Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the latest Newspoll has the Coalition two-party lead at 54-46, down from an aberrant 57-43 a fortnight ago. The Coalition is down four points on the primary vote to 44 per cent, which in fact returns them to where they were in the poll before last. Labor is up a point to 31 per cent, which is still a point shy of the previous poll, and the Greens are on 13 per cent, which compares with 10 per cent last time and 12 per cent the time before. Julia Gillard has consolidated the lead she opened up as preferred prime minister a fortnight ago, which ended five months of ascendancy for Tony Abbott: she is now up three to 43 per cent, with Abbott up one to 36 per cent. Gillard also has a less bad net approval rating than Abbott for the first time in eight months, with her approval up two points to 36 per cent (its highest in eight months) and disapproval up one to 56 per cent. Abbott is down one on approval to 33 per cent and up two on disapproval to 57 per cent, in both cases equalling his previous worst results and collectively producing his lowest ever net rating of minus 24.
UPDATE: Essential Research likewise has it at 54-46, unchanged from last week, with primary votes of 47 per cent for the Coalition (down one), 34 per cent for Labor (steady) and 10 per cent for the Greens (down one). Encouragingly for Labor, there has been a shift in sentiment in favour of the government seeing out its full term: support is up seven points since early September to 47 per cent, with “hold election now” down seven to 41 per cent. Less happily for them, a question on best party to handle 15 issues has Labor leading only on industrial relations, and then only slightly – the Liberals hold leads approaching 20 per cent for all economic questions, as well as “political leadership”. On the question of which issues will most influence vote choice, there has been little change since June.
UPDATE 2: Possum charts polling showing a shift in sentiment away from an early election:
However, the apparently radical nature of the shift from the first two polls to the last three is largely a function of the poorly framed question posed by Galaxy in the earlier cases, when respondents were offered the false dichotomy of “Gillard has a mandate for the carbon tax” and “an early election should be called”. Australia’s worst and least trusted major newspaper, the Daily Telegraph, used these obviously flawed results to run a front page lead claiming Australians were “demanding Julia Gillard call a fresh election” and an editorial headlined “voters demand a carbon tax ballot”. It will be interesting to see how the paper reports today’s contrary finding from Essential Research.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
by confessions on Dec 7, 2011 at 7:57 am
Off for the day again.
Catch you guys later!
by victoria on Dec 7, 2011 at 7:57 am
by confessions on Dec 7, 2011 at 7:59 am
From the Wikipedia article on Father Chris Riley:
Father Riley seems to need the Clubs to provide the raw materials for his foundation.
Without pokie addicts and the profits they generate so that the Clubs can send a few miserable dollars his way, Father Riley would be up in the islands, swatting mozzies and teaching the nates in Pidgin how to add 2+2. No Wiki article. No gig on 2UE.
Classic case of Stockholm Syndromne.
by Bushfire Bill on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:04 am
Happy Anniversary, My Say,
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:13 am
Indeed, 4.25% is the lowest the Howard government ever achieved, in January 2002, for three months, until they went up again, and never stopped after that.
One more drop to 3.75%, and rates will equal their lowest under this government, and be lower than for any time for decades.
http://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/#interest_rates
by Bushfire Bill on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:15 am
You are also correct there, but when last speaking to my SIL, who was headhunted by one from the other a couple of years ago, they will survive, he hopes so
by mari on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:18 am
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/environment/animals/deerram-love-story-has-china-aflutter-20111207-1ohqz.html#ixzz1fn8cnz7X
Its started, we were warned, gay marriage will be the end of life as we know it, bluddy gillard
by castle on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:19 am
But interest rates will ALWAYS be lower under a Liberal government, just ask honest John.
by Smaug on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:20 am
Is anyone aware what powers the Leveson enquiry has in the UK ?
Or will he only be able to make recommendations that Cameron will ignore if they *inconvenience* his mate murdoch ?
by dave on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:21 am
GG
And slagged off at Andrew Demtriou.
Of course, she was Panopoulos then. Now she no longer has a Greek surname, her usefulness to the Liberal party as an anti Greek attack dog has ended.
I think selling her ethnicity down the river was one of the most contemptible things she ever did (and the list is very long…)
by zoomster on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:24 am
For those who like reading about famous Oz court cases (Kelly, Chamberlain, Mabo, Lionel Murphy) you might want to consider the link for a stocking filler:
http://ebooks.readings.com.au/product/9781742664750
by shellbell on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:25 am
Reposting.
