Crikey



Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition

The latest weekly Essential Research survey shows no change on last week, bar a one point drop in the Greens vote to 10 per cent: the Coalition is on 49 per cent of the primary vote and Labor on 32 per cent, with the Coalition’s two-party lead at 56-44. Essential also found plenty of interesting questions to ask about the Labor leadership. Respondents were asked to evaluate the performance of various actors during the challenge, with Kevin Rudd coming out least badly (33 per cent good, 35 per cent poor), “Labor Party ministers” the worst (10 per cent and 52 per cent), the media also very poorly (14 per cent and 43 per cent), Julia Gillard not well at all (23 per cent and 49 per cent) and Tony Abbott hardly better even if it might be hard to recall what he did exactly (25 per cent and 40 per cent).

Sixty-two per cent of respondents said the leadership challenge was bad for the government and 47 per cent that it has made them less likely to vote Labor (64 per cent among Coalition supporters, obviously including many who wouldn’t vote Labor in a pink fit), against 13 per cent who said it was a good thing and another 13 per cent (or perhaps the same 13 per cent) who they were more likely to vote Labor. A question on Kevin Rudd’s future produces a miraculously even three-way split with 29 per cent saying he should stay in parliament and again challenge for the leadership, 28 per cent saying he should stay in parliament and not challenge for the leadership and 30 per cent saying he should resign from parliament.

Respondents were asked to indicate whether they supported the Australian system of leaders being elected by MPs (36 per cent), American-style presidential primaries (31 per cent) and British-style election by both MPs and party members (11 per cent). Fifty-six per cent believed MPs should be guided by public opinion in leadership contests against 30 per cent by who they believed was the best person. The poll also points to a slight increase in support for an early election since the end of January, up three to 44 per cent with support for a completed term down two to 46 per cent.

We have also had Newspoll publish results from last week’s polling on the most important political issues and the best party to handle them. Such figures are invariably very closely associated with voting intention, and since this was a 53-47 poll result, it finds Labor improving considerably since the question was last asked as part of the poll of October 7-9, which was a 57-43 result. Labor has recovered big leads on its traditional strong suits of health, education, industrial relations and climate change, and closed the gap on the economy, interest rates and national security. Full tables from GhostWhoVotes.

Categories: Federal Politics 2010-

2780 Responses

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  1. The owner of a brood mare wants to make sure it’s being serviced by the right stallion :cool:

    by Centre on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:41 pm

  2. shellbell

    I don’t understand this “Court of Appeal” thing. Where does the Court of Appeal fit in with the different courts?

    I seem to recall that legislation with constitutional issues went from the Supreme Court of the state to the High Court.

    by Diogenes on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:41 pm

  3. “This is the only occasion I remember.” Tugs left ear. Not good.

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:41 pm

  4. With AI the blood-lines would become more concentrated and diversity would be affected.

    Hmmmm

    link(s)

    by gusface on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:42 pm

  5. Crabbe is a dish best served as leftovers.

    by Bushfire Bill on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:43 pm

  6. His son was doing work experience with The Sun newspaper. Hmm.

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:43 pm

  7. BB,

    How would you serve Ms Wong?

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:44 pm

  8. Perhaps the difference however, is that those two {Alan Bolt and Andrew Jones} are not conservatives, but reactionaries?

    The difference is just a matter of degree. The truism applies to Australia’s wretched media:

    The further to the right the commentator, the bigger their microphone

    by Cuppa on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:44 pm

  9. Useless information snippet number 497. Before becoming a business titan Robert Holmes à Court was on a career path to becoming a Vet in New Zealand.

    wasnt the holmes a court at one stage the biggest individual landholder and biggest cattleherd owner in both oz and nz?

    by gusface on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:45 pm

  10. Their ABC had to screen three episodes of the so-called Kitchen Cabinet before they thought it necessary to have a Labor guest on.

    by Cuppa on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:46 pm

  11. Seems to have known a number of editors “reasonably well.” Hmm.

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:46 pm

  12. Diogenes

    Courts of Appeal can address consitutional issues probably more so in respect of State acts which is the subject matter here.

    There is no way the HC would have been able to entertain Katter’s application in time in any event. It is hearing Twiggy’s claim for rail access on Rio Tinto rail lines in the Pilbara at the moment.

    The constitutional issues arose during the course of argument before the trial judge hence the process, I think.

    by shellbell on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:46 pm

  13. First time watching Kitchen Cabinet.

    Where are the shows filmed? The scenery behind Wong and Crabb is stunning!

    by confessions on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:47 pm

  14. Fancy a bit of reading?

    Rupert Murdoch: An investigtion of political power by – David McKnight

    This is a download, folks, of the book teaser….
    http://www.allenandunwin.com/_uploads/BookPdf/Extract/9781742373522.pdf

    by joe2 on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:47 pm

  15. AMANDA SHALALLALALALLALLAL

    AMANDA SHALLALALALLALALLALALA

    by ShowsOn on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:48 pm

  16. Georgeus Dunny

    I think that’s pretty right, rua. I did hear an interesting talk on RN (possibly Occams Razor) by a railway engineer. He thought people had got too carried away with the romance of high speed rail possibilities.

