Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes tweets that the latest fortnightly Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party preferred lead at 55-45, from primary votes of 32 per cent for Labor (up two on last time) and 46 per cent for the Coalition (up one). The personal ratings are good news for Tony Abbott: his approval rating is up four to 36 per cent and his disapproval is down three to 52 per cent, and he has opened up a lead over Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister of 40 per cent (up three) to 37 per cent (down three). Julia Gillard is respectively up down one to 32 per cent and up two to 57 per cent. Newspoll also ran a teaser last night showing Abbott favoured over Gillard for economic management 43 per cent to 34 per cent, and Wayne Swan and Joe Hockey in a statistical dead heat for preferred Treasurer (38 per cent to 37 per cent).
We also today had yet another 54-46 result from Essential Research. After losing a point on the primary vote over each of the two previous weeks, Labor was back up one to 34 per cent, with the Greens down one to 10 per cent and the Coalition steady on 47 per cent. Essential’s monthly measure of leadership approval found both leaders’ personal ratings essentially unchanged – Julia Gillard down one on approval to 36 per cent and up one on disapproval to 53 per cent, Tony Abbott steady on 35 per cent and up two to 53 per cent – but contrary to Newspoll, Gillard made a solid gain as preferred prime minister, her lead up from 39-36 to 41-34. However, only 31 per cent expected her to lead Labor to the next election against 47 per cent who said they didn’t (hats off to the 22 per cent who admitted they didn’t know); while for Tony Abbott the numbers were 47 per cent and 25 per cent.
A question on government control of media ownership has support for more control and less control tied on 24 per cent, with 34 per cent thinking it about right. There was also a question on the impact of Gina Rinehart on the independence of Fairfax newspapers, which I personally find a little odd – the issue would mean little outside of New South Wales and Victoria. I also had my doubts about the question on whether Australia is “fair and just”, but the question asking for comparison with other countries is interesting: Canada and New Zealand are seen as Australia’s main partners in freedom, the UK does less well, Japan and France less well again, and the United States worse still. China however sits well below the rest of the field.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
“FWIW there has been no change in the betting markets on Labor leader in the last week.”
Diogenes the markets are so fragile anyone could alter them with small change.
by Dr John on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:47 pm
Thanks, Jackol and Mr S.
by William Bowe on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:47 pm
William, Satler said that Hodges passed on to her that Abbott said the tent embassy should “move on”. Precisely what Abbott said.
by joe2 on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:48 pm
Looks like any political aspirations Ms Sattler may have had just evaporated.
by This little black duck on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:49 pm
Ignoring the News Ltd online sites saying that the embassy should be torn down. Media investigate media – ha.
by ruawake on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:50 pm
rummel,
tricot is trying to prove Labor is the “Muppet Show” and he’s Miss Piggy.
Pretentious……….. Moi!
by Greensborough Growler on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:50 pm
by Leroy on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:50 pm
3. Oakes has a history of receiving Rudd leaks.
by Gorgeous Dunny on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:51 pm
mari
Thanks.”Eyes Front” ! on the 27th. Leveson moves on to police + press canoodling.
by poroti on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:51 pm
PB has many ears and many eyes. No wonder it rates well.
by This little black duck on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:51 pm
&.30 also replayed a radio interview Sattler did recently in which she said that Hodges had used the words “moved on” – so on the material presented by 7.30, what the PM has said is backed up, but it looks like Sattler will have to answer further police questions.
by Fil R on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:51 pm
I may ask my senator to ask scott why the numbers are down on the 7.30 ulma n show compared
To kerries current affairs programe,
by my say on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:52 pm
“PB has many ears and many eyes.” Just a lotta work needed on da humour
by Dr John on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:52 pm
TLBD – Just been out for a ‘health’ break. It’s not the rain – it’s the bloody gum leaves all over the paving that pi##es me off!
Ms Sattler has some more AFP questions to answer …
by CTar1 on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:53 pm
This concept that labor can’t Govern cops another coat of rhubarb as the HR reforms pass.
by Greensborough Growler on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:53 pm
7 1/2 was pathetic, just popping out to get a doll and a packet of needles. C.U. , to quote Midnight Oil [no plagiarism] how do you sleep at night when the beds are burning
by outside left on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:54 pm
“Ignoring the News Ltd online sites saying that the embassy should be torn down.”
Yep! see…..
