Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Careful Gus, don’t get involved in our domestic.
We’ll both turn on you.
by Fulvio Sammut on Jul 25, 2011 at 10:59 pm
my say
not that i can see
maybe he is thinking up a new way to say
rudd good
gillard bad
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:00 pm
I think I answered your question in 1634.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:00 pm
he he he, Gus is supposed to be the peacemaker
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:01 pm
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/07/25/world/europe/25hacking.html?hp
for late comers and night owls
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:01 pm
No Way, you dudes wouldnt do that
*counts innumerable scars and slashes*
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:01 pm
You rip his heart out, I’ll spread his entrails.
by Fulvio Sammut on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:02 pm
Not peace here:
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:03 pm
finns
at least I can be hated equally
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:03 pm
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/07/31/magazine/why-tyrants-love-the-murdoch-scandal.html?hp
another milo read
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:03 pm
There is now very little to separate Labor and the coalition on policy and practice in relation to asylum-seekers/ boat-people/ illegals…..or however you want to characterise them. Whichever way you look at it, the major parties have said they will avoid the spirit of the Refugee Convention. It is now officially a dead letter in this country, done to death by politicians.
I don’t know what is worse – the cynicism and opportunism of the coalition for being the first in the race to the bottom, or the cynicism and cowardice of Labor for being willing to chase the coalition down to the same level. We have calculated malice on the right and mis-calculated retreat on the left.
Sometimes even a small, remote, flickering, solitary light can shine in the darkest night. The light has been put out again in this country. It’s a thing now. It’s another Timor moment. Once again for the worst of political reasons, cynicism has been allowed to prevail over hope.
by briefly on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:03 pm
Btw Gus, that’s a warning
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:03 pm
I don’t mind calling medicos ‘doctor’, but, I’ve always thought it’s a bit pretentious for PhD’s to expect to be called ‘doctor’. Before I retired, all my colleagues had PhD’s (‘cept me), in various arcane subject areas, and only a couple of them were pretentious enough to call themselves ‘doctor’.
by Shineybum on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:04 pm
gusface,
Some good solid reading here.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ph.D.
by scorpio on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:04 pm
red sky at night, sailors delight?
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:05 pm
I thought Ms. Milne did well tonight, when given a chance.
by Dr Phibes on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:05 pm
Tofu has a dark side..
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2011/07/woman-accused-in-penis-attack-may-have-tainted-victims-tofu-soup.html
p.s Gus, you can’t count innumerable times
by grey on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:05 pm
Gus, Yume No Yoru, Arigato.
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:06 pm
well i have no excuse to stay up and watch the tour de france
so night all
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:06 pm
grey
when u iz a 6.5 stars generals
anything is possible
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:06 pm
What is your suggestion for an alternative Labor policy?
And keep in mind if it involves simply letting more boat arrivals be processed here, the Coalition will probably win every election for the next decade.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:06 pm
Well finns, you Boers, Frank and I at least have a clue as to how a Parliament should be run, and how to respect the speaker.
Not like those bullies in the House of Representitives …
by Fulvio Sammut on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:08 pm
Yeah there’s no point doing it outside of an academic setting.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:08 pm
For once I agree with Shows
And the same question applies to Pegasus .
What is your answer , and we want your own words – not Cntrl C + V
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:09 pm
lets look at this way 4000 souls will get to come to aust. not in a leaky scary boat, and the criminals will have no income, the 4000 people will come have an income and a secure and happy life and contribute to our country and their children will be our future,
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:09 pm
shows
awhile back some of the fibs were poo pooing a regional solution
so far labor has malaysia on board, prob png and then Indonesia
the rest will follow
this a long game policy
so far it has been played well
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:09 pm
So has Abbott announced if the Coalition will retain the Malysian swap deal? Or is that the question that everyone is meant to forget about because it would require the Coalition to stop criticising the policy that they most likely will end up supporting?
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:10 pm
I am a late comer. Thanks My Say, definitely a ‘good news story’
by Dr Phibes on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:11 pm
what abbotts next Trojan horse
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:11 pm
interesting answer
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:12 pm
Just a repost..
https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/MurdochAlert-details/
by cud chewer on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:12 pm
I wouldn’t mind an answer to these questions from the Malaysian solution critics.
by scorpio on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:13 pm
sure is DR Phibes
this last week or so we can go to sleep with smiles on our faces and sleep well
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:13 pm
This is a good point. The Government shouldn’t stop at Malaysia, it should sign more agreements with other countries so we take more valid refugees at the same time as HOPEFULLY stopping or slowing the number of arrivals by boat.
The Government then could start having ANOTHER debate about whether or not it makes sense for us to increase our humanitarian quota, given that there are so many in our region that are valid refugees but simply have nowhere to go.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:14 pm
I am surprised no-one commented on my 1627
Did no-one else see that report on Lateline? The nutter actually had that in his writings.
by bemused on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:15 pm
agreed New guinea,
i think in the long run timor may be sorry they didnt take this up.
it would of i think been very good for their employment situation
we could of offered apprectise ships to build the center ect chefs, electricians builders they could of come to darwin to do thier trade,
i wrote to Minister Bowen with this idea some months ago in case, but i still think about how we could of helped timor in this way
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:16 pm
shows
alot of foreign aid has been diverted to the region
i think the announcement was a few weeks ago’
also there is abeefing up of defence trade ties
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:17 pm
This agreement with Malaysia is not a regional solution.
Volker Turk, UNHCR, on LL just now, described it as a bilateral agreement.
by Pegasus on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:17 pm
Saw this snippet about Tom Watson in the Indie (how could UK Labour put up with Blair for so long):
’2006 Resigned from Ministry of Defence after signing letter calling on Tony Blair to stand down. Told BBC News that Rebekah Brooks said she “would never forgive [him] for what I’d done to her Tony”.’
by sohar on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:17 pm
bemused we thought it was tongue in cheek i wanted to comment but to scared to
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:17 pm
Why so?
It’s too formal.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:17 pm
Bemused, some things are so exquisitely poignant, that they are above comment.
by Fulvio Sammut on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:18 pm
and funnily enough the story isn’t on ABC online in the general section.
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:18 pm
I find a lot of ‘sirs’ pretentious. Lets start with Mick Jagger amd move down. At least you have to earn a Doctorate to get DR for a title.
by Dr Phibes on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:18 pm
my say
i wouldnt write off timor leste
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:19 pm
bemused then you are serious, will this be headlines tomorrow on abc,
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:19 pm
my say @ 1689
No, it was for real. The nutter actually praised them in his writings.
by bemused on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:19 pm
no i think timor will come on board eventually, but i would love to see it away of helping them build a nation,
sounds awful though i suppose, but then tasmania was built that way.
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:20 pm
bemused,
It was discussed at some length earlier.
by scorpio on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:20 pm
It should be on the agenda at APEC.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 11:21 pm