Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the latest Newspoll has the Coalition two-party lead at 54-46, down from an aberrant 57-43 a fortnight ago. The Coalition is down four points on the primary vote to 44 per cent, which in fact returns them to where they were in the poll before last. Labor is up a point to 31 per cent, which is still a point shy of the previous poll, and the Greens are on 13 per cent, which compares with 10 per cent last time and 12 per cent the time before. Julia Gillard has consolidated the lead she opened up as preferred prime minister a fortnight ago, which ended five months of ascendancy for Tony Abbott: she is now up three to 43 per cent, with Abbott up one to 36 per cent. Gillard also has a less bad net approval rating than Abbott for the first time in eight months, with her approval up two points to 36 per cent (its highest in eight months) and disapproval up one to 56 per cent. Abbott is down one on approval to 33 per cent and up two on disapproval to 57 per cent, in both cases equalling his previous worst results and collectively producing his lowest ever net rating of minus 24.
UPDATE: Essential Research likewise has it at 54-46, unchanged from last week, with primary votes of 47 per cent for the Coalition (down one), 34 per cent for Labor (steady) and 10 per cent for the Greens (down one). Encouragingly for Labor, there has been a shift in sentiment in favour of the government seeing out its full term: support is up seven points since early September to 47 per cent, with “hold election now” down seven to 41 per cent. Less happily for them, a question on best party to handle 15 issues has Labor leading only on industrial relations, and then only slightly – the Liberals hold leads approaching 20 per cent for all economic questions, as well as “political leadership”. On the question of which issues will most influence vote choice, there has been little change since June.
UPDATE 2: Possum charts polling showing a shift in sentiment away from an early election:
However, the apparently radical nature of the shift from the first two polls to the last three is largely a function of the poorly framed question posed by Galaxy in the earlier cases, when respondents were offered the false dichotomy of “Gillard has a mandate for the carbon tax” and “an early election should be called”. Australia’s worst and least trusted major newspaper, the Daily Telegraph, used these obviously flawed results to run a front page lead claiming Australians were “demanding Julia Gillard call a fresh election” and an editorial headlined “voters demand a carbon tax ballot”. It will be interesting to see how the paper reports today’s contrary finding from Essential Research.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Won’t happen while St Bob is the glue, I reckon he has no desire to retire so the Green leadership will have to wait another 9 years.
While all the young uns get married have babies and vote Lab.
by ruawake on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:50 pm
GG,
And just in time for Xmas, what a good pressie. Now where are all the ABC journos going to go, after spending all that time and effort playing goodie Murdochettes in hopes of a fat Mordor contract.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:50 pm
leone
RU writing a comedy script or, perhaps, a fantasy novel?
by Pegasus on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:50 pm
Darn
Rosebud.
by poroti on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:50 pm
Fame at last…a reference in a JTI thingy AND coupled with Bushfire Bill.
Spent a very frustrating afternoon. Finally decided to track down order I placed ten days ago. Company said parcel had been delivered – and signed for – over a week ago and therefore their involvement was over. Finally extracted tracking sheet from them.
Sheet had been signed off by someone I had never heard of. On closer examination, it looked like parcel had been delivered to major centre over an hour’s drive from here and then signed over minutes later.
There were four letters under the signature. Turns out they’re the name of ANOTHER courier.
So original courier only delivered my parcel to major centre, then handed it to another courier to bring it to our place, and apparently that’s the end of their involvement.
Will get on to company I ordered from in the morning and make them get their courier to work out where the parcel has gone!!
by zoomster on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:51 pm
It fits my views perfectly. Rudd does not have the numbers to contest the leadership, therefore his more immediate goal is retribution; destabilise Gillard’s leadership, continue to ensure Gillard/Rudd tensions dominate the media focus. So far he’s done well, but I suspect the media will soon tire of his games, as they are already transparent to many people.
It’s all about Rudd, not the party or even the govt. You need to realise this.
by confessions on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:51 pm
Australian Network announcement timing … Kev is on his way to Germany.
by CTar1 on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:51 pm
poroti:
You are simply a fount of knowledge!
by confessions on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:53 pm
Spot on there. The Govt. will withstand the flack – Conroy can handle it. Anyone who can stand Telstra on its ear can handle Murdochia and Sky without flinching.
by BH on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:53 pm
ABC version
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2011-12-05/australia-network-given-to-abc/3713862
AAP version (via Thw West Australian)
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/national/12247656/abc-wins-contract-for-australia-network/
The Australian version
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/media/australia-network-goes-permanently-to-abc/story-e6frg996-1226214493182
…there shall be wailing and gnashing of teeth. (Matt. 13:49,50.)
by Leroy on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:53 pm
zoomster
Can I have your autograph
by poroti on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:53 pm
European shares are solid tonight:
http://www.reuters.com/finance/markets/europe
by steve on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:54 pm
Puffy,
Franly, my dear, I don’t give a damn!
by Greensborough Growler on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:54 pm
In fact, I’d be willing to bet Conroy would be thinking “bring it on”
by george on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:55 pm
confessions
Only in some sciency fields. Outside that I rely on a vast collection of “useless information”.
