Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the latest fortnightly Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party preferred lead at 55-45, from primary votes of 32 per cent for Labor (up two on last time) and 46 per cent for the Coalition (up one). The personal ratings are good news for Tony Abbott: his approval rating is up four to 36 per cent and his disapproval is down three to 52 per cent, and he has opened up a lead over Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister of 40 per cent (up three) to 37 per cent (down three). Julia Gillard is respectively up down one to 32 per cent and up two to 57 per cent. Newspoll also ran a teaser last night showing Abbott favoured over Gillard for economic management 43 per cent to 34 per cent, and Wayne Swan and Joe Hockey in a statistical dead heat for preferred Treasurer (38 per cent to 37 per cent).
We also today had yet another 54-46 result from Essential Research. After losing a point on the primary vote over each of the two previous weeks, Labor was back up one to 34 per cent, with the Greens down one to 10 per cent and the Coalition steady on 47 per cent. Essential’s monthly measure of leadership approval found both leaders’ personal ratings essentially unchanged – Julia Gillard down one on approval to 36 per cent and up one on disapproval to 53 per cent, Tony Abbott steady on 35 per cent and up two to 53 per cent – but contrary to Newspoll, Gillard made a solid gain as preferred prime minister, her lead up from 39-36 to 41-34. However, only 31 per cent expected her to lead Labor to the next election against 47 per cent who said they didn’t (hats off to the 22 per cent who admitted they didn’t know); while for Tony Abbott the numbers were 47 per cent and 25 per cent.
A question on government control of media ownership has support for more control and less control tied on 24 per cent, with 34 per cent thinking it about right. There was also a question on the impact of Gina Rinehart on the independence of Fairfax newspapers, which I personally find a little odd – the issue would mean little outside of New South Wales and Victoria. I also had my doubts about the question on whether Australia is “fair and just”, but the question asking for comparison with other countries is interesting: Canada and New Zealand are seen as Australia’s main partners in freedom, the UK does less well, Japan and France less well again, and the United States worse still. China however sits well below the rest of the field.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Absolutely.
How about it William?
by dave on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:28 pm
Warren Snowdon for PM! We need to fix the NT Labor vote and get the Henderson govt re-elected!
by Carey Moore on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:28 pm
Seconded.
by Danny Lewis on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:29 pm
Absolutely.
The other gutter classic that got a mention in Parliament a week or so ago was that scandalous suggestion (I think from our old friend 2GB) that Oakeshott had been, effectively, bribed by the Federal Government with a roads grant, being moneys diverted from being spent on the Pacific Highway in another electorate, and that this had led to the death of a kid in a crash on the stretch of road that had missed-out on improvement.
This was truly awful stuff.
And completely untrue, as it turns out.
This is the sort of press we seem to have here now.
by smithe on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:29 pm
Tom Hawkins @ 6017
Picked it up from Fred Daly: “When you’re dealing with a street brawler, you’re entitled to hit him with a bottle!”
Heard that when listening to parliament while driving my car. Nearly had an accident but it was unforgettable.
by bemused on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:29 pm
Danny
Spot on!
by BK on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:29 pm
d
I haven’t seen this weekend’s list but the last list they published had some definite cockups in it.
by Boerwar on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:29 pm
BK@6902
Sorry BK – I asked exactly the same thing yesterday (or was it the day before) and Bilbo near blew my head clean off.
Just warning you!
by Oscar on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:29 pm
Maybe the government should react to hostile news coverage by “reminding” journalists that their homes might be raided. I’m just saying that it wouldn’t be a vote winner.
by William Bowe on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:30 pm
I mean our old friends at 2GB…the radio station.
Not evan 2gb as some call him. He was nothing to do with the fake story.
by smithe on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:30 pm
HILARIOUS!
I expect that duncery from you bbp
To know that you’ve picked up on bemused’s constant put-downs towards my say speaks volumes.
Here’s a tip:
my say has arthritis in her fingers
my say has a Year 10 education
which makes her feel intimidated by the more educated who attack her here
Yet, my say, makes more sense than the two of you put together.
Revel in your ignorance.
by kezza2 on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:30 pm
I see many more innocent electrons are being consumed over trying to work up a nice little leadership challange.
by fredn on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:31 pm
DTT: the thing that everyone seems to be forgetting is that, in any leadership vote, the Left always supports the incumbent.
It is the Right that needs to bring on a spill, and all the main players in the Right are still backing Gillard. In fact, some more vociferously now than they were in 2010.
