Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the latest fortnightly Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party preferred lead at 55-45, from primary votes of 32 per cent for Labor (up two on last time) and 46 per cent for the Coalition (up one). The personal ratings are good news for Tony Abbott: his approval rating is up four to 36 per cent and his disapproval is down three to 52 per cent, and he has opened up a lead over Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister of 40 per cent (up three) to 37 per cent (down three). Julia Gillard is respectively up down one to 32 per cent and up two to 57 per cent. Newspoll also ran a teaser last night showing Abbott favoured over Gillard for economic management 43 per cent to 34 per cent, and Wayne Swan and Joe Hockey in a statistical dead heat for preferred Treasurer (38 per cent to 37 per cent).
We also today had yet another 54-46 result from Essential Research. After losing a point on the primary vote over each of the two previous weeks, Labor was back up one to 34 per cent, with the Greens down one to 10 per cent and the Coalition steady on 47 per cent. Essential’s monthly measure of leadership approval found both leaders’ personal ratings essentially unchanged – Julia Gillard down one on approval to 36 per cent and up one on disapproval to 53 per cent, Tony Abbott steady on 35 per cent and up two to 53 per cent – but contrary to Newspoll, Gillard made a solid gain as preferred prime minister, her lead up from 39-36 to 41-34. However, only 31 per cent expected her to lead Labor to the next election against 47 per cent who said they didn’t (hats off to the 22 per cent who admitted they didn’t know); while for Tony Abbott the numbers were 47 per cent and 25 per cent.
A question on government control of media ownership has support for more control and less control tied on 24 per cent, with 34 per cent thinking it about right. There was also a question on the impact of Gina Rinehart on the independence of Fairfax newspapers, which I personally find a little odd – the issue would mean little outside of New South Wales and Victoria. I also had my doubts about the question on whether Australia is “fair and just”, but the question asking for comparison with other countries is interesting: Canada and New Zealand are seen as Australia’s main partners in freedom, the UK does less well, Japan and France less well again, and the United States worse still. China however sits well below the rest of the field.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Patsy was i my class
by my say on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:11 pm
William @ 3875
What are you referring to?
by bemused on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:12 pm
LYNE LADY – you make my day also friend
by Dr John on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:12 pm
I can also vouch for DavidWH, we go back a looong way from a very different part of cyberspace. Hes alright, for a Torie
Shhh I wont even reveal his former nic
by Mick Collins on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:12 pm
bemused
OK then.Resume your mission
by poroti on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:12 pm
Frank’s head just exploded.
by ShowsOn on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:13 pm
Your gravatar being Ben Chifley, Bemused.
by William Bowe on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:14 pm
Mick,
DavidWH is ESJ? Well, I never!
by This little black duck on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:14 pm
Your photo of Bill Brown.
by ShowsOn on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:14 pm
Finns my saviour my protector
Finns wil u go back to my post please about the greens and rudd
so every one can see i did not say i would vote green
Only if rudd took us to an election
I feltnso threatened here some times that i was only here when finns was
by my say on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:14 pm
my lady, that is it. i can take all the insults from Bilbo and still stay. But from you?
i am broken, devastated, like Hamlet: I shall take my leave and head for the patisseries of Copenhagen
by The Finnigans on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:14 pm
I’m talking about the posts I’ve addressed to you, today re the Faine interview with Abbott. That’s all.
It’s okay if you missed them, but rather than have a go at me, how about you look for the posts, or ask what I’m talking about?
Now, that’s just dopey.
Even if we’re on the same team.
by kezza2 on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:15 pm
Finns my saviour my protector
Finns wil u go back to my post please about the greens and rudd……
so every one can see i did not say i would vote green
Only if rudd took us to an election
I feltnso threatened here some times that i was only here when finns was
by my say on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:15 pm
Mick Collins
Pedant time. It is “Tory” but yes he is pretty good for a Tory
by poroti on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:15 pm
Finns,
to become the Joe Hockey of the dolphin world?
by Scarpat on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:16 pm
GG
Freo are 20/1 to win the flag this year. I haven’t been able to find a book of William being conferred his PhD this year but it’s in the ballpark….
by Diogenes on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:16 pm
ruawake @ 3784
“Any person in their right mind would vote for Mr Newman because he will give them everything they want”
Including a deamalgamated Noosa. LOL
by hugh moran on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:16 pm
Pot, meet kettle.
by It’s Time on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:17 pm
Diogs,
I’m proposing a timeless test.
by Greensborough Growler on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:18 pm
hugh moran
AND shed loads of Bob the Hat MP’s
by poroti on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:18 pm
finns… can i come with you? please????
by Lyne Lady on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:19 pm
Stupid Question of the year so far from a man who was State political reporter for ABC. wrote about Queensland politics for the Australian and has been an LNP politician for three years. If he doesn’t know how hansard works I would be surprised.
by steve on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:19 pm
i forgot
vic
sorry!
by Lyne Lady on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:20 pm
my say @ 3891
Happy to oblige.
