Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the first post-carbon tax announcement Newspoll is one of the happier poll results for the government of the past fortnight: the Coalition’s two-party lead has eased to 56-44 from 58-42 a fortnight ago and support for the carbon tax is up six points to 36 per cent, with opposition down six to 53 per cent. On the primary vote, Labor is up two points to 29 per cent, the Coalition is down two to 47 per cent and the Greens are up one to 13 per cent. Julia Gillard has gained two points on approval to 32 per cent, but her disapproval remains stuck on 59 per cent. Tony Abbott is down three on approval to 39 per cent and up three on disapproval to 52 per cent, and has only just maintained his lead as preferred prime minister, dropping two points to 41 per cent with Gillard up two to 40 per cent.
We also had from the Herald-Sun yesterday a poll of 625 voters in Julia Gillard’s electorate of Lalor, conducted by JWS Research using its usual methodology of automated phone calls. The company has had a rather patchy record with its previous political polling, and the latest survey has been criticised for asking respondents attitudinal questions before proceeding to voting intention. It points to a 14 per cent swing against Gillard – solidly higher than the trend of recent national polling – although she still leads 58-42 on two-party preferred. Gillard has a four-point net positive approval rating among her own constituents, but the carbon tax is opposed by 43 per cent compared with 33 per cent in support. Fifty-seven per cent rate her “honest and trustworthy” (either quite or very), with 34 per cent opting for the negative.
UPDATE: Bernard Keane in Crikey reports the latest Essential Research result has the Coalition lead at 55-45, down from 56-44 last week and 57-43 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is up a point to 32 per cent, and the Coalition’s down one to 48 per cent. However, Tony Abbott’s policy of scrapping the carbon tax has the support of 50 per cent of respondents, with only 36 per cent opposed. There are also questions on trust in the media, which is found to have “slumped dramatically in recent months”. Trust in daily newspapers rates in the low 50s, television and radio news and current affairs in the high 40s and talk radio in the low 30s. With respect to specific outlets, the ABC and broadsheets are more trusted than the commercial media and tabloids. Fifty-eight per cent say the government should not allow one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers – as News Limited does – which is up from 50 per cent since the question was last asked in November.
UPDATE 2: Full Essential Research report here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
only one vote i tested the system but sent it around 10 email addresses
by my say on Jul 29, 2011 at 2:58 pm
Guaranteed emetic effect.
One to miss.
by BK on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:00 pm
Well Evan,
I’ve voted for Kev in the Tea Drinking competition. Good thing, too, especially if he can knock over the Chaffbag Parrot.
by Gorgeous Dunny on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:01 pm
A spring chicken, Ari, but the link has failed – I got pepped up with it instead of slowed down.
Vera – have voted for Kev for you and got all the kids, dogs, cows, wallies, kookas, andwhatever else is hangin’ around to do it too. Go Kev!
by BH on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:02 pm
BK,
Is that enigmatic or enamatic?
by Greensborough Growler on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:02 pm
Shows On I was merely repeating the Reuters report, which I gave the link for
by david on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:02 pm
Things are looking up. A little help from some friends: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MMR5JVo21wQ
by This little black duck on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:03 pm
vera
I voted for Kev.
Which Joe are you referring to?
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:04 pm
BK – they must be getting hard up for people to squat on their chairs. Weren’t these 3 on a couple of weeks ago? Having Kenny and Milne on together is a bit much.
Definitely one to miss.
by BH on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:05 pm
david + Shows On
Whatever the case here is a very good Boehner cartoon for your perusal.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cartoon/2011/jul/29/steve-bell-john-boehner
by poroti on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:06 pm
Not in Perth. (I call WA ‘southern’ because it’s Aussie rules there). Probably one of the few good things about Burke’s reign was installation of a decent public transport system.
by Gorgeous Dunny on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:07 pm
Here you go people todays comedy spot,,,,
TonyAbbottMHR Tony Abbott
This week’s blog: Daily Telegraph Blog http://bit.ly/r7x0YF
#MyLiberal
by david on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:07 pm
GD,
And the aquaducts!
by Greensborough Growler on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:09 pm
david
I attempted to read it, but I just cant
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:09 pm
Gorgeous Dunny
Yep the Libs were going to close the Freo Perth trainline and sell the land. Once that line was revamped the penny dropped and so we now have what I think is a pretty good rail system.
by poroti on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:10 pm
Here you go, BH, the long version link for Ethel Merman might work for you:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZA_Ic4aQssc
by Aristotle on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:10 pm
Is Joe Hockey serious or just silly?
by ruawake on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:15 pm
Short version: Abbott says he’s done a lot in the last two weeks and Gillard hasn’t. Also, carbon tax is bad.
by rishane on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:19 pm
victoria I understand your problem with it, is a disgraceful litany of rubbish. I left a comment which will not be published, it asks questions about policy, his knowledge of carbon, why does MH hate him? Why does he hate MH? Why is he attempting to blackmail the PM over the public threats of harm towards her? Quoted Cannel 9 this morning so he would know where I was coming from…doubt he will ever get to read it before being deleted. Still someone will.
by david on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:20 pm
Thanks Ari – now you’ve got me dancing to the kitchen to make a cuppa.
by BH on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:21 pm
Victoria
Joe Hockey
Kev’s old Sunrise sparring partner
by vera on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:25 pm
Both, unfortunately.
by Lynchpin on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:26 pm
Seriously silly.
by This little black duck on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:26 pm
vera
Really? Well there you go!
