Facebook Google Menu Linkedin lock Pinterest Search Twitter

Advertisement

Gillard 71, Rudd 31

Phillip Coorey of the Sydney Morning Herald reportedly reports that Julia Gillard's winning margin over Kevin Rudd in this morning's Labor leadership vote has been 73-29, coming in at t

User login status :

Share

Phillip Coorey of the Sydney Morning Herald reportedly reports that Julia Gillard’s winning margin over Kevin Rudd in this morning’s Labor leadership vote has been 73-29, coming in at the higher end of market expectations.

UPDATE: The official announcement has actually been that the margin was 71-31. Headline amended. Apologies that comments are currently off, which has been necessary to manage Crikey’s notoriously shaky bandwidth.

UPDATE 2: Ongoing apologies for the offness of the comments. Essential Research has come in at 56-44, up from 55-45 last week and 54-46 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is down a point to 32 per cent and the Coalition’s is up one to 49 per cent, with the Greens steady on 11 per cent. Further questions have 39 per cent blaming Julia Gillard for Labor’s problems against 18 per cent for Kevin Rudd, 23 per cent for others in the party and 10 per cent for the media. Reactions to the Gonski report are typically social democratic, with 61 per cent preferring more education funding to a return to a budget surplus and 68 per cent supporting the report’s recommendations as described against 13 per cent opposed.

William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.

Get a free trial to post comments
More from William Bowe

Advertisement

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

4059 comments

4,059 thoughts on “Gillard 71, Rudd 31

  1. Patrick Bateman

    So what does the party do with him now? How can they control him and stop any further white-anting and destabilisation?

  2. Dan Gulberry

    William
    [coming in at the higher end of market expectations. ]
    At the higher end for whom? Kev or Jules?

  3. confessions

    Further Rudd destabilisation would shift more votes away from him.

    Rudd is not coming back.

  4. gusface

    well

    now

    sadly, i think this isnt the end of it

  5. MsAdventure

    Nobody abstained despite speculation

  6. kakuru

    If nothing else, this should extirpate the meme that Rudd was ‘knifed’ by Gillard. This was a contest, fair and square.

  7. DavidWH

    It’s still pretty comprehensive.

  8. confessions

    Latham points to previous two-strike challengers (Fraser, Keating, Beazely) and notes the symmetry in that they all increased their margins by around a dozen 2nd time around. Rudd would need to pick up 23 in a 2nd challenge, which Latham says is in la-la land.

  9. ltep

    How does this compare with the margin of victory of previous leadership ballots?