Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Morning
for those who really enjoy La Stupenda. Today ‘s offering
http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/politics/time-coming-for-libs-to-tell-of-their-plans-20110728-1i27d.html?rand=1311857528996
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:34 am
All across the land, this is the kind of conversation that happens on census night:
Wife: What religion are we, darl?
Hubby: Oh, um. I think we’re Church of England. Better give mum a call, she knows.
by zoomster on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:35 am
Strike a light! The oily Peter Reith is on Agenda.
I’m off to wash Mrs BK’s car.
A few brownie points won’t go astray.
Abbot still banging on about a draconian police force standing over a odorless, colorless, weightless gas.
Judo chop please!!!!
by BK on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:35 am
Anyone hear Milne being interviewed this morning on ABC radio ? Apparently Tones doesn’t destroy such things as the carbon tax, he de-constructs them ! Good on ya Glen !
by Peter of Marino on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:36 am
Here is the article
http://www.thepunch.com.au/articles/even-the-worst-nightmares-cant-keep-bolt-upright/
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:38 am
TLBD – Caught a bit of The Nation last night and loved Christine Walsh’s advice to Conroy about Murdochia – wtte don’t complain about bias just “ridicule them”.
Sound advice and do the same with Abbott, Joyce et al.
by BH on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:39 am
BH
I missed the Nation. Was it worthwhile?
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:41 am
we on this site have been worring about the language for well on a year.
by my say on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:44 am
Double Bugg^r! I enjoyed being a Jedi.
by OzPol Tragic on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:44 am
by confessions on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:44 am
victoria – I’m going to watch it in full at 12.30 today but what I saw was not bad. Stutchbury totally defensive of Murdochia, Turnbull wading in with Stutchbury, Conroy standing is ground about the Daily Terror & OO and Christine Wallace making some good comments about the media and privacy. She worked for Murdoch for ages.
Will jot down some quotes after seeing the whole thing.
by BH on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:54 am
BK,
A man can never have too many brownie points.
by Space Kidette on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:58 am
Another nail in the coffin of the decline of USA Empire:
http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-world/us-dollar-status-in-doubt-imf-chief-20110729-1i2y7.html
by The Finnigans on Jul 29, 2011 at 8:59 am
BH
Thanks
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:02 am
BH, CW is one of the few #MSM hacks who is prepared to stand up and be counted against the #MSM Groupthink.
by The Finnigans on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:02 am
Jon Faine just had Christine Nixon on his program and same old ‘poor me’ stuff although she denied it.
So much for the theory that it is all male police union members who call in to attack her. She had both males and females attacking or defending her.
by bemused on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:03 am
In a report on the ABC this morning they are claiming there is a large number of self-harm events inside detention centres and they want an a review/inquiry.
It has been mentioned by people (one a regular ABC commentator -though can’t remember his name) that these people have discovered that self-harm events help to propel their cases through the process and that he has found that many of the people he was treating were fine just impatient, hence the attempts at self-harm.
by Space Kidette on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:03 am
OzPol,
I am going to continue being a Jedi. The truth is they have to accept whatever you enter on the form.
by Space Kidette on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:05 am
Thefinnigans TheFinnigans
Another 3 word slogan from Tony Abbott:
STOP CARBON COPS
1 minute ago
by The Finnigans on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:06 am
bemused
Did the Royal Commission establish whether Nixon’s conduct on the day of the fires created the outcomes of that day?
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:07 am
I run three businesses. Today I have more paperwork to sort out for my two kids than I have for my businesses!
by Space Kidette on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:10 am
But the IPA’s (who else?) Sinclair Davidson doesn’t tell us what the inflation rate is. Does anyone know?
http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/2814668.html
by confessions on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:11 am
SK
Paperwork is the bane of our existence!
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:12 am
,
all this type of talk goes back years ago when we stopped showing respect and stopped using good manners, this should be a very big wake up call for all australians to start and show respect to matter who people are.
remember the days when we gave the postman and the our collector of bins a christmas present, i can, the paper boy our son looked forward to christmas to get cards and chocolates he started delivering papers at 10 by the time he was 16 this never happened any more. The school teacher use to get nice card and gifts at the end of the year my girls tell me this has stopped to
then we have winging parent that the teachers are to tough on the children,
you know and extra 20 min home work or something,
the world has gone mad,
by my say on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:14 am
confessions,
The govt aims to keep inflation between 2 and 4 percent. And which inflation rate is he talking about headline or underlying? Underlying (the one that removes the noise from the numbers) is operating well within these parameters.
