Weekend miscellany
No Morgan poll this week. There is the following however:
• ReachTel continues to pump out the Queensland state automated phone polls. Perhaps emboldened by a recent effort pointing to a 27 per cent anti-Labor swing in Stretton, they have this week targeted two safe Labor seats and elicited similarly dramatic results. A survey of 384 respondents in the seat of Ipswich is fully as bad for Labor as the Stretton poll, showing a 26 per cent swing and a win for LNP candidate Ian Berry over Labor incumbent Rachel Nolan by a margin of 9.4 per cent. In the Brisbane seat of Bundamba, a poll of 371 respondents found a 20 per cent swing which would all but eradicate Labor member Jo-Ann Miller’s margin. Katter’s Australian Party was on double figures in both seats. Last week ReachTel published a poll of 366 respondents in Ferny Grove which showed a 15 per cent swing, easily enough to account for Labor member Geoff Wilson’s margin of 4.3 per cent. It should be noted however that ReachTel is a new outfit using a methodology which is yet to prove its worth, and all the swings mentioned are well over the 13 per cent indicated by recent Newspoll and Galaxy polling.
• John Ferguson of The Australian reports polling by the Victorian Liberal Party shows it poised to win not only the Labor-held marginals of Deakin, Corangamite and La Trobe, but also recording primary votes of 50 per cent and 48 per cent in relatively safe Bruce and Chisholm. Particularly difficult to believe is a funding from Bruce that “Julia Gillard had a minus 22 per cent favourability rating with Mr Abbott at plus 2 per cent”, which compares with Nielsen’s recent Victorian results of minus 13 and minus 25. Ferguson’s report further says that former members Phil Barresi (voted out in 2007 and again unsuccessful in 2010) and Jason Wood (voted out in 2010) are considering comebacks in Deakin and La Trobe. Local councillor Tim Smith is another possible starter in Deakin, and Ernst & Young partner John Nguyen “would be backed by many local members” in Chisholm. John Roskam of the Institute of Public Affairs and lawyer John Pesutto are mentioned as being likely preselection aspirants, though it is unclear in relation to which seats.
• Michael McKenna of The Australian reports “lobbyist and former 2007 Liberal candidate for the seat of Brisbane Ted O’Brien and Sunshine Coast businesswoman Peta Simpson” will join Mal Brough in the LNP preselection contest for Peter Slipper’s seat of Fisher, with Brough “expected to easily win”. In the period between his appearance at a local function with Kevin Rudd and his defection from the party, the LNP state executive was considering having Slipper deposed at a snap December 19 preselection, which would have prevented the state election campaign clashing with any move by him to pursue internal appeals processes. However, this failed to take into account that many of Brough’s local branch “recruits” (according to The Australian, “since returning to the party in December last year, Brough has doubled the membership in the Fisher LNP branch to more than 1000”) would have been unable to participate due to the rule requiring 12 months’ membership. According to The Australian, it was “suspected that Slipper may have orchestrated the Rudd visit to entrap the LNP into calling an early preselection to defeat Brough”. Following Slipper’s defection, it is now clear the preselection will now be held after the state election.
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Categories: Federal Politics 2010-, Queensland Politics
george. george.
Start up Photoshop. Yes. Start up Photoshop. “Think not what the country can do for me,
rather …
… ridicule the little prick.” He deserves it.
by Scringler on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:15 pm
BH,
My lips are sealed.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:15 pm
Puff, there’s an over-the-counter for that
by george on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:17 pm
mybtw – it was mentioned on Sky that Kev’s speech ran longer than most and that he touched on a lot of subjects not related to the FA issue. He was quite funny in calling Abbott Captain Negativity altho I’m not sure why Abbott was included in a speech on FA. He’s a bigger dunderhead on FA than his Deputy leader.
by BH on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:18 pm
A spoil sport, eh Puff! you’re forgiven tho.
by BH on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:19 pm
Speaking of ankles, this is a part of my Christmas wish list this year (written earlier today while musing over other things):
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:23 pm
Will Dennis and Michelle say the PM passed any of their tests tomorrow?
by ruawake on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:25 pm
Actually, PB is interesting.
