Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the latest Newspoll has the Coalition two-party lead at 54-46, down from an aberrant 57-43 a fortnight ago. The Coalition is down four points on the primary vote to 44 per cent, which in fact returns them to where they were in the poll before last. Labor is up a point to 31 per cent, which is still a point shy of the previous poll, and the Greens are on 13 per cent, which compares with 10 per cent last time and 12 per cent the time before. Julia Gillard has consolidated the lead she opened up as preferred prime minister a fortnight ago, which ended five months of ascendancy for Tony Abbott: she is now up three to 43 per cent, with Abbott up one to 36 per cent. Gillard also has a less bad net approval rating than Abbott for the first time in eight months, with her approval up two points to 36 per cent (its highest in eight months) and disapproval up one to 56 per cent. Abbott is down one on approval to 33 per cent and up two on disapproval to 57 per cent, in both cases equalling his previous worst results and collectively producing his lowest ever net rating of minus 24.
UPDATE: Essential Research likewise has it at 54-46, unchanged from last week, with primary votes of 47 per cent for the Coalition (down one), 34 per cent for Labor (steady) and 10 per cent for the Greens (down one). Encouragingly for Labor, there has been a shift in sentiment in favour of the government seeing out its full term: support is up seven points since early September to 47 per cent, with “hold election now” down seven to 41 per cent. Less happily for them, a question on best party to handle 15 issues has Labor leading only on industrial relations, and then only slightly – the Liberals hold leads approaching 20 per cent for all economic questions, as well as “political leadership”. On the question of which issues will most influence vote choice, there has been little change since June.
UPDATE 2: Possum charts polling showing a shift in sentiment away from an early election:
However, the apparently radical nature of the shift from the first two polls to the last three is largely a function of the poorly framed question posed by Galaxy in the earlier cases, when respondents were offered the false dichotomy of “Gillard has a mandate for the carbon tax” and “an early election should be called”. Australia’s worst and least trusted major newspaper, the Daily Telegraph, used these obviously flawed results to run a front page lead claiming Australians were “demanding Julia Gillard call a fresh election” and an editorial headlined “voters demand a carbon tax ballot”. It will be interesting to see how the paper reports today’s contrary finding from Essential Research.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
kezza at 3493
Yes – the legalese expression is an “implied undertaking”.
When Party A gives access to documents to Party B, Party B gives an implied undertaking not to use them other than in Party B’s case.
The undertaking binds Party B and his/her lawyers.
by shellbell on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:23 pm
Wot now Joe is against bank making profits, he really has joined the Vlad Putin’s of the world. Maybe Marit Safin had a word in his ear, hey Joe wanna play ball.
by ruawake on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:29 pm
Toolman does Teeth.
by Frank Calabrese on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:31 pm
The Greens in the ACT, where they have the balance of power (guess who was the better negotiator?), are a long way from their federal comrades: much more realistic.
by This little black duck on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:31 pm
Uhlmann, on 7.5, recounts Dental Scheme history accurately: in by Keating, out by Howard, sop by Howard.
by This little black duck on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:33 pm
Hey get mouth cancer, your teeth are then covered by medicare.
by ruawake on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:35 pm
I’m (not) surprised that they ran a survey to get the facts about our dental health. It is obvious.
by This little black duck on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:37 pm
rua,
I must take up smoking.
by This little black duck on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:37 pm
Is this Leigh’s last gig?
by This little black duck on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:38 pm
The price differentials between dentists for the same procedures is an outrage!
by BK on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:38 pm
Wow! Babyface Dutton has said something abut health!
by BK on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:39 pm
abut = about
by BK on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:40 pm
This little black duck
Chewing Tabaccy seems to be the best.
by poroti on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:40 pm
A mate of mine has just had all his teeth out for immediate dentures, teeth extractions @ $160 a tooth cost more than the dentures.
by ruawake on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:41 pm
rua
That is appalling!!
by BK on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:43 pm
7.5 did a not-bad coverage of The Newt.
by This little black duck on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:47 pm
About four years ago, I had a dentist do a quote for teeth whitening prior to going to wedding, $900 and he would supply me with a kit to do it myself at home. I did a bit of research and found a kit to do it myself for $12.00 and it worked well.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:48 pm
shellbell @ 3500
It’s a relief to know I understood you.
thanks again for your clarity.
by kezza2 on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:48 pm
Meanwhile in Pomgolia sex has been rationed to twice a month .Down from the previous four times. Really
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/health/healthnews/8940812/Viagra-rationing-to-limit-patients-sex-lives.html
by poroti on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:50 pm
Well, a mate of mine just had 15 teeth out and he’s never been happier. Has put on 8% of his previous body weight in 2 weeks.
Bob is now officially The Atomic Dog.