    High speed rail is a fabuloso idea BUT in Australia there is three quarters of six eighths of feck all between major cities. A high speed rail in Europe or Japan passes hundreds of millions more people than one from say Melbourne and Sydney. If there was money to be made someone would have done it yonks ago.

    by poroti on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:48 pm

  17. Horsegate!

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:48 pm

  18. shellbell

    What if Katter appeals it to the High Court and they decide to hear it?

    by Diogenes on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:52 pm

  19. It seems to me that Lord Blair is not quite a cleanskin in re the press.

    They may get on to “sundry payments”.

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:52 pm

  20. Diog,

    BobKat is running out of money, according to him.

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:53 pm

  21. poroti

    I don’t know the economics of it but isn’t Melbourne-Sydney one of the busiest plane routes in the world. That must help its viability.

    by Diogenes on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:54 pm

  22. Their ABC had the Northern Territory National, Nigel Scullion, on Kitchen Cabinet last week. The order of guests/parties so far has been:

    1) Liberal – Pyne/Vanstone
    2) National – Scullion
    3) Labor – Wong

    No partiality in that order, is there! ;)

    Although it involves culinary matters (sort of) I bet they didn’t ask Show 2 guest, Scullion, about his cake-decorating exploits…

    http://www.ntnews.com.au/article/2011/07/27/249641_ntnews.html

    by Cuppa on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:55 pm

  23. Today Tonight: IS HALAL CERTIFICATION FUNDING THE RISE OF SHARIA LAW? End of story: No, but aren’t you glad we asked! *facepalm*

    And, tomorrow night we ask: IS KOSHER CERTIFICATION FUNDING THE RISE OF JEWISH EXTREMISM? End of story: No, but aren’t you glad we aren’t racists!

    by HaveAchat on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:55 pm

  24. PB is still waiting for The Labours of Lady Janet.

    TLBD,

    Erm, would that be Lady Janet Farquar, the well-known gin-tippler and bolter? Went through a brace of husbands and an assortment of chinless wonders? Came out the
    other end smelling of petunias. Remarkable woman.

    by Scringler on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:55 pm

  25. confessions
    Posted Wednesday, March 7, 2012 at 9:30 pm | Permalink
    kezza2:

    How is your coalition PPL investigation going?

    It’t not so much a PPL investigation as a forensic sortie into small business, specifically the attributes of the minister/shadow minister – and policy, if it could get a look in.

    Came across some trust stuff re Bruce Billson today; trying to get my head round it.

    And, wouldn’t you know, fkn Workways and Centrelink have raised their collective heads, requiring my undivided attention.

    If I don’t have to do hours of mindless trudging, may have an offering some time tomorrow arvo.

    check ya all later!

    by kezza2 on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:57 pm

  26. 10.52am: Jay asks Blair about the “Horsegate” affair.

    Blair says he has heard Fedorcio will give an acocunt of how he came to know about the loan of the horse.

    What I understand Mr Fedorcio will say is that he was telephoned by Rebekah Brooks asking about this arrangement … and that then he arranged for her to go down and see the inspector in charge of horses and then have a discussion about it and this actually seems to have happened on the day that I had lunch with her, and what I understand Mr Fedorcio is going to say is that this was discussed at the lunch. I have absolutely no recollection of that.

    Asked by Leveson if it was a big deal, Blair says “No”.

    You wish!

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:58 pm

  27. Diogenes

    poroti

    I don’t know the economics of it but isn’t Melbourne-Sydney one of the busiest plane routes in the world. That must help its viability.

    It could be. But if it was economic then I am sure someone would have laid out a track by now.

    by poroti on Mar 7, 2012 at 9:58 pm

  28. Scringler,

    The one and only. Famous for various activities in the ABC boardroom such as cleaning the windows, filling the glasses with water, dusting the sideboard, picking up the crumbs …

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:00 pm

  29. Diogenes

    He would have to get an injunction (to allow the HC proceedings to start up) and undertake to pay any costs to the Electoral Commission fom delaying the election – that must be megabucks.

    by shellbell on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:00 pm

  30. Kitchen Cabinet is more insightful than Insiders.

    I hadn’t realised it until now, but I am well and truly over journos interviewing other journos. It’s time to face a new paradigm, where the subject is front and center to the interview, not the talking heads bleating off to the side.

    by confessions on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:02 pm

  31. 10.56am: Blair is talking about how his 15-year-old son got work experience at the Sun.