What is considered outside the group norms, most of the time, is not the arguments of the commenters, but the failure to back them up with references or data, unless the observation is clearly claimed as a personal opinion. But the group is flexible, and tolerant most of the time, all overseen by a semi-benevolent ruler who is often swayed by his heart as much as his head. The impression of a progressive ark in a conservative sea comes to mind. Parroting of conservative slogans without substance is totally taboo and likely to initiate a ‘walking the plank’ ceremony.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:27 pm
Puff, that’s a great description of PB – William should use it as his introductory “about us” on the site.
by george on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:30 pm
Another of the Christmas Wish List (CWL):
DTT to drop the “hate” meme – overdone mate.
The Daily Telegraph
updates its name to
The Daily Phone Call from Rupert
or the Daily ADSL2+ or maybe The Daily Optic Fibre
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:34 pm
No. They will simply pose new tests.
by Scringler on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:36 pm
And with all that
ta da da da da da
Welcome back This Little Black Duck
The filtered one hasn’t been mentioned for a while!
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:41 pm
BH @1353,
It would not surprise me if the MSM started on about Minister Rudd appealing to the masses in his quest for a return to the leadership.
Anything to take the focus away from the success of conference.
by Doyley on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:41 pm
Thanks very much Doyley
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:44 pm
Blasted Karen Middleton doing her plump best to keep stirring the pot over Kev.
by lizzie on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:46 pm
Funny… that occurred to me too today for the first time.
I’d been trying to work out what it was that disturbed me about her appearance, and today I sussed it: head too big for body.
Actually, she has an incredibly small chest, with thick arms, a large head and Shirley Temple hair. No wonder she has trouble getting out of bed.
by Bushfire Bill on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:48 pm
BH,
There’s no shortage of “deviancy” here on PB!
by scorpio on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:49 pm
Maybe they’ll bring back the ‘Mr Popular’ crap, but who knows…
by rishane on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:49 pm
BH at 1173
Sheldon was on Hadley’s program last Monday week (sorry I was on the road to Wagga and could not get anything else on the AM radio) re Qantas.
Hadley, in true pretend messiah style, offered to book a room for Sheldon and Joyce to meet and sort out differences.
by shellbell on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:50 pm
l @ 1364
It’s Mr Rudd! who stirs the pot. Ms Middleton is merely doing her job.
by Boerwar on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:53 pm
Ah, but that is what is found the most attractive in infants.
The head is much larger in proportion with their bodies.
And exactly why parents fall in love with their kids.
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:53 pm
BB
I’m far more concerned about her salary: $250,000
A quarter of a million bucks to be lured to the ABC!?
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:56 pm
Boerwar
One attempt to boost “The war” was expected, but she came back on to make up stuff. There was no substance in anything she said regarding the conference.
by lizzie on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:57 pm
Bore Ware @ 1369
*YAWN*
Still at it I see.
Well we all know who the pot stirrer is on PB.
by bemused on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:57 pm
I tried to watch all of Insiders, insessant giggling by a megacephalous journo made me give up.
by ruawake on Dec 4, 2011 at 6:57 pm
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/society-and-culture/the-abc-of-seduction-how-mr-darcy-depends-on-damsels-20100124-msij.html
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:01 pm
onya albo
at least u and tanya tried
by gusface on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:02 pm
I know brilliant people in science who are doing amazing things on less than half that salary. Just criminal.
by george on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:03 pm
ru,
Is it impolite or un PC to call her a boof head?
by Greensborough Growler on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:05 pm
Puff
This may well interest you, in the light of your future career
In radical changes to the way mental health conditions are diagnosed, what was once considered a child’s temper tantrum could be labelled ”disruptive mood dysregulation disorder”. If a widow grieves for more than a fortnight she might be diagnosed with ”major depressive disorder”.
Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/national/psychiatry-bible-turns-sorrow-into-sickness-20111203-1ocmm.html#ixzz1fYEIxVBM
by lizzie on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:05 pm
definitely
boofheads dont need to be tarred with the same brush as crabbs
by gusface on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:06 pm
Nah she is a shocker, I have said so for years. If she wants to do stand up join the Comedy Club.
by ruawake on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:06 pm
lizzie @ 1379
I can’t comment on the first of those examples, but doesn’t a “major depressive disorder” require more than a normal grief reaction?
I have had both experiences and there is a world of difference.
by bemused on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:12 pm
@Puff/1323,
I have exact same problem, on the spot stuff i have trouble, but gimme an assignment I can do.
by zoidlord on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:14 pm
“Sheldon was on Hadley’s program last Monday week (sorry I was on the road to Wagga and could not get anything else on the AM radio) re Qantas.
Hadley, in true pretend messiah style, offered to book a room for Sheldon and Joyce to meet and sort out differences.”
1) I don’t know where you were coming from to get to Wagga but I’m sure there was another way. Failing that, you should have turned the radio off. Or cut your ears off.
2) Was he going to arrange champagne, flowers and a couple of pillows with chocolates on them, Homer Simpson style, as well? With Mr Joyce, the possibilities are endless…
by Roy Orbison on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:15 pm
tragic, isn’t it?
Especially when the leaders of our country have just been given a hefty pay rise (in the eyes of the public) and only JG’s amount to less than double her salary.
And, as you say, let’s bleed for our scientists.
Except, for one thing, if they’re all so bloody busy and doing what they love 24-7, when do they get the time to spend their salaries?
Just askin’
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:15 pm
I think the pm is a very humble person with humility..some people are just like that,
What was all the laughing about re rudd on the news.
by my say on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:17 pm
She wasn’t that bad.
In fact, she was the only one who said, wtte, that if the boot had been on the other foot regarding Hogwarts, there would have been frothing at the mouth headlines.
Got lost in the translation, I suppose.
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:18 pm
bemused
That was a direct quote from the article. I’m sorry I forgot the brackets.
I’m not at all happy with the way that normal emotions may now require professional interference.
From my own experience, and my reading, it takes two years to “get back to normal” after the loss of someone close. But only people who are already psychologically vulnerable need major intervention, AFAIK.
We are all being encouraged to be precious petals now. It’s not a good trend.
by lizzie on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:19 pm
doyley – lizzie has already posted that Middleton was on that theme and finished her report with the PM taking a short break but in the New Year the leadership stuff will be on the boil again. Urgghh!!
Such lazy journalism and all said with such sneering authority.
by BH on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:19 pm
Sports people are paid far to much
That’s one of the reasons I am not relay a sports fan
Except junior sport, athletic junior hockey, soccer, and junior tennis.
by my say on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:21 pm
Amazing people, these Daily Telegraph sub-editors…
http://www.smh.com.au/national/website-makes-pansy-wong-error-20111204-1od7s.html#ixzz1fYI3uFbA
by Laocoon on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:21 pm
Watch the segment again, Crabb is pissin’ herself giggling, Cassidy gives her the Mesma stare as she shuts up. She should stay in bed and in four year wake up with a million bucks.
by ruawake on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:22 pm
BULLSHIT
by gusface on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:22 pm
Marr and Farr Kettle were pathetic on Insiders today.
And let’s not forget their big heads in relation to their bodies.
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:22 pm
BH @1389,
Thanks for the update.
Sad but predictible.
by Doyley on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:23 pm
A classic case of being influenced by a respected poster
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:24 pm
lizzie @ 1388
I have experienced normal bereavement and got over it fairly quickly even when, on one occasion, I also lost my job between the death of my father and his funeral.
On the other hand, I still suffer from PTSD as a result of a particularly traumatic bereavement 17 years ago and was virtually incapacitated for months.
by bemused on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:24 pm
2 weeks of grief? After 2 weeks the shock hasn’t even worn off.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:24 pm
The fact you side with Ruddistas like daretoread and MTBW and Scorpio is ample evidence where your true leanings are.
Boerwar is 110% correct re Rudd’s manouveres – he’s doing unfinished business
by Frank Calabrese on Dec 4, 2011 at 7:27 pm