Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
leighsales Leigh Sales
by AlanKohler
My guest tonight is the former Victorian Police Commissioner Christine Nixon #abc730
by dave on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:13 pm
should be worth a look!
by Lynchpin on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:14 pm
Big difference between Thomas and Grattan – one was a quality journalist and pretty fearless to boot.
by gough1 on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:14 pm
SK – only mistake you must never make is to tell your kids exactly what you did get up to until they are adults otherwise the little sods will hold it over you forever
Lynchpin and billy – you’re right. That Times cartoon is really low rent even if we give the bloke the benefit of the doubt about his intentions.
Must admit that the cartoonists here are all pretty good at knowing where to draw the line, literally. They’re a good bunch.
by BH on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:15 pm
my say, you sexy thang
Zoom, zoom, like this?
http://www-cache.daz3d.com/store/item_file/2114/image_medium.jpg
by The Finnigans on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:15 pm
by victoria on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:15 pm
The Big Ship,
Looks to me that shares in Companies that make hair dye are definately a good buy!
by scorpio on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:16 pm
Seconded, Gough1 – Thomas lasted so long because she was so good and didn’t walk a ‘maybe this/maybe that’ line as much as Grattan does.
by BH on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:18 pm
Lynchpin
Did you see Nixon’s piece in the fairfax papers today?
by victoria on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:19 pm
BH,
My lips are sealed.
by Space Kidette on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:23 pm
12 minutes ago
May I ask what newly elected ALP Senator Matt Thistlewaite was doing marching along to the AntiPokie rally partly promoted by Alan Jones and then siding with BigPokies. I wonder if he asked the crowd to shut up while Peter Garrett was speaking.
Has he been funded by them in the past.
by BH on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:24 pm
Victoria, yes I did. That’s why I think it will be interesting. Hopefully there may be a few phone hacking questions.
by Lynchpin on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:24 pm
Lynchpin
I especially believe the Overland case smells to high heaven
by victoria on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:27 pm
Victoria
Mark Latham had a very good piece on “the evil empire” that is Murdoch’s media business. Latham said ALP and the Greens must now strike hard to break up the empire’s assets and “defend the privacy of the Australian people against the evils of Murdoch journalism”.
I have been reading Latham on and off for about 2 years now. He seems to be mellowing against the ALP a bit and is a little more constructive than he was about 6 months ago.
by Lynchpin on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:31 pm
Where Christine Nixons problems began as Vic Police Chief.
Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/caught-in-the-crossfire-20110727-1i0g3.html#ixzz1TMpdHQlt
by Gaffhook on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:32 pm
BH
I did not see the rally.
However. There is a report here
http://m.news.com.au/NationalBreakingNews/pg/2/fi783713.htm
by victoria on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:32 pm
Victoiria, Lynchpin Re 4261 4262
Both Nixon and Overland stood up to the Police Union. Thats probably the main reason that they had their characters and careers destroyed by the Murdochracy
by MickGCollins on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:33 pm
Lynchpin
Are you sure Latham has mellowed lately?
by victoria on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:34 pm
Once he stops taking the pills he’ll revert to the nasty person that is at the core of his being.
by Tom Hawkins on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:34 pm
MickGCollins
That is part of it. There is more to it in Overland’s case
by victoria on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:36 pm
BH @ 4257
Dawkins forbid that my reference to a comparison between Helen Thomas and La Grattan was taken to imply any parity in their relative abilities as journalists.
Helen Thomas was not known as the doyenne of the White House press gallery for nothing, and her ultimate fate is more a commentary on contemporary US social mores than it is a reflection on her more than 7 decades as a working journalist.
Compared to our Michelle, Helen Thomas was and is a giant next to a pygmy, and the absolute best one could say about La Grattan is to laud her longevity. The question mark arising from her long tenure now has to be whether Grattan has actually had 40 years experience, or 1 year repeated 40 times?
