Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
george
Well they forced me to re link this for a start.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hSELOCMmw4A
by poroti on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:45 pm
Diogenes,
I can see why Howard was so taken with him!
by scorpio on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:46 pm
gee george, you are hard to please, ok, you can have Wendi “chop Chop” Deng as well.
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:46 pm
Not sure if this has already been posted today, but GetUp are mailing out free corflutes to support a price on carbon. More here:
https://www.getup.org.au/campaigns/climate-action-now/climate-visibility/a-price-on-pollution
by Fiz on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:46 pm
Does two mentions in Breivik’s manifesto make the Australian Liberal party a terrorist organisation? Clearly ASIO should do some profiling and start some snooping.
by fredn on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:47 pm
Darren Laver
No arguments from me there.
by poroti on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:47 pm
Finns, I prefer to call her Vitrioli
by Darn on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:47 pm
Yeah Poroti, what the fuacking Romans have ever done for us?
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:52 pm
Diogenes
thank you very muchly. Has not the intertubes changed everything ? All hail William Gibson and Neuromancer
by poroti on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:52 pm
That many X’s fits both John Howard and Tony Abbott!
Take your pick!
by scorpio on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:53 pm
poroti/Finns, Ok, you got me – the irish did give us a lot to be thankful for!
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:54 pm
Sort of like the old Apartheid days. Every Afrikaner president seemed to look alike, even down to the same glasses and grey suits. Come to think of it, that trio resemble them too!
by Gorgeous Dunny on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:54 pm
From reading your infrequent posts over a period time, you obviously have some knowledge in this area.
Yes, the stats. are that as a rule the depressed are more likely to harm themselves rather than others.
I was very sad to learn of the death of Amy Winehouse, as I’m sure she didn’t do drugs & alcohol merely to handle the pressures of fame.
I also think it’s illusory to demarcate depression with other forms of mental illness.
by charlton on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:54 pm
Howard probably gets a prominent mention because of the Tampa being from Norway. It must have been big news there.
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:55 pm
Hopefully some pointed questions for Abbott:
“Mr Abbott, why is John Howard held up as a hero in the writings of an alleged terrorist?”
etc
etc
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:59 pm
This is sick in so many ways.
http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/hes-a-monster-victims-vent-fury-at-paedophile-christian-brother-teacher-20110725-1hwm1.html
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:00 pm
That’s an astonishing quote about Howard, say what you will about him, but Howard very, very rarely publicly expressed religious views. I mean the most notable thing he said was that while he was a Christian he never felt that was important to how he ran his government.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:00 pm
Liberal party terrorist organisation?
Start snooping and it looks bad.
Alan Jones
Candidate for the July 1978 by-election for the NSW state seat of Earlwood for the Liberal Party of Australia, formerly held by deposed Liberal leader Sir Eric Willis.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hsaVpepMyA8
People listen to that shit?
by fredn on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:02 pm
Moodys not happy with the Greeks again…
BernardKeane Bernard Keane
probably not so much a “warning” then? RT @leongettler: Moody’s warns that the chances of a Greek default are now 100%. http://is.gd/zXtkxI
by david on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:03 pm
I hope you’re all watching 4-corners – wind turbines will suck you into their blades, even from 20Km’s away, as you eat your din’dins, and mince you up into itsy bitsy pieces! And if you manage to survive that, they’ll cause heart attacks, blindness and limpus dickus!!!!
STOP THE TURBINES!!!!!
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:03 pm
Regarding the refugee swap I suggest we swap Tony Abbott, Sloppy, Mr Mogadon, the Wangaratta Wahine aka Sophie M, Mathais and Bernardi for the Schleck brothers and Jens Stoltenberg.
That man is a class act and we should have more like him here. People who are not afraid to stand up to right wing ratbags.
by robert lynch2 on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:03 pm
No souvlaki for them!!!
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:03 pm
Hmm … I wonder if they gave him the prompt to run that anti-middle east rant before it became clear it wasn’t a foreigner? Nah. probably all Bolt’s own work, same as Miranda Devine rushed to print to (falsely) blame the Greens for Black Saturday.
Some seem to have a natural affinity for bile.
by Gorgeous Dunny on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:04 pm
ShowsOn
ah ah ah.Early on in the reign of JWH during the get to know you stage was this. He talked of his Methodist background and how he used to sneak out to watch the Salvo’s bands.Having a family background which included Methodist preachers i can assure you that whilst Catholics were against dancing because “you know what that leads to’ Methodists were against music “because it lead to dancing ” !
by poroti on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:06 pm
just read through the table of contents of the Norwegian murderers manifesto. he does exhort, amongst others, australians to get involved in the european war against islam. Knights Templar badges for all – not sure whether to delete or call the ASIO hotline?
by sprocket_ on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:07 pm
Said with tongue in cheek I hope(?).