by poroti on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:56 pm
Rua I don’t know, that could be a discriminatory statement in the future. Some may not be able to have babies
by Centre on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:57 pm
poroti
I’ll have one of my people see to it.
by zoomster on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:57 pm
Leroy,
I found this one, which I think is perfect for Mordor.
translated:
You cook it, you eat it.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:58 pm
Stoopid Mesma, look for a rock to crawl under, the AFP report ‘may’ include a prominent member of your party.
by ruawake on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:59 pm
Font, I believe.
by Son of foro on Dec 5, 2011 at 8:59 pm
george
I was and still not a fan of Conroy but by golly his NBN effort has been magnifique. Also ANYONE willing to do this on national tv must have a hide worthy of a sjambok. Viva Conroy.
http://www.abc.net.au/insiders/content/2011/s3330456.htm
by poroti on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:00 pm
confessions @ 905
Then he would be seen not to be performing.
I mean, just look at what certain people with overdeveloped imaginations and an exaggerated faith in the MSM can make out of next to nothing now.
Imagine what it would be like if he really was trying to destabilise!
by bemused on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:00 pm
Only cos they can’t afford em. Sex has nothing to do with it.
by ruawake on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:00 pm
ru,
may include a certain unnamed Foreign Minister too!
by Greensborough Growler on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:01 pm
BOF backs a conscience vote on SSM.
http://news.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=8384754&mch=snlink&cmp=art_8384754
Poor Tone. His attempts to ‘flick the switch’ are already hamstrung!
by confessions on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:02 pm
zoomster
OK, your people can sort it out with my people
by poroti on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:02 pm
BW
She upset the eye docs over the cataract rebate but she folded pretty quickly.
The GP Superclinics upset a few GPs but they have been a bit of a fizzer.
She has certainly upset Big Tobacco and the Alcopop lobby though.
by Diogenes on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:03 pm
Thefinnigans TheFinnigans天地有道人无道
The latest Italian debt is 1.9 Trillion Euros. Yes, 1.9 Trillions Euros NOT USD
3 seconds ago
by The Finnigans on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:04 pm
How anyone could countenance any entity with Murdoch’s fingers in it to get within cooee of the Australia Network amid the appalling revelations from the British inquiries into the media is beyond me.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:04 pm
Zoomster – Hubby and kids will have to bow and scrape to you now.
BB will have to ask his dogs to lick his boots.
PBers will still treat you as Bludgers
by BH on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:04 pm
http://news.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=8384754&mch=snlink&cmp=art_8384754
More pressure on Abbott
by mari on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:05 pm
Diogenes
Strange she should do that considering the huge prob cataracts are for Aborigines.
by poroti on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:05 pm
Finns they may have to start taxing the rich.
It’s Time
by Centre on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:07 pm
Like I said this morning …. now PM has another seat buffer, Rudd no longer is such a threat. Before, he had blackmail value … no longer.
by jenauthor on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:12 pm
Good night all. Will be offline for a few days.
May your posts continue to bring consternation and terror into the camps of our enemies and comfort into the camps of our friends..
by Boerwar on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:12 pm
Re Nicola Roxon’s future. Cannot understand how she could even be considered for the axe. However, there was mention of the High Court.
There are vacancies occurring in October 2012 (Justice Gummow retires) and in March 2013 (Justice Heydon retires).
These positions will be keenly sought after. Let’s hope our Attorney General takes the opportunity to make some radical appointments.
by feeney on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:13 pm
BH
what do you mean, now??
by zoomster on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:13 pm
Details, details.
OK, the potatoes are then cooked, mashed and creamed. Butter, good milk. Finely
cut Spanish onion or chives. Whipped. Easy.
by Scringler on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:13 pm
cya BW.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:13 pm
jenauthor
How do you think the Ruddster situation will play out?
by victoria on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:14 pm
Not in my area, Dio. There are 2 up here and they are a great success. Some of the local Drs don’t like it but they are so hard to get to see if you’re a newcomer to the area.
by BH on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:15 pm
B:
Enjoy your sojourn.
by confessions on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:16 pm
I’m amused that one moment the government is too right-wing and now they’re too Greens-influenced instead. Can’t these critics make up their minds?
by rishane on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:16 pm
I am watching hurling. Ladies, Germany v Scotland.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:17 pm
Confessions (924) you are just too fast for me, but still good as means more pressure on TA
by mari on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:17 pm
ruawake
I was just revisiting http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollytics/2008/12/24/tough-demographic-choices-for-the-greens/ and came across a post of yours dated 28/12/2008.
Demonstrates how unpredictable politics is.
The other comments are still pertinent.
by Pegasus on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:18 pm
Unless something happens with Craig Thomson.
But yes, the PM can afford to be a bit more robust in responding to Rudd’s whiteanting now.
by confessions on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:18 pm
BWare you now going bumboat riding ?
by mari on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:20 pm
Whoops! You is one very lucky lady
by BH on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:22 pm
Leveson back live.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/democracylive/hi/house_of_commons/newsid_8167000/8167512.stm
by Gaffhook on Dec 5, 2011 at 9:22 pm