Essential Research: 55-45 to Coalition
Despite having mostly come too early for the weekend’s excitement, the weekly Essential Research poll has moved away a point from the 54-46 stasis in which it had been locked since December 12, with the Coalition lead now at 55-45. Since Essential is a two-week rolling average, so that only half the poll was conducted over the previous week, this shift is more likely to be meaningful than it would from another pollster, although it’s probably still within the margin of error. Labor is down a point on the primary vote to 33 per cent with the Coalition up one to 48 per cent and the Greens up one to 11 per cent.
Despite the voting intention figures, a series of questions on substantive points of policy shows support for the government’s positions: 53 per cent support means testing the private health insurance rebate against 33 per cent opposed; 56 per cent support the National Broadband Network against 25 per cent opposed, respectively up two and down three since the question was last posed last April; and support for the mining tax is up four points since November to 55 per cent with opposition down five to 28 per cent.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Andew Elder is not on Wiki. What is his provenance?
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 10:55 pm
ducky
my understanding is that “hannibal” is allowed infrequent visits
even a drop of chianti at times
by gusface on Feb 21, 2012 at 10:55 pm
Feck off to Santas little helper Toolman.He tosses out an accusation we have “Deified science”. Faaaark me now he talks of “militant atheism” . How low can the ABC go ?
by poroti on Feb 21, 2012 at 10:57 pm
Pheasant beating.
Is that like choking the chicken?
by Dan Gulberry on Feb 21, 2012 at 10:57 pm
gusface,
Ahh, that would explain … lots of things!
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 10:57 pm
Well we may have thought those days were behind us, but now they seem a genuine future possibility. Just imagine if the next Newspoll is 57/43 – all hell will break loose again, and create an even more negative view of Gillard Labor.
Gillard is now living from poll to poll.
by Thomas Paine on Feb 21, 2012 at 10:57 pm
Disagree Spectator at 2333.
Rudd has had his fun with his happy little vegemite malarkey.
The challenge is over and now its time to nail his coffin.
Public act of loyalty or gonski.
Get him out of foreign minister role and the veneer of publicity to carry on his public grandstanding is removed. He then becomes just a backbencher. Sure a high profile one but still, a backbencher, without the oxygen he so desperately craves.
by Henry on Feb 21, 2012 at 10:57 pm
ducky
EA
didnt bat an eyelid
she is still resisting the #fiberalisation of the ABC
by gusface on Feb 21, 2012 at 10:58 pm
I reckon it will be something to do with black holes.
Ever since they put a few wild predictions into the linear accelerator, spun them around a few million tomes before smashing them into each other and created the Ruddlet (a sort of political strangelet), the only thing left to do is to argue that it will begin sucking-in everything around it, until it eventually reaches black hole proportions.
At that point it will gobble-up the Government, then Canberra, before sinking to the centre of the planet and devouring the Earth from within.
It’ll the end of political life as we know it.
The upside is that Abbott will be sucked in too and will never make PM.
by smithe on Feb 21, 2012 at 10:58 pm
To a certain extent the government may be happy to fly under the radar with this – give them the chance to have quiet chats with the states and the schools and the unions etc.
Compare and contrast with the RSPT.
Given the positive response from the experts, I think the government will be quite happy so far, and will keep it bubbling along for now.
Provided the government doesn’t get consumed by leadershit, bringing legislation to parliament later in the year (as Peter Garrett has implied), and then taking a policy to the 2013 election to follow through to implement Gonski would seem like a good timeline/goal.
by Jackol on Feb 21, 2012 at 10:58 pm
Closer to turkey basting.
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 10:59 pm
should we send food parcels?
by gusface on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:00 pm
Emma is a good Emma.
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:00 pm
don @ 2427
Your cheque is in the mail don.
More seriously, I also appreciate good posts by others regardless of whether I agree. I always learn from them.
It is quite disturbing really.
