Crikey



Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition

GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.

We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.

UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.

UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

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  1. Amigo Vera, make sure you dont get a Liberal Anesthesiologist :kiss: :kiss:

    by The Finnigans on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:27 pm

  2. Glen,

    Piggy Muldoon was the narrator in Rocky Horror at one stage.

    Good old PJK had a whole Musical devoted to him.

    Howard said he liked Bob Dylan for the singing not the words.

    by Greensborough Growler on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:27 pm

  3. Yes, even I can admit to be wrong once in a while (it is an extremely rare occurance I know) :lol:

    I actually thought John Singleton was a good bloke. I can’t believe he allows such rubbish to be broadcast on his radio station. So much for giving the people in the public stand a fair go John!

    Singleton is nothing but a big fat filthy rich ocker slob who only sticks for his own like the rest of them.

    by Centre on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:28 pm

  4. Er not within, smack bang in the middle.

    o head lines ” interest rates to rises”

    last i head was it last week they where going down.

    the media just love negative stoires,

    in the end they will be comethe henny pennies

    by my say on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:28 pm

  5. Centre
    Abbott like to display his impressive tackle behind the Speedos but when it comes to proper participation in debate on policy he has the balls of a gnat.

    by BK on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:28 pm

  6. Glen @ 3495:

    Charlton

    Piggy Muldoon did get a gig with the Rocky Horror Show in NZ as the narrator

    I recall that now you’ve brought it up.

    This site is very good for neuron regeneration.

    by charlton on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:29 pm

  7. last i heard……no head

    yes i know i need new glasses not these three in ones i have

    by my say on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:31 pm

  8. rummel
    Posted Wednesday, July 27, 2011 at 6:20 pm | Permalink

    “The miserable Liberals are so bereft they’re recycling old slogans.”

    Thats because there so simple they cut through the noise and joe blogs like me can say; yes if my memory is correct things were great under howard.

    Maybe if you ate more fish it might improve your memory. If you’re numerate, you could have a look at the economic performance indicators.

    If you’re not, try Mega George or Ross Gittins. You’ll find your memory’s badly astray.

    by Gorgeous Dunny on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:32 pm

  9. we havent seen much of hockey i wonder if he will out tonight, re the inflation

    with his prediction of interstest rates.

    he has been very quite, well they all have, perhaps they have all be told not to talk
    MT has so perhaps the only one that can speak is the boss

    by my say on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:32 pm

  10. Amigo finns

    Only wimps like Tone need anaesthetic
    I’m gunna stay awake so I can watch the buggers
    Don’t trust these surgeon types ;)

    No names no pack drill :D

    by vera on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:33 pm

  11. Howard said he liked Bob Dylan for the singing not the words.

    GG, did he buy Playboy for the articles too?

    by The Finnigans on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:33 pm

  12. GD,

    Yes, Rummell’s nostalgia is not what it used to be.

    by Greensborough Growler on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:33 pm

  13. Singo has been married (and separated) six times. Mark of the man

    by shellbell on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:34 pm

  14. Kochie to the rescue!

    K RuddMP Kevin Rudd
    @kochie_online can you help out the RSPCA by asking folks to vote for my arvo tea in Twinings tea comp twiningsausblend.com.au K Rudd

    by vera on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:35 pm

  15. I’m gunna stay awake so I can watch the buggers

    Amigo Vera, they stuck something up my bum the other day and i was half awake. i kinda can hear they were yakking away. :evil:

    by The Finnigans on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:35 pm

  16. I recall that now you’ve brought it up.

    This site is very good for neuron regeneration.

    When we’re not clanging heads and repeating our same views on legislation it can be a very stimulating outing indeed Charlton :)

    Good old PJK had a whole Musical devoted to him.

    GG that was an awesome Musical…never saw it live but thankfully the ABC put it on and I taped it. LOL how it ends seriously made a lot of sense and a lot of laughs = at Hewson and Downer in particular.

    Howard said he liked Bob Dylan for the singing not the words.

    ROFL

    Abbott like to display his impressive tackle behind the Speedos but when it comes to proper participation in debate on policy he has the balls of a gnat.

    Well to be fair BK Tony Abbott did challenge Rudd for a debate on Health Reform and they had it. Agree they’re different issues. But we all know Abbott can’t debate this issue when he doesnt even agree with his own policy.

    by Glen on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:35 pm

  17. No Glen.

    Do you know why Windsor wants to debate Abbott?