Here is what you said and my reply.
by bemused on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:20 pm
Its time
I am never rude i call a spade a spade a spade
Big difference
How say u
by my say on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:20 pm
GG
Then we have four variables; Bowe PhD, Freo flag, you dying or me dying.
Can we collect from each others estates?
by Diogenes on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:20 pm
All he has to do is not moderate Poll Bludger for 6 months and it will be done easily.
by ShowsOn on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:21 pm
poroti @ 3899
Assistance always welcome.
by bemused on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:22 pm
This one?
http://www.culinary-denmark.com/eng/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/laglace2-580×435.jpg
by This little black duck on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:22 pm
perhaps because she said ‘gaol’ instead?
by Scarpat on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:22 pm
Back to the real world in less than 2 days – Black Caviar in the Lightning
by Dr John on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:22 pm
LSL
what utter rot, what frank posts here is extremely mild compared to what gets posted at other blogs.
Say what you like about any one who posts here, what you never see posted from anyone here is -
Bigotry
Homophobia
Overt Mysogony
Xenophobia
you get my drift
by Mick Collins on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:22 pm
Hmmm. is anybody else having trouble with Twitter tonight?
Seems to be giving this msg “Twitter.com is loading slowly.
Hmm, this seems to be taking a while. If problems persist, please reload to try again.”
any thoughts?
by sprocket_ on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:23 pm
Thats not what u put in your previous post u insinuated i was voting green
In normal circumstances when u know i did not say that
by my say on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:23 pm
bemused
I think Tony Abbott will provide all the assistance required. Liberal “Wets” are closer to Labor than they are to the dessicated Liberal “Dries”.
by poroti on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:24 pm
Diogs,
What if WB dies?
by Greensborough Growler on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:25 pm
Sounds like Twitter has been taken over by Crikey’s service provider.
by Scarpat on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:25 pm
confirmed?
by Joe6pack on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:25 pm
That is a fascinating question Dio, and one which would be suited to a PhD (in anyone is interested????).
My attempt to solve this on the back of a napkin would be to estimate this way:
There are 23 million Australians
There are something like 100,000 PhDs in Australia
Therefore there is a 0.5% chance of being a PhD in Australia (all things being equal)
Of course all things are not equal, but as I haven’t met Bilbo, don’t know and haven’t met his supervisor(s), don’t know his topic, how long he is into it, what he has achieved so far, whether he is PT or FT, what funding he has, what his family and life situation is, what distractions are currently/will be in his life in the future, its the best I can do.
by Mod Lib on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:25 pm
No more Bugs Bunny?
by Scarpat on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:26 pm
seems like this blog is starting to mirror some of the internal machinations of the ALP bit of internal warfare going on and not much political commentary
by the spectator on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:26 pm
Lois Lane
That list was . . . un-fkn-forgivable!
Of course I’m joking
by kezza2 on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:26 pm
my say @ 3928
A true ALP supporter would never think of voting Green or anything other than ALP!
Your secret is out now and I hope Frank has taken notice.
I quoted you in full the first time.
by bemused on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:26 pm
I’m liking Mr Slipper as Speaker….doing a sterling job of keeping people focussed on the job and doesn’t take any nonsense from anyone….
Particularly like the way he deals with Pyne…lets him get up and whine on…then turns away and asks for the next question. Pyne doesn’t know how to deal with this response and quietly sits back down. Lovely to watch.
He’s also quite impartial and yesterday he even sat the PM down for straying off ‘direct relevance’ after a POO was upheld….and today booted a Govt MP out under the dreaded Section 94A….
A vast improvement on HJ I’m thinking….& Govt gets extra vote as well…what a bargain
by markjs on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:26 pm
Mick, that’s because I don’t allow those things here – not necessarily because certain persons are above them.
by William Bowe on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:27 pm
U twisted what i said.
U have treated me like th e pits from your firs t day here why single me out
by my say on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:28 pm
Funny one here now that the 53rd Parliament is done and dusted by all accounts.
http://twitpic.com/8klad8
by steve on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:28 pm
TLBD
I can’t recall an ESJ, but DavidWHs swore me to secrecy
by Mick Collins on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:29 pm
SO
More like
http://www.google.com.au/search?q=heartbreak+hotel+utube&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-GB:official&client=firefox-a
by Boerwar on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:29 pm
Mr Sinking the Slipper has a charming side: you can’t quite work out how he is going to work out on any given day.
by Boerwar on Feb 16, 2012 at 9:30 pm