Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Boerwar @ 4534
Agree 100%.
Also, the joke that is the Police Ombudsman should be investigated too. It is staffed with ex-cops who investigate complaints by phoning old mates and taking their word for it without any proper inquiry. Remarkably incurious investigators.
by bemused on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:17 pm
Some bikie action.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2011-07-28/bikie-bosses-charged-with-fraud/2814812
by BK on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:18 pm
poroti
Keep that up and you are going to get some serious tongue pokings out.
BTW, have you ever read a book about the musket wars?
Fascinating stuff.
by Boerwar on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:18 pm
This little black duck
No I was seriousmont. It may have been the first world war but some guy did compare the war to Wagner as being too loud and too long.
by poroti on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:19 pm
I worte it exactly the way I meant it – The PMK and Nixon both suffer from the Vagina SYNDROME _ THEY ARE ATTACKED cos they don’t have that bit blokes have.
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:20 pm
bemused
I have always wondered what an oxymoron is but I suspect that Victorian Police Ombudsman might be close.
by Boerwar on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:20 pm
Understatement of the year from my perspective. I no longer watch the show, and I was one of those who was a regular 730ReportLand viewer before Red Kerry left.
How many more out there who are like me, I wonder?
by confessions on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:21 pm
Levine/Metropolitan Opera Orchestra – Der Ring Des Nibelungen looks a good price on Amazon.uk.
Is that the HD version?
http://booko.com.au/books/isbn/0044007304396
by This little black duck on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:21 pm
Frank @ 4542
Yes I have. And they have an off switch too.
by bemused on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:22 pm
shellbell @ 4420:
I nearly got the sack during the trial. Justice Edwin Augustus Lusher became quite frustrated by my continued absences. But as he was due to retire, I retained my employ and we both left the Court in June ’86 – well not together, but you’ll get my drift.
I see Bob Hawke appointed Mary to the Court, so I understand why she might have ‘whooped with joy’ after Murphy’s acquittal. Not that I am in any way suggesting appointments to the High Court are influenced by political imperatives (just in case Mary G is lurking).
For me, the trial was only interesting for the stakes involved.
by charlton on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:23 pm
bel.ieve the limited News version.
You are suffering from the very thing I described earlier.
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:23 pm
fess,
the 7.5 bit on Salvo Legal was “heart-warming”.
by This little black duck on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:23 pm
GG @ 4546
I watched the relevant parts of the Royal Commission and drew my own conclusions.
In my opinion, she got off lightly.
by bemused on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:24 pm
Kangaroo Court.
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:24 pm
bemused,
Rinse and repeat.
by Greensborough Growler on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:25 pm
Frank @ 4560
I couldn’t care less about Nixon’s gender.
Stupidity is independent of gender and plenty of blokes have it too.
by bemused on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:26 pm
Ducky:
Perhaps this is what 730 is reduced to: getting recommendations on blogs, twitter etc for specific segments, not the whole show?
How comedownment.
by confessions on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:26 pm
That I can’t tell you, but I am reminded of Mark Twain’s opinion that “Wagner’s music is better than it sounds”.
by William Bowe on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:26 pm
The thing about vic police is that to get to the heart of it you need to look at the Police Union. The fish rots from the head down.
by MickGCollins on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:27 pm
confessions,
They’ve shed half their audience. The people are revolting!
by Greensborough Growler on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:29 pm
Boerwar
Posted Thursday, July 28, 2011 at 8:18 pm | Permalink
Ah the Muscat Wars. Now that I could relate to . Oh wait…
I’m from the Hone Heke part of the world so the Nga Puhi did all right in that little dispute. Now the battle that everyone should read about is the battle of Gate Pa. The concentration of artillery was not matched untill WWI .Nor was the sophistication of the trench system. Lota of Australians there too. Shotgun and tomahawk vs musket and sword and the Maori won an amazing victory.
Read this letter from the Maori chief before the battle about the rules of engagement. How could you hate such an opponent ?
“To the Colonel,
Friend, -Salutations to you. The end of that. Friend, do you give heed to our laws for regulating the fight.
Rule 1. If wounded or captured whole, and butt of the musket or hilt of the sword be turned to me, he will be saved.
Rule 2. If any Pakeha, being a soldier by name, shall be travelling unarmed and meets me, he will be captured, and handed over to the direction of the law.
Rule 3. The soldier who flees, being carried away by his fears, and goes to the house of the priest with his gun (even though carrying arms) will be saved. I will not go there.
Rule 4. The unarmed Pakehas, women and children, will be spared.
The end. These are binding laws for Tauranga.
http://homepages.ihug.co.nz/~Sxmitch/Battle.html
by poroti on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:30 pm
now that’s an Oxymoron or was it an Oxytorch?
BW, i confuse myself sometimes. i thank, therefore i am?
by The Finnigans on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:31 pm
The various police unions are way more powerful the CFMEU ever was.
