Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Mr Bowe
With that sort of prediction, you might get a job at The Age if and when they pension off La Grattan!
by Darren Laver on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:17 pm
roald,
Absolutely, spot on.
But, it isn’t going to stop the gutter flying speculators here.
by Greensborough Growler on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:17 pm
This is the Windschuttle section.
[Australian writer Keith Windschuttle[22], a former Marxist, is tired of that anti-Western slant that permeates academia: “For the past three decades and more, many of the leading opinion makers in our universities, the media and the arts have regarded Western culture as, at best, something to be ashamed of, or at worst, something to be opposed. The scientific knowledge that the West has produced is simply one of many “ways of knowing.”
“Cultural relativism claims there are no absolute standards for assessing human culture. Hence all cultures should be regarded as equal, though different.” “The plea for acceptance and open-mindedness does not extend to Western culture itself, whose history is regarded as little more than a crime against the rest of humanity. The West cannot judge other cultures but must condemn its own.”
He urges us to remember how unique some elements of our culture are: “The concepts of free enquiry and free expression and the right to criticise entrenched beliefs are things we take so much for granted they are almost part of the air we breathe. We need to recognise them as distinctly Western phenomena. They were never produced by Confucian or Hindu culture.” “But without this concept, the world would not be as it is today. There would have been no Copernicus, Galileo, Newton or Darwin.”
]
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:20 pm
Finns:
The historical interpretations of Keith Windshuttle reportedly being cited by a Norwegian terrorist has a certain karma about it.
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:20 pm
Careful William, you’re disclosing your true affiliations …
by Shineybum on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:20 pm
just called by Neilsen re my TV people-meter usage. also asked a series of questions about internet usage, and would we be prepared to have our internet use monitored for their ratings? just something they are thinking about
by sprocket_ on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:21 pm
Thanks for that info Diog.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:21 pm
BK
Ahem, that should read “Pell is a pillock”
by Dan Gulberry on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:22 pm
Greensborough Growler
As the Masons are peripherally involved that alone makes it come on down time for conspiracists. I have already read theories that it was a Mossad operation due to Norway planning to recognise Palestine. Phil the Greek and the Illuminati will get a guernsey at some stage.
by poroti on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:22 pm
There is some gold here.
I will allow you to guess who the leader XXXXX is that Breivik is so impressed by.
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:23 pm
poroti
if they mention leviathan
all is lost
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:24 pm
It’s probably a reference to reference to a reference; but that’s how it was reported.
I’m now starting to read between the lines.
According to reports, Breivik planned his crimes meticulously – do you understand where I’m come from?
by charlton on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:25 pm
dystopia?
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:26 pm
Diogs,
I’ve posted this before re Pell and Asylum Seekers and Refugees. Which George Pell is this lunatic referring to?
“Asylum seekers and refugees:
Pell has been a long time critic of the bi-partisan policy of mandatory detention of asylum seekers in Australia and called for “empathy and compassion” towards displaced peoples.[14] Pell said that while a policy of detterence was justifiable, the practice of the policy was coming at too great a “moral cost”.[15] Describing conditions in some of Australia’s mandatory detention camps in 2001 as “pretty tight and miserable” and “no place for women and children”, Pell called for investigation of any maltreatment of detainees and said that, while Australia has the right to regulate the number of refugees it accepts, as a rich and prosperous country, it can “afford to be generous” and must treat refugees who reach Australia humanely.[16]”
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Pell
by Greensborough Growler on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:27 pm
Dodgy Knees
Wherefore art thou getting the “Manifesto” ? As for “I will allow you to guess who the leader XXXXX ” does the person in question have this bowling style ?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0o8by05rtMY
by poroti on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:27 pm
Who invented:
o Compass
o Gun Powder
o Paper
o Paper Money
o The first computer – Abacus
o Decimal System
o Printing
o Herbal Medicine
o Acupunture
o Tea
o Embroidery
o Silk
o Martial Arts
o Lunar Calendar
o Fireworks & Rockets
o Kite
o Metal casting
o Steel making
o Flood control and irrigation
o Row cultivation & intensive hoeing
o Civil government system
o Central Examination system Procelain
o Lacquer
o Wheelbarrow
o Seismograph
o Matches
o Grain storage
o Rice cultivation
o Horse Collar and saddle
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:27 pm
JWH ?
