Crikey



Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition

GhostWhoVotes tweets that the latest fortnightly Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party preferred lead at 55-45, from primary votes of 32 per cent for Labor (up two on last time) and 46 per cent for the Coalition (up one). The personal ratings are good news for Tony Abbott: his approval rating is up four to 36 per cent and his disapproval is down three to 52 per cent, and he has opened up a lead over Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister of 40 per cent (up three) to 37 per cent (down three). Julia Gillard is respectively up down one to 32 per cent and up two to 57 per cent. Newspoll also ran a teaser last night showing Abbott favoured over Gillard for economic management 43 per cent to 34 per cent, and Wayne Swan and Joe Hockey in a statistical dead heat for preferred Treasurer (38 per cent to 37 per cent).

We also today had yet another 54-46 result from Essential Research. After losing a point on the primary vote over each of the two previous weeks, Labor was back up one to 34 per cent, with the Greens down one to 10 per cent and the Coalition steady on 47 per cent. Essential’s monthly measure of leadership approval found both leaders’ personal ratings essentially unchanged – Julia Gillard down one on approval to 36 per cent and up one on disapproval to 53 per cent, Tony Abbott steady on 35 per cent and up two to 53 per cent – but contrary to Newspoll, Gillard made a solid gain as preferred prime minister, her lead up from 39-36 to 41-34. However, only 31 per cent expected her to lead Labor to the next election against 47 per cent who said they didn’t (hats off to the 22 per cent who admitted they didn’t know); while for Tony Abbott the numbers were 47 per cent and 25 per cent.

A question on government control of media ownership has support for more control and less control tied on 24 per cent, with 34 per cent thinking it about right. There was also a question on the impact of Gina Rinehart on the independence of Fairfax newspapers, which I personally find a little odd – the issue would mean little outside of New South Wales and Victoria. I also had my doubts about the question on whether Australia is “fair and just”, but the question asking for comparison with other countries is interesting: Canada and New Zealand are seen as Australia’s main partners in freedom, the UK does less well, Japan and France less well again, and the United States worse still. China however sits well below the rest of the field.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

9410 Responses

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  1. Latika has done some excellent reporting via twitter today.

    As long as she got my regular #DailyFix, she is ok. Else she goes feral

    by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:44 pm

  2. poroti
    Posted Wednesday, February 15, 2012 at 1:08 pm | Permalink
    They are starting to catch on about News Corpse it seems

    No 10 rebuffs newspaper as journalist claims they are being treated like ‘an organised crime gang’

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/crime/now-the-sun-tries-to-call-in-its-favours-from-downing-street-6898601.html

    Ah Poroti you keep giving me good news

    by mari on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:44 pm

  3. Everybody picked up the deliberate mistake.

    by This little black duck on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:45 pm

  4. Muskiemp

    On reflection you are probably right. It was a deliberate mistake. Very funny

    by victoria on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:46 pm

  5. I wonder how many picked up the deliberate mistake by Slipper?

    Muskiemp, I spat out my coffee – classic!

    by george on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:46 pm

  6. IT’s great to have an Independent Speaker. We should make this permanent.

    by Muskiemp on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:46 pm

  7. Is Julie Bishop asking the PM if she hacked other peoples mobile phones?

    by ruawake on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:46 pm

  8. We are down to text tmessages for Tentgate. The ooppos are struggling like a pile of live fish in a bucket.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:47 pm

  9. Julie got the respect she deserves.

    by This little black duck on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:47 pm

  10. ruawake

    The sad reality is that the opposiition are that pathetic and useless, and Australians are ready to vote for them next time around. JBishop is truly useless

    by victoria on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:48 pm

  11. New Rural Industries @our_NRIA Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
    Agriculture sector reaches for a Clean Energy future — more than 500 clamber for funding from Fed government. j.mp/y2Yjf5
    Retweeted by Mike Kelly MP
    The Nats are as always behind the a ball.

    by Muskiemp on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:49 pm

  12. dbrichardson: "On $500K? Need aromatherapy? We'll pay 30%! Piss poor? Need a root canal? Sorry -budget constraints." - @TonyAbbottMHR

    by george on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:50 pm

  13. I wonder how many picked up the deliberate mistake by Slipper?

    A slip of the tongue?