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/breaking-news/time-for-tent-embassy-to-fold-says-tony-abbott/story-e6frf7jx-1226254319517
Apparently it was only those troublesome abbos who interpreted it the way Tone intended it.
by joe2 on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:54 pm
William,
Not complaining. But the post count seems to be at variance with the numbering?
by Greensborough Growler on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:54 pm
Dr John
To paraphrase the late great Spike Milligan “PB humour is no laughing matter”
by poroti on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:55 pm
So is wyney pyney going to ask the PM any further questions re tent embassy
by victoria on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:55 pm
How are police involved? Is Hercule Brandis on the case?
by ruawake on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:55 pm
There are two lines of thought about whether Kavanagh is propping or shafting (The Guardian) Roo.
by This little black duck on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:55 pm
Outside left then u freeze it
by my say on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:56 pm
Hi Gorgeous Dunny re
Oakes has a history of receiving Rudd leaks.
The trouble with this leak if true is that the Rudd camp really can only have got the information from some one who had been close to the action in the Gillard camp at the time.
F
by Fil R on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:56 pm
“but it looks like Sattler will have to answer further police questions.”
Her interpretation of the Abbott dog whistle was quite understandable and she will be charged with nothing.
by joe2 on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:57 pm
Because its depressing not being in government and nice to see team labor having troubles. Don’t worry, I will be here when Abbott is pm and complaining about his leadership like now.
by rummel on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:57 pm
I did not know there was an ivestigation
by my say on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:57 pm
It’s all your side and the media have got to run with, Rummel. Oh, and also the current polling.
You’re completely stuffed on coherent policy, which is what will count in 2 years.
by Gorgeous Dunny on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:57 pm
Dr John
“PB has many ears and many eyes.” Just a lotta work needed on da humour
To paraphrase the late great Spike Milligan “PB humour is no laughing matter”
Yes Poroti but Spike’s PB was PISSIN IN BRITCHES
by Dr John on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:58 pm
You’re sure about those quotation marks? That’s not quite how Jackoltells it.
by William Bowe on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:59 pm
Nobody knows the troubles I’ve seen.
For the Robeson fans http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4EJSkJlh_fg
That one is the least of Crikey’s server problems.
by This little black duck on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:59 pm
William Bowe
Please give bushfire bill my email add. so we can have another Pb meeting.
Thanks
by Joe6pack on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:59 pm
Hallelujah!!!! Yes Yes Yes!!!!!!!
by mari on Feb 14, 2012 at 7:59 pm
Not sure what you mean, GG.
by William Bowe on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:00 pm
Hi ruawake re 915
How are police involved? Is Hercule Brandis on the case?
No! As far as is known anyway – 7.30 said that the Police had the video and were investigating.
F
by Fil R on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:00 pm
Ruawake – I think what she can be heard saying to the person with the mike is ‘pulled down’ and ‘just over there’ or similar. Different to what she has previously said.
CU said more talk to Police – he’s a Cbr local and would have the contacts to know that.
by CTar1 on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:00 pm
My say there isn’t.
by ruawake on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:01 pm
victoria:
The opps will keep up with it so long as the msm remains fixated!
by confessions on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:01 pm
This suggests otherwise:
by This little black duck on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:01 pm
Hi William re 924
The radio interviewer asked Sattler at least twice that it was only “moved on”.
F
by Fil R on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:02 pm
Sattler is about to be pilloried for the great Aussie pass time of “bullshitting”.
by Greensborough Growler on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:03 pm
You get things at the top like “505 Comments” when you can only see 501.
by This little black duck on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:03 pm
Dr John
An ABC news reader not pissin in britches.Most of the time
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0VGcNJBD3t4
by poroti on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:04 pm
Absolutely. She says it quite clearly in an interview. Frankly, I think Hodges has been pretty hardly done by.
by joe2 on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:04 pm
Sorry – to be clearer – asked Sattler at least twice that Hodges had only said “moved on”.
Will check the transcript once it’s up
F
by Fil R on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:04 pm
I’d say the server has received 505 but is a bit tardy posting.
by This little black duck on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:04 pm
I don’t care if CU is a Martian, there is no police investigation into anything to do with Oz Day in the rose garden.
by ruawake on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:05 pm
No, that’s also correct – the comment from Sattler was from a later interview where Kim Sattler was clarifying what Hodges had told her.
by Jackol on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:05 pm
The msm ARE the opps!
(And vice versa)
by Cuppa on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:05 pm
All I can say is… I’m glad Gillard is not a son or daughter of mine. How could anyone with half a brain support her.
by New2This on Feb 14, 2012 at 8:05 pm