Crikey



Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition

GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.

We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.

UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.

UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

5392 Responses

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  1. Thefinnigans The Finnigans
    Oh dear, Ali Moore, i am solly to what i said this evening. You dont have to cut your blonde hair just to prove me wRONg.
    4 seconds ago

    by The Finnigans on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:41 pm

  2. Someone has to stand up for anuses.

    by Boerwar on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:41 pm

  3. Im more then happy for the right to be forced to view and confront this despicable act based on the right side of the political scale. JWH whistled dixie on many things and the right should confront this issues and reflect on it

    V reasonable

    Of course the left is whistling like mad on Climate change and people like myself who dont want to cut co2 are told we are as good as killing the children of the future and should be killed as demonstrated in the ad by 10:10.

    then you return to your vomit

    :(

    by gusface on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:42 pm

  4. Dio

    I reckon Kafka would have loved the modern world.

    It would all have made perfect nonsense to him.

    by Boerwar on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:42 pm

  5. Someone has to stand up for anuses.

    Partner, while sitting down?

    by The Finnigans on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:42 pm

  6. b

    Someone has to stand up for anuses.

    you, of course, being the ideal candiddate

    :)

    by gusface on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:43 pm

  7. Vomit has also received somewhat of a bad press.

    Better out than in if the tummy needs a rest.

    by Boerwar on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:43 pm

  8. There has been only very shallow and superficial analysis of the Norway incident here on Poll Bludger.

    Of course, “the Norway incident” is just someone fell of his bike and grazed himself.

    The Bludgers’ comments are worth thousands of lines of “reportage” in the msm.

    by This little black duck on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:43 pm

  9. Gus, an attack on B is an attack on me. select your weapon.

    by The Finnigans on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:44 pm

  10. Boer,

    I’m more the heart and soul type.

    by Greensborough Growler on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:44 pm

  11. The Finnigans

    Poroti, would Dick Gillard help?

    No but if it was Big Swinging Dick Gillard then many Liberals would be swung over. Remember the juvenile Libs clique that called themselves the big swinging dicks ? Now there is a party that i would suggest has some “issues”. Tones activities strike me as being that of a sexually insecure adolescent feeling a need to “prove” his manly manliness.

    by poroti on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:45 pm

  12. finns

    fulv

    by gusface on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:45 pm

  13. g

    I am doing it for humanity. It is a curious thing that humans think the head is noble, the eyes are windows to the soul and the anus is the lowest of the low.

    They quite forget that the soul needs an anus far more than the other way around.

    by Boerwar on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:45 pm

  14. BW

    Now that I think of it, K’s lawyer hated him in The Trial.

    Breivik’s doesn’t seem to keen on him either.

    by Diogenes on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:46 pm

  15. b

    personal experience is no recommendation

    ;)

    by gusface on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:46 pm

  16. Boerwar,

    Equal rights for vomit opens up a whole new paradigm.

    by Greensborough Growler on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:46 pm

  17. I distinctly recall getting into deep water while analysing the christian mass killer. So it wasn’t shallow.

    by Boerwar on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:47 pm

  18. charlton,

    I often misinterpret others’ posts as I’m not good at doing cryptic, even logic.

    So I’ve noticed on a couple of occasions now!

    Touche & apologies if I caused offence.

    I do admit I’m over-sensitive re. certain topics.

    Apologies gratefully accepted.

    Sometimes people can get the wrong impression of a comment if they haven’t been following lead-up posts that may have determined the content of a response.

    You may have noticed a couple of examples of that already today, so it is not exactly a rare occurrence.

    My style is to wait a bit before I give a critical response to someone to make sure I have a full handle on it.

    That doesn’t apply to humerous quips that I might make in response to sombody’s comment.

    Maybe my sense of humour doesn’t sit well with everybody or sometimes I might not quite hit the mark.

    Such is life on PB! ;-)

    by scorpio on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:48 pm

  19. One of these days Glen you may actually extract your head from your anus and smell the roses

    This sort of comment isn’t helpful either!

    by evan14 on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:48 pm

  20. Dio

    In terms of aborting a trial, I would have thought that his lawyer should have told Mr Breivik that he was a Labor lawyer.

    Silly stuff not doing so, IMHO.

    by Boerwar on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:48 pm

  21. The sad thing is that they are ahead of us. Heck we have not quite got around to accepting someone without a penis can run the place. Have they mentioned that the honky hero Ronnie Raygun raised the debt limit 18 times ? Thought not but then he was white.

    I don’t think America has got around to accepting that either. (Just look at how Clinton and Palin were treated in 2008. Sure Palin has highly messed up ideas, but so do most Republicans, and they don’t get the treatment she got.) Even in the current ‘debt ceiling’ talks, Nancy Pelosi has largely been shut out so its just been a bunch of men discussing it all. Given the policies we’re doing here (carbon price, NBN, tax reform to benefit lower income people etc: ) and the policies they’re planning there (starting to tear into Social Security/Medicare, lowering tax cuts for the wealthy even more) I think that we’re ‘ahead’ as such.

    by rishane on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:49 pm

  22. equartorze

    Got the peasants up in pitchforks yet? Or do they disappoint?

    by Boerwar on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:49 pm

  23. EVAN

    Is tonites cameo, good evan or bad evan?

    by gusface on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:49 pm

  24. Breivik’s doesn’t seem to keen on him either.

    He is matter of fact, no passion. As should be. I have a high regard for Scandinavian ethics.

