Gillard 71, Rudd 31
Phillip Coorey of the Sydney Morning Herald reportedly reports that Julia Gillard’s winning margin over Kevin Rudd in this morning’s Labor leadership vote has been 73-29, coming in at the higher end of market expectations.
UPDATE: The official announcement has actually been that the margin was 71-31. Headline amended. Apologies that comments are currently off, which has been necessary to manage Crikey’s notoriously shaky bandwidth.
UPDATE 2: Ongoing apologies for the offness of the comments. Essential Research has come in at 56-44, up from 55-45 last week and 54-46 the week before. Labor’s primary vote is down a point to 32 per cent and the Coalition’s is up one to 49 per cent, with the Greens steady on 11 per cent. Further questions have 39 per cent blaming Julia Gillard for Labor’s problems against 18 per cent for Kevin Rudd, 23 per cent for others in the party and 10 per cent for the media. Reactions to the Gonski report are typically social democratic, with 61 per cent preferring more education funding to a return to a budget surplus and 68 per cent supporting the report’s recommendations as described against 13 per cent opposed.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Cheers Gus. If you’re defending Arbib at this point I’d suggest youre out of sync with our recently confirmed PM.
by lefty e on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:04 am
I wouldn’t worry about Rudd – he’s stinking rich, his wife is even more stinking rich, his son is getting married, his daughter is having a baby – he’ll find plenty to occupy himself with in the coming months.
And I take him at his word – he won’t challenge her again, he’ll be a constructive backbencher.
Bill Shorten on the other hand – he’s got definite ambitions, and if Julia slips up again before the next election………..;)
by Thornleigh Labor Man on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:05 am
At least the trains ran on time, Deblonay.
by William Bowe on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:05 am
rad
believe or not
arbib is a phenomenal organiser
post wiki he will come in handy
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:05 am
He’s a realist:
by This little black duck on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:05 am
He needs to show some support for the party which enables him to draw a salary for a start.
Let the Rudd era be a lesson to Labor never to turn its back on its collectivist roots in favour of the power of the individual. The Rudd era needs to be ended, and he needs to back up his words in his presser today with the substance of action.
Only time will determine whether Rudd has truly accepted the Caucus vote.
by confessions on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:06 am
Rosemour , your key board is playing up like Greentards/ ? You also sound unhinged like him too /?
by Lord Barry Bonkton on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:07 am
Edith Piaf made sure of that
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:07 am
R
I don’t think it is evens. but the 2PP trend is heading in the right direction. Labor has made most of the electorally difficult decisions. Mr Abbott will find it a bit more difficult without his inside runner.
The Coalition is going to have to come clean on it’s policy coatings. It will not be pretty. As the Coalition 2PP tide recedes, the tensions inside the Liberal Party will increase. It will be their turn to do DISUNITY IS DEATH. All in all, I am far more optimistic today than I was this time a month ago.
by Boerwar on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:08 am
The jury is still out on Gillard – she’s got the clear air she and her supporters wanted, can she now deliver?
by Thornleigh Labor Man on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:08 am
I’m warming to Paddick. If he is lying he is telling a very strange story.
by This little black duck on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:08 am
lord barry
gtard is shows ahem doppelganger
i dubt shows shares it around
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:09 am
Confessions: the factions wield too much power.
Sorry, but I’m not enamoured of Labor’s current structure.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:09 am
TLM, I thought you would have picked up on this earlier – Windsor’s words I will not support an Abbott government.
Do you understand now why the opposition will call a spill at their leisure?
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:10 am
His loyalty is not to the Australian people. He can suffer in his jocks.
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:11 am
b
btw
alonga time ago umentioned u couldnt even make it as corporal 2nd class
upon consultation with the 6.5 stars executive (well all 1 of us)
I can proudly announce u are the latest 6.5 stars generals
ON 2 Conditions
1. dont tell finns
2. see 1
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:12 am
BW, you are trippin.
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:12 am
Anyway, I take shuffling Arbib out as a sign of good faith from Gillard, and a break with the bad stuff from 2010.
