Crikey



Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition

GhostWhoVotes tweets that the latest fortnightly Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party preferred lead at 55-45, from primary votes of 32 per cent for Labor (up two on last time) and 46 per cent for the Coalition (up one). The personal ratings are good news for Tony Abbott: his approval rating is up four to 36 per cent and his disapproval is down three to 52 per cent, and he has opened up a lead over Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister of 40 per cent (up three) to 37 per cent (down three). Julia Gillard is respectively up down one to 32 per cent and up two to 57 per cent. Newspoll also ran a teaser last night showing Abbott favoured over Gillard for economic management 43 per cent to 34 per cent, and Wayne Swan and Joe Hockey in a statistical dead heat for preferred Treasurer (38 per cent to 37 per cent).

We also today had yet another 54-46 result from Essential Research. After losing a point on the primary vote over each of the two previous weeks, Labor was back up one to 34 per cent, with the Greens down one to 10 per cent and the Coalition steady on 47 per cent. Essential’s monthly measure of leadership approval found both leaders’ personal ratings essentially unchanged – Julia Gillard down one on approval to 36 per cent and up one on disapproval to 53 per cent, Tony Abbott steady on 35 per cent and up two to 53 per cent – but contrary to Newspoll, Gillard made a solid gain as preferred prime minister, her lead up from 39-36 to 41-34. However, only 31 per cent expected her to lead Labor to the next election against 47 per cent who said they didn’t (hats off to the 22 per cent who admitted they didn’t know); while for Tony Abbott the numbers were 47 per cent and 25 per cent.

A question on government control of media ownership has support for more control and less control tied on 24 per cent, with 34 per cent thinking it about right. There was also a question on the impact of Gina Rinehart on the independence of Fairfax newspapers, which I personally find a little odd – the issue would mean little outside of New South Wales and Victoria. I also had my doubts about the question on whether Australia is “fair and just”, but the question asking for comparison with other countries is interesting: Canada and New Zealand are seen as Australia’s main partners in freedom, the UK does less well, Japan and France less well again, and the United States worse still. China however sits well below the rest of the field.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

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  1. I exhausted my vote (I’m in Griffith) because I had begun to dislike Rudd’s entitlement complex – and his wuss crybaby performance when he was ‘knifed’.

    You can’t exhaust your vote at a federal election. If you left more than one box un-numbered, your vote was counted as informal.

    by William Bowe on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:08 am

  2. And I’m no acolyte of Kevin Rudd, but I think you’d have to be pretty brutal to mark him down for his “wuss crybaby performance when he was ‘knifed’”.

    by William Bowe on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:10 am

  3. Does this make sense?

    Mr Newman also declared a controlling interest or shareholding in Ultrex Consulting Services, which in turn had a shareholding in Aquosus Australia. He said he had not received any income from the companies.

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/state-politics/campbell-newman-and-wife-lisa-wont-cut-ties-to-family-firms/story-e6frgczx-1226163401121

    Late yesterday, Southport MP Peter Lawlor questioned whether Mr Newman had other sources of income given the LNP paid his wage to his company, Ultrex.

    Tax office rules require people to be paid as a PAYE employee if they earn more than 80 per cent of their income from a single source.

    However, Mr Newman's spokesman said the arrangements were legitimate, with the LNP leader drawing a wage from his company and paying personal tax on that amount.

    http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/flood-of-attacks-by-mps-at-inquiry/story-e6freoof-1226271240035

    by steve on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:15 am

  4. wow, it’s dark and broody again in Bradfield. The lost summer of 2011/2012

    by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:23 am

  5. Is it the Greek Tragedy or the Greek Stupidity or the European Farce, probably all of the above

    by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:38 am

  6. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
    Can you believe this from Shanahan?

    I BELIEVE Julia Gillard. I believe the Prime Minister when she says she didn't make up her mind to challenge Kevin Rudd for the Labor leadership until June 23, 2010, the night she went to confront him in the prime minister's suite.