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:27 pm
vanOnselenP Peter van Onselen
In just under an hour Tim Wilson, Cass Wilkinson and Chris Kenny are on #Contrarians,
by david on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:27 pm
If I had to score the last 2 weeks, Gillard 5 Abbott 0 (in soccer terms)
by Lynchpin on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:27 pm
Lynchpin,
Active colour and movement is not actually doing anything.
by Greensborough Growler on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:29 pm
Rudd will get the SUNRISE vote for the Tea competition!
All very trivial, but beating Alan Jones is always very satisfying(and Rudd would donate his prize money to the RSPCA).
by evan14 on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:30 pm
evan14
When does the competition finish?
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:35 pm
Voting closes tomorrow afternoon.
by evan14 on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:36 pm
Evan
RSPCA to get 10cents a tin if Kev wins
did you see this?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hV-wnd4wHIg
by vera on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:37 pm
I thought it was Abbott who did the stand-up comedy gigs.
by Gorgeous Dunny on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:39 pm
GD
I wonder if Joe will ask Premier O’Farrell for a similar commitment?
by ruawake on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:45 pm
ruawake
Or Ted Ballieu for that matter
by victoria on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:46 pm
Yep Vic.
Or maybe Joe can tell us why a congestion tax is a bad thing?
by ruawake on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:49 pm
He’s already said he won’t because his support was for the ETS not the Carbon Tax.
by Burgey on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:50 pm
I just posted a comment over at the DT. I know it won’t get posted, but I the popup after posting was interesting. It contains this text:
My comment fell into the first 3 categories, but nearly every comment on the article breached most of the guidelines, especially the one I’ve bolded above.
Article is this egregious POS: http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/congestion-road-tax-on-drivers-is-highway-robbery/comments-e6freuy9-1226103742822
by autocrat on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:53 pm
Plus why burn political bridges in a gesture that achieves nothing, the legislation will still pass if MT votes for it, against it or goes to the club.
by ruawake on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:53 pm
Emperor penguin Happy Feet may soon be back in Antarctica after getting the all clear from Wellington Zoo.
http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/happy-feet-gets-all-clear-4332245
by david on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:55 pm
NSW has already said no
http://www.northernstar.com.au/story/2011/07/29/congestion-tax-unfair-to-drivers-nsw/
But I thought I first heard it mooted by the new head of one of the NSW transport bureaucacies
by shellbell on Jul 29, 2011 at 3:57 pm
ruawake
Orrrrrrrrrrr he will break out the Grange do an Abbott and upset nobody.
http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/national/abbott-snoozed-through-key-vote/story-e6freuzr-1111119064644
by poroti on Jul 29, 2011 at 4:01 pm
Well Duncan old chap, what do you intend doing about it? Plus what is an alternative form of public transport?
by ruawake on Jul 29, 2011 at 4:02 pm
The Government’s policy IS an ETS that starts off with a fixed price!
Exactly the same as the amended CPRS that Turnbull agreed to! The major change is the starting price, $23 instead of $20.
by ShowsOn on Jul 29, 2011 at 4:03 pm
I suspect that Turnbull would vote against the carbon tax (he’s already made it clear he supports the original ETS)
If Direct Action was put before the parliament, I suspect he would abstain.
by spur212 on Jul 29, 2011 at 4:03 pm
A congestion tax makes perfect economic sense.
The fact is by 2025, almost half of the cars on the road will be hybrids or electric, so there needs to be a new method of taxing driving other than by taxing fuel (which by then will probably be approaching $2.50 a litre.
by ShowsOn on Jul 29, 2011 at 4:05 pm
Stop swallowing Abbott’s nonsense. The Government’s policy is an ETS, it simply has a fixed price for permits for the first three years. The amended CPRS that Turnbull agreed to had a fixed price of $20 for the first year.
If Turnbull is asserting that this is a carbon tax as an excuse, then he has either become delusional or he is lying.
by ShowsOn on Jul 29, 2011 at 4:06 pm
ruawake
NSW/Sydney is banking, in part, on northwest rail link
This might be the first ever link to the Rouse Hill times:
http://rouse-hill-times.whereilive.com.au/news/story/no-congestion-tax-without-rail-link-roads-minister/
by shellbell on Jul 29, 2011 at 4:08 pm
Or both.
by ruawake on Jul 29, 2011 at 4:09 pm
Sydney was a much better place to work when vehicle access was cut during APEC.
Of course summary arrest also became easier
by shellbell on Jul 29, 2011 at 4:10 pm
No, it’s just an excuse for MT not to cross the floor. That’s all.
by Burgey on Jul 29, 2011 at 4:12 pm