Given the effects of the Floods and Japan are still continuing to wash through the economy, and that consumer spending is still down, I suspect that the RBA will keep interests rates at their current levels.
My reckoning that for the next quarter rates will remain stable.
by Space Kidette on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:15 am
victoria,
So much for the paperless society. I wish!
by Space Kidette on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:16 am
love to see no talk back at all any where about anything.
gardening shows exempt and dog behavious programes and cooking prgrames
thats all., and the old fashioned gp half hour we use to have on the abcl
i say we start with telling the abc we dont want talk back any more
by my say on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:17 am
SK
Agreed. Raising interest rates now would be extremely counterproductive. In any case, the bananas are to blame for inflation right now!!
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:18 am
The important question of the day……Is Tony Abbott channelling Marx?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtMV44yoXZ0
by markjs on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:18 am
victoria,
Banana growers are saying two weeks from now the prices of bananas will come crashing down.
by Space Kidette on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:20 am
PS: Above Youtube clip thanks to Mr Denmore….
by markjs on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:21 am
SK:
Thanks.
I suppose if the IPA gave specifics, it wouldn’t seem as bad as they want to portray.
by confessions on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:22 am
victoria @ 4869
vic, such a stupid question diminishes my respect for you.
You know as well as I do that was never the issue.
by bemused on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:23 am
“Whatever it is, I’m against it!”
Lovely.
by Bushfire Bill on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:26 am
perhaps it time to ring our alp members and tell them how stronly we feel about the saftey of our PM and members being protected.
by my say on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:26 am
SK
I heard reports that prices will drop in October?
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:27 am
is this becauce no one is buying them, what is the point of high prices and they end up in the composte, we havent had a banana sinc december last year.
by my say on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:27 am
Is it known how the Herald Sun got this information?
by confessions on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:28 am
confessions,
I have a fulltime war going on with the IPA media whores. Some of the BS they are selling stinks. The RBA key performance indicators have specific meanings and rules and they have done for many, many years.
The media are well aware of this fact. Twisting the numbers is purely media, and in the IPA’s case, supposed think-tanks, selling their preferred story.
by Space Kidette on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:28 am
bemused
You are missing the point
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:29 am
my say,
Thebanana growers are ready to do their first harvest since cyclone Yasi destroyed most of the Banana crops.
by Space Kidette on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:30 am
The PM shouldn’t launch the book, IMO.
by Burgey on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:30 am
This is one of the more informative illustrations of the US debt stock that I have seen.
http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2011/07/graphic_of_the.html
Quite demonstrably, George W Bush was the great fiscal vandal – without a doubt the worst President the US has ever had.
by briefly on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:31 am
Endorsed by the devil
Whatever side of politics you’re on you have to feel sympathy for John Howard? Er … NO. In fact, I could eat a treeful of green lemons and I’d still be thinking gleefully Hoist with his own petard, As ye sow, so shall ye reap and, most of all:
Howard milked AS plight, not because they were a threat to a nation which had welcomed earlier boat people, but because they threatened his grip on power he’d sought so avidly and ruthlessly for years.
Damned in history, with Cardinal Pell and Keith Windschuttle, as inspiring a antiIslamic, racist mass-murderer! What an epitaph for an atrocious treasurer and a despicable Prime Minister.
by OzPol Tragic on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:32 am
vic @ 4889
And the point is?
by bemused on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:33 am
The putrid morass that is News International…….
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/07/28/us-newscorp-idUSTRE76R4QT20110728
The sooner this organisation is broken up and scattered by the winds the better.
by briefly on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:34 am
Many religions took a long time to be recognised. We can all still be Jedis if we want too. Surely Labor supporters will see the legitimacy of social action for a cause
That description – odorless, colorless, weightless gas – is not true as far as the weightess big goes. Air has mass, just not very much. More importantly, you can say the same thing – odorless, colorless, and not very heavy – about lots of gases that will kill you. If Abbott thinks CO2 is harmless, would he care to step into a sealed room full of it for a few minutes? I take it Abbott spent about as much time studying chemistry at school as he spent on economics and maths? What did he learn?
by Socrates on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:35 am
Oh dear…Tony STILL thinks CO2 is weightless….is he thick?….or what?
“This is a draconian new police force chasing an invisible odourless, weightless, tasteless substance,” Mr Abbott told the Nine Network today.
Read more: http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/abbott-slams-draconian-carbon-cops/story-e6frfku0-1226104042303#ixzz1TRicChcW
by markjs on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:36 am
Underlying inflation rate is a Goldilocks 2.7%
by This little black duck on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:36 am
by Space Kidette on Jul 29, 2011 at 9:38 am