Weekend miscellany
No Morgan poll this week. There is the following however:
• ReachTel continues to pump out the Queensland state automated phone polls. Perhaps emboldened by a recent effort pointing to a 27 per cent anti-Labor swing in Stretton, they have this week targeted two safe Labor seats and elicited similarly dramatic results. A survey of 384 respondents in the seat of Ipswich is fully as bad for Labor as the Stretton poll, showing a 26 per cent swing and a win for LNP candidate Ian Berry over Labor incumbent Rachel Nolan by a margin of 9.4 per cent. In the Brisbane seat of Bundamba, a poll of 371 respondents found a 20 per cent swing which would all but eradicate Labor member Jo-Ann Miller’s margin. Katter’s Australian Party was on double figures in both seats. Last week ReachTel published a poll of 366 respondents in Ferny Grove which showed a 15 per cent swing, easily enough to account for Labor member Geoff Wilson’s margin of 4.3 per cent. It should be noted however that ReachTel is a new outfit using a methodology which is yet to prove its worth, and all the swings mentioned are well over the 13 per cent indicated by recent Newspoll and Galaxy polling.
• John Ferguson of The Australian reports polling by the Victorian Liberal Party shows it poised to win not only the Labor-held marginals of Deakin, Corangamite and La Trobe, but also recording primary votes of 50 per cent and 48 per cent in relatively safe Bruce and Chisholm. Particularly difficult to believe is a funding from Bruce that “Julia Gillard had a minus 22 per cent favourability rating with Mr Abbott at plus 2 per cent”, which compares with Nielsen’s recent Victorian results of minus 13 and minus 25. Ferguson’s report further says that former members Phil Barresi (voted out in 2007 and again unsuccessful in 2010) and Jason Wood (voted out in 2010) are considering comebacks in Deakin and La Trobe. Local councillor Tim Smith is another possible starter in Deakin, and Ernst & Young partner John Nguyen “would be backed by many local members” in Chisholm. John Roskam of the Institute of Public Affairs and lawyer John Pesutto are mentioned as being likely preselection aspirants, though it is unclear in relation to which seats.
• Michael McKenna of The Australian reports “lobbyist and former 2007 Liberal candidate for the seat of Brisbane Ted O’Brien and Sunshine Coast businesswoman Peta Simpson” will join Mal Brough in the LNP preselection contest for Peter Slipper’s seat of Fisher, with Brough “expected to easily win”. In the period between his appearance at a local function with Kevin Rudd and his defection from the party, the LNP state executive was considering having Slipper deposed at a snap December 19 preselection, which would have prevented the state election campaign clashing with any move by him to pursue internal appeals processes. However, this failed to take into account that many of Brough’s local branch “recruits” (according to The Australian, “since returning to the party in December last year, Brough has doubled the membership in the Fisher LNP branch to more than 1000”) would have been unable to participate due to the rule requiring 12 months’ membership. According to The Australian, it was “suspected that Slipper may have orchestrated the Rudd visit to entrap the LNP into calling an early preselection to defeat Brough”. Following Slipper’s defection, it is now clear the preselection will now be held after the state election.
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Categories: Federal Politics 2010-, Queensland Politics
CM
Deputy – Albo
Treasurer – who understands accounts just enough to survive in the portfolio? After all, they really rely on Treasury and then “present” it to the nation
by lizzie on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:02 pm
I am watching the movie Norma Rae, which I think is appropriate for the end of the ALP conference. http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0079638/
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:03 pm
Many thanks for your help, I tried to instal Google Chrome but it has failed twice, so am waiting for my very computer literate grandsons ,coming up during the holidays to show me what happened
by mari on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:03 pm
j2
So, how many of them are proposed and how many of them are actually completed, and why has it taken so long to build the ones that have been completed? And why, after four years, are they not all completed?
by Boerwar on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:03 pm
Carey,
Crean and Shorten.
by This little black duck on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:03 pm
That’s my thought too.
by Carey Moore on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:03 pm
bemused
You’re in a funny mood tonight. I’m not sad. Not all of us want to be constantly challenged by our software
by lizzie on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:04 pm
Boerwar,
For the purposes of our discussion on SSM and Labor’s conscience vote and stance on SSM,( which is what our discussion is about as far as I am concerned), what the Greens do with a conscience vote is irrelevant.
The perennial subjective opinion wheeled out when an argument is lost and the protagonist must be discredited.
by Pegasus on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:04 pm
Interesting choice. I actually think Shorten is the favourite to succeed Swan if the latter steps down.
by Carey Moore on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:04 pm
It would. I don’t think Rudd would want it though because he knows he’ll be stuck with it for the time being. It would be leadership or nothing for him.
by Carey Moore on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:06 pm
After watching Smith on Lateline discussing his position on SSM, I found him hesitant and difficult to understand. I don’t think a wide-ranging portfolio would suit him.
Lovely hair, tho (to quote others).
by lizzie on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:07 pm
mari,
Are you on a Mac?
For Chrome install on Windows I did the “follow the instructions” on the Google website.
by This little black duck on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:07 pm
I don’t really think that will do, Bemused.
by William Bowe on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:08 pm
mari @ 1652
Now another lady has been through that recently, assisted online by musrum who is the author of cccp. Was it janice2?
She is now a happy Chrome user. I recently switched from Firefox to Chrome and recommend it.
Sounds like you have a damn good excuse to demand a visit from the grandsons.
Enjoy their company.
by bemused on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:08 pm
I merely relate my experience of a fully functioning and wonderful addition to health care in my area. Sorry it does not fit your narrative.
by joe2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:08 pm
Shorten is Assistant Treasurer and Simon Crean is the senior frontbencher with nous.
by This little black duck on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:09 pm
Be used I never remember about being really silly about anything, its not in my nature, iam actually quite a serious. Person.
