Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Finns
Finns, Boerwar, Fukushima & Co Conglomorate have opened a new division: Refugee Travel Assistance Bureau.
Here is our business model for people smugglers.
Step 1. Smuggle people out of Malaysia and into Australia at a cost rate. We could even do loss leader, agility and flexibility are the keys. These people would be refugess currently being treated as illegal immigrants in Malaysia.
Step 2. Our clients would be sent straight back to Malaysia but they would have access to education, health and employment. Got to be worth something hey partner? Plus, there is our social dividend policy. We are doing it for their own good.
Step 3. Once the magic 800 number had been smuggled over, we in the high margin trade zone.
Profits Uber Alles.
by Boerwar on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:15 pm
That’s a great summary by Mumble!
by ShowsOn on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:17 pm
canasta76,
No, but the LotO is apparently at a Cattle Station near Rockhampton to discuss the live cattle trade.
This is similar to yesterday when he was at a nickle mine that is instead, a refinery to discuss the carbon tax affect on coal mining. lol
Rockhampton has three meat processing works, one of them the largest such facility in the southern hemisphere.
There is “no” live cattle trade ouit of Rockhampton. There’s far more money to be made in the Korean and japanese processed meat market as well they also supply the local domestic market with beef processed at Rockhampton.
We are badly served by a totally compromised and incompetent media in this country.
Watching the squirming trying to explain Queensland’s electricity generation and distribution system on Insiders yesterday was cring-worthy.
They knew that they didn’t have a clue about it but were apparently hoping that nobody else knew either (except 4 or 5 million Qld’ers) and they could bluff their way through it.
Surely, the time must come when they realise that their every word is being clinically analysed and disected and they have to ultimately and eventually realise they have no clothes and start to actually do what they are expected to given their profession is to inform the public with “facts”!
Bloody hell, what are those?
by scorpio on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:17 pm
http://bobcarrblog.wordpress.com/2011/07/26/the-tragedy-in-norway/
sad but as well, inspiring article
by gusface on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:17 pm
Got the NBN legislation through parliament.
Get the mining tax passed.
by confessions on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:21 pm
SO
Described some of the functional classes of neural pathways with regard to projections and their neurotransmitters in the human gut.
by Diogenes on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:22 pm
Abbott is in Rockhampton meeting graziers at “Paradise Lagoons” a property owned by the Acton family. Paradise Lagoons recieved significant funding from the Howard Govt to build a camp draft facility. The Actons also own cattle properties in the gulf country, I think they would make commercial decisions about selling cattle light and live or bringing them down to put on weight and be processed in Rocky. Unlike the cattle produces in the NT they have options.
by why worry on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:24 pm
Also Abbott is holding a “public” meeting in Rockhampton, somehow public is invitation only and the local LNP people are claiming the meeting is “full”.
by why worry on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:26 pm
Fun, fun, fun!
by ShowsOn on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:28 pm
Howard certainly took the country in the wrong direction. I could never understand how he could say, wtte, that we don’t need people who throw the children overboard. As a father he should have known how much our sons and daughters mean to us and for him to think that others, because they come from a different background, have different feelings towards their children, tells me what a small man he was and is.
Howard got away with this kind of language because he was never questioned about this either by the media or his own party.
by adam abdool on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:29 pm
Holy crapping crap, Lordy Monckton is at the press club to support a fellow climate denier, the President of the Czech republic.
by ShowsOn on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:36 pm
LOL! He just quoted Bob Carter.
It seems that Lordy Monckton has written his speech.
by ShowsOn on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:38 pm
In some ways it was better he surrendered, as at his trial (I believe he’s pleading not guilty) a lot more will be revealed – some of which may serve to quell the extreme right & their leaders, who are a growing concern, especially in Europe. One can but hope.
