Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
anyhow, time to sack.
nite all.
by smithe on Jul 25, 2011 at 2:24 am
Maybe he felt he had to do penance for his recent articles critiquing Abbott.
by rishane on Jul 25, 2011 at 2:25 am
Morning jerkers. Another excellent poll for the Coalition.
PVO’s article is quite right – the Government seems intent to burn its bridges with all and sundry: business, unions, the general public. Meanwhile, Gillard continues to waft about without authority or gravitas.
by Generic Person on Jul 25, 2011 at 2:28 am
Following Cadel’s brief speech to the crowd I’d like to follow up with some of the fine words of the band Megadeth
A tout la monde
A tout mes amis
Je vous aime
Je doigt partir
Bonne nuit!
by Dario on Jul 25, 2011 at 2:30 am
Just to add to what I said there, obviously it depends on what kind of business, but perhaps there’s something to be said for not getting along brilliantly with them? Especially the vested interests. Sometimes things that are good and should be done are going to irritate them.
by rishane on Jul 25, 2011 at 2:35 am
Gird is related to girt…to arm or to use a girdle …for ones sword
to surround one as with a girdle
by deblonay on Jul 25, 2011 at 4:15 am
“I see the increase in favourability on carbon tax has been driven by a seven-point rise in “strongly in favour”.”
Actually, William, this is the only poll that refers to a carbon “price” not a “tax”. I wonder how many of those polled would be just little bit confused by the language switch from the now preferred media propaganda usage?
by joe2 on Jul 25, 2011 at 6:21 am
Ha ha ha Fightback, fightback, and fightback.
Thefinnigans The Finnigans
@
@JuliaGillard Dear PM, well done fightback has begun. Journey of a 1000 miles starts with a single step, Nov13 is light year away #auspol
11 seconds ago
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 6:22 am
He is a Dickhead
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 6:30 am
Thefinnigans The Finnigans
And #Cadel, Cadel, Cadel, OOiii, OOii, OOiii #tdf
8 seconds ago
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 6:33 am
6 am, been here since 4.30 am. walked other dog everywhere, he scent marked evrrtythying. can only wait. at least with a dog peeps mgiht not gthink i am a near-do-well. must check how much battey left in laptop. fingers crossed doggy appears.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 25, 2011 at 6:35 am
Good luck Puff.
by joe2 on Jul 25, 2011 at 6:38 am
Thefinnigans The Finnigans
Memo to #shockjocks: Breivik hates Muslim, Immigrants and Multiculture Society. He blames the Left, Labour and killed Labour Youth #norway
11 seconds ago
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 6:39 am
Anders, in his 1500 page document, says he wants the world population to be about 2.5 billion in 2083 (?), mainly white Europeans. A Norwegian journo has read through the lot.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 6:42 am
The political angle must not be missed here:
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/world/calculated-attack-on-future-of-nations-left-wing-20110724-1hvh2.html#ixzz1T3eBfswG
by The Finnigans on Jul 25, 2011 at 6:47 am
“Government hits back at ‘deceitful’ carbon tax ads”
http://www.theage.com.au/national/government-hits-back-at-deceitful-carbon-tax-ads-20110724-1hvfp.html
” The ACCI is one of six industry groups behind the campaign. A strategy document seen by The Age says its aim is to “build public opposition to the carbon tax so that it is either substantially modified or fails to pass the Parliament”. “
by joe2 on Jul 25, 2011 at 6:59 am
Morning all.
A nice juxtaposition by Cathy Wilcox in the SMH.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/cathy-wilcox-20090909-fhd6.html
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 7:07 am
The ACCI, a business union invited by Howard to low-key meetings in late 2004 to draw up the blueprint of what was to become WorkChoices. Note: Howard conspicuously did NOT invite workers’ unions to the process of formulating what was ultimately to affect millions of workers.
