The Australian has gotten in with Newspoll a day earlier than usual, as it does from time to time, and it confirms the picture of just about every other poll in having the two-party vote on 50-50, with primary votes of 37 per cent for Labor (up two), 43 per cent for the Coalition (steady) and 12 per cent for the Greens (up two). This is identical in every respect with Galaxy’s first poll of federal voting intention since June last year. Newspoll has notably failed to replicate its quirky 12 per cent “others” vote from a fortnight ago. Both polls were conducted from Friday to Sunday, and are thus the first properly conducted after the budget. According to taste, the two taken together show Labor either staunching the flow or failing to turn the tide.
The two polls also have broadly similar figures on other measures. On the economic impact of the budget, Newspoll has 44 per cent good against 31 per cent bad, while Galaxy puts it at 43 per cent and 28 per cent. Both pollsters asked respondents who would be best to lead the government: Galaxy had 45 per cent continuing to favour Kevin Rudd against 34 per cent for Julia Gillard, with a notable gender gap of 41-37 among women and 48-31 among men, while Newspoll had Rudd’s lead at just 40 per cent to 35 per cent. Newspoll has Kevin Rudd’s approval rating steady on 39 per cent, with his disapproval up a point to a new high of 51 per cent. Tony Abbott has recorded his first net negative rating from Newspoll, his approval down three to 42 per cent and disapproval up two to 45 per cent. Kevin Rudd’s lead as preferred prime minister is down from 50-32 to 49-33. Newspoll has 36 per cent agreeing the Coalition would have presented a better budget against 46 per cent disagreeing, which might not sound too encouraging for them but it is nonetheless the narrowest margin on this question since they first asked it in 2005.
The polls’ sample sizes are about 1200 in Newspoll’s case and 994 in Galaxy’s, for respective error margins slightly on either side of 3 per cent.
UPDATE: Possum reckons the Galaxy poll is “actually a 51/49 ALP with the pref flows we’ve been seeing and a Greens on 12 with Others on 8”. However, these results are marginally better for the Coalition than the recent 50-50 results from Nielsen (37-42-13) and Essential Research (37-42-11), and identical with Newspoll’s, so if that’s true for Galaxy it’s presumably true for the others.
UPDATE 2: Now Essential Research joins the 50-50 party, from primary votes of Coalition 43 per cent, Labor 38 per cent, Greens 10 per cent. Since this is a two-week rolling average, it suggests the most recent week’s result has seen Labor recovering from last week’s numbers, which dragged them down from 53-47 to 50-50. The budget is rated 36 per cent good and 28 per cent bad, though with less good responses on “good for you personally” and “good for businesses”; 31 per cent believing the government has done enough to reduce the surplus against 39 per cent not enough; 51 per cent believing the economy to be heading in the right direction against 25 per cent for the wrong direction; and 33 per cent considering Labor “best at handling the Australian economy in the interests of you and people like you” against 36 per cent for the Liberals.
3,793 Comments
Pages: « 1 … 10 11 [12] 13 14 … 76 » Show All
What odds on the OO getting stuck into Red Kezza, who, as is well known, was once press secretary to that demon Gough Whitlam?
Looks like abbott learned to tie his necktie at the age of six and hasn’t got any better at it.
Ah cheers Shows on
I did not know that
More like a Colombian neck tie…..
No 552
I agree, but Rudd has $200 million in the bank and still can’t buy a half decent suit.
You dress really nicely for someone whose main super holdings are Greek government bonds.
This is why I could confidently assure My Say earlier that the polls will turn. The more people see of Abbott, the less they like him, and the more they can see what a flake he is. And come the campaign, when the swinging voters see Rudd v Abbott head to head, and when the Return-of-WorkChoices issue is front and centre, Abbott will crash and burn.
Abbott admitted at the Westin that he did not write the Budget reply, he did not know about PS cuts costings. What is he doing? Or is he a glove puppet?
Seems that disappointment with the political parties isn’t limited to small l liberals. I would imagine that this would represent a fair chunk of Labor’s voter leakage.
http://armagnacd.blogspot.com/
Abbott loooked like he was undergoing ECT.
Karl Bitar is quick
“ARe there 2 Tony Abbotts?”
Yes Kerry, there are.
Obviously what journos need to do in future is send Abbott a list of questions, get him to write down the answers and then just read them out.
That way we’ll know that his commitments are genuine.
#529, for once in my life, i agree with you and you already reached your quota.
So did Abbott say that he won’t support a new form of individual statutory workplace agreements (i.e. AWAs by a different name), because the Fair Work Act doesn’t include any option for individual agreements, it leaves that up to common law agreements which can’t be less than the relevant Award.
Any chance Labor could use that 10 minute gibberish-fest in their election ads?
Holy. Hell. What was that?
Have you EVER seen such a bumbling, jelly-legged, inept disaster of an interview?
hear, hear. Mr Denmore, obviously you have already seen Fran Kelly’s script for tomorrow morning
Senator Mark Arbib:
No 556
I don’t own Greek bonds. But yeah, I dress nicely. Heck, even Keating wore expensive Italian suits.
