Nielsen: 53-47 to Coalition (among other things)
We now have a veritable polling bonanza courtesy of Galaxy, Nielsen and Newspoll. The Newspoll results however arise from The Australian having rushed into print with just the polling from one night of surveying, accounting for only 346 respondents. Nielsen was conducted on Wednesday and Thursday from a sample of 1200, Galaxy on Thursday and Friday from a sample of 1020.
Both Nielsen and Galaxy suggest the last week’s turmoil have had essentially no impact on voting intention. Nielsen has two-party preferred at 53-47, unchanged from its poll of February 2-4, with primary votes of 34 per cent for Labor (up one), 44 per cent for the Coalition (down one) and 12 per cent for the Greens (down one). Full results, including state breakdowns, are available courtesy of GhostWhoVotes. Galaxy has the Coalition two-party preferred lead at 54-46, unchanged on their previous poll of four weeks ago, from primary votes of 34 per cent for Labor (unchanged), 47 per cent for the Coalition (down one) and 12 per cent for the Greens (unchanged). Interestingly, a question on voting intention if Kevin Rudd were Labor leader produces far less dramatic results than when Nielsen conducted a similar exercise last September: the Coalition lead would narrow to 51-49, a three-point improvement in Labor’s position rather than the 10-point improvement in Nielsen.
Nielsen, Newspoll and Galaxy all produce similar results for preferred Labor leader: Nielsen has it at 58-34 in Rudd’s favour (it was 57-35 at the poll a fortnight ago), Galaxy has it at 52-26 (52-30 a month ago) and Newspoll has it at 53-30 (tables from Newspoll here). Breakdows by party support from Galaxy and Newspoll point to a dramatic swing in favour of Rudd among Labor supporters: in Galaxy’s case from 49-48 in Gillard’s favour a month ago to 53-39 in Rudd’s favour now, while Newspoll has Rudd’s lead at 58-41. That there is little shift among all voters presumably suggests a corresponding drop in support for Rudd among Coalition supporters. Newspoll has Gillard losing ground against Tony Abbott, who now leads her 43-34 compared with 40-37 a fortnight ago, and Rudd leading Abbott 48-40 – although the incomplete state of this poll means this should obviously be treated with caution (full results from it can be viewed here).
The Galaxy poll also finds that 57 per cent believe the independents should force an early election if Rudd becomes leader, but it is not clear how many would prefer that in any case. Full tables from Galaxy here.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
gusface,
I’m sure you know the joke about the bloke who asked for equipment like the horse over there.
by This little black duck on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:23 am
ACTUALLY IT WAS A CHOICE OF THREE DICKHEADS
decisions, decisions
by gusface on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:23 am
AND GREENTARD!
by ShowsOn on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:24 am
More from Sean’s twitter:
by rishane on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:24 am
SCORPS
ron sends me an email each day
mostly he sayS to ignore the shit scorpio claims
WHO TO BELIEVE?
by gusface on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:25 am
regardless of what happened on the 23rd of August 2010.
There is no excuse for sabataging your parties election campaign
by Mick Collins on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:25 am
Jules has been slipping all week. I started with some respect/tolerance begrudgingly perhaps which has been case for last 12 months – but day by day her imperious boastful hyercritical re-writing of history has been too much. if rudd fails monday where will i park my vote? Maxine McKew (whom one has no reason to doubt) gives the coup de grace, confirms triply what everyone knows, that gillard was a major cause for any government failure (if there was that much problem), that she manipulated along with arbib for six months before. ps i simply dont think labor lost 5% because of leaks… not at all. I think jules conducted a shambles of a campaign, and was easy picking by opposition.
by geoffrey on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:25 am
I feel sick.
by ShowsOn on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:26 am
Gus
Noone can fake Ron. He is inimitable.
by Diogenes on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:26 am
SHOWS
but i thought u was all three?
by gusface on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:26 am
pretty quick…
by Thomas Paine on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:28 am
dio
between u and me
ron is the orginal 6.5 stars
its from his bunker, that all commands flow
scorps is just trolling
by gusface on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:29 am
quick
put ur head between ur kness, and kiss ur arse goodbye
SOP for all
by gusface on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:30 am
gusface,
Yeah. I passed on your greetings along with the others. Cut & paste. He’ll probably want to know in tomorrow’s e-mail why you were so naughty tonight.
You’re lucky getting one a day. I get one about every six months. I think he’s pretty busy with other things these days.
by scorpio on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:30 am
Actually numerous tweets out there now…
but I wont pollute the blog as the other person by posting them all… but they look like this..
by Thomas Paine on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:31 am
No, I’m sick.
by ShowsOn on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:31 am
Tuchus Paine, you certainly are from another multi-verse.