    Ron Tandberg’s take on the banks’ interest rate rises.
    http://images.smh.com.au/2012/02/14/3036335/tandberg-620×0.jpg
    David Rowe on the Slipper procession.
    http://www.afr.com/p/home/cartoon_gallery_david_rowe_1g8WHy9urgOIQrWQ0IrkdO

    by BK on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:42 am

  7. This shows the mentality of the cukt of which Mitt Romney is a prominent member’
    http://www.americablog.com/2012/02/mormons-secretly-baptize-holocaust.html
    Here’s a good wrap on the Republicans.

    Although Doyle McManus’ description of the GOP nomination contests is accurate, he fails to offer any explanation for this sad decline in the quality of the party’s candidates and the mean-spirited ugliness of their campaigns.

    The most plausible explanation is that the Republican base, made up of those active in primary voting and caucuses, has become so debased by years of relentless indoctrination by conservative pundits and the pseudo-Christian fundamentalist gospel of scientific denial that no potential candidate with intelligence, honesty and compassion would want to appeal to this base.

    In fact, any choice made by this Republican base would be unfit for the presidency.

    by BK on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:47 am

  8. cukt = cult

    by BK on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:47 am

  9. cukt

    BK, we know what you mean.

    by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:50 am

  10. Michael Rowland to the IPA’s Tim Wilson – “You and your fellow conservatives . . . “.

    by BK on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:50 am

  11. Gosh, does that annoying #IPAhack Tim Wilson on permanent contract with #TheirABC. He is on #TheirABC almost everyday.

    by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:50 am

  12. Finns
    Lucky it was a “k”!

    by BK on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:51 am

  13. And we thought WorkChoices was bad!
    http://crooksandliars.com/kenneth-quinnell/new-hampshire-republicans-trying-
    And Romney also plums the depths.
    http://crooksandliars.com/kenneth-quinnell/mitt-romney-tells-cpac-hell-cut-s
    Ah, the Land of the Free!

    by BK on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:54 am

  14. BK, cant you try an a?

    by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:54 am

  15. Hypocrisy has no bounds in the US.
    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/02/14/1064701/-In-birth-control-fight-Catholic-bishops-take-hard-stance-on-Viagra?via=blog_1
    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/02/14/1064729/-Republicans-double-down-on-having-a-birth-control-fight-?via=blog_1
    John Stewart sums it all up.
    http://www.mediaite.com/tv/jon-stewart-on-birth-control-opponents-liberty-for-employers-employees-can-go-fck-themselves/

    by BK on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:00 am

  16. Finns

    Puff post last page about tea party press, she is not around, to get permission
    Why not do a variation on it

    Its GOLD it may even catch on love albo to use it

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:00 am

  17. Mornin’ all

    Ah, planning in Victoria.

    The Libs have the Pincer Movement down to a fine art.

    Have to say, in the form of political interference, the double envelopment strategy was executed brilliantly.

    Except for one minor hiccup:

    They did it to themselves.

    And now they’re all running for cover.

    Hahahahahahaha!

    http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/exminister-intervened-in-phillip-island-case-20120214-1t4a2.html

    by kezza2 on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:01 am

  18. I have written to lisa singh, thought she may know is the ipa permanet fixture

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:02 am

  19. Finns the abc BOSS likes to to be twiter, ask him

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:04 am

  20. Morning dawn patrollers, thought I’d clock-in early for a change.

    Interesting post from americablog, BB.

    I look upon the inability of the Republicans to come-up with a viable candidate as a demonstration of a sort of Political Darwinism.

    The Republican Party these days is like one of those volcanic vents, black smokers I believe thy’re called, that scientists find in mid-ocean tenches. The resident life forms that succeed there have adapted to survive in a hot, highly presured, sulphurous environment.

    They might be primitive, blind and toxic, but they’re perfectly adapted for their noxious home.

    The problem comes when they try to rise-up and make a go of it in the somewhat less stygian larger world of US politics.

    They’re enter this new environment and proceed to explode spectacularly. You see it again and again: Newt, Santorum, that black guy whose name has already been forgotten.

