Crikey



Gillard 71, Rudd 31

Phillip Coorey of the Sydney Morning Herald reportedly reports that Julia Gillard’s winning margin over Kevin Rudd in this morning’s Labor leadership vote has been 73-29, coming in at the higher end of market expectations.

UPDATE: The official announcement has actually been that the margin was 71-31. Headline amended. Apologies that comments are currently off, which has been necessary to manage Crikey’s notoriously shaky bandwidth.

UPDATE 2: Ongoing apologies for the offness of the comments. Essential Research has come in at 56-44, up from 55-45 last week and 54-46 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is down a point to 32 per cent and the Coalition’s is up one to 49 per cent, with the Greens steady on 11 per cent. Further questions have 39 per cent blaming Julia Gillard for Labor’s problems against 18 per cent for Kevin Rudd, 23 per cent for others in the party and 10 per cent for the media. Reactions to the Gonski report are typically social democratic, with 61 per cent preferring more education funding to a return to a budget surplus and 68 per cent supporting the report’s recommendations as described against 13 per cent opposed.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-2013

4059 Responses

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  1. so the GAP (great australian public) is going to swallow this pill – they didn’t in 2010, why should they suddenly change spots because crean, roxon and gillard tighten the grip. what, the propaganda that rudd will disappear – even if does nothing to undermine or challenge. the head teacher and prefects speaks, but noone really listens. the country is not a party room. rudd will be enlisted because of polls – let me put it another way – because of polls rudd will be enlisted. the public doesn’t know of any third candidate. today was the highwater mark for julie – the tide recedes. i hate polls, but will suffers their fateful dialectic for the rest of the year until the great australian labor party learns its lesson. yes they will defeat abbot but at a price.

    by geoffrey on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:39 pm

  2. There is a marked difference to JG visiting disaster areas and TA. JG connects with people and seems to give them comfort and respect

    26% connection.

    I doubt any one would take any real comfort from any politician turning up to a disaster.

    by rummel on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:39 pm

  3. Kevin needs to sit it out on the backbench and really contemplate what he has lost before he is ever offered anything, go for the tough love style, or he will never learn.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:40 pm

  4. rad

    +1

    kids thought it cool

    bit different to hestons efforts

    but thought provoking nonetheless

    by gusface on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:40 pm

  5. What is a Commissioner doing dining and wining journalists?

    by This little black duck on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:41 pm

  6. Quite a good line, but the real gag was that it came from Kernot’s mouth.

    Kernot’s doughiness was up for all to see today.

    by Radguy on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:43 pm

  7. Re Arbid and Menzies House
    ________________
    For some days the fascists on Bernardi’s ” Menzies House” have been saying that a federal minster would soon resign in a sex scandal???
    very curious indeed …………………..

    by deblonay on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:45 pm

  8. Gus – I loved it! Hanging out for a sequel!

    Much better plot arrangement than the old ones. I have seen them all.

    And the special effects were superb.

    by Radguy on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:45 pm

  9. Kevin needs to sit it out on the backbench and really contemplate what he has lost before he is ever offered anything, go for the tough love style, or he will never learn.

    Seriously how much do you hate labor? Clearly a lot more than Rudd does.

    by WeWantPaul on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:45 pm

  10. Cheryl was fine till she met Biggles.

    by This little black duck on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:45 pm

  11. Brian is not holding back.

    by This little black duck on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:47 pm

  12. rad

    there are few refs to the original

    sorta hidden, but there

    loved the ending

    :evil:

    by gusface on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:47 pm

  13. In fact, Mr Jay seems quite surprised.

    by This little black duck on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:47 pm

  14. the public doesn’t know of any third candidate

    Geoffrey, and what do you expect the indies to do if they put up a third candidate?

    by Radguy on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:47 pm

  15. Nigella did an excellent Duck L’Orange

    Is it on video? Please?

    by muttleymcgee on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:48 pm

  16. We don’t know why Mr Arbib decided to resign. But there are several things that we can say that are likely to be true.

    The first is that the decision to resign from the Senate was his.

    The story that he was negotiated away to get Mr Rudd to agree to go to the backbench simply does not make sense.

    It is unlikely that Ms Gillard would have put the hard word on him before the vote. There was hardly enough time between the vote and his announcement for her to have informed him that she was dropping him from the ministry.

    IMHO,the

    by Boerwar on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:48 pm

  17. ducky

    ahem

    biggles was fine till he met cheryl

    by gusface on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:48 pm

  18. Think I might take a lead from France on this day in 1940. Things seemed to work out okay for them.

    WW2 Tweets from 1940‏@RealTimeWWII

    Censorship of political discussion in French press to be lifted tonight, on experimental basis- political writers "must moderate themselves"

    by William Bowe on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:48 pm

  19. muttleymcgee,

    ShowsOn ref’ed it last page.

    by This little black duck on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:49 pm

  20. Pass me that banana. All aboard the train wreck stopping all stations to oblivion. Clag is not very strong..

    by centaur009 on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:50 pm

  21. btw, I haven’t had the pleasure of reading all of today’s thread, so I don’t know who’s come to their senses.