Is this man not Abbott’s chief spiritual adviser?
I don’t think His Eminence has ever gotten over the demise of his beloved DLP, notwithstanding the election of Senator John Madigan.
by charlton on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:07 pm
The 4Corners prgramme is getting trashed on twitter, hundreds of tweets flat tak
by david on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:08 pm
The old time DLP would have thought of Mr Madigan as being an extraordinary lightweight, unworthy of the real thing.
Next, please.
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:08 pm
Thefinnigans The Finnigans
Buah ha ha ha, The Wind called Maria did it #4Corners
6 seconds ago
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:09 pm
ShowsOn
Looking at his manifesto (a bit), Breivik doesn’t seem very religious at all. He likes the symbolism of the Crusades and the fact they were vs Muslims but Christianity isn’t a theme.
He is much more a extreme right wing anti-Muslim, anti-multiculturalism nutter.
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:10 pm
george
Earlier today this topic came up and it appears that there is a direct link between being paid for wind turbines on your property and being totally immune from health problems.
http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/45730.html
by poroti on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:10 pm
charlton
I cannot tell a lie.
Er . . yes.
I have followed his career for many many years. My opinions have only firmed.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:10 pm
Waddaya know, its the IPA yet again
by cud chewer on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:10 pm
And now the IPA comes up!!!! – is there anywhere these scum bags don’t involve themselves in?
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:11 pm
That is their calling. That is why Mr Murdoch employs them.
But why does (did) their ABC give Mr Bolt in particular so much airtime?
by Darren Laver on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:11 pm
Evenhandedness?
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:12 pm
If you watch or listen to their ABC you could be forgiven for thinking the IPA was stalking you.
by Darren Laver on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:13 pm
Diog, you dont need to go thru 1500 pages of manifesto to find that out, here you are my 140 chars manifesto:
Thefinnigans The Finnigans
Memo to #shockjocks: Breivik hates Muslim, Immigrants and Multiculture Society. He blames the Left, Labour and killed Labour Youth #norway
14 hours ago
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:13 pm
So according to these idiots:
Carbon pollution…. safe
Renewables… adverse affects, heart attacks, diabetes, sky falling and death
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:13 pm
george
Seriously , where does their money come from ? Such an all pervading presence must cost mega bucks.
by poroti on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:14 pm
You got me there BK. Blood pressure back up again!
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:14 pm
Finns
We have patented ‘Turbine Disease’ and ‘AGW Disease’. One way or another Finns, Boerwar, Fukushima & Co Conglomorate is going to win bulk royalties.
I was thinking that a nano percent per turbine blade rpm should do the trick.
As for AGW disease, as usual with all the world’s losers, ability to pay is a problem. I mean to say, there might be millions of Bangla Deshis who get shifted because of rising sea levels, but who is going to pay us our patent royalties? Not fair. It is not as if it is going to be worth suing them. Plus they will probably all get into little wooden boats and sail down to Australia looking for a dry spot.
Our noble company may have to offshore its operations. How does Nauru sound?
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:15 pm
poroti, I can’t find the Fin Review from a couple of weeks ago, but there was an article about them (within the context of the carbon price) and who was funding them, etc
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:15 pm
sorry george!
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:15 pm
re: the Essential Poll.
last week Abbott said words to the effect that he didn’t listen to scientists, economists or anyone at all qualified to express and expert opinion. No he ‘listened to the people. The people are paramount’. No doubt he will look at the Essential Poll and announce his intention to break up News Media. (but of course, by ‘people’ he means ignorant rednecks who think Alan Jones and the Telegraph are balanced and intelligent).
by sustainable future on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:16 pm
Brian wilshire was primmiong his listeners up for this show – I’d say 2GB will be across this at 9.30pm
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:16 pm
Yep. Tim Wilson, that Moran chap and Julie Novak all say the same thing in the numerous platforms they have with the ABC and other msm outlets.
We are very poorly served by the media in this country.
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:17 pm
This is an interesting article about so called wind farm sickness. It argues that the best studies show that if people receive money for wind turbines, they are unlikely to feel sick:
http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/45730.html
So it is a strange form of jealousy.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:17 pm
I notice that the 1500 page manifesto had a cross on the front of it. Which reminds me, what has happened to our chrisitan disinformation officer*?
He was quite religious about it not being religious.
*patented by Finns, Boewar, Fukushima & Co Conglomorate in the interests of humanity.
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:17 pm
Did 4C have Professor Monckton on to explain the science?
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:17 pm