    Still, the sight of these bizarre life forms coming into the light and failing in so spectacular a fashion is an entertainment all in itself, I suppose.

    by smithe on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:08 am

  21. Good morning all,

    BK, Shanahan said that? I’m shocked unless there are a series of ‘buts’ in the rest of the piece.

    by janice2 on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:09 am

  22. bk – obviously a weak attempt at balance!

    by Lyne Lady on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:09 am

  23. 1523
    Finns is the post from puff

    Icould catch on in the USA also

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:10 am

  24. I’ve gotta go. Coin and the flatlands call.
    Enjoy the passage of the private health bill this morning!

    by BK on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:11 am

  25. wilson and that sloane woman are the most revolting media tarts – how many years are we going to have to endure them?

    by Lyne Lady on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:11 am

  26. Smithe what did bk say shan the man said

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:13 am

  27. Bk how long does it take to drive to adelaide

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:14 am

  28. my say, your wish is my tweet:

    TheFinnigans天地有道人无道 @Thefinnigans Reply Delete Favorite · Open
    @PuffyTMD The Dragone said: We do not have media, we have a tea-party propaganda machine. How true, how true #auspol

    by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:15 am

  29. wilson and that sloane woman are the most revolting media tarts – how many years are we going to have to endure them?

    My Lady, too long, too long.

    by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:16 am

  30. Enjoy the passage of the private health bill this morning!

    I’m so glad the vote was delayed until today.

    This way we don’t have to put up with acres of “legislation was rushed through in the dead of night” shite.

    by kezza2 on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:16 am

  31. Getting in the car in the next couple of hours to make the eight hour trip to Sydney, to enrol son at Macquarie Uni.

    A bit preoccupied at present..

    by zoomster on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:19 am

  32. While the #MSMhacks are still in full hysteria over #Ruddstoration, Rob Oakeshott says “this parliament is working and I’m proud of it”.

    by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:20 am

  33. Lady lynne

    A lib ask fo a list of the names of panel members at abc insiders at
    estimates last night
    So i have written to lisa singh sen .tas to ask her if the ipa are now permanent quests
    On the abc.. u know just for balance:-) :-)

    If a lib. Senator can ask why not an ordinary person, our taxes pay wages all the way to the top
    Boss cocky at the abc,,,,does that in a way make us board members to:-) :-)

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:21 am

  34. Finns i hope that is re tweeted a million times

    I left twitter i did not trust ME:-) :-)

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:23 am

  35. Finns there are tweeters, then are twits :-) :-)

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:24 am

  36. http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/exminister-intervened-in-phillip-island-case-20120214-1t4a2.html

    Yes Kezza 2, this sort of cronyism seems to be becoming quite popular with the Baillieu Government.

    First there was the alpine grazing green-light to friends of the Party (susbsequently squashed by Canberra) and now this Ventnor re-zoning debacle, again, aiding friends of the Party.

    Didn’t take long for the rot to set-in, that’s for sure.

    At least with NSW Labor, it took the more than a decade for this sort of cronyism and corruption to become endemic.

    Ted seems to have managed it a lot sooner, in fact he’s done it in record time. I guess the Liberals are indeed faster at getting some things done.

    I reckon the voting public will turn on him in record time too, if his lot keep it up.

    by smithe on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:27 am

  37. Is it the Greek Tragedy or the Greek Stupidity or the European Farce, probably all of the above

    It’s a tragedy for the average Greek worker as they’ve been left to pay for the fall out of greedy bankers by lower wages and conditions.
    You’ve just got to look at the Greek government since they joined the EU to see where the stupidity comes in. As far as Farce is concerned, the country the rest of Europe belted the crap out of 70 years ago now holds the purse strings. Slapping each other with inflated pig bladders while dressed as a fool doesn’t start to compare.

    by Smaug on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:28 am

  38. My Say, i am the Twit who annoy the Gits

    by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:29 am

  39. smithe

    You can add to that the decision to expand logging, despite the fact that there doesn’t seem to be a problem with supply at the moment, backed by the old Kennett trick of huge financial penalties if any future government makes changes.