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:28 pm
A secret bunker made of tin foil?
by roaldan1000 on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:28 pm
I think we should refrain from commenting on that Norwegian matter until criminal proceedings have been completed by the competent Norwegian authorities.
Their ABC in particular would be well advised to show a measure of restraint and compassion in their reporting of this tragic affair.
by Darren Laver on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:28 pm
finns
ah so
but they didnt discover helium
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:29 pm
@TheFinns/1265:
Age of Empires ?
by zoidlord on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:29 pm
Danny Lewis,
If you saw Abbott’s comment when he announced Julie Bishop as his deputy at that Media Conference, then that is a good representation of just where the role of women fits in today’s liberal party.
Oh, and Flo’s pumpkin scones. If they ain’t barefoot & pregnant, then they should be in the kitchen looking after the cullinery interests of the master!
by scorpio on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:29 pm
GG
The Pell reference in Breivik’s manifesto is very boring. I didn’t even bother including it.
No-one has ventured a guess about Breivik’s favourite leader (and it’s not Pell).
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:30 pm
@1265
It wasn’t Thomas Edison, was it? Or that bloke from The New Inventors?
by roaldan1000 on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:30 pm
Hi guys,
I’m not sure if this has been posted or not. If it has my apologies. anyway there is some real ‘grist to the mill’ for the Progressive side of politics in this survey – rather begs the question is the sales pitch all wrog?
The survey results can be found at http://www.progressiveadvisory.com.au/Survey_of_Progressive_society.html
by grantplant on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:30 pm
No, I don’t joke about such things; but it was Aunty reporting so maybe we should wait for other sources to confirm same.
by charlton on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:31 pm
Frank
BINGO!!!
Here is the full quote.
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:31 pm
Bilbo?
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:31 pm
Yes, but apart from all that, what have they really done for us?
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:31 pm
You idiot. It’s Finns & Boerwar Fukushima Inc, we patented all our inventions and own all the IPs.
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:32 pm
Four corners is about wind turbines
by victoria on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:32 pm
Further to my point above.
Their ABC would be well advised to stay out of this criminal matter that the Norwegians are more than capable of handling.
by Darren Laver on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:33 pm
The mind boggles at what Mr H means by “why News ltd’s enemies shd be careful what they wish for …”
by david on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:34 pm
So Dio I wont need to hold my breath for headlines in the OO along the lines of “Howard was mass murderers favourite politician” then?
by grantplant on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:34 pm
George, sweet and sour pork?
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:36 pm
this, along with murdoch imploding, is meltdown stuff – what do they say? a week is a long time in politics?
by sprocket_ on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:36 pm
grantplant
I’m surprised it hasn’t been noticed before.
Sadly it would be too grubby to use as a political weapon.
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:37 pm
Darren Laver
Tell me old chap, why only give such advice to the ABC ? I mean as opposed to your lack of advice to the MSM about their business as usual mooselim terrst speculations.
by poroti on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:37 pm
A fellow Mason!
by scorpio on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:37 pm
Breivik speaking glowingly of Howard also has a certain karma value.
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:37 pm
Yes, but apart from that, and gun powder, and printing, and paper and blah blah blah, what have they really done for us???
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:38 pm
It would’ve been viewed as just another glowing accolade for JWH from shores afar.
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:39 pm
poroti
You can download it as a Word file here.
http://hotfile.com/dl/124843184/2315d8e/2083-AEuropeanDeclarationofIndependence.docx.html
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:39 pm
Ooops, meant to cite Dio:
“I’m surprised it hasn’t been noticed before.”
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:40 pm
With the number of right wingers occupying positions in Their ABC the interest in the Norwegian case must be very high.
by Cuppa on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:40 pm
ok George, my last offer – Bruce Lee
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:40 pm
Howie and Cossie get another favourable mention later on.
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:43 pm
by scorpio on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:43 pm
I expect nothing less from the Murdoch press and commercial news — crime sells , but their ABC is not meant to be driven by commercial interests, hence I expect better of them.
by Darren Laver on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:43 pm
Damnit, now you’re playing dirty….
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:45 pm