Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Yes, the Republicans are putting politics ahead of the national interest.
That’s exactly the same as what the Coalition parties have been doing here for the last 4 years.
by ShowsOn on Jul 27, 2011 at 9:56 pm
I know me mate
by george on Jul 27, 2011 at 9:57 pm
ShowsOn,
Time for Long Urls Anonymous?
by This little black duck on Jul 27, 2011 at 9:57 pm
3809
Had Calwell won in 1961 then the DLP would have been drastically reduced in vote/Liberal preferencing ability. This could have taken up to 10 seats off the Liberals in Victoria (in a probably late 1962 DD) (the Liberals held 23 of 33 in 1961). This would have made it easier for the Liberals to elect a non-Victorian leader and the Victorians may have been willing to vote for Hasluck to oppose a NSW candidate.
by Tom the first and best on Jul 27, 2011 at 9:57 pm
Gus, Dame Edna if you dont mind.
by The Finnigans on Jul 27, 2011 at 9:57 pm
At first glance the tea-partiers and Republicans of that sort are insane and incomprehensibly stupid. But the more I see the more I think there might be an odd sort of wisdom in their reckless madness.
They are so at odds with the status quo of American governance, maybe they are right to think that a massive shock – even a minor financial catastrophe – has more chance of serving their aims than rubber-stamping a plan that does little more than perpetuate the status quo of the last thirty years.
I don’t like their ideology, but there is something attractive about their recklessness and guts. I think I actually prefer them to your standard bags-of-wind careerist politicians, Obama included. They are not afraid to make serious and real changes to their society, even if it risks plunging that society into ruins.
by Two Piece Feed on Jul 27, 2011 at 9:57 pm
Yes, the rise of extremist politic beliefs and action. Ignore this as dire outcomes eventuate, such as in Norway.
by Harry “Snapper” Organs on Jul 27, 2011 at 9:57 pm
my mind boggles about the cake was it passed around, or was it just on display.
i dont think the ladies from the cake decorating societies around aust, would be impressed they take great pride in their work.
by my say on Jul 27, 2011 at 9:58 pm
gusface,
If my maths teacher had been Tom I would have solved Fermat.
by This little black duck on Jul 27, 2011 at 9:59 pm
BK,
Really? How do you feed and clothe a family on that?
by Space Kidette on Jul 27, 2011 at 9:59 pm
did the romans think like that to
by my say on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:00 pm
I think I’ve found a way to get published by The Australian – other than attacking Labor from the left or posting to Mumble. Accuse them of bias and say ‘ I bet you won’t publish this’. My strike rate has gone up to about 50-60% from I reckon single figures previously. And yes, I know it makes me sound paranoid nutter each time they publish my ‘ I bet you won’t…’ but at least I can get a left of centre comment on there – and let’s face it, there’re plenty of nutters there from the other side. I even got a comment under a Albrechtsen article.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/commentary/julia-and-malcolm-would-you-please-stop-verballing-mrs-thatcher/comments-e6frgd0x-1226102308194
I think I’m officially a nutter now.
by sustainable future on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:00 pm
Rely on tips + hold down several jobs.
It’s dog eat dog over there.
by BK on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:01 pm
Two Piece Feed, with logic like that you are two pieces short of a real feed.
by Scarpat on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:01 pm
BK
Truly a land of opportunity all those minimum wage bludgers need to do is work 64 hours a day and they would then earn the median US income.
by poroti on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:01 pm
You don’t SK, and if you’re not in a job that pays some good tips over the course of a working day then you are seriously farqed.
by george on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:01 pm
but honestly you dont all think it will come to that do you re usa.
just sitting here thinking of the children and their mortgages ect and the
vibration this could set off all around the world,
by my say on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:02 pm
my say,
The closest I get to cake decorating is watching my daughter doing magnificent birthday cakes for her kids. Tom The Tank Engine, Little Bo-peep, an American fort, a ballerina …
by This little black duck on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:02 pm
Terrific idea, TPF, plunge a society into ruins. Never heard a more rubbish idea in my life.