    Purely coincidentallly, the ‘independent’ board in charge of allocating timber resources includes the recent appointment of Ballieu’s brother in law.

    by zoomster on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:32 am

  40. Finns our weather has been superb thi summer hovering around av, 23 , 5 days over 30
    Then rain the next day settles back to around 24/22?
    To day 26! We need rain

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:35 am

  41. morning bludgers

    zoomster

    All the best re uni enrolment for son!

    by victoria on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:35 am

  42. Good on ya, finns
    Have u fixed up the fallen tree have u replaced it

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:36 am

  43. the Finnigans

    Melbourne is having a great summer. Although too hot for me. 33 today, tomorrow and Friday. I prefer the low 20′s

    Anyhow cant bring myself to read Shamas as posted by BK. Does he continue to say anything positive about the PM? This morning news on radio saying that Rudd Supporters said that the PM showed MPs polling before Rudd was dumped, and this is a wrong because?????

    by victoria on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:38 am

  44. my say

    We need rain here in Melbourne too. It is yellow everywhere. the green has gone!!

    by victoria on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:39 am

  45. smithe

    Didn’t take long for the rot to set-in, that’s for sure.

    I didn’t think it was possible for Justin Madden to be made a cleanskin but, yep, that’s something else Baillieu’s mob have managed in record time. :lol:

    by kezza2 on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:40 am

  46. Gosh, does that annoying #IPAhack Tim Wilson on permanent contract with #TheirABC. He is on #TheirABC almost everyday.

    Almost? Good to see he’s cutting back.

    He’s the reason I haven’t watched The Drum in a long time. Complete waste of time.

    by Son of foro on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:43 am

  47. Smaug

    Did u see that very good report last night on the abc from eric campbell
    About bavaria what stood for me
    a boss said in germany we like to invest in our in our people, they are our business wtte

    Yes mr abbott workchoices investest in nothing bu t subserviance

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:43 am

  48. Grattan: ‘This can’t go on’

    Hoorah! She’s going start writing about something else!

    What’s that? Eh? Oh …

    by Son of foro on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:44 am

  49. victoria

    Anyhow cant bring myself to read Shamas as posted by BK. Does he continue to say anything positive about the PM? This morning news on radio saying that Rudd Supporters said that the PM showed MPs polling before Rudd was dumped, and this is a wrong because?????

    Apart from having the longest arms in the business from patting itself on the back, Shanahan’s piece concentrates on The Oz being the only lot reporting on leadership speculation – but lays the blame for JG’s decision on a story in the SMH, purportedly given to it by Alistair Jordan, that questioned Gillard’s loyalty to Rudd.

    Then he backtracks and says there is no proof of Jordon doing this. And to this day noone knows who gave the story to SMH.

    Also, that it was exactly the same type of planted story that led to Rudd challenging Beasley. But in the end, it was

    Being accused of disloyalty, when she hadn't uttered a disloyal word, spurred Gillard into action

    http://www.google.com.au/search?complete/search?client=hp&hl=en&cp=150&gs_id=3&xhr=t&q=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Fnational-affairs%2Fwhen-it-comes-to-the-kevin-rudd-coup-julia-gillards-word-can-be-believed%2Fstory-fn59niix-1226271233063&ech=1&psi=XME6T_flOOShmQW7zJ2VCg.1329250712307.1&emsg=NCSR&noj=1&ei=XME6T_flOOShmQW7zJ2VCg

    by kezza2 on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:47 am

  50. May be victoria

    The whole word is sick of the word R U D D
    It really is over the’top
    Its like a movie star that is so promoted
    It becomes umbearable,

    Outside put up umbrellas, water deck flowes new pansies ready for autumn
    Pick pears for freezing/ nache pears,
    Draft a sleve parrern i lost . Blow the vacuming today.

    Ps,’noticed lizzie not around

    I wonder how things are.

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 7:48 am

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