    Mesma.
    Tentgaaaaaaaaaaa..yawn.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:50 pm

  14. oops eight ball

    by Muskiemp on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:50 pm

  15. Juliar from the opposition dickhead

    by george on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:52 pm

  16. Dont worry no election till 2014
    And from memory the polls where similar here around 2008

    Grens will stay in alliace with labor here .’so’add that on i suggest
    Of course willia will no doubt tell me different

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:52 pm

  17. Who is the member for moreton

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:54 pm

  18. Member for Moreton (ALP) booted.

    by This little black duck on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:54 pm

  19. Graham Perrett.

    by This little black duck on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:54 pm

  20. my say

    Mr Perrett Labor MP from Qld I believe

    by victoria on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:55 pm

  21. O well bit of balance

    Wonder how julie will go
    Looksnervous

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:57 pm

  22. It is good a gov’t member got booted, it shows Slipper is being impartial.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:57 pm

  23. The rabble is being particularly rabellous today. Must be the PHI hangover.

    by This little black duck on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:57 pm

  24. According to the Live Minutes, Michael McCormack (Riverina, NAT) was also booted.

    by Von Kirsdarke on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:58 pm

  25. and now speech-gate

    by george on Feb 15, 2012 at 2:58 pm

  26. Pyne booted.

    by This little black duck on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:00 pm

  27. Chuck her out

    by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:02 pm

  28. George 2078 thanks for that link however it conflicts with a submission Alcoa made back in October. I think Alcoa is caught between a rock and a hard place in that it is reluctant to publicly criticize the government while it negotiates compensation. Interestingly in the FR article today it’s China who produce 42 percent of world production who Alcoa are most concerned about.

    by DavidWH on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:03 pm

  29. This little black duck

    The rabble is being particularly rabellous today. Must be the PHI hangover.

    The rabellous rabble are nicely show cased in this clip.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BpgDtoj73DQ

    by poroti on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:03 pm

  30. DWH

    Ancient plant. AGW dinosaurs. Subsidised since day one to the cost of all other Australian electricity consumers.

    It’s time to close them down.

    by Boerwar on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:05 pm

  31. South Park rules OK!

    by This little black duck on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:05 pm

  32. I take it that the Opposition would prefer to talk about anything else but the economy, their multiple surplus disorder and the size of their black hole.

    by Boerwar on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:06 pm

  33. DavidWH, that’s the point mate – Alcoa is walking both sides of the debate.

    by george on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:06 pm

  34. I take it that the Opposition would prefer to talk about anything else but the economy, their multiple surplus disorder and the size of their black hole.

    so keep talking about the economy then

    by Mick Collins on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:08 pm

  35. Boerwar

    DWH

    Ancient plant. AGW dinosaurs. Subsidised since day one to the cost of all other Australian electricity consumers.

    Greg Combet on Insiders (?) in very meaningful tone mentioned that it is “a 50 year old plant” a couple of times.

    by poroti on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:10 pm

  36. BishopJ won’t get her Q in! The PM will close QT down.

    by This little black duck on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:10 pm

  37. Mr Slipper appears to take special enjoyment sticking it to Ms Bishop. (The latter just engaged in unparliamentary behaviour in that she pointed, even if her finger was partially retracted in a witch-like fashion.)

    by Boerwar on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:10 pm

  38. If that’s the case Boerwar then fair enough.

    by DavidWH on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:10 pm

  39. poroti
    He should do the right thing and say to them. Market roolz.

    by Boerwar on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:11 pm

  40. Sorry Julie Bishop, qt over, no rants for you!

    by george on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:11 pm

  41. Koren Helbig @korenhelbig

    Bligh: “Follow this paper trail and you will find the Newman-Monsour family plotting to profit from the floods.” #qldvotes
    Retweeted by Col Smith

    by steve on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:13 pm

  42. So I just heard that NBN has added 190k more premises to their 12 month rollout plan…..

    Thats about 750k worth of premises to the 12 month plan yikes.

    by zoidlord on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:13 pm

  43. Sorry Julie Bishop, qt over, no rants for you!

    Full rant mode now.

    by ruawake on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:13 pm

  44. Is this an SSO rant, to be followed by an MPI rant?

    by This little black duck on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:13 pm

  45. Georgem Julie Bishop was all dressed up but nowhere to go

    by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:13 pm

  46. Not only did welfare for the rich get cut, but automatic voter enrollment bill introduced. No wonder the conservatives are antsy today.

    Wow, that’s one i didn’t know about. Hopefully that will get up with no probs. I’s think that the Greens would be fully behind it in the Senate anyway. Cant see it being a bad thing really given that we already have compulsory voting. Good argument is that we have a right, but also a responsibility to vote in an election.

    by imacca on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:13 pm

  47. Ffs JBishop is truly an embarrassment

    by victoria on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:13 pm

  48. george

    DavidWH, that’s the point mate – Alcoa is walking both sides of the debate.

    Oakshotte skewered the health insurance people for doing the same sort of thing. While publicly declaring end times are upon us with the PHIR thing they are saying very different things in legally required statements to the financial markets.

    by poroti on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:14 pm

  49. BishopJ forgot to ask Kevvie a question.

    by This little black duck on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:15 pm

  50. Surely any money availablefor Alcoashould bespent retraining the workers for other employment. That is what the CES did when to textile and Footware industries got hit by the change in tariffs.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Feb 15, 2012 at 3:15 pm

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