    “The current debate over internshnips was not playing at the time,” he says. “I had a whole series of people interning around my office … it was a perfectly normal process.”

    Quite.

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:02 pm

  32. shellbell

    Wouldn’t the High Court be obliged to hear the case urgently, rather than delaying the election?

    by Diogenes on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:02 pm

  33. Oh, before I retire

    Finns

    Heard one of your BISONS get a run on News Radio this morning.
    Marius Benson interviewing Arthur Sinodinos.

    Benson: But how can you say that the Coalition’s tax grab is always lower when Howard’s ratio to GDP was 25% against Rudd/Gillard’s 22%? or wtte.

    Sinodinos (smooth as slippery silk): Well, I don’t think you can take much notice of that statistically, etc etc.

    No follow up from Benson. God they’re fkn stupid. Got a list of questions. Ask them. That’s it.

    But, at least a BISON got a mention, at last.

    by kezza2 on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:04 pm

  34. It’s time to face a new paradigm, where the subject is front and center

    Agreed. Starting with jointing the chicken and going on to the best spices to roast and grind for the curry.

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:05 pm

  35. kezza2:

    No worries. Will keep an eye out for your comments.

    by confessions on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:06 pm

  36. Diogenes

    Not obliged to but would if it was important but more likely scenario is that:

    (a) Court of Appeal would refuse injunction (it would have to be made in the CA after it dismisses the proceedings tomorrow) on basis there is no merit and because Katter would not give undertaking to pay damages to EC for delaying the election;
    (b) High Court would refuse injunction for same reasons;
    (c) matter piddles out.

    by shellbell on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:07 pm

  37. Ducky:

    I watch the gorgeous Jamie Oliver for that!

    by confessions on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:07 pm

  38. On to the money now. Sgt Schultz.

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:08 pm

  39. shellbell

    So Katter would really have to be prepared to go to the wall over it to keep it going.

    by Diogenes on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:10 pm

  40. Cuppa

    Yes, Crabb mentioned the cake decorating to Scullion.
    She also said she had no wish to mimic Nigella.

    The scene is the Florieu Peninsula in SA.

    by lizzie on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:11 pm

  41. fess,

    I watch the gorgeous Maeve O’Meara. Have all the Food Safaris.

    She signed her book for me. Personality plus.

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:11 pm

  42. Still waiting for Jamie to put out his 30 minute meals on DVD.

    by This little black duck on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:12 pm

  43. OK, horse breeder here.

    AI is used for Arabian horses (which I breed). Same threats of lack of diversity etc when introduced.

    However, with horses, AI is still an expensive proceedure. For it to work, the mare needs to be in optimal health, for starters.

    A few years ago, I looked at using AI. To do it practically, I would have had to have boarded my mare at the vet’s. Using an ‘ordinary’ stallion, it would still have cost far more than sending the mare away to stud.

    So, although AI is certainly used within Arabian horse breeding, it’s usually an elite proceedure, one for those with deep pockets.

    Doubts over paternity are non existent in most breeds nowadays, with DNA testing a standard part of registration, so that’s a non issue.

    by zoomster on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:13 pm

  44. Why is Sean Lennon on The Drum?

    by ShowsOn on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:14 pm

  45. Finns

    Heard one of your BISONS get a run on News Radio this morning.
    Marius Benson interviewing Arthur Sinodinos.

    Benson: But how can you say that the Coalition’s tax grab is always lower when Howard’s ratio to GDP was 25% against Rudd/Gillard’s 22%? or wtte.

    he he he The Mighty BISONs roar again. Thanks Kezza

    by The Finnigans on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:14 pm

  46. The #HorseyGate with Rebekah is running wild in UK.

    by The Finnigans on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:15 pm

  47. Ducky

    Agreed. Starting with jointing the chicken and going on to the best spices to roast and grind for the curry.

    Sri Lankan curried chicken, kukul mas, is uber yummy.This recipe is the wimps ( sane people’s ) version rather than the full 20+ red chiillie version

    http://infolanka.com/recipes/mess2/90.html

    by poroti on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:15 pm

  48. zoomster
    My daughter has a 28 yo Arab here with us. It is the most docile animal. He has won several hacking events with her and is he still in very good shape.

    by BK on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:17 pm

  49. tom_watson ‏ @tom_watson
    News corp is leaking like a sieve. As Arthur Miller said “betrayal is the only truth that sticks”: http://bloom.bg/w1IGxl

    by gusface on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:17 pm

  50. Ducky:

    Yes, I love Maeve O’Meara as well.

    Jamie’s 30min dinners are replaying on Foxtel at present. I’ve cooked about 4 of them so far, the most recent being a 10 sec lemon chutney to serve with curries. Fabulous.

    by confessions on Mar 7, 2012 at 10:18 pm

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