Morgan has published results from last weekend’s face-to-face polling from a sample of 915, and it shows Labor’s two-party lead at 54.5-45.5 – robust enough on the face of it, but the narrowest result produced by a Morgan face-to-face poll since January 2007. The Greens have suffered a four point hit on the primary vote, possibly a partial correction last time when they were up from 8.5 per cent to 12 per cent. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 44 per cent, but the Coalition is up three to 40.5 per cent.
Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth
Morgan: 54.5-45.5
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That’s still a very bad result for Cameron, given how long Labour’s been in and how weak Brown’s government was been for a long time. Cameron is an empty suit and the voters can see that, even if they have decided to put Labour out. So he’ll be the weakest new Tory PM ever, weaker than Heath and much weaker than Thatcher. If Labour gets a presentable new leader and sorts itself out they’ll have a good chance of coming back after only one term out, as they did in 1974.
Paul Howes absolutely giving it to Nick Minchin on Q&A, and starring with the audience.
Memo Labor back room people: please get this man into parliament.
Is anyone watching QANDA? If so, what’s happening?
My mob are watching DVD’s, so no TV for me.
Michin has gone feral
confessions
Qand A hasn’t started here in SA yet but I am looking forward to seeing how howes performs. He has got substance.
BK,
It’s a bottler!
Great take down of Ian Plimer’s denialism on Media Watch.
I think you’ve missed the point. There’s nothing in that study that says the ABC is matching it’s content to its readership. The major complaint is that they’re not, that they’re leaning to the right.
It measures readership. It doesn’t measure the output of the organisation, it measures the people who are accessing it. If, say, 55% of this country lean left, then anything that shows 55% left-leaning readership is bang on the average.
good point there dyno.. can anyone find an article that simply explains how it works?
Watching Minchin on Q&A: he’s jumped the shark. He’s scared.
Penny is laying it out in very plain English: Labor is the only party voting for the CPRS.
Glen
I take it then that you don’t agree with him?
Rudd seemed pretty pleased with himself today. I think he agrees with it!
Nick’s body language says it all: why am I here?
Talk about fighting right up to the bitter end! He’s finishing up as Senate Leader some time in the next week or two. Bowing out of politics altogether later this year (at least that’s said to be his current plan). Once a culture warrior, always a culture warrior I suppose.
vp@1961
And cue the Green Mafia, who need something to rejuvenate them after Adele decided to caucus with Troy
Geez, you can’t tell Minchin is exiting politics soon. Going ape-droppings – and looking like an absolute idiot. Looks scared actually.
Do we get a Newspoll tonight?
ShowsOn @1957, yes you’d think by now that ordinary respectable journalists would have latched on to the fact that Plimer is lying his socks off.. but sadly.. aint seen a sign of it yet. You gotta hope that eventually he’ll be disgraced.
@1960, great to see the likes of Minchin going feral eh..
Psephos, I am not a huge fan of Cameron, I think Hague would make a much better PM, and I’m inclined to think the Tories’ performance since January has been far from excellent.
On the other hand, if they can get a stable majority (which I only rate a 50/50 bet at this stage), then I suspect Cameron will come out of it all smelling pretty sweet, however much he may have squandered a big lead.
On the other hand, if the Tories don’t end up in Government, Cameron’s leadership must be over, and they’ll go back to Hague in my opinion.
Christine has a good brain and speaks well. Threee months in a reeducation camp and she’d be fine.
vp@1970
and it won’t be the one Adele attended
Nick’s a waste of space, he really is. Fatuous.
Will I have to pay Rudd’s big new mining tax?
The ABC shouldn’t be interviewing other journalists, whether from News Ltd or Fairfax or anywhere else – unless those individual journalists have broken a major story or have some level of expertise or insight not available from their own correspondents or outside sources. It represents an outsourcing of editorial judgement.
There is far too much of this lazy cutting and pasting of other journalists’ opinions at the ABC, so much so that one can rightly ask what is the point of the taxpayer funding an independent public broadcaster if it spends most of its time blandly echoing the editorial lines of the broadsheets.
I am quite aware of the argument that bias is in the eye of the beholder, but as I said in my earlier post, it is my professional judgement that the ABC has decided, either consciously or sub-consciously, to follow News Ltd’s line in political news.
That it does this is self-evident, despite ShowsOn’s rather persistent and curiously insistent claims to the contrary. The bigger argument is WHY it does it. My own feeling is that the Howard government’s relentless campaign against perceived leftist bias and subsequent stacking of the broadcaster’s board with strident culture warriors of the far right has inculcated a reflexive timidity on the part of senior editors at the ABC. They all want a quiet life and achieve that by mirroring News Ltd’s agenda for the day. So afraid are they of pursuing an independent line that they swing the other way.
Ultimately, this is not about political bias, but about poor journalism. A good journalist provides context for his or her audience or readership. They do not blithely accept what they are told by spindoctors, but seek out independent corrobaration and expert opinion outside the established power structures. They provide their audiences with fresh ways of looking at contentious issues.
Unfortunately, this takes effort. It means going beyond the usual go-to sources and rent-a-quotes – the Mitch Hookes of the world. It might have involved, in the resource tax story for instance, seeking out an economist who could have explained the macro-economic arguments for such a tax and the Dutch Disease syndrome.
Instead, the ABC broadcasts as “news” claims and counter-claims from the ritual sources on either side of the debate. It is “he says-she says” journalism that neither informs nor enlightens. It is such a shame for an organisation that formerly prided itself on fearless journalism.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/worleyparsons-billiondollar-solar-plan-20080812-3u3u.html
Mumble has an interesting response to the Marsupial’s post about Rudd, the ETS and a DD.
http://mumble.com.au/?p=2152
No, I haven’t.
Oh this is mint.. Minchin getting laughed at for further pushing climategate..
ShowsOn: Minchin attacks CRU and says ‘climategate’ is real. He is laughed into oblivion by audience. You will love it.
Symonds asked for an opinion, was getting one, then interrupted. Dill.
As i said last night, everyone on PB has gone feral. Now Minchin, I blame it on Diog.
LOL
Christine Milne has scrubbed up pretty well.
Don’t get into an argument with Penny.
VP, i can arrange.
Again, I don’t think it is the job of the ABC to match the ideology of their readership.
That study is about how much people isolate themselves from media sources that oppose their ideological outlook. That study suggests that a slight majority of left leaners, compared to right leaners, access the ABC website.
Again, I disagree. It isn’t the job of the ABC to match the ideology of what is most likely a temporary majority. At some stage the Liberals will have 55% of the 2pp vote in polls, I think it would be completely wrong for the ABC to them modify its output to match the change in the polls which I beleive is the implication of your posts.
Thats BS.
News of Rudd’s great big new miners tax was floating around as early as Monday last week.
The markets react to new information, this information was rumour last week and confirmed this week. To say that the sharemarket hadn’t already began to react last week is incorrect.
Finns,
Does it involve shark jumping?
The tweets they’re showing are dreadful.
New thread.
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