You’re not Fox Mulders long lost sister, by any chance ?
by Mick Collins on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:31 am
Hmm. Seems my thought bubble last night is shared by others. Post 623 last night:
*Thought bubble alert*
I think that Gillard’s carbon tax was a plot to damage the environmental movement, particularly as we now know that she advised Rudd to drop the CPRS. I think the carbon tax was against her own gut instinct, but some must have convinced her to go back on her word for whatever reason. I don’t think the right factions wanted to see Gillard succeed. They know the greentard types would gladly choose their immediate comforts over future concerns, but they convinced her to hit them anyway, knowing that the lie would probably put off the whole issue for a generation, as well as any left leaning leaders of the party. Right wing ALP forever was the great hope with no unpopular major environmental policies.
*End thought bubble*
Yeah bring back Frankie – he’s not a good sport but he is good sport!
by Radguy on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:32 am
What does he do?
by ShowsOn on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:32 am
Sybil.
by This little black duck on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:32 am
shows
should i call an ambulance- or the magic bus?
decisions, decisions
by gusface on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:33 am
Sends e-mails to scorpio.
by This little black duck on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:33 am
I have a stomach ache.
by ShowsOn on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:34 am
Diogenes,
My Say gives it a good go though!
I couldn’t do it drunk with a broken keyboard!
by scorpio on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:34 am
from my reading
he is EP of teh oxford dictionary
linguistics is a daily strruggle
by gusface on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:35 am
eat grass
by Mick Collins on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:35 am
My right foot hurts.
by ShowsOn on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:35 am
Dio – definitely ronspeak
by Radguy on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:36 am
From the McKew article posted by bemused:
Pretty simple Maxine. With the Libs having elected (just) a leader firmly opposed to an ETS there was no way it was getting through that parliament. Then when there was a parliament it could get through, it was done.
by imacca on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:36 am
damn u showsy
i said one E every 5 hours,not 5 E’s every hour
ps, stay away from the goat
by gusface on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:36 am
I don’t need your stupid suggestions Mick Collins.
If you do that again I’ll report you to Squadron Leader Bowe.
by ShowsOn on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:37 am
Your left foot feels left out? Geddit?!
by This little black duck on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:38 am
SACK GILLARD NOW AND BRING BACK RUDD AND RON!
by ShowsOn on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:38 am
I told u not watch “my left foot” whilst off ur face
ur right foot is demanding equal time
by gusface on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:38 am
sit on your left one instead
by Mick Collins on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:38 am
ShowsOn,
I go no idea. This is the closest I can go.
Yeah, two so far this year., the latest at 528pm this afternoon.
by scorpio on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:38 am
Night all!
by scorpio on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:39 am
well dont make stupid statements
by Mick Collins on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:40 am
What the hell is that? JG should go all Socrates about what?
by This little black duck on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:40 am
Can you actually read?
It was very clear from the article that Gillard worked extremely hard to have the ETS shelved, and threatened the govt as well. Rudd have then done so got himself knifed by her because of it.
Gillard’s citizen’s assembly also just rubbish and consistent with her opinion to not have an ETS until Abbott wanted one. lol
So what do we call julia…
by Thomas Paine on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:40 am
Ummm
SQLDR bowe was demoted
he is now spud peeler BOWE
life is hard at the frontline
by gusface on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:41 am
Piss off, I’m not your bitch.
by ShowsOn on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:41 am
night
in the knowledge that gillard was a true traitor.
can undertand Rudd being extremely pissed with her.
by Thomas Paine on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:42 am
ohh touchy
by Mick Collins on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:42 am
Re Ron
________
Well everyone to his tastes as the French say…but I found Ron’s material pretty tedious. and generally unreadable,with his lack of syntax,his sentence structure and his weird spelling. Lots of students write stuff that’s just as bad, and not a bit profound either.
Perhaps I’ve had a long professional experience of students who could neither spell nor write coherently ,and find it less than charming and certainly not a bit amusing .
In the past I tended to ignore Ron,as I have generally ignored Frank for different reasons.
However tedious he was, Frank could compose a basic statement.
By the way what’s happened to Frank ?
Did I miss something ?
by deblonay on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:42 am
Does anyone else find it disturbing that the first advert on the Menzies House Homepage is FilipinoCupid.com??
I mean, that rate above Stop Gillards Carbon Tax and SupportBolt.com??
by imacca on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:43 am
Well whatever.
I’m still his wing man.
by ShowsOn on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:43 am
when u put on the red wig, U IZ MY BITCH
by gusface on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:43 am
We actually can and we actually can scroll as well.
No end of talent on PB.
BTW, finger on the down key is much easier than scroll-by-mouse.
by This little black duck on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:43 am
Don’t try your luck else you’ll be banned forever.
by ShowsOn on Feb 26, 2012 at 1:44 am