I wish he wasn’t that way and am reluctant to respond in kind although I sometimes do.
by bemused on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:01 pm
by Leroy on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:01 pm
Did he throw his computer out the window?
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:01 pm
In that case, they can have all my helium!!
by gusface on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:02 pm
Leroy,
Our PM doesn’t need reality checks.
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:03 pm
You OK with hydrogen and a bit of nitrogen?
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:04 pm
Abbott hasn’t been seen for 2 days.
His minders are definately trying to flick the switch to substance.
by confessions on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:04 pm
ducky
whatever it takes to get rid of abbott
by gusface on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:06 pm
This little black duck
I am sure he longs for B A Santamarias vision of an agrarian theocracy. The tragedy being it ain’t going to happen
by poroti on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:07 pm
Thomas Paine: It obviously doesn’t matter to a good section of the Labor caucus how bad the polls are, because they’re doggedly sticking to Julia, come hell or high water.
Then again, if the much touted carbon tax compensation doesn’t turn things around for her in a hurry, the leadership thing will be reopened, if not by Rudd, then by Crean or Shorten.
And, I doubt very much that she’s got any grounds for sacking Rudd from the Foreign Affairs portfolio – it’d just make things worse if she did so.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:07 pm
Two bad polls.
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:07 pm
They’re attempting to re-program him to be a little more positive byt he won’t acept the software. Everytime they re-boot him he comes out with ‘Aaargh…uhm…arrh…no.’
He could well be up on the hoist a while as they may need to change the hard drive.
by smithe on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:07 pm
bemused, don
I have had quite a few barneys with GG over the years
dont agree with some of his stuff
BUT
we find the middle ground
maybe u should try it
by gusface on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:09 pm
Henry @ 2456
Yeah, why not? Gives him greater freedom and more time to get out and about campaigning in Queensland and elsewhere.
And of course he can rely on Gillard to continue her relentless campaign against ther won leadership. Wonder what the next stumble will be?
by bemused on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:10 pm
Saw an ABC promo for Ms A. Crabbe’s cooking show featuring C. Pyne, P. Wong, A. Vanstone.
Couldn’t help but speculate on the menus.
C. Pyne: Bile sandwich. White bread, liberal dose of GM canola. Pickled onions, a gherkin.
P. Wong: A mild, comfy curry. An interesting, complex dish.
A. Vanstone: Jellied pigs’ trotters, in shortcrust pastry. White Crow tomato sauce. Pickled onions, two gherkins.
This is just the first draft of the menus: they need fine tuning, obviously. But, hey, it’s a start!
Needless to say, I won’t be watching Ms Crabbe’s foodie exploits. Waste of space.
by Scringler on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:10 pm
And as for the idea that Cheeseman is going to be tossed out of Labor’s most marginal seat and they’ll force Corrangamite to a by-election – plain ridiculous!
No doubt, they’ll move him away from the cameras in QT and he’ll be given no more Dorothy Dixers to ask Gillard or Swan and they’ll campaign dead in the seat in 2013.
The guy was being a good MP and listening to his constituents – a pity more marginal seat members, particularly that silly bimbo Deb O’Neill in Robertson, don’t do the same.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:11 pm
smithe,
Perhaps they could LDA (load the A register) with “42″ and push the run program button.
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:11 pm
James Packer and Erica about to have child number three.
I guess money does buy if not happiness then perhaps acquiescence.
by Henry on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:12 pm
Scringler,
Do you know the date & time of La Belle’s first program.
I’m feeling like that dog “just too laze …”
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:13 pm
scringler
LOL
saw the intro too
crabbe is well suited to being a servant
by gusface on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:14 pm
Cos he such a great campaigner isnt he bemused…
Always bemused by that idea (pun intended). Where is the evidence of his brilliant campaigning?
by Henry on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:14 pm
It’d be more dangerous for her if he is free on the backbench to essentially do what he wants, exploit his popularity, write books, champion all sorts of causes etc.