Memo to Eveready Bunnie: “You’re sacked”.
by Bushfire Bill on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:50 pm
And Westpac take up the Rear:
by Frank Calabrese on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:50 pm
All 4 big banks have now passed on the full rate cut.
by Diogenes on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:51 pm
I just watched some idiot on tv. saying the Govt. should increase the price of alcohol to stop problem drinking. It did not work with the smokes, and any govt. that agrees to this will be in the wilderness for years ,as they should. Whatever happened to personal responsibility?
by Joe6pack on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:51 pm
Puff,
Leveson is on tonight:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/democracylive/hi/house_of_commons/newsid_8167000/8167512.stm
by This little black duck on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:52 pm
I have a small crack in one of my back teeth, have been quote $1500 for a cap, told that is pretty good. However it isn’t worrying me, picked up in an XRay so may leave it for a while
by mari on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:52 pm
Who will be the first to give Swannie credit for heavying the banks? It’ll have to be Joe, I guess.
by This little black duck on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:53 pm
I wonder how much the increased ability for customers to change banks has led to the big 4 passing on the whole 0.25%.
by BK on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:55 pm
The Banks are obviously reluctant Father Christmas. I’m guessing some arm twisting and free and open discussion about super profit taxes being extended to the Banks may have encouraged their embrace of the Swannies paradigm.
by Greensborough Growler on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:55 pm
C & D time on 7.5, I hope.
by This little black duck on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:55 pm
GG
Whatever happened, it is a big win for Swan. Hockey must be spewing.
by Diogenes on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:56 pm
joe,
50 years ago smoking included around 50% of the adult population. Now it’s down to around 18%. So your assertions that price hasn’t worked is wrong.
by Greensborough Growler on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:57 pm
Joe6Pack
It has been proven that increasing the cost of tobacco reduces consumption.
by Dee on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:58 pm
jes, that’s a bit stiff, not.
by joe2 on Dec 8, 2011 at 7:58 pm
God knows how many bloody times I have linked research showing that increasing the cost of cigarettes or alcohol reduces their consumption.
by Diogenes on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:00 pm
Of course it was Tony Abbott threatening to use the bank phone that caused Joe Hockey to put pressure on Wayne Swan to tell banks to stop putting upward pressure on rates.
by ruawake on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:00 pm
Leigh’s last “for a while”. Chris and Heather next week.
by This little black duck on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:00 pm
Diogs,
Agree. As for Hockey, Opposition is supposed to be shitty. Having wasted the year on non sequitors, it’s hard to have any sympathy.
by Greensborough Growler on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:01 pm
joe2
Yep, sadly the NHS is a bit hard up
by poroti on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:01 pm
I lost a front tooth out a few years ago, it just died. I had a ‘bridge’ for a few years, but that couldn’t be replaced. I got a denture, cost me $700 and that lasted a year or so but it was so damned uncomfortable that I left it out most of the time, and then lost it.
I want the gap filled but the options other than another denture are in the thousands of dollars.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:01 pm
Gee, the Patron Saint of Pokies, Fr. Reilly, has gone rather quiet and has disappeared off the MSM radar suddenly today, hasn’t he?
Wonder why?
by Fulvio Sammut on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:01 pm
Dear Their ABC 24.
Westpac HAS passed on the rates cut – it was announced 15 minutes ago on ABC online.
Are you waiting for Ltd News to send you the script ?
by Frank Calabrese on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:01 pm
Diogenes
Well for alcohol I am sure it would also lead to increased home hooch production.
by poroti on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:02 pm
Fulvio,
John Howard is at Dymocs Garden City NOW – high tail it and give him hell
by Frank Calabrese on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:03 pm
@GG – I’d say if things go really bad in Europe and our banks want more C’wlth guarantees that the govt will say ‘sign up right here for your new tax first’.
by CTar1 on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:03 pm
When will the banks take the 0.25% into effect? Usually a few weeks isn’t it ?
by zoidlord on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:03 pm
how do you know its price and not we are are more health conscience society?
Anyway my point is I do not believe that most people should pay more for booze because of problem drinkers. What is next? pay more for glue for glue sniffers, paint,?
A lot more people would be against this than the smokes and it will never get through.
by Joe6pack on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:03 pm
I’m thinkin fishnchips, on alternate weeks, like, to fill in , so to speak, poroti.
by joe2 on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:05 pm
Joe6p
Come on, you can do better than that. Booze is so cheap on Oz, we can afford to batbe in it. We put it in our stews, for goodness sakes.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:06 pm
No they are stuffed at the moment – trying to work out how to spin it as a stuff up by “World’s Greatest Treasurer” our Swannie
But the OO will have the negative angle worked out later tonight and still not mention Hockey’s outburst.
by dave on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:06 pm
I would, c’ept I’m in Rockingham at the moment ….
by Fulvio Sammut on Dec 8, 2011 at 8:06 pm