Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Thanks GWV.
What’s with the photo of the PM?
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:21 am
Dario,
they’re racing, aren’t they?
by drake on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:22 am
Adendum
As I did too
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:22 am
Dogs are pro-Labor?
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:22 am
Little wonder sections of the media implored the PM to start talking about something other than the carbon pricing scheme. She should ignore them.
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:23 am
once they hit the Champs Elysees it gets serious…
by Scarpat on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:23 am
drake,
They race when they get to the Champs. Winning in Paris is important and Cavendish is not yet certain of the green jersey.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:25 am
“Bills, bills, bills” ARGHGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:25 am
Not yet, not really anyway
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:25 am
fess
read flintys ramble in the sat daily terrograph
plus piers
both are scared
The Prime Minister, Julia Gillard, has them scared shiteless
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:25 am
Lord Murdoch hath tired of gazing upon fair Carbonia’s Great big new tits? Bring on the dancing wombats!
by lefty e on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:25 am
Ducky:
It’s the first time I’ve seen the Newspoll talbes feature a photo.
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:26 am
But no challenge to the yellow jersey?
I confuse Scarps, very confuse…
by drake on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:26 am
and a bit of Piaf.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:27 am
drake
+1
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:27 am
And nearly on the Champs!
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:28 am
No. Not guilty. A lawyer, of sorts.
by smithe on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:28 am
Correct, relax dude!
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:28 am
And now the Champs
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:28 am
Here comes the pace
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:29 am
Drake,
No, he is too far ahead so there won’t be a challenge.
by Scarpat on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:29 am
BMC absolutely gunning it wow
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:30 am
bush or kangaroo court
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:30 am
Amazing road. Nothing like it anywhere in the world.
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:32 am
Yes, I was very concerned about the impact on [insert random shit here, eg I dunno, ...Pharmacies!] today at Tony’s daily doorstop of great concern.
Aside from the fact that it didnt make a feckin’ lick of sense, I found it most compelling etc.
by lefty e on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:32 am
smithe,
no worries (I think there’s a journo lurking PB stealing your material)
by drake on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:33 am
And Id like to thank the media for covering it.
by lefty e on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:33 am
fulv
2 stroke aint candles
tho maybe of the same mould
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:33 am
I notice they’ve posted gendarmes every 25 metres or so down the champs elysees.
Keep an eye out for Clouseau everyone. He’ll be the bloke who somehow manages to get his baton entangled in Cadel’s spokes.
by smithe on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:34 am
you forget the appellation
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:34 am
Must have a diseased mind. He’s more than bloody welcome to it.
by smithe on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:35 am
Whether they are a deadly set of figures or not it’s the perception that is important. The perception can only be that the CT message is beginning to get through, rightly or wrongly.
by Gary on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:36 am
bet they love the cobblestones.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:37 am
Actually, I’ve given the lawyering a miss this year. It was giving me the shits after 30-odd years.
by smithe on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:37 am
Hey!
Easy on the Sans Souci comrade…
by drake on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:37 am
I would just like to say how silly I think Evan’s snark at SBS is about being jingoistically too pro Cadel. Thanks to SBS my 15 year old can now reel off respectful and well informed comments on the abilities and achievements of both the Schleck brothers, Voeckler, Contador (yes I know), Basso, Hoogerland, Sanchez, Casar, Leipheimer, Cavendish of course, and many others. I have watched him rejoice in the international nature of this international event the same way he celebrates the achievements of players from Asia Africa and all around Europe in 1st division football.
Evan have you ridden the Tour like Phil Liggett has? thought not. Shallow stuff .
by Marrickville Mauler on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:38 am
Like a hole in the head
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:38 am
Newspoll story up, and way vbelow on the front page
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-delivers-a-slight-warming-to-carbon-tax-chill/story-fn59niix-1226100968776
Matty’s BS is the lead story.
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:38 am
Hah! Yes.
Worried, of Whatever.
by lefty e on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:38 am
can’t imagine why
by drake on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:39 am
drake
Ooops
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:39 am
I think you mean his offsider Paul Sherwen, but apart from that agree totally with your post
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:39 am
lefty
most fibs are- sans souci
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:40 am
We don’t need an investigation into the media in this country
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:40 am
A seven point + shift in the carbon price strongly approve is a pretty good result. If its sustained over the next few polls then hopefully we will see it translate into an improvement in primaries for the ALP.
Although, will be interesting to see if it translates (at least a bit) into Greens primaries? Would think that the ALP would be certain to get those back in preferences though.
Here’s hoping we have seen peak Abbott and survived.
by imacca on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:40 am
Christ, did you se that fountain in the foreground? Makes the Archibald look piss-weak.
by smithe on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:41 am
Good point! I suspect she will ignore them.
by rishane on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:41 am
Oh I read French, Gus, my good man.
Its a great gag.
by lefty e on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:42 am
just an investigation into how ahem journos with as much nous as a numbat are regaled as seers of the political scene
FMD
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:43 am
Im here today at this brothel, which will be totally rooted by the carbon tax.
by lefty e on Jul 25, 2011 at 12:43 am