I could say a lot more but I want
I will say though, none of us are perfect.
Its also good that i don’t have the time to spend all day here
by my say on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:09 pm
That’s why his stocks are good for taking the Treasury role one day.
by Carey Moore on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:11 pm
I think the next leadership candidates need to be talented and good communicators.
Unfortunately, Swan and Smith have the talent, but are not good communicators IMHO. So I would rather promote people like Shorten, Bowen and Combet – maybe Plibersek – who are able to communicate well.
by sprocket_ on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:11 pm
BW, please be gentle with Horsey.
by The Finnigans on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:11 pm
Please do.
Let’s go through them one by one
Not going to get resolved otherwise.
I’ve had a gutful.
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:12 pm
lizzie @ 1656
Maybe I am a bit too inclined to proselytise when I like something and think it will benefit others (ALP for example).
Make note to be more restrained in my enthusiasm…
by bemused on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:12 pm
PM Gillard, DPM Plibersek. The msm and jocks would go into orbit. Bring it on!
by This little black duck on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:13 pm
William @ 1662
Please explain?
I was resisting the temptation to keep it going by hitting a few over the fence.
by bemused on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:15 pm
Crikey’s Croakey Blog is the place to go to obtain information about health reforms:
http://blogs.crikey.com.au/croakey/
3 August 2011: http://blogs.crikey.com.au/croakey/2011/08/03/health-reform-its-incremental-and-a-work-in-progress/
by Pegasus on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:15 pm
Good on Paul B, I don’t think we will get info like this from other media organisations?
And thank you Bemused(1663) The beach is 50 metres away, so they like coming up, I intend to make them work??(to them computers are a pleasure) for their B&B. All this kerfufle because I forgot or missed putting a {at the beginning of a quote and Ducky kindly pointed it out to me
by mari on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:15 pm
DPM Wong! Get her in the House!
by Carey Moore on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:15 pm
It’s great being able to name so many Labor mps who can fill the important government roles with distinction. Try doing that with the other side.
by Gary on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:16 pm
by victoria on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:17 pm
mari
You beat me to it!
by victoria on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:18 pm
my say @ 1666
I did admit it was my opinion and you and others may agree.
I particularly recalled you objecting to someone’s avatar. But anyway, no point in recalling old disagreements.
I was happy to find we had some good points of agreement today.
by bemused on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:18 pm
Paul Bongiorno is a pretty straight shooter in a pack that could not hit a barn point blank.
by joe2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:19 pm
bemused @ 1671
I always react very negatively to pushy sales reps.
And religious types who try to push their beliefs on to me.
“Proselytise” comes into that category
by lizzie on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:19 pm
David Marr, on Insiders, said that The PM, possibly with Obi’s visit, has become a PM in stature and that she is likely to become more so in 2012.
by This little black duck on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:19 pm
Dan, yes. It is NOT an honest mistake. It’s the
work of some little smart-arse at News trying to
make a mark. Deliberate, considered. Putrid.
by Scringler on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:19 pm
So up yourself, aren’t you?
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:20 pm
Pegasus
Ah, there it is again… the sure-footed Greens policy guru reminds the poor policy cluck that if they don’t respond by agreeing with the Greens position they are suffering from subjective opinionating and, even worse, ad hominemism. My bad!
As I have noted before, even when I agree with the contents of Greens policies as presented by your good self on this blog, I quite often have the same emotional response to the way in which they are presented. Now why would that be? It is not that the policies are wrong or incorrect or pisspoor. I am agreeing with them, after all.
If you are seeking to persuade on this blog rather than parading the one true path I suggest you would do well to reflect on your approach. Call it irrational. Call it a personal attack.
Or, perhaps, take it as some useful advice.
by Boerwar on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:21 pm
I may be wrong but I thought that was Malcolm Farr.
by Gary on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:21 pm
I am on windows, followed the instructions, all seemed to be OK, ie downloaded but the system didn’t transfer over to Chrome, so a few days later did the same again, same result. so as I said decided to wait till the grandsons come up.
by mari on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:21 pm
There’s been Labor backbenchers who have appeared on shows like Capital Hill and The Drum who have been quite impressive. Sometimes it is refreshing to see and hear other parliamentarians besides the usual high profile ministers.
by Pegasus on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:21 pm
bemused, I installed review and thanks for the tip. Just saying.
by joe2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:21 pm
According to Doonesbury, relating the machinations of Republican insiders, the big advantage Bush had in being “The Dumb One” was that whenever he was caught out, he could always get away with saying, “It was just an honest mistake.”
by Gorgeous Dunny on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:22 pm
kezza2 @ 1670
I wanted to spare us and everyone else that.
I really don’t understand the source of your angst.
by bemused on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:22 pm
Great minds think alike and can pick up the “good news”
by mari on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:24 pm
Tomorrow’s opinion today, courtesy of an early post on the HS site.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/opinion/deaths-haunt-our-big-miners/story-e6frfhqf-1226213572040
Worth reading through
by Leroy on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:24 pm
Leveson recommences Monday. The witness list is here http://www.levesoninquiry.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Witness-List-5-9-December-2011.pdf
by This little black duck on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:25 pm
I think everyone is interested
let;s do it
by kezza2 on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:26 pm
William is on the money with this retweet
by sprocket_ on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:26 pm
Information Commissioner’s Office
by This little black duck on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:26 pm
No, Bemused, that’s what you’d have been doing if you’d said nothing. What you were doing was succumbing to the temptation to keep it going, without in fact hitting anything over the fence.
by William Bowe on Dec 4, 2011 at 10:26 pm