    Because to win Windsor’s vote for the prime ministership, Abbott promised that he himself would introduce a carbon tax.

    All the negativity you hear from Abbott about the carbon scheme is purely to win votes, and Windsor wants to hold him to account.

    by Centre on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:36 pm

  18. Gnats don’t have balls, as it were.

    They have what are more properly called gonads and they are internal, not external.

    I am not sure, but I would speculate that the reason mammals carry their testicles around on the outside is temperature regulation. If they were internal they would probably cook the gametes, somewhat defeating the purpose of the enterprise.

    This is one of nature’s structural compromises, because, from a Darwinian perspective, testicles carried around externally are not a good evolutionary idea when fighting lions, drunken Irishpersons* or participating in a rugger scrum.

    *example only. No aspersions on Irishpersons intended.

    by Boerwar on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:36 pm

  19. Finns,

    As a cricket tragic, Howard was only ever interested in the “Happy Hooker” column.

    by Greensborough Growler on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:36 pm

  20. No Glen, that didn’t come to Australia, it only had an impact in ther northern hemisphere. I know this because Tony Abbott and Andrew Robb said so.

    they don’t know if they’re comin’ or join’ :lol:

    by george on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:37 pm

  21. George – re 2GB perhaps you shoud repost those recordings “Ben and Adam” made to #ohmike as an exxample of how progressives are recieved.

    by Frank Calabrese on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:39 pm

  22. join=goin :)

    by george on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:39 pm

  23. Strueth Amigo!

    Are you all right now?
    :kiss:

    by vera on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:39 pm

  24. Howard was only ever interested in the “Happy Hooker” column.

    GG, i am only the piano player, downstairs.

    by The Finnigans on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:39 pm

  25. Gorgeous Dunny

    “Maybe if you ate more fish it might improve your memory. If you’re numerate, you could have a look at the economic performance indicators.”

    As pointed out above, im not the person who could read economic performance indicators and really understand it. Right or wrong JWH sold a story that i could understand and felt good about where i was placed in the community. Gillard and crew do not get close to this, in fact the labors message through extra tax and standing side by side with the greens who want to shut every thing down and this has me worried every day.

    by rummel on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:39 pm

  26. Greensborough Growler

    Finns,

    As a cricket tragic, Howard was only ever interested in the “Happy Hooker” column.

    The Happy Hooker is the rugby chappies column.

    by poroti on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:39 pm

  27. Gnats don’t have balls

    The comments still stands.

    by BK on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:40 pm

  28. Mr Hockey was talking about interest rates today. He sounded fraffley worried about interest rates.

    Apparently, it’s all terrible and it is going to get worse; so much worser that the falling sky and interest rate graphs are going to intersect if the Government does not do exactly what the Opposition wants.

    Since no-one knows what that is, we’re rooted.

    by Boerwar on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:40 pm

  29. Because to win Windsor’s vote for the prime ministership, Abbott promised that he himself would introduce a carbon tax.

    Heheh but how could Abbott do this when he never promised it at the election??
    I’d smack him over the head for such a silly proposition.

    All the negativity you hear from Abbott about the carbon scheme is purely to win votes, and Windsor wants to hold him to account.

    Naturally

    But as I said this whole Carbon Price thing has sucked the debate out of every other issue :(

    by Glen on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:40 pm

  30. George – re 2GB perhaps you shoud repost those recordings “Ben and Adam” made to #ohmike as an exxample of how progressives are received.

    Frank, I doubt any of the Fibs come here to be “persuaded” one way or another ;) But the challenge is there – give us even one example of a left-wing commentator who has spoken about Abbott/Liberals in the way the right-wing shock jocks do about the PM and Labor. Surely a link, a TV segment, something would be available!

    by george on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:41 pm

  31. Amigo, fit as a bull or is it a mooooooooo

    http://www.nma.gov.au/shared/libraries/images/play/aussie_english_cartoon_images/malleebull_w180/files/15877/fit-as-a-mallee-bull_180.jpg

    by The Finnigans on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:41 pm

  32. BK

    I thought you might cut through the science to the nub of the matter. You would make a good science reporter.