The ACCI was also a sponsor (along with the Business Council of Australia) of an advertising campaign in support of IR “reform” in the run-up to the 2007 election.
by Cuppa on Jul 25, 2011 at 7:17 am
ACCI represents the lightweight side of business interests. The selfish ones.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 7:19 am
The Canberra Times, 26 November 2008:
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/news/local/news/general/death-of-workchoices-undoing-10-years-of-harm/1370109.aspx?storypage=0
by Cuppa on Jul 25, 2011 at 7:20 am
You can say that again BK!
by Cuppa on Jul 25, 2011 at 7:22 am
Good Morning Bludgers,
On the improved poll results for the govt. we might have an underbridge dweller free day.
by Space Kidette on Jul 25, 2011 at 7:36 am
MotoGP is close.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 7:42 am
by Space Kidette on Jul 25, 2011 at 7:51 am
I wonder if any respectable journo actually thinks Abbott would make a good PM.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 7:53 am
BK,
Chris Kenny is an out and out Fib and he would bow at the feet of the Abbott deity, no problem at all.
by Space Kidette on Jul 25, 2011 at 7:54 am
He would make hilarious copy with regular gaffes, brainfarts and meltdowns, so from that angle you can see why ‘journalists’ would favour him. But needless to say those are not the qualities of a good PM.
by Cuppa on Jul 25, 2011 at 7:58 am
Kidette
I said “respectable” journos!
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:03 am
cuppa,
There has been a subtle shift of late with the RAbbott. Most of the quality journo’s are now questioning the validity of his policies (policy?). The more rabid Fib supporting journo’s articles are getting more shrill and stupid.
But I don’t think there is anything ministerial, let alone prime ministerial, about Abbott. You definitely wouldn’t want him representing the country overseas.
by Space Kidette on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:04 am
SK,
Indeed you wouldn’t. Just the thought of him ‘representing’ Australia abroad should have been enough to convince the Liberals to elect anyone but him as ‘leader’. Oh well, the shame of their choice is on their shoulders.
by Cuppa on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:17 am
Well, the Nauru pollies like Tony.
by This little black duck on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:19 am
Morning bludgers
How unsurprisememt. The Neilsen poll was the first thing mentioned on the radio last week in their news. This morning, no mention at all of the Newspoll. I know that Cadel deserves top billing, but I have no doubt if the polls were worse for Labor, they would have rated a first up mention.
by victoria on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:21 am
I liked this one by Wilcox also BK, selfish bastards anonymous (SBAs)
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/cathy-wilcox-20090909-fhd6.html
The carbon price is the cover for the other SBAs to bring down the govt and stop the reforms
by castle on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:23 am
ACCI is an Aussie business wing of the Tea Party.
“Anything for a dollar at the expense of the weak.”
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:29 am
castle
The SBA cartoon really does sum it up actually
by victoria on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:29 am
BK
Wonder what impact the ACCI adverts will have?
by victoria on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:31 am
Ha, looks like Abbott’s on the way out.
by calyptorhynchus on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:31 am
vic
With a bit of luck they may shoot themselves in the foot.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:32 am
BK
I hope so. The govt really do need some clean air.
by victoria on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:33 am
The tibia humper is visiting Fat cats Yabulu nickel and cobalt refinery today to discuss how Big Clive can hive off a few more millions from the Federal Government if the Tibia humper introduces his direct action policy.
Big Clive would no doubt appreciate the taxpayers of Australia giving him a few million dollars so he can pump his toxic waste in to the atmosphere.
He would no doubt be a bit cash strapped after he gave senior management at the plant a new mercedes each for Xmas, middle management a holiday in Fiji and the workers a free trip up the Daintree river in a wire netting canoe.
I don’t have access to Yabulu refinery so will not be able to ask tibia humper any hard questions. No doubt the accompanying MSM myrmidons will.
http://newmatilda.com/2010/05/10/abbott039s-battlers
by Gaffhook on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:33 am
Cripes! It’s my boy Briggs on Agenda.
But first . . . Scott “Stop the Boats” Morrison to sprout his usual bile.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:34 am
Gaffhook
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:34 am
Gaffhook
How unfortunate. The humper surely deserves some hard questions, and they wont be forthcoming from his fellow humpees!
by victoria on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:35 am
well well well how amazement,
creeping back are we suddenly
cynic cyn ic
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:35 am
Morrison is now reverting to abusing Malaysia in the face of the Bowen agreement.
Creep!!
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:36 am
not having checked has evan 14 and his 60/20
turned up yet.
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:37 am
one does have to ask the question, 12/12 the same as essential,
giggle giggle
by my say on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:38 am
my say
evan was about. Cant remember what he said.
by victoria on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:38 am
BK
How can you listen to that creep Morrison?
by victoria on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:39 am
vic
With gritted teeth.
by BK on Jul 25, 2011 at 8:40 am