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:31 pm
GG:
On this occasion I’m quite happy to be referred to as one of the revolting people.
by confessions on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:32 pm
WB
Twain the walking quote machine. I have not heard that before, thank you . That has been filed away for future use. A keeper.
by poroti on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:33 pm
The Victorian Police Union is particulary boys clubby Frank.
by MickGCollins on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:33 pm
Frank @ 4572
They ain’t got nothin’ on the doctors and lawyers unions.
by bemused on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:33 pm
Sounds like GBS.
by This little black duck on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:33 pm
confessions,
No! No! The people on the television screen.
by Greensborough Growler on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:34 pm
Men 100m final swimming is on now LIVE at ONE
by The Finnigans on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:36 pm
Twain didn’t like golf either.
“A walk spoiled”.
I hope he liked women otherwise he’d have nothing to do between books.
by Greensborough Growler on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:36 pm
There is no doubt Nixon did some good things and bad things but I believe there was a campaign to get rid of her. Just because she did those bad things doesn’t rule out that such a campaign existed.
by Gary on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:37 pm
Probably been said before but have just been over on Huffington post site….republican party nutters preaching hate and vitriol against Obama, openly threatening violence as only “true patriots” can.
Are we looking into the future here.?
by arunta on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:38 pm
Exactly, and the Black Saturday Bushfires and the Royal Commission was the perfect vehicle to do so.
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:39 pm
YAY, HE BLEW THEM AWAY
by The Finnigans on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:40 pm
Finns
Loved the commentator’s “You bloody bewdy!!!”
by BK on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:40 pm
GG:
i’m serious though. When NOTW closed the only people who revolted were those who lost their jobs. Readers were mostly nonplussed. Maybe disenfranchised 730 viewers should arc up and have something to say about the show lest it be killed off forever like Rupe’s rag?
by confessions on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:40 pm
One other thing I should mention is , they had tea party rally ..75 people showed up.
Will be interesting to see how many show up for the CT rally in August.
by arunta on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:43 pm
Gary
Having a bro and sis in da police I am sure that when she decreed that beer fridges and drinks bars at stations were verboten made it game over for her. Such is/was the culture. Frank Calabrese may remember the “war” between uniform and detectives in Perth in the 1980′s . Uniform staking out detectives watering holes to do em for drink driving. Not a pretty sight.
by poroti on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:43 pm
Thank F. Roo does have a heart of gold after all.
Suppose it has a ring of Toxic Tones workchoices about it. Any job is better than no job.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2011/jul/28/news-of-the-world-staff-offered-siberia-jobs
by Gaffhook on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:46 pm
Thefinnigans TheFinnigans???????
poor Malcolm is not looking too well on #Slynews #auspol
11 seconds ago
by The Finnigans on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:48 pm
Yep,
And I think Robert Falconer closing down the Officers Canteen was what did him in when he was WA Commisioner.
NEVER get in the way of a Walloper and his/her grog.
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:48 pm
Reading that Farnsworth article, I really think he imagines everyone sees Gillard the way he sees her. Its also lovely to see him like other commentators ignoring the (admittedly small so far) signs that opinion may just be starting to come round on the carbon price.
by rishane on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:49 pm
confessions,
7.30 was certainly a vehice for Kerry O’brien to demonstrate the talents, experiences and knowledge he’d acquired through his 30 odd year journey through televison news and current affairs.
The next generation don’t have the credibility of O’Brien. Most of them like Uhlmann and Sayles have only been around for five minutes.
The arrival of Negus on Channel 10 has funnelled a few of the seekers of a “quality” news practitioner.
The current ABC trend for opinionated broadcasters and journos is a real turn off. I get mightily peeved when they get a guest on to answer questions and then talk over the top of them throughout. Lose/lose as far as I’m concerned. I hope it’s just a fashion. But, it’s not all about them. People want information. Not preening popstars pretending they are at the centre of all the action.
by Greensborough Growler on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:49 pm
Thefinnigans TheFinnigans
poor Malcolm is not looking too well politically on #Slynews #auspol
5 seconds ago
by The Finnigans on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:50 pm
Frank @ 4583
Oh, it’s all clear now.
Someone lit the fires and held the Royal Commission just to get rid of Nixon who was due to finish up a couple of weeks after bushfires occurred. She was already gone from VicPol when they held the Royal Commission.
by bemused on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:50 pm
The Finnigans
What is it with all these peoples crying Malcolm loooks ill ? He looks fine. He has lost some weight but so what ? Supposedly a middle aged man becoming a bit more trim taught and terrific is one of the signs of him having “a bit on the side” . So look out Tony he is being “unfaithful”.
by poroti on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:53 pm
Agree, I wish that there were more journalists with the principles and courage of someone like Sally Sara reporting on politics. She’s a gem.
by grey on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:54 pm
No,
But it was te perfect crutch for people with an Agenda to put her in it .
by Frank Calabrese on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:55 pm
poroti
know of the nikau’s
by gusface on Jul 28, 2011 at 8:56 pm