You want to be one of to be people who are tossed onto the rubbish heap?
by Harry “Snapper” Organs on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:02 pm
Wow… just wow
by george on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:02 pm
A perceptive analysis.
by charlton on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:02 pm
Kidette
Sorry – the min hourly wage is about $7.50.
Still the pits.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._minimum_wages
by BK on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:03 pm
A low move by two low life…wait till the sitting MP is overseas then slide in..
Senator Joyce road-tests New England seat
By Lisa Martin And Katina Curtis, AAP July 27, 2011, 6:53 pm
26 Comments
Queensland National Senator Barnaby Joyce has been road testing the rural NSW seat of New England while independent MP Tony Windsor is overseas.
Senator Joyce joined Opposition Leader Tony Abbott on a trip to a farm at Spring Ridge, southwest of Tamworth, on Wednesday to campaign against the government’s carbon tax.
In April, the former accountant flagged leaving the Senate to contest the seat of New England – currently held by key independent Tony Windsor.
Joyce, who was elected in 2006, grew up in the New England area and has a family farm near Tamworth.
Senator Joyce told reporters in Tamworth that it was up to the local party structure to decide preselections.
“Mr Windsor has really blotted his copybook,” Senator Joyce said.
“It’s not about so much beating Mr Windsor, its about getting our whole nation back on to a path.”
He said there was strong community anger towards Mr Windsor over Prime Minister Julia Gillard’s carbon price policy.
“(Mr Windsor) will ask you for your position on gay marriage… but he won’t ask for your position on the carbon tax,” he said.
“So, we are going to ask the people of the New England to make their decision about who they want.”
Mr Abbott said the seat should moved back to the conservative fold.
The Gillard government’s carbon pricing package was partly developed by its multi-party climate change committee, of which Mr Windsor was a member.
The independent MP has said he would support the legislation needed to put it in place.
Mr Abbott said he would focus on electorates like New England in his fight against the tax.
“If we are going to stop Australia from getting a carbon tax, we need to persuade members of parliament that are currently lining up behind the prime minister to think again,” he told reporters.
“I think that this is a conservative electorate and I think it should be represented by a conservative member.”
Mr Windsor told AAP from Sweden, where he’s on a study tour, that he was not concerned about Senator Joyce visiting his patch.
“If he’s lost interest in Queensland where he’s the duly elected senator that’s for him to explain to the people of Queensland,” Mr Windsor said.
Mr Windsor played down speculation of a backlash against him over the carbon tax.
He said a recent survey of his electorate found 80 per cent support for increasing renewable energy.
“If you ask people if they want to be a part of creating a better world for their great grandchildren, they’ll say yes,” Mr Windsor said.
“The Joyce line is the opportunistic simplistic short-term line.”
by david on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:03 pm
BK,
I had a team of contract IT consultants working for me a few years ago. They all refused to take a holiday longer than a long weekend because they were afraid they would lose their job.
They were all brilliant at looking brilliant but did very little real work. They had all learnt to fill in time.
by Space Kidette on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:03 pm
my say
we are largely insulated
europe is the one to feel sorry for
the USA is still going to be propped up by china
by gusface on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:03 pm
I blame that whole mess in the USA on optional voting.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:04 pm
my say, in the Republican’s game, the rest of the world doesn’t matter.
by Scarpat on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:04 pm
Funny names for kids, but hey…..
by gusface on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:04 pm
BK,
Sorry, they were from Boston. BCG.
by Space Kidette on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:04 pm
If New England elects Joyce they will have blotted their copybook!
by BK on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:05 pm
There is no trick so low …
by This little black duck on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:05 pm
thanks gus, i have alwasy been a worrier where security is concerned
since we had to give up our home over howards interstest rates in the 80; and dont jump in any liberals will you it was in howards time
as i have repeated this it is annoying i know
but a certain liberal senator when the int, rates where around 14 percent told me
to simply get job dear
by my say on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:05 pm
What? The last Democratic President generated budget surpluses in his last three years by cutting spending AND increasing taxes during the mid 1990s.