Gus has been outed.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XYizymYeJEU
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:26 am
Senator Maddigan advocates Pollies going out to do work experience so that they really understand what it’s like to be a working person:
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/more-news/senator-john-madigan-wants-mps-to-learn-what-its-like-to-be-a-battler/story-fn7x8me2-1226215496654
Disappointed there’s no mention of Abbott’s sterling efforts in this regard.
by zoomster on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:32 am
MikeKellyMPMike Kelly MP
theage.com.au/national/-1oh9
Mike Kelly is getting better and better at Twitter
by mari on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:39 am
zoomster:
Didn’t Rudd try to initiate something similar when Labor was elected in 2007? I recall Rudd directing front benchers to spend nights in homeless shelters as a way of empathising with homeless people.
by confessions on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:39 am
bb @ 2103
Poker machines are undoubtedly a scourge and can devastate a family to a much greater extent than a theft.
Not sure about all the other states, but Victoria has a ‘self exclusion’ arrangement. The problem is that it is carefully designed to be totally ineffective.
The self exclusion applies venue by venue, so having excluded from all nearby venues, the problem gambler will then travel a little further. Who would have thought! Also, it relies on venue staff remembering all the self excluded punters and recognising them. Futile I would have thought.
An effective self exclusion scheme could be of some benefit if a single application for self exclusion then applied to all venues in the jurisdiction or, better still, nation wide. But how to enforce it? Just as other entertainment venues, such as nightclubs, control entry, so too should gambling dens, requiring photo ID which can be checked against a database. Or a stronger mechanism if one can be devised. Technology should be able to offer a better solution.
Since family members and others can go to a court and seek an intervention order if they feel threatened by a family member, there should be legislation enabling family members to go to court to seek an order excluding a family member from gambling dens to protect the family from financial injury.
I suggest the above as modest FIRST STEPS in dealing with this parasitic scourge.
by bemused on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:40 am
http://www.theage.com.au/national/mps-agree-on-need-for-disability-insurance-plan-20111206-1oh9q.html
Sorry for some reason MK link didn’t come through
by mari on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:41 am
What a pity about Father Riley..he has become another lobbyist for sale to the highest bidder.
Feel sorry for the people who believe in him and work their guts out for his charity.
Its no longer about goodwill and fellowship it’s now about money and the highest bidder.
by arunta on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:42 am
Puffy,
I always knew he was a surrender monkey.
by Greensborough Growler on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:42 am
Fool Gilbert’s panel interviews are pathetic. It’s like reading the same book over and over again.
Gilbert is totally ineffective in teasing out anything new or challenging what is obvious rubbish.
by BK on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:44 am
My Say
Happy Anniversary
Congratulations
by daretotread on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:45 am
Morning all. Disappointing to see no major bank has yet passed on the rates cut. Govt should hammer that point.
Also interested to see BB’s 2103 regarding gambling revenue and Father Riley’s ministry income. Sadly I’m not surprised. It is but one of many bad examples of charities taking money from very dubious sources I have seen.
The Democrats pressed for tighter definitions of charity, and stripping away tax exemptions for religeous purposes years ago, and they were right. Back when I was involved in the Catholic Church i saw some very dubious allocations of legitimately donated funds (i.e. not used for the purpose they were donated for). This is a rock that badly needs turning over.
by Socrates on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:46 am
fess
yes – it’s one of those ideas that gets put out there every now and again, and each time the media treats it as if it’s totally original.
From memory, during the Howard years someone proposed all pollies pending a week in the armed forces.
by zoomster on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:47 am
GG
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:47 am
Confessions
Yes
What is more on the way home from his election night victory speech Rudd went to visit a homeless shelter.
This has always given me a high opinion of his commitment to Labor principles
by daretotread on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:48 am
zoomster,
Pity the Lib ones didn’t say there.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:48 am
He did. It was a terrific initiative that won him a lot of kudos from the punters. Ahhh, those sweet heady days when love was in the air and Kevin could do no wrong.
by Tom Hawkins on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:49 am
GG,
I don’t think a lemur actually is a monkey.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:49 am
…and all Coalition MPs were required to spend some time working in small businesses a few years ago.
by zoomster on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:49 am
2188
Another religious to cross off my li
by my say on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:49 am
List,
by my say on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:50 am
Zoomster
Also the pollies working has been tryed in Qld. Anna Bligh sent the whole team out to serve in shops, be brickies labourers etc each for two or three days. She went herself – cannot remember where. It go quite good media coverage.
by daretotread on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:50 am
Zoomster
I think we should support Abbott’s efforts. Consider it worker training for his career as a builder’s labourer when he leaves politics.
by daretotread on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:52 am
daretotread
Bligh worked a night in the hospitals ED.
by Diogenes on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:53 am
Abbott on 702 ABC atm espousing his BS that this govt. is a catastrophic failure. Tried to get on to ask Abbott how can he say that when the Govt has successfully passed 254 bills and what has he achieved in parliament? Was told by the producer that Q won’t get us anywhere.
