Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition
The latest weekly Essential Research survey shows no change on last week, bar a one point drop in the Greens vote to 10 per cent: the Coalition is on 49 per cent of the primary vote and Labor on 32 per cent, with the Coalition’s two-party lead at 56-44. Essential also found plenty of interesting questions to ask about the Labor leadership. Respondents were asked to evaluate the performance of various actors during the challenge, with Kevin Rudd coming out least badly (33 per cent good, 35 per cent poor), “Labor Party ministers” the worst (10 per cent and 52 per cent), the media also very poorly (14 per cent and 43 per cent), Julia Gillard not well at all (23 per cent and 49 per cent) and Tony Abbott hardly better even if it might be hard to recall what he did exactly (25 per cent and 40 per cent).
Sixty-two per cent of respondents said the leadership challenge was bad for the government and 47 per cent that it has made them less likely to vote Labor (64 per cent among Coalition supporters, obviously including many who wouldn’t vote Labor in a pink fit), against 13 per cent who said it was a good thing and another 13 per cent (or perhaps the same 13 per cent) who they were more likely to vote Labor. A question on Kevin Rudd’s future produces a miraculously even three-way split with 29 per cent saying he should stay in parliament and again challenge for the leadership, 28 per cent saying he should stay in parliament and not challenge for the leadership and 30 per cent saying he should resign from parliament.
Respondents were asked to indicate whether they supported the Australian system of leaders being elected by MPs (36 per cent), American-style presidential primaries (31 per cent) and British-style election by both MPs and party members (11 per cent). Fifty-six per cent believed MPs should be guided by public opinion in leadership contests against 30 per cent by who they believed was the best person. The poll also points to a slight increase in support for an early election since the end of January, up three to 44 per cent with support for a completed term down two to 46 per cent.
We have also had Newspoll publish results from last week’s polling on the most important political issues and the best party to handle them. Such figures are invariably very closely associated with voting intention, and since this was a 53-47 poll result, it finds Labor improving considerably since the question was last asked as part of the poll of October 7-9, which was a 57-43 result. Labor has recovered big leads on its traditional strong suits of health, education, industrial relations and climate change, and closed the gap on the economy, interest rates and national security. Full tables from GhostWhoVotes.
Categories: Federal Politics 2010-
Everyone knows Aussies gerbils don’t work weekends
by Last name red wombat on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:46 pm
So, what became of the Bongo fireworks?
by This little black duck on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:46 pm
The Finnigans
After seeing this the Diet may want the money back.Youse missed one.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pOvLIf39xO0
by poroti on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:48 pm
http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2012/mar/07/leveson-inquiry-tory-pressure-damian-green-leak
by dave on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:49 pm
The born-to-rulers’ heads are exploding because Labor, together with the evil Greens and some conservatively-inclined turncoat Independents, are keeping them from their ‘rightful’ place in the seats of power. Hence the biggest tantrum in history from the Yobbosition and their phalanx of media allies. Poor little petals, democracy is so messy when the one true worthy party is deprived of its ‘birthright’.
by Cuppa on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:54 pm
Did I just see / hear Tone saying: “As a father of three daughters I was thrilled to have our first female prime minister.”?
by This little black duck on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:54 pm
I know it is Morgan but I’ll revel in it anyway!
by jenauthor on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:55 pm
by jenauthor on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:56 pm
I believe this to be true. No one in general conversation has questioned anything they have read in the paper.When challenged on things that (for example) Poll Bludgers generally know to be untrue, you are met with incomprehension when you even attempt to set them straight.
The one that has really stuck is Pink Batts, even though there is proven evidence that Peter Garret did not kill 4 people generally it is accepted as fact.
Of course I am only talking about my circle of people, it’s not large, granted, but it is a straw poll in the scheme of things.They add up.
I am a labor member and supporter, but I’m getting a bit antsy, maybe Australia isn’t ready yet. Which gives me pain thinking we have come to this level of shallow.
Women belong in the kitchen barefoot and that is where the punters are.
I hope I am wrong.
by forrest on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:56 pm
tlbd
If them’s the exact words, I demand an apology on two fronts.
by lizzie on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:57 pm
jen,
Like a bath in ass’s milk.
by This little black duck on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:58 pm
lizzie,
I just caught it out of the corner of my ears.
by This little black duck on Mar 8, 2012 at 6:59 pm
On twitter they’re saying that Kafer failed to predict that disciplinary action would upset the young cadet and should have. Also, her room had been sprayed with Jif (not shaving cream as reported)
Sounds as if Smith was protective of Kafer in his statement to the press yesterday by not disclosing any of this. So all the calls for an apology by Smith are very much opposite what is needed.
by jenauthor on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:00 pm
jenauthor
Sounds good jen.Ill just ignore the name and sit back to enoy the warming glow of the numbers
by poroti on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:00 pm
Two things
Nice to see Adam Brandt out and about in Swan Street Richmond today doing a spot of met and greet.
The official data has confirmed what I have been saying about the Victorian economy, now maybe someone might actually do something, starting off with ending the silly pointless political obsession with a surplus.
Clearly the private sector cannot function without the government coming out and giving stimulation.
by mexicanbeemer on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:00 pm
Abbott said that? What comedian has he engaged as his new script writer?
He wasn’t thrilled when Julia Gillard became PM, he was mightily pissed off because he didn’t get the gig. The last 18 months or so have been full of ‘what about me’ ‘we were robbed’ ‘I demand an election now’ crap laced with a whopping great dose of ‘how can you trust a woman’.
