Crikey



Morgan face-to-face: 52-48 to Coalition

Last weekend’s Morgan face-to-face survey echoed other polls conducted at the time in showing little change on earlier polling despite Labor’s leadership turmoil, though as always it failed to echo other polls in having Labor’s primary vote several points higher. In this case Labor’s primary vote was up half a point on the previous week to 37.5 per cent, with the Coalition also up a point to 42.5 per cent and the Greens down 3.5 per cent from an anomalous 14.5 per cent last time. As usual with Morgan (though not Nielsen), there was a substantial difference between the two-party preferred results as derived by respondent allocation (52-48 to the Coalition) and using preference flows from the previous election (50-50).

NOTE: Due to server upgrades which will hopefully put an end to Crikey’s notorious technical gremlins, comments will be closed through the entirety of Sunday morning (i.e. about midnight to about noon).

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-2013

2750 Responses

Comments page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 |
  1. You know they’re worried when talk turns to Bilson or Turnbull as the saviour.

    Just a few days ago (was it a couple, even?), we had talk of any **possble** boost in the polls for Labor being likely temporary and most likely due to sympathy for Rudd. Ha ha.

    by Super on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:32 pm

  2. Is Sheridan a relative, William?

    I think it is apparent how much the gillard supporters have turned into extremists by the incredible sensitivity to anything even remotely not in support of gillard 100% to extent to even attacking the moderator.

    One wonders how the place would develop if there were nobody offering counter views to their own.

    by Thomas Paine on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:33 pm

  3. glen

    geert is a commie compared to corey

    by gusface on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:33 pm

  4. I wonder whose idea it was?

    Come on Pain Engine, dont be so coy. Let me do it for you: It was Kevin Rudd’s idea. See easy.

    by The Finnigans on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:33 pm

  5. Mr Abetz is good at the nitty gritty of Senate stuff and should not be underestimated, IMHO.

    His questioning techniques at estimates are pesky and he usually runs the lines pretty well.

    by Boerwar on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:33 pm

  6. He’s the Geert Wilders of Australian politics.

    Sadly for Australians…

    by confessions on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:35 pm

  7. Apologies to William and the Crikey pointy-heads. It looks like they are managing to carry out server upgrades without causing system mahem.

    by DavidWH on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:35 pm

  8. Super:

    Not sure what you mean, I have been talking about a PM Turnbull for years!

    by Mod Lib on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:36 pm

  9. I think it is apparent how much the gillard supporters have turned into extremists by the incredible sensitivity to anything even remotely not in support of gillard 100% to extent to even attacking the moderator.

    WronG

    Bilbo was just being a dickhead

    by gusface on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:36 pm

  10. Sinodinus could be Minister for Propaganda.

    That’s the job he did for Howard.

    by ShowsOn on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:37 pm

  11. b

    errica bores em to death with his monotonal monosyllabic drivel

    he should be an interrogator

    by gusface on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:38 pm

  12. ShowsOn
    Posted Friday, March 2, 2012 at 11:37 pm | Permalink
    Sinodinus could be Minister for Propaganda.

    That’s the job he did for Howard.

    Well Arbib has gone, but you are talking about the wrong party Shows…

    by Mod Lib on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:38 pm

  13. More good news for Labor:
    http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/mtr_no_more/

    by Thornleigh Labor Man on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:38 pm

  14. Come on Pain Engine, dont be so coy. Let me do it for you: It was Kevin Rudd’s idea. See easy.

    Ahh yes it is all clear to me now. Carr rang Rudd in Washington to get Cheesman to set things going, bring about a challenge and so forth …until Arbib leaves, he is appointed and they can form a joint ticket against the nasty factions to oust the pretender Gillard.

    Rudd and Carr should be on the same side when it comes to Assange I gather.

    Wonder if the media will raise this issue and begin to ask Gillard, Carr and Rudd on opinion on current events in the US.