Read her near incoherent recent articles, or listen to her rambling radio or television interviews, and you be the judge ….
by The Big Ship on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:36 pm
Victoria it wouldn’t surprise me
by MickGCollins on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:37 pm
and boy is she hating it
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:39 pm
TBS
Gold!!
by victoria on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:39 pm
Victoria
That’s just my observation from reading his last 2 or 3 columns in the AFR. He wrote a pretty scathing piece about the direction of the ALP and basically offered no answers. I wrote to the AFR and told them I thought Latham needed to be more constructive. He might have copped a few letters in that vein. Since then he seems a little less angry about the ALP, a bit more constructive; and has been directing his fury in a few recent columns at targets other than the ALP.
by Lynchpin on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:40 pm
With apology to BB. I have attempted to register the word at Urban Dictionary Lynchpin.
murdochian
sleazy, low rent behaviour. Sometimes pervy or voyeuristic.
eg. that was quite murdochian of you, Bill.
tags: low rent, sleazy, ugly, vile, slippery, biased
by joe2 on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:41 pm
Canberra Times
Tircky third act in Rudd and Turnbull melodrama
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/news/opinion/editorial/general/tricky-third-act-in-rudd-and-turnbull-melodrama/2240730.aspx
by victoria on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:41 pm
Boris Johnson does a piece re London 2012 Olympics. He is certainly idiosyncratic:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K9OffQ7wIVM
by shellbell on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:42 pm
Thefinnigans The Finnigans
I see that #TheirABC is still on the hacking case as if NBN has been hacked. it must be a slow news day. Anybody IT Literate at #TheirABC?
1 minute ago
by The Finnigans on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:43 pm
Interesting that so much of it is just based off MSM speculation. The only ‘proof’ about people wanting Gillard replaced is from some newspaper editorials. And even if Abbott’s job isn’t directly under threat right now, he has a ton of tensions in his party that aren’t even mentioned, as if the polls cover all those up.
by rishane on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:47 pm
rishane
Was actually a very shallow piece of writing. What does it tell us?
by victoria on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:49 pm
Michelle Grattan has been an exemplary journalist. She was straight and with no political agenda. She probably even voted informal. She still has no agenda. The years take a toll on all of us – no exceptions ( maybe apart from Margaret Olley and Dame Elizabeth M). Michelle should go now, and go gracefully, on her terms. She lacks the searing insights of a Coorey, or even a Kelly. Her writing is now very predictable,sadly. But she will still go down as one of the all-time greats of the Press Gallery.
by al palster on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:49 pm
to quote John McEnroe:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ekQ_Ja02gTY
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:54 pm
Rudd’s supposedly out of action for the next 2 months, so I doubt he’ll be mounting any leadership challenges.
He’s a very effective Foreign Minister, and he obviously loves the job – it’s probably the 2nd best job you can have in a Government.
I think though that when he’s recovered and he’s back in Canberra, Gillard should use him far more, because he’s a definite asset.
by evan14 on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:54 pm
There is no correcting the record at their ABC when they are running a fib talking point.
Michael Quigley tried on The World Today but Eleanor Hall was not going to allow any factual information, she had just been told, get in the way of the beat up. The NBN had not been hacked, he said.
by joe2 on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:54 pm
who interviewing Ms Nixon lee Sailes or the other employee there
by my say on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:54 pm
Turnball is far more of a problem for Abbott, than Rudd is for Gillard.
by evan14 on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:55 pm
Frank,
Clever. I’m probably being misty-eyed rather than serious. I remember …
by al palster on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:56 pm
Yes, definitely. But it gets sandpapered over because the media views everything through a POLLS! focus. I know its ironic decrying it on this blog, but that approach really leads to a lot of shoddy journalism and bootstrapping.
by rishane on Jul 28, 2011 at 1:57 pm
well if they are still writing about Mr Rudd and the pm and malcolm,
they have nothing to write about can you imagine a journalist pencil in mouth staring into space thinking gee what can i write to day.
