Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the latest fortnightly Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party preferred lead at 55-45, from primary votes of 32 per cent for Labor (up two on last time) and 46 per cent for the Coalition (up one). The personal ratings are good news for Tony Abbott: his approval rating is up four to 36 per cent and his disapproval is down three to 52 per cent, and he has opened up a lead over Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister of 40 per cent (up three) to 37 per cent (down three). Julia Gillard is respectively up down one to 32 per cent and up two to 57 per cent. Newspoll also ran a teaser last night showing Abbott favoured over Gillard for economic management 43 per cent to 34 per cent, and Wayne Swan and Joe Hockey in a statistical dead heat for preferred Treasurer (38 per cent to 37 per cent).
We also today had yet another 54-46 result from Essential Research. After losing a point on the primary vote over each of the two previous weeks, Labor was back up one to 34 per cent, with the Greens down one to 10 per cent and the Coalition steady on 47 per cent. Essential’s monthly measure of leadership approval found both leaders’ personal ratings essentially unchanged – Julia Gillard down one on approval to 36 per cent and up one on disapproval to 53 per cent, Tony Abbott steady on 35 per cent and up two to 53 per cent – but contrary to Newspoll, Gillard made a solid gain as preferred prime minister, her lead up from 39-36 to 41-34. However, only 31 per cent expected her to lead Labor to the next election against 47 per cent who said they didn’t (hats off to the 22 per cent who admitted they didn’t know); while for Tony Abbott the numbers were 47 per cent and 25 per cent.
A question on government control of media ownership has support for more control and less control tied on 24 per cent, with 34 per cent thinking it about right. There was also a question on the impact of Gina Rinehart on the independence of Fairfax newspapers, which I personally find a little odd – the issue would mean little outside of New South Wales and Victoria. I also had my doubts about the question on whether Australia is “fair and just”, but the question asking for comparison with other countries is interesting: Canada and New Zealand are seen as Australia’s main partners in freedom, the UK does less well, Japan and France less well again, and the United States worse still. China however sits well below the rest of the field.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Davidwh,
I doubt Labor in Qld could initiate an FBI inquiry. Cando is the one doing the smearing from my POV with his tawdry accusations against Fraser today.
Can guarantee this will bite him on the bum big time.
by Greensborough Growler on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:20 pm
TheFinnigans天地有道人无道 @Thefinnigans Reply Delete Favorite · Open
Unbelievable. The Oppn attacks the GOVT for “interfering” with FWA by emails & phonecalls etc. Now they demand the Govt call FWA to hurryup
by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:20 pm
“the address of the company secretary of the parent company and majority owner of Majella Global Technologies – Campbell Newman’s home address.”]
He loaned his address for tax reasons.
by ruawake on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:20 pm
al palster 2283
al – i think you are doing helen thomas a disservice here comparing her to grattan – till the end thomas held bush to account – i remember her really giving it to him in a press conference towards the end of his presidency. she was way better than grattan – she had integrity!
by Lyne Lady on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:21 pm
Too late for Newman. The stench is in his clothing, in his hair and his gumboots are filled with the smelly stuff. If Labor does lose the state election it will be some consolation to see Newman without a seat.
by Tom Hawkins on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:21 pm
Tom I have no problem with politicians coming under scrunity and if Newman has genuine issues to confront then he should be held to account.
by DavidWH on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:22 pm
al palster – sounds the only way to go. A friend in Adelaide met Julia a few months ago and she said she is so natural off telly and the group there absolutely loved her. Much talk when she left about why she got so much bad publicity.
So you’ve got the right idea. Speak directly to everyone, everywhere as often as possible and forget the press even exists.
by BH on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:22 pm
TheFinnigans天地有道人无道 @Thefinnigans Reply Delete Favorite · Open
Unbelievable. The #MSMhacks attacks ALP for getting rid of a PM. Now they are ganging up to urge ALP to get rid of another PM. Wangkers.
by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:22 pm
Apparently, Dutton has managed to display all the class of a slug today.
Unfortunately Tony Burke lost his mother yesterday. Rudd spoke to him briefly in Parliament to offer his condolences and Dutton started shouting they were have a Leadership meeting across the Chamber.
I suppose you would not expect any better.
by Greensborough Growler on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:24 pm
by Dee on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:25 pm
by Dee on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:26 pm
Andrew
Its 18 months to an election
Polls u see now mean nothing
People are not walking into a polling booth tomorrow,
Are they.