I await with great interest to know how he draws Pell into his so-called manifesto, as I can’t fathom what the connection will be – even if it is, as you say, a cut & paste job.
by charlton on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:39 pm
Here is a blog written by a boy who survived Norway’s Utoeya Island massacre, I and my OH wept after reading it. These kids will never be the same. Ever. They watched friends die and many of them will carry survivors guilt til the end. I keep thinking of that line from Pink Floyd’s “The Gunners Dream”: ‘….and no one kills the children any more.’
http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/1572645/Survivor%27s-blog:-Hell-on-Utoeya
by david on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:41 pm
We have learned over the last couple of days that the Oslo mass murderer was a reactionary Islamophobe with a messianic bent. Progressive politics was conceived by him as the arch enemy of his crusade to reprise a ‘christian’, white Norway under a Templar banner. Overtones of Third Reich mythologizing and racial theory are discernible in his largely plagiarized manifesto.
He appears to be a self-obsessed sociopath with little or no empathy with his fellow citizens. No doubt the full extent of his pathology will emerge over the next days, weeks and months, and to what extent he had links with internal and external players.
It is of passing note that he appears to have been drawn to the ideas of John Howard, Cardinal Pell and Keith Windschuttle. I’m sure all of these men would be horrified by this connection but why are they in the picture at all?
Further musings here:
http://seekingasylumdownunder2.blogspot.com/
by kraken on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:41 pm
LOL! Well surprise, surprise, his book was published by a right wing ‘think’ tank that receives funding from oil companies:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Competitive_Enterprise_Institute#Funding
by ShowsOn on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:43 pm
President Obama in his speech today:
http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2011/07/obama-default-would-be-reckless-and-irresponsible.php
Well, The Tea Party folks did vote for a dysfunctional government, but still doesn’t necessarily follow that all the other pollies have to behave like their most extreme right-wingers.
by Atticus on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:43 pm
TA said himself, this morning on Mackay ABC, that there were empty chairs in the 150 seat venue here. He then went on to say that George Christensen had underestimated TA’s popularity. Go figure.
by nappin on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:43 pm
This is the saddest National Press Club address of all time.
by ShowsOn on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:44 pm
And it seems he is threatened by some mob called “they”!
They want to do this, they want to do that, they threaten this, they threaten that…….
Blimey, must keep a watch out for this dreaded “they”!
by scorpio on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:44 pm
What a nutcase. Makes Abbott look good in comparison.
by Mithrandir on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:48 pm
Kersebleptes:
I missed William Bowes’ link which explain’s the Pell connection.
But there’s bound to be much more revealed at trial.
by charlton on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:50 pm
In what way?
by confessions on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:52 pm
Have they got to questions yet? They’d better grill this stooge, otherwise the press club has seriously gone overboard.
by Dario on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:52 pm
No he is STILL talking!
Even Monckton is close to nodding off.
by ShowsOn on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:58 pm
charlton,
It is good he is in custody- because of, as you say, the things we will learn. If he had help, then those helpers will be looking to him to keep quiet. Hopefully there will be geniuses of interrogation & investigation sent to talk to him. Again and again.
The Pell connection could be a furphy, but if there is something there, it may be as small as some statement from Pell speaking of the need for all churches to unify with Rome (something a Roman Catholic Cardinal might well have said). Breivik had apparently written of his desire for Protestant churches to join in a “Catholic” one
though by “catholic” he may just have meant “unified”. Or perhaps right-wingers in Australia have praised Pell to like-minded nutters overseas as being “sound”.
As you say, we will now probably have an opportunity to find out. Getting inside Breivik’s head will do us little good, but if he has allies then teasing them out will be a very useful thing…
by Kersebleptes on Jul 26, 2011 at 12:58 pm
The President of the Czech republic is just rambling on and on and on about things he obviously knows nothing about.
by ShowsOn on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:00 pm
shows
he did try and equate communism with CC
by gusface on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:01 pm
Its pretty embarrassing actually. Seems to be a bit paranoid about the reds under the bed as well.
by paritybit on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:02 pm
The “Pell Connection” was posted last night. Breivik just quoted a comment by Pell made after 9-11 saying that he’d looked into the Koran and thought Islam was a fairly intolerant religion. It was pretty harmless and very similar to what Dawkins has said about Islam.
by Diogenes on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:03 pm
Oh dear crap! Now he pays a tribute to Lordy Monckton
by ShowsOn on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:03 pm
Oh, is that Vaclav’s problem with AGW?
