Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
That anti wind turbine advert with the young kids was sick.
Yeah, get kids to read scary things of cue cards, great parenting.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:34 pm
bemused
You get the elephant stamp. As you say, it is an odd story.
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:35 pm
Has there ever been a worse Four Corners?
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:35 pm
Only if you throw in Lucy Liu
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:36 pm
The DLP kept the ALP out of office for many years via principally its pathological scare of communism – anti-Catholic – manufactured very cleverly by Menzies.
They’re a disgrace and will remain so in mind to my demise.
The election of Madigan serves to remind me of this Party of pissants.
by charlton on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:36 pm
From what has been written here the ABC board deserves one hell of a rocket for the 4C efforts
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:36 pm
How about THAT for a first question!!!
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:37 pm
Insiders showed footage of Mr Abbott doing a presser on the beach somewhere along Port Phillip Bay. Earlier he had gone for a swim therein. The water was cold. Mr Abbott made a joking reference to the water cold/AGW wink, wink and discussed at some length smaller budgies being suitable because of the effect the water had had. Wink, wink, nudge, nudge, haar, haar.
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:37 pm
Why is it bad?
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:37 pm
I could just take Peter Cundall home and feed him cake and tea all day – luv’im
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:37 pm
Cundall already making Q&A worth it. Putting the boots into the Parrot.
by bemused on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:38 pm
Why? It is a calm and clinical examination of a controversial issue.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:38 pm
Finns
Some people are never happy.
Have patented ‘unhappiness’. There seems to be an awful lot of it around so it will be good for the coffers. And if people start getting happy we can send our unhappiness facilitators around with horse heads or something like that.
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:40 pm
Just like Monckton’s clinical examination of climate change.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:40 pm
LOL! The “Landscape Guardians” anti-wind farm group reckon that the the best renewable energy is gas!
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:41 pm
I was sort of listening to Four Corners and I didn’t think it was that bad.
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:41 pm
SO
He sent them to airline executives.
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:41 pm
I gather that’s what happened. This is the sort of thing, if true, that would surely have brought to an end the political career of any other party leader.
by Cuppa on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:41 pm
No, my dear bemused, some of us are more discerning and can get intellectual stimulation from more intelligent discussions rather than Jerry Springer style encounters that are only designed to inflame the (stacked) audience — sadly all too common on their ABC these days!
by Darren Laver on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:42 pm
Watching Erica Betz I am reminded of the dulcet tones (and views0 of one B A Santamaria.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:42 pm
Mr Abetz trying move along folks, nothing to see.
How crudment.
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:42 pm
Is this true?
by Cuppa on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:43 pm
No.
The 4 corners reporter has revealed that the anti-wind farm lobby is being run by climate change deniers and people that believe in junk medicine.
This is a helpful contribution to informed debate on what energy sources Australia should use.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:43 pm
Mr Abetz has dodged the issue twice. Mr Jones letting him getting away with it.
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:43 pm
Yep, and BS straight along after on the “Witch” sign. You eedget
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:44 pm
Dio @1402,
Despite the four corners program giving most of their time to one side of the argument, I think it actually shone a light on the situation and showed you how anti-something hysteria like this works.
by cud chewer on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:44 pm
Mr Abetz, the question was about a call to arms. How about addressing that?
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:44 pm
George, not too sure i know Lucy Liu, but i do know Lucy In The Sky with Diamonds, will that do to keep your grubby hands of Finns & Boerwar Fukushima Inc?
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:44 pm
ShowsOn
If that is the case I must take my words back.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:45 pm
where is my say sitting?
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:45 pm
Thanks BW. What a child.
by Cuppa on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:45 pm
“Peter Cundall is a plant” read the tweet.. heh
by cud chewer on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:45 pm
Ms Milne getting it right.
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:45 pm
Finns, nope. No deal. Lucy or takeover:
http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0005154/
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:46 pm
Cuppa,
It’s on one of the clips here and would be on the transcript.
http://www.abc.net.au/insiders/
by scorpio on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:46 pm
cc
Good’un.
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:46 pm
Thefinnigans The Finnigans
If and when Utoya happens in Australia, the shockjocks would have blood on their hands #qanda
3 seconds ago
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:47 pm
Mr Jones may be letting Abetz get away with things but he doesn’t need to intervene, the crowd reaction does it all.
by bemused on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:47 pm
Cop that Erica!
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:47 pm
George, it’s WAR then!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Banzai Banzai Banzai
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:48 pm
cuppa
wrong, wrong, wrong. a/c Mr Abbott it is Ms Gillard is ‘Childish, immature and cowardly.’
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:48 pm
Abbetz knows exactly what he said.. liar
by cud chewer on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:48 pm
I just replayed it and I couldn’t see anyone that even looked like Maurice Newman. I was going by the photo that’s here:
http://www.abc.net.au/corp/board/newman.htm
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:48 pm
Abetz u iz garbage
by george on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:48 pm
Not very convincing Erica.
Now he’s defending Gloria.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:48 pm
finns
ahem
banzai is japanese
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:48 pm
cud chewer
It’s like giving 2/3 of a debate to Flat Earthers and then saying that these other people disagree with them.
Why does every group of cretins get such a loud voice nowadays?
by Diogenes on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:48 pm
Abetz getting away with it. Gee, he’s good at his craft.
by Boerwar on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:49 pm
This is not going to be a good night for Erica.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:49 pm
Gus, its Fukushina
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 9:49 pm