i suggest a little garden column pointing out becauce of global warming the
rhodos are out when the should not been seen till October, will they flower again in October.
most people are over Mr. Rudd v. what ever last week it was Simon crean by Friday.
even i new he wasnt in Canberra and would be away all week, but even most of us know that Mr crean is not that sort of alp person, solid to the core.
so have the authors of that story told us why it never happened
bet they havent
by my say on Jul 28, 2011 at 2:00 pm
Who are these Labor stooges publishing such propaganda? Of course, it’s the pinko commies at Deloitte Access Economics!
http://www.smh.com.au/business/resources-sector-fuels-64b-surge-in-investment-20110727-1i0dj.html
No mention of the roof caving in due to the Monster Carbon Tax, no mention of a Climate Change Conspiracy pulling the rug from under every last dollar of investment, no mention of jobs flowing offshore like a torrent from all the mining businesses shutting down their operations?
I am sure Abbott and Hockey will find some way to shoot this particular messenger, or denigrate the report in some other way.
by The Big Ship on Jul 28, 2011 at 2:03 pm
“I think though that when he’s recovered and he’s back in Canberra, Gillard should use him far more, because he’s a definite asset.”
He should be moved to the Health portfolio for the two months.
by joe2 on Jul 28, 2011 at 2:07 pm
So funny.
Abbott and Hockey welcome to attend the tax summit if they behave
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/tony-abbott-welcome-at-tax-summit-if-he-leaves-wrecking-ball-at-home/story-fn59niix-1226103399514
by victoria on Jul 28, 2011 at 2:10 pm
” can you imagine a journalist pencil in mouth staring into space thinking gee what can i write to day.”
Not really. The fibs just provide them with the copy.
by joe2 on Jul 28, 2011 at 2:11 pm
by scorpio on Jul 28, 2011 at 2:14 pm
Which they won’t so it’s pointless inviting them. Abbott is incapable of substance, so what possible contribution could he make to a Tax Summit?
by confessions on Jul 28, 2011 at 2:15 pm
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 28, 2011 at 2:16 pm
Well finally back at home after 3 months away. Cool, after Greece and Singapore. but lovely here today
Anyway pleased to see Newspoll and Essential are moving slightly in the right way, may it continue, I read The Australian on Line this morning(Bad Girl) and was so annoyed when I read some Professor Allan really hatefilled article on JG and Getup that I dashed off a comment, and to my amazement it was published, pointing out as well as hatefilled, why didn’t the Australian report the investigation into Alan Jones(thank heavens for SMH and The age)and maybe the paper would be more credible
Thats my rant but pleased to be back
by mari on Jul 28, 2011 at 2:17 pm
I think this is very good. I have also been impressed by the ads.
The ads in opposition are simply misleading, eg saying “Australians” will pay the tax.
by Lynchpin on Jul 28, 2011 at 2:19 pm
al palster @ 4281
What do you reckon the chances are of the Dowager Empress abdicating her throne? Zero, I would expect.
Unlike some of the other greats from her epoch (Alan Ramsay and Mungo MacCallum come to mind) who got out of Canberra when they were still on top of their game, Michelle Grattan, sadly, is well past her best, and on the downhill slide.
One can perhaps hope that someone within the Fairfax group may soon give her a tap on the shoulder, but I wouldn’t bet quids on it, any more than I can see old barnacles like Paul Kelly and Laurie Oakes, two more examples of former greats on the wane in their twilight years, ever voluntarily giving up their cushy sinecures when the pay packet still lands on their desk each week for so little actual output, certainly for so little quality in their recent fulminations.
Having said all of that, if these old dinosaurs did retire, or were forcibly retired, what would they be replaced with? Dawkins only knows what Murdoch debased hacks would step up to fill their shoes …. blimey, I’d better get off La Grattan’s back, and start talking her up!
Come back, Michelle, all is forgiven!
by The Big Ship on Jul 28, 2011 at 2:19 pm