He doesn’t want a Communist World Government!
by Kersebleptes on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:03 pm
Why is he saying we need to adapt when he claims there is no climate change?
by Mithrandir on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:04 pm
Diogenes,
Well, there’s a headline!
“Dawkins & Pell agree with Breivik”
by Kersebleptes on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:05 pm
“I went from prague to australia and i adapted without any serious problem”
Implying because we can deal with hot days we can adapt to climate change
by paritybit on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:05 pm
Just by applying thermal fleece, I was able to adapt to Canberra’s winter weather without trouble…
by Kersebleptes on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:09 pm
Either he’s amazingkly susceptible to any and every conspiricy thoery doing the rounds or he’s just a gun for hire for any vested interest that is wishing to have as much mis-information as possible spread by a mouthpiece that has a degree of cred.
In this case by being an ex head of a mid power European country.
by scorpio on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:11 pm
I dont want the soviets invading australia, therefore i dont support a carbon tax
by paritybit on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:14 pm
Anybody linked this today?
http://www.smh.com.au/national/education/elite-schools-reap-solid-profits–with-the-help-of-public-funding-20110725-1hx7f.html
Lets stop this rip off. Cranbrook, a $7.3m profit, while the federal government contributes $5.3m? Bloody craziness. Lets hope the review makes this fairer and gives a greater share to state schools. Hopefully Garret can pull this change off, although I am sure we will see the elite schools whicge as usual…there goes the 2nd tennis court….
by Benji on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:14 pm
Excuse my ignorance, but who is at the NPC?
by adam abdool on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:15 pm
scorpio,
Nah- it’s gotta be the Communist World Government! Resist now- grab your guns…oh no! That Communist infiltrator John Howard has already disarmed us- save us, Vaclav…
by Kersebleptes on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:15 pm
Like Monckton then? How is denialist rubbish about world governments contributing to the national debate about the most efficient and cost-effective ways to reduce our GHGEs?
Abating our emissions is a bipartisan policy goal. The NPC should have a good, hard look at itself.
by confessions on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:15 pm
These capitalists from former soviet countries are the worst. They will throw the baby out with the bathwater to show how anti communist they are. Anything which infringes on their right to make money is seen as communism.
by Mithrandir on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:16 pm
For PBers that had questions about IPA if you go to the website you will find who the members are and a bit further down you will find the office bearers as well you will find their financial reports for the last ten years.Also on the site you will see the ads for todays press club speech by Vaclav and also his next two in two other states so i would say IPA are the ones sponsoring these speeches,found this last night when i went to the IPA site
by canasta76 on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:18 pm
Atticus 2166 – apparently Congressional websites have crashed as a result of being bombarded since Obama’s speech.
In other news, a very sad day with the passing of Margaret Olley. A great Australian and a wonderful artist.
by Burgey on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:20 pm
Cop this for FoxNews paranoia.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=385×603526
by BK on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:21 pm
jen’s petition pitch is now ranked 10th.
http://suggest.getup.org.au/forums/60819-campaign-ideas/suggestions/1684971-petition-for-abc-to-return-to-its-charter
by confessions on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:23 pm
Joke of the year.
by ShowsOn on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:26 pm
Half of the press questions to him have been light weight tosh.
The fact the NPC has accepted this wankery has made the place look like a kindergarten.
by ShowsOn on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:28 pm
The IPA was founded in the early 1940s (by Charles Kemp, father of the Kemp brothers, erstwhile luminaries of the Howard Govt) with the express aim of rejuvenating right-wing politics in Australia.
Then, in turn, the IPA was one of the organisations that came together to found the Liberal Party.
by Kersebleptes on Jul 26, 2011 at 1:28 pm