    This would be rather embarrassing for Carr if he backed down from his Blog post position, and he is now FM so he should be rushing to the UK to demand that Assange isn’t extradited don’t you think?

    Could be some awkward moments for Gillard and Carr on this. And this is pertinent as a decision is due to be handed down.

    by Thomas Paine on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:40 pm

  15. evan

    More good news for Labor:

    u are going to stop posting?

    by gusface on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:41 pm

  16. Wonder if the media will raise this issue and begin to ask Gillard, Carr and Rudd on opinion on current events in the US.\

    US and UK.

    by Thomas Paine on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:41 pm

  17. What’s happened to Bernard Keane? He used to write balanced pieces. Lately he’s been ranting as if he’s working for the Orifice.

    by pritu on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:42 pm

  18. Thomas Paine,
    You are one of those whom when presented with a cake promptly ices it with shyte.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:42 pm

  19. I agree with Mr Puffer.

    by ShowsOn on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:43 pm

  20. Apologies to William and the Crikey pointy-heads. It looks like they are managing to carry out server upgrades without causing system mahem.

    Well, if you are running VNWare and your server is a virtual machine you can use vmotion to dynamically move a vm from one host server to another without missing a beat..
    maybe that’s why …

    by PJK For President on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:43 pm

  21. This would be rather embarrassing for Carr if he backed down from his Blog post position, and he is now FM so he should be rushing to the UK to demand that Assange isn’t extradited don’t you think?

    No

    bob and I have somewhat similar views

    (as u may well rememberr i have defended julian here above any)

    but now we are entering the ‘end game’, the rules have changed

    so far JA is quite sanguine, with reason

    So pain engine

    try another flavour

    by gusface on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:44 pm

  22. Gusface: sorry to disappoint you…………;)

    by Thornleigh Labor Man on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:44 pm

  23. Welp, what a great day in the annuls of Australia’s Government.
    The PM totally pwnd the MSM
    The opposition is now suddenly looking fourth rate, and the cherry on top was Melbournes radio More Talking Rednecks disappeared up its own rectum, faster than you can say Fiberal leadership spill.

    All one has to do know, is to sit back and wait. :monkey: your days of relevance are fading. :lol:

    by Mick Collins on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:44 pm

  24. shows

    puff is a lady

    just saying

    by gusface on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:44 pm

  25. You are one of those whom when presented with a cake promptly ices it with shyte.

    Sandwiches all round.

    by Thomas Paine on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:44 pm

  26. I so hate to see the degeneration of an otherwise sane, sensible man because of an obsessive disorder.

    by Fulvio Sammut on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:45 pm

  27. I agree with Mr Puff Daddy

    by ShowsOn on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:46 pm

  28. shows

    are u taking over from bilbo as the dickhead for tonight

    or are u just claiming it as ur own?

    by gusface on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:48 pm

  29. Brazil leads Latin America in critique of he threats to Iran by US and Israel
    ______________________________________
    Warning that an attack on Iran would constitute a grave war crime by the US and Israel, the Brazilian FM has made it clear his country will lead efforts to prevent war…and said it was like the build-up to the attack on Iraq in 2003

    Whewre will Bob Carr stand on this item??

    by deblonay on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:48 pm

  30. I agree with Mr Puff Daddy

    You seem quite familiar with music stars popular with today’s youth for an 87 year old.

    by Dan Gulberry on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:49 pm

  31. So what is the PB collective’s view about the line of attack that Rudd was arguing for grass roots over head office preselections, only to take a parachute senate seat himself?

    by Mod Lib on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:49 pm

  32. Brazil takes the lead re Iran…and condemns threats to Iran
    ___________________

    http://www.counterpunch.org/2012/03/01/brazil-takes-the-lead-in-trying-to-stop-another-senseless-war/

    by deblonay on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:50 pm

  33. ABC24 Lyndal Curtis interviews Gareth Evans. Good stuff.

    Had to laugh when the tickertape scrolled across the bottom of the screen saying that ” … a man was mauled by a lioness in Sydney today”. That is on top of Chrissie getting mauled by Emma.