Rudd and his “supporters” can dream all they like.
It ain’t happening.
by Danny Lewis on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:32 pm
Mod lib @6077,
Thanks for that.
Who in the ALP is talking to the MSM ? Every article goes on about “it is reported Nicola Roxon and other Ministers are doing this or that ” or “it is reported that Gillard supporters are doing this or that ”
If anyone from the ALP is talking to the MSM it would appear to be Rudd and or his group as appears to have been the case for a while without this much force all at once.
So I think the questions still remain relevant.
Why this weekend and why so hard ?
cheers.
by Doyley on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:32 pm
And the idiots thought nobody would be watching!
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-02-18/anz-reviews-luxury-cruise-trips-for-staff/3837966
by BK on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:33 pm
DTT – Post the ‘list’ for reference if you think it makes sense.
by CTar1 on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:33 pm
I’m going to quit PB for the rest of the week, until William gets rid of this Ruddership.
The usual suspects are ruining PB (again).
by zoidlord on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:33 pm
Not as yet – however, my sister did tell me that the upmarket Sydney girls private school that her daughter attends has already got a committee set up that is ready to go if there is any threat to the funding.
by blackburnpseph on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:33 pm
I’m sorry, BK, Dave and Oscar, but I will not be creating any fantasy playgrounds so you can pretend things you don’t like aren’t happening.
by William Bowe on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:34 pm
Plus My Say talks good gardening, good family and country stories.
by Boerwar on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:34 pm
hello from Sydney’
great flight flew over the harbour
bc won and julia just took off i think
by Joe6pack on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:34 pm
Sorry to have missed Zoidlord from the list.
by William Bowe on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:34 pm
Again you misunderstand my comment in the context that is intended.
by Tom Hawkins on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:34 pm
my say,
you must be hitting a few nerves on here.
Keep it up.
Another name to add to your list of those to scroll on by.
Geez, they love hunting in packs.
Just remember most of the playground is on your side.
by Doyley on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:35 pm
Maybe do away with the whole voting thing altogether. The government know what everybody wants and the truth. They should just be given total control and yes, if they have to use their power and resources to remind people of this, by force if necessary, so be it
by Carey Moore on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:35 pm
Z
Uh oh. Looks like it is time for William to round up the usual suspects.
by Boerwar on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:35 pm
William has spoken.
But I won’t spit the dummy.
by BK on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:35 pm
No it’s not.
But they could remind them that when the newspaper industry here finally turns its toes up they’ll all qualify for a generous unemployment benefit and, rest assured, their skills will not be lost as they will be placed in some nice work for the dole scheme writing press releases for the Refugee Council or Friends of the Earth (or some other worthy not-for-profit outfit).
by smithe on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:35 pm
(1) Mr Bowe should ban those who discuss the Labor leadership.
(2) Then Mr Bowe should ban those who want to ban those who discuss the Labor leadership.
(3) Then Mr Bowe should ban…all those who are wRONg.
(4) That would leave…
Me
by gusface on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:35 pm
finns
great tweet – the twittersphere is alive with support with JG! keep it up everyone!
by Lyne Lady on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:35 pm
if any one would like a copy of my letter i am happy to to put it here.
I want vote for them.
Personaly i go along with Doyley, rudd would want it on a silver tray with all the numbers counted.
not going to happen. and Doyley is such a gentleman,
i had decided not to post about this but when i see the party i love being viyvied by certain individuals, i could not stay quite.
I also had decided to give this blogg away, as wiilliam had called for voluntees about 10 i beleive,. i was so shock and annoyed by this i decided to put my hand up.
but there you go i came here to defend our PM ,. whom i love and respect.
I agree with doyley though,. and i like him this is the last word on the matter.
if william was to think about this, this topic is doing his blogg and hits here no good at all its repetive and boring.
and depressing soul destorying
i dont blame people for leaving in their droves why should they have to see the same old thing repeated every day by a few,. who seek to up set others,
by my say on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:36 pm
j6p
Was it a commercial flight in? I love flying into Sydney. Just so dramatic… and you can’t help but think about the flightpath seats…
by Boerwar on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:37 pm
Boerwar
Yep he doesn’t have the numbers. By refusing to deny a challenge he creates the distability that might garner a few more votes. Paranoid, delusional megalomaniac whose thoughts are more about self than party = Evatt
by Oakeshott Country on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:37 pm
Ahhh, FFS DTT post a link so we can examine your evidence.
