will keep Rudd in the top job?
Hook, line, sinker and fishing rod
And what has Rudd got Bolt talking about? Great move Kev.
Like every Australian conservative he supports the party that would strip workplace pay and condition from his kids and their kids.
Unbelievable. Rudd’s preferred P.M. rating is around 65%, and yet someone wrote:
If 65% is a liability, what is Turnbull’s 19% rating?
Thanks Vera – re Insiders. Glad it’s Swannie and not a Lib tomorrow or we’d be switching off.
My kids have been active today – they know I don’t read the OO except for what I see here so they sent this piece. Sorry if it’s a bit long. Letter by Kim Beasley in OO on Friday I think. Good on yer Kim.
[I wonder how soon the Faceless Men of the ALP will convene, to further discuss the liabilities surfacing around their boy’s performance?
After a single poll that is looking more and more like an outlier. The mind boggles.
There’s a bit of a shortage of boats at the moment. Problem fixed soon as enough boats are built!
Yeah, my maths is a bit off this morning!
possum
Well that’s a lot better chance than I would have thought. He would probably pull more votes for the Greens overall too, including the Senate just by standing I suppose – you would expect good media attention on him because of his profile. So, overall a good choice for the Greens to make.
If the Ruddster isn’t worried about newspoll why is he frantically running around doing radio interviews and visiting electorates such as mine in conservative North Queensland?
Actions speak louder than words and I think even the Labor rusted on’s in here know it.
Bartlett does have a beard though – I wonder if that will go before he starts on the stump?
Beazley is referring to section 10 of the Border Protection Bill 2001, that states:
http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/cth/bill/bpb2001212/
This would’ve meant an SAS officer could’ve gone aboard the Tampa and committed and would’ve been completely immune from any criminal liability.
That’s what the whole Tampa affair was ultimately about, a Government setting aside basic principles of law and order just so it could dog whistle to racists.
OK, so here’s a plan.
Rudd apparently gives in, orders the ship to sail to Australian waters. As soon as it’s over the dotted line of the Australian maritime zone, the ship starts to turn back (or otherwise gives an indication that it might not end up in Australian port after all). The SLs riot. They repeat their insistences that the ship MUST come here. It is all filmed as evidence. The ship comes to Australia after all this kerfuffle. The rioters are arrested and charged as hijackers. Prosecuted for piracy (or whatever) within Australian waters, even as their refugee claims are investigated in the regulation manner. Rudd declares “We have sympathy, but no-one can get away with this kind of behaviour without answering to the law for it.”
Tough but humane.
That person is just playing to the crowd. After all it was Bolt who first suggested that Rudd is vulnerable to a leadership challenge from Gillard.
John Howard has a lot to answer for, in becoming Bush’s deputy sheriff and locking himself and subsequently us, into a mad world where right wing, religious fundamental lunatics like this relate everything that happens in the world to some higher order, directing proceedings surprisingly enough, along the lines that their warped and twisted minds wish it to go!
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/or_up_to_your_decayed_ankles_in_100_years/
I read that from Bolt’s blog (in comments), too. Amazing how deluded they are about how these things work. Pure wishful thinking on their parts, of course, but highly indicative of the mindset. There will be much weeping and gnashing of teeth when the truth hits home.
I do kind of worry what a person with that mindset will do if Labor gains 10 or 15 seats at the next election.
lol yeah, in early 2007 he was already goingon Insiders suggesting Rudd might not last till the next election!
BB @ 480
Entrapment now?
SO – that’s out of the question now. Tony Abbott said Labor’s going down, down, down and he’s always right!!
It looks like my Eastern Front is really whizzing, buzzing, fuzzing and spinning.
As Colonel Klink likes to remind Sgt. Schultz: we will send you to Siberia.
Rudd is a disciple of Sun Tzu.
Andrew Bolt seems to be having a bad couple of days. It must be very annoying when one’s hokey philosopy and world view is challenged by reality. The boys over on Pure Poison have a ripper of a post about a Congressional Election in the US that epitomises that Bolt’s certainties of life are not so certain.
http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/2009/11/06/the-fringe-is-not-enough/#more-4334
As you have seen, the comments on Bolt’s blogs are a never-ending source of entertainment.
The line about the denialists being prepared to arrogantly gamble against their children’s future seems to have hit home. They’ve been nailed.
Kev’s in fine form lately, must be that new vegimite
Oh and those stories of how Rudd won’t be seen anywhere near Rees are bunkum.
http://www.theage.com.au/national/320m-bailout-doesnt-excuse-hardie-rudd-20091107-i2kp.html
Rudd’s charge of political cowardice runs to those in the media who are all but Liberal politicians, they lack the guts to put themselves up.
Rudd has given Bolt a fair old smack across the face and challenged his guts to come out and fight in the real world instead of hiding away in a corner as a journo.
Yeah that’s what I think when I read Stutchbury’s weekly column (he only writes one column a week that he then regurgitates each day).
Murdoch is here to do what? Does he think anybody cares what he says? Some old guy who dumped Australia? Rupe is becoming more irrelevant every year as news and opinion sources dilute.
I reckon the ABC should have a National newspaper as well.
For those who missed it yesterday…Jon Stewarts take on Beck is brilliant.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/11/06/jon-stewart-does-glenn-be_n_348129.html
This is interesting! I wonder what Bolter & Co are getting out of it?
Kevin Rudd and Barry are up against a well resourced and determined opponent here!
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/environment/climate-change/revealed-polluters-fear-tactics-on-climate-20091105-i091.html
The hilarious thing is that conservative bloggers have now tried to convince themselves that they actually won by losing the seat to a Democrat:
http://www.redstate.com/erick/2009/11/04/in-ny-23-conservatives-win/
Pages: « 1 … 8 9 [10] 11 12 … 20 » Show All