    by Super on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:50 pm

  34. Mod Lib
    If you keep disbelieving Julia Gillard, you will end up like the msm and Abbott were at the end of this week.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:51 pm

  35. I so hate to see the degeneration of an otherwise sane, sensible man because of an obsessive disorder.

    Michelle Grattan is a woman, however.

    by confessions on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:51 pm

  36. So what is the PB collective’s view about the line of attack that Rudd was arguing for grass roots over head office preselections, only to take a parachute senate seat himself?

    speaka da inglish?

    by gusface on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:52 pm

  37. speaka da inglish?

    Sorry, meant Carr (see I have already forgotten merged the two in my head!)

    by Mod Lib on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:53 pm

  38. WTF???? After the events of this week Curtis is asking if Rudd can make a comeback.

    They just don’t learn

    by Super on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:53 pm

  39. super

    does abc24 say when they will replay lateline?

    its usually around 12.30 EST

    by gusface on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:53 pm

  40. D

    A former Israeli fighter bomber pilot (and former head of an Israeli intelligence organisation) has written wtte, Mr Obama has to promise Israel that the US will take out Iran’s nuclear installations by an agreed date or Israel will do so before that date, this in the context of Mr Netanyahu’s forthcoming visit to confer with Mr Obama.

    IMHO, arrogance isn’t in it.

    by Boerwar on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:54 pm

  41. gus

    12.15 EST

    9.15 in Paradise.

    by Dan Gulberry on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:54 pm

  42. PJK 1518 I dont think I understood anything in that post.

    Regarding Turnbull lacking the courage to challenge Abbott I doubt it has anything to do with a lack of courage. Given that Turnbull virtually threw away the leadership because he had the courage to stand up for a matter of principle and support a Labor policy I don’t believe it’s a lack of courage preventing him to date. It’s more a matter of timing I suspect.

    Incidently when was the last time federal Liberal put principle before base political motive?

    by DavidWH on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:55 pm

  43. Thanks Dan. There’s your answer, Gus

    by Super on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:56 pm

  44. Will Abbott do a reshuffle?

    Well, he could try Singing in the Rain, with cues from Freddie Astaire.

    As Michelle Grattan does, I am supplying essential advice to the the Right Honorable Leader of the Opposition.

    Because of this individual’s fondness and cosiness with tight-fitting garments, the course is clear: ballet.

    The Nutcracker, Op. 71

    Ms Gillard is in charge of the cracking.

    by Scringler on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:56 pm

  45. PJK 1518 I dont think I understood anything in that post.

    It means its possible to do server upgrades without any disruption to service .. if you have the right gear.

    by PJK For President on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:57 pm

  46. Shows,
    I am a lady dragon, not some weakling male. Male dragons are regarded as far too scatter-brained and emotional to be allowed to post on blogs like PB. Once one posted a mildly affirmative comment about the conservatives, something about Sophie’s lipstick. We have not let them anywhere near a keyboard since. We have to protect the poor little things.

    by Puff, the Magic Dragon. on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:59 pm

  47. dan super

    cheers

    just recharging the helium

    this will be fun

    by gusface on Mar 2, 2012 at 11:59 pm

  48. Thanks PJK I thought that was what you were saying but wasn’t really sure.

    by DavidWH on Mar 3, 2012 at 12:00 am

  49. And some here used to say the PM was a great administrator, but a lousy pollie.

    This week has sorted them out, I expect.

    by smithe on Mar 3, 2012 at 12:01 am

  50. while I’m waiting for the replay (it’s worth it) I get to see Carr grinning at his press conference, and JG looking as relaxed as I’ve seen her for a long time :-)

    by Super on Mar 3, 2012 at 12:02 am

« | »