    Australia could do with some.

    by Boerwar on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:41 pm

  33. Vera
    Good luck with the cutters.

    by Boerwar on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:42 pm

  34. Boerwar
    If interest rates go up Hockey will say the government has stuffed the economy.
    If interest rates go down Hockey will say the government has stuffed the economy.

    by BK on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:43 pm

  35. So in the space of 24 hours the other two Tonys have spoken against Abbott, Blair and Windsor.

    Poor Abbott he has nothing, just gimmicks and no policies. Just like inside his budgies, all gimmick and no balls.

    by Centre on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:43 pm

  36. poroti,

    I believe it was a column for those who like it both ways.

    by Greensborough Growler on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:43 pm

  37. Boerwar
    cheers but it’s going to be red hot needles not cutters this time ;)
    A bit of RFA in 3 weeks

    by vera on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:44 pm

  38. BK,

    And, worser still if they stay the same.

    by Greensborough Growler on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:45 pm

  39. 3579

    george

    Posted Wednesday, July 27, 2011 at 6:41 pm | Permalink

    George – re 2GB perhaps you shoud repost those recordings “Ben and Adam” made to #ohmike as an exxample of how progressives are received.

    Frank, I doubt any of the Fibs come here to be “persuaded” one way or another But the challenge is there – give us even one example of a left-wing commentator who has spoken about Abbott/Liberals in the way the right-wing shock jocks do about the PM and Labor. Surely a link, a TV segment, something would be available!

    They’ll probably cite some minor volunteer on a community station.

    And Paul Murray the elder and more whiney on the media inquiry.

    http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/opinion/post/-/blog/paulmurray/post/2536/comment/1

    by Frank Calabrese on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:45 pm

  40. Frank, I doubt any of the Fibs come here to be “persuaded” one way or another ;) But the challenge is there – give us even one example of a left-wing commentator who has spoken about Abbott/Liberals in the way the right-wing shock jocks do about the PM and Labor. Surely a link, a TV segment, something would be available!

    George I dont come here to be persuaded but merely to listen to the arguments offered by the other side and put forward my own.

    But the challenge is there – give us even one example of a left-wing commentator who has spoken about Abbott/Liberals in the way the right-wing shock jocks do about the PM and Labor.

    Surely David Marr has George but i’ll have to take it on notice.

    by Glen on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:46 pm

  41. If interest rates go up Hockey will say the government has stuffed the economy.
    If interest rates go down Hockey will say the government has stuffed the economy

    Welcome to Hockeynomics :lol:

    by Glen on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:46 pm

  42. Glen, I’m not interested in debating with you anymore. You’ve proven a couple of times now that you are here to spread misinformation, so I’ll take a pass. Especially given that last attempt at painting me as some kind of happy left-winger over the tragedy in Norway. So if you’ll forgive me, I don’t really care.

    by george on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:48 pm

  43. george 3591
    +1

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:49 pm

  44. george

    Posted Wednesday, July 27, 2011 at 6:48 pm | Permalink

    Glen, I’m not interested in debating with you anymore. You’ve proven a couple of times now that you are here to spread misinformation, so I’ll take a pass. Especially given that last attempt at painting me as some kind of happy left-winger over the tragedy in Norway. So if you’ll forgive me, I don’t really care.

    A DM has been sent on that subject.

    by Frank Calabrese on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:50 pm

  45. Glen
    David Marr is merely a well intentioned, educated and aware journo/writer that abhors BS and hypocrisy wherever it rests.
    There is no poison in him – but he will take on those that are poisonous.

    by BK on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:50 pm

  46. vera

    I have just discovered your secret identity …… http://img98.imageshack.us/img98/6416/supercow3qj7.png

    by poroti on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:50 pm

  47. vera
    I hope you got a second vet’s opinion?

    by Boerwar on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:50 pm

  48. A DM has been sent on that subject.

    Frank, the DM’s don’t seem to come through. I’ll email William to pass on my email/contact details.

    by george on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:51 pm

  49. george

    Posted Wednesday, July 27, 2011 at 6:51 pm | Permalink

    A DM has been sent on that subject.

    Frank, the DM’s don’t seem to come through. I’ll email William to pass on my email/contact details.

    Send me a DM :-)

    by Frank Calabrese on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:51 pm

  50. David Marr is merely a well intentioned, educated and aware journo/writer that abhors BS and hypocrisy wherever it rests.
    There is no poison in him – but he will take on those that are poisonous.

    No I didnt mean he’s Alan Jones just that he does sometimes sink the boot into the Tories.

    by Glen on Jul 27, 2011 at 6:52 pm

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