If he really said that then Labor has a great new election ad right there- even the leader of the opposition thinks Julia Gillard is the best person to be PM.
by leone on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:02 pm
2714
His Name id Bandt. No “R”.
by Tom the first and best on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:02 pm
Jen author I hope that is Jif and not Jiz but with the ADFA one never knows.
by Oakeshott Country on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:02 pm
Jenauthor
The scary thing is Morgan has Qld 51-49 to the libs. Believable ?
by ruawake on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:02 pm
Thanks Tom, I didn’t know that. anyway it was good to see a polly out in voterland
by mexicanbeemer on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:04 pm
tlbd
Who was he trying to impress this time?
I agree with leone – lovely election ad.
by lizzie on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:04 pm
leone,
It was on SBS and the news will be on their site. Worthwhile checking.
by This little black duck on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:04 pm
Looks as if the specially imported American levee banks are leaking at Nathalia.
by lizzie on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:05 pm
They said “Jif”
by jenauthor on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:07 pm
great offering by patriciaWA on this international women’s day
On International Women’s Day
Finally we’ve had someone say
Our Prime Minister is Okay!
She’s been assessed as Triple A!
They’ve always known that Overseas,
Admired how she could shoot the breeze
With little folk and the big cheese.
At last in Oz she’s the bees’ knees!
Our experts, who ought to know,
Have told us that she’s all the go
With public servants. They’re aglow,
Enjoying their new status quo.
Members of the Coalition,
Sharing Abbott’s premonition
That she’s done for his ambition
Are jostling for his position.
There’s high praise too from Independents,
Not just her ALP attendants.
History will record for our descendants
How began the great Gillard ascendance!
by victoria on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:09 pm
Morgan has had ff at 52-48 4 polls out of 5 since 27 January
by shellbell on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:11 pm
Ruawake:
ALP/NLP for each state
by jenauthor on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:13 pm
Tones tory mate Cameron in pomgolia showing what caring conservatives are really all about. Bastard. But hey this guy defended multi million pound bonus’s to people working in banks the taxpayer bailed out
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/now-government-cuts-target-disabled-workers-7544744.html
by poroti on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:13 pm
Trouble in Syria? Bah! This is trouble:
http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/1632641/Armenia-boycotts-Eurovision
by This little black duck on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:17 pm
@jenauthor/2726
Is that a pattern emerging (except NSW)?
by zoidlord on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:18 pm
This is funny, and also spot on
http://www.cracked.com/blog/6-things-rich-people-need-to-stop-saying/
by Leroy on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:19 pm
This little black duck
Actually the real reason was http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-17222934
by poroti on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:20 pm
Cricket not done and dusted:
by This little black duck on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:22 pm
I reckon we need to ask William, and it is Morgan … but still ….
by jenauthor on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:22 pm
poroti,
Who ordered the exhumation?
by This little black duck on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:25 pm
poroti – That is typical short sighted rubbish policy and so they are going to retrench them then spend money on assisting them to find a new job in a recession like economy.
If anyone wants to see how an economy will behave after cutting massive spending then they only need to look at the U.K I find it bemusing that anyone seriously thinks the best way to cut debt is to slash.
It has never worked and it will never work
by mexicanbeemer on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:25 pm
One thing we ‘might’ be able to say is that the leadership ructions have not done the kind of damage all the pundits were saying.
And maybe the strength the PM has shown, her snookering of the press etc. has made appear more PMinisterial to some?
The test will be the other polls – but also whether the ability for the govt to get some of its messaging out changes things in next few months.
THe snookering of the press (now twice in a week) ‘might’ make them more reserved about just running with the anti-govt campaign. They have done more ‘policy’ analysis this week than they have in the entire year.
here’s hoping anyhoo
by jenauthor on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:26 pm
@2733
The territories are not polled?, ACT/NT figures are put where?. One vote and all of that….
by forrest on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:26 pm
Did Channel 10 have anything of *substance* to say on ADFA Enquiry etc?
Or were they just using *substance* of one sort or another?
by dave on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:31 pm
this is exactly the draconian measures being thrust on the greeks. cutting cutting till there is nothing left to repay any debt owing. all thanks to the german approach. utterly foolish. paul krugman has been writing about this since 2009 and thank god for girlock in the US govt system that they have not followed this path otherwise we would be really up shit creek.
by the spectator on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:32 pm
poroti,
Every time you see Hockey and Robb smiling and getting a hard on when they talk about the Budget cuts they are going to make, just think of the poor, disabled and helpless that are going to cop it.
by Greensborough Growler on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:32 pm
The bailout bails out banks and bond holders (German and French). Stuff the Greeks!
by This little black duck on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:34 pm
7.5 is doing current affairs:
1. Turtle murder
2. Nippon tsunami one year on
by This little black duck on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:36 pm
You can tell they are makin’ stuff up.
by ruawake on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:36 pm
Bloody squibs!
by BK on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:37 pm
There could easily have been an injunction taken out against a secret Defense report being leaked.
by Diogenes on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:38 pm
“Footage shot by a tourist and given to 7.30″
Barcelona, anyone?
by This little black duck on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:38 pm
Ruawake , yes i have spotted that with the KFC kid. Its like he knows he can get away with it , the lying ,smiling bastard.
by Lord Barry Bonkton on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:39 pm
Good topics for them to pursue, politics is a bit too hard for them.
by ruawake on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:39 pm
Diogs,
A spelling injunction?
by Greensborough Growler on Mar 8, 2012 at 7:41 pm