If its a choice on the day work choices no nbn no everything else you can think of
And cheaper health cover, higher pensions a dental scheme,
Global warmng who in the right mnd
ON THE DAY woud vote for oblivion
The reason people have switched off is becauce they are fed with heari g abou Mr rudd sick to death of it
We do t knkw if its his fault or just the media
If they do not hear the good stuff like the dental scheme woukd nt u leave the roo m
We do,
Its a bit like the abc an sumner murders. ”We know it off by heart
Now riley said this mornkng on chanel 7 RUDD had no where near the numbers.Well
If he mentions this in a new co text he should feel rather foolish.
This country if they had any sence they should be n dee p mourning at the loss
Of fact reporting, ‘why bother with a uni degree i n journalism
Is their an oath they take like drs take
Spread factual news may be mr bowe knows .
Z
by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:27 pm
Well, you’re a doctor, so you’d know. Maybe she’s trying to have one?
Seriously (or not) don’t you wish you could go on one of these shows and bang their stupid, obsessed, petty skulls together and tell them the public’s interested in government and policy, what it means to them, and whether it will work… and not this pissweak, oxygen-sucking leadership shit?
They got it wrong with Costello-Howard 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009. They got it wrong with Abbott-Hockey 2009. They got it wrong with Gillard-Rudd 2010. And they’re getting it wrong with Rudd-Gillard 2012. They are chronically and continuously wrong, all the time, yet they persist.
They listen to self-serving rumours and let their biases and their willingness to crawl to their bosses – or to people who might be their boss someday – amplify gossip into hard facts.
Once it is in the newspapers they can then say, “It’s in the papers, so it must be worth discussing.” They all take this attitude. So they play the game of You-Discuss-My-Article-And-I’ll-discuss-Yours. It’s a travesty of journalism and a shame on the profession.
The only “fact” is that a few malcontents have rung them up, making them feel important. They admit, when pressed, that there’s nothing to it, but that’s not a story. So they invent scenarios like “Rudd will do Gillard slowly”, or “Rudd will wait until after the Budget” when the truth of the matter is he doesn’t have the numbers and most likely never will. Rudd didn’t lose in the Caucus 121-0 because he was popular.
I repeat: these people have not correctly picked a leadership challenge since Rudd took over from Beazley in 2006, and that was such a lay-down misere Bob, my dog, could have picked it.
The amount of air time and column inches they take up with this endless speculation is maddening. They are making fools of themselves. Yet they keep on doing it.
Sometimes I think the more their readers mock them, the more determined they are to pull it off this time.
Truly awful. I am fed up.
by Bushfire Bill on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:27 pm
Qld election sounds like it will be boots ‘n’ all made more interesting with Katter on the side
by shellbell on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:27 pm
Lyne Lady,
It was a bit of a cheap shot from me about Grattan – almost identical in looks only. Disagree with you about Grattans integrity – she has it, in spades. Always has. It’s just that she’s lost her once insightful judgement. She’s half the Michelle she used to be.
by al palster on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:28 pm
If the LNP wins Queensland election but Newman Inc fails to win Ashgrove cartoon from Mann in Quest local Newspapers:
http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?pid=1214762&l=c9d95fab61&id=149947665025319
by steve on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:30 pm
GG
Dutton said the leadership spill was on because not just KRudd, but a lot of ministers had been chatting to Burke.
by Dee on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:30 pm
He didn’t just shout about it in the chamber, he wrote about it on Twitter, and then promptly apologised after Burke told him to ask his leader why so many MPs were approaching him to offer condolences.
by ShowsOn on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:31 pm
“and Dutton started shouting they were have a Leadership meeting across the Chamber.”
His previous ‘qualification’ is filth
by Dr John on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:31 pm
Remember that Workchoices loving company Spotless?
Guess who owns it? Oh thats right Campbell Newman’s Brother in law.
by ruawake on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:32 pm
BB, can you please try to be less of a creep.
by William Bowe on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:33 pm
Unbelievable:
TheFinnigans天地有道人无道 @Thefinnigans Reply Delete Favorite · Open
@Tony_Burke @peter_dutton @kruddmp @latikambourke Mr. Dutton, this is a disgraceful tweet
by The Finnigans on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:33 pm
Laurie Oakes is going to interview Rudd on Nine News tonight.
by Gary on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:34 pm
Bb wish we could take a vote on this blogg
No more discussio about rudd.