    BTW of absolutely nothing, Anni-Frid Synni Lyngstad was born in Norway.

    by This little black duck on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:50 pm

  25. Thefinnigans The Finnigans
    oh dear now is Tony “The Malborough Man” Abbott, how patheticment #auspol show us your tits tone.
    5 seconds ago

    by The Finnigans on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:52 pm

  26. rummel
    ...
    Of course the left is whistling like mad on Climate change and people like myself who dont want to cut co2

    Reduce the pollution is our cities, extend the time to when we run out of non renewable resources, and as a side benefit reduce the amount of carbon we convert back toCO2. What is there not to like? What benefit is there in not cutting CO2 emissions?

    And what has it got to do with the left. Are you saying the left supports science the right superstition. What line are you trying to draw?

    by fredn on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:53 pm

  27. gg

    Occasionally a dog will revisit his vomit and re-ingest. Jack Russells know best.

    by Boerwar on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:54 pm

  28. gusface @ 2888:

    charlton

    we all get bashed around the ring

    some more so than others

    Be that as it may but I don’t like people’s opinion’s being subjected to ridicule for no other reason than for hubris.

    by charlton on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:55 pm

  29. Duck,

    There was something in the air that night, Fernando.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ohr4P8E_io

    by Greensborough Growler on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:55 pm

  30. rishane

    I don’t think America has got around to accepting that either.

    O.K. We’ll call it a draw then. It probaly is as big a sacre beaujolais moment for America to have a non WASP president as it is for Australia to have a woman as PM.

    by poroti on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:56 pm

  31. charlton

    be that as it may seem

    sometimes it flushes out the flakes from the sharks

    by gusface on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:57 pm

  32. TLBD
    I will be posting here, no worries. I love being on PB. Dragons have thick skin. ;)
    I have not been up as late as the quack (oops) doc gave me something so I can get to sleep. Nights have not been good with my doggies missing. I have still two, the mother and father of my missing fur-babies, but hell, there are two empty spots under my quilt.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:57 pm

  33. Maybe someone can help

    What is the term where a persons “knowledge” increase/decreases in the opposition direction to their understanding of the subject.

    by Ratsars on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:59 pm

  34. puff

    no news at all?

    by gusface on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:59 pm

  35. Puff,

    Kisses.

    by This little black duck on Jul 26, 2011 at 10:59 pm

  36. GG,

    Got the book, got the CDs, got the videos.

    by This little black duck on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:00 pm

  37. fredn

    Im saying the left is very well versed in the Green Whistle that promotes the killing of people like my self who dont want to cut co2 by using the media as much as JWH.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JfnddMpzPsM

    There has already been one case of a green crazy taking hostages with the threat to kill people over CC, wont be long and there will be more.

    by rummel on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:01 pm

  38. O.K. We’ll call it a draw then. It probaly is as big a sacre beaujolais moment for America to have a non WASP president as it is for Australia to have a woman as PM.

    Its a big moment for sure. It just bums me after all the optimism around his election knowing that America in most ways (not all) is still heading in the wrong direction. And this article gives some pretty disturbing insights into his current behaviour with the debt ceiling negotiations: http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2011/aug/18/what-were-they-thinking/?pagination=false Even with the Republicans being crooked and often insane, he isn’t helping with his ‘Grand Bargain’ crap.

    by rishane on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:01 pm

  39. If le President does it, why not the LOTO?

    http://www.newsgroper.com/nicolas-sarkozy

    Mind you, le President actually rides his steed. Mr Abbott has great difficulty just sitting on a horse.

    By their eyes, the horses don’t appreciate it either.

    by Boerwar on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:01 pm

  40. What is the term where a persons “knowledge” increase/decreases in the opposition direction to their understanding of the subject.

    Ratty, that an easy one, Evan2GB

    by The Finnigans on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:02 pm

  41. And,

    Bjorn, Benny and Frida were born one year before I was. Agnetha, 5 years later.

    by This little black duck on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:02 pm

  42. rummy

    why do remind me of rumsfield?

    next you will have proof of CC activist having WMD’s

    :(

    by gusface on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:02 pm

  43. be that as it may seem

    sometimes it flushes out the flakes from the sharks

    Gus,
    As much as I enjoy your metaphorical satires, gotta’ admit that this one has got me stumped. ;)

    by Atticus on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:03 pm

  44. Duck,

    We have the same phenomenon here regarding Harry Potter.

    by Greensborough Growler on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:03 pm

  45. I recall once when I was in a spud paddock, picking spuds when the owner approached, all a-lather because, ‘They have elected a catholic!’

    ‘Twas JFK.

    by Boerwar on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:03 pm

  46. gusface,

    He is Beau Rummel.

    by This little black duck on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:03 pm

  47. atticus

    then you are neither

    :)

    by gusface on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:03 pm

  48. Well here is a whole page of Liberal-Left podcasts at Podomatic for those who desire some spoken-word listening…

    http://www.podomatic.com/category/Liberal%20%28Left%29

    by Cuppa on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:04 pm

  49. gusface

    “CC activist having WMD’s”

    They do, those wind farms are causing bad health effect :)

    by rummel on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:04 pm

  50. Boerwar

    gg

    Occasionally a dog will revisit his vomit and re-ingest. Jack Russells know best.

    I am afraid to inform you that Border Collies have gone far beyond JR’s in that type of thing. Along time ago in a galaxy far away I grew up on a dairy farm.Part of the kids job was to feed all the calves milk (Mmmm lumps of milk powder) and take them out to their paddock. Now being younguns the calves now and again suffered from scours (Think Diarrhoea) so milk going in one end came out very soon after the other end. Lovely yellow. Anyway. Do not be eating food at the moment. Our border collies were so keen on this barely processed dairy food that they would lap it up from the source as it were. Only time I ever felt revolted on the farm.

    by poroti on Jul 26, 2011 at 11:05 pm

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