Essential Research: 55-45 to Coalition
Despite having mostly come too early for the weekend’s excitement, the weekly Essential Research poll has moved away a point from the 54-46 stasis in which it had been locked since December 12, with the Coalition lead now at 55-45. Since Essential is a two-week rolling average, so that only half the poll was conducted over the previous week, this shift is more likely to be meaningful than it would from another pollster, although it’s probably still within the margin of error. Labor is down a point on the primary vote to 33 per cent with the Coalition up one to 48 per cent and the Greens up one to 11 per cent.
Despite the voting intention figures, a series of questions on substantive points of policy shows support for the government’s positions: 53 per cent support means testing the private health insurance rebate against 33 per cent opposed; 56 per cent support the National Broadband Network against 25 per cent opposed, respectively up two and down three since the question was last posed last April; and support for the mining tax is up four points since November to 55 per cent with opposition down five to 28 per cent.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
BW – I think thats the way it worked but don’t quote me!
Can you do the walk from Marina Bay around the Parkway (Rock something?) and back?
Or just have a strong drink in the shade (can’t do the drink bit myself these days and not to sure about the walk!).
by CTar1 on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:20 pm
Cuppa i agree, kezza recently lost her sister. She is searching for work
She is not in a privaleged position.
She has all kinds of stresses,
We all clean toilets hope to think what they would be like at home if not.
We are approaching a time when the media may not even need editors.
Well in ten years or less no newspapers could be a possibilty.——
…-.-
by my say on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:20 pm
Stanny (may I call you Stan),
Rather than presuming to lecture the good people here, it might be worth your time to work out how you’re going to apologise to your neighbours and loved ones if the Coalition (with your support) get in and inevitably cause their wages and conditions to be cut.
by Cuppa on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:20 pm
Interesting thing is Rudd doesn’t have to contest on monday.
He now has plenty of time, and knows quite well that the latest events will be deadly for Labor’s and Gillard’s poll. It will take a few weeks to come through maybe but this has just been a major poll set back for Labor.
He may challenge if he has enough numbers to seem reasonable, maybe 30 would be enough. He can then sit back and watch the effect of current events wash through.
by Thomas Paine on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:20 pm
Leroy
Yes 2010 was one part of the equation. Not sure what else you are thinking about. For me it relates to the oppositipn. What about you?
by victoria on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:20 pm
TP -correction “Rudd was with 49% ……….not “is”.
I personally don’t “hate” Rudd any more than I hate Abbott. They are two men cut out of the same self-centred mould.
Your comment about Rudd leading Labor at the next election, is, currently, pitiful.
Miracles do happen, but if he should come back from here, regain the leadership and THEN win an election, I am out of the politics thing for good!
However, if he should stay, lose the leadership, go down with Labor (if it happens) and then comes back and rebuilds the party – after all he is young enough – he gets my vote.
Can’t see any of this happening though.
by Tricot on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:20 pm
Poroti
Spot on. It’s all about Rudd, isn’t it?
by muttleymcgee on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:21 pm
Boerwar
He’s also completely useless….the Liberal Party un-dead run rings around him…
by rosemour on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:22 pm
Bligh resigns from State parliament after the election defeat. Runs as Rudd’s replacement in Griffith by-election. How’s that for a bit of speculation.
by It’s Time on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:22 pm
Latham sinking the boot into the press gallery for being suckered into running Rudd’s spin, his gossip and destabilisation campaign.
Why do we have a press gallery?
by confessions on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:22 pm
I’m starting to fall in love with Mark Latham for his treatment of Kenny .
by poroti on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:22 pm
So it looks like a lot of dirty linen is being or about to be aired.
by BK on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:23 pm
WW is reverting to type: “the government has to sell its achievements (!)”
I shan’t repeat what has been said thousands of times here.
by This little black duck on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:23 pm
GG
No prisoners of war? There could be a very effective prisoner exchange program.
What about exile?
Flipper Boy
I’ll have a $500 bet (with proceeds going to charity) that Gillard won’t make be the leader at the next election.
BW
Good luck with that!
by Diogenes on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:24 pm
Too bloody funny for words, guess who just followed me after blocking me eons ago?
by Space Kidette on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:24 pm
Likewise Swan.
by Thomas Paine on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:26 pm
To make morons look good.
by Cuppa on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:26 pm
SK,
Your hubby? Do I win a prize?
by This little black duck on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:27 pm
I think the difference is wr hate what rudd is doing to labor, the pm
And the people will hate him if abbott where to be the product of his hate
For the party that gave him his chance in life.
I personaly think his karma his coming for his under mining that party..
Tony windor feels ( knows) he want win bet he knows the true numbers
by my say on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:27 pm
Victoria – I was thinking leaks. We’ll have to wait & see.
by Leroy on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:27 pm
Think of poor frank. What will he do if Kevin wins? Or for that matter all the gillard fan club.
by rummel on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:27 pm
Amazing, Pollbludgers now think Latham is a figure of authority and believability again.