It wojkd be easy to set up
Seriuosly
And if it passes the house, here
Shoukdnt the me bers of this site have te rignt to say
Enojgh is enough
Its so bad very bad for lurkers ro read They must think gee if this lot argu ove r it no wonder the gov are in dissary very bad examamp,e
Why should we pander to the 4 or 5 libs that are here
After al thats all there was there was there would be no pollbludger
F ed up like bb is
B
by my say on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:37 pm
GG 2295 given some of the distortions used against Newman under parliamentary privaledge today Newman’s comment about Fraser is tame in comparison. But let’s see where the cards fall.
by DavidWH on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:38 pm
Please explain? I thought BB’s comment was valid and fair.
by ruawake on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:39 pm
William
What was wrong with BB’s comments?
by victoria on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:40 pm
I agree with you there, George B even had her spot in the front row taken away to try and stop her, I think she came undone when she crossed some powerful interests?
?
by mari on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:41 pm
Arthur Cleaves is about to dump on Mansour/Newman. It won’t be pretty.
by ruawake on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:41 pm
ruawake
Is Newman is real doo doo, or is it the usual smearing campaign?
by victoria on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:43 pm
ru
who is Arthur Cleaves?
by Tom Hawkins on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:43 pm
Peter Dutton @peter_dutton
FavoritedFavorite
· Close Open Details @KRuddMP and Tony Bourke in deep conv in the Chamber. Must be a Foreign Affairs environ matter. #gameon
by Greensborough Growler on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:44 pm
BB’s comments today, as always, are spot on. To classify any of them in the “creep” category is itself very creepy.
by Brian Mc on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:44 pm
The problem with BB’s attacks on Michelle Grattan is that they are repugnant to any civilised person of normal intelligence. It’s a very sad moment for me to recognise how many people on my website don’t meet that description.
by William Bowe on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:44 pm
Tony Burke @Tony_Burke
Reply RetweetedRetweet
Delete
FavoritedFavorite · Close Open Details @peter_dutton @kruddmp @latikambourke Peter, check with your leader about why many members have spoken to me today.
1h Paul Osborne @osbornep
Reply RetweetedRetweet Delete FavoritedFavorite · Close Open Details
@peter_dutton @KRuddMP Burke’s mum died.
by Greensborough Growler on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:45 pm
Something about Ol’ Coke Bottles having orgasms. Must admit it IS a pretty horrible thought.
Perhaps I should have said political orgasms.
Whatever, she’s relishing this. It’s written all over her face. She is the Bitch In Chief against Gillard, without the slightest doubt. She hasn’t got anything right for years, or hardly even written a readable column. Yet she clearly sees herself as a player. So she wants to go out with a bang.
Sorry, a political bang.
by Bushfire Bill on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:46 pm
Tom
Oh and a board member of Newman’s house’s company.
by ruawake on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:46 pm
@William/2328,
What happen to the old saying “Stick and Stones may break my bones, but words will never hurt me”? Can’t people defend themselves and ignore the words if it offended them?
Geez.
by zoidlord on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:46 pm
victoria
WB may have taken the quote from another PBer at the start of BB’s article as being BB’s comment.
by poroti on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:46 pm
davdwh,
Apparently Cando is on his way to jail!
by Greensborough Growler on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:46 pm
Michelle Grattan is repugnant to any civilised person of normal intelligence.
by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:47 pm
William, surely you are not referring to BB’s comment at 2307?
There is nothing wrong with it, and a lot right, as always.
?????
by don on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:47 pm
thanks ru – do keep us informed of him
by Tom Hawkins on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:48 pm
Is he going to leak to him that he is no longer PM?
by Scarpat on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:53 pm
William@2322:
William, are you having a meltdown of some kind?
Have Bex, a cup of tea, and a good lie down, you’ll feel a lot better.
by don on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:54 pm
I am referring in particular to his comment at #2265, and to a lesser extent to his ongoing use of “Old Coke Bottles”. It’s depressing how many people here are keen to cheer along with this sort of sleaze. The only difference between many here and the Andrew Bolt and Convoy of No Confidence crowd is the set of dogmas you’ve chosen to latch on to.
by William Bowe on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:55 pm
BB did you get my email add from wb.?
by Joe6pack on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:58 pm
dr john
the man is despicable as evidenced by his previous behaviour including walking out on the apology to the stolen generations
by Lyne Lady on Feb 15, 2012 at 5:59 pm
ruawake
How on earth would did Newman’s family interests secure technology from US defence dept?
by Dee on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:00 pm
GG is he visiting Fraser?
by DavidWH on Feb 15, 2012 at 6:00 pm