I replied that her attitude confirmed what the political blogs were saying ie ABC = Abbott Broadcasting Corp. SHe denied that saying Abbott hadn’t been on 702 for 3/4 yrs. Phil clarke
gave a sycophantic interview, just let Abbott spew his BS.
by vote1maxine on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:53 am
Puff
A lemur is not a monkey but it IS a primate
by daretotread on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:53 am
arunta
The Salvos are even worse. When they turn up here for money, I tell them to try grovelling at the local hotel for some of the pokies profits.
by Diogenes on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:57 am
Puff, TLBD, Bushfire Bill,
Thank you for the wise words, which helped clarify my thoughts. I’ll leave it be. The little soldier will march on …
As you say, he’ll let me know when he’s had enough. And, yes, it was me being selfish.
Little Henry has a thing about birds invading his airspace. He barks and bristles. He ignores sparrows, but crows and galahs are considered hostile. Might get him a bazooka.
Again, thanks for the advice. Issue resolved. We’ll all march on …
+++
my say: Congratulations!
by Scringler on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:57 am
Madigan’s proposal definitely isn’t new. Populism is the new black these days.
And how unsurprisement that Nick Xenophon would express enthusiasm for it!
by confessions on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:57 am
That’s part of the problem. Of course Abbott could get on the ABC airwaves at a minutes notice but he chooses to say NO.
So the ABC run a soft interview hoping he will come back soon for another soft interview.
Looks like the producer had already mapped out how the interview was to ‘evolve’ and wouldn’t put that at risk.
by Tom Hawkins on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:58 am
puffy,
gus must be French then.
by Greensborough Growler on Dec 7, 2011 at 8:59 am
fess, yes, that struck me too!
by zoomster on Dec 7, 2011 at 9:02 am
My Say,
My congratulations on your 44th anniversary of what has clearly been a joyful match.
by Gorgeous Dunny on Dec 7, 2011 at 9:05 am
Thefinnigans TheFinnigans天地有道人无道
When everything else fails, try the old faithful. Abbott back to STOP THE BOATS & Gimme gimme gimme election & key to Da Lodge NOW #auspol
26 seconds ago
by The Finnigans on Dec 7, 2011 at 9:12 am
Good morning, Bludgers.
Happy anniversary to you and your husband , my say.
So cold and wet here I had to switch on the electric blanket to stop aging joints keeping me awake. Apparently we will have 2 fine days this month (inc Christmas Day). Clothes driers will cop another hiding.
These are the summers typical of Brisbane (and Q & N-NSW) 1946/7-76; the SuperWet decades.
So the OO is frothing at the mouth. Again.
The founder’s empire runs on the Either I ‘own’ the PM and government, or I destroy it principle. He failed to win PM Gillard, so his NewsLtd did the best to destroy her Government and install Abbott, the alternative PM he could own – and take over Australia Network – asap. But she and her government were too resilient for the OO, NewsLtd, Rupert Murdoch himself.
Meanwhile, the ugly criminal tabloid culture he created in the UK came crashing down this year under the PM he thought he owned more completely than he did Blair; yet such was the depravity and criminality at the heart of NewsInt’l, Dave Cameron’s Minister refused to hand over more of BSkyB.
The world watched – still watches – the unfolding story of thuggery, corruption, destruction of people’s lives, even suicide, resulting from illegal hacking, blagging, intrusion into people’s lives; the devastation caused by what NewsInt’l writers knew to be completely false slanders; the utter disdain and disregard for British law at the core of billionaire Murdoch’s megalomaniacal greed and obsession for power over everyone, especially governments and those whose lives could be ruined for more billions.
No government should ever do deals with such a company. No government should, given the extent of criminal activities (inc corruption of a police force from the highest ranks to those ‘on the beat’) at the core of a media company, allow it more control of national media than it already has. The UK government has learnt and applied that lesson.
It seems the Australian PM and Government, which NewsLtd doesn’t own, has also.
Suck it up, NewsLtd.
by OzPol Tragic on Dec 7, 2011 at 9:15 am
I should add that this is a little unfair on the SA Salvos as they actually support the Govt on pokies reform, as do the WA and Tassies (dunno about Vic).
It’s the NSW and Qld Salvos who have thrown pokies addicts under the bus after being infiltrated and used by the Clubs.
by Diogenes on Dec 7, 2011 at 9:16 am
Thefinnigans TheFinnigans天地有道人无道
The Syrian People are demanding a #NoFlyZone. What about it Sirs – Obama, Cameron and Sarlozy. Dont just bullied Libya.
25 seconds ago
by The Finnigans on Dec 7, 2011 at 9:16 am
Diog, why dont you just say “Solly, i was wRONg”. it’s not that difficult.
by The Finnigans on Dec 7, 2011 at 9:17 am
OPT
I was blissfully unaware of the Australia Network issue but reading the qnashing of teeth on the News sites, I’m coming to enjoy it.
Bolt has gone berserk and there is nothing better than a gutted Bolt.
by Diogenes on Dec 7, 2011 at 9:18 am