Wise move. I was impressed. I agree he took it on the chin well in the presser. But leaking internal matters to foreign intel is pretty low in my book. Im yet to hear a defence of these actions.
by lefty e on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:13 am
All that is left for her to deliver is her resignation. She is gawn. 26% popularity is unrecoverable, particularly in these circumstances.
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:13 am
rad
ok
I will play
who is arbibs ‘loyalty’ to?
NB he is effectively now a umble citizen
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:13 am
and u never will
unless u can claim some uber details re our alliance with the yanks
put a cork in it
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:15 am
Radguy: I’m as sceptical as you, I remain to be convinced that Julia’s got the right stuff. She’s not my pick, but I’ve been out of step with Labor since 2010.
Perhaps having defeated Rudd comprehensively will give her the confidence to do better in her leadership?
by Thornleigh Labor Man on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:16 am
Expect a lot more indies in parl if she doesn’t resign.
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:16 am
rad
damn u can spin
btw
what is ur basis for stasis re gillards approval
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:17 am
Everyone’s entitled to their view, Gus.
Chill it.
by lefty e on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:17 am
R
I am not a betting man, but I bet the odds on a return of the Labor Government are longer than they should be.
by Boerwar on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:18 am
oh no
from the macabre to the bizzare
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:18 am
TLM – What does your head and heart say?
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:19 am
They are exactly where they should be, unless we backtrack all the way back to 2010.
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:20 am
true
but not their facts
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:20 am
My head tells me that Abbott will win the next election, probably narrowly, but he’ll still win.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:21 am
Hartcher is still heartbroken, good times: http://www.smh.com.au/national/blood-and-spittle-on-pub-floor-to-little-avail-20120227-1tyye.html
by rishane on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:21 am
You really only get one chance with Aussies. That is why Turnbull will not be opposition leader.
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:21 am
Ok here’s fact: Our formal intel sharing arrangements do not include senators from NSW
by lefty e on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:21 am
Maybe, but this is only if ALP is silly enough not to put Rudd up.
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:22 am
We like yanks, but not their commercial interests in our politics.
Now all – think of Anna Bligh and Queensland.
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:23 am
We can agree on one thing: Anna Bligh is screwed.
by Thornleigh Labor Man on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:24 am
Did you know that when Arbib first rose to prominence in 2005, he was introduced by the Australian newspaper in a bio piece headlined “The Right’s friendly new face”?
by ___cog___ on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:25 am
LEFTY
bzzt
wrong
as wiki showed, intel assets are drawn from all walks of life
Do U srsly think arbib is some sorta 007
sheesh
btw, glad the yanks are talking to lab peeps rather than fib peeps
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:25 am
The Guardian’s summary of this morning’s Leveson:
Pretty serious stuff.
Happy for Ms Church
No summary of Paddick’s appearance so far.
by This little black duck on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:25 am
b
ur post disappeared
u truly iz a 6.5
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:27 am
Come on Gus, you are smarter than this.
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:28 am
Been tied up most of the day but this occasion has been one of those where the lead up was a lot more exciting than the climax. PB going off line just at the critical moment just added to the days events.
by DavidWH on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:28 am
Quality journalism from Mr Hatchet:
by This little black duck on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:28 am
Yeah a constructive backbencher … *rolls eyes* he’ll just be resting lots for the summons to return to lead, and lots more 24.7 Rudd nights where he checks the short lists of graduate applications to the PS because he is a micro manager.
by WeWantPaul on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:28 am
DavidWH,
New server(s) coming!
by This little black duck on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:29 am
rad
if only u were
by gusface on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:29 am
Anna Bligh will be less screwed if we get a resignation.
Trust the indies, they like Rudd and the fibs haven’t got a strategy at the moment.
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:30 am
Hope Crikey is doing mirror servers for their critical applications, like PB.
by This little black duck on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:30 am
Gus, victory to the ALP is not assured. I take no comfort in this position.
Just happy that common sense is sssslllooowwwlllyy coming back.
by Radguy on Feb 28, 2012 at 12:31 am