Back then the Republicans were at least sane so they accepted that a compromise of increasing taxes was fair if it was offset with spending cuts.
But now the House Republicans are full of a 100 odd strong faction that just insanely opposes any tax increases at all, even though U.S. tax revenues are at their lowest level relative to GDP for 50 years.
Sure the U.S. government spends too much, but it also doesn’t raise enough money. The Bush administration simply funded tax cuts using debt, which he left to the Obama administration to fix.
by ShowsOn on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:06 pm
Tuppence got its heart’s desire: everybody is paying it attention.
by This little black duck on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:06 pm
Well, I’ve just cashed in a fund investment and the bastards are taking their own sweet time about it.
Due date is around August 1st. Right on the button for the US debt default.
Brilliant.
by Bushfire Bill on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:06 pm
david
the joyce family have ahem landholdings in the area
quite a few rellies in the backblocks
by gusface on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:06 pm
the problem is scrapcat
they think they are the world
by my say on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:06 pm
gusface,
You should see what she calls her parents!
by This little black duck on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:07 pm
i was once told by an american who seemed to know these things
that only 10 percent of american s have passports.
and bush is it so he had never been our of the usa till he became president
by my say on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:07 pm
Sk
Income and corporate tax rates in US are lower than ours, especially for the wealthiest earners.
This is exacerbated by a whole swag of deductions and tax breaks resulting in, for example, Obama’s comment that highly-remunerated hedge fund managers pay less tax than their secretaries.
The revenue raising proposals put forth by Obama (but which Rep. House leader Boehner has refused to even consider) were aimed at closing some income tax loopholes and reducing tax “incentives” for oil companies etc.
by Atticus on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:07 pm
my say, exactly.
by Scarpat on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:07 pm
Maybe it was the default the United States needed to have.
To finally wake themselves up to the fact they’re an economic basket case.
If the US does default…wouldnt the Russians and Chinese dump all their bonds onto the market like they almost did during the collapse of the banking sector in 2008??
If you can watch the HBO film Too Big to Fail 2011 you will have some good viewing indeed I give it 4 cigars out of 5.
by Glen on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:08 pm
Scarpat,
I think your name has just been pwned.
by This little black duck on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:08 pm
I agree he must draw the line there. He’s already compromised too much for nil concessions from those Republicans. The Bill Clinton option of section 14 will be considered.
The next option is to gather some radical economists behind him. The military-industrial complex is probably spread through various electorates for pork-barrelling. Pick out the Republican ones and cancel the contracts in those electorates. If jobs go in the process… tell them the Repubs insisted on cuts, not taxes. Tell them we can avoid this if they agree to let us re-impose the taxes on the wealthy that Bush removed.
Shift the onus onto them for a decision.
by Gorgeous Dunny on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:09 pm
night all intersting as usual
have my third cold for the year any ideas how to stop getting the 4th,.
by my say on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:09 pm
tlbd, it is so good that I am thinking of changing my nom de blog.
by Scarpat on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:09 pm
Atticus,
So the problem is the U.S are really Greek.
by Space Kidette on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:09 pm
about right
and
yes
by gusface on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:10 pm
Orlov..author of “Collapse”
re post 3818…George
_______________
Orlov a Russian lived through the collapse of the USSR from 1990 on…
His book of the same name is widely commented on in Wikiipedia and elsewhere
He has a new work out now in which he sees the internal collapse of the USA too
Both great power and empires destroyed by military expenditures…no new event in the long pagent of history …think Rome etc.
He has quite a following in the USA.
\
When the USSR collapsed he thinks two things held Russian society together
One ..All Russians lived in public housing and simply ceased to pay rent for a time and were not evicted as the state was too weak
..Two..a great cheap public transport system,which enabled people to retain mobility,without the expense of a car
Also helped by the huge number of small allotments around the cities, where people did and still so grow vegies and other foods…the Russian equivalent of the Australian back-yard garden
Americans are not so lucky !
by deblonay on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:10 pm
deblonay,
Nice pick-up!
by This little black duck on Jul 27, 2011 at 10:11 pm