    by Radguy on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:51 pm

  22. Arbib getting the chop might have been the price for a key group of undecideds to come across to Gillard.

    by lefty e on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:51 pm

  23. gusface,

    I suspect Gareth always was and always will be Gareth.

    by This little black duck on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:51 pm

  24. bilbo

    u mean the entente cordiale?

    by gusface on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:52 pm

  25. Keep talkin BW

    by Radguy on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:52 pm

  26. L . Curtis on $150,000 and Crabby on $250,000 ???????????????? Labor needs to trim the Fat in the abc .

    by Lord Barry Bonkton on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:52 pm

  27. The most reasonable explanation is actually the one he gave. I imagine that his gesture will bear fruit either directly, by way of the sort of plum that Mr Rudd gave to Coalition retorted, or by way of the sort of employment that Mr Bitar currently enjoys.

    by Boerwar on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:52 pm

  28. ducky

    gareth gareth is well gareth gareth

    a intellectual colossus

    cheryl was well a um intellectual …………………..

    by gusface on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:54 pm

  29. Censorship of political discussion in French press to be lifted tonight

    So, “censorship of political discussion on PB to be lifted tonight”?

    Goody! It’ll make a change from cricket, food, music …

    by This little black duck on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:54 pm

  30. Why did Arbib really go?

    ‘Cos he leaked to the Yanks and gave JG the sh!ts.

    I’m firming up the leak to the Yanks being the real issue with Arbib.

    It’s impossible to come down so harshly on Kevin Rudd’s leaking – or future leaking – without being hypocritical for not sanctioning Mark Arbib. He’s a proven leaker, he had to go.

    This isn’t about being a powerbroker – the ALP (and the LNP) remain full of those. It’s not about being a ‘faceless man’ – ditto.

    Anyway, Mark Arbib resigned with dignity – good on him.

    by Jackol on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:55 pm

  31. Tell me straight BW – do you expect Bollard to be able to win the next election?

    by Radguy on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:55 pm

  32. I’m firming up the leak to the Yanks being the real issue with Arbib.

    Its definitely a contender. What a grub.

    by lefty e on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:56 pm

  33. Maybe, just maybe, Grattan in the near future will find something else to talk about other than the bloody Labor leadership.

    by Gary on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:57 pm

  34. jackol

    the aprty will keep arbib close to the bossom

    he aint in siberia

    just on a vacation

    ;)

    by gusface on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:58 pm

  35. Maybe, just maybe, Grattan in the near future will find something else to talk about other than the bloody Labor leadership.

    I doubt it.

    by lefty e on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:58 pm

  36. Rupert Murdoch’s Sun on Sunday is set to report sales of more than 3m copies on its launch weekend

    h­ttp://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2012/feb/27/leveson-sue-akers-lord-prescott-live

    by This little black duck on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:59 pm

  37. So all leaking is bad Jackol?

    by Radguy on Feb 27, 2012 at 11:59 pm

  38. Bikbo 867
    re relaxation of Franch wartime censorship Feb 1940
    _____________________
    Actually I think you’re wrong when you say that things seemed to work out Okay for the French
    …because they certainly didn’t,,,
    4 months later France fell to the Nazis in mid-June!!!

    by deblonay on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:00 am

  39. Its definitely a contender. What a grub.

    what a dickhead to say he is a grub

    lefty why dont u just come clean

    u is a righty

    by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:00 am

  40. BTW, I aim not to comment on Mr Rudd here on in, unless something new crops up. He has paid a very heavy personal price for his miscalculation, etc, etc. It is an awfully long way from the world stage to the backbench of the HOR. He is entitled to a new start. If he behaves appropriately, then he, like the rest of us when we fall from grace, is entitled to redemption.

    by Boerwar on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:00 am

  41. Tell me straight BW – do you expect Bollard to be able to win the next election?

    Is there a politician somewhere in the world named Bollard contesting an election?

    by Gary on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:01 am

  42. Maybe, just maybe, Grattan in the near future will find something else to talk about other than the bloody Labor leadership.

    She isn’t the only one of her colleagues who needs to find a new tune.

    Hartcher has been completely discredited in all this. I’m surprised he can find the gumption to make public appearances as he did today.

    by confessions on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:01 am

  43. Leaking to a foreign power gus? Its well out of order.

    by lefty e on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:01 am

  44. deb

    U.DONT.GET.SATIRE

    :(

    by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:01 am

  45. just on a vacation

    I doubt that.

    by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:01 am

  46. My advice to Arbib: Don’t the door hit you on the way out! :)

    by Thornleigh Labor Man on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:01 am

  47. lefty

    wtf

    arbib has left teh stage

    he has said mea culpa

    u seem more like the grub

    by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:03 am

  48. Brian is dropping the Met in it on the de Menezes shooting.

    by This little black duck on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:03 am

  49. Is there a politician somewhere in the world named Bollard contesting an election?

    No, I don’t think Bollard will face any more elections.

    by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:03 am

  50. Time for the salmon sandwiches and Chardonnay.

    by This little black duck on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:04 am

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