Some of you are obviously forgetting how deadly effective Keating was at white anting Hawke and John Kerin in 1991 before the 2nd leadership challenge.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:14 pm
Gusface @ 2475
You mean…. do bland????
Nahhh too boring.
I try (and occasionally fail) to remain polite, but I like the contest of ideas and enjoy polite, well reasoned, disagreement.
Occasionally get some too!
by bemused on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:15 pm
Tony Abbott would be keeping a patrician eye on Margie in the kitchen for Crabbe’s show.
by Henry on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:16 pm
Abetz has been quiet on IR since Shorten became minister. What child has he been cooking with Packer?
by confessions on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:16 pm
scringler
Additions to the menus for Pyne and Vanstone:
Bucketloads of tripe.
by Dan Gulberry on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:16 pm
btw
fatty is sacking quite a few station staff
also transit police
way to go fatty
cut the pubic service to the quick
by gusface on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:17 pm
Henry,
Just lie back and think of … ?
What’s Jodie / Jodhi doing these days?
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:18 pm
Re Cheeseman in Corangamite
______________________
Cheesman won the seat in 2007 narrowly.. It hadn’t been won by Labor since 1929 when won by Col Crouch..once a Liberal -Deakonist member for Corio but beaten in 1910,when Corangamite was won by Jim Scullin later Labor PM 1929-31.
Sculin in a famous comment said then that Corangamite was the most”Squatter infested seat in Victoria “… lovely word “infested ”
Crouch who won Corangamite in 1929 was a “convert ” to Labor having been radicalised by the effects of WW! which he experienced at Gallipoli and elsewhere,and by a visit to Russia in the early years of the Revolution
He held it for one term ,and from then to Cheeseman’s victory in 2007 it was always a Lib seat
It’s been changing as Geelong’s suburbs spread inito the eastern end of the seat
In 2010 the Liberals chose a candidate who was the daughter of the former Lib member for the state seat in the Kennet days.,,and who loss gave Bracks a vital seat
There was much controversy in 2010 over some aspects of the Lib candidate private life which were aired in the campaign and Cheeseman held on…
There had been much disatification with him as local member and it was thought he would lose,but the swing TO Labor in Victoria in 2010 helped him hold on,and the liberal candidate’s personal problems helped him too
It is the most marginal of seats and the western end is a conservative area of small towns in the Western District..still”squatter infested ”
Coria next door has been held by Labor since a by-election win in the late 60ies,when Whitlam was on the rise
by deblonay on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:19 pm
Big difference between Keating circa 91 and Rudd now.
Keating was admired and respected by his colleagues many of whom voted with a heavy heart against him in the first leadership. They knew what he was doing but felt the timing wasn’t quite right.
Rudd has very few friends in caucus, once the sting goes out of his challenge they will move off him quicker than a scotsman off a hooker.
by Henry on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:19 pm
Well that’s interesting… wonder if anything more will come of it in upcoming weeks/months.
by rishane on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:19 pm
Oh my, you couldn’t make this stuff-up.
Crabbe has been cooking-up stories for years.
Not exactly Guide Michelin stuff, either: Roast Gillard with a side of snide; Spotted Dick in budgies (her favourite); Grilled Cheeseman; Light and frothy half-baked Analysis, with a nice snigger sauce; Re-heated News Ltd Crappola Pie. The list goes on and on.
And now she’s going to welcome us all into her kitchen and show us how it’s done.
Oh joy.
by smithe on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:19 pm
Oh, and Confessions is still whining about the biased media – nothing new there.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:20 pm
Fess
LOL
thats V norty
but V good
by gusface on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:20 pm
BOF and the KFC Kid are twins?
by This little black duck on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:20 pm
Oh I see. I’d forgotten Jodie was no longer Packer’s partner.
by confessions on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:20 pm
http://www.cyenne.com/discussion/loyalty-at-any-price/
worth a read
by Leroy on Feb 21, 2012 at 11:22 pm