“The lists seem OK or at least to the limited extent of my information. . .”
WTF is that supposed to mean?
Show us your “limited extent”
Or did I waste a whole post pointing out how unreliable your “evidence” is?
You have no evidence. Full stop.
Stop wishing.
by kezza2 on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:37 pm
Oscar @ 6037
Oscar, please don’t go imputing motives to me when they are the exact opposite of the truth.
By your own admission you are yet another dilettante swinging voter.
by bemused on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:37 pm
g
Lordy. Pass the helium…
by Boerwar on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:37 pm
Looks like ‘big schools’ will be joining big tobacco, big mining and big pokies. They must be frightened PM Gillard will want to make some big changes.
by BH on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:39 pm
And the Sydney second airport seats. That is a beautiful study in the triumph of think global act local.
Just watch Melbourne wack their second airport onto the Kooweerup swamp. Flight path over the south gippsland hills, the latrobe valley’s dark satanic mills and westernport bay.
But, but, but…. what will the member for Flinders think and say?
by Boerwar on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:39 pm
BH
Think of it as a secular noblesse oblige.
by Boerwar on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:40 pm
doyley i dont even read them
i have left many prayer on Mary mkillops site for the pm, and i was so glad to see her have a school block named after her at mary mckillop college it shows the nuns have great faith in her and respect her. Another SA woman of great courage/
SA people should feel very proud and as Julia was the minsiter for education and education is her love. i see Mary as looking after juliea. she too was attacked by men in high places.
and fought them an won.
go Julia we love and respect you, and i will NOT vote labor if anything happens to
her i had round table discussion with my girls to day and they agreed.
over and out
by my say on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:40 pm
See, BK? **Bang**!
Bilbo doesn’t seem to understand that there are some here who would simply rather discuss politics and the actual polls, rather than discuss imaginary challenges that will probably never happen.
He thinks we should all be utterly fascinated by Ruddstoration! – which is why PB is now increasingly filling up with people who are.
I guess this is his way of attracting more right-wing posters.
by Oscar on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:41 pm
Blackburnpseph…6068 re Victoria
_________
In Victoria in the mid-50iesSplit in the ALP,,,a key factor in terms of personal conflict was the determination of the Leader of The Movement,Santamaria.. to enforce his views of the dangers of a communist takeover…never a possibility on Oz ..on his devout supporters. who . real worshipped his supposed leadership and brilliance.
Once at a weekend seminar he adressed his supports for hours on end…like Casto or Mao
He was able to dominate the ageing Archbiship Mannix
Read Ross Fitzgerald’s book “The Pope’s Battalions ” for a picture of Santamaria and Mannix
Maninix’s successor Arch. Simmons was a fierce critic of Santamaria and the way he had used the church to his advantage and literally drove his supporters out of the centres of Catholic power in Melbourne…with says of the old man’s death in 1963..and kept Santamaria at bay in the years ahead
So personal matters are often most important
by deblonay on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:42 pm
Evatt also had his personal rivalry with Menzies stoking his psychological fire. Between that, his internal Labor Party paranoia, and what was most likely early onset Alzheimers it was a potent mix.
by blackburnpseph on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:42 pm
Oscar
Don’t lose heart. The scroll wheel is a good filter.
by BK on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:43 pm
OS
I have often felt sad about Mr Evatt. He was non compis. I have often accused Mr Rudd and Mr Abbott of being borderline narcissist/sociopathic. I sort of think I ought to feel sad for them. After all, they probably can’t help their conditions.
But somehow it keeps coming down to poor bugger the rest of us.
by Boerwar on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:43 pm
Was this meant to be an insult?
by Oscar on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:43 pm
bemused @ 6051
What is the alternative? “My party, always right”? Or, equally unsustainably, “My party, right or wrong”?
my say has the right to vote in whichever way her conscience sways her, and still be loyal to the ideals of the ALP. Registering a protest vote because of a strong disagreement with the actions of a political party has long been a legitimate part of the democratic process.
by Ozymandias on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:44 pm
my say,
love your passion and labor values.
If you and the OH are ever in Brissie I would love to get together.
cheers.
by Doyley on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:44 pm
Then you flew right over my house.
Wave next time you lazy sod.
by smithe on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:44 pm
Doyley at 6118
Just remember most of the playground is on your side.
We sure are.
by Brian Mc on Feb 18, 2012 at 5:44 pm