Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Yeah otherwise Tina Arena will be pissed off. She is lined up to sing the national anthem.
by Scarpat on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:17 am
Gus, (and anyone else)
can you please retweet this for me?
(Please excuse lost doggie stuff, pbers)
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:17 am
shows
dry humour dont do well on PB
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:17 am
Pulling in the break. Big finish.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:17 am
As evidenced by Monckton’s and Jones’s audiences being distinctly in the 55+ category
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:18 am
Why? How can anyone tell with this race who is winning from one minute to the next? At the moment it seems anyone could win it. Yet all we saw in the headlines this morning was that Cadel was the “winner elect”. If he doesn’t end up winning the race, it will be pretty embarrassing.
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:18 am
Puff,
Of course. All the leeway you want.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:19 am
Fess,
Dario assures me its in the bag
by drake on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:19 am
If all you were fed was a diet of Jonesey or Hadley or whoever day after day, you’d end-up believing black is white too.
Give it time.
Patience, Grasshopper, patience.
by smithe on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:19 am
Nice to see this poll, hope it is beginning of trend and that Tiny is on way out.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:19 am
He has a one and a half minute lead
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:20 am
Age or IQ? Oops, sorry, didn’t see the +.
by Scarpat on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:20 am
Puffy:
Does that mean you’ve found one of your doggies?
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:22 am
puff
Done
will retweet again tomorrow night
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:23 am
Puff,
Had a friend who lost a dog at Seal Rocks and managed to find it three weeks later.
Good luck.
by drake on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:23 am
Cadel has now OFFICIALLY won the TDF, as they are inside the last 3km
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:25 am
Great stuff coming up.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:26 am
fess,
There has been a sighting of a dog that might be one of them. ID from photos. He has been seen raiding bins and eating food left out. i am doing a 4am stake-out this morning. Even if it is not mine, i want to rescue it. if it is not mine, I will call the council to get him.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:26 am
He will win because he has a 90 second lead before the start of today, and today’s race will be won by a sprinter, not by any of people that are close enough to Evans to win, and even if they won they would have to win by 90 seconds, but they won’t do that because they can’t attack Evans today.
by ShowsOn on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:26 am
SBS just said threre’s no way Cadel can lose.
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:27 am
Thanks Gus. See the twitpic of him?
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:27 am
Puff:
Best of luck. I hope it’s your doggie!
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:29 am
Great stuff Cadel Evans
by drake on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:29 am
Wow what a finish, I am glad Cavendish keeps the Green. Well done, CAAAADDDDEEEELLLL.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:30 am
OMG, death by photography!
by cud chewer on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:30 am
puff
yup
definitely a labor dog
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:30 am
Wot of he falls off?
by imacca on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:30 am
imacca,
Rule: crash within 3 ks of finish and you get same time.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:31 am
cfsmtb GROUP HUG AUSTRALIA. #tdf #sbstdf
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:31 am
Thanks fess.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:31 am
Great moment
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:32 am
imacca,
http://inrng.com/2011/07/the-3km-rule-explained/
by cud chewer on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:32 am
That’s better than taking the Auld Mug off the Yanks.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:32 am
Is that the end of it?
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:32 am
Gus,
to the core!
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:33 am
Ducky
+1
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:33 am
Dario,
What happened !!??
The guy in the green shirt won…
You promised me !!!
by drake on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:34 am
No offence to bicycle riders but jeez, a bit of crowd enthusiasm and feedback wouldn’t go astray!
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:35 am
Ah, so Lance Armstrong “a shade under 34″ when he won the TDF. Cadel 34.
Clears that up.
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:38 am
I am not normally a sports snob, but people either refusing to read, failing to understand or refusing to believe about 10 explanations from last night and tonight about the TdeF has left m chuckling a little.
No wonder it is hard to get complex arguments across
by Goshome on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:39 am
fess,
A ‘shade under 34′ is 33 in my maths.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:39 am
The rules in the TDF seem to me to be just about as complex as the rules and etiqette of jousting.
One may strike one’s opponent on the shield, chest or shoulder but hitting the helmet is poor form. Two points for this, one for that.
And a penalty if the horse craps.
by smithe on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:39 am
Only under Labor can a Tour de France be won
by gusface on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:42 am
grrrrrrr
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:44 am
OMG if Tone finds out Cadel’s bike is made of carbon fibre he’ll claim Gillard is taxing our brave tour hero.
by Goshome on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:44 am
My my, the chattering classes can’t wait to pretend they know all about the rules of bicycle races in order to lord it over those who don’t give a shit normally and aren’t afraid to say so.
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:48 am
This from today’s SMH:
Seems the Global economy is working out really well for some.
It’s not the fukin’ Dark Ages FFS. Anyone caught engaging in this kind of wage-slavery ought to be slotted, IMHO. They won’t be, of course, but nice to dream.
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/illegal-workers-rife-in-construction-industry-union-claims-20110724-1hvgo.html#ixzz1T2QGIWQJ
by smithe on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:49 am
Hey, i don’t know all the rules, but what the heck, it was all exciting.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:49 am
Me too!
Thought you’d appreciate that spectacular piece of sporting hyper-bowl.
by confessions on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:49 am
Goshome,
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 25, 2011 at 1:50 am