Meanwhile, those on this site who said for the past week that Mr Rudd should resign now squeal like pigs because he did just that.
Gillard may well have the winning number in caucus, but she only has losing ones in the electorate. Bring on the election.
by Fargo61 on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:29 pm
Latham says of Gillard’s strategy that she will have 7 or 8 waiverers, and she’ll be on the phone to them now locking in their support. Not having a press conference, which is what the media want, but is irrelevent at this point.
Huge advantage to the PM.
by confessions on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:30 pm
Swannie’s words were good but they should have been kept for the Caucus on Monday not brought out tonight. It makes things worse. They should all just shut up or is that unwise when Rudd will probably be talking to the journos as soon as he gets back.
How about the cheek of Rudd saying he give a talk to the Nation or something similar. Isn’t he now just a humble backbencher?
Latham looks good in comparison.
by BH on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:31 pm
How come they are all turning on rudd , latham ritcho
/
Is if like when u go to a great school u say u did not like it
But woe be tide any one else say so u rip i to them
I have seen a lot of that
But intetesting isnt it even chanel 7 ?..
by my say on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:31 pm
CTar1
We share a yacht in 1 degree 15 which is on Sentosa. The best mobility is to go sailing in Singapore Strait. V exciting.
by Boerwar on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:33 pm
I must say it’s pretty funny watching the same people on this blog calling for Gillard to kick Rudd out of the cabinet chucking a tizz when Rudd quits on his own accord.
by p m z on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:37 pm
I dream of something like this, My Say!
by Cuppa on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:37 pm
I wonder what the “nuclear option” is?
by madcyril on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:37 pm
It is almost funny, in a way. Apparently its not enough for Gillard to have to work against the Coalition, big media and assorted vested interests, she has to work against the deposed king Kevin Rudd. Damn hard job. Given that this will all make winning the next election even harder, I hope her approach from here is just to try and get as much as she can before the election next year. Get more runs on the board even if she winds up only being a one-term PM.
by rishane on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:37 pm
I am just watching i ha d not seen him till now self serving ego
Thanking his team i bet they have the champagne out
by my say on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:39 pm
I disagree: it is a case of “the more the merrier” and “the sooner the better” to sink the boot, for all (MP pollies) to see and cogitate.
by This little black duck on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:40 pm
So Rudd has been telling media editors that he would scrap the media enquiry! Latham isn’t scared to tell us what’s been happening. Chris Kenny looked a bit of a dill with that comment.
by BH on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:40 pm
I’m thinking of coming out of retirement and doing ‘Gimme the job or I’ll wreck the joint.’
by Boerwar on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:40 pm
Any chance of a new thread? And a new gerbil to power Crikey’s server?
This place will be in meltdown for a few days and bad service is a poor advertisement for Crikey at a time when it could get good exposure.
by Diogenes on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:41 pm
Now to the cooking show
Why is vanstone in it oh just turned thst off to
by my say on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:41 pm
Boerwar,
Mind the pirates!
by This little black duck on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:42 pm
Interesting! Any more details to what was said? I mean, it makes sense that Rudd would have to be pushing something like that to try and get better coverage.
by rishane on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:42 pm
BH
I suspect Swan does not see any choice. Rudd is playing dirty. It is beyond repair
by victoria on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:42 pm
BH:
Latham’s commentary has been pretty insightful tonight. For once I’m actually enjoying it.
by confessions on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:42 pm
The excision of a tumour.
by This little black duck on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:43 pm
Can’t argue with that, but my hopes aren’t high. Might well put up a new thread at the end of the evening.
by William Bowe on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:44 pm
TP, no one else is saying that 30 will be enough. Looks like wishful thinking on your part. As for the polls, they’ll probably be bad initially, but if Rudd doesn’t challenge now and things settle down they’ll recover, but only if Rudd stops making mischief. Or do you want him to keep up the dummy spit from the back bench and keep doing damage until he gets his way?
by triton on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:44 pm
my say,
What did you think of Ms Crabb’s show, what you saw of it?
by This little black duck on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:45 pm
Cuppa
U and me both
It may also make some people not so big headed.
Youth have a lot to learn
Manners maketh the man
by my say on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:45 pm
MAD
by rummel on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:45 pm
Mr Crean has had the decency to state in public what he thinks. Mr Rudd and his spear carriers have been doing sleazoid white ant for 18 months. For Mr Rudd to claim that he doesn’t want to gain the leadersp wtte ,by stealth must rank as the Big Lie of this leadership challenge.
by Boerwar on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:46 pm
Kevin channels Brunhilde?
by This little black duck on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:46 pm
rummel
You may be on to something there
by madcyril on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:46 pm
Rudd should’ve come back to Australia and announced it to his PM instead of grandstanding in a midnight press conference in the US.
Crean summed him up perfectly: prima donna.
by confessions on Feb 22, 2012 at 9:47 pm