It didn’t take long for Rudd’s 7:30 “meltdown” to find its way into the MSM. Let’s get the stopwatch out to see how long this debacle of Abbott’s gets there.
No 570
Christ, how the ALP supporters think Arbib has talent is beyond me. Phoney Tony? That’s the best he can do? LOL
If Labor have any balls they’ll go hard over the Abbott interview tomorrow. Get some grabs onto the mainstream news etc
The thing with Abbott is that he spends all that time on his own running, swimming and bicycling which you would think gives him time to think through his positions. Yet he has nothing to say and is easily out manouevred.
That pineapple haircut special does him no favours either.
I’m sure Lindsay Tanner will work it in on QandA tonight.
http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/teenage-p-platers-clocked-50kmh-over-the-limit/story-e6freon6-1225867876666
Truth’s luck seems to have run out.
I heard more logic from a three year old at an ABC child centre
“I have”
Maybe Law and Order’s too?
The man was responsible for re-election of the Iemma govt., he’s not talented, he’s a miracle working genius!
You defend the Government’s new tax by saying it will fall on firms that “use up” non-renewable resources. That is valid as far as it goes. On this basis, you can argue that resource extraction should be subject to a resource rent tax. I do not have a problem with that. That would be ok. All miners should pay RRT. Of course, they do now pay RRT, in the form of State Royalties.
The Government’s tax concept is to actually refund the RRT/ Royalties, and at the same time tax “excess” profits. Because of the disincentive effect this can have on future mining, the Government is also allowing generous concessions on yet-to-be profitable ventures.
It seems to me, on the Government’s rationale, this is not about whether mining utilizes non-renewable assets. Indeed, the Government is willing to subsidize the extraction of non-renewable resources. So much for the renewable/ non-renewable distinction. This tax is not about the special class of resources that are called non-renewable. This tax is about the Treasury getting their hands on the “excess” loot.
My point is that if it is good enough for mining to be subject to excess profits tax then why should other industries be exempt? For political reasons, the Government wants to grant tax cuts to other industries while increasing taxes on mining. Indeed, this is a virtue of the new tax. At its highest level, the super tax imposes a huge cost on miners. It is a tax policy that in its effect discriminates against the economies of WA and QLD. It is a dud policy that hopefully will not last long.
You can grizzle as much as you like. This is just a discriminatory money grab, tarted up as something else, framed to appeal to the inner Rex Connor of a few old-style eco-nationalists. It is a dud.
Candles isn’t pleased
What? The lollipop lady wanted her sign back?
Note the 3rd item:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A8mvPs-PLEY
For anyone that wants to re-live the Abbott, 7:30 Report interview, you can download an MP3 of it here:
https://www.yousendit.com/dl?phi_action=app/orchestrateDownload&rurl=http%253A%252F%252Fwww.yousendit.com%252Ftransfer.php%253Faction%253Dbatch_download%2526batch_id%253DdXFXb3BOdEMwZ2xFQlE9PQ
In defence of whoever that guy is, who the hell would ever want that job???
If the above link doesn’t work, go here instead:
http://tinyurl.com/2e4x8gs
There won’t be many downloads into Lib Party HQ – unless it’s required as evidence!
Yeah, no media adviser could concoct that crap performance by Abbott.
Time for Abbott to retreat to the rear lines to lick a few of the self-inflected, and for the other members of the A team to swing into the attack:
Joyce, Hockey, Bishop, Dutton, Truss. How inspirement.
Hockey first up, tomorrow. I do hope he has enough time tonight to scratch around for the ready to fill the $1billion Abbott black hole.
The rest of the economy will be better off if the mining boom cools off. Driving up the $A puts at risk many more jobs tan are created by the mining boom. So today the wine industry says that 20% of vines should be pulled because overseas markets have dried up. The car industry and many other struggle to compete. But apparently its good to have a few well paid people flying in and out of outback mines and creating such inflation that locals can’t buy houses etc. I thought Liberals understood the “crowding out” argument.
Why sack his media advisor?
His media advisor gave him the best and most coherent advice that could have been given.
Not the media advisors fault Pohny Tony could not keep up.
you can see how abbott is just murdochs puppet. murdoch would work all over the top of him.
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/business/markets/fear-wipes-40b-off-share-market-20100517-v939.html?autostart=1
Strange, no mention of of the super scary mining tax causing the end of the world as we know it. Have the uninformed media got it wrong again Truthy?
No sighting of Abbott’s pathetic 7:30 showing in the MSM yet.
Still waiting.
GG – he has to spend all that time asking for forgiveness for the thought bubbles and fibs which come out when he’s not on the bike.
Gaffy,
The Liberal tradition is to bayonet the innocent.
Candles In The Wind
[Seems that disappointment with the political parties isn’t limited to small l liberals. I would imagine that this would represent a fair chunk of Labor’s voter leakage.
http://armagnacd.blogspot.com/
What a pathetic whiny spineless whinger. First sign of rough weather and he/she throws up over the side and demands to be put ashore. Labor expects a bit more intestinal fortitude than that. We’re better off without such people.
Pages: « 1 … 10 11 [12] 13 14 … 76 » Show All